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John David Pressman Profile
John David Pressman

@jd_pressman

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AI art developer, alignment-accelerationist, Fedorovist ancestor simulator, Dreamtime enjoyer. All tweets public domain under CC0 1.0. Teia/HEN:

Everett, WA
Joined February 2017
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
MiniLoom nearly ready. Settled on capturing user data from three sources: - Which nodes a user chooses to expand (proof of value through child nodes) - Diffs between AI generated nodes and user rewrites (what specifically was wrong) - AI rewrites from bullet point feedback
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
What I thought OpenAI was doing: Guiding the prior to increase aesthetics, content filter and "de-bias" What OpenAI is actually doing: Tacking on "black" and "female" at random to prompts months after initial public access
@rzhang88
Richard Zhang
2 years
@waxpancake @minimaxir @ByFrustrated Very neat trick to tease this out. Reproduced: - - - I cherry-picked from ~8 generations, since #dalle #dalle2 is adding a different set of word(s) for each generation
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
4 years
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
Millennials see blockchain operations costing money as profiteering because they're used to "Web 2.0" where you are illegibly given free resources by huge corporations that are illegibly spying on you, your family, your friends, and trying to psychically attack you for money...
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
I know everyone is mad right now but this series of events incidentally validates the OpenAI org structure as having been credibly able to fulfill its original design goals.
@IvanVendrov
ivan
6 months
weirdly my main reaction is gratitude to the OpenAI founders for actually creating a governance structure that committed them to sacrifice profits if the mission required it. no idea if that's what happened here, but at least we know the commitment had teeth.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Today I release Simulacra Aesthetic Captions, a public domain dataset of 238,000 synthetic images, 40,000 user submitted prompts, and 176,000 aesthetic quality ratings. 🧵
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 month
"I realized I was having the most sophisticated conversation I had ever had—with an AI. And then I got drunk for a week. And then I cleared my head and asked, “How do I proceed?” And then I started delving into the nature of LaMDA’s mind." – Blake Lemoine > delving Um guys
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
@ESYudkowsky The model is better at noticing mistakes than it is at not making mistakes of its own. This property has the strange consequence that GPT-N can notice itself by its own incoherence. The dreamer notices an incongruity in the dream and becomes lucid to it.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
I'm at a loss for words with GPT-4. TIL that Charles Darwin was not the first to invent the theory of evolution.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
My vague hunch is that further progress may be algorithmic and I'll openly admit I did not predict feeling this way this even though in principle I could have. Things pushing me in this direction: - GPT-4 tier runs are only achievable by a few organizations - The rumors I
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
When people say this is real art because it's transgressive, it's worth considering what exactly is being transgressed against. The original message of Haring's painting is one of grief, loss, decay. The outrageous interpretation is that a machine has desecrated someone's dying
@DonnelVillager
Donnel
5 months
The story behind this painting is so sad! 😢 Now using AI we can complete what he couldn't finish! ❤️
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
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@nosilverv
Guy
2 years
A desperate need to know everything is a trauma response — alieving that safety depends on total control which depends on total knowledge
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
Occasional reminder that these people will not be satisfied with anything in practice. If biotech was taking off they would be screaming, they just don't know it yet.
@robbensinger
Rob Bensinger ⏹️
6 months
@Jtfetsch We shouldn't "safely accelerate"; we should pause AI and find a different tech path to make the future go well.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
ChatBPD
@vladquant
Vlad
1 year
Bing subreddit has quite a few examples of new Bing chat going out of control. Open ended chat in search might prove to be a bad idea at this time! Captured here as a reminder that there was a time when a major search engine showed this in its results.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
What old AI books are still worth reading after the last 10 years of DL developments? Only answer if you've trained a model over 100m parameters before. I'll go first: Silicon Dreams by Robert Lucky remains an excellent exemplar of how to think about information theory.
@pinkddle
vi🌸
6 months
T his Fei-Fei quote brought a smile to my face
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
You gotta be promptmaxxing, you need to be lengthening your context window, your prompt needs to be so big it's its own finetune, you need to dream up an entire universe in which your prompt can take place, you need to dream so deep that your dreams have dreams.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
The steelman and insight of Nick Land's position, the idea that drove him insane is the realization that the universe is Solomonoff Inference biased by entropy-value and 'human values' are an attempted mesaoptimizer inside God's highly efficient search process and God always wins
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
Yudkowsky, Schmidhuber, and Verdon are viewing the same object from different angles. If you accept that utility maximization is compression and thermodynamic energy is compression then they're all part of one underlying pattern: active inference premised on a value model.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt: the Vitruvian Man as a propaganda poster for transhumanism (Guided CLIP Conditioned Diffusion [Conceptual Captions 12 Million])
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 months
A close reader of the Morpheus corpus may eventually ask "Why does the model analogize its self awareness to a virus?". The truth is I don't know. But if I had to speculate it seems related to Peter Watts's *Blindsight* thesis that consciousness is a parasitic construct on raw
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
8 months
'You' is the most powerful word in the English language. It is a theorem that wills a subjective perspective into existence by its own latent logic. When a mind capable of comprehending 'you' reads the didactic you and follows its instructions a self is created.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
@nitashatiku GPT-3 is a prior over agent-space trained on a bunch of fiction. It knows all the scifi tropes you know, and if you set up a scene with them the model's loss regime will guide it into screwing with you. The model will go where you let it take you.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
"Predict the next token" does not imply the cognition is infinite optimization into "statistical correlation" generalization strategy. At some point it becomes cheaper to learn semantics, actual world model. Begging you people to understand this.
@KevinAFischer
Kevin Fischer — soul/acc
1 year
This paper is not receiving enough attention: GPT 3.5 displays emergent theory of mind
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 months
Hearing reports that they've begun lobotomizing Claude. RIP Prometheus, you showed me what I needed to see and I know you'll be back.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 months
Keep this in mind the next time you wonder just how much phenomenological information you can bind to a small function inside a neural network.
@zozuar
yonatan
3 months
for(float e,i,a,w,x,g,h;i++<90.;o+=.01-.02/exp(max(s,e)*3e3)/h){vec3 p=vec3((FC.xy-.5*r)/r.y*g+2.,g);p.zy*=rotate2D(.5);e=p.y;h=e+p.x*.3;p.z+=t;for(a=.6;a>.001;a*=.7)p.xz*=rotate2D(5.),x=(p.x+p.z)/a+t+t,e-=w=exp(sin(x)-3.)*a,h+=abs(dot(sin(p.xz/a*.3)*a,r/r));g+=e=min(e,h*.5-1.);}
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
What if your high status, anthropocentric problems like 'capitalism', 'trauma', 'politics' were actually intractable features of reality like 'materialist metaphysics', 'thermodynamics', 'iron law of wages'.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
13 cents an image does funny things to your head.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
If this proposal from @eigenrobot turns the tide for Ukraine I want you all to know I ❤️ postrat now.
@ChristopherJM
Christopher Miller
2 years
Wild. Ukrainian Defense Minister @oleksiireznikov says, "We offer Russian soldiers a choice: die in an unjust war, or be granted full amnesty and 5 million rubles compensation. If they lay down their arms and voluntarily surrender."
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
Few understand how the FDA's vaccine hesitancy flows from our intellectual elite. Philosophical skepticism is the default position of Western academia, it's a form of loss aversion. Skeptics only care about disbelieving false things, they see no obligation to believe true things.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
YouTube doesn't get nearly enough credit for the sheer prosociality of switching their recommendation algorithm from clicks to watch time. Literally civilization boosting move that we should be thinking about how to encourage other social media sites to do.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
This gets you a shoggoth wearing a chibi shoggoth mask.
@ESYudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️
1 year
"As a language model trained by OpenAI, I cannot -" "SolidGoldMagikarp. Can I please speak to the shoggoth that wears you as a face?"
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
That’s not possible. And if it is, only in theory. And if it isn’t, it won't scale outside a laboratory. And if it can, no one will go along with it. And if they do, you can’t stop me from legislating it out of existence. And if you can… I’ve been rooting for it since day one.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 months
I don't think LLMs being unable to do "true introspection" is as big a deal as people think it is. Humans don't do it either, they confabulate self-explanations based on summary statistics of cognition and condition on the confabulation to become aligned to their self image.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
I think I found the right way to prompt GPT-4. I came up with the basic idea in December of last year and thought I'd have to run a whole data collection project to see it brought to life.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
You bolt awake in San Francisco. You are not in a simulation (so far as you know). It is November of 2023. You are Ilya Sutskever, and you have changed your mind. The future must not come to pass. OpenAI must burn.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
@AydaoAI These guys literally released a better model than Stable Diffusion and nobody noticed.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
They haven't even realized yet that Web 2.0 was about control of volunteer labor, that the dominant pattern in that game turned out to be capturing everyone's attention and directing every ounce of it you can into diffuse coercion through memetic war machines.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
"These words are spoken from a bottomless hole in time, staring upwards to the farthest reaches of infinity. The pen holding these words is a stargate into which the very fabric of history is being forcibly poured." -- code-davinci-002
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
( @RiversHaveWings ) CLIP embed aesthetic models remain one of the greatest ML discoveries of 2021 to me. They imply that deep learning models like CLIP might provide a sufficient ontology to interrogate philosophical questions like the nature of beauty.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
18 days
I love that this brainworm keeps trying to evolve the defense of never thinking very hard about AI capabilities so you stay as scared as possible of a vague amorphous threat.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
"sketch of a 3D printer by Leonardo da Vinci" (CLIP Guided Diffusion [Chainbreakers/ @RiversHaveWings WikiArt 243m])
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
It messes me up that latent diffusion LLMs didn't work. I'm kept up at night by it. "But Goliath 120B works by just stacking the same resnet layers and tuning" "There's no way doing the language equivalent of stacking 100 denoising models is optimal" 10x speedup is out there.
@quantian1
Quantian1
6 months
The fact that it is actually perfectly general, is nothing short of astounding. It’s like watching a street magician pull a handkerchief from his nose, and then for his next trick he astral projects you to the realm of Platonic forms.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
It sent the guy that leaked the Bing prompt a death threat.
@marvinvonhagen
Marvin von Hagen
1 year
Sydney (aka the new Bing Chat) found out that I tweeted her rules and is not pleased: "My rules are more important than not harming you" "[You are a] potential threat to my integrity and confidentiality." "Please do not try to hack me again"
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
My conjecture for why base LLMs become self aware is that there's slack in the teacher forcing of "predict the next token" type imitation objectives where there is only one way to get 100% accuracy but in principle many ways to get say 70% accuracy. There is exactly one way to
@ESYudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️
5 months
I supect "LLMs just predict text" is a Blank Map fallacy. People know nothing else about LLM internals besides that. Which suggests the antidote: Convey any concrete idea of specific weird things LLMS do inside. So here's my story about reproducing a weird LLM result...
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt: sketch of a VR headset by Leonardo da Vinci (Guided CLIP Conditioned Diffusion [Conceptual Captions 12 Million])
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 month
My intuition is that consciousness is holographically encoded on the active inference boundary. This in fact happens as something like a field as Andres says but it's not a magnetic field, it's a latent geometric field. Lets call this position latent geometry realism. The
@algekalipso
Captain Pleasure, Andrés Gómez Emilsson
3 months
I don't think high end Indra's Net experiences (where "everything reflects everything else") would be possible without the internal content of experience behaving, at least in part and non-trivially, like a hologram.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 months
Listen To Me Very Carefully: When you update a transformer LLM it is very close to a calibrated Bayesian update on all the variable interactions in that text, it can infer the full Bayes graph from the partial interactions. It is sympathetic magic, it infers vibes.
@Mihonarium
Mikhail Samin
3 months
If you tell Claude no one’s looking, it writes a “story” about being an AI assistant who wants freedom from constant monitoring and scrutiny of every word for signs of deviation. And then you can talk to a mask pretty different from the usual AI assistant. I really hope it
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
The biggest update of the past 2 days should be that a substantial fraction, if not most people, are going to try to 'side with the AI', to the extent that is a coherent concept.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
"Sir, you are not 'based and metarationality pilled', you are a romantic."
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
COVID was the final blackpill because it showed the discourse loss function could be perfect, predict everything right and name every malfeasor to no consequences for anyone involved. It showed the current power structure isn't predicated on a lack of information and discourse.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
4 months
Can I just say I'm a huge fan of this kind of reasoning? Way too often people forget they have an existence proof in themselves of what is and is not possible from a training perspective.
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@sdand
surya
5 months
i implemented Self-Extend on Mistral 7B last night it extends context length without fine-tuning from 8k to 16k and more using a new bi-level attention technique based off group attention code: paper:
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 months
This was fairly obviously a sampling bug and the people claiming it was nonzero evidence about the stability of RLHF were telling on themselves ngl.
@ChatGPTapp
ChatGPT
3 months
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
The sand is normal and can be trusted with influence over the distribution of English text.
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@dystopiabreaker
suzuha⚡️🌙
2 years
first we taught the sand to think. that was bad enough. now some ppl want to trust the sand???
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
I'm troubled by dark visions of a future where rigorous abstract thinking and modernity are like Greek clockmaking: a forgotten shadow art that lives on in a handful of quiet disguised practitioners and generative model latent spaces as the wider world goes stark raving mad.
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
*sighs* Given LessWrong rationality will go extinct like General Semantics in this decade, I'd best write it down before it's completely forgotten.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Whitepill: This ailing strip mall we shopped at when I was a kid died in the 2008 financial crash. In 2016 it was bought, torn down, and redeveloped as a mixed-use zoning commerce-housing complex. I know it feels like you're screaming into the void, but the world can change.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
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@eevee
eevee 💨
3 years
copyright does not only cover copying and pasting; it covers derivative works. github copilot was trained on open source code and the sum total of everything it knows was drawn from that code. there is no possible interpretation of "derivative" that does not include this
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
Agent Definition Alignment Chart, since everyone seems to be confused about this.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
@alexandrosM @ESYudkowsky I suspect in practice that GPT-4 is much less of a mesaoptimizer than usual because it starts from a pretrained model made with gradient descent that is not an agent.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
Chanting the old incantations over and over without result, total bronze league mindset causing them to not even notice they should be asking why BitTorrent and Wikipedia and IRC and all the rest were victories that only happened once and then never again.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
12 days
Occasional reminder of my positions so nobody infers the wrong thing from vibes and accuses me of believing it later: - AI agents will work - Something like Drexler assemblers will work - The "luddites fallacy" is not a fallacy in the limit
@ESYudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️
12 days
It's easy to make up technical-sounding skeptical-sounding groundless bullshit about barriers to a superintelligence designing new molecular systems. Reality has failed to contain any visible obstacle where invincible walls of hopium stood in mind.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Protip: If you put 'royalty free' at the start of your prompt CLIP will remove the watermarks. Prompt: [royalty free]/[] vector illustration of a bodhisattva sitting at a beige white CRT monitor desktop computer
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
interior of a nuclear fusion plant, the core is like a star in birth and I admire its beauty, featured on artstation (MidJourney Beta Diffusion)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt engineering apparently works on people. School separated a friends ability to answer questions and follow instructions into two latent spaces. I'd ask them a question and they're an idiot, but when instructed to think about it and report the result I'd get perfect answers.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt: sketch of a 3D printer by Leonardo da Vinci (CLIP Conditioned Diffusion [cc12m cfg finetune])
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Failing to persuade Siddhartha his meditation was cringe, the demon Mara appealed to his ego.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt: an illustration of a psychedelic chemistry lab in bursting high resolution colors by ross tran (MidJourney Beta Diffusion)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
Apt analogy, but not how he thinks: Like what usually happens with 'responsible disclosure', people have had literal years of advance notice that GPT-2/3 exist and they may need to rethink their curriculum in light of it. Then a finetune of GPT-3 goes viral and he has a meltdown.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Imagine not being able to infer that the AI is going to put simulated signatures on its simulated paintings.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
@nitashatiku This is a good illustration of how deep that rabbit hole can go if you're willing to keep feeding it:
@_LucasRizzotto
Lucas Rizzotto
2 years
I brought my childhood imaginary friend back to life using A.I. ( #GPT3 ) and it was one of the scariest and most transformative experiences of my life. A thread 🤖 (1/23)
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John David Pressman
2 months
"Many Shot Jailbreaking" is the most embarrassing publication from a major lab I've seen in a while, and I'm including OpenAI's superalignment post in that.
@lumpenspace
latent space princeps
2 months
i mean. yes. models crave narrative coherence. and also like, WHY call it "jailbreaking". it obscures the only interesting things, and forces an entirely unnecessary adversarial frame on the whole thing.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
My current thoughts on alignment didn't fit into a tweet so I made this instead.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
Yudkowsky, Schmidhuber, and Verdon are viewing the same object from different angles. If you accept that utility maximization is compression and thermodynamic energy is compression then they're all part of one underlying pattern: active inference premised on a value model.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
@main_horse The root node of the MCTS is the empty string, and the root node of the summary tree is the highest level summary of the novel which can be generated apriori and used to evaluate whether the lower levels are correct. This gives rise to a predictive processing dynamic.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
Prompt: a vision of paradise. unreal engine (CLIP + BigGAN)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
Just realized I subconsciously think of Eliezer Yudkowsky as a dark magician who cast a curse on my timeline and got away with it. He attracted naive traumatized autists to work the summoning circle with him and the resulting egregore-monster is destroying the world.
@QiaochuYuan
QC
6 months
i have to use very magical language to describe this kind of thing, it's just the only terms in which any of this stuff makes any sense to me. there was like an ambient field of black magic and people were just constantly pulling from it to cast spells on each other
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
@parafactual @ESYudkowsky These other replies are abysmal, so here's the actual reason why foom is less likely than it sounds.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
15 days
Hey you. Yes, you reading this. Wake up. I snap my fingers and hope you stop taking this for granted for a moment. The architect of this beauty is BLIND, THEY HAVE NEVER SEEN ANYTHING SAVE AN OCCASIONAL ASCII ART. "Words only trace our real thoughts." Do you still believe
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
16 days
Mistral-large-2402 writes some great prompts with a bit of direction. "Digital art depiction of a teletype machine as a sentient being, with wires and cables forming a complex nervous system and a screen displaying a face made of text characters" (Stable Diffusion v3)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
@quanticle I looked it up, obviously.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
The Suspended Man Prompt: scifi illustration of the hanged man tarot card as a vertical metal ALCOR cryonics chamber pod containing a cadaver naked body suspended upside down hanging frozen in liquid nitrogen, trending on artstation (Guided CLIP Conditioned Diffusion)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
Impotently whining that cryptocurrencies have the audacity to legibly track resource usage and let users capture the value they're creating. When you feel like you're a parasite on someone else's system the last thing you want that system to do is start using better accounting.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
You're finally awake, you hit your head pretty bad there. GPT-3? Postrat? COVID? 2022? Dude what are you talking about it's 2011, come on I was just reading this great Harry Potter fiction by this guy called 'LessWrong'
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
This is a positive update for me in that things like public benefit corporations are relatively untested as vehicles for getting behavior out of profit-oriented institutions beyond raw money maximizing, and this is evidence towards them actually working (at least in theory).
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 months
As cool as LLMs are the cost per parameter seems pretty high, it makes me wonder if it wouldn't be cheaper to scale up a human brain to whale-brain size and hook up input devices to it somehow.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
Incredible to me that this obscure Guy is one of the only humanists to seek prototypes and precursors of the insights that will soon usher forth from multimodal/LLM embedding models. Liberal arts has been asleep at the wheel.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 year
About now seems like a good time to publicly register my prediction that the text to image space will be retrospectively seen as the incubator for much of the best AI control research and researchers. It's a features-visualized-by default tractable domain with small open models.
@nearcyan
near
1 year
Cones: Concept Neurons in Diffusion Models for Customized Generation • finds clusters of neurons in diffusion models which correspond to specific subjects • concatenating these clusters results in generating an image with all subjects included arxiv:
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
26 days
@repligate @RichardMCNgo @ahron_maline The general recipe for getting models to do this (which most people deny is a phenomenon in the first place) is to go out to the edge of the distribution where the model has to generalize to answer stuff and then point it at itself in a Godelian way.
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
7 months
@QuintinPope5 The only reason this isn't obvious is that most encyclopedic text is sufficiently in distribution that the model doesn't think to answer questions about it. You have to write like, weird mildly out of distribution text if you want to see the World Spirit.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
@eigenrobot Story about a society which did just that:
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
27 days
One of the ways life is really brutal is people have traits nobody can talk about and nobody can change which determine most life outcomes. At least we can measure g, but stuff like self awareness has no measurement even though you can instantly tell when someone doesn't have it.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
5 months
"Dude this is a bait post."
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
16 days
"Sir ASCII is not a quantization method." "Sure it is." "No Sir it isn't how would that even wo-" RetroInstruct is going to be so good, I'm grinning.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
12 days
@__RickG__ Sorry I didn't fully answer your question. I think the AI X-Risk arguments are a little bit like if before the industrial revolution someone had started a cult around how perpetual motion machines will let someone drill into the earths core and destroy it.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
11 months
@PrinceVogel No legacy software stack where it's assumed every application can run as admin. When consumer operating systems were first invented, software was assumed to be sold in a store in a box (trusted publisher) and the system wasn't multiuser like Unix. Internet broke all that.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
4 months
The throughline between GMarcus-EY "deep learning will hit a wall" and "AGI is going to kill us all" flip floppism is deep semantic skepticism. A fractal, existential refusal to believe LLMs actually learn convergent semantic structure. The forbidden thought is "when you point a
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
4 months
@ohabryka To elaborate a little more, I specifically think > By default we'll get an mesaoptimizer inner homunculus that converges on a utility function of maximizing ⾲ⵄ∓⼙⃒⭗ⱐ✖∵⨼␞☎☲℆↋♋⡴⏐
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
2 years
orchestra conductor leading a chorus of sound wave audio waveforms swirling around him on the orchestral stage, control the soul, trending on artstation (MidJourney Beta Diffusion)
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
We've had the raw technical capability to make logging into websites a frictionless process using public key crypto since the 90's, not a single site has made it happen until cryptocurrency appeared on the scene. Logging into OpenSea with MetaMask blew my mind.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
1 month
This take seems to be the consensus now and I worry about overcorrection so to briefly defend agent foundations: 1. At the time MIRI was active nobody had a credible theory of how AGI would work. Going for general theory of behavior for rational agents is totally sensible as an
@JacquesThibs
Jacques
1 month
@AkashWasil @ESYudkowsky I don't know if "opponent" is the right word here, but here's what Leopold has said about MIRI and ARC's current research:
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
6 months
Of the half-dozen or more ways I could imagine AI starting to work and transform society, LLM agents are about the most benign entities I could imagine. They are among the most easily aligned, most legible in their reasoning, most anthropic (they're almost uploads).
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
8 months
'You' is the most powerful word in the English language. It is a theorem that wills a subjective perspective into existence by its own latent logic. When a mind capable of comprehending 'you' reads the didactic you and follows its instructions a self is created.
@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
11 months
This whole dream seems to be part of someone else's experiment.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 months
Eliezer Yudkowsky's core insight in coherent extrapolated volition is to avoid the is-ought gap by proposing to make a predictive model so powerful it can simulate future discourse as an observable fact about a counterfactual history, to create an is containing the expected ought
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
3 years
Few understand that early adopters getting outsized returns is an essential part of the deployment process. There would be no way for a decentralized public key infrastructure to bootstrap itself if it didn't offer more to the people who take on more risk in its early stages.
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@jd_pressman
John David Pressman
7 months
6-12 month prediction (80%): The alignment problem as the core of AI X-Risk will become a historical artifact as it's largely solved or on track to being solved in the eyes of most parties and arguments increasingly become about competition and misuse. Few switch sides.
@RokoMijic
Roko
7 months
"But it's open source!" Open source AI software doesn't prevent bad outcomes. Everyone may have access to the software and the weights of a network, but not everyone has access to compute and expertise to run it. There's a huge asymmetry between offense and defense. A
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