The
#Somaliland
-
#Ethiopia
agreement may contribute to greater long-term stability in the
#HornofAfrica
for systemic and structural reasons, I argue my latest
@InterregionalM
piece. The deal finally addresses the "elephant in the room" of SL's independence
#Turkey
will be the first country with flat-deck ships replacing manned aircraft with unmanned systems in the form of "drone carriers". Find out more about what Turkey plans to do with its
#TB3
carriers in
@OlliSuorsa
's and my
@WarOnTheRocks
article:
The Chinese ambassador to Somalia is cooling his heels in Hargeisa because President Musa Bihi rightly refused to see him and listen to Beijing's unjustified threats and demands. Somaliland is preparing to recognize Taiwan via
@Somaliland
Chronicle
Surely the
#USA
should put
#Somaliland
in the same basket as
#Taiwan
. Sure, we maintain the fiction of
#OneChina
but we should invest in functioning states that work with the US rather than against it. Thanks,
@AEI
's
@mrubin1971
for this excellent article.
I am delighted to see my article "Contextualizing
#Turkey
's Actions in
#Somalia
: Insights from
#Somaliland
" has been published in Bildhaan, a journal of Somali studies. Free downloads available here:
The president of the Republic of Somaliland H.E Muse Bihi Abdi
@musebiihi
received the letter of accreditation from the newly appointed Ambassador of UAE to Somaliland Ambassador Abdulla Alnaqbi.
Looking forward to the results of the visit of the President of the Republic of
#Somaliland
,
@musebiihi
, to
#Washington
to meet with
#USA
Congress and speak at
@AEI
in an effort to gain support for independence recognition.
President of Somaliland, Musa Bihi Abdi arrived in the Country this afternoon. He was received by CS Munya and CAS Hon
@AbabuNamwamba
. H.E Musa Abdi will hold talks Monday with H.E President Uhuru Kenyatta on mutual interests.
The President of the Republic of
#Somaliland
H.E.
@musebiihi
departed from
#Egal
International Airport early this morning heading to Addis Ababa.
The President received an official invitation from the Government of
#Ethiopia
.
That
#Somaliland
is not a party to the
#Arab
and
#African
Coastal States grouping adds insult to injury. How do you police the Gulf of Aden without Somaliland's cooperation and assistance? Engaging with
#Mogadishu
is no answer.
For over 30 years, Somaliland has had full control over its 856 km long coastline and has protected its waters against piracy, terrorism, human and wild life trafficking.
Government of
#Somaliland
offers itself as a viable and stable partner in the
#HOA
as it responds to the
#USA
's decision to remove American troops from
#Somalia
.
The government of Somaliland welcomes the opportunity to strengthen partnership with like mandated nations to advance democracy, promote free market economies and protect this strategic region against enduring threats.
What does Somaliland get in return for making Beijing's visitors happy? Perhaps a starting point would be Beijing's recognition of Somaliland's independence? Chinese Government Delegation to Visit Somaliland via
@Somaliland
Chronicle
Berbera port expansion is about to open tomorrow. Ship-to-shore (STS) cranes, rubber-tyred gantry (RTG) cranes and mobile harbour cranes have installed in the Port of berbera ahead of the opening on June 24.
Very honoured to receive the US Congressional Staff Delegation at
@Presidencysl_
. The Republic of Somaliland is committed to working with democratic nations such as the US. We profoundly discussed Somaliland-US relations, stability, development, vibrant democracies and elections.
Even if
#Ethiopia
fails to formally recognize
#Somaliland
, the status quo of independence from
#Mogadisho
has been strengthened. If Addis Ababa does recognize Somaliland, there is little doubt that certain other states will follow suit and recognize realities on the ground.
Many thanks to
@mrubin1971
for highlighting my article on
#Somaliland
's strategic conundrum vis-a-vis
#Turkey
's actions in
#Mogadishu
. I'm happy to say we are both strong supporters of Somaliland's independence recognition.
Thank you,
@cannon_brendon
. I had not read your article when I wrote my piece but now that I have, I strongly commend it to anyone interested in the issue. It is a deeper treatment than I could accomplish.
If
#Ethiopia
does recognize Somaliland's independence de jure rather than de facto, this would likely start an avalanche of independence recognition by other states and see
#Somaliland
join the
#AU
and
#UN
.
With the agreement, the Indian Navy will have access to the Japanese military installation at
#Djibouti
. India should consider a foothold of its own, perhaps in neighboring
#Somaliland
, to counter
#China
in the western Indian Ocean with
#Japan
and the
#USA
The Republic of Somaliland welcomed the United States Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s vote to approve the “ Somaliland Partnership Act” and advance it to the full United States Senate for its consideration.
@SenateForeign
What is Somalia going to "patrol" with? Is China offering Mogadishu patrol boats now? This is a classic case of Beijing getting heavily involved in other states' affairs... All because of Somaliland's move to recognize Taiwan.
“Our ultimate goal remains: to gain recognition as an independent nation and assume our rightful place within the international community. H.E. President Muse Bihi Abdi said today during a keynote speech
@Heritage
.
#Somaliland
I'm honored to be a supporter of
#Somaliland
's recognition. However,
@Somaalilanders
incorrectly stated that
#Turkey
has delivered
#drones
to Somalia and cites my article:
My article didn't say this. It highlighted concerns of Somalilanders about drones.
Great op-ed by
@mrubin1971
on
#Turkey
's relations with
#Somaliland
. It mirrors much of the analysis and interview results in my article Contextualizing Turkey's Actions in
#Somalia
: Insights From Somaliland. Available here for free download:
#Somaliland
's independence is not declaratory, it's been a fact for over 30 years. The world (including the
#US
) must wake up. Continuing to pursue a "One
#Somalia
" policy is nonsensical and self-defeating for Somalia, Somaliland and the region.
I couldn't agree more with
@TiborPNagyJr
. Well put. Let's hope it doesn't take another 30 years to recognize these immutable facts on the ground about an independent
#Somaliland
. Happy Birthday,
#Somaliland
!
Happy 30th Birthday to
#Somaliland
- a defacto country that works. Too bad that in all these years the international community has refused to recognize its accomplishments by making it also a dejure nation, keeping that designation to the other part of Somalia which doesn't work
This is an historic visit:
@USAfricaCommand
Commander visited the independent Republic of
#Somaliland
to assess the
#Berbera
port and airport facilities in case of "emergencies." Don't be fooled by the
#USA
's "one Somalia" policy, support for this is rapidly fading in Washington.
Timely update on
@DPWorldUAE
's work at
#Somaliland
's
#Berbera
#Port
. Why DPW's "strategy to control ports" in the region will transform the "political geography" of the
#HornOfAfrica
is beyond me, however. It's only a ports operator.
.
@somalilandmfa
extends its warmest felicitations to the people of Somaliland as we celebrate the 31st anniversary of 18 May, the day Somaliland officially withdrew from the union with Somalia and regained its sovereignty.
Happy Somaliland National Day.
#China
's most ridiculous claims is that
#Taiwan
needs to bribe
#Somaliland
so they can work together on building mutually constructive projects and relations. Isn't their mutual recognition enough to bring them together?
#Beijing
should recognize
#Somaliland
's independence, too.
Pleased to see
#Somaliland
's FM and Special Envoy Edna Adan Ismail visiting the
#UK
(after the
#USA
). They are right: one of the keys to recognition lies in
#diaspora
mobilization.
Excellent interview. The answers given by former
#US
Ambassador Stephen M. Schwartz were refreshingly honest and may indicate some fast-changing attitudes in Washington about
#Somaliland
,
#Berbera
and the strategic and political efficacy of coming to some sort of
#recognition
.
This contains the results of interviews with Turkish government officials as well as
#Somalilanders
who provided key details as to why Somaliland views Turkey's actions in support of Somalia's government as a threat.
Delighted to receive the Japanese translation of
#IndoPacific
Strategies, my new book co-edited with Kei Hakata, now available (Japanese) and (English)
I was honored to participate at
@TrendsRA
inaugural symposium, “Efforts and Initiatives to Secure Peace and Stability in the Horn of Africa: Assessment of Roles and Interests" with scholars and friends
@fededonelli
@OlliSuorsa
@Marco_Di_Liddo
Kaleb Demerew, Aleksi Ylonen etc.
#China
will reduce investments in
#Africa
by 1/3 in 3 years. It's already happening in
#Kenya
where
#Japan
has overtaken China as
#Nairobi
's top bilateral lender. This will have big implications for
#EastAfrica
and Kenya's
#SGR
will remain incomplete.
Please access your free PDF of my new publication, "Asymmetric alliances and high polarity: evaluating regional security complexes in the Middle East and Horn of Africa" as co-authored with Federico Donelli in Third World Quarterly here:
Congratulations,
@jppjagannath1
on your testimony before the
#US
-
#China
Economic & Security Review Commission of the
#USCongress
. They couldn't have heard better analysis from anyone.
SAVE THE DATE! Wednesday 27 April, I'll moderate a discussion
@MEI_NUS
with
@cannon_brendon
Kei Hakata & Ash Rossiter on their book Indo-Pacific Strategies. On the menu: the rise of Indo-Pacific concept & implications for the US, Asian, Mideast Partners
This is my new book,
#IndoPacific
Strategies: Navigating
#geopolitics
at the dawn of a new age, edited with Kei Hakata and featuring my chapter on
#EastAfrica
and the Indo-Pacific.
Relatedly, both
#SAMIM
and the
#Mozambican
military cannot seem to oust jihadist insurgents. Yet,
#Rwanda
's troops did just that in
#CaboDelgado
and continue to hold the peace, making them doubly welcome by locals.
Highly recommend Dr. Athol Yates' "The Evolution of the Armed Forces of the United Arab Emirates" (Helion, 2020). A must read for anyone interested in
#security
in the
#Gulf
and the capabilities of the UAE Armed Forces.
Available now:
Great to see the continued development of the transportation infrastructure around the port and airport at
#Berbera
in
#Somaliland
. The geopolitical import of these developments was pointed out four years ago in this article:
#Somaliland
opens a state-of-the-art commercial airport at Berbera. The aiport has the longest runway in Africa! & it compliments the Berbera Port, which has been turned into a maritime hub in the region!
@DP_World
@AsstSecStateAF
@DFCgov
@USChamber
.
In my new article about armed
#drones
in
#Africa
, I argue that a combination of distance, extreme environments, and battlefield dynamics conspire to blunt drone power. I build this argument using two, recent conflict cases:
#Niger
and
#Ethiopia
.
The
#ICJ
's ruling changes nothing "on the ground" until external interests (
#Soma
oil and gas,
#Norway
and other ne'er-do-wells) get involved. Expect
#Kenya
to purchase more naval and coast guard vessels, and keep an eye on
#Qatari
and
#Italian
interests in the disputed blocks.
My latest
@TrendsRA
report on the Macawisley in
#Somalia
. I answer why they have had success against
#Alshabab
and the nature of their relationship with Somalia's Federal Government.
What's going on anyway? Seems Washington will pick a fight with its
#NATO
ally,
#Turkey
, over the
#Kurds
in
#Syria
but can't bring itself to send officials to
#Somaliland
and, in the process, disappoint
#Somalia
's illegitimate president and his cadre.
AUKUS: Resetting the European Thinking on Indo-Pacific? will be moderated by my friend and colleague,
@jppjagannath1
and hosted by
@ISDP_Sweden
. A most timely and interesting topic. Register here:
#Japan
converted its helicopter
#aircraftcarriers
to
#F35B
carriers for tangible military benefits. We argue the carriers' symbolic value for political ends was an equally important factor in our new article "Unraveling Japan’s aircraft carrier puzzle."
Honored to be invited to speak about "Defining the Indo-Pacific" at Harvard University’s Harvard College Project for Asian and International Relations (HPAIR) annual conference. So happy to be included on a panel with my good friend,
@MAHijarChiapa
Today is
#SomalilandElections2021
for seats in the House of Representatives & on local gov't councils. This is the 8th time
#Somaliland
's citizens have gone to the polls since 1991, when they revoked the union with
#Somalia
, which hasn't had a single general election since 1969.
I'm honored to be invited to
@ispionline
's "Between Africa and the Middle East: Geopolitical Competition in the Red Sea," organized by
@ItalyMFA
and part of Rome
#MED2021
. Please register here:
Check out the new special edition of Rising Powers Quarterly, Volume 3, Issue 2: The "Indo-Pacific" - Regional Dynamics in the 21st Century's New Geopolitical Center of Gravity, co-edited by
@cannon_brendon
and Ash Rossiter.
Last week's
@UniofSeychelles
conference delved into the complexities of
#great
#power
#rivalry
, international
#polarity
, and strategies for small states in navigating
#geopolitics
. Hosted by the James R. Mancham Institute for Peace and Diplomacy, this was a groundbreaking event.
@jppjagannath1
yet again offers cogent insights into the nature of and impetus for the "Quad Plus." Excellent analysis. U.S.-China Competition and Washington’s Case for ‘Quad Plus’
Great article by
@jppjagannath1
in which he presciently highlights that "For India, as important as defense ties with Russia may be, they cannot help meet its China challenge..." India is certainly testing the limits of tightrope diplomacy.
Much-needed commentary for
@ispionline
that I had the pleasure of writing with
@fededonelli
on
#Turkey
's role, in tandem with other state and non-state actors, in the release of Silvia Romano.
"Foreign State Influence and Somalia's 2017 Election: An Analysis, my latest article as published in Bildhaan: An International Journal of Somali Studies.