Avraham Eisenberg Profile
Avraham Eisenberg

@avi_eisen

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1,072
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Applied game theorist. blog occasionally at , formerly "not ... a very serious person" - Scott Alexander

Joined October 2014
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
How our team makes millions in crypto risk-free
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
The other day I deployed a shitcoin called Mango Inu and did absolutely no promotion. It got over 250k invested/gambled in like a half hour. We're still so far away from the bottom. (to be clear if you buy this you will definitely lose all your money)
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
if you're 25-30 and your main circle isn't talking about Market making illiquid shitcoins Insider trading Wash trading nfts Shorting ponzis It's time to get yourself a new circle
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
I DO NOT ALLOW @elonmusk or any other Elon related person to use my photos, information, messages or tweets, both in the past and in the future.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Statement on recent events: I was involved with a team that operated a highly profitable trading strategy last week.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Couple more liquidations then up only
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
So guys are there lending protocols on Aptos
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
I've been advised aave is perfectly safe so here's the potential trading strategy. Not financial or legal advice, but if you do make 9 figures on this feel free to send a tip Note that starting with more initial capital increases success odds and profit percentage
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Some reading material this holiday season: 1. Moral Heuristics and the Ends/Means Distinction by Barbara Fried 2. Domestic Partner Benefits: A Case Study by Barbara Fried 3. Facing Up To Risk by Barbara Fried 4. Against Empathy by Barbara Fried 5. Beyond Blame by Barbara Fried
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
If you bought Bitcoin at 69k and held your own keys, you'd be down 75%, while if you bought USDC and gave it to Voyager you could sell your claim now and be down only 60% (less, because you'd also get interest). Lesson: never self custody. Not your keys, not your problem.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Are my followers in the 6%
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Where were you during the epic Asians vs Jews 5d chess war of the decade of November 2022
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
If you work hard and study you too can create deploy and rugpull a basic BNB shitcoin
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
You wake up. It was all a dream. Caroline found $8B in a properly labelled fiat account and took FTT private at $22. Genesis just raised their USDC rates to 12%. Weth is still pegged. Sam closes on the voyager deal at the picobottom then everyone max bids. Life is good.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Shooting my shot
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
time to do a lil insider tradoooooring
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
@sheikhswampert @spreekaway @inversebrah What are you gonna do, arrest me?
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
CZ gonna lose like 200m in slippage from selling it all in two days and will get billions in marketing from Alabama liquidations, highly profitable trade indeed
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
>they still think we're getting another cycle
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Hypothetically, someone demonstrates a profitable trading strategy on Aave V2 in Minecraft chain. They show how you can turn $100M into $200M, and possibly into $500M. How much should Aave pay them?
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
It's kind of amazing that most of the big exchanges were able to release cryptographic proof of reserves in like two weeks, actually pretty bullish for the space
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Serious mode, should I go buy a small exchange and run it, I think I could do better tweets than SBF and also not lose embarrassing amounts of money while bragging about how good our risk engine is Any of the smaller exchanges looking to exit?
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
someone DMed me asking for the code, I used to create it, honestly gud project
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
hear me out
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
First off, we did indeed move all the tokens and swap into eth and DAI
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
As a result of this agreement, once the Mango team finishes processing, all users will be able to access their deposits in full with no loss of funds.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
@nope_its_lily "It is not illegal to be smarter than your counterparties in a swap transaction, nor is it improper to understand a financial product better than the people who invented that product." - based federal judge Richard Sullivan Not legal advice
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
WTB FTX accounts with Bahamas KYC, DMs open
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Still pretty wild that Alex Mashinsky hasn't been arrested yet when he ran a Ponzi that was billions in the hole and marketed directly to US retail
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Who wanna make $199
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Simple way to make lending protocols more robust: Store a rolling 24 hour historical oracle price. For liquidations, use the current price, but for opening new positions it has to be valid under both the current and old price.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Taking the day off to spend time with family, hope y'all behave yourselves
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Really dodged a bullet there huh
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
"don't let the institutions steal your jpegs" is still the funniest joke of last cycle
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Preview of December headlines: Binance Wins Auction for FTX Chapter 11 Assets Binance Pulls Out of FTX Deal After Regulatory Scrutiny CZ Denies Rumors of Binance Insolvency Binance Halts Withdrawals, Citing FUD Tether Signs LOI To Acquire Binance Binance Files Chapter 11
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Exploring a bunch of stonks with mcap significantly below liquid assets. Should I buy a bunch of some of them and take over a couple companies? Looks fun. Might put together a blog post about the most interesting targets.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
If I were CZ right now I'd be buying lots of FTT at $20 and then call up Alabama tomorrow and hit the $22 bid I'm available for consulting if you want more fire tips like "maybe don't baghold an obvious scam like Luna from 1.6B to 0" @cz_binance
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Saw this highly profitable trading strategy on vacation and had to share it with everyone
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Ok I've deployed all my content and will now be rugpulling my timeline (aka taking a break from Twitter)
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Btw another group has confirmed my aave analysis
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
(sadly the bots frontran the liq pull and I forgot to use flashbots so I only made like 100k instead of 250k for a half hour of work)
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Remember when @0xHamz called Waves the biggest ponzi in crypto because they stole $500M+? Turns out he was wrong and they were only like the 8th biggest Behind Luna, FTX, 3AC, Genesis, Celsius, Voyager, and BlockFi
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
You're laughing. People are getting rekt holding unbacked WETH and you're laughing.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
milady gang endorsing piracy in the DMs, incredibly based tbh
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
few
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
I believe all of our actions were legal open market actions, using the protocol as designed, even if the development team did not fully anticipate all the consequences of setting parameters the way they are.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
can anyone explain why all the big exchanges will give you lower fees if you keep large amounts of assets on exchange much solvent, confidence inspiring, wow (binance, okx, gate, kucoin respectively)
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
idly wondering if any other teams made a token and then borrowed against a 9 figure position
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Congrats everyone you sure did it, there's no way they'll regulate crypto now, great job
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
>be me >make a shitpost subtly advocating murder >everyone plays along, much engagement wow >make a post suggesting it's not a law of the universe that computer coin numba go up forever >get viciously attached
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Never do crimes with the daughter of a game theorist
@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
8. Are Some Mutual Fund Managers Better than Others? Cross‐Sectional Patterns in Behavior and Performance by Glenn Ellison 9. Cooperation in the Prisoner's Dilemma with Anonymous Random Matching by Glenn Ellison
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Putin about to run a highly profitable trading strategy
@CoinDesk
CoinDesk
2 years
Crypto predictions site @PolymarketHQ is accepting bets on whether Russia will use a nuclear weapon by 2023 amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. Currently, if you bet $1 on “Yes” and Russia uses nukes, you’d win $17. By @NelWang
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Friendly reminder that Alameda recently took out a $16.5M loan from Aave with absolutely no intention of repaying on ETHW. ETHW Aave LPs are completely rekt. According to @SBF_FTX 's proposal, they shouldn't be allowed to keep *any* profits until users are made whole. Wen?
@lookonchain
Lookonchain
2 years
Alameda received 20M $USDC from FTX exchange and deposited into AAVE to borrow 10,000 $ETH ($16.5M) out. Is Alameda waiting for the ETH airdrop? #alameda #EthereumMerge #ethw
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
update: bigblackpenis.eth has purchased some Mango Inus
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Remember when Vitalik didn't like someone's Ethereum transactions so he convinced a majority of miners to hardfork to prevent anyone with interacting with their address, good times
@VitalikButerin
vitalik.eth
1 year
This is really bad imo
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
On the plus side I hear FTX volumes were very high this week so the weekly FTT burn should be nice
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
This is similar to how auto deleveraging works on exchanges such as Binance and Bitmex, clawing back some profits from profitable traders in order to ensure all users funds are protected.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
To remedy the situation, I helped negotiate a settlement agreement with the insurance fund with the goal of making all users whole as soon as possible as well as recapitalizing the exchange.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Unfortunately, the exchange this took place on, Mango Markets, became insolvent as a result, with the insurance fund being insufficient to cover all liquidations. This led to other users being unable to access their funds.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Twitter view counts are ruthless lol
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
One of my pet peeves is people complaining about being "hunted", aka the market realizing they were deeply leveraged and therefore overvalued. All of their positions are likely even lower now, they just bet wrong (with 3.5B of other people's money.)
@KyleLDavies
Kyle 🐂
1 year
@ledgerstatus I’m a trader running the most successful fund in crypto. My job is to take risk and invest. If 2 top 10 coins go to zero, rest down 80%+, and one of our largest exchanges uses our own funds leaking our positions to liquidate the final leg, it is going to be hard to stay afloat.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
14. The New Market in Corporate Tax Shelters by Joseph Bankman 15. An Academic’s View of the Tax Shelter Battle by Joseph Bankman 16. Cash Businesses and Tax Evasion by Joseph Bankman
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
aahhhhhh im captuuuuuring convexiiiiity
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Some updates - Bahamas withdrawals appear to be paused as of several hours ago - I'm interested in buying ftx funds, if you reached out before please do so again with size. My current bid is 15c, minimum 1M.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Salaries $100 Effective altruisms $300 Loans to affiliated entities against FTT $10,000,000,000 Rent $500 Can someone who is good at the economy help me my exchange is dying
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
10. Should Foundations Give Now or Later? There Is No Right Answer by Joseph Bankman 11. The Tax Shelter Problem by Joseph Bankman 12. Modeling the Tax Shelter World by Joseph Bankman 13. Substitutes For Insider Trading by Joseph Bankman
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
@brian_armstrong @twobitidiot Gm ser why are your bonds trading at 50c on the dollar
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
NOT ADVICE, OF ANY KIND, IN ANY WAY I WAS NOT VERY CAREFUL WITH MY WORDS HERE, AND DO NOT MEAN ANY OF THEM IN A TECHNICAL OR LEGAL SENSE; I MAY WELL HAVE NOT DESCRIBED THINGS RIGHT though I'm trying to be transparent. I'M NOT A GOOD DEV AND PROBABLY MISDESCRIBED SOMETHING.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
@zerohedge @cmsholdings Someone should tell JPM about Luna, Solend, Waves, etc
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
"Ahhh im self custodyiiiiiiing" - Maxis who are down 75%
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
6. Is as Ought: The Case of Contracts by Barbara Fried 7. What’s Morality Got to Do With It? by Barbara Fried 8. The Limits of a Nonconsequentialist Approach to Torts by Barbara Fried 9. The Limits of Personal Responsibility by Barbara Fried
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
people in glass houses and all that
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
usdc and busd are lowkey goated when proof of sufficient reserves is the vibe
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Unrelated, anyone have 250M+ and looking to hire prop defi traders, my DMs are open
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
*sigh* fine let's start the bidding, I'm 80c bid on no binance insolvency in the next month, any takers
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
nothing like regular amphetamine use to make you appreciate how dumb a lot of normal, non-medicated human experience is
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
"Alameda shorted the top" look if they were that smart they would be solvent and not in prison
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
I would simply not borrow billions of dollars to degen lever long obvious ponzis but I suppose that's why I wasn't running the most successful fund in crypto
@KyleLDavies
Kyle 🐂
1 year
@ledgerstatus I’m a trader running the most successful fund in crypto. My job is to take risk and invest. If 2 top 10 coins go to zero, rest down 80%+, and one of our largest exchanges uses our own funds leaking our positions to liquidate the final leg, it is going to be hard to stay afloat.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
In retrospect we should have seen the red flags
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
NOT ADVICE, OF ANY KIND, IN ANY WAY I WAS NOT VERY CAREFUL WITH MY WORDS HERE, AND DO NOT MEAN ANY OF THEM IN A TECHNICAL OR LEGAL SENSE; I MAY WELL HAVE NOT DESCRIBED THINGS RIGHT though I'm trying to be transparent. I'M NOT A GOOD DEV AND PROBABLY MISDESCRIBED SOMETHING.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
The big brain gymnastics to think that half of crypto being a giant ponzi filled with crime akshually pushed the price down are incredible. People straight up stole tens of billions in retail cash and used to buy crypto. That absolutely led prices to be higher than otherwise.
@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
@0xMogluc @Nakamotolisk @IT_AIRmass Both wrong - all the big lenders attracted lots of stables. Luna straight up bought 3B in BTC, plus the wealth effect of people owning UST which should have been marked to 0 led to the majors pumping higher which is why they crashed when Luna fell
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Serious question, how many of you have brokerage accounts with funds to actually do anything I feel like there's a bunch of people happy to ape millions into shitcoins that don't even know how to buy stonks Maybe I should just start avidao for this?
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
@amberXBT talked to someone who would deploy coins, add liq, and rug right after the bots bought, was a good low capacity strat last year when the bots bought anything that moved
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
The discord currently making a market on what letter Sam will tweet next
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
@alexeyguzey "black and white 2d wire drawing of a bicycle"
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Looks like the oracle used spot price and a flashloan moved price on the curve LP, enabling borrowing the max at a higher valuation. Basic stuff, surprised anyone even bothered for 200k tbh, real bera vibes
@peckshield
PeckShield Inc.
2 years
Hi, @QiDaoProtocol , you may want to take a look:
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Looks like the SEC saved Coinbase users here. Imagine how much worse contagion would be if Coinbase was lending out billions of users funds, given the, um, median performance of the crypto lending industry this year.
@scottmelker
The Wolf Of All Streets
1 year
Coinbase approached the SEC about offering a 4% yield product. They received no clarity. Instead they received the threat of litigation. Meanwhile, Celsius, Voyager and BlockFi were allowed to offer 10%+ interest products while gambling with user funds. Good job, Gary.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
1) What
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
Seeing some wild probabilities on the timeline for FTX insolvency, anyone want to give me size? Proposed terms - FTX has suspended withdrawals for more than a 7 day period by end of 2022. I'll bet unlimited size at 80% on No; propose better odds, subject to escrow depending who
@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
@Nakamotolisk how much size would you bet and at what odds?
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
We're reaching cope levels that shouldn't even be possible
@gametheorizing
Jordi Alexander
1 year
You glance at the top rankings: ** 1. Terra UST Price : $1.00 Market Cap: $3802.24 Billion **2. Luna LUNA Price :$2385.24 Market Cap: $1992.44 Billion **3. Bitcoin BTC Price: $69,420.00 Market Cap: 1292.39 Billion
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
excited to preorder my Solana phone
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
On Coindesk TV today, @sasha35625 argued that despite USDN being way "underbacked" by Waves, unspecified changes to the "algo" will ensure it won't go the same way as Luna. Is his size size? Let's see if he'll take a 10M even money bet. cc @cobie @AlgodTrading @GiganticRebirth
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
OKX has been down for 3 hours, cool cool cool cool cool
@okx
OKX
1 year
There is currently an intermittent connection error with our cloud provider which is affecting the user experience. Our dev team is resolving it with them. Funds are safe. Sorry for any inconvenience caused. 🙏
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Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
As the saying goes, Crypto Twitter has predicted 8 of the last 3 bank runs
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
. @elonmusk I hear you're a fan of dogecoin and bailing out large tech companies that are losing billions, have I got the deal for you
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
2 years
This statement I inform $TWTR that it is strictly prohibited to disclose, copy, distribute or take any other action against me based on this account and / or its contents. This account content is private and confidential information.
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
I caught several of the other scams this year (Luna, Waves, various insurance protocols etc) but will admit the FTX stuff caught me by surprise. I'll always call it how I see it, though. I'll continue to call out scams, I don't care about protecting dealflow.
@GwartyGwart
Gwart
1 year
Somehow the most surprising thing to me *still* is the number of big brain thinkers and influencers who are now coming out and thinking that saying “knew it” makes them look good. I want someone to say “ya it was a massive scam but we were afraid our deal flow may take a hit.”
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@avi_eisen
Avraham Eisenberg
1 year
Guy who sells all his Bitcoin because the ECB told him to
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