Our latest edition of "a few things we learned" is out!
Deck available at > research or . We hope it gives you some insights to navigate these somewhat expensive markets.
It's that time of the year again. Presenting - a few things we learned - 1Q'2021 edition. The full presentation available at . In case this is useful to your twitter followers, please re-tweet.
My dear friend, Carlos Kirjner (
@carlos_kirjner
), passed away this week after a battle with cancer. My heart is heavy today, but I post this on twitter because I know a lot of
#fintwit
know him directly or indirectly.
$TWLO beast mode. "we delivered more than $2.8B in revenue for the year, growing 61% year-over-year, and 42% on an organic basis. In late 2020, we stated our confidence in delivering 30%+ organic revenue growth over four years.....we reiterate that confidence for the next 3 yrs"
$DASH is by far the best run on-demand business in the world. Textbook case of disciplined, unit economics focused execution, scale economies kicking in, increasing market share, and missionary management team obsessed with consumer experience.
No greater joy to give back to an alma mater that gave us our start -
@anuhariharan
and I are so grateful to Virginia Tech and to be in a position to pay it forward to a deserving student.
@OctahedronCap
is hiring 2-4 interns this summer to join the team in San Francisco. Ideally our newest colleagues work with us in SF, but similar to 2020, we will also host remote interns.
I remember the day we were taking bets 8 years ago as to what price BABA would close at on the day 1 IPO pop. In no conceivable scenario would I have imagine this.
$BYTE is likely to be one of the few defining companies of our generation, and likely the first global Chinese internet company. Super grateful that we had the chance to invest in them in 2017 - that single investment played a material role in putting
@OctahedronCap
in business
ByteDance revenues
2018: $7.4B
2019: $17B (129% YoY)
FB revenues
2013: $7.9B
2014: $12.5B (58% YoY)
2015: $17.9B (43% YoY)
Not that it's a secret, but ByteDance is on an incredible trajectory. This is truly elite company.
Tried the Oculus 2 earlier today. Outside of a slight headache after using it for 30 mins - I don't think I can do back to regular video watching. Talk about a transformational device.
It's that time of the year again. Presenting - a few things we learned - 2Q'2021 edition. The full presentation available at . In case this is useful to your twitter followers, please re-tweet.
1/ As we enter 2023, I hope that our quarterly insights deck - "A Few Things We Learned" gives you the clarity you need to make sense of an increasingly complex investing environment for technology companies.
@patrick_oshag
We hire exclusively for four "uncoachable" traits
- a deep love for learning
- evidence of persistence / grit
- work ethic
- givers vs. takers
Heart breaking to see the number of tweets from the homeland asking for blood and plasma donations. We've fcked up the COVID-19 response in epic fashion.
Other episodes in the queue:
Pinduoduo
Moderna
F1
Facebook
As for Invisalign, someone said “Wow. I can't believe I listened to an hour about clear aligners and enjoyed myself.” 😂
The lesson we keep learning: every business is interesting if you dig in
$NFLX. Not just content costs / sub likey to decline but content production costs / hr are also likely to decline, creating likely massive margin expansion
An affordable hack on Doordash - "Local chefs". Portioned meals for $9 each (affordable). Ordered a few boxes today, each one excellent thus far. Hearing that the product is en fuego in Houston and catching fire in the bay area. This is smart.
Our final episode of Business Breakdowns launch week: Alibaba
I’m joined by guest host
@ClaireThielke
to interview
@_ram_
on this fascinating company and ecosystem
We cover Alibaba’s unique history and structure. Lots for western world to learn
Enjoy!
$PTON. Commercial. Tread. Bike. New products. New distribution channels. New geos. Apparel. Looks / feels like an internet-scale platform in progress, time will tell. h/t
@keylargofoley
Peloton Commercial is off to the races! This is going to be HUGE for us. Hospitality partners in North America & Europe can now purchase a full suite of equipment to create the world’s best connected fitness experience.
I still cannot believe that this website trades at 9x 22 sales and 3% 22 FCF yield. As
@modestproposal1
puts it eloquently "twitter remains undefeated". $TWTR. $UBER. $TKWY.
It's that time of the year again. Presenting - a few things we learned - 2Q'2021 edition. Full presentation at . In case this is useful - please re-tweet. A fantastic compilation from the team
@OctahedronCap
:
@chrishuskey
,
@albertjchiang
and
@LastDon_10
.
When companies like Matterport and Hippo (rumored) are taking the SPAC route with quality sponsors - it's a reason to be open minded on SPACs. I love
@Post_Market
's point on the sponsor matching their lock-up to 5 year projections. Immediate tell.
The entire India tech ecosystem will remember this day (and zomato's IPO as a close second) as an inflection point. And so many more to come. Well done
@mobhat
and team.
$GOOGL
@JeffDean
's talk at Rice University was excellent. It's a <2hr listen on the history of the advances of ML that has brought us to today, the power of Gemini and industry trends from a man in the know.
If NYC / Boston $UBER prices are any indication - ride segment profitability could drive the overall business to FCF profitability sooner than people expect....
Spent a few hours delivering for
@UberEats
. 1. SF is an absolutely beautiful town. 2. Restaurant workers were incredibly nice, every time. 3. It was busy!! - 3:24 delivering out of 3:30 online. 4. I'm hungry - time to order some 🍔🍟🍺
My conversation with
@anuhariharan
on growth investing:
- winner take all businesses
- hardware vs. software
- international opportunities
- sectors primed for transformation
Anu is awesome. Please enjoy!
Finally -- this $DASH letter is worth reading 2x.
Right up there with $SQ in the level of color and quality detail given to investors - wish other companies followed this philosophy.
Nicely done
@t_xu
@PrabirAdarkar
@gokulr
#RaviInukonda
and team.
the difference in communication between founder led companies ($AMZN, $FB) and professional management ($GOOGL) could not me more stark this Q1. No criticism either way, simply an observation.
As we close out a volatile 2023, I hope that our latest edition of "a few things we learned" helps you plan for the year ahead.
Deck available at > research
or
Happy holidays everyone, and wishing all a successful - and…
$DASH has earned the right via execution, $UBER needs to earn that right. A well executing $UBER is great for consumers. Been fortunate to observe
@t_xu
over the years esp. through his tough times - he's going to be one of the defining entrepreneurs of our generation.
That’s a wrap on
@twilio
’s Q3 2021 earnings! Reported $740M revenue, up 65% y/y with Segment, and 131% expansion! Thank you to our customers, partners, and Twilions worldwide… It’s an honor to build for you, and with you!
A Few Things We Learned, AMJ'23
As excitement about the possibilities of generative AI reaches fever pitch, we hope that our work helps you frame your thinking and focuses you on what matters in technology.
Happy 4th of July for all those celebrating!
woah, $NFLX. - "Netflix is a true utility. If you're cutting the cord, before you buy Disney Plus and Hulu, you're buying Netflix, so it's water in the tap"