If you're looking for a way to honor the amazing
@HedgeyeSnakeye
, look no further than a foundation near and dear to his heart.
Thank you to all members of
@Hedgeye
Nation that have reached out today. it has meant more than you know!
🚀 Join us TODAY at 1 PM ET for an eye-opening webcast! 🌐📈
Why Longer-Term Investors Are Buying Japan (Not China) ()
🇯🇵 vs. 🇨🇳: Uncover the economic tale of two giants! While Japan gears up for
#Quad1
growth, China faces
#Quad4
recession. 📉💹
🔍 Dive…
David and I will be in Vegas next week, Charlotte October 4th and Toronto November 30th. If interested in a one-on-one with us around those dates/locations, please send sales
@hedgeye
.com a note requesting such. Working on coordinating a more casual dinner/cocktail event as well.
I'm grateful to my Hedgeye colleague Emma Vlasic for hosting this session and to our Sales and Media teams for making it happen. Follow on inquiries welcomed and encouraged via Sales
@hedgeye
.com.
60 more likes and Alex will receive $100 from
@Hedgeye
/
@KeithMcCullough
for his B-Day...like the original tweet below and let's show Alex the appreciation
#HedgeyeNation
has for all members of the team!!
It’s Alex Ledda’s birthday today. Who’s Alex Ledda you ask? He’s one of the unsung heroes on our sales/customer service team.
Let’s make his birthday extra special.
For every 10 “likes” we’re giving Alex $1 dollar. Get to work
#HedgeyeNation
😊
The hits keep coming, baby!
We'll start to release these weekly
#SectorHeadSpotlight
discussions to the public, as well.
I had the pleasure of reviewing
@HedgeyeRetail
's background, process and sector outlook this week!! (sneak peek of the outlook 👇)
Apologies for the last minute cancellation of
#WeeklyNotebookReview
, but my daughter has a fever and my wife needs my help. We will be back at it next week!
🌟 Mark your calendars! Join
@KeithMcCullough
&
@JamesGRickards
on Feb 15, 2024, for an exclusive
@Hedgeye
webcast. Dive deep into the future of markets & strategies for success. Don't miss this dynamic duo in action! Register now & secure your spot.
🔗
HL = Higher Low
HH = Higher High
LH = Lower High
LL = Lower Low
B = Big (aka BHL = Big Higher Low)
DoD = Day over Day
WoW = Week over Week
FX = Currency
FI = Fixed Income
EQ = Equities
TRR = Top End of Risk Range
LRR = Low End of Risk Range
Hope that Helps! :)
@KeithMcCullough
just announced the most unbelievable news for one of the most deserving teammates ever
@HedgeyeREITs
- Honored to be on this team and massive congrats goes out to my friend, Rob, as well as the other two puck winners tonight!!
#OneForAllAndAllForOne
I know its fun to dunk on $AMZN & $AAPL tonight, but they are simply inventory within bearish trade and trend signals. IMO tonight should be about preparing for the next play - $ULTA $TXG $PEB $KMB $RY $SYY are simply just a few that could be next up.
#GrindTime
@Hedgeye
Nation!!
We are squarely in the chop bucket for both our long and short exposures at the moment. If you're not into managing the portfolio aggressively, remember that cash is a position and a decision not to act is, in fact, an action.
On a side note,
@KeithMcCullough
was on a call today around lunch time that I only briefly overheard and desperately wanted to be silently listening in on - I bloody LOVE my new seat!!
Pencils down...Hope you executed appropriately! On an unrelated market note, we had a content meeting today and the pipeline/ideas is most definitely "bullish trade, trend and tail" -- watchout world!!
@Hedgeye
Good news - Secured our “new” family car tonight just in time for our trip to see my family in Canada for the holidays!!
Was not an ideal situation, given the unforeseen engine trouble w/ the Volvo, but like markets got to deal w/ the current situation and not the one you want.
My colleague, Ryan Ricci, published a phenomenal summary in this morning's
#EarlyLook
from
@Hedgeye
where he highlights some global macro data released this week that's screaming
#GlobalRecession
. Snippet below...
#PayAttention
!!
Good morning! Enjoyed the
#MarketChatter
discussion with
@Mike_Taylor1972
last night. If you missed it, check it out below and have an absolutely brilliant Friday!
Better
#PayAttention
because the retail team is about to deliver it this week. Earnings galore plus...
🚨 This Friday: Don't miss a groundbreaking session with Marcus Lemonis,
@AlderLaneEggs
& the
@Hedgeye
Retail team! 🕛 Time TBA tomorrow. Dive deep into Retail, $BYON, &…
#WeekendGrind
- Saturday night spent 3 hrs reviewing “stuff” and been at it since about 8:30 this morning preparing for the week ahead. Shifting to family time shortly, but will be back.
If you haven’t read Friday’s
#EarlyLook
, make it a priority today.
#LFG
@Hedgeye
Nation!
The $SPX low of the day was 38 cents above the refreshed LRR from Floki (aka
@KeithMcCullough
) -- talk about a thing of fractal beauty!
Plus, the Red Eye was put back on around 4435...that's ~75bps of alpha in about an hour.
Good morning!
Deceleration in volume on the up move across most US Equities yesterday while the $VIX put in a new 1M & 3M closing low.
Notice the complacency creeping into $XLB $XLC $XLK after yesterday’s move ↗️, especially $XLK with an IVOL (-) of -24% while probing TRR.
VERY important coaching note out of
@KeithMcCullough
in that last
#RTA
-- Fade your Feelings and Execute on your Process...its the reason we put in all the long hours so that we don't have to "think" in the moment.
#PayYourself
Here’s a spicy nugget from an internal research note from
@HedgeyeUSA
delivered to my inbox earlier this morning. The entire
@hedgeye
Team is chalk full of
#Beasts
!!
Good morning!
Some IVOL (-)s showing up on the board this AM including EWJ at -15% (a -1.5x TTM z-score). That’s a sell some Japan signal on green today as the Nikkei continues to positively diverge from the rest of Asian equities. Note, consensus remains short Japan w/ a…
$VIX taking out the 1 month high from August of 17.21 today with the 3 month high sitting at 17.90.
Also, went Bullish Trend on the pin sheet this AM.
Risk happens slowly and, then, all at once!
Pay attention and stick with YOUR process.
If you missed this real conversation this week, make sure you watch it over the course of the next few days. It was an absolutely brilliant discussion reviewing current market dynamics/flows between two real pros
@profplum99
@KeithMcCullough
!
This conversation between
@KeithMcCullough
and Mike Green
@profplum99
today is the most insightful (and actionable) investing discussion you'll watch this month.
Full stop.
Get free access to this webcast:
Good morning! Consensus remains massively net short US Treasuries while we are primarily in “wait & watch” mode (long $IEF small) with the US10Y signaling Neutral Trend and the $MOVE accelerating to 145 as of late. Have a great day!
Good Morning! Selling some Gold and Silver yesterday was a good idea. Buying some $BNDD was too with the US10Y + US30Y down this AM after trading pretty close to TRR yesterday. $XLY & $XLRE both have slight IVOL discounts and we like them short side at TRR. Have a great day!
Appreciate all the wonderful feedback on our conversation with
@Mike_Taylor1972
yesterday.
As a special thank you, I coordinated with the team to provide all members of
@Hedgeye
Nation (whether existing clients or new) with
#Free
access to our research for the next 30-days!…
Here we go…
See y’all after market close with a special guest appearance from
@Mike_Taylor1972
providing
@Hedgeye
Nation with an update to what he’s seeing within the Global Investing landscape.
@KeithMcCullough
with an UNREAL
#RTA
walking us through some market dynamics that are occurring right now. Note, we are 3.5 hrs into our annual all company meeting. We cherish/support each other and love every member of
@hedgeye
Nation!
#LFG
Price sorted by 3M returns --> Counter trend rallies in $XLE $XLRE $XLF while $XLP $XLV $XLU maintain their Bullish trends.
Note, $XLRE got tagged short side by
@KeithMcCullough
in
#RTA
yesterday.
#WeekendWork
h/t
@KoyfinCharts
for the US Sectors Market Dashboard
$XLE biggest loser this past month (went bearish Trend Nov 7th). $XLK has been bullish Trend since Nov 7th and $XLU went bullish Trend Nov 15th. $XLF is back to neutral Trend this week just FYI.
Two of my absolute favorites
@profplum99
@KeithMcCullough
- Live at 11 AM EST!
WEBCAST | Hidden Forces Driving Markets: Mike Green 1-On-1 With Keith McCullough via
@hedgeye
It's simple...
#MustWatch
especially if you're truly interested in learning more about the underlying mechanics of the current investment landscape!! The
@t1alpha
team crushed this incredibly insightful conversation with
@KeithMcCullough
.
What REALLY Makes the Markets Move?
In this free Real Conversations webcast,
@KeithMcCullough
& the
@t1alpha
team remove the mystery behind that question.
"Nobody who's actually making markets and options has the time to be like, 'What do you think Coca-Cola's earnings are…
33.2 million Small businesses represent 99.9% of all businesses in the US - contribute ~ 45 to 50% of GDP. These businesses employ 500 or fewer employees
They will be laying off employees - you can count on it.
This is NOT bullish
Good morning! Consensus is short the US2Y, US5Y and US10Y.
Note, they significantly increased their short exposure to the US2Y this week by adding 108,494 contracts to the short side, which take total net exposure to a -2.17x 1Y z-score.
We remain in the higher for longer…
New slot, same format…but, with some bonus production content you’ll only find
@Hedgeye
!! Giving everyone plenty of notice for those who wish to participate live. Set a reminder for next week’s
#WeeklyNotebookReview
…this time during market hours!
#LFG
I really wish I wasn’t on a train with s*** Wifi right now.
@KeithMcCullough
hitting the
#RTA
buttons on core positions and I’m sitting here like it’s 1987 watching a ticker tape.
I got no idea and don't really care. Just got off 3 hours of calls and about to jump on another...Notice,
@KeithMcCullough
hasn't hit a single button in
#RTA
since 10:19 AM where he gave you not 1 but 2 longs to tuck into the portfolio.
#Patience
#PeaceOfMind
#Process
Perks of being in the
@Hedgeye
office:
1)
@KeithMcCullough
quickly pops over to tell me which $XLI puts he just bought 😉
2) Get to see Bob Rich’s draft cartoons
$XLY looks like one of the best full cycle core shorts on the board today. Near the TRR on below average Volume with an IVOL (-) with coach
@KeithMcCullough
short $AMZN within
#RTA
(one of $XLY‘s biggest components).
"The higher they take US Equity Beta (from here), the higher the probability that the US stock market crashes on what I'd call my immediate-term TRADE duration (3 weeks or less)..." - a quote from
@KeithMcCullough
delivered as a
#CoachingNote
within the last half hour.
#EXECUTE
@Mike_Taylor1972
's "Steps to the Bottom" from a
#WeeklyNotebookReview
in May 2022. We will review where we go from here on Monday, March 13th at 4:30 PM EST via Twitter Spaces.
Set a reminder and see you Monday!
Good morning!
$SPX up with Volume down and $VIX up while the US10/2YC makes new 1M closing lows at -60.5 bps (it’s even more inverted this morning down ~4bps).
Those similar sets aren’t screaming rainbows and sunshine.
Have a great day!
Holy cow...the LRR, on a Trend duration basis, for Bitcoin Miners is 👀 opening
@KeithMcCullough
!!
Who's ready to make serious 💰 this week/this month/this quarter/this year
@Hedgeye
Nation?!?!
I had a blast recording this 1-on-1 with
@KeithMcCullough
and look forward to potentially doing more of these with him in 2023. I’d highly recommend you spend some time this holiday season learning from a real pro!!
WATCH THIS
@KeithMcCullough
and
@HedgeyeRJM
discuss the origins of our GIP model, defining portfolio rules and the skills you need to be a successful investor.
Phenomenal conference today at the
#PrivateWealthForumSoutheast
!
We met some wonderful investors and provided compelling reasons to lean into the
@Hedgeye
#BetterWay
.
Now, we get to celebrate as a team and look forward to seeing many local members of
#HedgeyeNation
tomorrow!
As promised,
@Hedgeye
#ETFPro
updates in your inbox from
@KeithMcCullough
.
1) Removed 3 shorts
2) Added 5 longs + 1 short
These changes reflect our "Go Anywhere" Portfolio, as we made moves within Global equities, US equities, FX as well as the Commodities complex.
#LFG