Dr. Lucy Jones Profile Banner
Dr. Lucy Jones Profile
Dr. Lucy Jones

@DrLucyJones

161,876
Followers
69
Following
200
Media
3,504
Statuses

Seismologist, Founder of @dljcss , Author of The Big Ones (Doubleday), Viol Player. #MusicforClimateAction . @TempoAction Media requests go to my website

Southern California
Joined March 2014
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
Pinned Tweet
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The potential for increased weather disasters coming with climate change make the earthquake problem look small. My music on the data of the changing climate: In Nomine Terra Calens: In the name of a warming Earth via @YouTube
171
703
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
So the M6.4 was a foreshock. This was a M7.1 on the same fault as has been producing the Searles Valley sequence. This is part of the same sequence -
493
6K
13K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Like any quake, today's M7.1 has a 1 in 20 of being followed by something even bigger. Smaller quakes - M5s are likely and a M6 is quite possible.
331
5K
10K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
This is the same sequence. You know we say we 1 in 20 chance that an earthquake will be followed by something bigger? This is that 1 in 20 time
228
3K
8K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Yes. A M4.6 2 mi WSW of El Monte at 11:38. Almost the same location as the M5.9 Whittier Narrows earthquake in 1987
462
3K
7K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Yes, an earthquake. A M5.5 at the very southern end of the 2019 Ridgecrest aftershock zone. This is a large late aftershock - do you remember that I said these are common?
318
2K
6K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The sequence is decaying, and the decay rate is on the high side of average. So the probabilities of more aftershocks are dropping. In the next week, M4s are still certain, a couple of M5s are likely, but larger quakes are looking more improbable.
@DisastrousComms
Dr. Sara K. McBride 👠
5 years
Updated Aftershock Forecast (7:45 PDT, 7/6/2019): One more aftershock forecast update from the @USGS tonight (note the dropping of the probabilities) for the #RidgecrestEarthquake :
Tweet media one
5
83
175
155
2K
5K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Yes, we estimate that there's about a 1 in 10 chance that Searles Valley will see another M7. That is a 9 in 10 chance that tonight's M7.1 was the largest.
183
1K
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
27 years since the Northridge earthquake. Shaken awake at 4:30, I jumped up to go to work. My 7 yr old panicked - he had learned with the Landers quake that Mommy could be at work for days. So I took him with me & he mapped cracks in the office walls. Now he's in nuclear physics
96
356
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Thursday 3/19: US Covid19 cases at 10,000 Tuesday 3/24: US cases at 53,000 Doubling every 2 days. If this continues, we hit 1 million next week. But in California, cases increased from 910 to 2,450, doubling every 5 days. Maybe social distancing is slowing the virus down
147
1K
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The Idaho quake is not Yellowstone. It is over 200 miles away. Eruptions only happen when the magma moves from a chamber to the surface - and the small shaking from a quake that far away doesn't suddenly set all the magma moving.
171
904
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
Like #DrBiden , I learned that sometimes you need to add that "Dr.". In the 1980s, I had to dress in shorts and T-shirt to show I was a geologist. Nice clothes at Caltech meant you were a secretary.
49
413
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Fifty years ago I watched the launch with my aerospace engineer dad who had worked on part of the lunar module. He had taken me to see the spacecraft before it was sent to Florida. I became a scientist because of Apollo - and my dad.
@byrdinator
Haley Byrd Wilt
5 years
folks, there should be a Saturn V rocket projected onto the Washington monument every day
105
1K
7K
55
320
4K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
My son is getting his PhD in climate science and we compared our fields. Earthquakes become less frightening as you learn more about them. Climate change becomes more frightening as you learn more. What is coming scares me.
100
931
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
The M4.0 that just happened was under Lennox, CA, near Inglewood. Very deep at 20 km, so everyone is at least 20 km away. Would have been felt by most people awake in LA. Movement was thrust, probably not on any mapped fault
164
870
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
Still waiting for the "moment magnitude" (most accurate) for tonight's earthquake in Carson. Current estimate is M4.4. Location is just north of the 1933 Long Beach zone.
232
697
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
In the 2000s, I joined the CA Seismic Safety Commission. Using the Dr. meant quicker appointments with the legislators. In the 2010s, that Dr. led to policy makers willing to listen to me and work together for change. #DrBiden , I and every other PhD deserve to use our titles.
48
181
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
M6.4 on a strikeslip fault about 10 miles from Ridgecrest. Not the San Andreas fault. It is an area with a lot of little faults but no long fault
126
1K
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
9 months
Yes, we just had an earthquake. It looks like it was preceded by a small foreshock sequence(largest M2.5) that began Saturday morning
@CaltechQuake
Caltech Quake Bot
9 months
#AutoEQ A magnitude 5.0 (MI) #earthquake has occurred 4 mi SE of Ojai, CA at 14:41 PDT Aug 20, 2023 [2023-08-20 21:41 UTC]. #SCSN has not yet confirmed this event. For more info visit
7
72
170
113
739
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The M7.7 Jamaican quake produced sideways motion on the fault, so the tsunami risk is low. (Seafloor should move up to make tsunami.) But if I'm ever at the beach and feel strong shaking, I move to high ground. Downside is I lose a day at the beach. The upside could be my life.
47
1K
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Disasters break systems where they are already weak. Weak water pipes break in an earthquake. The pandemic is breaking our human system of American society where it was already failing
51
834
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
We have now recorded over 3,000 earthquakes in the Searles Valley sequence.
112
1K
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Still getting everything processed, but it was a pretty good jolt here in Pasadena
137
287
3K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Conquer your fear of earthquakes by making your home secure. Afraid of the ceiling fan? Get someone to wire it into the ceiling. Afraid of your house getting damaged? Get a foundation specialist to recommend strengthening. Empower yourself. @PauleyP
69
566
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The M4.5 quake at 10:33 pm was in the East Bay at 14 km depth. Because any quake can be a foreshock, there’s a slight increase in the chance of a bigger quake for the next few days, at the same location near the Calaveras fault
94
1K
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Science is a process for understanding reality. To say ‘The science should not stand in the way of this’ is to say that "reality should not stand in the way". Unfortunately, reality doesn't care if you believe in it or not.
93
617
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
I have an appointment for my first Covid vaccine next week! The end is imaginable
54
37
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
I just heard another of my mentors has been lost to Covid. Losing our elders to Covid is knowledge that will not be shared, advice that will not be given and love that will never again be bestowed. Epidemiologists have told us how to slow the spread. Why can't we listen?
80
378
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
A day or 2 after every big earthquake of my career, we hear rumors that an even bigger earthquake is going to happen, but we are denying it to avoid a panic. This rumor is no more true now than it was after Northridge, Landers or Hector Mine.
57
452
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
All of the quakes in Puerto Rico since Dec. 29 can be considered 1 earthquake sequence. Sequences come in different sizes and this is clearly an active one. More M5s are likely another M6 possible. It takes a while for a region to settle down after quakes have stressed it.
31
1K
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The focal mechanism just came in - East-striking thrust fault. Just like 1987
106
438
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 months
The M4.4 that just occurred in SoCal is near Lytle Creek in Cajon Pass, where the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults come together. In 1970, there was a M5.2 with a M4.0 foreshock in close to the same location
109
517
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
In the 1990s, all the Caltech/USGS seismologists were on TV explaining earthquakes. The women were called the "earthquake ladies". The men were called seismologists. I started using the Dr. to remind the reporters that women could be scientists too.
14
153
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Congratulations to Dr. Fauci for receiving Federal Employee of the Year. His selfless science in the public service is the ideal for which many of who have been in the federal government have worked.
@publicservice
The Partnership
4 years
👀 A few special guests joined #Sammies2020 to thank Dr. Anthony Fauci for his service. #FauciFan
20
199
620
39
258
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The swarm happening now south of the Salton Sea, near Westmoreland is over 30 km south of the end of the San Andreas. It is in the Brawley seismic zone, a common source of swarms. So far largest is M4.4. Too far from the San Andreas to change the probability of a quake on it.
72
497
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Parts of SoCal have power outages and wildfires. Imagine all of SoCal without power and with fires, disrupt the water supply, add aftershocks and you're starting to imagine what comes after the big San Andreas earthquake. #ShakeOut 2019 is a time to think about how to prepare
62
534
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
We’re having a Salton Sea swarm. It’s the fourth time since 2001. This is in the Brawley Seismic Zone about 12 km south of the end of the San Andreas fault
61
521
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
There is also always someone who claims they know a big quake is coming. This is not a scientific assessment.
49
223
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Hmm. This is missing an important part of the quote. I'm certain the probability of a big San Andreas event is 100% IF YOU GIVE ME ENOUGH TIME. In other words, plate tectonics isn't stopping. But it's possible the big one is still 100 years away.
@RetroJes
Jes C 🛸
5 years
“I am certain that the chance of a very big earthquake on the San Andreas Fault is 100%,” -⁦ @DrLucyJones
10
1
12
51
266
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
A M6.6 near Ridgecrest. The M4.2 a half hour before was a foreshock. This area had lots of M5+s in the 198os. More soon
113
825
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The 1987 M5.9 had no foreshocks. Its largest aftershock was M5.3 about 3 days later.
53
216
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The M6.9 in Indonesia has no impact on California. That size quake happens on average every few weeks. One quake triggers others nearby but at distances more than ~3x the length of the fault, we see no signal. A M6.9 affects about 60 miles out.
52
349
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
What does it mean? It means you live in California
31
287
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The #Ridgecrest earthquake is having a robust aftershock sequence. There have been 6 M4+ events and ~30 M3+ in the first 90 minutes. That means there will be plenty more aftershocks today.
63
756
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
In just 2.5hr Westmoreland swarm has had 45 quakes of M≥3.0. One of the largest swarms we have had in the Imperial Valley - and it is historically the most active swarms in SoCal.
70
513
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
We just had a M5.8 south of Lone Pine in the Owens Valley. It is the same location as the M4.6 two nights ago. That is now considered a foreshock
97
483
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The aftershocks to the #SearlesValley earthquake show that two faults are involved. One strikes northwest and the other northeast. You can see the aftershocks at
Tweet media one
62
726
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
People have been asking about the "earthquake" in LA around 9:20 this morning. Many people report feeling it but the seismograms clearly show the earth was not moving, only the air. So it was a sonic boom.
104
403
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
If the daily probability of the Big One was 50/50, then the chance it would happen in the next week would be >99%. Real probability is about 2% per yer, or 1/20,000 each day. Your change of being in a car accident today is ~1/7,000. I still wear my seat belt every day.
34
325
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
None of the earthquakes that have been happening in the Imperial Valley are anywhere near the San Andreas fault. They are in the Brawley Seismic Zone - a network of small faults that connect the San Andreas and Imperial faults. Historically largest Brawley event was M5.8
46
337
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
9 months
You can answer your own question. Look at this Twitter account. Look at how often it has predicted a big quake in California in the last 2 years. None of them have happened. Why should they suddenly be right now?
@lisalmn
Lisa Leeman
9 months
Dear @DrLucyJones - I just saw this on Twitter. Is it a possibility or a hoax? (Or I’m between?). Many thanks if you will weigh in.
Tweet media one
8
0
3
85
149
2K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
A M6.5 earthquake just happened in Idaho this evening, northeast of Boise. @USGS website is not showing aftershocks yet, but you should expect them. The largest aftershock to the average M6.5 is M5.3. Half have aftershocks even bigger than this
71
695
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
(1 of 2)Why you should not expect me to get up in the middle of the night for a M3+ quake: 1. A M3+ happens in SoCal a few times per week. I sleep 8 hr/day so I'd be disrupting my sleep ~1/wk 2. There's nothing interesting about another M3. They happen every week.
48
181
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
We are all dealing with the impact of the Corona virus and I though I’d share how, as a scientist, I think about the risk and my actions in response. First, I try to stay with the data. As data comes in, answers will change. That’s good science. 1/5
20
300
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 months
This quake is M4.2 2 miles SW of San Bernardino. Location is pretty deep (15 km) very close to the San Jacinto fault. That part of the fault is generally locked - it had a M7 in the 19th century. We often see small quakes like this below locked segments.
70
344
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
2 years
At noon on 1/17/1994, I said in a press conference that we would probably have a M5 aftershock that day - just because the rate of aftershocks was that high. When a M5.6 happened at 3:33pm, some thought I had predicted the event. I also predict it rains in Kauai every day
37
61
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Bigger quakes last for a longer time. The fault was producing energy for about 5 seconds. What you feel is that plus reverberations
39
338
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Repeat time. Quakes make other quakes more likely, but only nearby. Today's M4.9 fault is ~2 miles across, so it can affect quakes within ~5 miles. The only faults nearby are small. In other words, there is no scientific reason to predict a big quake in another location today
26
223
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
Preliminary M3.9 near Maywood, deep under the Los Angeles basin. Depth is 17 km which puts it near the bottom of the seismogenic layer
98
296
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
This Russian quake is not the type that usually produces a tsunami. It is deeper and smaller than the quakes that have made big trans-Pacific tsunamis.
@CPPGeophysics
Jascha Polet
4 years
M7.6 earthquake near the Kuril Islands appears to be a deep (~50 km) compressional bending event in the outer rise, where the subducting slab bends before it dives into the mantle, which reduces the likelihood of a significant tsunami
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
12
249
437
37
427
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Probability of being a foreshock dies off just like aftershocks do. One hour after the 1st quake, the chance is down from 5% to 4%. By tomorrow evening, it will be below 1%
@ReporterClaudia
Claudia Peschiutta
4 years
@kyoshino But doesn’t the probability drop over time, @DrLucyJones ?
1
3
6
30
254
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
2 years
With a tsunami advisory in effect, some reminders about what that means: 1. An advisory means expect waves of 1-3 feet, so a short term increase in sea level of 1-3 ft. If you are more than 3 feet above sea level it will not affect you. This is only an issue near the beach [1/2]
15
365
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
A M7.0 quake occurred near Acapulco tonight. The location and focal mechanism are consistent with being part of the plate boundary where the Cocos plate is goin under the North American plate. M7 is smaller than many subduction zones, but common in the Mexico subduction zone
26
333
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
Happy Mother's Day to the young professional mothers trying to balance everything. From a few decades experience, I say choose your time wisely. You need time to: -help your children grow -further your career -maintain your mental health. Choose wisely. You only get 2 of the 3
Tweet media one
30
93
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Most foreshocks are very close (a few km) to their mainshock, so we think there is some increase in risk when quakes happen within 10 km of the San Andreas. 1 km away would be much riskier than 10. Today's quakes are ~12 km away. I am not cutting my vacation short.
29
219
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
In Apollo, we came together, invested our taxes, supported innovation, achieved our goals & were so proud of the result. We must do all this to create the carbon neutral energy system we need to survive climate change. Whichever nations pull it off will lead the 21st century
22
247
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
No one ever said the vaccines were 100% effective. The vaccine reduces your chance of catching COVID if exposed. Wearing a mask reduces your chance of being exposed. Basic probability statistics says doing both makes you even safer.
52
262
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The definition of Southern California? Looking down the San Andreas fault to see the wildfire.
16
332
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
A little earthquake in Yorba Linda. M3.5 at 3:18 pm. Not on any of the big mapped faults. Just one of the little adjustments.
63
206
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The M4.3 at 4:30 has now been followed by 2 aftershocks above M3. The most recent is M3.8. Also ~50 other aftershocks so far. Episode 6 of my podcast is “What does it mean when you have a lot of earthquakes?”
36
379
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Tonight's quake more scientifically interesting. M4.6 north of Barstow, ~halfway between 2019 Ridgecrest and 1992 Landers faults. 1947 M6.5 Manix quake was ~30 miles east of tonight's quake. Occurred on an unmapped thrust fault. Only Barstow seems to care
78
261
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 months
The current California atmospheric river (AR) storm is not an ARkStorm. ARs are a type of storm that bring in much of the rain in California. ARkStorm is AR 1000(k), the very rare AR that lasts for so long that it overwhelms our flood control capacity. Learn more in thread
22
228
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 months
The New Years Day M7.5 in Japan caused strong shaking for many people, but because of strong, enforced building codes in Japan, the damage is much less than it could have been. The people on the Noto peninsula will have been hit the hardest. This thread explains more
@USGS_Quakes
USGS Earthquakes
4 months
Notable quake, preliminary info: M 7.5 - 42 km NE of Anamizu, Japan
21
469
771
13
285
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
. @Caltech operates the Mount Wilson seismic station. It has recorded all the important California earthquakes for 100 years. The #Bobcat fire threatens to destroy it today.
Tweet media one
36
443
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Although tonight's quake is in the same location as 1987 Whittier Narrows, it is not considered an aftershock because the aftershocks died off completely in less than 2 years. Mor about aftershocks and other facts of earthquake clustering in my podcast:
24
236
1K
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
I'll repeat that this is still a normal aftershock sequence. Little clusters of M3s = normal. Gradual expansion of the zone is normal. Each aftershock is relieving stress in some places and redistributing it to others. It might grow a few more miles - or not. Random is normal
41
170
980
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
For conspiracy theorists and numerologists out there, June 28 has had more significant California quakes than any other date: 1966 Parkfield M6.0, 1991 Sierra Madre M5.8, and 1992 M7.3 Landers.
20
128
949
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
6 years
Why Twitter is a difficult place to do science education: 1. Science should include WHY we know something to be true. That takes more than 280 characters. 2. Twitter rewards being popular. That is not the same as being true. Science is about what's true.
35
192
947
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Today’s quake are garden variety California quakes. In an area with lots of faults and both the 1994 Northridge and 1971 Sylmar quakes. The good [ordinary] life of the Golden State
32
293
947
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
The Lennox M4.0 also had a M3.0 foreshock and a bunch All the events are at the same deep depth
25
128
947
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 months
Completely unrelated to Japan, SoCal just had a M4.1 offshore from Palos Verdes. Not near any known fault. Way too small to even talk about tsunamis. Japan's M7.5 is 100,000 times bigger than a M4.1
48
211
962
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
9 months
There is no correlation between the earthquake and the tropical storm. Just a coincidence that is a good reminder that disaster resilience is a multi-hazard endeavor.
29
236
946
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
The possibility of a San Andreas quake AT ANY TIME should already be part of your planning or you shouldn't be in California.
25
199
921
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
A tsunami primer (1 of 6): Tsunamis begin when the shape of the seafloor changes suddenly. The water above the changed seafloor is pushed up, but then because it is a fluid, immediately falls down to both sides, creating the wave that moves towards shore
16
340
927
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
2 years
The quake sequence off Oregon is on the Blanco Fracture zone. I searched the catalog for M≥5 events in that region since 1980 and got 133 events (more than 3/yr). M5s on Blanco are very common and have never been followed by something on land. Plate tectonics in real time.
47
180
923
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
The M5.0 today is a Ridgecrest aftershock (remember we said a month ago that large, late aftershocks are common). It has its own aftershocks. So the next day or two should have a few M3s and has an increased (but still low) chance of another M5+
29
225
900
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
If you're asking if a quake prediction is legit: Look at the predictor's account. How many times have they posted a prediction? (Must be before the quake - postdictions don't count.) How many times did a quake actually happen? I haven't seen a legit one yet.
49
92
912
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
A tsunami warning has been issued because of the M8.1 for New Zealand. For Hawaii, we have a watch and nothing so far for California. We really are too far away. In the US, the alerts will always come from NOAA.
17
274
876
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
Quakes trigger other quakes nearby. no more than 3-4 times the length of their fault. A M7.0 might be able to trigger over 100 miles or so. No effect anywhere else. Alaska does not trigger California quakes and vice versa.
30
330
859
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
The moment magnitude is 4.3. The focal mechanism shows a strike-slip at 15 km depth.
40
162
861
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
6 years
Every quake has a few % chance of being followed by something larger. So tonight has a slightly greater chance of a big quake than other nights. If you are in bed when a big quake hits, often the safest thing to do is stay in bed and cover your head with a pillow
@SCEC
Statewide California Earthquake Center
6 years
We are now concluding social media updates for tonight's M4.4 near La Verne. If you have any questions, let us know. Thanks everyone for your interest in earthquake science and preparedness - stay safe! And if you feel any other earthquakes tonight (via ):
2
36
70
21
463
851
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
1 year
Well, a M4.2 in Malibu doesn’t shake Pasadena enough to wake anyone up. This is a similar location to the M5.2 that happened during the Rose Bowl game. That was felt in Pasadena with a “hmm, what was that? Do you think that was an earthquake?” Type of reaction
86
84
859
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
A pretty interesting day in the South Pacific. The M8.1 near Kermadec looks like a standard subduction interface event - the main plate tectonic boundary. The M7.4 at the same location ~2hrs earlier is clearly a foreshock. The M7.3 near New Zealand is 800km away, more ambiguous
16
283
835
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
June 28 Our favorite earthquake day in California: 6/28/1966: M6 Parkfield 6/28/1991: M5.8 Sierra Madre 6/28/1992: M7/3 Landers
90
187
832
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
4 years
Bigger earthquakes last for a longer time. A M6.5 is usually about 10 seconds. The great Chilean earthquake of 1960 was M9.5 and lasted for 11 minutes
54
190
826
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
5 years
People are talking about the “unprecedented” movement of the Garlock fault after the Ridgecrest quake. It’s true we haven’t seen this in the 30 years of modern geodesy on the Garlock fault. But we’ve seen it many times on the San Andreas & it has never caused a quake. 1/
24
224
812
@DrLucyJones
Dr. Lucy Jones
3 years
Tonight's swarm is closer to the San Andreas, but still not in "triggering range". All foreshocks in California have been within 10 km of their mainshock and most were within 3 km. This is still 20+ km away
22
146
830