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Deny Sullivan Profile
Deny Sullivan

@DenySully

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I tweet charts. M.A. Economics. Subscribe to my newsletter @

Halifax
Joined September 2012
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
“Luxury condos”
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@theJagmeetSingh
Jagmeet Singh
7 months
Who's messed up on housing more? Justin Trudeau or Pierre Poilievre? Both lost hundreds of thousands of affordable homes that went to developers. Both have deep ties to rich real estate investors. Neither can be trusted to fix this mess they've created.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 years
@mattyglesias @blakehounshell Biden is gonna reference it but say Black Brandon and it’s gonna be wild around here
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
10 months
New post: Japan's population has been shrinking for decades - it still build more homes than Canada
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
This kind of smart, boatable density is illegal to build in most Canadian cities
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
9 months
This is incredible. Housing minister @SeanFraserMP demanding Halifax allow 4-units, 4 storeys by right, more near the universities. That’s more housing supply across a lot of the city
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Quebec is Canada's last healthy housing market.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
FWIW about today's sprawl discourse, here's how far you can get by car in 1 hour *at night* from downtown Toronto. How much undeveloped suburb space is left in the orange?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
Huh, maybe all those business groups and chambers of commerce should've lobbied for more housing instead of years of arguing about parking and 3 cent gas taxes
@daniel_foch
Daniel Foch
2 months
Canadian businesses say housing crisis is forcing them to boost pay
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
Had a nightmare last night of a truly terrifying fourplex
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
DYK: Halifax has cut property tax rates by ~20% over the past decade? If you own a 500k home, that saves 1k/yr, if you own $10M portfolio, that saves 20k/yr. If you rent, that explains why the bus is always late
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
If we were 7 years into a recession with 10%+ unemployment, I’d be very receptive to economist-bashing. We’re years into a housing shortage (<3% vacancy), and many city planners seem to have not reconsidered…anything
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
Related - Texas outbuilt every Canadian province in 2022, offering a release valve for NIMBY states that Canada doesn't really have
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
Booming population growth doesn't need to cause high house prices
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
6 months
Page one of my CMHC Design Catalogue
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
Another CBC article citing HAF opposition group in Halifax that is just one old professor being a housing crisis denier
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@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
1 month
Halifax group concerned about potential impacts of the Housing Accelerator Fund
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Student housing in the 1970s
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@nsgov
Nova Scotia Gov.
7 months
The Province is building new student housing at four Nova Scotia Community College (NSCC) campuses to provide students with more affordable options and ease pressure on the local housing supply
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
I wouldn't say Nova Scotia's universities have a int'l student problem with the new cap. But Cape Breton University has a massive problem.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
9 months
Canada is a great country, arguably the best in history. We just didn’t build enough homes. Nothing special. No great shame. Just an important technical failure that needs to be fixed.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
Compared to dismantling capitalism, I view reaching a 3% vacancy rate as a much easier goal. Others seem to disagree
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Mr Butts is just a guy with opinions like the rest of us, but I think this perfectly reflects the median left housing view. Making a million dollars tax free on a 60s bungalow while fighting all new housing is Good Civic Behaviour.
@gmbutts
Gerald Butts
1 year
The real gatekeepers in Canada are developers.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
6 months
Westjet announced new flights from Halifax to Europe two weeks ago, and a $730 flight became a $284 flight within two weeks.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
I refuse to believe that we can’t find enough two by fours, nails, and people to put them together, to get rents down to $1000 in any city in Canada.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Halifax Transit Knowers, has there ever been talk of the city taking over the CN track for public transit?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
There's nearly 3x more spending on single family renos than new apartment construction.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Halifax's yellowbelt. These areas are zoned exclusively for single family or duplexes, zoning that hasn't changed since 1945
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Halifax (like most of Canada) has a barbell housing stock: lots of single family homes, big towers in core(s), but not much "missing middle" housing. It's a key driver of our housing crisis
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 years
@JohnPasalis You are misunderstanding the important statistic: Canada has 3.5 new people for every new home, and the US has 0.6 new people per home. It’s a bidding war for homes here
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
8 months
Can @hfxgov staff point to a successful ferry service that looks like this? 120 parking stalls, not walkable, no housing nearby
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Absolute 5 alarm fire from rents in the CPI. Average rents up ~15% in a year in Nova Scotia
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
14 days
Halifax passes Housing Accelerator Fund reforms. Really amazing changes, 4-units city-wide, up to 8 in urban core, big lift in density on major streets and key sites! Now it’s time to build 🏗️🏡🏢
@BenMacLeod
Ben MacLeod 馬志斌
14 days
Halifax has unanimously passed the proposed Housing Accelerator Fund (HAF) zoning reforms. I was really impressed by many councillor's remarks this afternoon and I feel a little more hopeful about this city. 🥳
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
Rent in Halifax hardly changed from 1990-2015, and then surged after 2015. Is it from: A sudden emergence of greed? ❌ A 25-yr lag impact from '95 public housing cuts? ❌ Fast population growth hitting brittle supply? ✅
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
@_scottreid C'mon Scott, "pound", "poor bastards", "tax hostage". Please don't mix up the political backlash to higher property tax with objective reality that Toronto homeowners are some of the biggest winners in our economy for the last 20+ years
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
It's so frustrating to hear people say they care about the housing crisis and then act like "keeping things the way they are" is the most important thing
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
6 months
Chart of the year
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
It's crazy that Vancouver's rental vacancy rate has averaged 1.3% over two decades. It's also crazy that old Vancouver planners think we should listen to them
@AwayBerk
Berk
1 month
I think landlords should have to fight for tenants.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
10 months
Young people and workers are counting in the NDP to advocate for them in the housing shortage, and all they get is nonsense about corporations. At some point the NDP need to decide to build more homes
@theJagmeetSingh
Jagmeet Singh
10 months
Does the housing market feel rigged to you? That’s because it is. For years, Liberal and Conservative governments have sided with corporate investors, buying up housing in your community and driving up costs — instead of helping you. It’s time to put an end to that.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
11 months
@the_transit_guy Not having Calgary to Edmonton is really awful for a province with two cities
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Great piece. Nova Scotia needs 70,000 homes in the next five years. Over the past five, we built 20,000. If we don't fix that imbalance, every other housing policy is a lottery.
@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
1 year
In the last five years, Nova Scotia has funded fewer than 1,000 new affordable housing units and expert say that won't make a dent in the housing crisis.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
9 months
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
New Blog! I argue that New Brunswick should build a new airport in the middle this triangle
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
Department of defense owned land in Halifax
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@ClimateNate
Nate Wallace
4 months
Federal land could be used for housing to bring down costs, minister Sean Fraser says. Another recommendation from the Affordability Action Council making some waves.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
These cute homes are illegal across most of the peninsula (they touch each other and use up “too much” of the land area)
@jvangurp
John van Gurp
3 months
The old Halifax suburb… #halifax #heritage
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
The typical Halifax homeowner is paying 30-50% less property tax than someone who buys today
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Is there a good reason why the Halifax armoury couldn’t be a shelter? I walk by it most days and have only ever seen a few cadets go in or out. @SeanFraserMP
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Families who lost homes in the wildfires cannot find rentals, and what is available costs a multiple of their mortgage
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
9 months
Agricola is packed full of people! Huge demand for walkable streets!
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
14 days
Halifax under HAF - this $575k Dartmouth bungalow on a 7,300 sqft lot can now have 8 units, ~70k land cost per unit
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
Absolute gut job to new South End housing. Thousands of potential homes, something like 80% of new dense HR-1 zones gone
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
One of these buildings is illegal in most of Halifax. - 6 units (most of the city is 1 or 2 + basement/shed) - No "set-back" (front yard) -Probably other dumb things 1970s bungalows cost $500k+ because we've spent decades outlawing most other housing
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
6 months
Tim Houston and the PCs seem to believe they are doing a good job on housing (by cherry picking one month of data). Meanwhile, this is the reality we are living in.
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@nspc
Nova Scotia PC Party
6 months
Our PC government is getting more homes built, faster. In fact, housing starts are up 178.6% province-wide compared to this time last year. Our plan is getting homes built right across the province.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
In 1976, Canada built 25 homes per 1000 working people. That's down by half since.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
8 months
The Halifax peninsula has like 15 parallel roads in its grid road network. One of them could should look like this
@iambrianjones
cul-de-sac-ney
1 year
@hamill_law Low Traffic Neighbourhoods were created in London - resulting in big increases of kids cycling to school using the virtually traffic free streets
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
It's wild how people will just bring up nonsense when it comes to housing. Seemingly no thought given to the actual tradeoffs young families face today
@globeandmail
The Globe and Mail
2 months
Opinion: Housing plans’ impact on Canada’s fertility rate would strain economy, increase social tensions
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
Annoyed that the same boomers who complain about new housing got to reap the benefits of the greatest supply surge when they needed it
@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
4 months
2023 was Nova Scotia's 12th best year for homebuilding. The 70s really stand out
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
For context, Nova Scotia added 30,750 residents in the past 12 months. So these 247 public housing units only cover about a week's worth of our population growth
@nsgov
Nova Scotia Gov.
3 months
25 new modular housing units will be installed across the province next month, giving up to 88 people a safe and affordable home. These are in addition to the 222 units announced last September. In total, over 600 people will be housed in 247 new public housing units.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
11 months
@daniel_foch how many investors do you think have modelled?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Great video. The next time @SeanFraserMP is in Halifax he should make a similar video where he shows all the cutesy historical housing that is now illegal in most of the city
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@SeanFraserMP
Sean Fraser
7 months
A few days ago I used the phrase “legalize housing” and I saw that people had questions. The reality is, many cities and neighbourhoods don’t allow you to build the kinds of homes that are going to help solve the housing crisis. We’re working with cities to change that.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Max building height is 2-3 story's (red) in most of Halifax/Dartmouth. West end :(
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
Premier @TimHoustonNS is expecting landlords with insane leverage over tenants to voluntarily choose not make thousands of dollars of additional income. Its absurd.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
This is exactly what Toronto/Vancouver have done to the rest of the country. And Halifax is on track to do it to the rest of NS - do we want more people commuting on the 102?
@dpherriges
Daniel Herriges
1 month
Housing shortages are actually housing spillovers. Everyone needs a home. So when we don't build, demand doesn't evaporate—it floods into other neighborhoods, other cities, other metro areas or even whole regions. 🧵
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
On days like this its worth remembering the median NS voter is a 58 year old homeowner who exclusively drives
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
Did you know? I have an easier time finding data from the median Latin American statistical service than Statcan
@StatCan_eng
Statistics Canada
3 months
Did you know? Canada is a world leader in data accessibility. Almost 75% of all federal non-geospatial content on the Open Government Portal comes from Statistics Canada! . @OpenGovCan #ODD24
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
New from me: VIA RAIL IS BROKEN (east of Montreal). I take a look at Via's Ocean service from Montreal to Halifax
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
A rare miss by Coyne. Other than the toll idea (good). the rest of the piece is lazy arguments for why property taxes are bad. On the 3 criteria: 1. Simplicity: Property taxes assessment isnt hard - we have observed prices in home sales - just update the values past 2016
@acoyne
Andrew Coyne 🇺🇦🇮🇱
5 months
My latest: There’s an alternative to sky-high municipal property taxes. It’s a municipal sales tax (Also: transit reform!)
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
10 months
Why is zoning so simple and permissive? Its set by the national government, who have national interests in mind, instead of being chained to local interests and their insistence on maintaining neighborhood character
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
Great news, Nova Scotia's housing starts have hit the ~8k mark over the past 12 months. A record high.
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@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
1 month
Nova Scotia sees busiest 1st quarter on record for housing starts
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
NEW BLOG: Halifax is in a budget crunch, but keeps cutting property tax rates. That's horribly regressive, giving most of the gains to the rich. How can progressives raise property taxes?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
I still can't believe 1 in 5 Toronto renters are late on rent. 10x larger than delinquency rates for any other type of financial product
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@daniel_foch
Daniel Foch
3 months
Mind blowing stat: 19.6% of rental units were in arrears in Toronto in 2023, per CMHC's annual rental market report.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
6 months
This is a very good piece by @jen_taplin . Years of back and forth with a developer, is it to: Maximizing Housing Units? No❌ Enforcing Obscure Design Vibes? ✅
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@chronicleherald
The Chronicle Herald
6 months
United Gulf Developments was rejected on their updated plan for two, 21-story towers in downtown Halifax, including a hotel with 69 rooms, ground-floor retail, five levels of underground parking and 349 residential units.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
Nova Scotia's untaxed real estate wealth is up to $35bn. Up 418% since 2020
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
8 months
This just in: Local councilors facing huge housing shortage confident that they can hit housing targets without change
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
CMHC says Nova Scotia needs 50k homes by 2030 home *on top* of current construction, which has now fallen by 28% since its peak. We are going the wrong way on housing
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
How long do interest rates need to stay at 4-5% for the macro/ZIRP types to accept that the Bank of Canada isn’t to blame for $1m homes in Oshawa?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
The Housing accelerator fund exists because the feds can’t tell cities what to do. Provinces can. Premier Houston can exercise his jurisdiction to build more homes, faster, at any time. Do your job.
@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
7 months
Premier Tim Houston says his government needs to be involved when Nova Scotia municipalities want a share of federal funds to build new homes. But Halifax Mayor Mike Savage says adding another level of government to the process will delay new housing sta…
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
8 months
My Latest: If you hate sitting in traffic, you should push for more housing on the Halifax Peninsula . In a city where 80%+ of people drive to work, the majority of peninsula residents bus/bike/walk to work - keeping cars off the roads (linkinbio)
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
@JonFlynnREstats Huh? I can buy all sorts of imported products at fine prices. But looking for a rental is like applying for a prestigious university. Sounds like a shortage to me
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
How many boomers are paying 2.3% management fees for mutual funds and <0.5% for property taxes? Cut your own damn costs!
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
28 days
It's incredible that @hfxgov indulges these "concerns". This is in regards to about a block-thick of apartment zoning next to our universities. "Many" here = 170 emails Crime? Parking? Low property values? Lack of single family homes?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 years
The Point Pleasant Park Palisade: Despite record population growth, the area in blue did not build a single new housing unit in the 5 years up to 2021
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
Homelessness (by name list) is still rocketing upwards, recently by 4% a month. If trend continues, that's thousands more by the end of 2025
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@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
1 month
Halifax plans for new homeless encampments as current ones fill up
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
Housing shortages create bidding wars. When you have bidding wars for housing, low income folks get priced out.
@CBCNS
CBC Nova Scotia
3 months
New analysis shows significant loss of affordable rentals in low-income Halifax neighbourhood
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
11 months
New Data: Nova Scotia has added 40,000 people in a single year, a 4% growth rate
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
~60% of homeowners have a lower tax burden today than 2019, despite a doubling of house prices, but the Mayor insists HRM's fiscal issues are because poor people are getting free bus passes
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@Suzanne_Rent
Suzanne Rent
5 months
Halifax mayor, councillors talk cost of growth in HRM and who will pay Story by me
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
International student permit allocations out for Nova Scotia universities, 35% decline overall, with a 52% decline for CBU
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
A great piece. And it’s not just Ontarians who will suffer. Ontario is nearly 40% of Canada’s population, and its refusal to build is a problem for us all
@tylermeredith
Tyler Meredith
2 months
Credit where it is due to the @TheHubCanada for running this piece by @MattSpoke
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
We hitched our wagon to condos in big cities while making most of the neighborhoods untouchable. It wasn’t enough. And now those condos might not even be profitable, so surely it’s the developers fault
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
So when the Mill Cove parking fills up by 8am, and remains mostly full until 6pm, where will people park to go to the library?
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
Some go-to NIMBY moves from Councilor Lovelace: -"Not a good fit" -"Sewage disposal concerns" -Asking for staff study to deflect Why do we let the most myopic level of government call the shots on housing?
@HfxExaminer
Halifax Examiner
5 months
Pam Lovelace wants council to rescind decision on Tantallon property for affordable housing use by @Suzanne_Rent
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
10 months
@ricardo_tranjan @thewalrus Ricardo, your point about vacancies and rents during COVID is misleading. Market rents fell during COVID, but average rent in CMHC increased because of turnover. People in Toronto know rents fell.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
Surrounding our hospitals with single family homes is not good for recruiting and retaining healthcare staff
@nsgov
Nova Scotia Gov.
2 months
QEII Halifax Infirmary Expansion Project Underway
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
3 months
This is very scary for Halifax's housing shortage. Ontario is not being serious about fixing its problem, more Ontarians will move east
@ColinDMello
Colin D'Mello | Global News
3 months
NEW: After lots of internal deliberations about fourplexes (four units as-of-right) province wide - Premier Doug Ford shuts down the effort. Ford says that’s “off the table for us” largely because there would be push back from residents. #onpoli
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 month
This follows a 6 and half a minute spot where professor Palermo spouts nonsense about how the HAF reforms will both cause rampant speculation by builders and but somehow not provide more housing
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
10 months
If theres any country we should be lapping in terms of home building, its Japan. They have the lowest population growth in the G7, and we have the highest
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
1 year
New data: Halifax's population grew by ~20,000 from Jul 2021 to July 2022, a 4.4% growth rate.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
Big opportunity for potential mayoral candidate @AndyFillmoreHFX to defend the proposed HAF reforms and to be the adult in the room as councillors try to put "neighborhood character" above homes for people, during a housing shortage, again
@MoreHomesHRM
More Homes Halifax 🏘️
2 months
Councillor Waye Mason is publicly suggesting some carveouts to the HAF, opposing zoning reforms (HR-2 near SMU for example) that'd lead to more multi-unit dwellings and townhouses being constructed Not good
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
5 months
Of all the taxes, anti-property tax discourse is the most unhinged from reality
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
2 months
Things you don't want to hear from a politician during a housing crisis: "Well were gonna slow this housing down and cut it down too" @LindellSmithHFX
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
7 months
Man, @MikeSavageHFX needs to stop with the deflection. Just yesterday councillor Blackburn celebrated deleting 650 homes, months after an initial proposal, its still being opposed by local residents and encouraged by HRM planning
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
8 months
There is another way. The province could simply mandated small apartments like this. It has 12 units, no parking, and can fit on a big single family lot. Halifax could use a lot of these, and the simpler construction (wood frame, no parkade) maes it faster to build too.
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
9 months
Any student housing strategy needs to address the fact than (in particular) Dal and SMU are surrounded by zoning that makes it illegal to build even a triplex
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@LisaLachanceMLA
Dr. Lisa Lachance MLA Halifax Citadel-Sable Island
9 months
(1/3) Every student deserves an affordable place to live, and it is unfair to international students to have to pay extra uncapped and unregulated fees. #NSpoli
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@DenySully
Deny Sullivan
28 days
Another tell that Poilievre doesn't care about housing as much as assembling a caucus of yes-men
@SabrinaMaddeaux
Sabrina Maddeaux
29 days
‼️ Announcement ‼️ I’m suspending my campaign to become the next federal Conservative candidate & MP for Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill. Sadly, I no longer have faith in the election’s integrity. Here's why 🧵
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