Christabel Cooper @ChristabelCoops Twitter profile

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Christabel Cooper

1 year

Very excited to officially join the brilliant team at @LabourTogether , as Director of Research. I've been a political nerd since aged 9, and I've been a data analyst for the last 17 years. Finally the two strands come together! 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

I tested positive for Covid this morning. Nevertheless, it would be perfectly legal for me to have got on a crowded tube, sat in an office all day with dozens of people, then and have my 82 year old Mum over to dinner this evening as I had planned. This is a bit nuts, right?

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: The UK is not the only place seeing a recent sharp rise in Covid cases. Difference is *just like last time* our government had advance warning by looking at other countries. And not only did they do nothing to stop the rise, they actively encouraged it. 1/10

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Quick reminder. We could have: - increased the minimum wage - made working tax credit more generous - improved conditions and rights for *all* workers - invested in skills and productivity ALL without ending freedom of movement. 1/3

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

There's nothing wrong with doing Latin GCSE, but the idea that lack of Latin is one of the most urgent problems facing the UK education system is... well nothing short of bizarre. Another example of the government being totally disconnected from reality.

Latin to be introduced at 40 state secondaries in England

£4m scheme will form part of government effort to counter subject’s reputation as elitist

www.theguardian.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Whatever your view on when/how restrictions should be eased, it seems clear that the government's announcement yesterday wasn't driven by health *or* economics, but by raw ideology. Take masks - there isn't an economic hit from continuing to wear masks. If anything... 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

This is so odd. If it were true that people were paid to commute then people who lived near the office would be paid less than people who don't. Am at a loss to understand the right wing obsession with this, when both employers and employees seem happy with hybrid working.

Tim Montgomerie 🇬🇧

@montie

3 years

This minister is 100% right. If you want the continued benefit of working from home then don’t expect a salary that was designed for staffers commuting into the office.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

"Lots of people are saying I'm wrong, so therefore I must be right" is a hilariously bad argument, yet it also neatly encapsulates most of the discourse in the culture war.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Why Keir is right about the second referendum policy *with data* TLDR: Most leavers who defected from Lab would have done so anyway. But failing to back a PV would have also lost Labour millions of Remainers and taken us to a worse defeat. 1/11

Labour leadership contest: Keir Starmer defends Brexit policy

Favourite to succeed Jeremy Corbyn says party was right and should have gone further

www.theguardian.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

YOUR GUIDE TO THE #GE2019 RESULTS TONIGHT My dashboard shows which seats declare at what times, the marginal seats you should be looking out for, the YouGov MRP predictions and current majorities. @IanDunt @jburnmurdoch @theJeremyVine @robfordmancs

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public.tableau.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

This is absolutely right. Before we backed a 2nd referendum Lab was on 20% in the polls - vast majority of our lost voters were Remainers. In the GE most of them came back because we backed a ref. If they hadn't we'd have lost by a lot more than 80 seats.

Labour leadership contest: Keir Starmer defends Brexit policy

Favourite to succeed Jeremy Corbyn says party was right and should have gone further

www.theguardian.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

So Rishi "will accept accept a delay of 4 weeks, so long as it's permanent." Does he realise he is trying to negotiate terms *with a virus*? 🙄

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Is it just me (and I guess given his popularity it *is* just me) but do others not find this constant feed of Rishi lifestyle magazine pics plus the fashion designer signature on everything, just utterly narcissistic, cringey and generally charmless?

Eleanor Langford

@eleanormia

3 years

Rishi Sunak's pre-Budget pictures have dropped, including one of him wearing £95 sliders with socks

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

All this could have been anticipated, but this is not a government that leads – it only reacts, and when it reacts, it does so incompetently. They must be held to account for this. 10/10

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

I know it comes across as churlish to complain about media bias, but *can we just imagine* what the right wing papers would be saying right now, if sterling had collapsed like this under a Labour government.

The Guardian

@guardian

2 years

Pound drops to 37-year low against dollar ahead of Bank of England interest rate decision – business live

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

So what actually happened was that one group of experts created a model based on imperfect data. Another group of experts created another model based on better data. The government changed its policy. Not because a bunch of people who are not experts got upset on Twitter.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Chatting with @chrischirp about why the UK hasn’t seen Covid cases rise on the same scale as many other countries. Has the government actually got something right? Probably not. Instead looks like Brits have decided – of their own accord – to change their behaviour 1/12

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

The Chesham & Amersham result doesn't mean that a mythical Tory "Blue Wall" is about to collapse. BUT it exposes a split in the Tory coalition and could be hugely significant. In the last few years we've talked *a lot* about Labour Leavers, but less about Tory Remainers. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Maybe Labour should think of something to say about it then?

Ben Page

@benatipsos

3 years

NEW for the first time, #brexit overtakes #COVID19 as top public concern

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

One big disadvantage of WFH if you're a Tory, is that if youngish people move out of city centres (where Labour often stacks up inefficiently huge majorities) and into suburbia/commuter towns, it's going to make some of those currently Tory held seats quite a bit more marginal...

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

But Remainers in Leave voting seats could also be significant. Take Bedford, which YouGov predicts will narrowly go Tory. It would only take 7% of voters who are currently planning to vote LD or Green to switch to Lab in order to save the seat. 5/6

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

10 months

My friend @chrischirp won this prize for rigourously debunking a lazy, unevidenced claim from Katherine Birbalsingh about girls studying physics, which KB doubled down on rather than admit she was wrong. It's worrying that a leader and educator keeps behaving this way.

Royal Statistical Society

@RoyalStatSoc

10 months

The winner of our best stats commentary category for the 2023 Excellence in Journalism Awards, sponsored by @ESRC is @chrischirp of @ucl_coru and @uclmaps for her article ‘Physics: Do girls avoid it because it’s too hard?’ #RSSAwards

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

Possibly unpopular opinion, but Brexit did not cause Truss. She's actually the first *post* Brexit PM and that's what undid her. Her ideology was a shift away from the values/Brexit divide and back to a political debate around tax, spending and the size and role of the state. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

Always astonishing that so many people - particularly the sort who extoll the values of a classical education - manage to make this exact mistake and forget that *Cassandra was RIGHT*.

Ben Stanley

@BDStanley

2 years

Ah yes, Cassandra. The Greek priestess who was cursed to utter prophecies that were true, but which people - many of them in positions of great authority - would not believe. Marvellous, Toby.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 years

It's got to be said that these adverts are doing a great job of pointing out the downsides of Brexit, without giving us any clue as to why we might be embarking on this debacle.

Tom Hamilton

@thhamilton

5 years

Woohoo Brexit looks great

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Why the Tories don’t want a national lockdown. Here’s a graph showing English constituencies arranged in deciles ranging from the areas which currently have the lowest Covid rates to the ones with the highest rates, and how they voted in 2019. 1/9

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 years

@giles_fraser @unherd OMG. The idea that I would want my son to give up his dreams, his ambitions, his chances at happiness in life just so he can permanently live down the road and be available to wipe my bum when I'm elderly, is the ultimate in total selfishness.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 months

If it were "real world effects" that were primarily driving the salience of immigration, then you'd expect to see those who were struggling the most, having the greatest concern about migration. In fact it's the other way round. Charts to follow... 1/

Nick Timothy

@NJ_Timothy

5 months

@Samfr Think it was clear from my answer that it’s more complicated than your singular point. There are more “real world effects” than on rental prices (though glad you concede that) and people’s views go beyond self-interest anyway. You didn’t answer my questions!

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

... it probably helps given there are many people who would be worried about travelling on public transport or going to crowded shops if a lot of people weren't wearing them. So why make them voluntary? Also - what happened to "data not dates"? Why announce this now? 2/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

I suspect Tory libertarian MPs have found Covid disturbing because it demonstrated that most people *don't* always prioritise personal freedom above collective action. No wonder they just want to move on and forget about the whole thing - and Boris is going along with it😕 7/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

... as reasonably possible. Why are there no masks in shops? Why is there no plan on ventilation? Why aren't we talking more about why the vaccine program has slowed and what we can do about it? Really, why are nightclubs open??? Sorry, but I'm pretty angry right now.😡

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

I have just been really, really sick for 4 days with a recurring problem that an elective operation would sort out. I can't even get an appointment to see a specialist at the moment because the NHS is becoming overwhelmed with Covid, let alone get on a waiting list. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

It tells people to go back into the office (often via public transport) and spends 100s of millions of public money bribing people to eat out more. There is now some evidence that the Eat Out scheme directly contributed to the rise in UK Covid cases. 4/10

Kieran Walshe

@kieran_walshe

4 years

People who test +ve for #COVID19 were TWICE AS LIKELY as controls to have visited a restaurant in the last week, in a CDC study. Full paper at (h/t @ReicherStephen ). "Eat Out to Help Out" looks a probable contributor to the current rising infection rate.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

I thought these "How it started" memes were supposed to imply some kind of change or progression. This is just "I used to be a small, rich boy and now I'm a taller, rich man".

Rishi Sunak

@RishiSunak

3 years

Growing up I never thought I would be in this job (mainly because I wanted to be a Jedi). I'm honoured that on this day last year the PM asked me to serve as Chancellor. It's been incredibly tough but thank you to everyone who has supported me along the way.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 months

The right like to claim that the "liberal elite" is ignoring the concerns of "ordinary people" about migration. But the people most likely to be concerned are comfortably-off social conservatives. Most other people are more worried about the economy and the cost of living. 5/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

But where are the structures in place to help us do that? If we are going to need to ask people to continue to self-isolate if they've tested positive or come into contact with someone who has, where is the practical and financial support? And what about ventilation? 4/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

The government has spent billions supporting businesses, why not also help them with the costs of ventilating offices, shops, restaurants properly? It won't just help with Covid but with other respiratory problems, and winter flu which nearly overwhelms the NHS every year. 5/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

What is particularly grim about this government is that so many of its major policies have nothing to do with solving the country's problems and exist only to create the kind of polarised electorate that the Tories believe will electorally benefit them. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

@chrischirp It's the same kind of lazy assumptions they demonstrated when they were trying to defend Cummings' trip to Durham by saying "But his wife was ill, and he'd have to do the childcare ON HIS OWN".

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

It is both possible that there is a new highly infectious strain of Covid which is responsible for the particularly high case rates in London and Kent (which started rising before lockdown ended), *and* that the government's handling of Xmas is a potentially lethal shambles.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

I really wish there was greater recognition of what a dreadful chancellor Osborne was. Austerity was cruel and economically illiterate, but even if you believe that slashing the deficit *was* an important priority then he failed at that: missed every target he set himself.

George Osborne

@George_Osborne

3 years

I’m hugely thrilled & honoured to be the next Chair of the British Museum, elected by the Trustees. All my life I’ve loved the BM. To my mind, it’s the greatest museum in the world - a place that tells the common story of humanity. That’s something to be proud of and celebrate

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

... means their salary buys less. And low paid workers spend a greater proportion of their income on basics like food and fuel. Labour shortages just aren't a good way of reducing inequality. Government action across the board, is a much better way.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

But this isn’t all. Given the government knew that a rise in cases was possible, why did it not build up testing capacity to deal with an increased number of people reporting Covid symptoms? Instead, it allowed the testing system to fall over. 6/10

Gabriel Pogrund

@Gabriel_Pogrund

4 years

EXCLUSIVE 🚨 Thousands of people with COVID-19 are taking tests that will never be analysed, warn government docs marked "official sensitive" Our "world beating" testing programme has a 185,000 swab backlog and is so stretched it's sending tests to labs in Italy and Germany 1/5

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Honestly, the only answer I can come up with, is to yet again show this chart from @ukandEU which shows how more economically right-wing Tory MPs than even Tory voters. (Lockdown-scepticism is more linked with being economically right-wing rather than socially conservative.) 6/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

More generally government messaging was deliberately encouraging people to believe that the worst was over and we could start going back to normal life. Even though we could see from other countries that this was resulting in a second wave of cases. 5/10

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

7 months

To win Tamworth, Labour needs a 21 point swing. A 21 point swing in a General election would give Lab a 398 majority and reduce the Tories to 44 seats. So, no, Labour does not need to win Tamworth to still be on track to win a General Election.

Jim Pickard 🐋

@PickardJE

7 months

there's a school of thought that Labour needs to seize Tamworth tonight to be on track for general election victory given they held it until 2010 but Tamworth was one of the most Leave areas in Britain and - perhaps as a result - is now the 57th safest Tory seat in the country

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

But the government just blames young people, and to starts talking about an ambitious new £100bn testing program rather than fixing the system we actually have. This is a really good thread from @scienceshared on the problems with “Moonshot”. 8/10

The Sharing Scientist

@ScienceShared

4 years

The important thing to note with operation moonshot is that, realistically, it’s not going to be ready in time to even potentially prevent another second wave. Is it just another PR stunt, or is it something more sinister? A thread👇

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

I get the government has been trying to help the economy, but a significant second wave is going to do far more damage to jobs and the economy than anything else. Restrictions will have to be re-imposed, and individuals will start avoiding shops and restaurants again anyway. 9/10

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Hospitalisations are rising - yes, at a much slower rate than in previous waves, but what's the downside of waiting to see where they are in two weeks time rather just pre-emptively judging now? Finally - we're told we have to live with the virus. 3/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Brexit-related labour shortages in *some* sectors may well achieve some of those things for those workers. But what about everyone else? Higher wages in some areas will probably translate into higher prices. A teaching assistant isn't getting a pay rise, so higher prices...2/3

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 months

We found that those who had "no worries at all" about their household finances (lucky them!) were the most likely to see migration as a top issue. For those who were very worried, inflation was a *much* bigger concern. (Data from @yougov ) 2/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 months

It’s a year since I took up the fantastic role of Director of Research at @labourtogether . Until then, I’d not had a formal job in politics – I’ve spent most of my career doing “normal” jobs in “normal” workplaces. Some reflections on the disconnect between those two worlds. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

6 months

The Tories are hammering the issue of immigration hoping to score points from Labour. Our research at @labourtogether shows that far from helping the Tories, it’s actually hurting them. In a survey we set out Labour's asylum plan, a Tory attack and then a Labour rebuttal. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

For better or for worse, Blair believed his agenda was not just electorally popular, but that it was right for Britain and he had a large group of MPs who agreed. Johnson doesn't have any greater purpose. So if he is electorally unpopular then there's no point to him. 🤔

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

This a graph from the @FT of Covid cases from Spain and France (both of which were hit badly last time). Cases in Spain start rising mid July, cases in France take off during August. Cases in the UK still remained relatively low during this period 2/10

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

It's frustrating that calls to look again at the reopening timetable from @chrischirp and others is being misinterpreted as "we want lockdown to continue indefinitely to completely eliminate the now tiny risk of death from Covid" This isn't about having restrictions forever. 1/

BBC Politics

@BBCPolitics

3 years

"Actually we have 40% of the whole population with two [vaccine] doses - that's the figure we should be concentrating on" Christina Pagel, Independent SAGE, adds "I don't know what data [Boris Johnson's] looking at" but it's too early to know about 21 June

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

@Chrischirp explains here why this is such a problem – if we can’t test, then we can’t trace and isolate cases either, so Covid spreads even further. 7/10

Prof. Christina Pagel

@chrischirp

4 years

THREAD on why testing is so vital for avoiding lockdowns... (and why it is so disastrous for testing to break *just* now). And whose fault it is. The basic principle behind reducing COVID transmission is stopping infected people mixing with uninfected people.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

The problem for the Tories is that a politics that focuses on economics, means that they find themselves on the wrong side of majority opinion. This excellent chart from @UKandEU shows how much more right-wing Tory MPs and members are, than even the average *Tory* voter. 3/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

I had some thoughts on why our numbers were so low in this thread - basically reluctance of Brits to go back to shops, pubs and restaurants, plus more working from home than in other countries. So what does our government do? 3/10

Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Chatting with @chrischirp about why the UK hasn’t seen Covid cases rise on the same scale as many other countries. Has the government actually got something right? Probably not. Instead looks like Brits have decided – of their own accord – to change their behaviour 1/12

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

Around 20 seats could be moved out of the Conservative column if less than a third of current LD/Green voters switched to Lab. Together with the push on Labour Leave voters, the arithmetic of this election could still be significantly altered in the next two weeks. 6/6

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Because it's a well known fact that you can't both remove statues of slave traders *and* tackle knife crime.

Tim Montgomerie 🇬🇧

@montie

3 years

Powerful monologue from @MercyMuroki on @gbnews . Black Lives Matter, she said, are more interested in overturning statues of 18th century white men than confronting the issue of increasing black on black knife crime. Not all black lives matter the same to them, she concluded.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 years

Our piece with @chrischirp in the @Newstatesman today. Everyone talks about how angry and betrayed Leave voters are feeling but our work finds that *Remainers* care more about Remaining than Leavers care about Leaving. 1/4

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Wish Labour would have more of a go at Sunak. The Chancellor still tradies off the popularity of the furlough scheme, but has called *everything* wrong since, including trying to end furlough too early as well as influencing the PM not to go into lockdown till it was too late.

George Eaton

@georgeeaton

3 years

The fact Rishi Sunak is worried scientists are too focused on reducing Covid cases shows he hasn’t learned from his disastrous errors throughout this pandemic.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

This blows my mind. *They planted bombs* and then were politely escorted from the building. Can you think of any other group of people in any other democracy who would be able to do this?

Derek Willis

@derekwillis

3 years

I feel like the fact that there were at least 2 improvised explosive devices found on the Capitol grounds yesterday & a pipe bomb outside the RNC isn't getting enough play. This wasn't just people trying to tell their legislators that they think the election was stolen.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

This is what I don't understand. Most people must either be directly affected by the fact the NHS is barely coping, or know someone who is. It's not coping because of (a) high Covid rates (b) underfunding. Both are the government's fault. Why aren't people angrier?

David Aaronovitch

@DAaronovitch

3 years

One fortnight. Two stints in two different British cities with relatives either end of the age spectrum needing GP attention and then hospital care. Two nightmares of overwhelmed services, overwhelmed staff, exhausting waits and care which fails to be care.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

I'm not a huge fan of the term "white privilege" but the fact that thousands of white protestors can literally storm the Capitol without fear of being shot, is about the clearest example I have ever seen of it.

El Norte Recuerda

@Vanessid

3 years

Reminder fo what capitol "security" in full military-grade riot gear looked like for Black Lives Matter protests this summer.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Seeing a lot of debate about a “herd immunity” strategy proposed by the likes of Sunestra Gupta and Carl Heneghan to fight Covid. Not only is this policy wrong (below @chrischirp explains why) - it’s also deeply unpopular with the public. 1/9

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

A better solution would be to drive cases right down and implement a really comprehensive Test, Trace and Isolate system to *keep* cases right down. Then people could *genuinely* trust that it was relatively safe to go back to shops, bars and restaurants. 11/12

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

The problem with landslide elections is that you end up with an unwieldy coalition of quite incompatible voters. Really talented politicians like Thatcher and Blair can both assemble and hold those coalitions together (for a time). Boris (IMO) is not a talented politician. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

If I get on a waiting list, I could be waiting two years for this operation given the backlog that will have accumulated due to hospitals yet again becoming overwhelmed with Covid cases. The best way of helping those of us with non-Covid conditions is to prevent as much Covid..2/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 months

What *is* strongly related to concern about immigration is holding socially conservative values. There's a strong correlation between, e.g. thinking that prison should be about punishment not rehabilitation, and thinking that migration is a top issue. 4/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

And this is of course what @chrischirp and @IndependentSage have been saying for a while. ENDS

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

Levelling up is just going be 24 hanging baskets, 6 trams and dunking on London isn't it?

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

The different shades of Blue Wall, and how they're helpful to Labour. A thread. There's a lot of talk about the so-called "Blue Wall". I'm using the term to loosely mean "seats where the Leave-Remain/"culture war" divides work against the Tories rather than for them." 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Did Labour Leavers desert because of Corbyn or Brexit? New @BESResearch data suggests that views on the leaders were more important than Brexit in causing voters to defect. Though Corbyn was leader in both 2017 and 2019, his popularity dropped between those years. 1/13

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Of *course* Lab banging on about Brexit in a "we were right, you were wrong" way is unhelpful. But that's not the only option - how about accepting the fact of Brexit but treating it as a normal policy area, where the Tories have the wrong policy and Labour have a better one. 1/

John Rentoul

@JohnRentoul

3 years

Why Keir Starmer is right not to bang on about Brexit. Me for ⁦ @Independent ⁩

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 months

Both the greatest strength and weakness of the Conservative party is its lack of ideological coherence. Take Danny Kruger, who represents the "conservative" extreme. A true traditionalist he apparently believes the Enlightenment was a step too far... 1/

'Fighting the Enlightenment?': What Do Danny Kruger's New Conservatives Really Want?

Among all the new forms of Conservatism springing up in the run up to the next election, Kruger's New Conservatives appear to be the most religious in their "holy war against the Left"

bylinetimes.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

For most people the license fee is a fairly small amount of money that delivers a huge amount of content. Of course for some its unaffordable. But the problem isn't the license fee, the real problem is that there are people in a rich country whom paying £10 a month is a struggle.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

7 months

This is wild. YouGov's website reveals that 11% of people think private schools should keep their tax exemptions. Even just looking at Conservative voters, a plurality think that private schools should lose the tax exemption. Maybe... actually look at polling before tweeting?

Freddie Sayers

@freddiesayers

7 months

I don’t think Labour have properly realised the political risk of this, nor the Tories the political opportunity. 7% of the population went to private school; ~1m parents have a child at a private school. Many of them are thinking of voting Labour. This is an easy reason not to.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

1 year

@macarena_xx @AdamSchiavone @tombrownvisual @SchrodingrsBrat I think it's reasonable that someone's reaction to hearing total nonsense might be different from someone's reaction to hearing a different, but not totally insane, point of view.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

If Mordaunt pulls out (as expected) then it's an implicit admission that in a Parliamentary system you can't be an effective PM without the support of your MPs - regardless of what the membership thinks. Both Lab and the Tories need to think about changing their leadership rules.

Paul Goodman

@PaulGoodmanCH

2 years

Next Tory steps 1) @RishiSunak has 147 supporters on @ConHome 's tally, @PennyMordaunt has 25.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

... since the summer that it wasn't. Lots of people have tried to claim the British are somehow uniquely awful at wearing masks/taking precautions. They're not. They just respond to cues from the government on what the threat level is. Blame the government not the people.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Whilst we're back on the "Labour has lost the working classes" debate - a reminder that Lab is still the most popular party with people on low incomes *of working age*. The "working age" bit is crucial. Here's the GE2019 vote by household income including retired people. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

IMO, there was no way for Labour to win GE2019 with Corbyn as leader. But it would have been a lot worse if Keir and others hadn’t pushed Labour towards a second referendum policy. ENDS

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

Here’s a survey on Working From Home (reported in the @guardian ) Far more Brits are still working from home, much more than in other European countries. 2/12

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

The young England squad have clearly surprised (and dismayed) some people with how articulate and progressive they are. Wondering if this is linked to education. I hadn't realised clubs helped educate young players 1/

United and City used top Manchester schools to help produce England's heroes

Phil Foden and Marcus Rashford both got an exhaustive education alongside their football development - we look at the programmes that made that possible

www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

The most attractive bit of right-wing philosophy is about individuals having the freedom to change their lives and circumstances for the better and to be rewarded for it. THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT MIGRANTS ARE TRYING TO DO.

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

I will start becoming unguardedly optimistic about Labour forming the next government only when three things happen: (a) sustained, substantial lead in headline voting intention, (b) Starmer leading whoever is Tory leader as best PM,(c) Labour leading on economic competence. 1/

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

Excellent and important thread on how vital ventilation is in reducing the risk from Covid. This is a hugely overlooked area - masks and hand sanitation are sadly not enough.

Adam squires

@adsquires

4 years

COVID can be airborne, in floating “aerosol” particles. We know how these particles move, and how long they stay in the air. What does this mean for minimising risk? TL;DR: ventilate rooms to stop aerosol levels building up; masks and distancing still help but 2m not magic bullet

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 months

So. This Daily Telegraph/YouGov MRP. The MRP itself, which projects a Labour majority of 120, is a good piece of research, but the Telegraph have layered over its own analysis which is eye-catching but flawed and nakedly politically motivated. 1/

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

4 months

🚨 BREAKING: The Tories are heading for an electoral wipeout on the scale of the 1997 defeat The most authoritative YouGov poll in five years forecasts that the Tories will retain just 169 seats - Labour 385 11 Cabinet Ministers including the Chancellor would lose their seats

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

If you want to reduce the number of kids going to uni and incurring debts they won't pay back, then you need to provide an aspirational alternative, eg many more higher apprenticeships, rather than writing some kids off on the basis of a single poor exam result.

Laura McInerney

@miss_mcinerney

2 years

This is devastating and unnecessary. Why should you be kept out of a music, or art, or dance, or drama degree for getting a grade 3 in maths? Why should you be stopped from gaining a maths degree for getting a 3 in English? And why let rich kids avoid these rule?!

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

If the plight of white, Christian refugees fleeing from a war in Europe where there is a clear aggressor can't move Tory MPs to vote against this shameful (oh and incidentally, unpopular) bullshit then there really is no hope at all.

Yvette Cooper

@YvetteCooperMP

2 years

Tory Govt just voted to make it a criminal offence for Ukrainian families to arrive in UK without the right papers with a penalty of up to 4yrs in prison. At a time when British people have made clear we must help Ukraine, this is truly shameful. Our country is better than this

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

THREAD: Was Labour’s 2019 manifesto popular? This is an important question as Keir has distanced himself from it (and reverted to praising 2017) whilst RLB is seen as the continuity 2019 candidate. On the face of it the policies were popular as @YouGov found:

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

2 years

One of our biggest problems is that so many pensioners believe that their pensions are paid out of "their" contributions - and so aren't "benefits" (ie paid for by others). Pensions are actually paid out of current tax and Boomers overall paid in less than they now take out.

tyron

@thetyronwilson

2 years

pensions have always been benefits. this isn't gaslighting, you just have weird preconceptions around what benefits are

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

3 years

Labour really needs to be pushing for Plan B NOW. I get why LOTO is avoiding this: apparently research showed that swing voters hated Lab criticising the government over Covid. And they must calculate that if things get bad enough then voters will turn against the gov anyway. 1/

Sam Coates Sky

@SamCoatesSky

3 years

Labour is not in favour of moving to Plan B on Covid, a spokesperson says. They are in favour of "making Plan A work"

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

There's a lot of people saying that Labour lost GE2019 because we backed a second referendum. I'd invite you to look at the data. Firstly, remember that Remainers outnumber Leavers among Labour supporters by over two to one. 1/6

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

11 months

Interesting chart, but quite extraordinary conclusion from Kaufmann in the article, that the Tories - rather than changing their offer to appeal to the electorate as it is - should change the education system so kids come out with attitudes more likely to make them vote Tory. 1/

Eric Kaufmann

@epkaufm

11 months

Younger voters who have achieved the markers of adulthood - homeownership, marriage, parenthood - are barely more likely to vote Tory than those who haven’t. My latest @unherd :

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

4 years

But overall according to @OpiniumResearch , more Britons disapprove of the government’s handling of Covid (49%) than approve (32%). 50% think we are coming out of lockdown too fast, only 12% think it’s too slow. 7/12

UK: Public opinion on coronavirus – 13th August - Opinium

Conservative lead remains at 3 points The Conservative lead remains at 3 points as both main parties gain 1 while the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens all drop points. While the Conservatives’ lead widened...

www.opinium.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

5 years

Labour Remainers in particular care about Remaining. 72% of Lab Remainers care "a lot" about staying in the EU. Ony 25% of Lab Leavers care "a lot" about leaving the EU on any terms. Our research very much backs up what @nickcohen4 wrote last week. 4/4

Both right and left should fear the justified rage of Remainers | Nick Cohen

Pro-Europeans find themselves derided or ignored even as their numbers swell

www.theguardian.com

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Christabel Cooper

@ChristabelCoops

6 months

Our new polling at @labourtogether shows that including the Rwanda scheme in the government's asylum policies makes the overall package *less* popular, which is... interesting... given how hard the Tories are continuing to push this policy (or at least be seen to push it). 1/

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