Political scientist from Singapore, security issues relating to China, Asia (esp SE Asia), Taiwan, and the United States. RT=/=endorsement. Opinions my own.
This playing on ethnicity could end very badly, including for ethnic Chinese communities in Southeast Asia. The 1960s should be a lesson. If people aren’t familiar with work by
@taomo_zhou
, they should be.
Same old dangerous ideology treating everyone with Chinese heritage as subject of the PRC party-state, putting Chinese diaspora around the world in jeopardy.
Some folks in 🇸🇬 blaming 🇺🇦 for not giving in to 🇷🇺. Perhaps the latter is “pragmatism” borne from a habit of complying w/ the demands of the powerful. Wonder how this stacks up against calls for defence if facing a more powerful adversary.
On this narrative about Justin Trudeau 🇨🇦 “leaking.” If the below is the issue in question, seems that Trudeau revealed what he said, not what Xi said to him. Can’t a 🇨🇦 PM can tell his citizens his position on a matter of concern to them?
Saw a number of hot takes from Singapore about how the tragic events unfolding in Ukraine due to Russian aggression, extolling—almost celebrating—the virtues of existing defence and security policies--policies that can and should never be questioned from this perspective. 1/n
Take a look all. Here is yet another example of a conflation of citizenship with ethnicity & culture. Being Singaporean isn’t ethnicity or culture. There are Singaporeans who are ethnic Malay, of South Asian heritage etc. Chinese culture & ethnicity doesn’t & shouldn’t define us.
@ChongJaIan
@jessicadrun
Ofc Singaporeans are Chinese. I know I know you have Stockholm Syndrome, and you hate your Chinese heritage, oh wait... sorry is that Arabic next to your name?
Hopefully,
@NUSingapore
made the right decision employing you.
Glad to have this piece out with
@CarnegieChina
&
@CarnegieEndow
. However one sees “one China,” I think it’s important to understand the different positions out there, especially where & when they shift (or not).
Many people in 🇸🇬 have been reporting confusion and even receiving dubious information about 🇷🇺's invasion of 🇺🇦. Wars are moments where powerful states and other actors use the vast resources available to them to shape information and narratives. A 🪡🧵1/11
So one key questions I have, which has unsurprisingly slipped under the radar, is what improving & strengthening work with Chinese overseas to advance the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation might mean.
The curious thing about subjecting an issue such as LGBTQ+ rights to a mass survey is the subjecting of minority rights to broader public opinion. By definition, getting majority support will be challenging.
Singapore's govt feedback portal has put out an "LGBTQ survey". I'm filling it and side-eyeing. Why do they assume I only know one LGBT+ person? And why is it asking me if I think they are accepted or not? My opinion on this is worthless compared to their actual lived experience.
1/
@zaobaosg
, Singapore’s Mandarin broadsheet, runs articles & statements pushing moral panic and slipper slope over announcement to possibly let medical workers wear the tudung. One even threatens that may lead to de-criminalization of male homosexuality.
Sg’s ties to Myanmar are unsurprising. I’m aware of the arguments for business & relations with neighbors. However, activity abetting instability in Sg’s own neighborhood, even if inadvertent, cannot be good for Sg.
TRD Singapore has cultivated ties with
#Myanmar
's military generals and police since at least 2015, incl current military regime leader Lt Gen Myint Swe (rtd). TRD Singapore and all other businesses have an obligation to uphold
#HumanRights
.
#CivilDisobedience
#MyanmarCoup
As someone who studies conflict in the hopes of its minimisation (and I am writing this as I am prepping for my class next week), I am saddened by the fact that terrible things now being inflicted on others have become a tool for apparent chest-thumping. 2/n
@jessicadrun
Given that these bans are unilateral, they create incentives for Taiwanese firms to diversify. This reduces dependence on the 🇨🇳 market over time, lowering Beijing’s leverage.
Singapore’s Law Minister says cancel culture rules may be included in legislation in the near future as the government looks to protect residents against online pressure over expressing views on topics, including an ongoing debate on LGBTQ rights
Some final thoughts on
#SLD23
First, thanks to
@IISS_org
for putting everything together & for the invite! Now here goes:
1. Themes similar to previous years, but w/ much more candor. Perhaps suggesting increasing friction. 1/
1/ Thanks to
@mariasiow
&
@SCMPAsia
for reaching out for this piece about the
@pewresearch
survey on attitudes & trends across 19 countries, out at the end of June 2022. Questions, my full responses & some thoughts below. Warning, long🪡🧵.
On policymaking, I’ve seen office holders rotated into an area they’ve not worked on before to make decisions & get rotated out in 2-3 years. Then there are people who’ve worked on & studied some issue for decades or their whole careers, but don’t happen to hold office.
While the author does acknowledge that a protest in the park is probably not the best venue to expect policy details, he also says that this is especially so because activists "aren’t equipped with policy-making expertise". I would like to push back against this mindset.
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver just dropped a superb, 22 minute segment on Taiwan. It highlights the absurdities of Taiwan's threatened existence, and at the same time centers the struggles of the Taiwanese people to be heard. Hats off to
@mariancw
:
For folks still thinking about regime type in Singapore, here is a brief discussion of some commonly used measures, which are more rigorous & robust than an invite list. Take a look at how these measures classify Singapore.
It sure is strange to adopt a term used by the US right wing, “Culture Wars,” to argue against diversity & toleration as the basis for not “importing” “Western” concepts & addressing discrimination.
He also warns however that "Issues of gender identity have become bitterly contested sources of division in the culture wars in some Western societies. We should not import these culture wars into Singapore, or allow issues of gender identity to divide our society." 4/x
With all due respect to folks, I’m not sure all that much attention should be given to an opposition backbencher trying to electioneer when facing declining relevance.
And you wonder why Singapore decided to support action on Ukraine, justified on the principle that larger states shouldn't be allowed to menace smaller states 🤷♂️
There is a shiny new building on 1 Stars Ave in Singapore. It seems to be a huge building and few people live there. Maybe it could make way or be repurposed for housing? It’s 2021. Can we stop with the false dilemmas?
If🇨🇳&🇺🇸wanted to listen to🇸🇬, they would have done so a long time ago. The world of the ‘90s & ‘00s aren’t returning. 🇸🇬&others should be figuring out how to brace themselves & navigate this more uncertain & competitive world.
Singapore’s finger-wagging tone on US-China competition is getting a little tiresome. Inclusive development was the ethos behind existing architecture that facilitated 🇨🇳’s WTO entry and put it at the centre of global supply chains. That’s not coming back:
What is fascinating is that unlike intercepts over disputed waters in the South China Sea, this incident involves a 🇨🇦 aircraft operating in support of 🇺🇳 sanctions toward 🇰🇵.
"At least two different Chinese jets intercepted the Canadian plane consistently for multiple hours during the more than eight-hour-long mission. The Chinese jets came within about five metres of the Canadian plane."
When I started conceptualizing my new role as an investigative correspondent, I knew one of the stories I wanted to dig into was how & why extreme pro-Beijing narratives are hardening within parts of multicultural Singapore, my home. Here is what we found:
Glad to announce the publication of a chapter on 🇸🇬’s efforts to navigate amid intensifying🇺🇸🇨🇳rivalry, including the risks of trying to work both sides. Title should be familiar to 🇸🇬 folks. Available on open access:
🇪🇪 PM Kaja Kallas talks abt link in security btwn Europe & Asia. Raises point of 🇷🇺 colonialism under the Soviet Union, which many forgot. Talks about deportation or killing of 1/5 or 🇪🇪 pop, w/ own grandmother & mother (as 6 mo baby) being deported.
#SLD23
Thanks to
@CarnegieChina
@CarnegieEndow
for reaching out to get a sense of SEAsian responses to 🇨🇳’s diplomatic outreach. Glad to provide the 🇸🇬 section.
So w/o Critical Race Theory, would that make someone accosting a mixed-race couple okay? Would the absence of CRT prevent that person from accosting a mixed-race couple? Would absence of CRT mean no racism in Sg? Why is
@zaobaosg
picking up a US right wing trope about race?
Zaobao editorial on racist incidents against South Asians in Singapore blames pandemic, aggressive behaviour by critical people on social media, foreign influence, the new anti-white racism that is Critical Race Theory, and the concept of Chinese privilege
Sunday Fun Electoral Math 🤪😵💫
So I read the CNA article about Lawrence Wong's statements to the PAP's 2022 party conference. One particular quote caught my eye:
(Thread🧵🪡1/14)
And these are the types of details that someone wanted to be aired publicly in Parliament, without consent and without concern for re-victimisation? Right after a talking about consent, harassment, and abuse?
"Russia, China, Singapore, India and Thailand were top suppliers to the military, according to the investigation led by Tom Andrews, U.N. special rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Myanmar."
Happy to announce publication of v23n1 of the China Review, featuring a special issue on 🇨🇳’s key relationships. I have a piece on what might be loosely termed as ASEAN’s approach to 🇨🇳. Thanks to Liu Feng (Tsinghua) & Kai He (Griffith) for putting things together! W/
@batesgill1
One seems clear from statements by PM SG, FM SG, and ASEAN chair is that ASEAN and Singapore are deeply concerned about the situation in Myanmar. Yet, none seem ready to take concrete action, preferring to hope for the best (thoughts and prayers?). 1/
So the optimism many looked at the BRI has always mystified me. Not because of debt-trap or even 🇨🇳. Just that major infrastructure development is inherently risky, with returns spread out over time. Lack of commercial investment suggests certain projects are especially risky.
New on
@acadsingapore
: An English-language translation of Chong Ja Ian's piece on media discussions of racism in Singapore, previously published in Mandarin
“The police prosecutor on Tuesday said that the accused was previously seen as a patient at the Institute of Mental Health (IMH).”
I hope there is recognition of the need to offer support and assistance from this tragedy, rather than to further stigmatize mental health.
🇸🇬’s Mandarin-language Channel 8 can really provide more explanation & accounting of sources rather than to repeat claims, some of which can do with stronger evidence. Don’t understand why they have to explain matters in terms that seem to okay abusive relationships too.
This is an “explainer” produced by Channel 8 and published in early March,
#Singapore
’s free-to-air Mandarin language channel, about the invasion of
#Ukraine
. Among the reasons presented for the war is victim-blaming of Ukraine “falling in love with someone they shouldn’t have.”
Thanks for trying to report me, but I’m happy to announce that I’m back after
@Twitter
discovered a false suspension. So more takes from me, I’m afraid. ;-)
Happy to announce the publication of the Mandarin translation of my 2012 book, External Intervention & the Politics of State Formation: China, Indonesia, Thailand, 1893-1952. With many thanks to
@hofunghung
, Victoria Hui, Wu Jieh-min, Kwong Kin-Ming & Monsoon Books.
So I’ve been seeing several translations of Kamala Harris’s name into Chinese. There is one she already uses 賀錦麗. That may be He Jinli in Mandarin, but it’s Hoh Kam-Lai in Cantonese. That makes sense to her San Francisco constituents.
@chowleen
gives some history on the name.
It's really a triple-dialect pun! -the late Su Hsi-Fen who named Kamala Harris was once overseas Chinese rep to the Taiwan Legislative Yuan in Lee Teng-Hui era. I've heard the name in Mandarin mostly, but "Ho Kam-Lai" wld make sense for her SF Cantonese-speaking constituency too.
“[P]ressure from China is a constant rather than a variable. This normalisation of the challenge from Beijing reduced the electoral effects of pressure from China.”
Thanks to
@ChannelNewsAsia
for publishing my thoughts from observing the TW elections.
Caveats 1st. This is an elite survey & it is possible to argue abt representativeness, but 🇺🇸’s handling of its relationship w/🇮🇱 & inaction on the humanitarian disaster in Gaza doesn’t just stay in the Mid-East. They affect its standing in SEA.
The State of Southeast Asia survey 2024 is newly published by ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute, and this edition churns out some very interesting - even surprising - results, especially this one. Read the report here:
‘“Singapore is cognizant that if it doesn’t step up now, having an ASEAN that is relegated to irrelevance is not to its own interest,” said Chong Ja Ian, a political science professor at the National University of Singapore.’
English speech didn't include this, acknowledges race relations and politics can polarise over time. "Often, the majority group asserts its power and sidelines the minorities. The minorities find themselves with less and less space, and feel no choice but to push back hard."
Was in TW in the lead up to their pres & legislative elections last month. Here’s a write up on my reflections abt changes there & their implications for domestic politics & external ties. Thanks to
@CarnegieChina
&
@CarnegieEndow
for running the piece.
Couple of things I’d note about Confucianism, which is a multifaceted tradition as you’d expect any long-standing tradition to be. 1) Early texts were dialogues—including many admonishments of rulers. 2) State Confucianism since the Han aimed to consolidate imperial rule. 1/-
Not even this state media report saw PM Lee’s treatise on Confucian values as worthy of mention. It omits how, after citing John Major, Lee labelled the idea of checks and balances as “Western” and held up the Confucian stress on virtuous leaders. ...
Some of the fissures within ASEAN are becoming increasingly evident, I fear. I really start to wonder what the backup plans are to remedy the situation, to find some supplement, or work on some alternative as the world becomes more tumultuous.
Kin Phea, director-general of the International Relations Institute at the Royal Academy of Cambodia: “Today we see an ASEAN member, Singapore, condemn Russia... Thus, Singapore is the first country to show its pro-Western attitude.” What nonsense.
Singapore will be pushing through a Foreign Interference (Countermeasures) Act on October 4, 2021. This could affect academic work in Singapore as well as academic collaboration with people in or from Singapore.
New editorial: FICA overreach will undermine internationalisation & deepen self-censorship while weakening universities’ resistance against malign interference. Parliament must direct FICA’s powers away from the legitimate & necessary work of academics
While life for most Singapore residents will revert to a semblance of normalcy from Tuesday, tough restrictions remain for the roughly 200,000 low-wage migrant workers who live in dormitories.
Someone spotted that as President Xi walks away, just off camera he says ''very naive'' (hen tian zhen) after already giving Trudeau a public dressing down for ''leaking a conversation'' Listen at around 45 seconds and you'll hear Xi Jinping give his parting insult.
Thank you for highlighting the bigger point behind the story,
@JaniceLimTODAY
Beyond the political debate, 🇸🇬 needs to do better in the handling of sexual assault issues & the stigma surrounding them.
And I agree that it is important as it does make one wonder whether WP has the potential to be the viable alternative to lead Singapore one day. But this quote by
@ChongJaIan
, for me personally, is really the bigger issue at hand:
First, it is important to recognise that the hostilities represent the twin failures of compellence and deterrence. The former, compellence, is the calibration of credible threats and assurances to have a target *change its course of action*. 4/n
Realities can sometimes be uncomfortable and unsettling. (Hey, the premise of “Hard Truths”?) What’s at stake isn’t “wokeness” or “cancel culture.” What’s at stake is right to equal treatment & how to debate rigorously w/o personal attacks. Why not address them directly?
I strongly agree with this statement from
@NUSingapore
@FASSNews
. Almost everyone has vented their frustrations for now. Step away and take care of yourself.
I’ve not noticed national day messages from f’gn countries carried by state-affiliated information outlets in 🇸🇬 previously. Perhaps this message from the 🇨🇳 ambassador in the Lianhe Zaobao 聯合早報 marks a change in policy & we can expect more in future from different f’gn govs.
Glad that
@ASEAN
has introduced stronger language wrt to the 🇲🇲 civil war, including singling out the military for restraint. Despite its limitations, I hope ASEAN is able to help support some return to stability & a fair, just & lasting peace in 🇲🇲.
There is talk about the imposition of majoritarian preferences from a session by Sg's main Mandarin information outlet on ethnic relations. A view expressed is that in a democracy the majority can have its way. That only gives a partial answer, at best.
‘I feel weirded out by trans people but am too scared to say so publicly in case I get cancelled cos the woke movement has created such a climate of fear” says person who just got her article published in a major local media outlet
The ST interviewed me on the possible consequences following from the Committee of Privileges report finding that Raeesah Khan lied in the Singapore Parliament. Questions and full responses below. 1/n
So does opposing a non-binding UN resolution on an arms embargo on Myanmar help to speed up or slow down the process and make it more or less disappointing?
A response to “cancel culture” may be to enable freedom of expression, transparency & restraint on authority. In 🇸🇬, at least, there has to be some understanding that criticism is not “cancellation” & the right of people to disengage if they wish.
Cancel culture: everyone has opinions (and is afraid of it, imho). But one country is looking at taking things a step further: by considering enacting the world’s first law to “fight” cancelling.
Spoiler: that country is Singapore. New from me
@CNN
Important remind from
@hofunghung
about the importance of understanding nuances and distinctions between ethnity, nation, and state. Applicable outside the United States too.
I guess it’s an opportune time to put this up. Jiang presided over a period of relative stability, great prosperity, and, yes, openness in 🇨🇳. Accompanying those conditions was a sense of hope.
My experience is that 🇲🇾 thinks about 🇸🇬 far less than 🇸🇬 thinks about 🇲🇾. They have far more issues to worry about. I know many in 🇸🇬 have a lot of baggage about 🇲🇾, but perhaps we should look forward, not back.
My
@acadsingapore
colleague Linda Lim writes about her experiences in academia & w/ 🇸🇬 in the first in a series of essays leading up to a workshop AcademiaSG is running at the start of May.
#Singapore
#Academia
Here is wishing our🇲🇾neighbors & their new PM all the best. It will not be easy, but I hope they will have every success. A moderate, stable & successful 🇲🇾 can only be good for those of us south of the border. Taniah dan semoga berjaya!
Anwar Ibrahim will
#Malaysia
’s next Prime Minister. Few roads to the top have been as tortuous and dramatic. Here is a clip of my interview with him soon after his release from prison in 2018.