Staff writer
@TheAtlantic
, author of "Give People Money," working a book called "The Time Tax." Not here often, please say hi on annie
@theatlantic
.com.
I am writing a book about time taxes and I need your help! Tell me about the insurance snafu ruining your life, the years you spent waiting for benefits, your immigration process, your FAFSA cluster, your healthcare nightmare. I'm annie
@theatlantic
.com.
Since it's coming up: Gosh, making it harder to get divorced is not a good way to encourage couples to stick together and coparent together. It's a good way to get women killed.
I've spent a lot of the last six months working on this story about reports of abuse at one of the country's most-esteemed, certified-humane dairy farms.
Has anyone ever modeled the labor-supply effect of having daycare/school for all kids 0-17, 9am-5pm, a reliable five days a week, 50ish weeks a year? Asking for, uh, me. For me.
I found Melissa Kearney's book careful and interesting, but came away convinced the conversation we should be having is about how to improve outcomes for kids growing up with a single parent, not how to get those parents married.
Some speculation on here that universities can't divest from Israel, bc they hold their endowment $ in index funds, hedge funds, PE, etc. This is just not true.
A canonical time tax! One of the simplest ways to make the lives of lower-income Americans easier would be to relax the rules so that you can use SNAP on prepared foods, hot food, diapers, paper towels, dish soap, etc.
The transition to green energy is going to eliminate a lot of six-figure jobs for men w/o a college degree. I wrote the risk of letting decarbonization go like deindustrialization went.
I thought the story would be about this one farm. But it's really not. It's about how there is no system ensuring the welfare of farm animals, just a chimera of one.
I've spent a lot of the last six months working on this story about reports of abuse at one of the country's most-esteemed, certified-humane dairy farms.
I'd also note that state flagships do not have these demented preferences, and SUNY/CUNY/Cal State et. al. are actually the engines of mobility the Ivies like to think they are.
I hadn't quite grokked how much, holding SAT scores and other academic measures constant, the Ivy-Plus schools *prefer* rich kids to poor kids. Totally maddening.
Lots of chatter about this null result, finding that giving $$$ to the low-income parents of low-birthweight kids doesn't improve a wide range of outcomes for the kids. It's a tough, sad finding. But some of the discussion seems a little sideways, imho.
SSI provides cash payments to over a million families who have children w disabilities. Do these substantial paymentsโwhich make up ~half of total income for recipientsโimprove kidsโ outcomes? We use a cutoff in SSI eligibility for infants based on birthweight to investigate.
I don't want to punch anyone, but this isn't true! We're having affordability problems in a *lot* of places, and *huge* problems in places where wages are high and people want to move.
I hadn't quite grokked how much, holding SAT scores and other academic measures constant, the Ivy-Plus schools *prefer* rich kids to poor kids. Totally maddening.
I have never really cared that much about the endless Ivy-centric culture wars that consume certain segments of the media but โฆ
@AnnieLowrey
โฉ makes a persuasive case that these schools do matterโand that their admissions policies need radical reform.
SBF hurt dozens of worthy nonprofits and charities, both by promising money he knew he could never deliver and by forcing them to deal with SBF-and-EA-related reputational taint.
"He becomes toxic. Like, nobody wants to talk to him. He has no friends,โ" says Michael Lewis.
โThere is still a Sam-Bankman-Fried-shaped hole in the world that now needs fillingโ for someone driven by their ideals to do good on a large scale, Lewis says.
@heikki_bear
US has different rules than the EU -- in the US, antibiotics are forbidden in the organic program (so if an organic farmer has to give a cow antibiotics, they either sell the milk as conventional from that point forward or sell the cow to a conventional farm)
These arguments have felt over-technical to me on all sides. Can endowments divest? Yes! Do universities want to? No! Would divestment hurt the Israeli economy/affect stock prices much? No! Do the protestors get that and still think it is worth doing? Yes!
As a side note: As a parent of a baby who was born at 3 pounds, I have trouble even reading studies like this one. But it's a really excellent paper. And the policy response should be "how do we do enough to help?" not "well, let's cut SSI!"
I don't know that you can replace the income of a second parent. But you can definitely provide low-cost, high-quality zero-to-five care, the expanded CTC, Medicaid and SNAP.
The transfers averaged out to $146 per month for infants, $141 for toddlers, and $33 per month for kids 3+. Maybe thatโs just not enough for kids starting life in a box in a NICU with parents struggling to keep a roof over their heads and food in everyoneโs mouths.
One thing this demonstrates is that trading chicken for beef is an easy thing to do for animal welfare (though trading beef for chicken is better for the climate). Square the circle by just eating less meat.
Does this show that cash doesnโt work? Not so much as it shows that this level of cash doesnโt work for babies this disadvantaged in terms of their health, growing up in families this disadvantaged in terms of income/wealth and often a number of other factors.
People (mostly) spend what they can afford on housing. Lots of folks are priced out of the location or type of place they want. That frustration / pressure doesn't show up in statistics like these.
@karltaro
Nah. Housing costs as a proportion of income are at historical norms. If you control for age it's actually way down. Median personal income divided by housing costs is up over the last 20 years.
First, responses like this. Iโm not sure what to say. Cash isn't magic. It doesn't solve every problem. But we have hundreds of quality studies showing that cash has effects, sometimes big ones, on a lot of outcomes in a lot of contexts.
New study: sizable SSI boost to family income (for 10 years) given to low-birthweight kids born into poverty has no effects on kids. Please incorporate into your lit reviews on guaranteed income.
From the paper itself: โThese results indicate that current level of support targeted to populations endowed with especially high levels of need across multiple dimensions are likely insufficient to achieve the earnings and health gains observed in more advantaged samples.โ
Also, what does "work" mean? Raising salience, keeping things in the headlines, affecting marginal business decisions, forcing position-taking, trying to make an issue one of bright moral lines -- this is all activism. It's messy stuff.
This is a profile of a radical vegan activist group -- so radical they annoy the heck out of other vegan groups, and a number of prominent vegans want nothing to do with them
I'm looking to talk with folks who have considered moving, have moved, or want to move due to changes to abortion access and/or LGBTQ+ laws in their state. On annie
@theatlantic
.com if that's you or someone you know.
@chrislhayes
Never met a low-income single parent who wouldn't love a committed, stable partner and coparent. And it's not clear to me the norms around marriage are changing at all...
โThe most heavily anticipated economics book of the year makes a radical argument: Having married parents is good for kids,โ
@AnnieLowrey
writes. But what do we do about that?
(She supports these things, I should note! Along with a lot of other good ideas. I'm just not sure there's any norms/cultural issues we should be focusing on, rather than economic ones.)
Scientists have been trying to make lab-grown meat taste just like regular meat. What happens when they start bioengineering stuff that tastes... really different?
A lot of these studies do show marginal effects, just not very big ones. The more divestment you have, the bigger the effect. Divestment works, it just takes scale.
Last year,
@meridak
asked me to lead the
@latimes
' coverage of the 2024 election cycle.
The Times laid me off today, so someone else will have to take on that task. But I'm proud of the plan we put together and the work we've done. I will be rooting for LAT in the months ahead.
There's this idea out there that you just take the refinery workers and make them green energy workers. That... doesn't make any sense. We want to use those skill sets in heavy industry and get these folks six-figure jobs.
The null-result paper looks at whether $$ changes outcomes for kids who have a really tough startโborn at less than 2.5 pounds (!) to poor families, often extremely poor. Good reason to think it might! Poverty and health are deeply intertwined; it's a good chunk of SSI money.
I said I would write a little celebrity profile once the pandemic was over but it turns out the pandemic will never be over so, well, here's me with
@ParisHilton
:
Public policy Twitter, or what remains of it: There's a theory (maybe?) in polisci (maybe?) about how problems tend to get political traction once they start affecting rich people. I think it comes from the donor-influence lit? What, if anything, am I half-remembering?
That's not a statement about how much abuse there is on farms -- whether best-of-the-best regenerative organic or CAFOs. It's about whether we know. I don't think we do.
But SSI $$ doesnโt affect high-school GPA, enrollment in a gifted and talented program, college enrollment, college completion, earnings, mortality, or the use of transfer programs.
One last note: A lot of folks also think that because previous divestment campaigns have not affected the cost of capital much, divestment doesn't "work."
I wrote about immersive art / interactive exhibits / rave caves / trip traps / why concerts look so cool now / why my kids' room looks like Shibuya Crossing (it's the LEDs)
I'm also interested in great application or paperwork processes -- things that work! And arcane ones. And international comparisons. Really, just ping me. I love talking about this stuff, and am happy to keep folks off-the-record.
another weird dc cost thing: lot of UMC parents paying the full, proper taxes for domestic workers, bc of security clearances / being in or up for a confirmed position
a dumb theory of mine is that the economics of UMC parenting are quite acute in dc, where you have a lot of high education couples where both parents earn six figures but not enough to really make the math of one not working pencil (and people in dc find their work meaningful)
@KayHymowitz
@kearney_melissa
You might not be able to close the gap, but at least you can make it matter less by shifting the poor families up the income ladder -- eliminating child poverty via transfers is not just feasible, we just did it! Whereas eliminating it via higher marriage rates...
It's also an attempt to answer the question of whether anything vegan and animal-rights groups do will ever get folks to stop eating meat. (50 years of activism thus far has failed to do that in any kind of meaningful way.)
Also -- serious about this -- if you're a user of an illicit drug that induces euphoria (mdma, cocaine) and you're on ozempic or similar, I want to talk about how the experience is different! (I can provide anonymity for that, lmao.) Still annie
@theatlantic
.com.
This is super interesting! They do find big increases for the 0.1 and 0.01 percent, plus there's all the wealth data, plus all the economic mobility data...
Looking to talk to folks in NYC affected by the Airbnbpocalypse, e.g. folks who used to rent out their place when they were out of town. I'm annie
@theatlantic
.com.
@flowersforirene
part of the answer might be that these kids need way, way more help and the study proves it! SSI itself isn't moving the needle, but more/different support might; let's get all these families out of poverty one way or another.
There are def places where it's still possible for average wage-earners to own a home, but in some ways it feels easier to highlight where it's cheap than to highlight where it's expensive.
Very relevant to the current debate over marriage spurred by
@kearney_melissa
's work, my paper with Jeanne Lafortune is out today in AEJ: Applied! We try to ask *why* marriage rates have declined so much for less wealthy individuals. ๐งต
@ReubenR80027912
Fair! But a lot of college grads want to move to and work in their local big city -- in this person's case, maybe Detroit or Chicago. And it's gotten harder to do that pretty much everywhere.
@felixsalmon
@Paddywan
totally; one more way in which fractal inequality hurts us all; the line between "ah bummer, and I'd paid for first!" and "this is not what I paid for, the airline will change its policy, kids do not belong in public, i am a large adult snowflake" is an airbus wide
@peterlorentzen
@WeedenKim
@epopppp
@kairyssdal
Oh dear -- sociology is so vital, so important to my work, I considered becoming a sociologist myself! The lead-up to the quip about the Council of Historians and Council of Sociologists (good ideas!) got trimmed down but...
@ReubenR80027912
would also note we're seeing extremely gnarly housing problems in rural states or states with significant rural populations (MT, AK, ME)
@AlecStapp
@tomlefevre
lol -- leds/lasers are a huge deal in skincare/haircare (tattoo removal, hair removal, hair growth, scar reduction, anti-aging stuff, dealing with conditions like rosacea) but a lot of folks don't know that because they aren't the target market!
@sivavaid
@lpolgreen
@alixabeth
I regret that I hadn't read it, and look forward to reading it, and certainly always try to cite the academic work that informs my writing!
@namalhotra
Ofc a kid who gets a 1400 on the SAT despite growing up in the bottom income quartile is more impressive than a kid in the top quartile who does! It's wild that Harvard and Yale don't see it that way!
Are you a chef, sommelier, bartender, restaurant reviewer, baker, etc. on semaglutide (or a similar glp-1 med)? I want to talk to you about your sense of taste for a story. I'm on annie
@theatlantic
.com.
Does make me think we really under-appreciate how much effect marriage rates / household formation have on financial strain / inequality (Melissa Kearney's book is important on this, question of what to do about it aside!)
@aravartanian
@wesyang
@mattyglesias
if i wrote my own headlines, they'd mostly be, like, "here's a topic, complicated huh, hard to draw conclusions, let's look at it carefully, more nuance? i think i'm most interested in the most boring parts" and american media would die