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Alan Boswell

@alanboswell

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Horn of Africa director @CrisisGroup . host, The Horn.

Nairobi
Joined June 2007
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
All eyes should be on N #Ethiopia , as we see yet another massive turn in the war. Fears of carnage beyond the battlefield are justified and require urgent concerted focus, from Africa and beyond. The world slept. Can it now wake up fast enough?
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
This is amazing. So awkward. #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Foreign observers: Kenya's election was good enough. This is Africa. Media: Exactly. Let's not stir the pot. Kenyan Supreme Court: 🖕
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 year
The reports out of Khartoum #Sudan are beyond harrowing. This is far more than violent clashes, this is the full blown collapse of a city and humanitarian disaster that is worsening at a sickening pace.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Just look at the crowd that showed up to greet @RailaOdinga in Mathare. Look at it.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
The world’s muted response suggests that it does not realize the mind-boggling scale of casualties over the past few weeks in N #Ethiopia . Or at least I hope this is not the most we can muster?
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
Some more thoughts here on #Ethiopia ’s truce. First of all, what is most important now is that the parties actually stop fighting on the ground. If they don’t, then much of the rest of this below is moot for now.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
Folks… news! Today I join the team at @CrisisGroup as the senior analyst for #SouthSudan . Woot.
@EroComfort
Comfort Ero
6 years
Glad to welcome @alanboswell to @CrisisGroup . Looking forward to stimulating and engaging work with him, @ejhogendoorn @ElissaJobson @AshishSPradhan @atwoodr @LisaKling2 and our Horn of Africa leadership @RAbdiCG & @mutigam on #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
'The brute reality is that Eritrea’s war isn’t a sidebar to Ethiopia’s crisis in Tigray: it is the center of gravity.' - Alex de Waal on how Eritrea's silent role in Tigray makes its resolution just that much thornier.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Biden administration calls for immediate withdrawal of both Eritrean and Amhara forces from Tigray #Ethiopia , plus ceasefire by all parties, unhindered aid access, and accountability for atrocities. Feels like start of a new phase, diplomacy wise.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 year
To state the obvious: Sadly, the main focus and impetus for the attempted Eid ceasefire in #Sudan has been evacs of foreign nationals, not humanitarian relief or peace diplomacy. Ppl already referring to Burhan and Hemedti as the ‘Kiir and Machar’ of Sudan.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Today, @CrisisGroup releases its 300th Africa report. It's on #SouthSudan : It's bloody past, current mess, and what we see as its best path forward to a more peaceful tomorrow. I've wanted to write this report for years. Thanks for reading.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Now out, on The Horn: @WorldPeaceFdtn 's / famine scholar Alex de Waal speaks with us about what we know about hunger levels in #Tigray #Ethiopia , and the very knotty high-level politics of securing aid access to prevent catastrophe. Plus, #Eritrea .
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Coming this week: New @CrisisGroup report on #SouthSudan .
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
Some news: A surreal honor and bracing challenge to take over from @mutigam as @CrisisGroup ’s Horn of Africa director, especially at such a time. Eager for the many many conversations ahead w/ you all around the region (… once I’m back from munchkin leave next month).
@mutigam
Murithi Mutiga
2 years
Delighted to announce that @alanboswell , host of The Horn Podcast and formerly S Sudan Senior Analyst will take over as @CrisisGroup 's Horn of Africa Project Director and @Meron_El is our new East and Southern Africa Analyst.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
It’s true. Kiir and Riek have agree to form a unity government — on time (!), and after major concessions from both sides. This is a huge moment that may serve in history as the bookend for #SouthSudan ’s long civil war. #minithread below.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
What might the future hold for #Ethiopia ? How can we make sense of it all? Our deep dive convo w/ retired prof Christopher Clapham on Ethiopia's long history, unresolved dilemmas, struggles ahead. A deeply empathetic look at the Horn's teetering giant.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
I just flew Nairobi to JFK direct and nothing will ever be the same.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
'I’m sorry to say so, but I’ve never seen a political elite with so little interest in the well-being of its own people’ - UNSG Guterres tells African leaders on #SouthSudan , in an otherwise equally blunt call for a common front on the crisis.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Raila is sticking to his story, except that no one understands what his story is.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
Congratulations, #Somalia . Following no playbook but your own, you once again proved to have built one of the more robust systems for the peaceful transfer of power on the continent -- even (especially?) during a cycle that strained that system to its limits. What a day.
@M_Farmaajo
Mohamed Farmaajo
2 years
I congratulate the president-elect, my brother, H.E @HassanSMohamud on his election as our nation's 10th president. I urge all my fellow citizens to support & pray for his success. I would like to express my appreciation to everyone who contributed to smooth & peaceful elections.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
#SouthSudan ’s civil war started today, 4 yrs ago. The country is 6 yrs old. Nobody counts the dead; no orgs have tried to document the ethnic cleansing. We imposed a peace deal; war spread; we backed out; now we want it back. We feed the hungry; we feed the gunmen. And on.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Even by its own spotty accounting, #SouthSudan has grossed some $15B in oil revenues since independence. Where does it all go? New @CrisisGroup report on South Sudan's ruined oil finances, poisoned politics, and why the push for reforms isn't working.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 month
#Sudan , after a year of war:
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 month
Here, @CrisisGroup updates on a shattered, starving #Sudan after one year of war, and the lagging diplomacy to try and arrest the spiraling collapse. We may be a broken record, but it’s beyond time for the world to wake up.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
#SouthSudan ’s govt continues to sit by (at best) as Jonglei state descends into complete civil war. I’ve watched a decade of these Jonglei cycles. Never seen anything like this, in scale or longevity. This is not 'the usual'. #Thread
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Folks, news! We’re launching a @CrisisGroup podcast on all that’s rumbling out here in the Horn. Hope y’all listen, subscribe, and enjoy.
@CrisisGroup
Crisis Group
5 years
🎧 New Podcast Coming this Monday! Tune into The Horn, hosted by @alanboswell , to make sense of the turmoil engulfing the Horn of Africa, from revolution in Sudan to the growing threat of Somalia’s Al-Shabaab to Ethiopia’s political transformation. Not one to miss!
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta, fmr ICC indictee for allegedly mobilizing youth militias, reportedly tapped as UNICEF global champion for youth empowerment.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
All those interested in the history of #SouthSudan 's civil war: I published @SmallArmsSurvey this paper summing yrs of field research on the Mathiang Anyoor recruits that fought Juba's war and the elite politics that produced it.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Just finished recording a special episode of The Horn w/ @CrisisGroup ’s @wdavison10 and @DinoMahtani on the erupting #Tigray conflict in #Ethiopia and its regional implications. (Scary!) We’ll have it ready for you tomo. Tune in. 🙏
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Just like that. Riek Machar is once again #SouthSudan ’s first vice president. Kiir and Riek embrace in a hug, followed by a handshake. They, smile, share a laugh. Riek then embraces Burhan, standing next to Kiir.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
I joined @CrisisGroup a bit over 2 years ago. I never met my colleague Michael Kovrig bc 2 yrs ago China detained him as a hostage. He’s had almost no outside contact since. Each day Michael paces 5k around his cell. So we’re matching the same this week. #FreeMichaelKovrig
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 months
Yes, it's true that as #Sudan 's warring Burhan and Hemedti were shadow-boxing this month over IGAD's mediation attempts, their deputies quietly met several times in Bahrain, also including UAE-Egypt-KSA.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
What's really behind the Sudan #coup ? Who is driving the Khartoum street protests? Where is this great showdown heading? Think you understand the politics of the #Sudan coup? Listen in to this conversation w/ Magdi el-Gizouli @StillSUDAN .
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Now out, on The Horn: #Tanzania ’s @TunduALissu on the true cause of Magufuli’s death, his hopes for a course correction under President Samia Suluhu, if sham elections matter, and his own political future. Thanks for listening.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 month
Here, @CrisisGroup updates on a shattered, starving #Sudan after one year of war, and the lagging diplomacy to try and arrest the spiraling collapse. We may be a broken record, but it’s beyond time for the world to wake up.
@CrisisGroup
Crisis Group
1 month
NEW STATEMENT | Sudan: A Year of War With millions facing famine, diplomats should push the two main belligerents much harder to accept a ceasefire.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 months
The swift capture of Medani by the RSF in #Sudan means many woke up today discussing endgames and the realisation that no area of the country might be spared from this war. Terrifying and critical weeks ahead for Sudanese, just as much of the world heads into their holidays.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Big news out of Khartoum #Sudan . This is not the finish line. The TMC is obv a bad faith actor but also running out of wiggle room. Pressure must continue -- for days, weeks, years to come. I bet the Sudanese will do their part. Will the rest of world do theirs?
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
It's beyond time the world takes seriously just how massive the humanitarian crisis will be in #Tigray if the status quo continues much longer.
@wdavison10
William Davison
3 years
In this lengthy Q&A, I explain why @CrisisGroup thinks that the political and security dynamics around the #Tigray conflict indicate that a very serious humanitarian situation is likely to get worse. "Therefore, there is a desperate need for a rethink."
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
After 27 years. #Sudan #SST
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
9 months
📢 @CrisisGroup is hiring a new full-time #SouthSudan analyst. Please share. (Yes, Junubin, please apply.) No other job quite like this one, and at an especially critical time. Ping me with any questions. If you are interested -- please apply!
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Burhan confirms: #Sudan military dissolves cabinet and sovereign council, declares state of emergency. Once again, the streets vs. the regime. What will the AU do?
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Fmr SPLA chief Paul Malong, who repeatedly blocked UN peacekeepers, now wants UN intervention to save his ass. And his laptobs. #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Come January, Biden should appoint a Horn envoy. Based in the region!! US policy currently a mishmash mess, and 20 steps behind. (Sorry, DC, this isn't the 90s.)
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 year
While most eyes are on Khartoum, this is a nation-wide war, with Darfur especially in the crosshairs. Both sides have bases across country. This was always the nightmare scenario. A fight to the end could be endless and will fragment and spread beyond. #Sudan
@moehash1
Mohanad Hashim
1 year
It looks like an all out urban war is underway in #Sudan . From Nyala, Zalingi and Elfasher in western Darfur to Kassala and El -Gedarif in the east. The army and the RSF are striking at each others camps and bases which incidentally happen to be mostly near residential areas.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 year
We’re hiring a new senior analyst for #Ethiopia — a hugely important role in our @CrisisGroup Horn team. Please apply if you want to shape our work on #Ethiopia and contribute to our regional research.
@CrisisGroup
Crisis Group
1 year
Join Crisis Group's Africa Program as the new Senior Analyst for #Ethiopia :
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Here, our @CrisisGroup statement unpacks the major step forward in #SouthSudan — and warns of the many challenges yet ahead.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Major breakthru in #SouthSudan . The parties agree -- finally -- on the allocation of governors across the country, hopefully soon ending the alarming months-long power vacuum outside Juba. Notably, Riek Machar's party will appoint the governors in both Malakal and Wau.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
Four weeks after coup in #Sudan , Hamdok signs political deal that reinstates him as PM.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Dearest listeners, we have a treat for you this week. I speak w/ scholar Harry Verhoeven about the re-emergence of #Eritrea . As President Isaias works to reshape the regional order, what exactly are his ambitions, and why? Where does this all head? 🙏
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Alrighty. Amid all else: What would Bashir’s ouster mean for the new #SouthSudan peace deal, which Khartoum brokered? Let’s do this. #THREAD
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
#THREAD Make no mistake, Kiir’s decree today to revert #SouthSudan to ten states (plus carve-outs, one new) is a HUGE step forward. This (mostly) removes the *immediate* barrier preventing the way to unity govt. Told @Reuters :
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
If not arrested, civil war in #Ethiopia of course will not just involve #Ethiopia , but also (almost certainly) #Eritrea , and on the border of #Sudan , not far from #SouthSudan . The Horn has come a long way towards putting to bed its history of regional proxy wars. Scary stuff.
@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
#Ethiopia PM Abiy statement, declaring (so it looks) war: 'a war however cannot be prevented... The last red line has been crossed with this morning’s attacks and the Federal government is therefore forced into a military confrontation.' @CrisisGroup 's @wdavison10 tells @AP :
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
We @CrisisGroup will be publishing a new #SouthSudan briefing on Monday, as the Nov 12 deadline nears. Stay tuned.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Today, Uganda and Sudan have brokered a 100-day delay to the formation of the #SouthSudan unity govt. This veers us off the cliff edge and preserves the ceasefire. We must see sustained political mediation at highest levels to move this forward... not only at the final moments!
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Out now: the first episode of our new @CrisisGroup podcast, The Horn! Here, @dickinsonbeth and I discuss the rising role of Gulf powers in the Horn of Africa. Listen, subscribe, enjoy 🙏- Apple: Spotify: (and everywhere else!)
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Super excited for this partnership with @RadioMiraya broadcasting @CrisisGroup ’s The Horn to listeners across #SouthSudan . #SSOT
@RadioMiraya
Radio Miraya
4 years
The Horn can be heard on Radio Miraya every Thursday evening from 8pm. #SSOT
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Very unusual midday heavy rains in Nairobi. It’s official. God has joined the boycott.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Oh boy did the media / observers sleep on the irregularities and missing forms in the Kenya election. #peacejournalism
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Riek ‘cannot accept’ Kiir’s 10+3 decree on states. Hard to overstate how little sympathy this position will receive. Still, we are much nearer than before. #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
#SouthSudan ’s war erupted 5 years ago. My take here on the prospects for finally ending it, and what still needs to be done.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 months
The 'Libya' scenario never seemed likely in #Sudan , as it implied a surging RSF would settle for Sudan's western poorer half. With the launch of RSF's new offensive east, the Sudan war may be plunging into its next, even more dangerous phase. Sadly, diplomacy lags far behind.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
There’s a bias in the international system against decentralized governance. Diplos and external powers generally prefer a singular throne to engage with. ‘Less messy.’ That itself is an underlying driver of conflict that is always difficult to weight.
@RAbdiAnalyst
Rashid Abdi
3 years
Physics of federalism. When you monopolise, accumulate power at the centre you a create a vast pressure cooker. In the end it explodes. When you delegate, devolve power you create safety valve, ease pressure, empower regions, earn credibility and legitimacy.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Ladies and gents, Ep 2 of our new @CrisisGroup podcast The Horn starring ... @Nanjala1 ! Loved loved loved this convo. We discuss her book, Kenyan elections, digital colonialism, the revolutions in Ethiopia / Sudan. Here, or on ITunes etc. Subscribe!
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Investigative journalism at its best. @SimonaFoltyn succeeds where Clooney failed: Finding #SouthSudan ’s corruption.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Can #SouthSudan ’s ceasefire hold? @Rob_Malley and I met with both Kiir and Machar. We still aren’t sure. But we argue here in the @TheAtlantic why #SouthSudan ’s fragile, partial peace is worth trying to save.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
The #SouthSudan peace deal is stalling. Here’s what it will take to salvage it. Our @CrisisGroup report:
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
The @_AfricanUnion Peace and Security Council suspends #Sudan , again, following the Monday coup.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
For those in London, I’ll be speaking at Chatham House @AfricaProg in 2 weeks on the conflict in #SouthSudan ’s Equatoria region. Come say hi.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
And, we’re back! Kicking things off for us on the podcast, @CrisisGroup ’s @EroComfort discusses what has — and hasn’t — changed in the geopolitics of peace on the continent during her near-decade as Africa director. (Plus: #Sudan #Somalia #Ethiopia )
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Exciting new position in @CrisisGroup 's Africa team, focused on climate + conflict. Share around.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Lest we forget. What is peace? When these 2 million #SouthSudan refugees go home. (Map: @issafrica )
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Lest we forget: your occasional reminder why wars in #SouthSudan are not winnable. Not any time soon.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
The African Union’s #AUPSC gives #Sudan military a 15 day ultimatum to ‘step aside and hand over power to a transitional civilian-led’ govt. And, otherwise throws some serious diplo-shade.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Incredible show of courage, tenacity, and strength today in #Sudan . Despite no internet, Sudanese shut down Khartoum with huge new protests. Quit overestimating the power of the TMC. Power of guns v. power of the street. The guns are divided; the street is not (yet).
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
I've published this @CrisisGroup explainer on #Sudan 's political impasse and what a breakthrough could look like. Sudan's youth have upended the country's decrepit politics. Now the (huge) challenge is finding a path forward. The country teeters.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Our @CrisisGroup statement on the extremely concerning situation in #Sudan . More pressure especially needed on the Gulf patrons of Sudan’s military council.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Salva Kiir and Riek Machar finally sit down to talk in Juba. Smiling. If only they’d decided to do this months ago. #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
1 year
Very grateful to have managed to record this convo earlier this week w/ @Amjedfarid -- a fmr top official in Hamdok's govt and longtime activist -- from Khartoum about the war, what went wrong in #Sudan , and why Sudanese are so angry.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
👏👏👏 The UN Security Council is walking back from its demands for a unity #SouthSudan govt on Nov 12. This is absolutely the right — and necessary — call. There are no shortcuts to finishing the political mediation. Not, anyway, if what we care about is the ceasefire.
@AmbassadorAllen
Jonathan Allen
5 years
As President of the Security Council, I've been authorised to deliver this message on behalf of #UNSC ⤵️ Full implementation of all provisions of the peace agreement remains the only path that will set #SouthSudan towards the goal of peace, stability & development 🇸🇸 @unmissmedia
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Happy Independence Day, Junubin. Better years await.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
10 months
In our @CrisisGroup latest on the war in #Sudan , we update on military dynamics, argue for a renewed push to try and end the war, and plea plea plea for better diplomacy. Grim reading but as strong of a call for peace as we can muster:
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
Now out: Our urgent @CrisisGroup briefing on the political impasse in #SouthSudan and the fast approaching Nov 12 deadline. We firmly warn that the diplomatic pressure on the two sides to form a govt next week risks another collapse.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
The Catholic bishops of #SouthSudan just dropped a master class on all worrying about peace deal and its non-implementation. And this isn’t all.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 months
New @CrisisGroup statement on #Sudan warns of the perilous new direction of the civil war and makes yet another plea plea plea for a more serious effort to halt it. Sudan’s Calamitous Civil War: A Chance to Draw Back from the Abyss | Crisis Group
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
Baba Raila draws a massive crowd in Mathare. People scale buildings to catch a glimpse.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
What might US diplomacy in Africa look like under Biden? Does the US have an African strategy? A Horn strategy? What to expect from Biden on #Ethiopia ? New, on The Horn, a convo w/ @CrisisGroup 's Brittany Brown. Listen in. 🙏
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
This is big. As the Gulf noses itself deeper into #Sudan , #SouthSudan is no longer quite so distant from the Red Sea.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
2 years
Today, @CrisisGroup sounds the alarm that #Ethiopia is slipping back into full-blown war, one of world's deadliest. Peace talks remain within reach, but we need better, more coordinated high-level diplomacy to get the two sides to the table. Here's how👇
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
#SouthSudan civil society statement calls for a new '100 day roadmap' towards forming a unity govt, warning that the country is not ready for the Nov 12 deadline.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
The @nytimes snoops out the ex-Janjaweed fighters and Darfuri children hired by Saudi Arabia to fight in Yemen
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
7 years
I wonder how long before anyone on Kenyan television says the word Kisumu.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
6 years
Just what #SouthSudan needs: another rebel movement bidding for a seat at the table. Ending #SouthSudan ’s worst kept secret, ousted army chief Paul Malong officially declares himself a rebel.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
5 years
The #SouthSudan peace process is at serious risk of de-railing following the UNSC visit to Juba. Diplos must now redouble efforts to salvage the situation. The strategy to simply pressure on Nov 12 deadline has already failed. It’s time to pivot. Thread below.
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Coming soon... next week, in fact. #SouthSudan
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Now out, on @CrisisGroup 's The Horn: I speak with @AnnetteWeber1 on souring #Sudan - #Ethiopia ties, the al-Fashaga dispute, the risk of greater conflict, if #IGAD is worth saving, the EU's evolving strategy towards the Horn of Africa, + more. Tune in🙏
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
3 years
Tomorrow, @CrisisGroup will be releasing a briefing on the insurgency in Equatoria #SouthSudan , and how to reach a peace deal. 🙏
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@alanboswell
Alan Boswell
4 years
Don't miss this convo with our great @CrisisGroup Africa director Dr. @EroComfort about the evolving politics of conflicts and outside powers in Africa. Next up on The Horn: Darfur. Tune in Tues.
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