Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Bernie Rayno

@AccuRayno

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Chief Video Meteorologist for @AccuWeather -Penn State Meteorology Proud (1990)-Eat,Sleep & breathe Green Bay Packers.Views expressed here are my own

State College, Pa

https://t.co/PHXkV6SaZn

Joined April 2011

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@AccuRayno

Bernie Rayno

4 days

Severe weather outbreak, including tornadoes early next week. Plains Monday, Midwest Tuesday. You can't get a tough this deep coming into California without severe weather 2-3 days later. Chaos to Clarity breaks down the pattern. Watch here:

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Another Major Tornado Outbreak Looms For the Plains

In today's "Chaos to Clarity" Bernie Rayno warns us that another major tornado outbreak is coming. Get the why, and find out if anything weatherwise can stop...

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@AccuRayno

Bernie Rayno

3 years

my wife and I are expecting our first child. I plan on reading our son these fantastic books written by the one and only ⁦ @JaniceDean ⁩

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

It is my honor to introduce my son Reeve Lynn Rayno.I now have an amazing son to go with my beautiful wife,Tyler.He was named after 3 great men.(1) Ken REEVES my friend and mentor-RIP (2)Terry LYNN Ishler, my wife’s father (3) Bernard Joseph RAYNO my dad-RIP. Off from weather.

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

find it amazing how many "know it alls" there are during a snow storm. I have meteorology degree from Penn State, 30 years of operation forecasting yet I am humbled everyday by the atmosphere. I realize that there is so much stuff I need to learn and get better at.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Join my daddy at 8pm tonight for twitter live. He is unavailable until then since I have his phone

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Happy it’s Saturday after a busy week of weather

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

Models didn’t miss the snowstorm across the Northeast, I did. blaming a model for a bad forecast is a cop out and just plain embarrassing. The models are suppose to be tools to make a forecast. I missed this forecast not due to a model but due to forecast choices I made.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

I have no words to describe how blessed my wife and I are to have him ( our son Reeve) I am really enjoying my time off and it is only 1 day

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

Back in the office today. This is my son’s (Reeve) reaction after his first full bath last night

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

Honored #ams2023

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

THUMP with snow squall at my house

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

My first fathers day present. My son Reeve.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

He ALWAYS brightens my day. Taking my son Reeve home from daycare. #blessed

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

Merry Christmas and happy holidays to everyone. I am off until Wednesday. Looking forward to spending Christmas with my family.

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

My son Reeve was the cutest bat ever for his first Halloween

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

My son Reeve is ready for GameDay.. #wearePennState

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

My son Reeve last his reaction when I mention t-storms. Perhaps meteorology is in his future?

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

My wife and I may never come back from the Turks and Caicos...perhaps there is need for a meteorologist here?

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Fun in the snow with my son Reeve

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

and as a I predicted those that were telling me that the storm was over and that I was way overdone in NYC and Philly are now telling me that I need to raise my amounts. It never ends. I will be back later.

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

I will be recording a video today. I will post here when it is ready

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

Everything I look at says watch East Coast Monday into Tuesday. The ECMWF (left) weakens and strings out the trough with little or no storm. However GFS and CMC (right) both show a sharpening trough approaching the east coast resulting in a storm. I lean toward GFS and CMC

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

Potential for accumulating snow from Midwest to Northeast Thursday into Friday. Key is digging N branch trof (providing cold air injection) and upper low, currently off SoCal coast, running out ahead of the northern trof...As usual, timing is everything and this is 5 days away.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

During a NE snowstorm there is a ebbing & flowing with model data (shifting west & east).This occurs frequently with the SFC/QPF. This is why I focus on 500mb.This is referred to as the Windshield Wiper Effect.Many who thght I was overdone with snow will now tell me I'm underdone

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

A good friend and person

@MassachusettsWx

Matthew Ferreira | MassachusettsWx

@MassachusettsWx

3 months

@AccuRayno Yes, you helped me get out of my wheelchair as I was struggling, was very nice to meet you!

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

I have learned to appreciate the mute button on twitter.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

Here is an updated map or two for late this week. Dark blue is where blizzard criteria will be met. Draw a line from from Kansas City to St Louis. North of that line is 6+". The light blue is a 1-3 ish area. Also there will be the potential for a flash freeze.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

On a lighter note. My son Reeve made this artwork at daycare. One wonders why it isn’t already hanging in a museum

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

This is a very tricky forecast for the Northeast Thursday. Perhaps the GFS is to cold. However, this is arctic air which tends to move father south than you think. I would not discount the GFS at all.

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Bernie Rayno

7 years

Can't believe I am 50!!!!the crew bought me some presents to help celebrate the day. @lauravelasquez took picture

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Something to watch. I here my gumba @BigJoeBastardi mentioned a few days ago.This is Sun Feb 4. UL in New Eng delivers a shot of colder air before lifting. Southern UL has room to comes north. Dump of snow on northern side across mid-Atlantic. Lets watch.

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

Dorian to turn north. I will explain why I don’t believe OTS

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

I am firmly on board with a big storm late next wk. Digging trough/injection of arctic air argues for a sizeable storm. The map below is my "first forecast". The actual snow area will be small than this, but this is the "threat zone for a snowstorm" IMO. @breakingweather

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

Finally walking away from Twitter to go to bed…

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

I did figure out how to do twitter live, I needed to update the twitter AP. I am planning on a twitter live tonight at 8pm (after I put my son to sleep). If that changes I will send an update out. Join if interested. I will discuss the Northeast snowstorm.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

IMO.There are many ripping the computer guidance.I think the models have been fantastic. Highlighting a big storm more than 10 days away.Anyone that is looking for the exact details a week a way you are using the models as a fcst instead of a tool to make a fcst.

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

you know its been a quiet winter when going 3-6" when someone else is going 1-3 turns into a huge talking point. Then again, that's the life of a meteorologist that I signed up for.....many years ago when I had the best mullet, wore ripped jeans and had an earing.

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

I am very skeptical of the 12z EURO. Stalled boundary with along the gulf coast with arctic air across the Midwest and additional energy dropping south tells me there is a storm threat along the coast Monday into Tuesday. I am going to continue with that messaging.

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

I owe you a map for early next wk (Mon-Wed) so here it is. Everything I look at tells me there is a storm threat along the east coast next week. So much so that I am ignoring the ECMWF. For most the snow accumulation will be less than 6. The exception would be eastern new England

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

A week from now. key is the upper low across New Eng. Does it drive the southern piece out to sea or up the coast. the circle along the western end of the trough currently drives the storm out to sea.If the mean trough is further west then its up the coast and a big snowstorm

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

I see 18z GFS shifted west. I suspect the shifting west will continue over the weekend. However, there will be a shift back to the eas, I bet early next week. I will try to a video over the weekend. But as you may guessed I like my snow potential map.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

my apologies twitter live delayed..My son getting to sleep late tonight

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

what snow lovers should be happy about the 00Z is that it is consistent....Ok, that's it for me...good night.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

This is the set-up I have been waiting for.Trough digs into East (GFS-Sun am) if energy across southern branch can run out of ahead of trough,a storm will move along the coast or further inland, if southern energy lags it is out to sea.All scenarios possible. @breakingweather

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Happy Monday. My son Reeve isn’t impressed

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

STATEMENT FROM BERNIE RAYNO (LOL, I always wanted to write that): I have seen this many times in the past. You ride the NAM on this, it isn't perfect and will likely be overdone in some areas, but overall it will out perform the GFS and EURO. Twitter live at 5:45 am.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

@NsfwWx . I did mention you in my latest twitter live pertaining to our conversation pertaining to the southern piece of energy. I did so since you brought it to my attention. I always give credit. Good luck with storm

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Stepping away from twitter so I can stop obsessing over the storm. I may do another twitter live at 8pm. I will let you know.

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

If you are a snow-lover you have to be excited about the overall weather pattern. There are multiple shots with the first major threat Sunday into Monday. There are others. Video is coming...

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Bernie Rayno

8 months

Long way away, but this is very precarious set-up along NE coast for Lee mid-next wk. Where does trough set-to in relation to Upper high? Will there be enough trough to steer east of U.S. I am unsure and euro 8pm next fri looks scary as lee would be drawn toward U.S.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

Windshield wiper effect.Old euro on left,new Euro (upper right).Euro has shifted west & I think the GFS will follow suit at 00z run ton. My forecast remains unchanged.I believe the upper low track will be west of I-95 & a midwest track is possible. shifting guidance will continue

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

What a view from my hotel room #ams2024

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Follow the trough. No question the GFS (left) has shifted west with axis and tilt.The ECMWF (right) hasn't changed location, but upper low cuts off sooner.I don't think the GFS is far enough west with the precip. SNOWSTORM.I still like my threat area for now. Twitter live at 8pm.

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

A Christmas Eve tradition at Rayno household. I make The World Famous Ken Reeves ( RIP my friend) crab dip

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Bernie Rayno

5 months

so you say there is a chance.. in about 10 days are some ingredients for at least the chc for snow in the Northeast. It starts with a true injection of cold air while energy comes into the west coast. The time frame would be around Jan 1-3 #Northeastsnow

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

Video coming later today. While there will be a general 1-3 inches with storm thu night into Fri. There will be a band of 3-6 on the northern edge of strong shortwave moving across VA. I have the area highlighted.

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Bernie Rayno

8 months

95l will be a hurricane this week and probably a major as it moves north of the islands late this week. Precarious set-up by mid-next week. While trough off eastern seaboard should pick it up, if it missed the connection than look out NC coast on north. More on this tue am

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Is it so hard to believe that someone ( meaning me) is willing to try to forecast not what the models are showing 3 and 1/2 days prior to a storm but what they think is going to happen based on simple meteorology?

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

due to popular demand (2-3 people have asked for one). I am going to do a periscope at 7pm...

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

SNEAKY SNOW FRI NIGHT. Injection of cold air (left) pushes into mid-Atlantic Friday. Digging trough (upper right) & lead shortwave will produce snow from Midwest to mid-Atlantic. Strong upward motion (lower right) with 1-3" of snow with isolated amounts of 4 or 5"

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Bernie Rayno

4 years

Me and my twin brother Steve. As you can see we are fraternal not identical twins. As I mentioned, I am going to try do a video tonight

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

it's been a long day. I am off twitter until early tom am. While I tossed the Euro earlier today, the concern is that Euro has right idea, that is a push south. While most storms shift back & forth, this storm's windshield wiper effect has been on steroids.

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

“Red in the morning sailors warning”. Sunrise at AccuWeather headquarters

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

I have no changes to my thinking.Very early in the game. (1) injection of arctic air argues for a snowstorm and blizzard is in the conversation. (2) unsure on exact location of digging trough (3) Windshield wiper effect warning as guidance shifts (4) Widespread cold Christmas day

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Bernie Rayno

4 years

My twin brother and I. I guess there is “some resemblance”

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

First periscope of the winter season coming this evening...I will release the time when I know, still at gym. A setup we see every winter is on the way. I do appreciate anybody taking time out of their day to watch...I will try to keep the waffling to a minimum...maybe

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

(3) More importantly there is FRESH INJECTION OF COLD AIR Sat nt-Sun. Look at the sfc map Sun A.M. (ECMWF).THIS IS A TEXT BOOK Sfc map for a NE Snowstorm. Strong H in New Eng with a developing L to the south. We have a long way to go, but everything is there. @breakingweather

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Bernie Rayno

7 years

it has been a long day. I am headed to bed. alarm rings at 3 am. Tomorrow and Tue will be very long days for me. Why I got into this field.

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Bernie Rayno

7 years

I use to think that no one liked snow more than me. I have learned that there are a number of people that are fanatics about snow. #scary

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

Snow underway at AccuWeather headquarters in State College,PA

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

let the games begin. Snow and ice west of I-95 Friday into Saturday. Is it mid-atlantic or Northeast. The key is the location of the Upper Low. Euro to the left points to New England, GFS on right points to Mid-Atlantic. Not sure yet.

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

alarm rings at 4am. I will have a periscope Wednesday morning..likely before 8am...I will tweet out time.....appreciate everyone's interaction....

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

off to bed..twitter live at 5:30 am Thursday. Is it Friday yet? I did record a twitter live and it is pinned to my feed. Have a good night.

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

set the alarm for Thu. Here is the set-up. Split flow. Northern branch brings in the cold while southern piece (circled) is the storm.Does northern piece suppress southern piece or steer to the north. My snow area (if there is a NE move) on right. EURO shown (left)

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Split flow early next Sun.ECMWF (left) is from Sun eve. Southern branch energy needs to run ahead of northern branch (for snow) if not,it gets buried across the Southeast resulting in rain not snow. My snow area is further where I think the cold arrives (if storm is guided north)

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

Many are asking about what happened with this storm. Why the missed forecasts? It’s simple there is too much emphasis on model qpf and not enough focus on basic meteorology. I even lowered my totals (based of stupid qpf) which caused my forecast to be underdone in areas.

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

My wife and I celebrating our 9 year anniversary at ⁦⁦ @Nemacolin ⁩. A cold but fun hour on horses!

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

big storm coming but I only had to mute (I only block in extreme cases) one jerk today...really not bad at all.

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

While we are in between storms...I ran across the 1990 Penn State year book (the year I graduated ). Can you find me without looking at the names on the left? Hint, I had more hair than I do now.

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Sun night is family night. Getting off X until tom am. It appears I am on an island..again. My forecast remains the same. I believe my meteorology is sound and I will stand on it. I will change my forecast when I believe it is time. It's not the time.

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Bernie Rayno

3 years

I am only 10 hours away from my 12" California Cheese steak, then passing out on the couch at 9:30 pm.

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

No changes in thinking. I like this map. 12z Tue guidance buried the storm across the SE, then 00z runs brought back to the North. Expect these swings back & forth to continue. If the storm takes a northern track it will likely strengthen as it approaches the coast.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

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Bernie Rayno

3 months

Nothing has changed with my thinking. Below is the 7am Mon ECMWF (GFS is similar). Does the northern branch drive the southern piece up into the mid-atl or south across the Southeast. Air north of the system is cold enough for snow. I will post a snow map where I think it can be)

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Monday we start with the widespread snow and ice threat from Texas to the Midwest to the Northeast. Another arctic surge of air with a slow moving trough. these are tricky. Time frame is Tuesday night into Friday.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

Icompare the 00z (last night) GFS 500 mb to the 18Z (Current) 500 mb for 1pm sat. Overall the trough is stronger & now instead of energy rocking east south of the Cape (00Z on left), the upper low is cutting off (18z right). The outcome a push west of precip. My forecast stands

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

That's a wrap on this storm. Taking the weekend off and getting ready for my #Packers game Saturday night. Have a great weekend? Go Pack Go!

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Bernie Rayno

9 years

I am very humble and honored at the opportunity that has been given to me. http://t.co/8s6mYdqVcw

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

Very interesting along the East Coast Tue next week.12z ECMWF control run as a weaker trough compared to 00z run which means flatter wave & a better chc for snow along I-95 from DCA to Boston. I discussed this in my podcast which is pinned to my page. Tue eve maps shown below

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

18z gfs holds it positioning upper low.I think the GFS upper low placement (farther south & east) is better than the ECMWF. I think the shortwave coming into BC will be able to dig farther south than EURO shows. Far south means as it lifts it will be farther east.

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

EURO 7pm Wednesday Jan 3..this is razor thin at either OTS or up the coast. If it is up the coast it has arctic air to work with..(1) shows the southern piece just out ahead of N trof (2) shows the northern trof which has just gone negative tilt. Very close

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Bernie Rayno

6 years

The modeling with Florence will change throughout the wknd. The current EURO/GFS tracks are likely wrong in some way.If u understand the why,u may be able to anticipate future changes.I try to do this in periscope.I want to make sure I use the model as a tool not as a fcst.

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

Interesting that the gfs showed this yesterday, energy dropping into southern trof resulting in the push north of precip. This, IF correct would push snow further north

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

back from the dead....will likely do a persicope later today once I familiarize myself with the weather pattern.

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Bernie Rayno

8 months

I am issuing a "Windshield wiper warning" for Lee late nxt wk.There will be swings back & forth with modeling, the same swings that occur with snowstorms.I am focusing on the strength/positioning of the incoming trough late next wk to determine the track.

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Hurricane Lee explodes to Category 5 strength prior to Caribbean, US impacts

Hurricane Lee has intensified into a Category 5 storm as it nears the Caribbean islands. It will eventually track toward the United States. At the very least, a significant risk of dangerous rip...

www.accuweather.com

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Bernie Rayno

5 years

Snow lovers rejoice; much to be excited about

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Bernie Rayno

1 year

last thought for a while.This happens in almost every storm.The windshield wiper effect.The shifting west then probably east again will go on through the wknd and into next week. My overall thoughts & snow potential remains the same.A snowstorm is coming, blizzard is on the table

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

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Bernie Rayno

4 months

What a next 10 days. Blizzard across SW Plains today, Midwest snowstorm ton into Tue. Next and stronger storm further east for the Midwest Fri into Sat could evolve into a blizzard for cities like #Chicago . BTW watch out East Coast early next week.

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Bernie Rayno

2 years

There is no way I am issuing specific snow accumulation forecast this far out. Having said that I like the snow potential map we issued yesterday. Anywhere in blue is where I think the storm will have an impact, threat for 6" or more. More details here:

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