Have the Rider-Manhattan game from yesterday on in the background while I work from home. Look up at the screen for a second and HEY WHY’S THE SAINT JOE’S HAWK THERE
The point differential net rating for each
@A10MBB
team for each of the past 10 seasons.
@VCU_Hoops
,
@DaytonMBB
, and
@DavidsonMBB
are the top 3 in average net rating over the last 10 seasons of teams that were in the
#A10MBB
at least 2 seasons over that time.
🎯📊 Here is the 3-point attempt rate and 3-Point % for
@A10MBB
players taking at least 35% of their shots from the perimeter. Remarkably, nineteen of these
#A10MBB
players are shooting 40% from three or better this season. 🔥🏀
📝 Why Every Team Will Definitely Win/Lose the
#A10MBB
Tournament
📊 The numbers behind why your favorite team will definitely win 🏆 the
@A10MBB
tournament...
or lose their first game this week. 🗑
Another
@peteybuckets
request had me looking at how
@A10MBB
teams have performed in "clutch" situations this year.
We're defining clutch situations as with less than 5 minutes to go and the score within 5.
#A10MBB
With the addition of
@JavonBennett9
,
@DaytonMBB
add the player with the second highest steal rate in the country last season. I had to adjust my polar plot to fit his 4.74 standard deviations above average he put up!
Usage rate and true shooting for
@A10MBB
players averaging at least 15 minutes a game.
27 of these
#A10MBB
players fall in the top right quadrant having a higher than average usage rate and true shooting, meaning they are efficient scoring with while being more involved.
Two key offensive pieces from Utah State following Ryan Odom to VCU. Max Shulga is a really well rounded guard while Sean Bairstow is a dangerous stretch forward.
Jacob Conner adds a new dimension to
@DaytonMBB
's frontcourt, with over half his shots from beyond the arc last season. His impressive assist rate showcases playmaking ability not common for big men, while also using his size to chase down rebounds.
#GoFlyers
Marshall transfer Jacob Conner has committed to Dayton.
The 6’8” sophomore forward from Dayton, OH started 32/33 games. Conner averaged 6.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, 2.8 assists, and 1.1 steals.
Bob McKillop only spent 8 of his 33 years at
@DavidsonMBB
in the
@A10MBB
, but he still amassed the 13th most wins for a coach in the
#A10MBB
ever.
Congrats on a great career Coach and enjoy your retirement.
🏀📝Previewing the Atlantic 10: What We Know and What We Don't Know
It's
#NCAA
Men's Basketball Preview season, so I put together some graphs for each team in the
@A10MBB
and discuss what we may know and what we don't coming into the season.
#A10MBB
Presenting a table of the top Freshman in the
@A10MBB
so far.
These talented 10 Freshman have the highest game score this season in the
#A10MBB
and have showcased their impactful contributions in their first year.
Game score is an equation to estimate a player's contribution.
Seen some
@A10MBB
Player of the Year discussion, so thought I'd update the top
#A10MBB
players in John Hollinger's Game Score stat.
This isn't to suggest game score is the be all, end all for an award like this, just providing a reference point for the discussion!
Still tinkering with the model, but using
@recspecs730
data repo from his
#ncaahoopR
package, I built an expected point value model from
#NCAAMBB
shots last season. Here are some of the results, the lighter the dot the higher the expected point value from a shot.
In their win over Davidson last night,
@VCU_Hoops
shot 50% from three which was their highest % of the season.
However, in recent games the Rams have really shot it well from the perimeter. In their first 12 games, they shot 29.76% from 3. In their last 6, they've hit 42.45%.
There has been a respectful discourse on A10 Twitter who the best point guard in the conference is. Perhaps this can add some more to that discussion...
Of course it's not only point guards, but here are the assist rate leaders of
#A10MBB
players who average 15 minutes a game.
Seen some
#A10MBB
discourse on player of the week/year choices recently.
Using
@johnhollinger
's Game Score calculation, here are the top 20
@A10MBB
players so far this season.
🏀🔥
@RhodyMBB
stages a stunning comeback, erasing an 18-point deficit to secure a thrilling victory against Yale. Clutch jump shooting sealed the deal.
#A10MBB
#GoRhody
Good article on
@TheAthleticCBB
about this VCU’s squads chances as a giant killer if the make the tournament.
A good paragraph as well about how scheduling and the landscape of college basketball has impacted the Rams and the rest of the A10.
VCU have looked like a team well aware they need to win three games to get the March Madness. A very professional performance by the Rams so far.
The only nit to pick with them today is the up to this point 20.3% turnover rate. They've struggled with turnovers all season.
Shooting 45% from 3-point range, if anything Anderson didn't shoot enough from the perimeter for FGCU. I don't think he'll have the same problem with Tony Skinn and
@MasonMBB
.
🏀🚫 So far this season, the
@A10MBB
has had plenty of stout rim defenders. These are the 10
#A10MBB
players with the highest block rate so far and the FG% at the rim opponents are shooting when they are on and off the court.
Posh Alexander, the latest addition to
@DaytonMBB
's lineup, showcased his playmaking skills at Butler, excelling in assisting teammates while also demonstrating a knack for creating turnovers with steals.
With the caveats of both a small sample & some teams "ain't play nobody Paul!" literally and figuratively, here's an early look at
@A10MBB
usage rate and points per possession.
Goodness, Javonte Perkins has been good so far.
#A10
#A10MBB
Updated NCAA Net Rankings for the
@A10MBB
after yesterday's
#A10MBB
games. In a weekend where Davidson and Saint Louis lose, Dayton now have the best Net Ranking. VCU and Davidson still with a positive Wins Above Bubble while SLU still within reach of a positive WAB.
Usage rate and points per shot for
@A10MBB
players averaging at least 15 minutes a game.
#A10MBB
He was huge in
@MasonMBB
's win over Dayton and we see Ronald Polite in the "High Usage, High Efficiency" quadrant here.
The
#A10MBB
Player of the Week is
@DaytonMBB
Toumani Camara
He averaged 21.5 points and 12.5 rebounds while shooting .700 (14-of-20) from the field and .800 (4-for-5) beyond the arc.
✈️🔴🔵
@DaytonMBB
shooting sees DaRon Holmes with a huge 30% usage with good efficiency while Nate Santos seemingly has barely missed any shots so far.
#GoFlyers
#LOWD
A look at 3-point shooting for
@A10MBB
players this season. On this chart we see the % of the player's total field goal attempts are from 3 and their 3-Pt %.
There is also the trend line that shows how 3-Pt % moves among these players as the % of shots a player takes from 3.
Usage rate and true shooting % for
@A10MBB
players averaging at least 20 minutes a game through yesterday's games.
Before
@DaytonMBB
went to Orlando, Elijah Weaver had a TS% slightly below 55%.
After Orlando, Weaver's TS% was above 68%!
Yesterday was
@kenpomeroy
rankings release day.
I looked at the average KenPom rankings at the beginning and end of each season for each
@A10MBB
season. The point is the average end of season ranking for each
#A10MBB
team and the end of the arrow is the average for preseason.
Four factors and net ratings for
@a10mbb
after Feast Week. Note the net ratings are unadjusted for opponents. I don't think SLU is the 8th best team in the
#A10MBB
.
For the surprises with good underlying numbers though, I'd say the Bonnies and Spiders are most "real".
🏀
@DaytonMBB
's early success centers on DaRon Holmes dominating the free-throw line like he never has before.
His FT rate, 11% higher than any other
#A10MBB
player with at least 24 mins, showcases his impact. He has also boosted his FT% by 5.7% from last season.
This graph looks at the % of playing time each
@A10MBB
team has by class.
#A10MBB
@UMassBasketball
has the highest % of freshman & sophomores playing, making up 78% of playtime time.
@SpiderMBB
has the highest % of seniors on the court, accounting for 65.3% of all time.
I think to avoid the wrath of
@peachy__keane
, the A10 named DaRon Holmes the Player of the Week. Another huge week for Holmes, who almost averaged a double-double last week.
DaRon Holmes II averaged 29.5 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 3.0 blocks in two Dayton wins. The forward from Goodyear, Ariz., shot .679 (19-of-28) from the floor and .833 (20-for-24) from the line, and made one of the two 3-pointers he took.
Using K-Means Clustering to Guess How A10 Transfers will Play
Using a clustering algorithm, we try to categorize both
@A10MBB
players from last season and incoming transfers to try to learn how these newcomers might play.
Usage rate and points per true shooting attempt for
@A10MBB
players averaging at least 15 minutes a game this season.
After scoring 40 yesterday,
@GW_MBB
's James Bishop is averaging an above average 1.14 points per shot this season while having the highest usage rate in the A10.
Every
#A10MBB
side are 0-0 for at least another 2 hours, but how has each team done in the win column the past 5 seasons?
The table below show the wins and losses for each
@A10MBB
side the past five seasons (with one team obviously playing in another conference at that time).
Updated NCAA NET Rankings Table for the
@A10MBB
after a Saturday's worth of games.
📈 After a nice win over Dayton,
@SpiderMBB
moves up to a nice ranking in the NET. Neighbors
@VCU_Hoops
also up 4 spots after winning their 5th straight.
#A10MBB
The
@A10MBB
players with the highest block rate this season.
The table also has opponents FG % at the rim and attempt rate at the rim when each player is on and off the court.
#A10MBB
#FridA10
Graph showing the steal & block rate for
@A10MBB
who average 15 minutes a game.
@VCU_Hoops
Sophomores Jimmy Clark and Hason Ward get about 16 & 18 minutes a game but my goodness do they put up some impressive defensive stats when they're in.
There's a few non-con games still to go, but tomorrow brings us the first
@A10MBB
conference games, so lets look at some numbers for each
#A10MBB
's non-conference slate.
First, we have offensive & defensive ratings as well as four factors stats.
Head Coach Chris Mooney will undergo heart surgery next week and will miss the remainder of the season. All of Spider Athletics is committed to supporting Coach and his whole family during his recovery.
🔗
#OneRichmond
#SpiderNation
🕷️
When I've seen Brandon Johns, he's been impressive but it's perhaps no surprise that when David Shriver takes his place among the starters,
@VCU_Hoops
offensive rating is 33 points better so far this season.
#A10MBB
#LetsGoVCU
Utilizing John Hollinger's Game Score equation, these 10 transfers into the
@A10MBB
this season have the highest game score and have made an impact at their new teams, leaving their mark in the
#A10MBB
in their debut season so far.
🏀 Great performances by Holmes and Elvis and
@DaytonMBB
holds the 30th ranked offense in the country to 1.03 points per possession, securing a solid victory over Cincinnati.
#A10MBB
#LOWD
#GoFlyers
Net Rating and Wins Above Bubble table for the
@A10MBB
. Looking at their WAB, we see how big for their bubble cases tonight's games for VCU and St. Bonaventure are.
There’s plenty of other things that need improved but the conference needs to bring all the groups that do the ESPN+ broadcasts for each school and find a constant volume level. It seems like most broadcasts are too quiet but the ones that aren’t are obscenely loud.
DaRon Holmes II claims his FIFTH
#A10MBB
Player of the Week honor. Holmes averaged a double-double - 26.5 points & 10.5 rebounds - in two
@DaytonMBB
wins. He had 24 points / 11 rebounds vs. DUQ and 29 points / 10 rebounds and 3 assists vs. FOR
📰
In Kyle Lofton's absence, Jaren Holmes has taken over the playmaking duties for
@BonniesMBB
as well as scoring.
His assist rate is 23.6% so far this season, compared to 12.1% last season.
Injuries and the NCAA denying waivers have limited the roster for
@VCU_Hoops
but Jason Nelson has stepped into the Rams roster improving his finishing at the rim and perimeter shooting compared to last year across town.
#LetsGoVCU
For every
@A10MBB
player that averaged 20 min./game, this shows what their team's net rating was when they were on the floor.
Definitely some surprising names of players who were on the court when their team had the highest net rating, Tshimanga & French especially.
#A10MBB
Obviously these occurred in two other conferences, but here is how the new guys
@RamblersMBB
point differential net rating over the past ten season compares to the rest of the conference.
Three-point attempt rate by season for the last 10 seasons for current
@A10MBB
teams.
Last season seems to be the first where the trend line starts to drift a bit down when it comes to threes in the
#A10MBB
Also, Kim English arriving at Mason seems pretty clear eh?
@Swan_ASF
The last time I paid this much attention to Bradley basketball was when I was in a burrito place in Normal, IL and it had a mural of Illinois State and Bradley playing basketball except the players were burritos.
This experience is only slightly more surreal than that.
🏀📊 Curious about offensive efficiency in
@A10MBB
? Check out the usage rate and true shooting stats for every
#A10MBB
player averaging at least 13 minutes a game. Uncover who's leading the charge and making the most impact on their team's offense. 📈💪