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Get unparalleled insights into stocks, retail sales & 🏡 trends that are like a ticking time 💣. Dive into our comprehensive breakdown of market dynamics that's setting Wall Street 🫧
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨:
BANKS 📉
The financial world is on edge as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's alarming statement
“I EXPECT THERE TO BE BANK FAILURES”
* (when BTFP ends on Monday)
🚨BREAKING: BANKS 📉
*
@moodysratings
Downgrades regionals
- Moody's Downgrade Threatens 130 Regional Banks
- $10 Billion to $100 Billion market cap banks at Risk Due to High Commercial Real Estate Exposure
- **Analyst Ana Arsov Warns of Severe Financial Instability**
🚨BANKING CRISIS 🚨
Not only are regional banks continue their orderly selling BIG Banks are selling off drastically after a TERRIBLE Earnings report.
#banks
$JPM -5.5%
🚨 Breaking News: Federal Reserve's Discount-Window loans surged to $8.56 billion, up from $5.05 billion, raising concerns about banking stability. Increased borrowing suggests deeper sector challenges.
#bank
crisis is just getting started
**🚨 Regional Banking Crisis Alert! 🚨**
**Huntington Bank Spooks Investors, Shares Plunge 6%**
- **New Guidance:** Net interest income to fall 1% to 4% this year
- **Previous Range:** -2% to +2%
- **Impact:** Largest drop since March 2023
🚨BREAKING: BANKS 📉
•As
#Powell
announces higher for longer on interest rates banks are selling off as the
#BTFP
ends in 5 days and rate cuts are no where close to happening to save them.
🚨BANKS: IN FREE FALL 📉
•Last week
@ecb
cut interest rates even though inflation is not 2% with more & more data that comes out, seems like they cut rates because the Europe banking system is on the verge of 📉
The following Europe major banks leading with 📉 $DB $HSBC $BCS
🚨BREAKING: $NVDA DOJ investigation
•The Justice Department will look at whether Nvidia has violated antitrust laws
•The DOJ was also responsible investigated and prosecuted Enron. leading to convictions of key figures like CEO Jeffrey Skilling & founder Kenneth Lay.
🚨BANK EARNINGS 📉
Bank of America stock is down 5% today after reporting terrible earnings they’re profits -18%
All banks continue their selling as earnings. Come in terrible.
$bac
Someone should find out more about how The CEO of Coreweave Michael Intrator who use to work at ENRON & help manipulate the fraud there is not doing almost the same identical thing with $NVDA as Coreweave which is backed by Nvidia is their
#1
customer
The fraud is incredible.
🚨BANKS: UNDER PRESSURE 📉
Investors are worried that higher for longer rates & only a few more more months till the BTFP loans have to be paid back will cause issues for the banks as repo accounting tricks will end.
$cma $banc
🚨BREAKING: BANK DOWNGRADES🚨
**
@SPGlobalRatings
Downgrades 5 Major Regional Banks Due to High Exposures to CRE loans
-
@SPGlobalRatings
lowers outlook on First Commonwealth, M&T Bank, Synovus, Trustmark, & Valley National Bancorp.
- REAL ESTATE TAKES A HIT: 📉 Pending Home Sales Drop by -4.9%
- NEW LISTINGS SURGE: Largest Increase in 3 Years with a 13% Rise
- SALES DECLINE: Down by -8%, Defying Expectations of 1.5% Growth
-PRICES 📉: Down about -9% from high
🚨BREAKING: CoreWeave a $NVDA backed company or SPE has just secured $7.5 Billion Debt Financing Facility led by Blackstone & Magnetar
CoreWeave is $NVDA TOP CLIENT of Nvidia's chips
On top of that the company is using Nvidia GPUs as collateral for the fresh debt financing.
Why is the
@BLS_gov
removing the price of coffee from the inflation report?
Coffee is an important part of America prices, almost as important as gas prices (we already exclude gas) and we are removing it from the CPI INFLATION REPORT!
H/t
@DonMiami3
⚠️BANKS CONTINUE 📉
•As banks continue to use the discount window at the Fed no one knows which bank will fail next causing concerns in the banking sector
•this is after Troubled Philadelphia-based bank implodes in first failure of the year over the weekend
$sofi $db $banc
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: Fed's BTFP Hits Record High of $148 Billion! 🚨
- Unprecedented support for insolvent banks
- QE on steroids: Banks trade old bonds that were a loss for gains getting 100 cents on the dollar
- Program set to end in March
🚨BREAKING : CONSUMER Crisis as Credit Card Delinquency 📈
**Near Historic Peaks:** U.S. rates hit 94.8% of their peaks of 2008.
- Nationwide Impact: All regions saw at least a 32.2% increase in delinquent debt.
- Richest Hit Hard: Delinquency in wealthy ZIP codes rose 54%.
⚠️JUST IN: REGIONAL BANKS📉
• PIMCO Warns of Looming Wave of US Regional Bank Failures Due to Troubled Commercial Real Estate Loans
•PIMCO has been snapping up CRE loans offloaded by some large US banks for the past 18 months.
“The real wave of distress is just starting”
🚨BREAKING: BANKS 📉
*
@moodysratings
Downgrades regionals
- Moody's Downgrade Threatens 130 Regional Banks
- $10 Billion to $100 Billion market cap banks at Risk Due to High Commercial Real Estate Exposure
- **Analyst Ana Arsov Warns of Severe Financial Instability**
🚨BREAKING: BANKS🚨
$WFC which currently has massive losses (as stated on the chart below) just had one of the top executives commit suicide.
Greg Beckett responsibility at Wells Fargo was internal controls, with the focus of safeguarding the bank from any RISKS that could
🚨Banking Crisis: Bank Stocks 📉
**Led by Bank $OZK**
- **Bank OZK's Largest Loan:**
- $915M total, $135M for 'Echo Street West' in Atlanta possible default
- **Concerns:**
- major banks are too leveraged
- **Impact:**
- Major sell-off in bank stocks today
Another main story today is the 📉 in Health Care Insurance down -34% (doesnt make sense) but thanks to a NEW method by
@BLS_gov
Summary: It's not your premium they measure but health insurer PROFITS, factoring in plan differences. Company profits dip, causing the -34%.
🤡🌎
‼️OCT CPI INFLATION
•📈All Index 3.2%
•📈Core 4%
•📈Total 18% (since 2021)
🔘At 4% a year rate the Dollar 📉 -50% in purchasing power every 18 years.
Currently on year 3 of 18 & ahead of schedule at -18% loss in purchasing power (reported).
🚨**Breaking Fed News!**
**Fed Discount Window Update**
📈**Increase:** Up 27% to $6.79 billion this week!
- **Focus on Smaller Banks:** Continued emphasis on their impact and strategies to stay solvent
Today’s investing world has the shortest attention span in history & people fail to realize what lies ahead.
As the PCE inflation report that comes out on Friday MoM is 📈&coming in
.3% & .32%
which is now an annualized rate of
3.6%
a very far, far distance from 2% target
⚠️POLITICIANS BEG THE FED TO CUT RATES
@ewarren
wrote an open letter to Chair Powell to ignore his mandate by congress of stable prices by cutting interest rates NOW for the election that’s just 120 days away.
Classic Enron:
Yes, Enron used accounts receivable as part of their accounting tricks that contributed to the company's collapse. Enron engaged in a variety of complex and deceptive practices to hide debt and inflate earnings. One of the key methods involved manipulating
⚠️BANKS: 📉
- Inflation reports came in 🔥
- Indicates higher interest rates for longer duration 📈
- Puts pressure on banks due to inverted yield curve ✈️🛩️
- Difficulty in making 💵 for banks
- Presence of toxic ☢️assets on banks' books, from bonds to loans
🚨 Bank Crisis Intensifies: Troubled Lenders Surge to 63 in Q1 2024 -
•
@FDICgov
confidential Problem Bank List 📈 21% as distressed institutions
• investors fears of further failures that could trigger economic shockwaves the back half of the year.
$BANC $CMA $VLY $NYCB
⚠️Breaking News: Bank of California Stock Price Plummets by -7%
- No Immediate news for Sharp 📉
- Company Recently Missed EPS -22%
- Banking stress continues
- BANC is one of the largest banks in California
#BankOfCalifornia
#StockMarket
#FinanceNews
$BANC
15 years ago Obama passed a massive (at the time) $700 billion dollar stimulus plan to stimulate the economy.
In 2024 we are running a $2 trillion deficit in a “non recession”
To put things into perspective with
#inflation
🚨BREAKING: Banking Stress Escalates
- FED discount-window loans hit $6.46B for the week ended June 12th, up from $6.19B.
- Significant increase signals rising stress in the banking sector.
- Experts warn of increased reliance on emergency funding especially in regional banks
BANK FAILURE OF 2024 HAS BEGUN
Regulators Set to Seize Troubled Philadelphia Bank Republic First
The bank had some of the same problems as the ones that failed in 2023
🚨BREAKING: BANKS 📉
•As
#Powell
announces higher for longer on interest rates banks are selling off as the
#BTFP
ends in 5 days and rate cuts are no where close to happening to save them.
As the financial markets week kicks off,
regional
#banks
continue their
#bloodbath
as The Feds Powell will announce Higher for longer at the
#FOMC
meeting on Wednesday.
#Gold
closes at its highest price in history at $2,215
•the value increase of 709% since the Fed embarked upon ZIRP/NIRP policy of 2000
•this has outperformed both the
#SP500
& $Nasdaq since 2000
•this also means the US Dollar purchasing power just hit a new low
🚨 Mega Crash Alert: Blackstone Mortgage Trust on the Brink 📉💥
🏢 Loans backed by commercial real estate in jeopardy ⚠️
💰 Liquidity crisis looms; default risk rising 📈
💼 Muddy Waters predicts borrowers unable to refinance even if Fed cut rates to 4%
🚨 Breaking: Federal 🖨️💵
💵 The Fed is injecting liquidity into the market through various facilities , raising concerns
📈 BTFP reaches a new record high, signaling heightened worries for banks
🔄 Repo 🖨️💵 on the rise, indicating stress in the financial plumbing.
🚨FED 🖨️💵 ALERT🚨
Federal Reserve 🖨️💵 $2B Discount-Window Loans Amidst Financial Strain
**Bullet Points:**
- $2.2B in loans provided for the week ending February 28th
- Banking stress apparent as BTFP ENDS IN 10 days
🚨BREAKING:🏡 PRICES 📉 -17%
2023- $394,300 median home price
2022- $479,000
•Home prices have nosedived by a staggering 17% from their 2022 peak. In September, the median home price was $394,300, & with interest rates 🚀 to 8%, brace for even further price📉 as demand
#BTFP
is this bubbles version of Repo 105
Repo 105 was an accounting tactic by Lehman Brothers, moving assets off the balance sheet to boost financial health. It was criticized for being misleading after the fact , & played a role in the 2007-2008 financial crisis.
🚨BREAKING: 🏡🫧
Latest data from
@Redfin
•Housing Supply is 📈
-Total Supply up 35%
•Housing Prices 📉 from their 22 Peak
- $480k ➡️ $387k
•Housing Demand 📉
-BIGGEST DECLINES since Feb
Median ask is $420k median sold $387k
That is the spread
🚨BREAKING: FED DISCOUNT WINDOW 📈
FED DISCOUNT-WINDOW LOANS $7.02B IN THE WEEK
*The latest data suggest that mostly regional banks are using the discount window as they are the ones with the worst balance sheets.
‼️FED 🖨️💵 ALERT
🔘BANK TERM FUNDING HITS A NEW RECORD HIGH $114.09 BILLION!
•The increase in BTFP started at the end of October providing liquidity for the
#StockMarket
•This also signals stress in the banking sector.
🚨BREAKING: FED
#BTFP
🚀
🔘The Bank program at the Fed just hit another record high of $141 Billion!
This is the first time BTFP soars and the $SPY didn’t follow.
The banking stress seems to be getting worst as the program is suppose to end in the next 40 days or so.
M2 money supply stopped declining on October 30, 2023 (along with asset price declines).
Since then Money supply has 📈 $700 billion almost $1 trillion in 6 months.
This has caused inflation to stay “sticky” & caused a massive speculative orgy in financial markets.
🚨Banking Crisis:
TD Bank Downgrade
- ** $Td **: S&P Global revises rating outlook to "negative" from "stable."
- **2 downgrade**: Other agencies also concerned.
- **Key issues**: Weak risk management
- **Anti-money laundering practices in the U.S.
🚨Banking Crisis: Bank Stocks 📉
**Led by Bank $OZK**
- **Bank OZK's Largest Loan:**
- $915M total, $135M for 'Echo Street West' in Atlanta possible default
- **Concerns:**
- major banks are too leveraged
- **Impact:**
- Major sell-off in bank stocks today
🚨 BREAKING: Fed 🖨️💵
#QE
🔘BTFP sets a new record high for banks, 📈 to $121 billion
🔘Fed discount-window loans hit $1.96 billion, raising concerns about market stability.
🔘These liquidity facilities, active since October 31, highlight the bottom in
#SP500
Accounts receivable represent the money owed to Nvidia by its customers for products or services that have been delivered but NOT yet paid for. An increase in accounts receivable indicates that while Nvidia has made sales, it has not yet collected the cash from these sales. Rapid
Full Clip: "I want to make it really clear, OK? We're not going to buy back a lot of stock at these prices,"
"Buying back stock of a financial company greatly in excess of 2x tangible book is a mistake. We aren't going to do it."
$jpm 📉
🚨BREAKING GDP REVISED 📉 🚨
U.S. economic activity was even weaker as previously estimated of 2020, 2021 and 2022 amid downgrades mostly to consumer spending, revised government data showed on Thursday.
All while
#Inflation
was REVISED HIGHER!
Here is the actual full length quote by Fed Chair
#Powell
that
“I’m sure there will be bank failures, but this is not the big banks” -
#Jpow
Sound on 🔊🔊
H/t
@TheTranscript_
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨:
BANKS 📉
The financial world is on edge as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's alarming statement
“I EXPECT THERE TO BE BANK FAILURES”
* (when BTFP ends on Monday)
CEO Jamie Dimon said they won't repurchase a lot of stock at current prices.
Repurchasing shares at a valuation of 2.3x tangible book value "is a mistake," Dimon said at the bank's Investor Day event.
$JPM 📉
- REAL ESTATE TAKES A HIT: 📉 Pending Home Sales Drop by -4.9%
- NEW LISTINGS SURGE: Largest Increase in 3 Years with a 13% Rise
- SALES DECLINE: Down by -8%, Defying Expectations of 1.5% Growth
-PRICES 📉: Down about -9% from high
⚠️BANKS: 📉
- Inflation reports came in 🔥
- Indicates higher interest rates for longer duration 📈
- Puts pressure on banks due to inverted yield curve ✈️🛩️
- Difficulty in making 💵 for banks
- Presence of toxic ☢️assets on banks' books, from bonds to loans
🚨BREAKING:
#Gold
📈
•NEW RECORD HIGH FOR THE WORLDS GREATEST PRECIOUS METAL
•$2,153 an ounce
•Also, this means the US dollar 💵has hit a new low📉 in purchasing power.
**Regional Banking Crisis ⚠️
•Bail outs: 1,804 institutions sought help from emergency lending
•Scale of Crisis: This represents 20% of eligible firms, indicating severe financial distress
•Details: 95% of borrowers had assets under $10 billion, per
@federalreserve
🚨 Breaking News: Federal Reserve's Discount-Window loans surged to $8.56 billion, up from $5.05 billion, raising concerns about banking stability. Increased borrowing suggests deeper sector challenges.
#bank
crisis is just getting started
🚨Breaking: Regional Banking Crisis Strikes Again!*
- Pennsylvania Regulators Shut Down First Republic Bank
- Financial Turmoil Hits Close to Home
-discount window usage is surging📈
#Bank
Crisis 🏦🔥
🚨BREAKING: FED DISCOUNT WINDOW 📈
FED DISCOUNT-WINDOW LOANS $7.02B IN THE WEEK
*The latest data suggest that mostly regional banks are using the discount window as they are the ones with the worst balance sheets.
⚠️ Record Highs in 🇺🇸 having multiple jobs ONLY seen
#recession
- Current levels surpass past recession starts in 2000, 2008, & 2020
- Despite government claims of a soft landing, many Americans are forced to work multiple jobs
-Record high 🇺🇸 working 2 FULL time jobs
⚠️Federal Reserve Discount Window Reaches Alarming Levels Not Seen Since May 2023 First Republic Bank Collapse
Then an Impending Stock Market Decline was Averted by Fed's $30 Billion 🖨️💵 Injection via
#BTFP
🚨Federal Reserve Discount Window 📈
•$5.4 Billion in Past Week
Increase of $11 Billion in 2 Weeks
•Indicates Growing Financial Stress
•Recent Fed Talks Encourage Use of Discount Window Post BTP, Highlighting Bank 📉
🚨BREAKING: US ECONOMY
- California's Economic Crisis Deepens:
- Income Tax Collections 📉 by -25% in 2022-23
-This decline is similar to those seen during the Great Recession and dot-com bust
- Bleak Outlook: Projected Revenues $58 Billion Below Expectations
Banks start the second quarter selling off as CRE loan defaults continue to rise and higher interest for longer continue to put pressure on banks profits and revenues.
🚨BANK 📉
•Bank investors continue their selling as rates higher for longer and inverted yield curve make banks extremely poor investments
•Regional banks specifically are feeling the pain
*Minsky moment is knocking at the 🚪
🚨BREAKING : INFLATION 📈
@ClevelandFed
showing inflation amongst all used indexes are 📈
This means the rate hikes are not slowing down the rate of price increases if anything prices are 📈 faster now.
🚨Valley National Bancorp $VLY
•Downgraded to negative by
@SPGlobalRatings
• 7th Largest Bank Exposed to CRE Loans Default Risk
• Stock Down 📉 -30% YTD
*total CRE loan exposure $61 Billion est
#banks
🚨BANKS:
#MorganStanley
-4.3% 📉
- The bank's net income has plummeted by over -30% compared to last year's figures.
- Recent earnings report, the bank is facing a significant downturn.
- Additionally, the bank is grappling with massive negative cash flow
$Ms
🚨BREAKING: BANKS 📉
•As
#Powell
announces higher for longer on interest rates banks are selling off as the
#BTFP
ends in 5 days and rate cuts are no where close to happening to save them.
Food, Shelter & Energy continue 📈
🍔 ⬆️ 6%
🥓 ⬆️ 7%
🌭 ⬆️ 7%
🏡 ⬆️ 6%
🔌 ⬆️ 6%
Good thing we exclude these prices from the Core Inflation report which came in at 3.4% today
As main stream median uses multiple housing index’s to tell you homes are at record high prices, the sales price data states the median resale home is selling for
$383,000 per
@FHFA
Down from the record high of $480,000 in 2022
That’s a -20% 📉 in median sale prices.
Who has that real estate agent bubble chart ?
Unemployment about to skyrocket and jobs number to explode higher for bartenders lolz
No more 5% to 6% commissions for realtors.
NO LAMBO FOR YOU!
🚨 Breaking News: 📉
Major Bank Under Scrutiny $CMA
The OCC has identified unsafe or unsound practices, specifically in the bank's risk governance framework and internal controls. Stay tuned for updates
This month in History:
“Your 💵 will be worth just as much tomorrow, as it is today”- Nixon
52 years ago one of the worst Presidents in History took us off the
#gold
standard & turned the US Dollar into a piece of paper that has lost -87% in purchasing power since
@WTF_1971
⚠️ ECON: 🏡🫧
CA 🏡 Bubble Burst Looms, Echoes of 2008 Crash
- Grim milestone: Largest annual sales decline since the ominous days of 2007/2008 GFC
- Catastrophic plunge: Only 257,630 home sales in 2023
- Devastating decline: 24.8% drop from 2022
⚠️TOXIC BANKS⚠️
•The following chart is a breakdown of the major banks that have CRE risk exposure.
•As Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated before “we expect some banks to fail”
Thanks to
@VisualCap
Key takeaways from today's
#CPI
#Inflation
:
1. Families in 🇺🇸 are just getting crushed as the cost of feeding kids 📈 by 8.8%, with expenses for dining out & school 🥖 rising
2. Meat prices 🚀 10%
(have you tried 🐛yet?)
3. The tech industry shows a crash is in process 📉
⚠️NATIONAL DEBT: $34.5 Trillion
Yellen:
•Need to address the $2 trillion a year deficit
•Debt to GDP ratio the highest ever at 122% under Biden
•Interest rates are highest in 20 years
•Rates still low relative to the previous decades interest on the debt remains manageable
The entire banking industry leverage ratio is near a record high of 9.19 and a decline in asset values of -15% could cause many to be insolvent.
The most leveraged large banks are
$db $sofi $gs
$HBAN lowered guidance today as it warned investors of lower profits
Huntington is the 25th-largest U.S. bank by total assets with some $194 billion of assets and $153 billion of deposits
**🚨 Regional Banking Crisis Alert! 🚨**
**Huntington Bank Spooks Investors, Shares Plunge 6%**
- **New Guidance:** Net interest income to fall 1% to 4% this year
- **Previous Range:** -2% to +2%
- **Impact:** Largest drop since March 2023
🚨Valley National Bancorp $VLY
•Downgraded to negative by
@SPGlobalRatings
• 7th Largest Bank Exposed to CRE Loans Default Risk
• Stock Down 📉 -30% YTD
*total CRE loan exposure $61 Billion est
#banks