OKAY. I think it's time to make it official.
📣 Introducing Wayfinder II — a $35M seed-stage fund investing $300k-$1M checks in founders building enduring companies solving tomorrow's hard problems.
Man goes biking, flips his bike, hits his head, gets knocked out and doesn't regain consciousness until sometime during the ambulance ride.
Apple Watch detects the fall, autodials 911 with his location and EMS has him picked up and in the hospital in <30 minutes.
Incredible.
I had LASIK done yesterday and I’m not sure I’ve ever experienced a bigger miracle of science.
10 minute completely painless procedure and I woke up with 20/20 vision. I’ve been wearing glasses since I was 8. Just wow.
I made a lot of mistakes as a founder. But, one thing I don't regret is fighting tooth & nail for visas for every single engineer we brought to the US.
Once in a while when I catch up or check their LinkedIn, seeing where they are & knowing how well they're doing makes me happy.
It's been almost 10 years since one of my most embarrassing fundraising moments as a founder.
A moment so embarrassing that I couldn’t talk about it for years.
It taught me the difference between raising a Seed round and a Series A, as well as some well needed humility.🧵👇
Just a reminder on competition and crowded spaces:
By the time DoorDash was founded, GrubHub, Caviar, Postmates, and OrderAhead all existed and were venture funded.
Didn’t matter. Today, DoorDash is going public at 4x of those competitors combined validation.
Fewer drunk drivers.
Fewer distracted drivers.
Fewer road rage drivers.
Fewer people needing to own cars.
Better vehicle utilization efficiency, leading to fewer vehicles on the road, leading to lower emissions.
But sure, other than that, "good question." 🙄
Every so often I'm reminded of this great and short talk at TED'09 by Arthur Benjamin:
Teach probability and statistics, not calculus for the majority of high school students.
Tip for founders:
If you want your investors to read your investor updates, don’t send them as a pdf, notion link, google doc, docsend, or anything else that adds friction.
Send them as a plain text email.
I own a Model 3 and a Model Y, so it's not like I'm anti-Tesla, but I'd rather live in the world that Rivian envisions than the world the Cybertruck envisions. The Cybertruck feels so dystopian.
One of the hardest things in startups is not dismissing ridiculous-sounding ideas.
I still regularly have to actively stop and and ask myself — what if it does work?
What sounds ridiculous today may be a mainstream $100B business a decade from now.
A YC W24 founder searching for an apartment for the batch was offered a rent discount in exchange for the delta as an uncapped MFN SAFE.
SF is the best.
One of my favorite questions to ask, both during YC interviews and when I meet founders in general, is “what is something surprising you’ve learned about your users”.
It’s one of the hardest answers to fake that also demonstrates real engagement with your customers.
By far the most common sales conversation that plays out during office hours with companies:
Founder: we want to hire a sales person, can you help us?
Me: how many deals have you closed?
F: none yet, that’s why we want to hire someone...
Me: don’t do it!
In engineering, A players hire A players and B players hire C players.
In management, A players hire A players and B players hire yes-men who won’t disagree with them.
NYT has 16 photos on the home page attached to this article. Scroll through them.
11 of them are of the action in Gaza.
Of the 5 about Israel, one shows a dog that was rescued. None show or even *hint* at the gruesomeness of the civilian murders of the past 24-48 hours.
I think of this incident every demo day cycle when I meet founders who are crushing their raises. I remember what that was like, and I also remember what followed.
Don't be like me — have a plan. And, if you're doing a B2B/Enterprise business, learn to sell ASAP🙂
Almost every person who reads How to Win Friends and Influence People internalizes only one thing (“repeat the persons name”) and not the most important thing (“become genuinely interested in others”).
A number of people have asked where I got it done. I did it with Dr. Manche at Stanford's Eye Laser Center.
He was great, is a leading researcher in the space (many of the papers I found while researching LASIK were written by him), and trains other doctors on the procedure.
If you're a founder with less than ~12 months of runway going into 2024, you have to re-read
@paulg
's The Fatal Pinch.
Assume you will NOT get a bridge round, and figure out what other options you have ASAP.
PagerDuty was an early lesson for me in investor omniscience (or lack thereof).
In my YC batch they had more trouble raising money than many because they HAD customers, and investors were blinded by the ACV of the early customers.
Today their ACV is $10k+ with >200 at $100k+.
A non trivial number of founders have similar
@sama
stories.
Some investors love to boast about how much they help startups.
Others just help, quietly.
Having worked with hundreds of founders over 1000+ office hours, no stage in startup life elicits as much excitement as getting those early signs of product market fit where suddenly it feels like you’re pushing the boulder down the mountain.
An interesting side effect of working on hard problems is that it opens up a talent pool that is unavailable to others because there are some smart people that also only want to work on hard problems, regardless of the probability of success.
📂 With today’s
@Filecoin
launch, I was curious how much it actually costs to store data on the network. So, I spent 2hrs and built a website where you can see it too:
Klavyio’s founder owns 38% at IPO.
This is the power of only burning $15M from seed all the way to IPO.
Keep your burn low, your growth high, and own more of your startup.
@cn8011
😂 That is a very accurate step by step description. No music for me though, we just chatted throughout the thing. It's like a dentist experience but without the pain.
Today I officially became an American citizen! 🇺🇸
Incredibly grateful to the dozens of people who have helped make this a reality.
Especially in this time of global turmoil, I’m excited to belong to a place that really does give life changing opportunities to so many.
I remember the first time I drove into SF after moving to Palo Alto in 2010. I showed up in shorts and a T-shirt in July and was very unpleasantly surprised
Yes, let’s fire the visionary CEO who against all odds created a global cult following of millions of people for a *stationary bike* that goes nowhere. 🙄🙄🙄
I hear John Sculley is available.
It is absolutely wild to me that (NYSE:BILL) is growing at 156%/year with $800M ARR.
Anyone that has ever used it will tell you the UI/UX for that product leaves a lot to be desired, but it solves a real pain point and is super sticky.
A VC friend just showed me their internal note from March 2015 talking about Honey having *incredible* traction and raising $500K @ 12M cap.
They couldn’t get there because they felt the valuation was too high 😬
Stress is no joke for your health.
The most stressful period in my life as a founder triggered an autoimmune condition for me that I still deal with today.
I'm kicking off 2024 by heading into a scary surgery next week (more info in thread if you’re curious).
Stress was an onset trigger (among others) for me and I've learned the really hard way that health >> everything else. Nothing else is more important than you feeling 100%.
.
@sama
lost his bubble talk bet by ~months.
Current Status:
#1
-- Uber/Palantir/Airbnb/Dropbox/Pinterest/SpaceX = ~$240-260B (depending on where Airbnb ends up)
#2
-- Stripe+Instacart+Coinbase blow this out of the water. Not even close.
#3
-- Gitlab.
Median valuations for Q1-Q3 2022 across >1K deals logged by Cooley
Series D: $3.5B Q1 ➡️ $527M Q3
Series C: $502M Q2 ➡️$130M Q3
Series B: $164M Q2 ➡️ $90M Q3
Series A: $58M Q2 ➡️ $45M in Q3
“In 2019, before the pandemic,
@Flexport
did $650 million in revenue. Last year, revenue over $3 billion. This year, it is on track for $5 billion, according to Petersen (
@typesfast
).”
Everyone always says startups are hard, but how hard?
Nearly 5 years after exiting my startup, I am still dealing with a chronic health issue (psoriatic arthritis) triggered by the stress of the last year of running the startup.
Sometimes you end up with literal startup scars.
“We had nurses, pharmacists, physicians, even those that are not part of the hospital, coming to help,” said Judson Howe. “It was all hands on deck and a true community effort.”
Good! This is how this whole process should be done.
Founders, if you're in the fortunate position to have AWS/etc credits, don't treat them as "free money."
Instead, treat it as extra cash on your balance sheet that you can only use for one purpose, and count your AWS usage as part of your burn. Don't wait until they run out.
An all-too-common statement I see in investor updates:
"Our AWS credits ran out this month, so our burn went up by $XX"
Actually, your burn was already +$XX, you were just masking it by taking money from an account that is not your bank account.
Don't treat credits as "free!"
By far one of the most infuriating bank wire behaviors is removing a $10 fee from the total being sent instead of just adding the fee.
If I'm sending someone $1,000 I am intending to send them $1,000, not $990. The recipient is expecting $1,000 not $990.
VC is definitely not for everyone but this thread is unfortunately full of misconceptions.
The 10% number is for companies at IPO (and all these IPOs were multi-$B). The company examples he gives were also companies founded in 04-05 when the VC market was significantly less
Imagine having 4 cofounders at a VC funded startup 🥹
Selling for $100M
Diluted to 10% ownership by VCs
Tax takes 50%
Go home with $1.25M cash after 6 years working 7 days a week 12 hours per day or $47/hour
Many people on Upwork make more than that!
You almost never need the “brand name” hire.
Hiring is just a different form of investing — find the best people before everyone else knows they’re the best, and work with them.
What you’re actually paying for with YC is improved odds.
Fish where you want to fish, but the next best alternative has 0-40% of the hit rate, and going out on your own is even harder.
Crypto is a dangerous speculative asset that consumers have to be protected from, but this $9.7B publicly traded business with $3.5M in revenue is totally fine.
A founder I know received an O-1 visa while legally in the US and had to fly to Brazil to get his visa stamped. He's been there for a week waiting (he gave them his passport on Monday, got it back Friday).
Why Brazil? It was the only country that had appointments pre mid-2023.
The value of all 950+ unicorn 🦄 startups is $3.1T — less than this year’s *increase* in market cap of *all* of Microsoft/Google/Apple/Nvidia/Tesla/Facebook combined.
We are still very early.
@StudentofLife07
@tombielecki
20/20 just means that you see at 20 feet what most people see at 20 feet.
You could have 20/15 or 20/10, which means that you see at 20 feet what most people see at 15 feet or 10 feet.
I’m not a consumer investor but wow this is such a bullish signal for consumer startups.
Would 💯 bet against the wisdom of the VC crowd when it comes to what the next big thing will be.
Venture capitalists have given up on the idea that they’ll make their career finding the next hit consumer marketplace, retail brand or media company.
Dealmaker by
@KateClarkTweets