Tim Graham 🌻 Profile Banner
Tim Graham 🌻 Profile
Tim Graham 🌻

@timothyjgraham

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@arc_gov_au DECRA Fellow ~ A/Prof at @QUTSchoolOfComm & @qutdmrc . Researching propaganda, mis/disinformation, platforms, social bots. Views my own.

Brisbane, Queensland
Joined May 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
I've been tracking accounts that 'liked' tweets from Russian government and embassy accounts. Sprayed a bit of sparkling water on the screen when I looked at the account creation dates
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Sorry to interrupt your Covid scrolling, but Arctic Siberia is recording 48 degree Celsius ground surface temperatures and if you hate pandemics you’re gonna really hate climate apocalypse
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Here's a wild idea - hear me out. What if instead of asking people for flood donations, the government just collected a huge chunk of everyone's money each payday and used it strategically
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
1 year
Allegations that @elonmusk is forcing his engineers to boost his tweets are fully supported by the data. I did some analysis and here's the total tweet impressions per hour over the past week... Timelines match up perfectly with the reports
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
@Botometer Some of these accounts are hilariously honest about themselves
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
1 year
Ten thousand bot accounts couldn’t do the kind of damage to trust in electoral integrity that a verified catturd2 can do. The problem isn’t bots, ⁦ @elonmusk ⁩
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Just finished watching the series finale of @ExpanseOnPrime . Absolute masterpiece. How this was not the biggest show on TV boggles my mindβ€”my life is forever better for having watched it
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Tim Smith has been spending the last hour trying to figure out how to politicize the earthquake, and this, gentle Twitter folk, is what he came up with
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Yeah, anonymity is the issue
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Suffice to say I'm currently running @Botometer on 16513 Kremlin liking accounts created in 2021 and 2022. Should be done in a day or so
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Folks messaged me about a new hashtag anti-Andrews campaign trending, so I collected over 67,000 tweets (past 7 days) containing the relevant hashtags and ran the data through a coordinated behaviour detection system A few insights, starting with a network map 🧡
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
False information spread with the intent to deceive - there’s a word for that hmmm
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
7 months
Australia has a disinformation problem
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Due to popular request, here's the full picture (not just from 2021 onwards)
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Honest question, why isn't NSW doing a state-wide lockdown? Yes I know there are complexities around it, but I can't make sense of what's going on anymore.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
1 year
The Twitter API may shut down any moment - if this is the last data I ever collect it'll totally be worth it
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Well that's one way to get around bot detection tools - don't tweet anything but just smash that like button
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Everything about this suggests it's a stunt to attract attention and drive donations. Because everything Avi Yemini does is to attract attention and drive donations.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
OK, so the hashtag "Sack*Dan*Andrews" is trending in Australia right now... A brief thread: I collected 2,374 tweets containing this hashtag, sent by 959 accounts. Nearly a quarter of accounts (24%) were created in 2020
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
β€œI apologise to Mr Rudd for any damage caused to him by my false statement” Disinformation of this kind doesn’t just harm one individual, it erodes our very sense of shared reality and trust in the institutions of democracy
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
1 year
The daily tweet impressions since 1st January 2023 are even sadder and more worrying
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
So I ran @Botometer on 16513 pro-Russian accounts born in 2022. There's clearly a HUGE bot πŸ€– network artificially hyping up ('liking') Russian government and embassy tweets This chart shows the number of accounts with a given bot score, where a higher score means more bot-like:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
I've been tracking accounts that 'liked' tweets from Russian government and embassy accounts. Sprayed a bit of sparkling water on the screen when I looked at the account creation dates
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Anecdotally, I didn't believe @elonmusk 's claim about a decline in hate speech on this platform, so I ran a large-scale data analysis. As this graph shows, there is no evidence of a decline in tweets containing hate speech terms* over the past fortnight. 🧡[trigger warning]
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@elonmusk
Elon Musk
2 years
Again, to be crystal clear, Twitter’s strong commitment to content moderation remains absolutely unchanged. In fact, we have actually seen hateful speech at times this week decline *below* our prior norms, contrary to what you may read in the press.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
What we’ve got here is a classic case of malinformation. One of the most dangerous and sinister modalities of propagandaβ€”it’s fact based information that is weaponised and deployed to cause harm. In this case the biggest harm is to Australian democracy
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Vectors of political Covid spin: 1. β€œunderlying health conditions” = rationalise death 2. blame the citizens = defer government accountability 3. report vaccination stats first = government is doing well 4. stop reporting detailed infection stats = makes (1) and (3) easier
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Imagine for a moment the pain and anger it would cause if a loved one passed away and then someone says to you, β€œoh but they had an underlying condition right?”. Now scale that up to the size of a state and broadcast it daily on national TV. No, that’s not OK and it needs to stop
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
When all else fails, try QAnon’s β€œSave the Children” narrative
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
The police at the #Brisbaneprotest were the kindest and most helpful I’ve ever seen. Offering face masks and hand sanitizer, and helping people and especially families find their way
@YaThinkN
Noely ⚑️🏐
4 years
Bloody Hell! As someone who grew up in Brisbane in the Joh era, this brings a tear to the eye πŸ₯°
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
It was truly a privilege to contribute to this story on #mediawatch tonight. Australia has a growing problem with information disorder and it affects everyone, regardless of creed or political stripe
@PRGuy17
PRGuy
4 years
Fascinating #MediaWatch tonight about the bots and trolls artificially driving up anti-Andrews sentiment ( #DictatorDan ) on social media. If you missed it, please watch it. Gives a great understanding of why there are a lot less critics of Andrews than it seems.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Let's debunk this right here: the headline of this article is disinformation. There is no evidence in this article to attribute the fake signatories to @MrKRudd . It is false information spread with the intent to mislead readers. Here's why (thread):
@TurnbullMalcolm
Malcolm Turnbull
3 years
The headline is calculated to suggest the bots were inspired by Rudd - for those who go on to read the story that is clearly not so. Will the Oz assist the AFP with their inquiries into whether this conduct - designed to mislead Parliament - involved any offences?
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Three key takeaways: 1. Fringe activists are driving the anti-Andrews trending campaign, but it's a politician ( @CraigKellyMP ) and citizen journalist ( @OzraeliAvi ) who, with only a few tweets, turn the sparks into a roaring blaze that sustains itself thereafter
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Not analysis thread is up:
@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
So I ran @Botometer on 16513 pro-Russian accounts born in 2022. There's clearly a HUGE bot πŸ€– network artificially hyping up ('liking') Russian government and embassy tweets This chart shows the number of accounts with a given bot score, where a higher score means more bot-like:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Oh don’t worry, we’ve got the receipts too.
@MrKRudd
Office of Kevin Rudd, 26th PM of Australia
3 years
Murdoch is quietly scrubbing incriminating Covid-19 misinformation videos from websites ahead of a grilling by the Senate on Friday. Dozens of videos have vanished with no correction or apology for spreading dangerous lies. But don’t worry; we have copies. #MurdochRoyalCommission
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Ah yes, the mobilisation stage of participatory disinformation, where the crowd flirt with violence as a political strategy. This is the last stop before the extremism point of no return, and sadly a logical consequence of endless β€˜dictator’ and β€˜oppression’ framing by elites
@masericha
Masericha
2 years
This was taken today at the Melbourne protest. I'm now genuinely scared of what these people are going to do. This is not ok.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
I’ll go one further, on reflection; this is one of the most dangerous false narratives in the election so far. It goes beyond party politics and into the very DNA of liberal democracyβ€”this is a narrative that, if accepted, would eat democracy from the inside out
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Um, when did this happen?
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
I’m not going to win any popularity awards here but please reconsider sharing Pauline Hanson’s new video series. It’s designed to exploit your brain and get you to amplify it
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
At this point I'm scratching my head why @TwitterSafety isn't all over this. I've banging on for weeks how these Russian govt accounts are spreading disinformation on the hourly - and coordinating together, no less. Now we learn they're boosted by bots!
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
@MrsTheOldDays It’s the age old question! But money: the answer is money
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
I've been coding up a new workflow for analysis of Twitter profiles. Thought I'd kick off Monday by showcasing some insights about @PRGuy17 , who everyone is talking about. I collected the entire timeline of 45k tweets. First off, we learn they're active about 14 hours a day:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Just a gentle reminder of the kind of Covid misinformation Elon Musk has spread using his free speech on this platform
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
To clarify: the issue here isn't about politics, and it's not about bots or trolls. What's most interesting is that a small group of actors, many of them recently created and anonymous, can get a hashtag to trend nationally. This is a double edged sword for democracy.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
#QandA just pumped about 1000 megatons of oxygen into anti-lockdown and anti-mask fringe groups
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
The defamation case is deeply consequential for political discourse in Australia - I am troubled by it for various reasons, but let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks and months. Thanks for your time as always
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
The network shows large-scale, loosely coordinated behaviour by a hard core of campaigners who spam the hashtags repeatedly together, all day long. BUT it's @CraigKellyMP and @OzraeliAvi who jump onto the fringe activity and turn it into a roaring blaze with two viral tweets
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Just to be clear: to date there is little evidence that bots play any significant role in the #IStandWithDan hashtag public Full paper here:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
The most active anti-Andrews hashtag campaigner is a newborn anonymous account, created just over 2 weeks ago. They've tweeted 311 times per day or 12 times per hour, and only tweet about Andrews and the Vic lockdown
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
False information spread with the intent to mislead voter β€” hmm now there is a word for that…
@DaveMilbo
David Milner
2 years
Hey @AusElectoralCom , love your work on the whole elections thing. Question! Will voting for a "teal" independent, or even The Greens, undermine democracy? I've seen that claimed a bunch and would hate to be responsible for the end of free elections in Australia. Cheers.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Sorry to be that person but this image isn’t doctored. In some ways it’s even more insidious and much more common... an out-of-context photo from half a decade ago, deployed with the intent to deceive
@LyrebirdMorgan
πŸ“£Liz Morgan
3 years
100% fake news. Doctored photographs. No credit. Rubbish reporting. Once I was so proud to work for the SMH. Today I’d rather go to a food bank than sell my soul.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
This may in fact be the funniest thing I’ve ever seen
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
7 months
In all my years I’ve never seen a political scare campaign cut through the truth like it’s cut through these four basic facts about the #VoiceToParliament referendum. It doesn’t even just undermine liberal democracyβ€”it undermines our shared sense of reality
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Well, it's finally out! Our comprehensive analysis of #IStandWithDan , #DictatorDan and #DanLiedPeopleDied . Some key findings (thread below): 1) #IStandWithDan amassed 2.5 times as many as tweets as the anti-Andrews hashtags
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
1 year
Here’s the full quote, which is the opposite of what Elon thinks it means. Very close to madness…
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@elonmusk
Elon Musk
1 year
The people have spoken. Trump will be reinstated. Vox Populi, Vox Dei.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
@Twitter clearly has a Herculean problem on its hands to moderate Russian disinformation at scale. But honestly - these bot networks are hiding in plain sight. They're artificially boosting false information straight from the horse's mouth. Well, here we are I guess.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Goes without saying: if anyone would like tweet and/or account IDs, please DM me. I can also share code (Python) and describe workflow so the findings can be reproduced. thanks for your time - let's fight Putin in the information space.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Good, now stick a β€œState-affiliated media” label on it too
@PRGuy17
PRGuy
2 years
NEWS YOU CAN'T TRUST: Twitter has stripped News Corp's The Australian of its verified 'blue tick' status. The move follows the masthead's fervent efforts to support Scott Morrison's re-election bid with a barrage of false and misleading content. #auspol
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Finally, data was collected using the 'twarc2' toolkit and the coordination networks constructed using a custom-built software that we've made freely available! If anyone wants to reproduce this and needs tweet IDs, please DM me.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
I am completely humbled and really cannot find the words to express my gratitude for being awarded a DECRA grant. None of this is possible without all the support, mentoring and encouragement I’ve received, during what has and continues to be a difficult personal time (cont.).
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
OK, I want to run an experiment. If you’ve been blocked by a politician, please reply with their username below. I’ll construct a network tomorrow to gain some insights into what is otherwise a black box in terms of what I can get from the Twitter API. I’ll start:
@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
ICYMI - brilliant piece by @JennaPrice about the problems with politicians who mass block citizens. Glad to contribute my own thoughts to this growing issue
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
I don’t know why but I can’t stop laughing at this exchange
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
SchrΓΆdinger’s Dan Andrews: simultaneously a dictator for the past 18 months and about to become a dictator
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Great day for deceiving the public with intentionally misleading headlines
@SharriMarkson
Sharri Markson
3 years
Not a great week for journalism at the ABC.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
It takes a while to run @Botometer on over 10,000 Twitter accounts, but the results are in... This network shows strong evidence that coordinated armies of bot-like accounts are responsible for getting the "IStandWithP*tin" hashtag trending.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Research is spending two days reading eight journal articles and a quarter of a book to get a paragraph correct, only to find out you need to delete it
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
For the record it’s undermining propaganda - classic stuff. It appeals to normative democratic ideals but in doing so actually erodes them β€” of course voting for a legitimate candidate isn’t anti-democratic and/or nihilistic
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
A pro-Andrews counter-attack started almost immediately, orchestrated by @PRGuy17 , in an effort to hijack the hashtags and drown out the anti-Andrews discourse
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
The true costs of misinformation
@davidestcourt
David Estcourt
3 years
Protesters break through the police line, an officer gets assaulted and trampled by demonstrators, people are screaming and covered in capsicum spray @theage
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
I went through all 74 quote tweets and only 2 are pro-Canavan. He’s trolling y’all and every engagement feeds it
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
This is a technique of disinformation. Whether the questions are answered or not, partially or completely, the damage is done and the wedge driven deeper. Nobody benefits from this.
@benitakolovos
Benita Kolovos
3 years
β€œI asked 12 simple questions, the government has selectively chosen to answer five of them. My view is they should get on and answer the other seven,” Shadow Treasurer Louise Staley says of her media release regarding Premier Daniel Andrews’ fall.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
2. There's an information war happening and a battle ensued between pro-Andrews campaigners (led by @PRGuy17 ) who routinely hijack such hashtags, however here they appear to be drowned out by the coordinated behaviour of the anti-Andrews campaigners
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
The top 20 accounts posted 25% (n=593) of tweets. Yes that's right, just 20 Twitter accounts make up *one quarter* of the volume of this hashtag, which is now appearing on everyone's screens via the trending list.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Me and my son testing our 2021 Halloween costumes
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
See also the excellent work by @DrCrazyThoughts
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Quick clarification - it appears that @CraigKellyMP was more active than I noted in this dataset, as @PRGuy17 has documented here. However, his activity volume pales in comparison to the fringe accounts, although gets far far more engagement
@PRGuy17
PRGuy
3 years
TWITTER TANTRUM: Fringe far right MP Craig Kelly has been mocked for posting a barrage of increasingly hysterical tweets about Dan Andrews in the aftermath of Gladys Berejiklian's resignation. One commentator has quipped "it's old man yells at Dan" #auspol
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
In the interest of scientific rigour and transparency, I provide the code for data collection, along with a CSV file containing the tweet IDs of the dataset I initially collected for this analysis.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
*bot πŸ€¦πŸ½β€β™‚οΈ
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Honestly, I can’t believe Twitter still doesn’t have a β€˜misinformation’ category for reporting tweets
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Off the back of this tweet, I would like to raise awareness about the #UnderlyingDoesntJustifyDying campaign. Thank you to @jennibeattie for sharing this with me and please consider amplifying that hashtag because β€œunderlying health conditions” never justifies dying from COVID-19
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Vectors of political Covid spin: 1. β€œunderlying health conditions” = rationalise death 2. blame the citizens = defer government accountability 3. report vaccination stats first = government is doing well 4. stop reporting detailed infection stats = makes (1) and (3) easier
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
@PRGuy17 that must be a record πŸ˜† Folks, a master class in hashtag activism. By my count, this hashtag went from newborn to #1 on the Australian trending list in a bit over 30 minutes
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
4 years
Currently undertaking an analysis of suspicious activity around the #IStandWithDan hashtag. Watch this space πŸ‘€
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
ICYMI - brilliant piece by @JennaPrice about the problems with politicians who mass block citizens. Glad to contribute my own thoughts to this growing issue
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Analysis of 7,844 tweets shows overwhelming negative sentiment* towards @M_McCormackMP after his comparison of #BlackLivesMatter protests to the #CapitolRiots
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
But the sustained anti-Andrews hashtag activism (see network above), super-fuelled by a handful of viral tweets by @OzraeliAvi and @CraigKellyMP , ultimately overpowers the pro-Andrews activists The top 20 accounts sent 8% of all tweets:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Thank you to everyone for sharing their experiences of being blocked by Australian politicians on Twitter... the results are in! Here's a network map showing which Australian politicians are the biggest blockers. The nodes are users and a link means user A blocks user B 🧡
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
OK, I want to run an experiment. If you’ve been blocked by a politician, please reply with their username below. I’ll construct a network tomorrow to gain some insights into what is otherwise a black box in terms of what I can get from the Twitter API. I’ll start:
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
... it has become such a divisive figure in #auspol and increasingly gained attention outside of the platform, too. Its success and impact undercuts the business model of people like Avi Yemini who weaponise outrage and convert fear and doubt into clout and donations.
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Gentle Twitterfolk, I submit for your consideration the most badly aged tweet of all time
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Hmm, so now Matt Canavan is retweeting accounts that attract QAnon engagement
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
The campaign slogan β€œKeep Josh” just keeps reminding me of how in political theory the plutocrat just wants power for its own sakeβ€”not policy, not public interest, just keep me in power because I’m powerful and rich
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
Notice the big spike at 1.0? That's 714 accounts that have a perfect bot score, so they are almost certainly automated. The above chart uses the 'universal' Completely Automated Probability (CAP) score. So basically a CAP score of 1 means the @Botometer model is certain
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
... social justice issues and supporting Victorians on Twitter through unbearably difficult times during the COVID-19 pandemic. Clearly the account is partisan in its support for Labor and has a knack for harnessing and amplifying outrage culture. I suspect perhaps this is why...
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Sorry, but I feel like I have a duty to point out that discussions around Morrison and QAnon are at risk of starting to look like conspiracy theorising Let’s see what @4corners reveals, but always check sources and stay mindful of your biases when consuming and sharing content
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
3 years
Every few weeks I’ll be scoping out spikes in keywords on Australian Twitter to discover that, yes, @ScottMorrisonMP ’s cooking has been politicised again
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
A lot of rhetoric about the mixed bag of people in these protests. That may be true, but β€œthe standard you walk past is the standard you set”. There are neo-nazis and far right extremists leading and involved in these crowdsβ€”some have been charged by counter-terrorism officials
@BrentHodgson
Brent Hodgson
2 years
Let's talk about the protesters and "reasonable concerns". Where do you draw the line between a few nutcases in a crowd, and being part of the crowd itself? Where do you separate the people with reasonable concerns from the extremists? 🧡
Tweet media one
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
... have resonated strongly with a large segment of the #auspol community, even if they've attracted criticism, abuse, and now of course a defamation lawsuit. I don't know who the owner is, but it's easy to see they've sacrificed an enormous amount of time advocating for...
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@timothyjgraham
Tim Graham 🌻
2 years
@JuliaLeeThorp @page_eco Absolutely - I will post the full time range shortly
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