@ChampionsLeague
With the last 16 now known, here are the Champions League implied win chances, taken from our peer-to-peer market:
Bayern Munich 26%
Man City 18%
Liverpool 13%
PSG 9%
Juventus 6%
Chelsea 6%
Atletico Madrid 6%
Real Madrid 6%
Barcelona 5%
@ChampionsLeague
Latest Champions League chances, drawn from our market:
Man City 23.8%
Liverpool 17.5%
Barcelona 13.9%
Bayern 11%
PSG 11%
Juventus 6.9%
Real Madrid 5.4%
Spurs 3.6%
Chelsea 2.6%
@premierleague
@BarclaysFooty
Using our market prices,
#MUFC
had a 6.25% chance of making the top four on 18/12 when Mourinho was sacked.
As things stand today, the chance has risen to 40%.
Here's the graph of the Ole effect:
@BBCPolitics
The Lib Dems' win chance in the North Shropshire by-election has today hit a new market high of 24.4%.
Meanwhile, 'no overall majority' is also at a new high in our next General Election market (46.3%).
Tories' worried?
Klopp's Liverpool record:
W - 81 ✅
L - 30 ❌
D - 44
🏆 - 0
Mourinho's United record:
W - 74 ✅
L - 21 ❌
D - 25
🏆 - 3
United face Liverpool at 10pm this evening in Michigan, but which side will have a better season?
Trade the game:
#Eng
are now fourth-favourites behind market leaders
#Bra
.
Is football coming home? The latest news from our exchange ahead of the knockout stages in Russia:
The Champions League draw has set up some mouth-watering ties.
Manchester City (17%) are favourites to win their first title, with Barcelona (14%) and Juventus (12%) not far behind.
Who are you backing for this year's competition?
Trade here:
#Election2020
UPDATE
Donald Trump just traded at 26.7% - his lowest chance of victory in almost a month.
Joe Biden's win chance is up to 71%.
Buy or sell?
@BethRigby
Following Boris Johnson’s speech debacle, the chance of him leaving his PM role in 2022 has risen to a new high of 31% in our market.
Meanwhile, the chance of a Tory majority at the next election is down to 36% - its lowest since March.
@premierleague
Probabilities according to our markets:
Liverpool 77.5% for the title
Everton 15.2% for relegation
What a season it could be for the Reds...
@bbclaurak
Keir Starmer is currently favourite to become the next Prime Minister - the Labour leader is trading with a 35% chance, his highest since the market launched.
- £415m total tournament volume
-
#Swe
0-2
#Eng
our most-traded football match ever (£19.6m)
- Site-wide volume of £652m during the
#WorldCup
month
Looking back on a feast of football in Russia:
Zinedine Zidane has called an end to his time as Real Madrid manager. The former galactico won nine trophies in his tenure, making him the second-most successful manager in the club's history.
Who will replace him at the Bernabeu?
@McfPep3
@ElijahLloydP
@City_Watch
Current chance of winning each trophy:
Premier League - 57.8%
Carabao Cup - 73%
FA Cup - 52.6%
Champions League - 22.2%
@LFC
@premierleague
👏 He couldn't have done any more - five
#PL
wins out of five (inc 4-0 v Leicester) saw title chance jump from 74% to 95%. And they won the FIFA Club World Cup!
@premierleague
@BarclaysFooty
Manchester City’s probability of winning the
#PL
rose from 35.2% to 62.5% over the month (now up to 70.9%).
Hard to argue with Pep Guardiola as Manager of the Month for February.
Only three Premier League teams have spent more money than Arsenal this summer:
1️⃣ Liverpool: £171.3m
2️⃣ West Ham: £83.5m
3️⃣ Fulham: £74.5m
4️⃣ Arsenal: £71.5m
Where will Unai Emery's side finish this season?
Trade here:
@OfficialBHAFC
@SnickersUKcom
👏 Great win! With 10 minutes to go, Brighton’s chances of winning were only 13.5% in our market, but Neal Maupay had other ideas...
Chelsea and Arsenal last 4 league finishes:
🔵 - 5th
🔵 - 1st
🔵 - 10th
🔵 - 1st
🔴 - 6th
🔴 - 5th
🔴 - 2nd
🔴 - 3rd
With both teams under new management this season, who has a better chance of success?
Trade here:
@DanKennett
Liverpool's defence is the first to stop Brighton scoring at the Amex in a
#PL
game since March. They didn't even allow a shot on target today.
Will Virgil van Dijk and co be the difference in the title race? The Reds' chances up two percentage points to 53.5% after that win.
Last season:
🔴 Salah - ⚽ 32 goals -⏱ one every 91 minutes.
⚪ Kane - ⚽ 30 goals -⏱ one every 103 minutes.
The market currently expects Kane (23%) to reclaim the Premier League Golden Boot ahead of Salah (14%).
Who are you backing?
Trade here:
Manchester City (55%), Liverpool (18%) and Manchester United are the three favourites in the market to win the Premier League.
Who are you backing this season?
Trade here:
Manchester City (16%) and Juventus (14%) are the market favourites for the Champions League.
However, Real Madrid might have something to say about that:
2014 - 🏆
2016 - 🏆
2017 - 🏆
2018 - 🏆
Who are you backing in this year's competition?
Trade now:
@premierleague
Latest from our peer-to-peer markets:
Man Utd to win the title - 9% chance
(5pts off the top with a game in hand)
Leeds to be relegated - 6%
(7pts above the drop zone)
England 🏴 - at 85% - are fully expected to get out of a World Cup group made up of Tunisia 🇹🇳 Panama 🇵🇦 and Belgium 🇧🇪
If they do make it through, how far will the Three Lions go in Russia?
@premierleague
Liverpool back as Premier League favourites tonight.
Latest title chances, taken from our market:
Liverpool 34%
Man City 30%
Chelsea 15%
Spurs 14%
Man Utd 5%
@BBCPolitics
Keir Starmer is currently favourite to become the next Prime Minister - the Labour leader is trading with a 35% chance, his highest since the market launched.
@premierleague
@BarclaysFooty
Another deserved award for Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp.
With the
#PL
title all but secured,
#LFC
last traded at 17% to win the Champions League this season.
Last seven Serie A winners:
• Juventus
• Juventus
• Juventus
• Juventus
• Juventus
• Juventus
• Juventus
Can the Old Lady (65%) make it eight titles in a row?
Trade here:
Pep Guardiola's record against Chelsea:
W - 3 ✅
L - 3 ❌
D - 3
Maurizio Sarri's record against Manchester City:
L - 2 ❌
Who are you backing in today's Community Shield?
Trade here:
@YourMCFC
The market gave City just a 26% chance of winning the
#PL
after the Newcastle game.
Back up to 50.8% tonight. Quite a turnaround in six days!
@Kevin_Maguire
Keir Starmer is currently favourite in our ‘next Prime Minster’ market, holding a 33% chance. Rishi Sunak the highest-placed Conservative at 16%.
@britainelects
@YouGov
A Conservative Majority is currently rated a 71.4% chance by our market - the highest figure since it opened (was 18.5% in June).
A Hung Parliament is at 25.6%, down from a high of 61.4%.
For weeks before the election, Biden was fairly stable around a 2-in-3 chance but that has now completely flipped and Trump is currently twice as likely to win!
#Election2020
Two of
#Jpn
(86%)
#Col
(61%) and
#Sen
(53%) will reach the last 16 of the
#WorldCup
this afternoon.
Awaiting them will be one of
#Eng
or
#Bel
, who play in this evening's top-of-the-table Group G encounter.
Match markets:
Win tickets to the Grand National on Saturday 14th April 2018!
We are giving away five pairs of tickets to Grand National day at
@AintreeRaces
. For your chance to win, enter the draw by retweeting this tweet and following us. 18+. Ts & Cs:
@England
@HKane
The Three Lions are now favourites to win Euro 2020, just ahead of world champions France.
Our market gives them a 17.2% chance of glory next summer!
Derby are unbeaten at the Madejski Stadium in their last six visits. Paul Clement will be hoping he can put a halt to that run as he faces his former team this evening.
Who are you backing in this evening's Championship opener?
Trade here:
@EamonnHolmes
In numbers: 4% chance of going through pre-match. 15% when 2-1 up at HT. Back down to 10% before late penalty. 89% when that rockets into the net. Happy days👏
@englandcricket
@roryburns17
England have never chased down 376 to win a Test but their chance of doing so at Centurion is now 28.2%, according to our market - up from a low of 6.7% earlier today.
@premierleague
@ChelseaFC
Chelsea's chance of winning the title has hit a new high of 26% in our market following today's win. Man City favourites at 42%.
Two of the three promoted teams are favourites for the drop from the Premier League this season. Huddersfield are most likely to join Cardiff and Fulham in a relegation battle.
Who are you backing for the drop?
Trade here:
@BritainElects
@SavantaComRes
Despite holding 361 of the 650 seats, the chance of a Tory majority at the next General Election last traded at 39% in our market - the lowest it has been since April.
@rugbyworldcup
@EnglandRugby
@Springboks
What a display from South Africa, who belied their underdog status. They were given just a 29% chance of victory at the start of the match, with England on 67%.
@England
@wembleystadium
England just beat the world's top-ranked team and they are favourites to win Euro 2021 - available to back with a 16% chance in our market. Also:
Belgium 15%
France 14%
Germany 12%
Spain 10%
Netherlands 10%
Italy 7%
Portugal 7%
📈 PRICE SURGE: The Conservatives have climbed to a 37% chance of winning the Mid Bedfordshire by-election next week, and are now just 5 points behind Labour.