SIGTOR1974-2022 Shipping room photo. Top book with Pilger is first proof for corrections. Bottom photo is final proof, with Tim Marshall watching from candle factory to make sure we get it right. Plus USPS boxes and biodegradable peanuts. About 4 days from ordering books
SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES 1974-2022. 750 pages. I've hired 2 retired meteorologists to proof read the book. I'll start taking orders April 1st, on phone-in person.
Further update tomorrow at 11:30 am EST
SIGTOR 1680-1973, with update of stats and photos, should be ready in 2024.
WORST KY DEATH TOLL- 115 at Louisville on March 27, 1890. SIGTOR, printed in 1991 said 74. In 2010 , Keven McQueen published in his book "The Great Louisville Tornado of 1890" the names of 114 people, after exhaustive research. Please re-tweet this post.
NOT READY ! Should be ready in 2 years. If I don't make it, the book with be published by Doris on my premature demise. If I make it to April 2026, the book should be ready with a full index to both books and lots of stats not in SIGTOR 1974-2022 (see ).
No EF4 or EF5s for 390 days, the third long period of time in history since 1871, when SIGTOR first listed F4/5s. From July, 2004 to Nov, 2005 there were none for 16 months. From April, 2017 to March, 2019 there were none for 2 years. 1871 to 2004 there was one every year.
SIGTOR 1974-2022- BOOK ONE--FINALLY--ORDERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED BOOKS TODAY--Nov 3rd--shipped from printer Nov 10th, arrive here Nov 15th ...out the door to you Nov 16-17 via USPS Priority mail. ORDER NOW FOR THE HOLIDAYS.
OUTBREAKS -On paper, an impressive looking tornado family on the 16th, but just a minimal outbreak, with one minimal EF2 tornado. No sig outbreaks since March 25, 2021. Only 2 in the last 2 years. 2019 had 7 sig outbreaks. 2018 had NONE. Very odd. Unlike anything in the 105 years
Tom looks for mistakes in SIGTOR 1974-2022. Hot off the press. No spelling errors. Mistakes in grammar. Missed ideas need to be added. We will forward corrected version to printer and ask for final printed proof, then order lots of copies. Repost requested
SIGTOR 1974-2023 ...ATTENTION
No placing orders on April 15th and no waiting 60 days for books. We will oversee printing of 200 books on June 20th ... Dorisโ and my 59th wedding anniversary. You can order on the
June 30th.
NO ONE on this planet wants this book finishedโฆ
SIGTOR1974-2023 ... please go to and read the new message under the price ... and then click on the "click here" link on the lower right for a bit of a new view. Retweets would be greatly appreciated.
63 straight days without a true "significant" outbreak --in the middle of tornado season.
Significant is :
1 EF4 or EF5
4 EF2
2 EF3
2 EF2 and 1EF3 You can thank climate change, the weaken jet, and the polar vortex from 1985. First time ever?
How long can it last?
SIGTOR 1974-2022 UPDATE --Both of us having severe colds did set us back. Orders will now be take on APRIL 15, 2023.
Now going for at least 50 COLOR photographs in the book.
OUTBREAKS--DEC 15, 2021 --REALLY ODD !!-- 29 EF2 -Score 58 -Tornadoes in MN first in DEC history - Score 58 is 3rd worst in DEC --all time.
DEC 10-11, 2021 Worst in DEC history -Score 80 - YES, no EF5! 2 EF4 - 6 EF3 - 15 EF2 More odd tornado records coming up in 2022? u-bet
SIGTOR-1974-2022. The pain of waiting continues. Can't ship this week. Must wait for a new printed proof. Shipping by Oct 30th for sure. You know the book exists. Still not perfect. Plenty of anxiety boiling over here. Sooooo close. Sorry to make you wait.
MOST DEATHS IN A SINGLE BUILDING -- about 70 at the Copper Pants Factory in Gainesville, Ga on April 6, 1936. The building was hit by the tornado, doors were probably locked. It caught fire and burned to the ground, along with nearby buildings. The total of 70 is an estimate.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 NOTE FROM PRINTER: Books were printed yesterday -- being bound into single volumes today. Packed for shipping Thursday. On the truck from Ohio Friday.
OUTBREAKS - 2021 ..odd ??? Odd is DEFINITELY the new normal. Everyone can guess what they want. 219m is the Tri-State path length FOREVER. Even though it's not. The outbreak of 12/10-11/2021 was the worst December outbreak in history back to 1875. If you accept my definition.
NOT THE BEST CHASE DAY ! Looks like we'll have an EF2 by morning and probably a significant outbreak. Something odd is going on and I'll sift through the numbers and see if I can find it. Stay indoors and seek shelter. Very bad timing on this one. Kickstarter said no to Sigtor.
SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES, 1974-2022 Revised post on PRICE. Heaven help me, I need a proofreader ... the price is $149, not $129. Believe me, I am so sorry. NO ATTEMPT TO MISLEAD ANYONE. Truly sorry
4 grandkids and son just left after basement
water cleanup. All SIGTOR 1680-1991 original paper printouts destroyed. Plenty of flash-drive and the cloud storage backup. Lost slides from 1993-1997 chases. Famous chasers hiding under bridge girders (joke) was biggest loss.
SIGTOR 1680-1991 sold for $99.00. Shipping, paper, printing, binding, have nearly tripled since then. SIGTOR 1974-2022 ships priority rate (USPS) $20.00 to avoid delays/damage (price included shipping). Many have suggested $200. Final Price $129. Much more info on 1/16/2023.
No sig OUTBREAKS since March 27. FORGET THAT, there have been no EF2 since the end of October. It's now Dec 3, and still no EF2-5). To break the all-time record for the end of the year we have to get no EF2 until 12/31. Lots of EF2 in Dec since 1950. Things are very quiet now.
SIGTOR BOOKS-- All problems with book protection are solved. We use some peanuts, but 3/4 inch stiff foam corners from Uline, 1/2 inch bubble wrap, and 13" bubble wrap envelope. Slows down shipping process.
Thomas Grazulis
@sigtor2019
grazulis
@yahoo
.com 330 days since the last EF4. Nearing the key month of March. Thanks for the nice remarks about my interview on WeatherBrains. Record breaking weather. Maybe just the start. Warmest December to February winter in history, here.
The May 2, 2021 outbreak qualified it as an "insignificant" outbreak with only one F2 tornado, putting it under the 1000th most intense outbreak since that 1950. The NBC Al Roker type of hype is really unnecessary . Zero killed, zero injured tells us the whole story.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 has chosen PEANUTS. Thatโs biodegradable PEANUTS as packing material to keep the book safe during shipment via USPS priority mail. We tested a half dozen options and those peanuts are starch based and dissolve in water. Pretty cool.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 ... 12/10/2023 outbreak looks significant. OIS rating at 15. That's about the 400th or so worst outbreak since 1974. Nashville NWS did a good job rating that mess. Terrible loss in cheap trailers.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 price? You'll have it Jan 9. 50 years between intro of the Fujita scale to the NWS offices, you the worst outbreak in history(1974)and a historic outbreak in Dec. 2021
Six warmest years in VT since 1890: 2012, 2021, 2020, 2016, 2017, 2022. What's going on?
Tom Grazulis ... . Sigtor2022...330 days without an EF4 . COULD ALL CHANGE TODAY. Seems like a significant outbreak for sure. We will know the OIS score in a few days.
On average, there have been two โhistoricโ outbreaks every 10 years. Up to March 30, 2023 there had been only one to reach 120 (historic level) in the last 12 years. That was on Palm Sunday in 2020.
OUTBREAKS-- JUNE
NEXT UP, THE MONTH THAT CHANGED OUTBREAK HISTORY FOR GOOD --DECEMBER
VOLUME 2 OF SIGTOR GOES ON SALE FIRST.. ON JAN 3, 2023. $110 1975-2022. VOLUME 1, 1680-1974, GOES ON SALE TWO YEARS LATER. CRAZY WAY OF DOING IT, BUT THING ARE A BIT CRAZY LATELY.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 posts had to take a break the last 2 weeks. Worst cold (non-Covid) in my life. Coughing violently ... had to consider hospitalization. Better now. Downloaded and read 1300 pages of Chuck's Chatter and other of his posts. Next Monday much more informative info.
NOT A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK --ONLY ONE EF3-- 1 EF3 AND A BUNCH OF EF0/1s makes a MINOR outbreak...MY BAD..113 AND STILL COUNTING. More than 2000 minor outbreaks since 1950. Those EF2s were from days ago. Focusing too much on finishing SIGTOR, less than a year away. Graph is OK
SIGTOR BOOKS. Books are here. We sent one preview copy to son in Maine. It arrived damaged. Biofriendly peanuts don't work. They crush. Repacked 2nd one. It was safe. Please order NOW if needed by Christmas. Delays throughout system. First 11 sent from here early today.
Still no outbreaks in April ... Anyone trying to count EF0 and EF1 expecting to gauge the effect of climate change on tornadoes is going to get lost barking up the wrong debarked tree.
4/3/1974--
#1
ranked outbreak of all time--top score of 535.
3/25/2021--
#122nd
worst outbreak since 1950..score 38 (somewhat accurate)
3/37/2021--
#475th
worst outbreak since 1950 score 12 (perspective only). More coming. Full story in October. Really full in SIGTOR2021-3/2022
OUTBREAKS IN DECEMBER. 2 in 5 days ...how quickly we forget. How about 2 in 3 days?
12/23/2015 13k 72 inj
12/26/2015 12k 635 inj
Never happened since 1873.
Climate change happens over years in time. Big freeze in TX might not happen for 6+ years, but it may be worse.
YES, FINALLY..A GENUINE OUTBREAK. 3/25/2021 to 7/29/2021..125 OUTBREAK-FREE DAYS --A RECORD. Just barely significant. OH, PA, NJ hit by 1 EF3 and 4 EF2s, the 480th most intense outbreak since 1950. The graph hints that MAYBE CLIMATE CHANGE KILLS SPRING CHASING --HOPE NOT !!.
I am adding personal bio to SIGTOR 1974-2022, in anticipation of UPS strike. Will cover 1953 Worcester tornado (94 killed) through 1954 and 1955 hurricane eyes over my house in central MA, through top 200 outbreaks, with obvious trends (2023). Not "impossible".
NO EF4 FOR 377 DAYS. MAYBE ONE NEXT MONDAY OR TUESDAY...THEN THE HEAT DOME OF 2023 TAKES OVER. OIS outbreaks over 30 are now called VERY SIGNIFICANT, following the books lead. I don't like this at all. Summer full of hail ??
Last 50+ pages of SIGTOR 1974-2022 are about outbreaks ...ranked from top (score 567) to bottom (11). Includes all 505 outbreaks at or above the โsignificantโ level (above score 11). The last one was April 19, 2023 (score 22). Six so far this year; average 10 per year.
OUTBREAK April 19-20, 2023
Looks like just a minimal โsignificantโ outbreak (score 11) with three EF2s and one EF3 (Cole, OK). Some great supercell and nice radar activity but just barely made it out of the โminorโ outbreak category.
LATE CHASE SEASON .... 5/11/1992 is history.
4 more days with no outbreaks for a new all-time record.
5-15-1990 and 5/15/2013 are next-this Friday.
If no outbreak, then only two dates stand between this year and a new all-time record: 5/17/1988 and 5/25/1987-all cold weather
POST
#2
"Kickstarter" didn't exist in 1992. Printer backruptcy near disaster for us. Destroyed all large negatives. Deal now for $145 starting on 4/1/2023. Need 200 orders.
Most of 1992-93 orders were from SIGTOR 1880-1989 softbound customers. 15% now deceased. More 1/23/2023
SIGTOR 1974-2022. DELAY TO AUGUST 31. Sorting soggy flood papers with SPC data 1950-1973. Spent years bad-mouthing job by students and other people Fscale-ratings. STUMBLED into easy way of making early data very useful. Main reason for delay. BIG PART OF BOOK. See first post.
SIGTOR1974-2022 on track for July 31. Tornadoes on recent SPC storm reports maps look like hurricane season. 10 of 11 โmajorโ tornado outbreaks (score 30 or higher) in the past 3 years are outside the normal chase season. Climate change you say? Oh yes! BRET already?
WHY ARE EF0/1 GIVEN ZERO POINTS?
The number of EF0/1 tornadoes is going UP. More and better spotters and chasers reporting, satellite images, more radar at more TV stations watching every pixel, drone footage, and future tech. Only EF2 damage speaks LOUDLY to me.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 (see ) about 300 days since the last EF4. Maybe next month? Maybe next year? No -20 degrees this year in northeast VT. Not even -10. Very very odd. Another maple sap flow in February ?
Sorry, too quick to react. Just started on 2020.. July 8, 2020 outbreak ranked 11 out of 510, not 20. Just finished ranking 3,300 outbreaks since 1878.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 (710 PAGES + 643 FIGURES) will be printed and bound in Ohio, shipped to Vermont via UPS. Costs $1200 to ship 100 copies ... $12 per book. We cover those costs. 130,000 UPS drivers, packers
etc, to strike on 7/31/2023. Floods and UPS not good at all for us.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 ORDER DELAY TO AUGUST 31. Table of contents-Index- shipping supplies-corrections not made by 2 people hired. Surprise flood of grandchildren on 81st birthday. Eye operation. All nightmares. Brain still good. Book must be perfect. See second post. Good news
CHASE SEASON IN OKLAHOMA is pretty obvious, mostly May. The peak week of April 26-May 2 has seen about 1654 path miles of F1-F5 tornado, 1950-2016 (SPC data). As for 1880-1949, (not shown) the peak is THE SAME WEEK. Not what I was looking for! Will try other ways to seek change
No outbreaks in April 2021, (or April 1959, 1987.) None
in May or June 2020. strange stuff. This according to my proprietary OIS (Outbreak Intensity Score-not really proprietary๐คฃ ) You'll all have it. 877 "outbreaks" since 1950. NO F0F1 EVER. Climate change and tornadoes.
The group of 9 EF0 and EF1 tornadoes on April 28th do not make a "significant" outbreak. That is the third time that "no significant outbreak in April " has happened in the "climate change" era. No outbreaks to May 5th will eclipse the 1959 record. >800 outbreaks in that time
This event (4/27/2014 - Vilonia, AR) will be changed to EF4 (with an asterisk) * in the final version of SIGTOR2022, accompanied by an explanation. That's the best I can do for now. Only 5 followers picked up on it. Good eyes.
STILL NO OUTBREAKS--more than 3 months now.
Last May and June of 2020 poor chasing too. Lake Mead record low level. Arctic cold in Texas -record high temp in Oregon -- were looking at climate change right in the face. --Fear for east coast hurricane season.
Tweet 15 of 15 see home page for all 15.
SIGTOR 2019 books are due in the fall of 2021, one printing, est. $160 for 2 books, 1500 total pages. The driving force for the books is the search for changing patterns in a changing climate. Counting all tornadoes is useless.
Tweet
#2
of 15 today. The number of "very significant" outbreaks has not changed much. Definition that gives clearest picture across 150 years: at least two F3-5 tornadoes, and 50+ miles of upper EF2 to F5 path miles. Subjective? oh yes, but the best I can come up with
SIGTOR1974-2022 NEEDS A BIT MORE TIME. Daily Weather Map for June 3, 1980 showed that PA-NJ (cluster) and NE outbreak (studied by Fujita + Tim Marshall) were linked by a stalled east-west front. Need more time to located and resolve these missed outbreaks. Need until mid-July
In the tornado alleys of the U.S., the only state without an F5 (1950-2022) is Arkansas. I thought that 4-27-2014 was worthy, but officially its an EF4 and that's how it will end up. From above, the path looks like it was narrowing, and increasing rotation. EF5 winds, EF4 damage.
8" OF RAIN SO FAR IN JULY. HOPEFULLY ONE OR TWO MORE INCHES WILL DO IT. SIGTOR 1974-2022 DELAYED BY WET BASEMENT, DOWNED TREES, VERY HIGH WATER IN THE RIVER, SHORT POWER OUTAGE. LOTS OF WORRY HERE. UPS STORY COMING UP TOMORROW.
Early variant of orange maple is ALWAYS bare by now, with peak color about 9/20. Very late this year, after record high temps for July, August, the 2nd highest for Sept. I built suspension bridge in 1975 after lower one was washed away by first of six 100-year floods since 1970
19 years of research on Louisville tornadoes will come up with better numbers, for sure. SIGTOR 1680-1973 WILL HAVE 115 deaths at Louisville in 1890. I knew that 14 ago. Kevin was nice enough to send me a copy of his book.
66 tornado reports for November 29/30, 24 actual tornadoes. 5 EF2 2 EF3 ...that's a score of 20. Just barely made it significant. Is there a report of an EF4 in there ?? Nothing listed on wiki out of Iowa State .
ALL TIME RECORD-LAST SIGNIFICANT TORNADO OUTBREAK WAS MARCH 25 ... 90 DAYS AGO ..records go back to 1916 for April, May, and June. Never have we been outbreak free for 3 key chasing months. SEVEN DAYS TO GO FOR A FULL 3 MONTHS
June 18, 19, 20 few tornadoes ... NO OUTBREAKS
AN OUTBREAK !..FINALLY.. After 111 days since 3/25/2021, Iowa, but a "SMALL" one. NOT SIG 1 EF3 and 2 EF2s (46 EF0/EF1 don't EVER count). Since 2011-present each 2-year period has fewer sig outbreaks. THIS WINTER ?/ NEXT YEAR ? WILL IT BE LIKE 1986-1987 ? OR 2011 ? MUST WAIT
THOSE F5 RATINGS WERE DONE AT A VERY DIFFERENT PERIOD IN TORNADO DOCUMENTATION, AND NOT BY ME, REALLY. THEY WERE DONE BOTH BY TED FUJITA AND THE STUDENT IN 1973, REPORTING TO NSSFC. BOTH GAVE THEM AN F5 WITH NO REAL ON-SITE STUDY, SO BE CAREFUL.
So much for May 15th, the 17th is the target date, then on to record territory. Strange weather since mid-1980's. What's not strange is the 70 EF0's and EF1's this month. As chasers and tech get better, more of those show up. Last true outbreak was March 25th.. 50 days ago.
56% of SIG outbreaks since 2012--in COLD weather. After the polar vortex of 1985, 7 of 7 SIG outbreaks--ALL in COLD weather. WE NEED A CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM TO KEEP TRACK.
2021 - March 27 + April + May to June 7 -- 72 days with no SIG outbreaks. You'll have a system in 2 weeks
OIS rank and IS score
4/26/1991 rank
#11
on OIS list. Intensity Score: IS: 117
4/27/2011 rank
#2
IS: 338
4/28/2014 rank
#18
IS: 97 AR +MS
4/29/1963 rank
#72
IS: 53 MS + TN
4/30/1967 rank
#69
IS: 54 3 F4's in Freeborn Co, MN many deaths - none counted in IS or OIS
post 3 of 3
Kickstarter began 2009. Indiegogo 2007. My version in 1992: SIGTOR 1680-1991 was $65 if willing to wait a year. Goal was 200 books, or forget it. My goal now is 200 books at $145, free shipping. Higher price at a future date. Goal not reached- $ returned- I quit
All time fewest killer tornadoes
best to start in 1875
first BIG year for Army Signal Corps Surveys
year Kt
1875 32
1876 15
1877 18
1878 22
1879 29
lows years since 1880
1888 10
1910 9
1962 7
2018 4 so far. ... NOV/DEC could get nasty
November 4th--the first true "outbreak" in 4 months. Climate change! The idea that what's coming up in SIGTOR is "Volume 1" is now gone. It will have a major revision of how we classify outbreaks. Still hoping that Kickstarter comes though. All time high temp in VT for all Nov.
April 19-20, 2023 Outbreak
Update as of Saturday PM, April 22. โSignificantโ outbreak (now score 20 ...up from 11) with five EF2s and two EF3s. Beautiful supercells. in OK. Needs to score 30 to get to MAJOR where was the EF4 some people have posted?
SIGTOR 1974-2022 Page 637 ... OIS system. Looks like the OIS will hold at 22. No EF4, BUT CLOSE. Significant? Yes. But under 30. Historic only for those affected in OH and IN. No EF4 for 355 days. None in sight.
OUTBREAKS. Tweet 3 of 3. Signif outbreaks tally >15 points. Last April had NONE; last May had NONE; last June had NONE. Never before happened, then record # in December. SIGTOR will have top 500. Sold Florida house to fund the book. Taking orders 01/2/2023. Outbreaks changing
WORST OUTBREAKS IN MAY. No major outbreaks in 14 years.
COMING SOON: JUNE ... Slowly becoming a month of landspouts ... courtesy of extra CO2 , methane, water vapor, and other greenhouse gases. With nothing I would call an actual "outbreak". Once was a great month.
Yesterday--no book post. Walk in the woods on a nice early climate change day. 40 degrees, blue sky, perfect alto cumulus. Mud season starts tomorrow. What's ahead? Floods, high heat, drought, more ticks, frightning TCs. I'll try to enjoy 3 straight months with record highs.
POST
#1
of 2
SIGTOR 1680-1991 was $65 in 1992. Too broke to print. Deal was somewhat like"Indiegogo". Needed 300 customers to send $65 and wait 6 months. You would get the book or get your money back. Got 300+ orders. The price went to $95 in 1993. Printer went bankrupt in 1999
Having viewed 25 rotating TX LP supercells, I think it's OK to say May 17 had no significant outbreak ... no 4 EF2 ... no 2 EF3 ... no 1EF3 and 2EF's ...nothing to make a SIGNIFICANT day. May 26 is the day for a new milestone for climate change. ..61 DAYS ... .no real outbreak
@tornado_talk
@NWSJacksonMS
Every F5 rating before 1980 is an "educated wild guess". From 1880-1979 I looked at the tornadoes that seemed the most extremely violent and took a guess at the ones that were really compelling, but it was still just a guess. The gut feeling on Vicksburg was poor construction