Pranay Kotasthane @pranaykotas Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Pranay Kotasthane

@pranaykotas

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High Tech Geopolitics/Public Policy Researcher. Deputy Director @TakshashilaInst Cohost @puliyabaazi Cowriter Views my own.

Bengaluru, Karnataka, India

https://t.co/1HvRSFd9CG

Joined May 2013

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

6 months

Woohoo! @manchigaru & I will have a @BloomsburyIndia book out next month. We felt there was a shortage of Indian perspectives on semiconductor geopolitics, even though India is a crucial node of this supply chain. So we wrote a book. Please pre-order!

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

Experienced a new fraud on Central Bengaluru roads. Sharing it here so that you don't fall victim to it. @btppubliceye @BlrCityPolice @blrcitytraffic

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Woohoo! We have a @PenguinIndia book coming out in Jan. It's about Indian public policy stories and frameworks — infused with some Bollywood references and garnished with humour. Will you read it? Only answer allowed is a yaaasss :).

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

As a Mandarin language student, I recoil in horror when Chinese names are articulated incorrectly. I think we should know our strategic adversaries well enough to pronounce their leaders' names precisely. #thread

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

6 years

Quite amusing that the north-south debate over public finances has been taking place with complete disregard to Public Finance theory itself. Guess it shouldn't be surprising but let me attempt anyways.. #thread

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Anticipating the Unintended #126 is up. In this COVID-19 response edition, we discuss: - vaccine diplomacy - democracy & the 2nd wave - central vista project & - the new vaccine strategy. Subscribe:

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Pranay Kotasthane

9 months

Back to license raj for consumer goods like laptops and tablets. Sad development.

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Laptop imports will require licence; Govt keen to boost local industry

The move seems to be aimed at promoting domestic manufacturing, and probably targeted at China since more than 75 per cent of India’s total $ 5.33 billion imports of laptops and personal computers in...

indianexpress.com

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

I'm amazed how quickly cloth masks have improved. From the ugly synthetic cloth ones that bruised the ears to ones with multiple layers, adjustable straps behind the head, better fits to avoid fogging glasses etc. No centrally planned design; market incentives at work.

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

6 years

So here's a hilarious story that illustrates how virtually anything goes in the name of religion. Location: Bengaluru. Date: 7-8 April. There's a big procession to transport a rock cut statue of Anjaneya from Hennuru Bagaluru Road to HSR (30km) on 7th morning. 1/n

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

There are three reasons I've heard in support of the argument "India should tilt towards Russia". I have objections to all three of them. #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

Sharing this in case you notice something similar on the roads. Be aware. Stay calm. Find the nearest traffic police, and don't get into an argument. #PSA

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

The ongoing milk shortage in a few states is an interesting case study to teach the consequences of price distortion. A short #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Completed 8 years at @TakshashilaInst today. It's been great fun!

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Pranay Kotasthane

6 months

Got my co-author copy today. It's just about 200 pages - an easy read for anyone trying to make sense of semiconductor geopolitics. We have chapters on India, and a framework for future scenarios as well.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Toddler points us to our masks every time he wants us to take him out. Is it too late to teach "correlation is not causation"? :D

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

Luckily I had a dashcam on my car and was able to identify the number plate of one of the two fraudsters.

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Completed nine years at Takshashila in March! It's been a fun ride. A decade ago, I hadn't even heard the phrase 'public policy', but education and research at Takshashila have nurtured me. The supersmart people in the Takshashila network I met broadened & sharpened my thinking.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Regarding the news "PM Modi calls upon private firms to enter medical education sector in big way". Good to understand why this hasn't happened until now. #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

So, our book releases tomorrow. The Kindle version is up for sale as well. Nervous excitement. Do read!

@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Woohoo! We have a @PenguinIndia book coming out in Jan. It's about Indian public policy stories and frameworks — infused with some Bollywood references and garnished with humour. Will you read it? Only answer allowed is a yaaasss :).

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Pranay Kotasthane

6 months

The section on the Delhi Smog from our chapter on the tyranny of fixing prices.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Chinese govt: Confucianism Indian govt: Confusionism #joke

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

I then went to the police officer and explained the situation. He told me this is a common fraud and that I should register a complaint. Since I couldn't identify the number plates, I didn't go to the police station.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

As someone who's been writing on Afghanistan intermittently over the last 5 years, the text of the US-Taliban agreement comes across as a complete loss for the US. #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 months

Celebrating a decade a @TakshashilaInst today. It's still great fun. There are just too many generous people who have helped me in this personal, intellectual and professional journey. Thanks y'all.

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

On July 4 (Tuesday) at around 5.30 pm, the same thing happened to me, this time on Wheeler Road near Thom's Bakery. And guess what. It was the SAME guy again. What are the odds!

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

@d_jaishankar Totally. Had created this flowchart based on Amb Blackwill's comment.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Hypothesis: The US' most impactful 'soft' power instrument is the number of non-fiction books on the world its scholars write. The new terms, frameworks, and labels in these books 'shape the preferences of others’ more than other instruments.

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

In some urban Indian homes like ours, stainless steel vessels are the only daily-use artefacts that remind us of past family connections. The engraved names, dates, & lost connections. Eg, the plate on the right is almost my age. So is that tumbler.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 months

Anticipate the unintended consequences of this policyWTF.

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Pranay Kotasthane

11 months

This book ranks very high on insights-to-effort ratio. Must-read book on an underappreciated aspect of Indian public policy.

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

On Sunday (July 2), we were waiting for the traffic signal to turn green on the Queens Road signal, turning towards Alliance Francaise. After turning, one guy on an Activa stopped us aggressively and started accusing us that our car had gone over his leg.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Thankfully, the government clarifies in the Rajya Sabha that there is no plan for a population control bill. It's a problem that's already been addressed. Hope it puts to rest the bogie of population explosion.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Price caps on 50 per cent of private college medical seats is a terrible policy. It will lead to fewer and smaller private colleges. The fee of the remaining 50 per cent will rise further. Instead of increasing the total number of seats, we will end up creating more scarcity.

@PMOIndia

PMO India

2 years

कुछ दिन पहले ही सरकार ने एक और बड़ा फैसला लिया है जिसका बड़ा लाभ गरीब और मध्यम वर्ग के बच्चों को मिलेगा। हमने तय किया है कि प्राइवेट मेडिकल कॉलेजों में आधी सीटों पर सरकारी मेडिकल कॉलेज के बराबर ही फीस लगेगी: PM @narendramodi

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

He swerved ahead of my car. And he let another accomplice of his, on another two-wheeler, try the same trick. The guy started banging the car windows and made the same accusation. Now I was sure that this was a fraud. Luckily, there were quite a few traffic policemen nearby.

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

I stopped the car near a place where the traffic police were catching traffic rule violations. The two two-wheelers ran away as soon as they saw the car stop.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Good example to illustrate the difference between counting Inputs vs Outputs vs Outcomes.

@drharshvardhan

Dr Harsh Vardhan (Modi Ka Pariwar)

@drharshvardhan

3 years

Pleased to note our world-class Co-WIN platform ensured smooth rollout of beneficiary registration for Phase 3 of world’s #LargestVaccineDrive In just first 3 hours: 🔸80L+ people registered 🔹1.45 cr SMS successfully delivered 🔸38.3 cr API hits recorded @PMOIndia @MoHFW_INDIA

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

So many conversations now begin with "Have you listened to that episode of TSTU?" that I'm calling it a positive exernality now. So TSTU itself has unseen benefits. This is meta, @amitvarma :).

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Our tiny little newsletter Anticipating the Unintended's 150th edition went out today! Readers, thanks for your attention and time.

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Anticipating the Unintended | Pranay Kotasthane | Substack

A thought letter about public policy concepts, frameworks, and ideas. Indian perspectives on public policy, foreign affairs, and global politics. 8000+ subscribers. 200+ editions. By Pranay Kotasth...

publicpolicy.substack.com

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Yay! @puliyabaazi completed 3 years this week & 100th edition of Anticipating the Unintended went out today. Proud of these milestones. Thanks to co-conspirators @saurabhchandra & RSJ for everything. Thanks to our listeners, readers, & @TakshashilaInst for all the support.

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

What you WON'T see in news today: Claims that EVMs were manipulated/hacked.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

The Indian State to Markets and Society: I won't do what I'm supposed to but why the hell aren't you two doing what I'm supposed to do?

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

I try to use this stat in my public policy 101 lectures. The single-largest expenditure item in GoI's expenditure profile is: interest on previous loans. Interest alone, not principal. 23 paise out of ₹1. Talk about intergenerational inequity.

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

Starting a podcast episode recommendation thread on some of my interests: public policy in India, international relations, technology etc. Selection criteria: episodes so full of insights that I would listen to them again.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

In today's @htTweets , we argue that India needs a 20-year roadmap on semiconductors, not just occasional financial incentives. We identify five elements of the roadmap here.

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

India's biggest fiscal federalism challenge in one chart: managing the wide differences in per capita state incomes. (Note: I've not selected all states for this chart)

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Since the CAA-NRC debate has moved the Overton Window on the issue of migration, let me bring up a lost cause that no side wants to speak for: internal migration. #thread

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

I'm a cautious, slow driver, so I was surprised. Especially when we turned slowly after the vehicles ahead of us had moved. In any case, I apologised profusely, thinking that I might have made an inadvertent mistake.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

So thrilled that this anthology is out now. It has new ideas on India in a changing world order. Buy ebook here: Paperback will be up in about a week. A #thread on what the book's about.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 months

Our shiny new public policy comic book is available for pre-order. @thescribblebee has transformed policy ideas into an easily accessible graphic narrative. Perfect for anyone and everyone above 14 years of age. Will you read it? Only answer allowed is a yaaasss :).…

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

As soon as I did that, he got more aggressive and started shouting expletives. He clearly wanted me to get out of the car and confront him. But somehow, I maintained my calm and just went ahead. After some distance, he took another route and let us go.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Today's one of those rare days when you get to see positivity reinforcing cascades, instead of partisan sniping, on this platform. Sports success has an inexplicably uplifting influence.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

So happy to hear this positive statement by @CMOMaharashtra . Low income migrants are most vulnerable. Glad that some state governments are stepping up to protect all their residents.

@CMOMaharashtra

CMO Maharashtra

@CMOMaharashtra

4 years

Our country & the whole world is facing this crisis so I request you to stay wherever you are. Don’t try to get anywhere. Labourers and workers from different States who are in Maharashtra, the Government will take care of them.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

In today's @timesofindia , I explain the public finance implications of the Agnipath scheme. Article here:

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Ambedkar's writings are so rich that it will take a lifetime to read and understand them all. So this #AmbedkarJayanti , I recommend just this one reading that @cbhanp has written about: 1951 manifesto of the Scheduled Castes Federation (page 386)

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

New grad students: it might be a good idea to send your professional status update to the people who wrote letters of recommendation for you. That'll make a seemingly thankless task, worth it :).

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

Terrific piece in @TheEconomist on Vietnam's success in education. Check the chart comparing learning outcomes. Image source:

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

'Missing in Action' is not missing in action at the New Delhi World Book Fair at the @PenguinIndia stall. Huge crowd. Good presence of international publishers.

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

Losses to Indian airlines because of closure of Pakistani airspace: 1/ AI to incur another 100cr loss 2/ SpiceJet cancels Delhi-Kabul flight 3/ Indigo forced to add fuelling stop for Delhi-Istanbul

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

China giving gyaan on human rights and Pakistan giving a talk about nuclear security are the funniest highlights of the last week. All that's left is for Trump to talk about the merits of migration.

@ImranKhanPTI

Imran Khan

5 years

The World must also seriously consider the safety & security of India's nuclear arsenal in the control of the fascist, racist Hindu Supremacist Modi Govt. This is an issue that impacts not just the region but the world.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Just a reminder for all "ban China goods" people: India as an importer accounted for just about 3% of all China's exports in 2018 (source: WITS). So it's an instrument with limited benefit and huge self-inflicted costs.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

IMO, the Agnipath debate has three meta-lessons for public policy. #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

I feel energised by reading the Gandhi-Tagore debates. Sabyasachi Bhattacharya's compilation of their letters to each other between 1915 & 1941 is a wonderful read. #thread #tagore

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

"A responsible person must learn to unlearn what he has learned. He must have the courage to rethink & change his thoughts... There can be no finality in thinking" - BR Ambedkar

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

Listen in. @amitvarma & I discuss some key ideas from public policy in this short 3.5 hour conversation.

@amitvarma

Amit Varma

3 years

Public policy is not just for wonks. The brilliant @pranaykotas joins me in episode 233 of The Seen and the Unseen to discuss how exciting policy can be, & how it can change our lives: He also answers Twitter questions, & talks about his private beach.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 months

काफ़ी देर आए लेकिन दुरुस्त आए।

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Trying something new: a 4 min video in Hindi on why #BoycottChineseProducts is *not* the right instrument to teach the PRC a lesson. Please share on your hawkish WhatsApp groups. #chinakojawaabkajawaab

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Bhiya Indori #1: China Ko Jawaab Ka Jawaab - Impact of Boycotting...

चीन को सबक़ सिखाना बहुत ज़रूरी है पर इस उद्देश्य के लिए ऐसे अस्त्र का उपयोग ना करें जिससे लेने के देने ना पड़ जाए।

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Pranay Kotasthane

10 months

Don't understand the logic of govt trying to become a venture capital firm for chip design companies. This move is likely to be ineffective and inefficient. #thread

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DLI scheme 2.0: Centre considers picking up equity in chip design firms

Design companies need to show proof of concept of their design, as well as undertake testing of the design on products before it can identify buyers

www.business-standard.com

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

A meta-level conversation b/n @pbmehta & @srajagopalan on contemporary Indian economics and politics, with Smithian thinking as the backdrop. This was such a rich conversation that I ended up listening twice today!

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Pranay Kotasthane

6 years

Whatay find. The entire collection of BR Ambedkar's writings and speeches is on the MEA website. Treasure trove.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 months

Received author copies of We, the Citizens yesterday. Buy, read, gift. :)

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Pranay Kotasthane

9 months

Reading Terry Pratchett's Mort this week. This quote, I just cannot get it out of my head: “History isn't like that. History unravels gently, like an old sweater. It has been patched and darned many times, reknitted to suit different people, shoved in a box under the sink of…

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 months

Indians have taken over the English-language internet.

@intintrigue

International Intrigue 🌐

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Top 5 articles on @Wikipedia this year: #1 : ChatGPT, 49,490,406 pageviews #2 : Deaths in 2023, 42,666,860 #3 : 2023 Cricket World Cup, 38,171,653 #4 : Indian Premier League, 32,012,810 #5 : Oppenheimer (film), 28,348,248 Any surprises? What would you have thought?

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Aha! Finally, I spotted our book at the Bengaluru Airport bookstore.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Raghuram Rajan's book review of Thomas Piketty's new book is really something that everyone interested in public policy should read: #thread

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Thomas Piketty’s ‘Capital and Ideology’: scholarship without solutions

The French economist’s data-driven analysis of inequality offers a flawed prospectus for change

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

A lot of “see, this is what happens when you have trade and tech interdependence with the West. Imagine if the West were to use the same instruments against India in the future. Shouldn’t we decouple before they do this to us?” My three counter-points on this issue #thread

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

Our small little public policy ideas newsletter completes one year today. No yak-yak from us in the anniversary edition. Instead, read thoughts/comments by @ajay_shah , @acorn , @prakashmenon51 , @HamsiniH & @gkjohn . To all readers, thank you.

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#80 One Year, 200 Thousand Words Later...

Anticipating the Unintended turns 1 today. 80 editions and over 200,000 words later, we are here. Truth be told, we have surprised ourselves. The fun parts of running a newsletter are limited....

publicpolicy.substack.com

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Here's a pre-order link to our @PenguinIndia public policy book, which explains public policy concepts through stories rooted in the Indian context. We refer to Indian movies & cultural references to get our points across. Please do order! :)

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Three examples show how competitive federalism without guardrails can go wrong. - Rajasthan and then Punjab governments thinking of going back on pension reforms. - Maharashtra - Gujarat tussle over the display & semi fab plant - copycat freebie schemes.

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Pranay Kotasthane

6 months

Things our governments blame on rodents: 1. Eating government files 2. Drinking alcohol under government custody 3. Causing electrocution, leading to the deaths of two citizens. Amazing how governments manage to escape accountability.

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

The full @puliyabaazi co-host team met in person for the first time today! Sunte rahiyega.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 months

Thinking aloud: I am unclear about the chip fab/assembly investment figures. MeitY should offer more clarity. Check this: 1. Dholera Fab total investment: ~$11bn 2. Micron assembly plant capex: $2.75bn 3. Morigaon assembly investment: ~3.2bn

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

6 months

Our @BloomsburyIndia book is on the stands starting today! Kindle and paperback versions are available on @amazonIN as well. Do read and tell us what you make of it. Many thanks to @NandanNilekani , @VGokhale59 & @MohanCRaja for the endorsements.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

In today's @timesofindia , I caution against overoptimistic projections of China's tech prowess.

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Pranay Kotasthane

9 months

The policy-relevant insight is that our states are way too big for preference discovery and good governance. We probably need 2x the number of states. UP is twice as populous as China's most-populous province, Guangdong.

@ianbremmer

ian bremmer

9 months

insane map of the month: % of world’s population that live in each indian state:

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@pranaykotas

Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

I knew nothing about the Spanish Flu in India until yesterday! The gaps in retelling of even the most chronicled part of Indian history amazes me. Apart from my own ignorance of course.

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Pranay Kotasthane

7 months

We are opening up public policy education and research for everyone. Take courses, engage with other learners, and teach courses (coming soon) on @TakshashilaInst 's global community. Check out

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Pranay Kotasthane

8 months

Puliyabaazi #200 , with @pbmehta . A conversation on democracy, institutions, and the Indian republic. सुनियेगा ज़रूर।

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Puliyabaazi Hindi Podcast | Substack

This Hindi Podcast brings you in-depth conversations on politics, public policy, technology, philosophy, and pretty much everything else that is interesting. Click to read Puliyabaazi Hindi Podcast,...

www.puliyabaazi.in

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 months

Credit where it's due. Good move to reduce import tariffs on mobile phone components. There are no competitive exports without imports in electronics manufacturing. 1/n

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Import duty slashed for mobile phone components to 10%

India has cut import duty on parts used for manufacturing of mobile phones to 10% from 15%, a move aimed at boosting exports from Asia’s third-largest economy.

www.thehindu.com

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

1. The Chinese Premier Li Keqiang is NOT ली केकियांग / ಲೀ ಕೆಕಿಯಾನ್ಗ್ . It's ली ख़चीयांग / ಲೀ ಖಚಿಯಾನ್ಗ್

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Pranay Kotasthane

7 years

In 1987, 660mn were poor in China & 374mn in India. On last count, China got this down to 25mn & India to ~200mn.

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

We have a short @TakshashilaInst explainer video on why semiconductors have become a geopolitical flashpoint. I discuss 3 imperatives - technological, geopolitical, and geoeconomic.

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Siliconpolitik: Why have semiconductors become a geopolitical...

Semiconductors are a 'metacritical' technology. This video explains three reasons why semiconductors have become a geopolitical flashpoint, and why they are ...

www.youtube.com

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Pranay Kotasthane

3 years

The economic story of the last decade. See the per capita GDP growth. From today's @bsindia

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

Hi @UberINSupport , I took a cab for a ~8km distance b/n Mahipalpur and JNU yesterday. Pre-ride fare was ₹160. But post-ride fare was ₹1288! I've been charged Airport pick up fee, MCD tax twice, UP interstate tax 🤣 and a ₹763 trip charge. I've raised a complaint in the app.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

If the government were serious about helping medical students in the long run, it would get an expert committee to urgently purpose measures for removing constraints that deter medical colleges from starting up and grow in size.

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Pranay Kotasthane

4 years

And our cities are not overpopulated, they are under governed. Let's think about fixing our governance rather than blame fellow citizens for simply trying to improve their own lives.

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Pranay Kotasthane

5 years

Some economies worry about middle-income traps. But India might be hitting that wall even before becoming middle-income. A lower-middle-income trap perhaps. Thanks to missing reforms, protectionist policies, ans govt interference.

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The shrinking of India’s middle class

Elements that propelled growth and widened India’s middle class are losing momentum. This should worry us all.Stunting of the middle class is the result of decades-long inability to make India a...

www.livemint.com

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Pranay Kotasthane

1 year

'Missing in Action' is now a #1 bestseller in the Public Policy category on @amazonIN . Don't know what that means in terms of sales, but yes, it's a cue for you to go buy it NOW :).

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 months

Good first step in semiconductor manufacturing. We had classified the current set of policies as v3.0 in the book When the Chips are Down, and had predicted that India will have at least one fab soon. @manchigaru

@sidhant

Sidhant Sibal

2 months

Indian IT minister Ashwini Vaishnaw announces cabinet approval of India's first semiconductor fab plant by Tata Group and Taiwan's PSMC in Gujarat's Dholera spl industrial region.

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Pranay Kotasthane

2 years

Good move. The realism in this strategy is great to see.

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Pranay Kotasthane

7 years

Some stunning data visualisations on long-term global economic trends from this slideset by @MaxCRoser .

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