Pleased to announce that I'll be debuting an "Ask Ochepedia" feature for the PDC - if you have a statistical question about darts that has always troubled you, ask it here and you might soon see the answer on the
@OfficialPDC
website.
For those looking for a direct Littler-MvG comparison, I found results for a TV tournament appearance by MvG when he was almost exactly the same age that Littler is now. (They both played van Barneveld!)
The distribution of the nearly 800,000 darts thrown at the dartboard over the past two years of PDC stage events. I've done my best to group them in a way that reflects the importance of the targets at which they were thrown.
Happy New Year to all!
Rob Cross won his first £250 as a tour card holder on February 3, 2017. He has now added £296,000 to that total in the past 11 months, and will be ranked
#8
or
#9
in the world on January 2, 2018.
Michael van Gerwen earns £483.87 for each of the 620 darts he threw in the World Championship final. His earnings tonight will likely keep him on top of the world rankings until 2021.
Phil Taylor never had two consecutive 10-darters in a World Championship. Neither did MvG or Anderson or Barney, nor anyone else. Florian Hempel stands alone.
Gary Anderson's last 250-or-so darts at treble 20. A good look at how Gary often uses the first dart, which is often low, as a "marker". There is of course some margin of error with the dart placements on the graphic, but I've tried to be as accurate as I can.
The odds of witnessing a 9-darter attempt and a 12-darter 170 finish in the same leg (as we did on Thursday night) are about 98,000:1.
We shouldn't expect to see it again in the Premier League until the year 2133.
The only players to have reached a WC final with a higher tournament average (through the SF) than Luke Littler's 101.82:
Phil Taylor
Michael van Gerwen
Gary Anderson
Luke Humphries was born in February 1995. This evening, for the first time in his life, neither MvG nor Phil Taylor will be the reigning champion of any recurring TV event.
Players hitting a majority of their doubles in winning at least 2 WC matches:
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 Michael van Gerwen
2017 Ian White, Jelle Klaasen
2018 Phil Taylor, Vincent van der Voort
2019
2020 Fallon Sherrock
Ever wanted to see every dart thrown in a darts match, all at once? Now you can.
Here are the 702 thrown between Dave Chisnall and Jeffrey de Zwaan, with detail of T20 and T19.
Merry Christmas to all my darts friends and colleagues around the world.
James Wade hit his 9-darter today while his opponent, Robert Collins, was waiting on a score of 49.
That is the lowest finish on record denied a player because of an opponent's 9-darter.
Two years ago, Rob Cross played darts in a pub to qualify for the UK Open as an amateur. He is now the World Champion, and one of the greatest credits imaginable to a great game.
Ritchie Edhouse's nine-darter today was accomplished via the route 174-174-153.
Over the previous 120,000 PDC legs, no one had even **𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘮𝘱𝘵𝘦𝘥** a 153 checkout for a perfect leg.
15 minutes ago, Wright was 5-4 behind in sets and 2-0 behind in legs, averaging a little over 95.
He then won 9 of the next 10 legs, and averaged 113.93 in those legs.
The combined total of career professional matches played by each year's WC semifinalists against Phil Taylor:
2019 - 136
2020 - 99
2021 - 104
2022 - 182
2023 - 77
2024 - 1
Kyle Anderson moved to the other side of the planet, started a family and helped provide for them by playing darts at the highest level. That's a lot to achieve in 33 years - imagine what he would have done if he had a few more.
From 2017 to present, the most accurate player on each segment of the dartboard (where at least two players have 50+ attempts at that segment in stage events):
Highest per-dart earners of ranking income on the 2018 European Tour:
£34.52 - MvG
...
...
£14.40 - Mensur Suljović
£13.27 - Ian White
£13.22 - Jonny Clayton
£12.82 - Gerwyn Price
£11.35 - Max Hopp
£10.58 - Peter Wright
£10.49 - Michael Smith
£10.29 - Simon Whitlock
Rob Cross has now accumulated more ranking money (£937,250) than any World
#2
in history, and more than any player in history apart from MvG or Phil Taylor.
Hello all, I'm sorry to report that I was hospitalized last week and it's taken a while to get back to normal with the darts statistics. My brain is pretty messed up, but thanks to the patience and kind wishes of so many people I'm working on making a full recovery. -Chris
In February 2017, all seven ranking TV titles in the PDC were held by Michael van Gerwen.
Now, for the first time ever, all seven are held by different people.
Most scores of 171-177 recorded in the past 6 months:
139 - Michael van Gerwen
74 - Gerwyn Price
72 - Krzysztof Ratajski
58 - Ryan Searle
54 - Keegan Brown
52 - Jamie Hughes
45 - Jeffrey de Zwaan
44 - Rob Cross
44 - Michael Smith
My new analysis of more than half a million checkout attempts *𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗼𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗻𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝗮 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗶𝘀𝗵* from the past two years suggests that the hardest checkout is... 𝟭𝟯𝟵
All of the 39,000+ darts thrown in the 2018 World Championship, grouped roughly by whether they were aimed at treble, single, double or bullseye. This is not 100% accurate (e.g. a few darts are not in the correct part of the bed), but it's close.
To give you an idea of how many 180s that Petersen/de Sousa match had...
I can only find 6 matches out of ≈35,000 played in the past 5 years that had a higher rate of 180s hit per leg.
And none of those were in double-start!
Out of 1,253 legs played in this year's tournament, there has only been one 10-darter (Kurz).
That leg was one of the 13 in which a player began with at least 6 perfect darts. The only player with two such 9-dart attempts is Fallon Sherrock.
A few examples of players winning a non-tiebreak set with 3 100+ finishes:
161, 160, 123 - Kurz 2020
139, 124, 121 - MvG 2014
167, 110, 104 - Osborne 2009
150, 121, 104 - Wade 2010
136, 121, 114 - A. Smith 2011
126, 104, 100 - Dolan 2018
Paul Lim threw more 180s in the past five days (16) than he did in his previous 25 years of WC matches. 10-darter, 9-darter missed on the double. This man is a legend, and a joy to watch.
A brutal sequence of set-winning legs from THE POWER:
12-dart break
13-dart break
14-dart hold
13-dart break
13-dart hold
15-dart break (119 finish)
15-dart hold
11-dart hold
14-dart hold
15-dart break (99 finish)
15-dart hold (106 finish)
Danny Baggish's 90.93 tournament average is the highest for any player from the United States in any World Championship, BDO or PDC, from 1978 to the present.
Recent World Championship finals in legs:
2013 - Taylor 27-23 van Gerwen
2014 - van Gerwen 25-19 Wright
2015 - Anderson 26-27 Taylor
2016 - Anderson 26-19 Lewis
2017 - van Gerwen 27-17 Anderson
2018 - Cross 21-10 Taylor
2019 - van Gerwen 25-19 Smith
The honeymoon is over. £385,000 will drop off of Rob Cross' Order of Merit total as a result of his loss, by far the largest one-time drop in the history of the ranking system.
Fallon Sherrock will earn a minimum of £25,000 for reaching the 3rd round of the PDC World Championship, which is more than the winner of the BDO Women's World Championship will earn in January.
I'd love to see a variant of 501 played in which the number ring is rotated to a random position around the board after every leg. T20/D20 would be as likely to be located where 3, 9, 13 etc. are now as anywhere else... players would really need to know every segment of the board
Some of the players starting 2019 on their highest-ever world ranking:
#19
Steve West
#20
John Henderson
#26
Jamie Lewis
#33
Dimitri Van den Bergh
#34
Nathan Aspinall
#45
William O'Connor
#46
Danny Noppert
#48
Toni Alcinas
#50
Ryan Searle
#51
Ryan Joyce
#57
Luke Humphries
Gary Anderson now holds the two highest set averages in PDC World Championship history:
132.61 (2016 vs Klaasen, 1st set)
131.93 (2018 vs Smith, 2nd set)
English sportswriters: "A leg that will stand the test of time... a triumphant moment for the sport..."
American sportswriters: "Why aren't they throwing for the bull?"
Gary Blades finished 206th on the Q School Order of Merit last year. Jason Lowe had never placed higher than 86th. Harald Leitinger had not even played Q School before today... there is no telling who will win a tour card.
The results of my yearly attempt to plot out the general distribution of every dart thrown in the PDC World Championship. It's close, but 100% accuracy is by no means guaranteed!
Before the tournament, Seigo Asada was on an 87.5 average for the year. Nico Kurz, 86.8. Fallon Sherrock, 78.2!
I'm always impressed with players who surpass themselves on the biggest stage in the world.
The top 64 players in terms of their 3-dart average (100 legs minimum), in all matches combined, since 14 December 2017.
First in a series of periodical, comprehensive rankings for all PDC players.
Michael van Gerwen set a World Matchplay record last night by successfully setting up a double from a score of 181-220 five times:
183 - T20 T20 T13 - 24
196 - T20 T20 T20 - 16
208 - T20 T20 T16 - 40
210 - T20 T20 T18 - 36
217 - T20 T20 T19 - 40
It takes some pretty heavy artillery to knock Gary Anderson out of a World Championship. And sometimes even that doesn't suffice:
2013 - Barney
2014 - MvG
2015 - WORLD CHAMPION
2016 - WORLD CHAMPION
2017 - MvG
2018 - Taylor
2019 - MvG
Income from first 4 PC events of their first years as a PDC Tour Card holder:
Stephen Bunting (2014) - £2,250
Rob Cross (2017) - £12,000
Corey Cadby (2018) - £6,500
Glen Durrant (2019) - £16,000
One of these 7 players will be a World Championship semifinalist in a week's time:
Brendan Dolan
Benito van de Pas
Nathan Aspinall
Kyle Anderson
Toni Alcinas
Steve West
Devon Petersen
Visual analysis of Cross' and Taylor's darts at double 16. Phil has been so accurate, and has missed inside so seldom, that you could fit the majority of his darts at D16 into an area barely larger than your thumbnail.
Rob Cross is the first person to win a deciding set in a (PDC) World Championship match with a 170 finish.
There have now been 22 161+ finishes to win any World Championship match (
@Raybar180
is responsible for 4 of them)
Not just the leg, but the entire 2nd set has a decent claim to being the best in WC history - it had the highest-ever combined average in a set.
Here are the top 10:
Every dart thrown at D20 in the tournament from Price and Anderson, two of the pros who are both most accurate and most dependent on checkouts on that double.
I have devised a statistic which measures a player's performance in one number on a 0-100 scale, where a player's score is the expected % of matches that player would win on the Pro Tour with that performance.
It is 40% more accurate than averages at predicting match outcomes.
Danny Noppert won the first leg of his match vs Peter Wright in the first round. The second leg of that match was the only one of the 105 played by Wright this week in which he was trailing his opponent.