Kelly Greer Profile Banner
Kelly Greer Profile
Kelly Greer

@kellyjgreer

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@GalaxyHQ , personal opinions and not financial advice

New York, NY
Joined November 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
10 months
ANNOUNCING MY SERIES B 🚀 after a recent rug pull by a non-strategic partner, it’s time to announce my Series B Raise (Relationship)👇
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
#Bitcoin options just surpassed peak open interest from 2021 👀 enforcing our thesis that watching options flows and positioning is increasingly important
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 month
#btc ETF holders just dropped - not final, will see this expand over next 30 days IBIT:
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
45 days after the end of Q1 we will have look thru into btc etf holders from 13f filings 🍵
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
post expiry updates: -Friday saw $2.75b ntl of $BTC options expire on deribit. OI remains at 2021 levels at $12.5b, most OI lies in Dec23 calls followed by Nov23 calls. -strikes: latest below h/t @Amberdataio . last week saw calls rolled out (h/t @tradeparadigm ) and thus top
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
this has played out. some notes: -short gamma is still in effect up to 40k, but remember it works both ways and can reinforce selling on the way down if spot takes a breather -vol and call skew have been in demand (charts) so call spreads still make sense if adding exposure
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
it’s happening again bullish options positions building around a strike, in november it was 40k, now its 50k apr-june 50-75k calls have been printing, 2k #btc traded in past 2hrs options markets on number go up mode
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@Melt_Dem
Meltem Demirors
6 months
@CoinSharesCo @galaxyhq @TheBlock__ @Oppenheimer @CashApp 15/ if we look at options, the market is bullish x-axis is strike prices in increasing order, orange bars are call volume (bet that BTC go up), blue bars are put volume (bet that BTC go down) orange > blue, more money is betting BTC up v BTC down
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
#btc gamma exposure has tripled 👀almost $60m to buy on 1% moves higher (and sell on moves lower) at peak gamma (we’re not quite there, but its in sight), up from $20m earlier in this thread 38k is the new 30k, can she do it?
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
#btc on gas through 37k and flows in futures and options are definitively constructive: - CME Futures OI passed 100k BTC for the first time ever. Nov Basis is trading at roughly 20% - Implied vols are up across the curve with calls in demand, reflected in higher skew with BTC
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
when i left jpm they sent me my stock on a paper certificate (lol) which i took to a branch. they told me to mail it back to the very office that sent it to me. i mailed it, and weeks later they returned it because a signature was misplaced. so now i self custody my bank equity…
@WatcherGuru
Watcher.Guru
8 months
JUST IN: JPMorgan says Ethereum has been disappointing since its Shanghai upgrade.
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 year
if you're 12-30 years old and your main circle isn't discussing -eth staking unlocks -EIP4844 -eigenlayer -if your monetary system should be deflationary -artblocks -the milady world order then it's time to find a new circle
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
men will literally criticize @isabelleboemeke ted talk bio instead of going to therapy
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
#btc options leading the market again 🥹 calls rolling up from 50k to 60k w spot ripping thru low 50s (1) gamma: $17m to buy on 1% moves higher here. we ripped thru peak level at 50k which saw $25m to buy on 1% moves (2) etf inflows + options positioning = the spice must flow
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
it’s happening again bullish options positions building around a strike, in november it was 40k, now its 50k apr-june 50-75k calls have been printing, 2k #btc traded in past 2hrs options markets on number go up mode
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
#btc on gas through 37k and flows in futures and options are definitively constructive: - CME Futures OI passed 100k BTC for the first time ever. Nov Basis is trading at roughly 20% - Implied vols are up across the curve with calls in demand, reflected in higher skew with BTC
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
post expiry updates: -Friday saw $2.75b ntl of $BTC options expire on deribit. OI remains at 2021 levels at $12.5b, most OI lies in Dec23 calls followed by Nov23 calls. -strikes: latest below h/t @Amberdataio . last week saw calls rolled out (h/t @tradeparadigm ) and thus top
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
Galaxy Digital Sales & Trading are hiring! We’re looking for analysts and summer interns who love: crypto, markets, trading, talking to clients, and other niche interests (such as: foraging, lego building, cinema). DM if you want to work with us!
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
“consumers don’t need another price increase from a guy like me.” take a moment for @DrinkAriZona , long time endorsers of number stay flat technology
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@jeffbercovici
Jeff Bercovici
2 years
"I don’t want to do what the bread guys and the gas guys and everybody else are doing," Don Vultaggio, the 70-year-old, 6-foot-8 founder and chairman of AriZona said. "Consumers don’t need another price increase from a guy like me."
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
28 days
tell me you’re a bitcoiner without telling me you’re a bitcoiner
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
#bitcoin futures OI is nearing ATH 👀but here’s why it’s NOT a top signal.. instead it tells a story of a growing asset class: -CME dominance = sophisticated hedging, not degen longs (they post CASH margin & have an FCM acct) -increasingly used by ETF APs to hedge -rip FTX
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
the options say we havent topped 4200 #btc of calls w strikes 64-80k went thru the market past 24 hours, atm vol and call skew up across all maturities (adding long exposure)
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
#btc options leading the market again 🥹 calls rolling up from 50k to 60k w spot ripping thru low 50s (1) gamma: $17m to buy on 1% moves higher here. we ripped thru peak level at 50k which saw $25m to buy on 1% moves (2) etf inflows + options positioning = the spice must flow
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
SERIES B UPDATE: The diligence process is exhausting, so I’m outsourcing: @BoysClubWorld will run an Onchain Bachelor contest via @jokerace_xyz . We will use the takeaways to improve the dating process through a new project: - sign up on the landing page.
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
10 months
ANNOUNCING MY SERIES B 🚀 after a recent rug pull by a non-strategic partner, it’s time to announce my Series B Raise (Relationship)👇
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
🌽 aggregated btc futures OI is roughly $100m lower than when we were at $38k, love to see bullish px that isn’t driven by a rising OI
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
Cowswap said a quiet thing out loud 👀
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
the global wine supply glut causing farmers to pack up their vineyards. save the farmers everyone drink some wine this weekend
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
cmon guys
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
fear is the mind killer we havent seen a bullish print this size in a while in eth. traded friday, already in the money. u love to see it
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
why generative art nfts are outperforming and why this is just the beginning:
@punk9059
NFTstats.eth
2 years
so Art Blocks have returned.....
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
I told @thomasp85 I would buy a Screens after he gave me a @0xDecaArt mint code, a promise is a promise 🤝
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
can we, as a community, agree to replace the norman rockwell meme with this moving forward. please and thank u
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
being nice to strangers is the most based, easiest thing you can do to improve your day to day vibes (and theirs)
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
first date idea. we meet for drinks on friday night. you go to the bathroom, i check my phone and see a stablecoin is depegging. you return, and i tell you i have to go home.
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
did some technical analysis
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
10 months
Maker did the thing
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
we made it to negative gamma territory which no doubt helped fuel the run to 30k. latest below shows #btc for desks to buy on a 1% spot move higher (and sell on a move lower). things get even spicier as we approach 32k 👀 vol and call skew are higher so look at callspreads if
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
dynamics in this thread cont to play out this week -btc calls cont to be in demand -eth calls cont to be supplied illustrated by BTC ATM IV 8V > ETH (up from flat in late September) yesterdays btc rush gave us a small taste of how short gamma will unfold at 30k (top OI, chart
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
got me looking deribit options say 41% prob btc ends the year > 100k (delta of the dec 100k call) 👀 higher
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@nic__carter
nic carter
3 months
someone who knows options implied odds weigh in here. peter is giving profplum 5-1 odds that bitcoin won't tap 100k sometime in 2024. @VeloData ser
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
#btc funding rates are still on the floor, spot is +5% someones buying coins
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
dear men, what is preventing your twitter profile from looking like this
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
musings into the biggest #btc options expiry to date next friday -175k btc of options expire on deribit on 12/29, which account for half of existing open interest. 60% are calls / 40% puts -can backout from difference in Dec/Jan gamma positioning that most of these Dec are
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
#btc gamma exposure has tripled 👀almost $60m to buy on 1% moves higher (and sell on moves lower) at peak gamma (we’re not quite there, but its in sight), up from $20m earlier in this thread 38k is the new 30k, can she do it?
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
can you feel the eth gamma anon? approx 10k eth mar 2.8k and 3k calls just printed since 10/2 when short calls ruled the eth markets, market has bot eth options leaving us in short gamma. $10m spot to buy/sell on up/down moves here
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
pronounced market structure divergence in btc and eth options dealers heavily short btc gamma vs long eth this will cause pronounced price moves in btc and suppression in eth particularly as we move higher in btc spot
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
i don't know who needs to hear this but when you buy generative art you're not buying a jpeg, you're buying an instance of code that renders an image
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
mentally, physically, spiritually, i cannot comprehend wire transfers
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 year
what drives asset prices
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
explaining this to my friends as bitcoin’s bat mitzvah
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 days
STATE OF WISCONSIN INVESTMENT BOARD BOUGHT $99M OF ISHARES BITCOIN ETF: 13F
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 month
#btc ETF holders just dropped - not final, will see this expand over next 30 days IBIT:
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
happy new year friends
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
10 months
@DavidSacks @theallinpod saw you guys parked in brookfield place
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
she's back baby (the hong kong standard time crypto bid)
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
the asia bid, is it back? 2023: asia was the smallest contributor to #btc gains (1) - posting 1/3 of the US its started to outpace europe past 3 months (2) & last night gave us a glimpse a bullish asia with a 3% rip -> asia is turning back to btc as Xi is telling you the
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
this is why you can’t trust the government
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
. @artblocks_io coming to life 🪩
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
JPM wrote a report stating #btc could go to 42k post halving bc the halving will negatively impact miner profitability ⁃ Will some miners be forced to sell more of their stack? Yes, but a small subset ⁃ Is JPM fudding a historically positive price event for BTC? also Yes
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
pronounced market structure divergence in btc and eth options dealers heavily short btc gamma vs long eth this will cause pronounced price moves in btc and suppression in eth particularly as we move higher in btc spot
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
first date idea. you come watch @Melt_Dem and me talk about bitcoin at the one and only @PubKey_NYC .
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
first date idea. we meet for drinks on friday night. you go to the bathroom, i check my phone and see a stablecoin is depegging. you return, and i tell you i have to go home.
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
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@jilliannewmyer
jillian
2 years
Hot people like nuclear energy, sorry I don’t make the rulez
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
salut to the 44k call buyer 1400 #btc of 44k-47k calls traded past 24h, around 1/3 were 44ks (1) we’re still 160k btc worth of options open interest lower post Dec expiry (2), a lot of which were in the money calls, prob expect to see more call buying activity this week
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 year
@parkerjayp @catholicguilter KDog will bounce back
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
more on btc gamma after qs on if gamma hedging is significant past month, $800m ntl of btc calls (oct-dec) were bought thru @tradeparadigm this shows in OI by strike and maturity can estimate dealers will buy approx $100m btc in a move thru 30k and $400m thru 35k
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
pronounced market structure divergence in btc and eth options dealers heavily short btc gamma vs long eth this will cause pronounced price moves in btc and suppression in eth particularly as we move higher in btc spot
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
@TheStalwart Fiat industry needs to consolidate. To start, I propose a merger of Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan, Credit Suisse and Credit Agricole, Blackrock and Blackstone, the Royal Bank of Canada and the Royal Bank of Scotland
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
Just working, you? @glxyresearch
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
Jan 3 2009: Bitcoin Genesis Block Dec 6 2013: Dogecoin Genesis Block Satoshi walked so that dogs could run happy 10th birthday to doge 💗🐕
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
“chinese locals historically invested in real estate instead of stocks but the real estate market is imploding so now they might buy crypto coins and their BTC ETF process is heating up while Xi tries to stimulate their risk assets”
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
the asia bid, is it back? 2023: asia was the smallest contributor to #btc gains (1) - posting 1/3 of the US its started to outpace europe past 3 months (2) & last night gave us a glimpse a bullish asia with a 3% rip -> asia is turning back to btc as Xi is telling you the
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
this has played out. some notes: -short gamma is still in effect up to 40k, but remember it works both ways and can reinforce selling on the way down if spot takes a breather -vol and call skew have been in demand (charts) so call spreads still make sense if adding exposure
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
we made it to negative gamma territory which no doubt helped fuel the run to 30k. latest below shows #btc for desks to buy on a 1% spot move higher (and sell on a move lower). things get even spicier as we approach 32k 👀 vol and call skew are higher so look at callspreads if
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
10 months
one of my takeaways from ETHCC: @CeloOrg is based
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
i dont write the rules
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
it’s happening again bullish options positions building around a strike, in november it was 40k, now its 50k apr-june 50-75k calls have been printing, 2k #btc traded in past 2hrs options markets on number go up mode
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
Prayers by @pointline_ , 2022 loved this display. seeing Iskra IRL hit different after engaging with her work on @fx_hash_ - the discourse between collectors and artists is unmatched there, creating a totally new sense of intimacy between artists and collectors. thank you @ciphrd
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
elite revenge arc if whoever wrote this got rejected from soho house for working in finance or knowing math
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
last week options ATH, this week: asset manager net positioning in #Bitcoin cme futures closing in on ATH 👀 good tweet from @EricBalchunas this weekend on BITO trading strong volumes last week.
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@EricBalchunas
Eric Balchunas
7 months
Notable: $BITO traded $1.7b last week, 2nd biggest week since its wild WEEK ONE. $GBTC did $800m. That's $2.5b (top 1% among ETFs) into two less desirable methods (vs spot) for exposure = while we think spot ETFs unlikely to set records on DAY ONE, clearly there's an audience
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
series 30 passed, sorry to my haters might get my drivers license next
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
eth +3% today, overwriter unwound around 20% of his position this morning in feb expiry back to days of spot + vol + if unwinding continues
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
overwritoor is now short over 200k #eth calls/spreads/calendars, close to max size from last year. eth vols -20v in past 10 days, could be the bottom here
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 month
gold is ripping ath while gold etfs see outflows the market is stacking physical gold you kinda love to see it
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
new morning mantra just dropped
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
someone cancelled a meeting because they dont own an umbrella and i absolutely love the honesty
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
60k BITCORN
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
bitcoin simply does not care about inflation prints this week spx left vs #btc right after the strong ppi # amazing
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
two things i know for certain 1. 38k is the new 30k 2. i am going to get my driver’s license
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
9 months
i have a crush on a country made of volcanos and glaciers where mosquitos don’t exist and tap water isn’t chlorinated the president is 55 years old chocolate mousse is ubiquitous on menus energy is 100% renewable and the genpop worship mythical elves love you iceland
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
fr fr
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
45 days after the end of Q1 we will have look thru into btc etf holders from 13f filings 🍵
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 year
interest in the discount window going parabolic, led by DC ♻️
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
how many girls in the world have to reschedule their thanksgiving flight because of Binance?
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
friendly reminder 👀👀 equities settle t+1 so bitcoin transfers from/to issuers are likely for previous business day share activity and spot transactions
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
11 months
@TheStalwart @mattyklein_ when the financials of your lunch spot are audited 🚩🚩🚩
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
while we’re talking points of failure seems like a good time to remind that a majority of nfts rely on a centralized server to store data. @RtClick_Save
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
great thread from alex on why we arent topping. in addition to these indicators pls look no further than the dog indicator. we are not at the top until the dogs run.
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@intangiblecoins
Alex Thorn
3 months
Why We Aren't (S)Topping (for my first ever long X post, I'm releasing a note I sent early this this morning to Galaxy counterparties and clients) The sun hasn’t yet risen in NYC, but I know it will. From Galaxy HQ north of Battery Park, the Hudson River looks like a sea of
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
a bunch of 38k puts traded today 1445 #btc units Dec 29 expiry year end is for locking in gains - 1 week skew (25d) flipped to puts being more $$ than calls last week for first time since Oct (excluding a quick stint in Nov)
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 years
love this stat (on #Bitcoin ): despite a 23% YoY rise in network hashrate, energy usage is down 25% YoY due to an efficiency increase of 63% @glxyresearch
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
#btc options traders unbothered by a sell off market sold off -> market bought more upside than protection -> fud, still bullish, buy the dip etc
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 month
you’re playing crypto the game? me too, its called dexscreener
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
an X account where bank employees submit tales of the inefficiencies from the inside and account reposts would go hard. my submissions: -million to billion dollar otc derivative trades booked manually in a software system that said bear stearns on it 9+ years post banking crisis
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
goldman is out here with the rate cuts US starting in March, EU in April, significant stimulus in China, etc etc LIRP for the people
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
7 months
#eth deribit OI+10% since Friday after call buying flows: -10.6k Nov 2k-2.3k call spreads bot -2.25k Nov 2k calls bot -2.25k Dec 2.3k calls bot long gamma is decreasing w this. current (left) vs 10/30 (right) - as this flattens spot is less suppressed by dealer hedging
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
8 months
pronounced market structure divergence in btc and eth options dealers heavily short btc gamma vs long eth this will cause pronounced price moves in btc and suppression in eth particularly as we move higher in btc spot
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
5 months
btw
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
overwritoor is now short over 200k #eth calls/spreads/calendars, close to max size from last year. eth vols -20v in past 10 days, could be the bottom here
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
4 months
eth overwriter is back baby sold 25k Mar 2900 v 19Jan 2550 sold 10k 9Feb 2700 recall position was up to 200k+ in short calls in 2023 which suppressed eth volatility and price vs btc. if px doesnt rip expect this to continue building - could pressure eth/btc
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
6 months
absolute pleasure talking #btc market structure ln 🌽 @Melt_Dem dropping our slides, memes, and prep notes - lots of bullish datapoints across etf expectations, retail & institooootion activity, options data etc ty to the best hosts @_drewarmstrong_ @tpacchia @PubKey_NYC 💗
@Melt_Dem
Meltem Demirors
6 months
1/ quick notes and data points from the discussion @kellyjgreer and i had at @PubKey_NYC last night 'tis the season of the most hated rally - bitcoin is ripping and macro folks are not happy about it jamie dimon and elizabeth warren seem especially mad 😠 max cope incoming
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
2 months
😭
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
3 months
this a reminder the halving is in < 2 months
@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 year
what drives asset prices
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@kellyjgreer
Kelly Greer
1 month
brought a first date to dickbutts on ice imagine telling your family that you met here
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