J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman Twitter profile

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

if I see anyone mocking that kid they're gonna get blocked. I'm a stutterer myself and I can't imagine the courage this kid has -- even at 28 years old, it's a challenge.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Jaime Harrison ripping Graham on changing the rules for holding court hearings. "Just be a man about it!" #scsen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

The ghosts of John Lewis, John Dingell and John McCain may be up to some, er, good trouble in the Electoral College.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Robeson County, NC precincts where Native Americans are a majority of voters: 2012 Obama - 59.4% Romney - 39.2% 2020 Trump - 69.1% Biden - 30.1%

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

I give up

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 month

In the Huntsville AL area, Democrats have flipped state House District 10 tonight. In 2022, Marilyn Lands (D) lost by about 7 points. This time, she won by almost 25%, sweeping nearly everything. This was a stronger margin here than Doug Jones's 23-point spread from 2017.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Fetterman is the first Dem since 1962 to win the Class III PA seat.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

11 days

RIP He had the best pun game in politics.

KARK 4 News

@KARK4News

12 days

David Pryor, former Arkansas governor, U.S. congressman and senator, dies at 89

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

The good news for Dems is that the Midwest, from what we've seen, isn't looking like FL.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

City of Appleton, WI 2016 President Clinton - 49.2% Trump - 43.8% 2016 #WISen Johnson (R) - 48.7% Feingold (D) - 47.5% 2018 #WisconsinSupremeCourt Dallet (D) - 63.8% Screnock (R) - 36.2%

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Winning Georgia would be great for Dems, but they need to be prepared to do it again on Jan. 5 — and make sure it’s a straight party vote for both races.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Cal Cunningham up 49%-39% over Tillis in new SurveyUSA poll. He's *improved* since the texting scandal -- he was up 7% in the last poll. Cunningham lost some ground with seniors, who I guess are used to having higher moral standards for electeds. #ncsen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

This man voted against both Trump’s SCOTUS nominees and won in a Trump +21 state

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

20 days

The two most ironic buttons in my collection.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Looks like NV *is* truly the Dems’ version of NC.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In a decade, watch GA and VA vote D+10% while FL and NC will still be R+1% for everything.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

The 12 counties in #GA14 (Marjorie Taylor Greene's district) are all >99% in. The district voted 3:1 Republican but it cast 15% fewer votes than in November. This is where Trump's rally last night was. #GASen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Rubio wins the early vote in Dade 53%-46%

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Sun City, AZ -- one of the major retirement communities in the Phoenix metro -- saw a 6.4% swing to Biden: 2016 Trump -60.7% Clinton -36.1% 2020 Trump -58.8% Biden -40.6%

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

CRYSTAL BALL SENATE RATING CHANGE #IASen : Toss-up -> Leans Democratic Theresa Greenfield (D) is favored over Sen. Joni Ernst (R). We see Democrats with 50 Senate seats, Republicans holding 49, and #NCSen as the last remaining Toss-up.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Take a look at the 2024 Senate map.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Don't care how much Biden is up by in FL polls, not moving it to Leans Dem until I see the Broward County ballot design.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Mark Kelly gives a shout out to McCain in the #AZSen debate. "He saved all of us" with his vote against ACA repeal in 2017.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In 1980, three congressmen got some bad press because they went on a trip to Florida and shared a condo with this lobbyist who was evidently a hot blonde. One of them was Dan Quayle. The line his wife used to justify it is killing me rn

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

My Christmas present from my family.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

incomplete results, but clearly a big night for Trump's candidate in MO

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In northern AZ, the precincts that make up the Hopi & Navajo nations are deep blue: Clinton and Biden each won the area by 65%. But turnout was key. Biden's 35.6K raw vote margin was 9,500 more than Clinton's 26.1K. That accounts for almost all his 10.5K state margin over Trump.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Of the three Blue Wall states Biden flipped back, he won Michigan by the most (2.8% margin). But that was still less than what Obama carried Ohio by in 2012 (3.0%). Obama *really* made the Midwest look bluer than it is.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 months

Alabama called for Biden again

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Sen. McSally calls her opponent "Counterfeit Kelly" to his face, but he still addresses her by her formal title. Seems gimmicky and unbecoming of her. #azsen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 months

Left: Gov. Edwards entering office, 2015 Right: Gov. Edwards leaving office, 2023

The Advocate

@theadvocatebr

4 months

Letters: Thank you, John Bel Edwards, for being the leader Louisiana needed

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Another one for the 'land doesn't vote' file: Biden is on track to flip GA while carrying one less county than Hillary did.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

AP calls Iowa for Trump, and he leads by 7% rn. Selzer was right.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Clinton 1992 🤝 Biden 2020 Beating R incumbents with GA but not FL

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Last night, @DecisionDeskHQ called Arizona for Biden. He got there, in large part, by flipping its most populous county, Maricopa. As with many Sun Belt metros, Biden broadly improved over Clinton but couldn't match her in Hispanic precincts. Cong. Districts are outlined.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 months

This button always makes me laugh. Top-tier trolling.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

While we're all here, I'd like to thank @LarrySabato -- a big part of my job is talking to reporters and students about politics. That he trusts me to represent him like that, as a stutterer, speaks volumes (actually not a pun this time).

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Possibly the most effective campaign flyer ever

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

Nights before elections are always the hardest to get to sleep.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

Etowah County, AL Gadsden Convention Hall #ALSen result (precinct with mall where Moore is banned): Jones - 755 (74.1%) Moore - 244 (24.0%) Write-Ins: 19 (1.9%)

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

A jump you don’t see often

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

I say this a lot, but no state is permanently red or blue.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

RATINGS CHANGE COVID-19 risk: Toss-up -> Likely Immune

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

This got John Bel Edwards reelected and it's what put Doug Jones over the top in 2017. Black voters are still the heart and soul of the Democratic coalition the South.

Lakshya Jain

@lxeagle17

3 years

This was one of the more stunning results of the night for me. I didn't think Clayton would shift this far to the left, but it's another key story of the night. Black voters, once again, have come through in a big way for the Democratic Party.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Upstate NY was terrible for Dems in both 2010 and 2014. This doesn't feel like that.

Decision Desk HQ

@DecisionDeskHQ

2 years

Decision Desk HQ projects Pat Ryan (D) is the winner of the special election for U.S. House District 19 in New York, defeating Marc Molinaro (R) #DecisionMade : 11:32pm EDT Follow more results here:

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Will accept my accolades when everyone else wakes up.

J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Clinton 1992 🤝 Biden 2020 Beating R incumbents with GA but not FL

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

this is just like watching the 2020 House elections again but with the Rs being the ones who underperform

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Back this summer, when Warnock was struggling to break 10% in some polls, his campaign told me, “Once we get to a runoff, we’re gonna be Doug Jones 2.0.” I was skeptical at the time. Quite a trajectory. #gasen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

5 years

Democrats flipped Pennsylvania Senate District 37 tonight with @pamforpa , in the Pittsburgh suburbs. SD-37 was last up in 2016, when then-Sen. Guy Reschenthaler (R) won by 22% as Trump carried it by 6%. Since then, the area has trended more Democratic. #papolitics #sd37

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

POV: You're Scott Brown having a nightmare

Sen. Debbie Stabenow

@SenStabenow

3 years

What a wonderful bipartisan women Senators dinner at our @VP ’s residence! Thank you Kamala! I am so proud of you!

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

A power move FDR had: when he lost at poker, he’d only pay in checks, knowing that people would be reluctant to cash checks that had his signature.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

7 months

When was the last time a governor appointed senators to both seats?

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

"The new lines have split my constituents." lol, 89% of of his current constituents ended up in the district that he's leaving.

Madison Cawthorn

@CawthornforNC

2 years

Critical announcement: we are taking ground for conservatism. You elected a fighter. Trust me to fight for you.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Warnock carrying the Fulton County early vote 82%-18%.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

What state gave the R nominee their largest raw vote margin each year? 1988: Florida 1992: Texas 1996: Texas 2000: Texas 2004: Texas 2008: Texas 2012: Texas 2016: Texas 2020: Tennessee

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Don Young

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

CRYSTAL BALL: Two gubernatorial rating changes this morning, as #MIGov & #PAGov go to Likely Democratic. In both races, strong Democratic candidates are running against underfunded and controversial Republicans.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Tillis now winning #NCSen by a bigger margin (1.75%) than what he got in 2014 (1.56%).

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Basically all of Sanders' 2016 precincts in the northern/western parts of Oakland County, Michigan flipping to Biden.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

At debate, Al Gross brings out a sheet showing how many times Sullivan has tried to repeal the ACA #AKSen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

With VA-7 about all in, Spanberger got almost 3K more votes than McAuliffe did there last year. Vega got 17K fewer than Youngkin.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

One of the biggest surprises of the 2020 election was Zapata County, TX. Trump became the first R pres. nominee since 1920 to carry this 94% Hispanic county. He got 2,032 votes there, double his 1,029 in 2016. Not a huge county, but Zapata was emblematic of his gains in the RGV.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

CRYSTAL BALL: With things on the upswing for Dems, 5 new rating changes -- all in their direction.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

# of towns in Minnesota that gave Trump >80% of the vote: 2016: 168 2020: 310 Most are small and can be easily drowned out by the Twin Cities on a statewide level, but this is what hurts your Collin Petersons.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Warnock moves back ahead

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

I thought guessing "shill" before "spill" on yesterday's Wordle was a good indication I spend too much time thinking about politics.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

Leahy is no longer the only Dem that VT has ever sent to the Senate

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 months

Mine would surprise none of my followers. (May add that I met my gf on Hinge)

pinball lizard

@probablyalissa

2 months

No one on Hinge understands this prompt

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Political science junkies are gonna be studying these last few days for years.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In Wisconsin, Waukesha County was unambiguously crucial to Biden's coalition. Specifically, Biden's biggest gains over Gov. Tony Evers' 2018 map were in the WOW counties, around Milwaukee. Biden improved 13% in Waukesha, and it helped cancel out Trump's gains in the west.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

My dad, a registered R till recently, is texting me rn saying that Tanden is a good choice. Meanwhile, my Democratic grandma (voted for Gov. Edwards and Trump) is telling me Biden is radical and he kills jobs. Why party registration isn’t always accurate.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In 1991, when Edwin Edwards (known for his womanizing) was running against David Duke (former klansman) he said, “The only thing we have in common is we’re both wizards under the sheets.”

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 months

WE NEVER LEFT

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

Don't sleep on Al Gross

Eric Koch

@EricDKoch

4 years

🚨NRSC admits Dan Sullivan is in real trouble in Alaska🚨

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

You know it's getting bad when Con ET is unskewing Trafalgar polls.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

Lamb (D) won Moon Township by 6.5%. Trump carried it by 11% -->

J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

Trump went to campaign for Saccone in Moon Township. Looks like I'm seeing a decent amount of blue there now, FWIW. #PA18

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Question: How do you win in red states as a Democrat? @SenatorTester : Knock on EVERY door

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 months

Biggest tease of the last 15 years

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Nothing will change my mind on this

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

1 year

CRYSTAL BALL: With the early vote, and some other indicators, looking promising for Warnock (D), the Georgia runoff goes to Leans Democratic. Walker (R) will want a strong Election Day turnout tomorrow.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

If Pelosi gets another term as Speaker, the three people furthest up in line to the presidency will all be women from San Francisco.

Michael Li 李之樸

@mcpli

2 years

Just realized, with Leahy retiring, that if Democrats keep control of the Senate in 2022, Diane Feinstein will be third in line to the presidency.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Left: How Election Twitter sees me Right: How my extended family sees me

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Crystal Ball rating change for #PAGov Toss-up -> Leans Democratic

J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Note on the Pennsylvania primary: regardless of the #PASen result, the Crystal Ball isn’t moving off our Toss-up rating, at least not immediately. For #PAGov , if Mastriano (R) is nominated, that would be a gift to Josh Shapiro (D). It would go to Leans Democratic from Toss-up.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

5 years

All but one of the Lumbee Indian precincts are in; they went from McCready (D) +21% in 2018 to Bishop (R) +3% tonight. #nc09

J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

5 years

One place I'll be watching in #NC09 tomorrow night is Robeson County. This racially diverse county was Obama -> Trump but flipped back to @McCreadyForNC in 2018. McCready did much better than Clinton with the Lumbee Indians, in the western part of Robeson County. #ncpol

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

McSally cites her work with Kyrsten Sinema at the #AZSen debate. Sinema made an ad last week endorsing Kelly.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Don't sleep on Alaska

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

RIP I still think of this guy whenever I go to Walmart. I was hoping to get a another picture -- where I look less scruffy -- but I'm so thankful I have this one.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Before #InaugurationDay closes out, have to say I thought a lot about how happy Sen. Hagan would be today. Biden visited her after she fell sick.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

Taylor Swift’s home county, Berks PA, swung 1.7% against Trump — but he improved in its largest city, Reading. Why? The city is 2/3 Hispanic. Biden won Reading 72%-27%, down from Clinton’s 78%-19%. More evidence Biden’s struggles with Hispanics weren’t just a Sun Belt thing.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

Upset of the night -- maybe of the whole primary season.

Split Ticket

@SplitTicket_

2 years

Race call: Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R) will win renomination with over 50% of the vote, obviating the need for a runoff. This is a blow to former President Trump who focused his efforts on unseating the Secretary.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

6 years

Why is #PA18 so close? Lamb held 122 Clinton precincts, plus is flipping 172 Trump precincts. Not surprisingly, there were no Clinton -> Saccone precincts.

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

4 years

When asked if she's proud of Trump, McSally won't directly answer. She was asked this (at least) three times. #azsen

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

3 years

In Houston's Harris County, Biden finished slightly ahead of Clinton, but the internal movement was clear. He improved in the peripheral (whiter) areas, while slipping the minority precincts, in the south & center. I overlayed the cong. districts; there was some overlap. #txlege

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J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

5 years

Holding back tears at my desk thinking about Kay Hagan and I don't really know what to say. Very possible I wouldn't be here today without her encouragement. No one cared more about North Carolina than she did. #ncpol