bill fleckenstein @fleckcap Twitter profile | Pikagi

Pikagi

bill fleckenstein

@fleckcap

44,662

Followers

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my daily column (since 1996) plus Q&A. Author, "Greenspan's Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve ".

Joined July 2014

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@StuntPope @ttmygh how this period of govt interference in all aspects of daily life ends is such an important topic, that the blowback is worth it...big principles (like free speech) are in jeopardy these days and are vastly more important than any grief i get or how many followers i may have.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@disclosetv censorship again. notice "fact checkers" never censor people who have been dead wrong repeatedly, they only snuff out views they disagree with...you may not agree with his opinions but since he helped discover/invent mRNA, he ought to be able to share what he thinks.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

for anyone who still thinks that the US stock market is some sort of real or actual market, the spoos turning green tnite, ought to make it clear that 20 years of momentary madness (and 12 of true zaniness) has turned it into just another video game.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@MichaelPSenger it's criminal to mandate vaccination of kids...

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

the problem with bubbles (which the fed has created) is that when they burst (and they all do), everyone gets hurt,even those who werent actively playing the game-like everyday citizens who ultimately lose their jobs etc...the serial bubble blowing fed is public enemy #1 , imo.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

for many people these days, free speech has become "only speech i agree with", and all else should be banned....did all the "censorship & re-education" advocates sleep through their history classes??

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

there is no "mis" or "dis" information...its all information, it's up to each person to ferret out what makes the most sense. those championing censorship only do so because their favorite arguments fail any intelligent analysis ..thus they wish to silence their opposition.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

the central banks are the problem...retweet if you agree.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

Just to be clear this is a function of the completely irresponsible monetary policy pursued by the fed,over and over, that has caused massive bubbles and wealth stratification...as it has eviscerated the middle class.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

that pretty much sums up the situation.

@MFHoz

HZ

3 years

The FED is trapped. Raise rates to end speculation and we end up in a depression. Let the speculation continue, the bubble gets bigger and it crashes. We end up in a depression. There is no way out of this. A useless organisation that makes things worse.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

i wrote a column today explaining how the fed could lose control of the bond mkt,its a concept i have discussed often, but people have had a hard time understanding how this could be possible...hopefully this will help illuminate how it could happen...

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

looks like the president is, once again, trying to escalate the trade battle knowing that if spoos get spanked as a consequence, that outcome will pressure the fed to cut more-which he wants...he is playing a very dangerous game, that could easily blow up.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

im surprised so little was made on fintwit r.e. brainard speech tday, “Today’s low-inflation...requires...a new strategy to address the persistent undershooting of the inflation target" .."rate caps" etc.... fed/ecb will force inflation to run hot soon...i think gold got the msg.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

an example of insane policies.

@ForexLive

ForexLive

2 years

1) Block a pipeline to Canada to stop oilsands. 2) Reopen trading with Venezuela to re-start oilsands 🤡 🤡 🤡

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

the fed has trapped itself, few understand this....🙂

@menlobear

Adam Taggart

2 years

After years of not seeing much opportunity, Bill Fleckenstein is now getting interested in starting to short the market again To find out why, as well as the trigger he thinks will pop the markets, watch today's interview with @fleckcap

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

as the left& right battle over whats wrong in america and who will best "fix" it....lets not forget that the Fed and other central banks are who have destroyed the middle class and trying to create more inflation will only make the problem worse...the CB's are a menace to society

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

powell- "the risk of low inflation is greater than higher [inflation]", as they print money like mad...save that quote along with "sub prime is contained" -bb and "real estate cant have a bubble"-easy al.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

great chart tavi.

@TaviCosta

Otavio (Tavi) Costa

2 years

Important reminder:

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

ptj on gold -watch this..."the best trade for the next 12-24 months"...

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Gold Is Paul Tudor Jones's Favorite Trade for Next 12-24 Months

Paul Tudor Jones, founder at Tudor Investment Corporation, explains why he views gold as the best trade over the next year to two years. He speaks with Bloomberg's Vonnie Quinn on "Bloomberg Markets...

www.bloomberg.com

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@DoombergT its is just stunning to watch the ease with which politicians lie and the media parrots the falsehoods....

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

yes why aren't they?we were forced to get shot with this garbage, which didn't stop transmission but did produce tons of adverse consequences-its time to stop pretending and to start discovering what the long term ramifications are of these mandated shots...stop the charade!

@JamesBradleyCA

James Bradley

@JamesBradleyCA

1 year

Why isn’t the CDC investigating the condition of SO MANY YOUNG PEOPLE dropping dead from heart conditions they never had before the vaccine?

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

@QTRResearch chris,imo, when it feels like this,and its been down this non stop i.e. 17/21 days (basis dxy), is usually about when it bounces pretty aggressively ...just ,fwiw.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

8 months

this is a spectacular expose on regulatory capture, doj corruption (14:00) and an accurate statemnt on the actual genesis of the "homeless" (mental health) problem(23:00)...in preview/summary the government is far more corrupt than you think. its beyond disgusting.

@theallinpod

The All-In Podcast

8 months

2,851 Miles by @bgurley from the @allinsummit now available in full on @x (0:00) 2,851 Miles (24:44) In conversation with @bgurley

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

@michaelpsenger @RitaPanahi brain dead imbeciles acting as dictators.dead wrong and refusing to learn from their mistakes...the very definition of stupid. they should be begging for forgiveness from those of us with side effects from their failed policies.loss of confidence just continues to escalate.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

im retweeting this ,just to have it to go back and refer to..wow,never seen this level of end zone dancing ,ever.

@biancoresearch

Jim Bianco

@biancoresearch

4 years

Portnoy's end of day comment for June 8. Highlights ... "Buffett is an idiot" "All I do is make money, this game is fucking easy. Literally the easiest game I've ever played. All I do is print money." “I should be up a billion dollars.”

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

yes, everyone should. she is going to precipate more smaller banks runs,because she doesn't really understand the situation..recall it was just a few years ago she said we wouldnt have any more financial crises.

@DoombergT

Doomberg

1 year

Take 4 minutes and watch this

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

6 years

@Bamabroker agree 100%-basically you can never leave qe/.nirp/zirp..or get very far trying to leave, before it all bows up! just imagine if all cb's stopped qe/zirp/nirp at the same time, but of course they won't because they can't....bottom line these are failed policies.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

well stated tavi.

@TaviCosta

Otavio (Tavi) Costa

3 years

No folks, this is not the price of another tech stock over time.... It's the aggregate free cash flow of the top 50 gold & silver miners for the last decades. Trust me, the party hasn't even started yet.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

👇👇👇

@Geiger_Capital

Geiger Capital

@Geiger_Capital

2 years

Druckenmiller this morning on the Fed's policy… "Who really lost? Poor people in the United States ravaged by inflation, the middle class, and my guess is the US economy for years to come."

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

(BN) Raises Gold Target to $3,000 as ‘Fed Can’t Print Gold’ ...they can't ? who knew?🤒

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

amen mike

@profplum99

Michael Green

2 years

Unacceptable. GoFundMe is dead to me. @gofundme

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

perhaps the single dumbest financial headline of all time by an organization that ought to know better.

@RitaPanahi

Rita Panahi

3 years

🦇💩🤪

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bill fleckenstein

5 years

business week nailed a low in equities in 1979 with its infamous death of equities ( their main culprit? inflation) cover.....i think they will be going 2/2 with this one.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

"stealth" YCC"...buckle up.

@htsfhickey

fred hickey

3 years

Intriguing NY Fed announcement after brutal CPI/PPI reports & weak auction which led to rising long-term Treas. yields: "AS A RESULT OF THESE CHANGES, ALLOCATION ACROSS THE 7- TO 30-YEAR NOMINAL COUPON MATURITY RANGE WILL INCREASE BY 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS"

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bill fleckenstein

8 months

money printing enables fiscal can kicking,which ensures fiscal problems only get larger, more complicated and thus much harder to fix. al was bad but ben/janet/jay have all been worse (the recent bit of sobriety by jay not withstanding). though, of the 4 of them, only janet had

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

for anyone who may care......

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

essentially we have allowed politicians and bureaucrats with absolutely no business sense to take over most of the businesses in america,as only they can decide what gets to operate and how..this is is a bad precedent which will lead to all kinds of unforeseen problems.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

7 months

I'm not sure how much of an "expert" I am...but I do have an opinion on the topic😉

@menlobear

Adam Taggart

7 months

Does A "Generation-Long" Bear Market In Bonds Lie Ahead? Investor & analyst Bill Fleckenstein of @fleckcap thinks so He expects inflation to be more entrenched & central banks less able to deal with it as the bond market "takes the printing press away"

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

well stated larry.

@Convertbond

Lawrence McDonald

4 years

It must be nice to be an airline CEO. You can recklessly engage in share buybacks to enrich yourself and when ur behavior catches up to u, np just tap the Fed & taxpayers. Capitalism without consequences is not capitalism. Via @tylerwinklevoss

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

its a concise and solid summation of where we are..

@mises

Mises Institute

4 years

The Fed is, in effect, a lawless economic government unto itself. It is the lender of first resort, a kind of reverse pawnshop that pays top dollar for rapidly declining assets. | @JeffDeist

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

it was very cold today so the hummingbirds gathered often at this particular feeder, that has warm-ish sugar water. usually the fight but not today.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

@NorthmanTrader wow, (after getting in my face on a related subject) he woke up, better late than never...the fed (by causing massive capital misallocation, dramatic wealth bifurcation and abetting decades of can kicking) is our biggest problem, though most dont see it that way, yet.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

I was at the bnp tournament Tuesday afternoon when this happened..it was on tennis TV Instagram, but I only found out because 2 friends in serbia told me...small world.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 months

if you aren't politically correct be sure to watch "armegeddon", the lastest from ricky gervais on netflix..if you are, have fun staying grumpy...😆 in any case, merry christmas to everyone.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@biancoresearch it's actually hard to comprehend how someone can know so little about how businesses work that they could say something so silly out loud.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

@JoelHeyman if this information is correct ( and i heard a similar story from a reliable source), the next question is,what does that mean for china and the yuan,if they are really that low on reserves?? (kyle bass has made this very point many times.)

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

lol-this is priceless.

@financialjuice

FinancialJuice

@financialjuice

1 year

FED'S WILLIAMS: FED RATE HIKES WERE NOT THE CAUSE OF THE RECENT BANK STRESS.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

@ZubyMusic you left out the media, without a complicit media, the government can't do what its done.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

1 year

0.0% chance mr. blutarsky.

@financialjuice

FinancialJuice

@financialjuice

1 year

FED'S WILLIAMS: I ANTICIPATE ACHIEVING 2% INFLATION BY 2025.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

it sure does.

@NKozev

𝙽𝚒𝚔𝚘𝚕𝚊𝚢 𝙺𝚘𝚣𝚎𝚟

2 years

@QTRResearch this picture says more than thousand words...

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bill fleckenstein

3 years

"according to fact checkers" is what the censors say when they read something they disagree with...it has nothing to do with actually trying to discuss a topic in an intellectually honest fashion.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@DoombergT not rudy, they can't be serious. this is madness.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@INArteCarloDoss irony and hypocrisy are always lost on the righteous woke class.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

@KeithMcCullough they are both currencies, they just find favor with different classes, really big money has been buying gold, its too hard to store silver in BIG$ size, when the public finally joins in they will buy silver as well as gold,imo.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

pay special attention near the end when he discusses what might may him change his mind...it could be closer than we all think, as note in the addendum.

@ttmygh

Grant Williams

4 years

The End Game episode 6 is live, featuring a true gentleman and a scholar in Lacy Hunt. The perfect counterpoint to our conversation with Russell Napier, Lacy makes the case for continued deflation as forcefully and as eloquently as always. @fleckcap

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@DoombergT making jimmy carter look like ben franklin.

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

@ttmygh @nytimes exactly grant. completely pathetic but what we have come to expect from that worthless publication.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

as bad as greenspan was (especially post about 1997, when his ego got so big)...he is like Volcker, compared to the current crop of fedheads.....that's how dangerous and clueless i think they are.

@Mayhem4Markets

Markets & Mayhem

@Mayhem4Markets

2 years

@TradersCom @KASDad @trentkelp One of my favorite reads on this topic by @fleckcap .

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

bullying/cancelling has got to stop. w/o free speech and debate(where we must endure speech we dont like)how are we supposed to sort out complex controversial topics? this is like when the mob/church tried to cancel galileo,copernicus etc. for proposing radical yet correct ideas.

@AlexBerenson

Alex Berenson

1 year

HOLY MOLY. The president of Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia may be about to lose his job. Dr. Mark Tykocinski is a 70-year-old immunologist with an spotless academic record. His crime appears to be liking my tweets. Academic freedom is dead.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

fire nailed this. i would only point out that the credibility that the market has given them post volcker has been undeserved. the asset bubbles they spawned made enough people enough money that their policies really weren't questioned much. lets see what happens in next year.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

5 years

@QTRResearch chris, you will get a kick out of this, bubblevision just called to see if I'd come on to discuss aapl...sadly, I wont be able to😎

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bill fleckenstein

3 months

@VigilantFox so we are more concerned about American citizens masquerading as potential terrorists, than we are illegal aliens that we know exactly zero about. sadly it's perfectly in keeping with the twilight zone we now inhabit.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

what the Boe just did and the boj before that, illuminates the addiction to QE on the part of cb's and governments.

@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

2 years

@Corgi_dad @PauloMacro they have been trapped by qe since they started it, because they though it was benign, so they got away with it until they didn't (2022)..but no one wants to say it out loud...they can never exit qe/nirp/zirp...just watch, its like an addiction...

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bill fleckenstein

5 years

@AlderLaneeggs @skabooshka @elonmusk @TeslaCharts I'm joining you. this crap has got to stop!

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

9 months

@ThomasSowell so well stated.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

the irony here is brilliant, imo..

@Dronesclub2

Dronesclub

2 years

@GrantMBeasley Happy Valentine's Day! 😘 #ValentinesDay2022

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bill fleckenstein

6 months

from the local paper today...there is a huge overlap between those (who lack the ability to think critically and clearly) that wanted to defund the police and reduce sentencing, and the supporters of terrorists that slaughter woman and children.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

3 years

@QTRResearch exhaustion.

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@fleckcap

bill fleckenstein

4 years

we covered a lot of topics in some detail, hopefully this podcast will provide food for thought, to those who wish to listen.

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bill fleckenstein

3 years

amen to that, they are the real problem

@ttmygh

Grant Williams

3 years

Wait until the ‘crowd’ really understands what central banks have facilitated for the last 30+ years... Right now it’s about ‘evil short sellers’ but, at some point, destiny will bring the mob with the pitchforks and the appropriate targets for their righteous anger together

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bill fleckenstein

6 months

@chigrl exactly, the hypocrisy of these clowns is stunning.

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bill fleckenstein

3 years

@INArteCarloDoss well done alex, thanks for making the effort.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

lol-nailed it!

@BomsteinRick

Rick Bomstein

2 years

So basically the bull case is recession and 8% inflation?

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bill fleckenstein

3 years

@QTRResearch gold is broken???does the btc end zone dancing ever stop?? have none of these people ever succeeded in anything before? well done on btc but why act like 3rd graders?

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

fire, the fed has flinched due to a falling stock market since the fall of 1998, so longer than 13 years,fwiw...Imo, they may "care" about inflation but they won't have the nerve to stay with the fight, when the stock market starts to really decline in ernest.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@michaeljburry talk is cheap,let's see what they actually do going forward. they are all empty suits in essence.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@neelkashkari you obviously weren't paying attention when anyone with half a brain criticized the polices that you championed, because we knew the disaster they would lead to. your (& feds) lack of self awareness, about the damage caused by policies you cheered for is staggering yet consistent

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bill fleckenstein

5 months

@BillAckman @Harvard @MIT @Penn you're right about these scumbags and the moral depravity they represent. but you have over estimated the value of an " Ivy League" education.

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

@chigrl I'll take Pfizer and Moderna but we may have to wait until enough people focus on the side effects of the shots.

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bill fleckenstein

2 months

bingo....

@DrJBhattacharya

Jay Bhattacharya

@DrJBhattacharya

2 months

A sentence to sum up the covid era: The government censored dissidents to suppress public realization that the government was the primary source of pandemic misinformation.

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

@menlobear 0.0% chance of that adam....haven't you watched these clowns in action for the last 5,10,15 or 25 years?

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

this is just disgusting but not the least bit surprising...in just a couple the CDC and FDA totally shredded whatever credibility they once had.

@ianmSC

Ian Miller

2 years

Who could have possibly predicted that the CDC and Big Tech companies colluded to ensure that anyone with dissenting opinions would be censored?! Absolutely shocking to hear that both groups care more about enforcing preferred narratives than open discussion

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bill fleckenstein

3 years

@GerberKawasaki @love_to_learn you're pathetic, jim is 100x the analyst you claim to be but the environment favored gullibility over analysis..the fed and vanguard have warped the system in such a way that idiots are perceived as geniuses.....for now.

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bill fleckenstein

4 years

serious q:anyone who can spell gold has an opinion about it, but so many who spew views on twtr act like they have seen next weeks papers..yet are usually wrong but never admit it...the best i've found is msa @Oliver_MSA as for the worst i'll leave that to others to make a list.

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

@DoombergT this is total bullshit.only the weak minded and dim witted favor censorship.

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bill fleckenstein

10 months

This is spectacular, it's one of the most useful tweets I have ever read regarding how to analyze the "non financial statement aspects" of any potential position, epecially from the perspective of the short side. The points he makes are exactly what can go wrong (speaking from

@AlderLaneEggs

Marc Cohodes

10 months

I dont know WHO THIS IS BUT THIS IS THE TWEET OF THE MONTH $ENVX

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bill fleckenstein

4 years

too many people are on vacation in august but we will hit the ground running as we get into September..

@ttmygh

Grant Williams

4 years

For all you fans of The End Game, @fleckcap and I are in the process of setting up the next set of these wonderful conversations so stay tuned. In the meantime, why not catch up on any episodes you may have missed?

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bill fleckenstein

7 months

anyone who cares should read chapter three of my book . it will take you about 10-15 minutes. if it doesnt make you angry at greenspan actions i would be pretty surprised. i just read it again, and that was my reaction for about the 99th time.

@The92ers

Peter Schmidt (The 92ers)

7 months

Yesterday was the 25th anniversary of the Fed's emergency rate cut after LTCM collapsed. @fleckcap correctly calls this 'one of the Fed's most irresponsible acts ever.' It's co-equal to the JUL 27 conference of central bankers and spawned all of today's imbalances. #CNBC

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bill fleckenstein

2 years

perfect analogy.

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

i rarely share wine pix but i was lucky enough to be at a really incredible tasting... if you look closely you'll see there are some really remarkable wines in this line up.

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bill fleckenstein

4 years

700 new qe on top of what, 500ish billion of not qe repo + 1.5 new "not qe" repo facility...any monetsiation im leaving out??? of course rates at 0%, this was quite and exit from their "successful" policies commenced in 2008

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bill fleckenstein

4 years

imo,this is a very important story,that will hopefully actually get some "traction".

@EricRWeinstein

Eric Weinstein

@EricRWeinstein

4 years

Bari Weiss has now resigned from the @nytimes . And that is not even “The Story”. I‘ve just spoken to Bari & learned that I‘m finally free to tweet. Her letter hints at the real News: the *loss* of the News is now *the* News, and the News cannot cover it.

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bill fleckenstein

6 months

because you can't fix stupid!

@WallStreetSilv

Wall Street Silver

@WallStreetSilv

6 months

Why ? ...... 🤡 🌎

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bill fleckenstein

4 years

@firemanwill28 @DougKass just to set the record straight with cheap short artists such as you-i closed my short fund down in 09 due to the fact that i felt qe would make short selling very difficult and i have been short rarely and small since then.,but the fed has warped the economy, and u are clueless.

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bill fleckenstein

8 months

this mini thread is succinct and brilliant.

@AitkenAdvisors

JA

@AitkenAdvisors

8 months

Then, for whatever reason, that actor not only stops buying, but starts selling. And on top of that, the company (stock) starts issuing more shares: what do you think the stock would do? That’s bonds, in a nutshell.’ 2/2

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

amen to that statement.

@joshg99

Josh Guetzkow

1 year

For the Stoics among you. h/t @boriquagato

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

@AlexBerenson @moderna_tx @pfizer i got and still get hives often now(never had them prior to the PFE shots)also tinnitus (same).im so glad i only acquiesced to get two.but the real question is when will the FDA stop schilling for pharma and do some serious research into all the side effects from mandated shots?

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

@biancoresearch the incompetence (lack of understanding) is stunning.

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

bingo.

@LibertyCappy

Declaration of Memes

1 year

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bill fleckenstein

1 year

well stated.

@EndWokeness

End Wokeness

1 year

The beauty of a meritocracy is that with enough hard work, anyone can make it When hard work is rewarded, people work hard. When people work hard, innovation thrives and society improves. The woke equity agenda seeks to destroy that pillar of our society

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