early modern boy-actress (they/them) @economeager Twitter profile

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

27 days

academia dot com is the only website auto-email i respect

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

it's becoming increasingly clear to me why medical researchers had to reinvent integration in 1993

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

ladies imagine this. it's 20 years from now. your husband still has not returned from the war. your new suitors have invaded your home and your son is useless at turfing them out. you're weaving a burial shroud so they can't marry you. one day an old beggar arrives at the door.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 months

man these dune 2 marketing tie-ins are getting funky

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

the worst part about writing code is when there's a bug you feel so strongly "the computer is wrong!!!!" but you know in your heart that you are the one who is wrong

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

By age 50 you should have a comfortable house, a loyal gardener, two good friends, a wizard whom you can ask for information and advice, and a mysterious ring left to you by your uncle on his one hundred and eleventh birthday

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

You guys I am never going to be on the side of “people should know less stuff”

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

My brother in Christ you are controlling for a mediator

The Economist

@TheEconomist

1 year

Control for factors like credit scores and troubling racial gaps almost disappear

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

We should teach kids more not less

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

@UltravioletRain this is dangerously close to being so good as a standalone tweet that i become your 14th follower purely on the strength of this

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 months

I’m reading umberto eco’s the name of the rose and it’s so good but also like how the fuck did this become a bestseller

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Like most economists, I too used to believe that my dislike of Christmas presents and my preference for cash was due to the inefficiency and inherent potential for deadweight economic loss in gift exchange. Later I realised that I was just afraid of intimacy.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

Ok so chapter 12 of “Noise” by Kahneman, Sibony and Sunstein contains a repeated, incorrect claim about stats / causality: the claim that no correlation implies no causation. Easy to disprove this claim, no math needed, see my next tweet.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

me in grad school: who gives a fuck about the properties of positive semi definite matrices though. nobody. useless nonsense. me now, programming a simulation of multivariate selection models with jointly gaussian errors: well fuck

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

I struggle to reconcile how many people say "I have to work 60 hours a week, I can't get it all done in 40" with the empirical observation that virtually nobody in any office I've ever been in was truly engaged in producing useful work for anything CLOSE to 40 hours a week.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

The price of learning something new is feeling the discomfort of becoming aware of the gap in your knowledge that the new thing fits into. This has to happen before you can even begin to grasp what the new thing is. If you don't experience that gap feeling, you are not learning.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

big liability of econ-101-brain is the mere possibility of thinking to yourself "of course massive influx of workers into a region leads to excess labor supply!" forgetting that more workers in a region means more consumer demand in a region because u forget that labor is people

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

i want a combination taco and vaccine truck on every corner i dont think it's too much to ask

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

What's the result of weakening marriage norms? "An 8–16 percent decline in female suicide, roughly a 30 percent decline in domestic violence for both men and women, and a 10 percent decline in females murdered by their partners." Stevenson & Wolfers 2006

Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress*

Abstract. This paper exploits the variation occurring from the different timing of divorce law reforms across the United States to evaluate how unilateral

academic.oup.com

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

turns out Mary Tai was in fact a hero!! (i'm being serious!)

A Mathematical Model for the Determination of Total Area Under Glucose Tolerance and Other Metabo...

OBJECTIVE. To develop a mathematical model for the determination of total areas under curves from various metabolic studies.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS. In

diabetesjournals.org

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

you don't need to be afraid of 23 year olds, they know virtually no econometrics by and large

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

statistics is the most beautiful and egalitarian discipline of all of those i have studied, because when we are confused about anything in statistics we are almost always confused about the elementary, foundational concepts

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

i'm going to use your "daily" wordle threads which all happen to just occasionally skip a day here and there to teach my students about selection bias

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

The actual best advice I got that helped me the most for grad school was from a friend who had already finished his PhD in physics. He said: "The key thing to remember if your PhD is going badly is that this does not mean your life is going badly."

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

Nothing makes me happier than teaching R becuase then I know I’m setting students up for a lifetime of free access to data analysis and they’ll never have to pirate stata again

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

I'm curious, twitter: what was the biggest single omission in your formal history education? The thing you didn't learn in school or your undergraduate degree that you're most shocked was not mentioned. I'll go first: for me, it was the Holodomor:

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

IT'S NUMBERS FROM THE CENSUS JAMES FACTS DON'T CARE ABOUT YOUR FEELINGS

James Lindsay, full varsity

@ConceptualJames

2 years

This is how CRT gets in the schools (high school in Pennsylvania in this case). A math lesson is retooled through social theory examples and serves as the basis for the Theory-based discussions that follow. The Soviets did it this way too. This is Freirean.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

The gap between the pandemic experience for academics with vs without school-age kids is a really important issue, and just to do my part to address it i'd like to reassure you that personally i'm completely unproductive despite having no children and I promise this will continue

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

Hello! Tamara Broderick, Ryan Giordano and I have a new working paper out!! It's called "An Automatic Finite-Sample Robustness Metric: Can Dropping a Little Data Change Conclusions?"

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

disappointed to see people dunking on AOC for misplacing keynes' first name. i've actually done that exact slip before because there's a place called milton keynes and economists called milton friedman and john maynard keynes.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

I've thought about this a lot and I'm going to say it: Mayor Pete is what non-academic folks think an "intelligent" or academically smart person is like, but actual academics have personalities a lot closer to Bernie, Warren, Hillary and also Yang if we're being completely honest

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 months

@nbouscal this is so gross holy fucking shit it's also an inaccurate and stupid dogwhistle but one would hope people know that (ofc they dont but ugh)

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

@MWillJr the thing that really annoys me about people bringing up computers in this context is that this specific test said you can use a graphics calculator if you want! so they're doing the right thing -- testing your ability to USE the calculator!!

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

I finally finished the Silmarillion! And I can say it's very boring, don't read it.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

friendly reminder that if you're at the point where you can't mete out consequences for transgressing boundaries because you fear this will incite worse transgression, the boundaries are now gone and you are already in a hostage situation

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

gooood morning everyone! just a little reminder that every single rockstar researcher that you look up to has multiple dumbass mistakes in their papers and if you can't make a mistake you can't make anything. happy monday.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

Imagine driving a car, reaching a hill and pumping the gas as you begin to go up so that your speed is constant. The correlation between pressing on the gas and the speed of the car is zero but they’re obviously causally related, it’s that the agent is optimizing speed!

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

bayesians be like "i might know a spot"

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

Virtually all subject matter experts are weirdos because to become a subject matter expert you either have to lock yourself in a room for years or fling yourself recklessly around the globe, and this holds with startlingly rare exception

David Frum

@davidfrum

1 year

I don't want weirdos, I want a convenient way to hear from reputable media organizations, subject-matter experts, and smart/interesting/amusing people previously unknown to me - without a lot of psychopaths popping up uninvited. Why can't I have that?

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

8 months

@ChadNotChud “He’s of the right caste” straight to jail for u madam I fear

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

MS Excel: Not Even Once.

Lukas Schlögl (@schl.bsky.social)

@LukasSchlogl

5 years

Just priceless. An estimated 20% of genetic research papers contain errors because Excel converted some gene names into calendar dates.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

people say academics are nerds, but when I arrived at MIT I had to explain to a good 40% of my classmates what the "all your base are belong to us" meme was, so frankly it just can't be true

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

this quote is .... horrifying

Ada Yeo

@adayeoyh

2 years

Lee Kuan Yew on why American culture is unbeatable This really resonates. I’ve lived in countries all over the world, and this is the main reason I decided to get my green card and call America home 🇺🇸

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

ahem

early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

@MWillJr the thing that really annoys me about people bringing up computers in this context is that this specific test said you can use a graphics calculator if you want! so they're doing the right thing -- testing your ability to USE the calculator!!

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

7 years

Here are my slides on public speaking for academic economists. I made them because good ideas don't sell themselves

public_speaking_for_academic_economists.pdf

Shared with Dropbox

www.dropbox.com

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

Be warned! First you have low birth rates, then you have a …. Massive imperial expansion ??… and then… a mere 500 years later … your Civilization is over. So sad.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

@UltravioletRain wheels on the bus go round and round??? WHEN will i use this information???

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

how you gonna put black scholes in and not BAYES RULE come on people

Prof. Feynman

@ProfFeynman

4 years

17 Equations that changed the World! 🧠

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

Got a text from the NHS about the vaccine saying they will notify me when I can book an appointment at my local clinic to get it. Hooray!!!! *checks notes from American followers* Ah I mean what a dystopian socialist nanny state nightmare

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

On reflection, I don't think I got good at math until I realised it's just a language, like french or whatever. same is true for writing code. i think humanities people (which is how I identified myself for many years!) would be able to pick it up a lot faster with this framing.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

Yeah yeah yeah ok official announcement I'm moving back to Australia to take up a job as an associate professor at @UNSWEcon this september, and I literally could not be more excited about it.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

one of the best things i learned in my ancient roman history course in undergrad is that for them it was more expensive to cook at home than to eat out, because of the price of firewood and the economies of scale in cooking on wood fire. (limited source: )

Food in ancient Rome - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

"average person eats 3 spiders a year" factoid actualy just statistical error. average person eats 0 spiders per year. Spiders Georg, who lives in cave & eats over 10,000 each day, is the AMIS. we've decided to show quantiles of the spider consumption distribution instead.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

damn just got to write "without loss of generality" and i understand why you fuckin dweebs do this all the time, this feels great

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

I find it surprising that people say "now we can see that we never needed to do seminars/conferences/classes in person", to me the lesson has been rather how much of the interaction is flattened or lost via skype/zoom/email.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

19 days

One thing I noticed living in the USA is the mainstream white American intellectual class believes they / “the state” controls the police who are basically well ordered functionaries. But comparing the way police interacted with me in the US vs Australia suggested differently.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Today a grad student came to my office with a bunch of questions about Bayesian Hierarchical models - including questions about one of my papers - and every question she asked demonstrated how incredibly deep her understanding already was. She made my whole day and I told her so!

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Some folks outside Econ, especially in medicine, can't understand why the randomistas won a Nobel. I think this confusion arises because many people mistakenly believe the key ingredient to scientific progress is intelligence. But it isn't: the key ingredient is courage.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

7 years

Life motto from John Tukey

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

people misunderstand what it means for a research project to be finished. the project is not finished when i have results or I write them up after reflecting on them. the project is finished when i have reflected on the results so deeply that I become confused by my own work.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

The best way to get started is to write as the title "Paper About XYZ: Shitty First Draft" and then start the first sentence with "It was a dark and stormy night, and [describe the problem your paper will then solve]."

Scott Shapiro

@scottjshapiro

5 years

One of the best pieces of advice I ever got about writing was to just write. Even if it’s horrible, just start. You can always improve something terrible, but you can’t improve something non-existent.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

they're right and they should say it

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

I seen a few people saying "wow just when you think it can't get any worse..." guys. please. i am begging you to read one (1) book about the 20th century. we are not even CLOSE to living through the worst that we may yet have to live through.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

8 months

i am trying to communicate what's going on to people outside academia and i'm coming up with "imagine if banks blamed the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis on unpaid interns"

Silvia Secchi

@ProfSecchi

8 months

Francesca Gino doesn’t even know who her RAs are b/c she didn’t give them coauthorship even though she admits they did the work. Must be hard to keep track of the exploited minions in the basement when you publish well over a dozen papers/yr and the speaking gigs pay so well.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

20 days

other place has the juice

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Who is going to stop me from starting this paper on robustness with the sentence "It is a truth universally acknowledged that applied economists in possession of a main empirical result must be in want of a robustness check."

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Ok wait: he literally said "I'm kidding" immediately after his "if I pay 100 billion then what do I have left over" comment. This has been widely misreported as serious! I wish he had taken all of this more seriously and there is still much to criticise, but we goofed on this one

CNBC

@CNBC

5 years

Here’s what Bill Gates had to say yesterday about Elizabeth Warren’s wealth tax, plus his thoughts on a potential Warren vs. Trump decision in 2020. #DealBook

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

Hello folks who are interested in econometrics but find linear algebra hard and/or annoying: I think Appendix A of Marno Verbeek's "A Guide to Modern Econometrics" is the best, clearest and most concise source for explanations of all the core operations you need to know how to do

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

sagest advice i can give grad students is to remember table reformatting always takes 1 whole day to do, regardless of how trivial the reformatting initially appears

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

10 months

“How DARE YOU besmirch my name by accusing me of fraud. I actually contribute so little to the research that has my name on it that I simply wouldn’t be capable of fraud.”

Ryan Briggs

@ryancbriggs

10 months

“The fraud isn’t my fault because my grad students, who weren’t coauthors, did literally all of the work” is quite a take.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

OH NO REALLY???? SURPRISE!!!

CBS News

@CBSNews

2 years

JUST IN: Omicron COVID variant was in Europe before South African scientists detected and flagged it to the world

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 months

god grant me the serenity to use vibes to make decisions in situations i cannot properly analyse methodically or quantitatively, the courage to formally analyse what I can, and the wisdom to know the difference

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

Me trying to read code I wrote 2 years ago

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Let me share some advice I got from Abhijit in grad school, which is maybe the best advice I ever got: 1. In your first phd research year, work on something crazy. you haven't lost much time and will still learn something if it fails -- and if it succeeds, it will be amazing

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@economeager

6 years

This is the worst functional form choice I have ever seen in my life

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

i understand how annoying it must be for EAs to see loads of people saying they knew all along SBF was a fraud, but you guys need to understand that a lot of people are walking around with the intuition that getting massively rich super quickly is a good signal fraud is occuring.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Are you trying to put together your job market talk? I made these slides on public speaking for you (and for all of us) because good ideas do not sell themselves

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

19 days

It always seemed to me that in the US the police know very well that they have carved out genuine in-and-of-itself power; they do not see themselves as serving the people. They expect complete subservience from everyone.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 months

The best thing that ever happened to me probably was that when I was 14 an adult said to me “You’re very smart, but nobody cares how smart you are. People only care what you do.”

Ryan Briggs

@ryancbriggs

3 months

People are really out there worrying about where they stand in some imaginary pecking order of intelligence when regardless they’re going to die someday.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Reflecting on some of the best advice I ever got from my advisors, I think the top 3 are: 1. Work on a big/crazy idea 2. Seminars are not for "feeling out" how others respond to your ideas, but for persuading them of your ideas 3. Audiences can learn 3 things max from 1 paper

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

Data cleaning is one of the most important and underappreciated skills. It is so fundamental to inference that if you wish to re-use old data for a new analysis, you need to go back and check that the old data cleaning protocols make sense from the new perspective.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

i just need americans to understand that THERE IS A REAL ALTERNATIVE TO THIS INSANITY. we do NOT do college admissions like this in australia.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

11 months

New paper from me and @angrist_noam ! We look at targeted educational instruction in developing countries. We find that implementation quality strongly predicts program treatment effects. We run a new RCT attempting to improve implementation and see large increases in impact!

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 months

it's quite weird that academia as a profession is composed of two very distinct personalities, "i liked school!" and "if i ever have to report on anything to a boss i will scream and then die"; occasionally both reside within the same person

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

"Ok boomer" has been a big thing for like 4 days and already white boomer men are writing self-pitying thinkpieces about their painful experience of ageism. Not one of these people would last 48 hours as a woman in western society.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

i will oppose open-plan offices with every ounce of my being because under no circumstances do i want to be overheard counting the open brackets out loud while i'm coding

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 months

How on earth did 50 million people read this i would have thought you have to be a complete nerd sicko with a hard on for borges to get it AT ALL yeah even if it’s a murder mystery the first fifty pages are an introduction to semiotics in an EXCEEDINGLY academic fashion

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

21 days

I almost cant believe someone could possibly miss the point of 4'33" so bad except at the last minute of consideration i realise yes I can believe it

BO

@bo_austin_

21 days

‘the protests are robbing my Columbia students of listening to John Cage’s 4’33, the piece of music that is explicitly designed to force you to listen to…what’s around you.’ absolutely perfect

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@economeager

6 years

Also, when you try to dunk on people who don't "get" this, you should know that 1 year ago I myself would not have got the joke. I only recently read The Odyssey. Stop being tedious about being "well read" and start having fun with books guys.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

Wide Ass Prior

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

Sometimes when I mention computation time, someone scoffs and says "that can't possibly be important, computers are really fast now" and that is the moment I know that i will never be able to communicate to this person what it is like to do the kind of work that I do

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

As my mom said to me in grad school, when I told her I was stressed out and need to hustle to get stuff done: "You must hustle with peace in your heart".

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

7 months

i admit i was always skeptical of this story but (1) it looks like the new yorker REALLY fucked up here (2) the lack of any empathy in the reporter's reaction to him in the interview is actually pretty chilling

Kaivan Shroff

@KaivanShroff

7 months

Wow. This is pretty horrible. Hasan Minhaj has just produced the recording of the interview and the documents he provided to the reporter, showing that The New Yorker totally smeared him. They absolutely should not stand by the story.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Me: "I think I'm adjusting well to this lockdown thing!" Me at 4am on day 16: "You know what makes no sense: Why would the minotaur eat people?! He's half-man half-bull, neither of the component animals eats people.... he'd be a vegetarian!!! I'm sure he's a VICTIM of the system

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Lots of people on here who are not epidemiologists or public health experts are nevertheless making a lot of very confident predictions about the next few weeks and even months. Even some people I like and follow. Please cut it out. Conjecture without expertise is not useful.

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

3 years

if I owe you an email i am tremendously sorry but i have lost control of the inbox and also everything else

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

5 years

I would say a good 60% of statistical programming time for data processing scripts is just emotionally metabolizing the existential grief about how dumb everything is

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

4 years

Overfitting is probably the most important concept that is missing from mainstream econometrics classes. Caltech prof Yaser Abu-Mostafa has an incredible intro lecture to overfitting here from his ML course:

Lecture 11 - Overfitting

Overfitting - Fitting the data too well; fitting the noise. Deterministic noise versus stochastic noise. Lecture 11 of 18 of Caltech's Machine Learning Cours...

www.youtube.com

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

2 years

One of the worst traits of both academic researchers and EA folks is the idea that if someone’s actions can be construed as “helping people” - or worse, “helping the world” !! - then they are Very Special and Important, so it’s basically fine to mistreat people, cut corners, etc

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

1 year

personally i like seeing excited tweets from folks who just got admitted to grad school because it reminds me of a happy time before i grew up and realised what a bunch of joyless assholes some of my colleagues were going to be

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early modern boy-actress (they/them)

@economeager

6 years

Women such as Ada Lovelace and Grace Hopper were instrumental in founding computer science, and women such as Shafi Goldwasser and Jeanette Wing continue to advance it. Just because you, Louise Mensch, are personally stupid, does not mean that women in general are stupid.

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