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Ally Mutnick Profile
Ally Mutnick

@allymutnick

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@politico reporter covering campaigns. @The_Almanac contributing author. master parallel parker. amutnick @politico .com

Washington, DC
Joined August 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEWS: Rep. Ron Kind (D) will announce his retirement Tuesday from #WI03 , a swing seat that Trump carried twice This is a huge blow to Dems' chances of keeping their House majority story TK w @sarahnferris @heatherscope
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: @DCCC is officially reversing its controversial "blacklist" on Tuesday, ending a blanket ban on consultants/firms who work with primary challengers of House Dem incumbents This is a HUGE win for progressives, who have lobbied for it for 2 years
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
I see a lot of convos today about Marjorie Taylor Greene's past controversial comments, thanks to @CNN & @mmfa McCarthy told @axios he is disturbed/plans to speak with her This narrative misses crucial context: NONE of this is new to political observers/GOP leaders. A thread >>
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
Some good news for Rep Liz Cheney (R): The WY legislature failed to pass a Donald Trump-backed bill restricting crossover voting on Tuesday That means the #WYAL GOP primary on Aug 16 will remain open and Dems/Indys can easily vote for Cheney
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
Some Friday night news: Young Kim (R) ousts Rep Gil Cisneros (D) in #CA39 , an Orange County-area seat that Hillary Clinton won by 9 points in 2016 This brings House Republicans to a net a gain of EIGHT seats and Kim is the 17th new GOP woman elected this cycle
@AP_Politics
AP Politics
4 years
BREAKING: Republican Young Kim wins election to U.S. House in California's 39th Congressional District, beating incumbent Rep. Gil Cisneros. #APracecall at 5:36 p.m. PST. #Election2020 #CAelection
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: House Dems unveiled the message they plan to hammer throughout the 2022 cycle: The GOP is the party of QAnon "They can do QAnon or they can do college-educated voters. They cannot do both" - DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney w/ @sarahnferris
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
NEW: @DCCC makes moves to block primary challenges against Dem incumbents. Per new hiring standards DCCC won't contract with or recommend to House campaign any political firm that works against a sitting member. That's a stark financial deterrent More:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
BREAKING: All 5 members of @NCSBE unanimously vote for a new election in #NC09 This will be the first redo congressional election in over 40 years.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
Democrats have secured total control in Richmondโ€”the governorship and both chambers of the General Assemblyโ€”for the first time since 1993.
@Redistrict
Dave Wasserman
5 years
Projection: Democrats have picked up control of the VA House of Delegates. They'll have a majority for the first time since 1999. #VALEG
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
New: Rep Mondaire Jones (D) to me on SPMโ€™s decision to run in #NY17 โ€œSean Patrick Maloney did not even give me a heads up before he went on Twitter to make that announcement. And I think that tells you everything you need know about Sean Patrick Maloneyโ€
@DavidNir
David Nir
2 years
Assuming the map is finalized as-is, Jones would represent 3x as much of #NY17 as Maloney. He's also vastly more progressive than SPM, one of the most centrist Dems in the House. Jones even had more cash on hand than Maloney as of 3/31! $2.9 mil vs. $2.1
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: How fast did Trump transform suburbia? In FOUR YEARS #GA06 went from an iconic GOP seat once held by Newt Gingrich to the priciest House special ever to safe Dem turf Lucy McBATH is up double-digits in polls. NRCC has been dark on TV since mid-Oct
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: Rep Sean Patrick Maloney elected chair of the @DCCC for the 2022 cycle He will be charged with protecting a razor-thin Democratic majority after redistricting and in Biden's first midterm
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Trump margins for pro-impeachment Rs: Cheney #WYAL (Trump+43) Newhouse #WA04 (Trump+19) Rice #SC07 (Trump+19) Kinzinger #IL16 (Trump+16) Gonzalez #OH16 (Trump+14) Upton #MI06 (Trump+4) Meijer #MI03 (Trump+4) Beutler #WA03 (Trump+3) Katko #NY24 (Biden+9) Valadao #CA21 (Biden+10)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEWS: freshman Dem Rep @katieporteroc raised over $2M in Q1 (!!) & has $4.5M on hand for her #CA45 reelection & in a perfect illustration of House GOP money woes... her Republican opponent raised just $112k & has only $151k on hand
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
10 months
Some Friday News: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) has told Dems she will run for #VAGOV in 2025 That will ripple into the House majority fight. She & an aide told 2 people she does not plan to run for reelection in #VA07 in 2024 w @sarahnferris
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
Dem Rep Joe CUNNINGHAM of #SC01 , which Trump won by 13 points, will vote yes on impeachment โ€œIf I wanted to do what was easy politically, I would just vote no and move onโ€
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
10 months
Some Friday News: State Rep Gloria Johnson (D), one of the Tennessee Three who were rebuked for their gun violence protest, is prepping a #TNSEN bid She's expected to launch an uphill campaign in mid-August against Sen Marsha Blackburn (R)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: Dem Rep @katieporteroc raised $2.5M in Q2 (!!) and ended June with $6.6M in the bank for her #CA45 reelection bid This is her FIFTH consecutive quarter raising over $1M
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
Another BIG win for House Rs. Maria Elvira Salazar (R) ousts freshman Rep Donna Shalala (D) in #FL27 Rs held this seat until 2018 but Hillary Clinton won it by 20 points in 2016 and Dems were not nervous here.
@AP_Politics
AP Politics
4 years
BREAKING: Republican Maria Elvira Salazar wins election to U.S. House in Florida's 27th Congressional District, beating incumbent Rep. Donna Shalala. #APracecall at 10:53 p.m. EST. #Election2020 #FLelection
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 months
NEWS - Rep Matt Rosendale (R) is dropping out of #MTSEN "With Trump endorsing my opponent and the lack of resources, the hill was just too steep" He has not decided if he will seek reelection in the House w @Olivia_Beavers @burgessev
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: @club4growth poll shows trouble for Liz Cheney in #WYAL >> 52% of GOP primary voters would vote against her regardless of who challenges her in '22 >> 14% would back her regardless >> Her favorables are underwater at 29/65 WPAi poll of 415 LVs from April 21-22, +/-4.9%
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: Another trove of uncovered Facebook posts by #CA10 GOP nominee Ted Howze: >> compares Dreamers to pedophiles >> accuses Clintons of murder >> claims Muslims cannot be good US citizens He is still endorsed by the @NRCC & @GOPLeader Kevin McCarthy.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: House Dems are clobbering Republicansโ€™ chances at reclaiming the majority with an avalanche of $$$ 42 most endangered Dems raised $28.5M in Q4, nearly twice as much as ALL of their 120+ GOP opponents โ€œThis is quite a wake-up call for Republicansโ€
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
NEW: A @club4growth poll of #WYAL shows Rep Liz Cheney (R) down 30 points to the Trump-backed Harriet Hageman (R) in the Aug 16 primary Hageman - 56% Cheney - 26% Bouchard - 12% Undecided - 6% WPAi poll of 400 LVs on May 24-25. Club is backing Hageman
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
New: GOP Rep Mike Turner of #OH10 has spent $70K of campaign funds on some 370 meals since 2017 โ€” including at restaurants in London, Brussels & NYC Ethics watchdogs say it raises concerns that donors are subsidizing his personal dining costs
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Some fun Census stats on 2010-2020: >> McKenzie County, North Dakota (!) was the fastest growing US county, up 131% >> The Villages, FL was the fastest growing US metro area, up 39% >> US population growth this decade was slower than any other this past century, save the 1930s
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
McCarthy expressed outrage, calling her words "appalling" But to the dismay of MANY members/operatives he did nothing to block her ahead of her runoff vs surgeon John Cowan GA Rs warned she would be the next Steve King, a disaster for the GOP in 2022
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: @ninaturner (D) raised $2.27M (!!) in the last 3.5 months for the #OH11 special She raised $4.5M since launching her bid w/ $1.3M last month alone. Her average contribution is $27 + 1 out of every 7 donors are recurring Turner will face @ShontelMBrown in a Aug 3 primary
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
In an Aug interview, her opponent John Cowan warned an MTG victory could hurt Rs in the #GASen races & in #GA06 + #GA07 โ€” they lost all 4 His words: "I want to protect the Republican Party. She is the antithesis of the Republican Party. And she is not conservative โ€” sheโ€™s crazyโ€
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
It's official: A Clay will not represent #MO01 for the first time since 1969.
@AP_Politics
AP Politics
4 years
BREAKING: Cori Bush wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Missouri's 1st congressional district. #APracecall at 11:18 p.m. CDT. #Election2020 #MOprimary
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Some NY news: Ex-Rep @MaxRose4NY (D) announces heโ€™s leaving his post at the Dept of Defense as its Covid task force winds down That leaves him free for a rematch against Rep @NMalliotakis (R) in a new #NY11 which could get much better in redistrictingโ€ฆ
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
Impeachment Whip Count: Almost half of the 30 Trump-District Democrats have publicly declared support for the articles. @RepBenMcAdams of #UT04 just became the 14th. Working list:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
It's official: There are more registered Democrats than Republicans in Orange County for the first time since 1978, per @OCRegistrar data 547,458 Dems 547,369 Republicans 440,711 No Party Preference
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
#NC11 stays red and Madison Cawthorn, 25, will be the youngest member of Congress in modern history
@politicoelex
POLITICO elections bot
4 years
๐Ÿ”ด Madison Cawthorn (R) has won the race for the House seat in North Carolina's 11th District.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
New: @AOC weighs in on SPM's #NY17 run, says its "terrible" & "hypocritical" "It's also particularly shameful as a member of Dem leadership, especially as the leadership of the DCCC, who asks all of us to make sacrifices .. who cannot seem to take his redistricting on the chin"
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: Dems have gained redistricting power since 2010 BUT they've also ceded some of it to commissions/power shares (like in OR/CO/VA) & that could make it harder to keep the House "We just don't seem to have the guts to go play politics the way Rs do"
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
On June 17 ( a week after the June 9 #GA14 primary but well before an Aug 11 runoff) @MZanona & I reported on a trove of her racist/Islamophobic/QAnon comments MTG is a product of MAGA internet. She built a following posting hours of videos of this stuff
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Proposed Texas congressional map is here (!!)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEWS: Rep Vicente Gonzalez (D) signals he will likely vacate his swing seat to run in #TX34 , the safe Dem seat of retiring Rep Filemon Vela Gonzalez has $2M banked + Vela's support. But that leaves his #TX15 (a Trump +3 seat) open/more ripe for GOP pickup
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
New: E-PAC, @EliseStefanik 's group to elect more GOP women, is out with a new endorsement slate: #AZ01 Tiffany Shedd #NY22 Claudia Tenney #PA07 Lisa Scheller #MN07 Michelle Fischbach #OK05 Stephanie Bice #IA02 Mariannette Miller-Meeks #NJ11 Rosemary Becchi #IL15 Mary Miller
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Some Senate news: Ex-Rep Abby Finkenauer (D) is readying an #IASEN run for Chuck Grassley's (R) seat She's already started assembling a potential campaign staff, per 2 sources familiar. Grassley might retire in '22, leaving the seat open w @JamesArkin
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
News: @CBCPAC is endorsing @ShontelMBrown over @ninaturner in the #OH11 special This Aug 3 primary has quickly turned into a proxy war for feuding Dem factions >> Brown is backed by Hillary + pro-Israel forces + CBC while Turner has Bernie + AOC + CPC
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
An indication of how the 2020 battle for the House is going >> Today DCCC is launching its 1st TV ad buys against: Don Young in #AKAL (Trump +15) Chip Roy in #TX21 (+10) Jim Hagedorn in #MN01 (+15) French Hill in #AR02 (+11) Lee Zeldin in #NY01 (+12) Amash's open seat #MI03 (+9)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: Dems are agonizing over just how aggressively to gerrymander Illinois Hours after IL Dems unveiled a 14D-3R map, some national Dems floated a new 15D-2R map (uploaded by IL operative Zach Koutsky to the leg's public submission portal) w @ShiaKapos
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: Rep. Steve King is out of money, abandoned by longtime allies & going up against a coalition of major GOP power players in DC & Iowa from the Chamber to evangelical leaders to Terry Branstad Next Tuesday heโ€™ll face his toughest #IA04 reelection yet
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
7 months
A breakdown the 20 anti-Jordan House Rs: Only 10 hold seats that are/could be competitive D'Esposito (Biden+15) Lawler (Biden+10) Chavez-DeRemer (Biden+9) Bacon (Biden+6) Kiggans (Biden+3) LaLota (Biden+0) James (Trump+1) Garbarino (Trump+2) Gimenez (Trump+6) Gonzales (Trump+7)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: Mark MEADOWS shock retirement has roiled local Rs who suspect he announced just before filing deadline to boost candidacy of his wife's friend Among the evidence: Lynda Bennett's #NC11 website was registered in Oct by the congressman's brother...
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Among the worst MTG comments: She called the '18 midterms โ€œan Islamic invasion of our governmentโ€ She said Dems are โ€œtrying to keep the black people in a modern-day form of slaveryโ€ โ€œThe most mistreated group of people in the United States today are white males"
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Many people knew who she was. And many people knew this would happen.
@pkcapitol
Paul Kane
3 years
On Jan. 1, no one knew who @mtgreenee was. Tonight, she's lead/off-lead story of WaPo, NYT, CNN, NBC. She has consumed the political world, overtaking Trump's pending impeachment trial. Never mind covid relief. W/ @mikedebonis on lead vocals.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
INBOX: Rep Max Rose (D) concedes in #NY11 to Nicole Malliotakis (R) That brings House Republicans to a net a gain of SEVEN seats and counting. Malliotakis is the 16th new GOP woman elected in 2020.
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Ally Mutnick
3 years
If this is true it's a big recruitment coup for House Dems The DCCC has tried for years to get state Assemblyman Rudy Salas (D) to run. His assembly district includes much of the current #CA21 (but not Fresno portion)
@rpyers
Rob Pyers
3 years
Moderate #AD32 Democrat @rudysalasjr reportedly poised to enter the race for the Central Valley #CA21 seat currently held by Republican @RepDavidValadao
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
6 years
NEW: Campaign for @JanzforCongress , the Dem challenging @RepDevinNunes in #CA22 , said it raised $100K in 24 hours after leaked audio of Nunesโ€™ Trump/Mueller comments.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: @GOPLeader Kevin McCarthy has rescinded his endorsement of #CA10 GOP nominee Ted Howze after reviewing derogatory social media posts from his accounts
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: House GOP leaders are condemning #GA14 candidate Marjorie Greene after learning she made a host of racist comments Among them: >> Muslims don't belong in govt >> Blacks are slaves to the Dem Party >> Confederate statues should make blacks "proud"
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
NEW: Some House Ds are seething at the DCCC for meddling in the #MI03 GOP primary to boost an election denier challenging Peter Meijer โ€œItโ€™s unconscionable" โ€œItโ€™s just damn wrongโ€ โ€œNo race is worth compromising your values in that way" w @sarahnferris
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
THREE new AP calls in Philly-area House races for: 1. Party-switcher Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R) in #NJ02 2. Rep. Susan Wild (D) in #PA07 3. Rep. Matt Cartwright (D) in #PA08
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
Some interesting #CA21 numbers: ex-Rep David Valadao (R) leads Rep TJ Cox (D) 56-34% in the jungle primary with 43% precincts reporting This is a rural, majority-Latino district that Hillary Clinton won by 15 points!
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
New: @DCCC says it has #NE02 polling showing Kara Eastman (D) leading Rep. Don Bacon (R) 48-47% AND Biden beating Trump 52-41% Poll details: Live Caller + IVR, 448 LVs, May 7-10, +/- 4.6% Trump won #NE02 by 2 in 2016. Bacon beat Eastman by 2 in 2018
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
NEW: A recent GOP poll found a close race in the open #CO07 , the open Ed Perlmutter seat that Biden won by 15 points (!) in 2020 Brittany Pettersen (D) - 44% Erik Aadland (R) - 42% Biden is underwater at 36/59 in survey done July 18-21 for @CLFSuperPAC
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
. @WillHurd of #TX23 is the last remaining Republican in a Romney-Clinton district. The GOP held 13 before the 2018 midterms. Then 12 flipped: #TX07 #TX32 #CA45 #IL06 #CA49 #CA48 #CA39 #VA10 #KS03 #CA25 #NJ07 #AZ02
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
1 year
NEW: Republicans have a 2024 problem โ€” their most controversial midterm losers might want to run again Kari Lake. Blake Masters. Joe Kent. JR Majewski. NRSC now plans to meddle in primaries to block them but NRCC will stay neutral w @marianne_levine
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
Union County Commissioner @StonyRushing , who just got an #NC09 endorsement from @MarkHarrisNC9 , is the owner of a gun range that offers firearm-safety courses. He also maybe moonlights as Boss Hogg.
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
NEW: Biden's unpopularity is bringing deep blue seats into play for Rs, who are now eyeing turf the pres won by double digits Some GOP polling: #IN01 (Biden +9) his approval is -19 #PA07 (Biden +1) his approval is -32! #NV01 (Biden +9) his approval is -14
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
House Dems outraised Rs $125M to $85M in 2019, per NRCC's @tomemmer . That's a HUGE disparity Past off-year fundraising, for context: 2011: DCCC beat NRCC by $7M 2013: DCCC beat NRCC by $15M 2015: NRCC beat DCCC by $1M 2017: DCCC beat NRCC by $20M 2019: DCCC beat NRCC by $40M
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Ally Mutnick
6 years
NEW: @njhotline crunched the Q3 numbers overnight. We found NINETY-ONE outraised GOP incumbents. And of that number, some 50 were outraised by at least a 2:1 margin โ€” if not more. The (massive) working list:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
Some personal news: I'm leaving @njhotline after 3+ great years but staying on the same beat! I'm heading to @POLITICO next week to cover House races. So excited to join the team!
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Ally Mutnick
2 years
Some good news for House Ds: their candidates are drowning Rs in Q3 $$ >> Dems outraised Rs in 50/65 most competitive races (many by 2:1 margin) & Dems have more CoH in 45/65 races >> 61 Dems raised $1M+ in Q3 compared to 34 Rs w @jsscppr @allanjvestal
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEWS from @liz_crampton : Dem Rep @collinpeterson WILL run for reelection in #MN07 , a seat Trump won by 31 points This is huge for House Dems who almost certainly would not be able to hold the seat without him.
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Ally Mutnick
2 years
Some Friday House Dem TV triage >> @HouseMajPAC is cutting $2.2M in LA market โ€” a likely sign of no confidence in Christy Smith (D), who is challenging Rep Mike Garcia (R) in #CA27 Biden won this seat by 13 points (!) & some in the CA delegation were pressuring Dems to spend
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
GOP megadonor Kathaleen Wall spent over $8 MILLION in the #TX22 GOP runoff. Her opponent, Sheriff Troy Nehls, did not run a single TV ad. Nehls leads Wall 72% to 28% with 48% reporting
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Ally Mutnick
5 years
NEW: a deep dive into the #OK05 upset >> How @HornForCongress ousted GOP @RepRussell in a 14-point Trump district with just 5 full-time staff & a budget so tight she had to go dark on TV for THREE weeks beginning in late September:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
The suit alleges GOP mapmakers: >> eliminated a Latino opportunity district in the redraw of #TX23 (Tony Gonzales' West Texas seat) >> did not draw a new Latino opportunity seat in Houston's Harris County >> "surgically excised minority communities" from DFW Metroplex area
@alexazura
Alexa Ura
2 years
Just in: The U.S. Department of Justice is suing Texas over its redistricting, claiming it violated Section 2 of the federal Voting Rights Act #txlege
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Ally Mutnick
5 years
House Dems are on track to post HUGE Q2s. Top fundraisers I've seen so far: #NY11 : @MaxRose4NY $800K #CA10 : @JoshHarder $750K #CA25 : @KatieHill4CA $720K #IL06 : @SeanCasten $700K #IL14 : @LaurenUnderwood $700K #TX32 : @ColinAllredTX $575K #TX23 : @GinaOrtizJones $571K
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW internal Dem poll in #MO02 shows Rep Ann WAGNER (R) & state Sen Jill Schupp (D) tied at 49% (w/ leaners) Trump won this seat by 10 points in 2016. He trails Biden by 3 points, 49%-46%, in the survey, conducted by Normington Petts for @HouseMajPAC
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Ally Mutnick
2 years
We've got our THIRD member-vs-member race of the 2022 cycle Reps Lucy McBath (D) vs Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) in GA Reps Sean Casten (D) vs Marie Newman (D) in IL Reps David McKinley (R) vs Alex Mooney (R) in WV
@bluestein
Greg Bluestein
2 years
Just in: U.S. Rep. Lucy McBath will run for Congress in a neighboring suburban district after Republicans redrew her congressional seat to be a GOP bastion. #gapol
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Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: @dccc names 1st round of Red to Blue program for top 2020 challengers: #IL13 Londrigan #AZ06 Tipirneni #MN01 Feehan #TX23 Jones #MO02 Schupp #WA03 Long #NY02 Gordon #IN05 Hale #IA02 Hart #TX21 Davis #PA10 DePasquale & Christy Smith in #CA25 special
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Then when we wrote again in August, McCarthy formally declared neutrality in the race, a stance that did not rally donors Some anti-MTG Rs made a super PAC & cut an ad, waiting for an infusion of $$ that never came. Neither did a Trump tweet for her rival
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Ally Mutnick
2 years
New: @GovChristie , who co-chairs GOP redistricting efforts, slams his party for letting Ds win so many key state Supreme Court races in OH/NC/PA "We allowed Barack Obama & Eric Holder to outmaneuver the Republican committees in those states & the RNC"
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Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW internal #OH11 poll suggests a tightening race @ninaturner (D) - 43% @ShontelMBrown (D) - 36% w 14% undecided in 8/3 primary Poll conducted by Normington Petts for Brown's campaign (July 6-8, 400 LVs, +/- 4.9%) Past internals had Brown down 30+
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: @ShontelMBrown raised $160K in the 24 hours after Majority Whip Jim Clyburn backed her in the #OH11 special Heโ€™s also cut her a TV ad The Aug 3 Dem primary pits Brown (backed by CBCers + Hillary) vs progressive @ninaturner (backed by Bernie + AOC)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
A pretty good internal #PA08 poll for Ds: Rep Matt Cartwright (D) leads Jim Bognet (R) by 6 points, 52-46% >> Trump won this seat by 3 points in 2020 but Cartwright has had airwaves mostly to himself since July >> Generic ballot is 49D to 48R
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
BREAKING: @RepCheri BUSTOS elected @DCCC chair for 2020 cycle on first ballot
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
NEW: Oregon House Rs are NOT denying quorum needed to pass a Dem-leaning congressional map before tonight's deadline, ending a bitter partisan standoff That means they are essentially agreeing to the compromise map from Saturday (4D-1R and 1 Dem-leaning/competitive seat)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
A SIGN of how fast the suburbs are moving away from Republicans: An internal #VA10 poll conducted for @RepWexton (D) found her leading Aliscia Andrews (R) 58%-36% ROMNEY won this district by 2 points in 2012. Clinton won by 10 points in 2016. Biden is up 21 points in this survey
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
2 years
NEW: A warning sign for Ds in the June 14 #TX34 special >> Mayra Flores (R) is up 5 points on Dan Sanchez (D) in a new GOP poll But that race is on the old map (Biden +4). To win in Nov, Flores will have to beat Rep Vicente Gonzalez (D) in a Biden +16
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
Trump's 2020 margins in the districts of pro-impeachment Republicans: 1. Liz Cheney #WYAL (Trump+43) 2. Dan Newhouse #WA04 (Trump+19) 3. Adam Kinzinger #IL16 (Trump+16) 4. Fred Upton #MI06 (Trump+4) 5. Jaime Herrera Beutler #WA03 (Trump+3) 6. John Katko #NY24 (Biden+??)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
New (in some non-virus news): massive Super Tuesday primary turnout has Dems extra bullish about flipping House seats in the Texas burbs 2020 turnout increased roughly 100% from 2016 in six Democratic targets: #TX02 #TX10 #TX21 #TX22 #TX24 #TX31
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
. @ninaturner is conceding the #OH11 special on stage at her watch party "This campaign on this night, we will not cross the river."
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
New: Indiana Rs are out with a House map proposal. Still a 7R-2D split #IN05 get safer for Rs by ceding its piece of Marion County (home to Indy). Good news for incumbent Rep Victoria Spartz (R) #IN01 is not cracked/looks mostly intact, which is good for Rep Frank Mrvan (D)
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
An amazing lede in this @WSJ story on how rapidly diversifying suburbs could haunt the GOP in redistricting In 2011 Rep Lynn Westmoreland warned GA legislators it could be hard to keep #GA06 & #GA07 red for the whole decade... by 2021 Dems hold both
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
New in Score: @ninaturner (D) has hit $3M raised since launching a bid in December for the #OH11 special Turner was a co-chair of Bernie Sanders' 2020 bid & the Aug 3 primary is the next best chance for progressives/the Squad to grow their ranks
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
6 years
. @njhotline crunched the Q2 fundraising stats overnight. We found FIFTY-FOUR GOP incumbents who were outraised by a Democratic challenger. Thatโ€™s a high for the 2018 cycle. The full list:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
3 years
New: @NRCC adds 13 new Dem-held seats to its offensive target list after a night of GOP victories in VA The 70-seat list now includes: GK Butterfield in NC Frank Mrvan in IN Jennifer Wexton in VA Jim Cooper in TN More:
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
NEW: Ex-Rep Katie Hillโ€™s new PAC is dropping $200K into the #CA25 special to fill her old seat She cut a direct-to-camera TV ad urging voters to mail in ballots "I do not want my legacy to be flipping a seat, and then having it immediately flip backโ€
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
5 years
Iowa Gov @KimReynoldsIA (R) WON'T endorse Rep @SteveKingIA in 2020 #IA04 primary. In 2018 he beat his Dem opponent by 3 points in a seat Trump won by 27. "The last election was a wake-up call for it to be that close ... I will stay out of the primary."
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@allymutnick
Ally Mutnick
4 years
#ME02 News: The House-GOP aligned @CLFSuperPAC is slashing its TV buy against Dem Rep. Jared Golden, a sign of no confidence in GOP nominee Dale Crafts NRCC is already off air and CLF is cutting $450K from 10/14 to 10/20. Trump won this rural seat by 10 points in 2016
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