Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende Twitter profile

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

A friend asks an interesting question: Post-Roe, could Native Americans set up abortion clinics on tribal lands for anyone to use, much like they do with casinos, regardless of state law?

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

I am laughing way too hard at this.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

So 0.5% of NYC is dead from COVID, unemployment is approaching levels my grandparents talked about, and you can see my breath outside in May. So it didn't even phase me when I heard noises downstairs, flipped my office light on, and found a raccoon sitting at my desk chair.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

A Muslim family in full hijab asked if their kids could join the Easter egg hunt my wife’s family church (Southern Baptist) is putting on in the park. All the kids are running around together having a blast. God Bless America.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

I will give you meters, kilograms and liters. The superiority of Fahrenheit for day-to-day life is a hill I am willing to die on. "0 is really cold, 100 is really hot" makes a lot more sense than 0 is getting to be pretty cold, 100 ends life as we know it."

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

It's pretty hard, at this point, to imagine how Rs take the Senate. In fact, Ds picking up a seat seems more likely right now.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

Gonna be lit when every Texas Republican officeholder gets sued in some obscure county for procuring an abortion, given that the claimant is insulated from assessments of attorney's fees or costs.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Oh. My. God.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

When corporations do good things we should acknowledge them. Thank you to @AMCTheatres for special autism-friendly sensory showings of movies, so I can enjoy seeing @HamillHimself in Star Wars films with Judd the way my dad did with me 40 years ago.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

It turns out that selecting your candidates from the Star Wars cantina might not be a recipe for electoral success.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

People grossly oversold GOP vulnerability in TX pre-Trump and are grossly underselling it now. Texas is an overwhelmingly urban/suburban state, so GOP weakening in the suburbs is felt disproportionately in TX. It could go blue, quickly, under this current configuration

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

This could actually depress Trump's approval even further, as Trump supporting MAGA types process the loss. The only way for him to win this game was not to play in the first place.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

This is insane. The population of North Dakota is 762k, and it has had 70,016 total *diagnoses* (infections are likely much higher). That's nearly 10% of the population diagnosed with COVID. 10 days ago that # was 56k, 20 days ago was 43k, 30 days was 34k. It's getting worse.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

We've lost our damn minds.

12-year-old suspended over toy gun seen in virtual class

A 12-year old boy has been suspended for a toy gun he never brought to school.

kdvr.com

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

You: "Why don't we have an awesome national train system like in Europe?" Me:

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

7 years

Democrats up in 18 Republican-held House of Delegates seats. Would be enough to flip the chamber.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

So is anyone else sort of freaked out by these supply chain issues? Went to Macy's to get shoes; the guy said he usually had 8,000 pairs but today only had 400. The brake rotors for my wife's car were on backorder. The shelves at the paint store were half-empty. 1/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Remember what we said leading up to this election: Rs would go to bed feeling good, and then things would trickle toward Ds. Not turning into the cathartic blowout many Ds were anticipating/hoping for, lots of uncertainty, but would probably rather be Biden than Trump.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Hey, just 1,188 days to the 2024 Iowa caucuses!

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Looks like Ds flipped the Michigan Supreme Court. Big get for them.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

Do you believe in life after woke?

Cher

@cher

5 years

I Understand Helping struggling Immigrants,but MY CITY (Los Angeles) ISNT TAKING CARE OF ITS OWN.WHAT ABOUT THE 50,000+🇺🇸Citizens WHO LIVE ON THE STREETS.PPL WHO LIVE BELOW POVERTY LINE,& HUNGRY? If My State Can’t Take Care of Its Own(Many Are VETS)How Can it Take Care Of More

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

I guess it depends on the meaning of the word "narrowly." Jesus Christ what a shitshow this is.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

My God but this is a refreshing attitude. They're politicians. You shouldn't fall in love with them. It can be dangerous in fact!

Amy Walter

@amyewalter

4 years

Biden’s success in W. PA driven by voters like this: “I’m not head over heels for him, but I think he’s fine.” If 08 was hope and change, 2020 driven by “he’s fine.”

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting. I will not over-interpret early voting.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

If I never read another article about how we all need to live in tightly-packed cities and give up our cars for mass transit after this, it will be too soon.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

People getting riled up about whether Lamb wins or loses are missing the point(s). This district is history, and Saccone winning by two or losing by two are roughly equal in terms of bad news for the GOP in November.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Whomever she gives it to will rule Britain!

Girl, 8, pulls a 1,500-year-old sword from a lake in Sweden

Eight-year-old Saga Vanecek found a pre-Viking-era relic while playing in a lake in Sweden.

www.bbc.com

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

It can simultaneously be true that (a) the initial invasion of Afghanistan was justified, (b) it was time to withdraw and (c) this withdrawal has been managed atrociously.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

Would watch.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

7 years

Been a while since Sunday school, but I'm pretty sure the fact they *weren't* sexually intimate is somehow important to that story...

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

I know people don't want to hear this, but at this point it doesn't really matter. OH-12 shouldn't be a nailbiter for the GOP, even with two solid candidates running.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

Poor Rutherford. You were a mediocre president, but you deserved better than this.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Oh FFS. 1/

CNN News Central

@NewsCentralCNN

4 years

Texas is seeing the highest number of new coronavirus cases and deaths just two weeks after it officially reopened. @JohnKingCNN explores the trend in Texas as the debate on risk of reopening continues.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

One of the underdiscussed aspects of anti-vaxxing: If you get sick and go to the hospital for treatment you're going to get loaded up with shit that is a lot more experimental than the vaccine . . .

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

If Republicans hadn't lost redistricting litigation in PA/VA/NC maybe FL they'd probably control the House right now.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

"I meet young people, and they want to act and they want to be famous, and I tell them, when you get to the top of the tree, there’s nothing up there. Most of this is nonsense, most of this is a lie. Accept life as it is. Just be grateful to be alive."

Anthony Hopkins: ‘Most of this is nonsense, most of this is a lie’

Alcoholism and ambition fuelled the actor’s rise to the top. He talks masculinity, fame – and why he’s finally ready to play Lear

www.theguardian.com

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

This is correct. Failure to trade DACA for the wall was one of the dumbest moves of this administration.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

7 years

Absolutely brilliant. Amazing.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

It doesn't really matter what happens in NY-19 tonight -- Molinaro is an A+ recruit and isn't supposed to run just a few points ahead of Biden. Most of the other special elections we've seen have some sort of asterisk but this is an unambiguously good result for Ds.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

The GA runoffs are going to be a major test of whether the Democrats own suburbanites or just rented them. If the answer is (b), 2022 will be something.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

Am I the only one here who remembers what the 2000 Republican primary and 2008 general election campaign against McCain looked like?

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

@bendreyfuss 99% of what Trump does can be explained simply by understanding that he's an idiot who was tempermentally unfit and lacked the mental capacity to be president, and who surrounded himself with similar people.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

Give this man a promotion.

Sgt. Stephen Wheeles

@ISPVersailles

6 years

I stopped this vehicle today for a left lane violation on I-65. The driver had approximately 20 cars slowed behind her because she would not move back to the right lane. Again...if there are vehicles behind you, you must move to the right lane to allow them to pass.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Read this. Note how many of the "big thinkers" are convinced this virus will reorient society in ways they find ideologically desirable. And that tells you much of what you need to know about "big thinkers."

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

Breaking up BBB is actually a great idea, if Ds can get it done. FDR didn't succeed by passing a giant bill on Day 1 and then turning to court packing or some such. He passed a flurry of legislation that convinced the American people that he was paying attention to their needs.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

From a friend:

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

A friend of mine (a former Libertarian local officeholder in Virginia) writes of mask wearing:

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

This may be the most amazingly catastrophic branding of the decade.

D.A. Osorio

@DA_Osorio

4 years

Aka defund the police lol.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

I said this back in 2020, but I think "Joe Biden has an effed-up son with mental health and drug issues" plays quite differently with a large swath of the American public than a lot of Republicans seem to think.

Ben Dreyfuss

@bendreyfuss

2 years

Wow never expected Hannity to run such fawning segments about Joe Biden and how he’s a good and empathetic father

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

My one regret is that I did not have the presence of mind to grab my iPhone to take a picture at 3AM.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

It can still happen . . .

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

Someone has explained to Trump that Greenland isn't nearly as big as it looked on the Mercator projection, right? Right?

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

"experimental antibody cocktail" Oh God.

Jake Tapper

@jaketapper

4 years

President Trump has a fever, per a source; and is fatigued and taking an experimental antibody cocktail, per a letter from his physician.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

Making student loans dischargeable in bankruptcy just seems like such an obvious solution to this problem: Truly burdened borrowers can get a fresh start but still pay a penalty, while irresponsible lenders aren't let off the hook. Which of course means that it will never happen.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Alito and Roberts were appointed after W won a majority of the vote.

Pete Buttigieg

@PeteButtigieg

4 years

We're in danger of a majority of Justices on the Supreme Court being chosen by Presidents who didn't even get the majority of the popular vote. Any way you look at it, we're getting less democratic by the day.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of brackets suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Which, maybe if Texas had stayed shut down we'd have seen an even greater drop. There's an honest debate to be had here. But the only way we have an honest debate is with honest reporting, and that is in short supply. 5/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

For those who are curious, our trash in the garage, and I put the door down before I went to bed. It must've been in there, because the door from the mudroom to the garage was the only one open. 2020 amirite? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

I like a good contrarian argument as much as the next guy but there's really no getting around the fact that the 2020 polling was a pile of steaming garbage. (h/t @thomasjwood )

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

My nightmare scenario of litigating absentee ballots in WI, MI and PA for the next month isn't the most likely scenario yet, but it is looking a lot more likely than it did a few hours ago.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

"Someone half the world away eats a bat and the world goes into recession, thousands of people die, and a presidency potentially ends" has to be a top-10 butterfly effect of all time.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Turns out Trump’s comment about possibly getting the House might not have been as batshit as a lot of people suggested. They won’t, but I don’t think we will look at the margin in seat 218 and spike footballs either.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

John James is running a couple points ahead of Trump in MI. Given how the poll errors seem to have been so far tonight . . .

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

And here's the 7-day rolling average of *positive* tests in Texas. 4/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Okay, okay. You all have convinced me: 9/11 for older Millennials works, and it's probably more the shuttle explosion for Xers.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

😶

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

Shots. Fired.

Bitcoin

@Bitcoin

5 years

The future of Facebook's Libra coin

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

7 years

*opens twitter* *reads first few tweets* *shakes head* *closes twitter*

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

For people urging the networks to make a call: The answer is the same as for people who thought Fox News called AZ too soon: The only thing on the line is network credibility. The presidential result will be the same.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

Ossoff now running 1.023% ahead of November in counties with 99%+ reporting. Needs to run 0.9% ahead.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

People forget that when Nancy Pelosi was a back bencher, a large amount of her energy was devoted to pressuring mainland China on human rights issues. This trip doesn't come out of left field.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

So I come back to something I said early on. If the only place you can go to get the positive side of the story is crackpots, then people will gravitate to crackpots. Do better. 6/6

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

The fundamental give-and-take of modern politics right now: Southern suburbs are starting to vote like northern suburbs, northern rurals/small towns starting to vote like Southern rurals/small towns.

Kristen Soltis Anderson

@KSoltisAnderson

5 years

A lot of post-election analysis said "red states got redder, blue got bluer" but I think that's the wrong take. I'm struck by the way that suburbs in "red states" behaved politically a bit like their "blue state" brethren.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

1 year

They got sewers, electricity, water sources not filled with excrement, etc, and so they became habitable and people stopped dying at 30 on average.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐏𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞 🇺🇸

@creation247

1 year

What happened to our cities?

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

What a stinking pile of of horse sh*t this statement is. Yes 60% of voters wanted a Republican, but of those 60%, a substantial enough number preferred a democrat to the former Governor for the Democrat to win. Zero people were disenfranchised.

Sarah Palin

@SarahPalinUSA

2 years

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

1) Inflation won't happen, dummy. 2) Inflation will happen, but it's only temporary, dummy. Warming up: 3) Inflation will happen, and it's actually a good thing, dummy.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

One thing that should be relatively non-controversial after the Kav/Gorsuch/Garland nominations: The people who criticize McConnell as ineffective have absolutely no idea what they are talking about.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Trump's job approval is now the highest it has been in our average since Feb. 5, 2017.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

It's gonna be lit when McConnell schedules a six-week Senate impeachment trial that all Senators are required to attend, silently, starting a week before Iowa.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

I don't understand how 99.999% of people treat this raid as an easy call, in either direction. It's simultaneously true that presidents aren't above the law and that raiding the house of a likely political opponent is a momentous event that rings a bell that can't be unrung. 1/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

Wow, I'm genuinely shocked about that Passaic County result. A 20-point net swing from Murphy's showing in 2020. The Virginia results were bad, but even with Murphy likely pulling this out, these are disastrous results for Democrats.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

A lot of the rural white voters without college degrees that Trump is hoping to turn out have sons, grandsons, nephews and neighbors like Hunter. The attempt to portray him as a crackhead is poisonous, on many levels.

Marc Thiessen 🇺🇸❤️🇺🇦🇹🇼🇮🇱

@marcthiessen

4 years

Right now, in the midst of a pandemic-induced recession, voters care more about their own families than Joe Biden’s family.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Did Bloomberg almost say "I bought that" referring to the Democratic congress?

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

Was talking Clinton impeachment with an older (60+) student in my poli sci 101 class and one thing he reminded me of re Clinton was his ability to compartmentalize. He still looked like he was running the country, legislation was getting thru, etc. Underappreciated factor IMO.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

The NYT is correct. It's time to increase the size of the House. I'd add 270 to bring it to 700, but wouldn't quibble at 130.

Opinion | America Needs a Bigger House (Published 2018)

To better represent the country, Congress must add many more seats.

www.nytimes.com

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Will (9 y.o.): Dad, is soap helps get rid of COVID, why don't people with COVID just wash up a lot? Me: Well, it's inside their noses and lungs if they're sick. Will: Maybe we could just shoot a bunch of soap in their nose? And that was the day my son became president.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Since people are already discussing the impact of this on 2020: The smart Trump play happens to be the one with the best outcome for the country: not to nominate anyone. He doesn’t care about Republicans, conservatism, or least of all the court. 1/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

People are having trouble with this, so let me explain. If a caseload in a state is constant, and you test more people, you're going to appear to get more cases. If it's declining and you test a *lot* more people, same effect. 7/6

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 years

Kid Rock vs Taylor Swift ‘24: not the election we need, but the election we deserve.

KidRock

@KidRock

5 years

Taylor Swift wants to be a democrat because she wants to be in movies….period. And it looks like she will suck the door knob off Hollyweird to get there. Oldest move in the book. Good luck girl. -Kid Rock

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

6 years

Just to be clear, what's going on in AZ is completely normal. There are lots of ballots in Republican counties and lots of ballots in Democratic counties left to be counted, and in a state where 60%+ of the vote is mail-in, it takes a while to count.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Hey Look! Wisconsin has a record number of cases on Wednesday, two weeks after re-opening! Hey look, it conducted a record number of tests on Wednesday, two weeks after reopening! Hey look, the positive test rate is at a low!

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

3 years

So we’re having a twitter meltdown over the Vice President telling people to enjoy the long weekend instead of having a twitter meltdown over the president trying to buy Greenland or RTing Putin and IDK it sort of feels like another step on the road back to normalcy.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

5 months

I've been saying this over and over again, but: This is why inflation is so destructive to presidencies. With unemployment, overwhelming # of people are still employed, lots of unemployed expect to get hired back, etc. When you get your job, it's largely done. 1/

James Surowiecki

@JamesSurowiecki

5 months

This is a crazy take. People today say they feel much worse about the economy than they have felt about objectively far worse economic situations in the past. Consumer sentiment was lower in Nov. than it was in April 2009, at the depths of the Great Recession. That's vibes.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

2 years

Remember when we persuaded Ukraine to give up its nukes because if Russia ever tried to invade we'd have their backs? Good times, good times.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Remember the New York Times report on Trump's taxes? That was 5 days ago.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

1 year

The Dobbs theory is facially reasonable, but you have to explain DeWine vs Vance, or Kemp vs Walker, or Lombardo vs. Laxalt, or even Lake vs Masters (even if she narrowly loses). You have to explain an R+3-4 popular vote. Especially since govs have more impact on abortion policy.

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

Like I said, there is room for a vigorous, robust and honest public debate. That is not what CNN is giving here. It has a storyline it wants to write, and by God it is going to write it. 9/6

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Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

4 years

There's a subsection of Twitter that is scarily okay with letting the virus rip through nursing homes if it means opening up. There's another subsection of Twitter that seems okay w us being reduced to grass huts if it saves a life. Neither is a very safe sort of person to be.

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