Ryan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Ryan Fedasiuk

@RyanFedasiuk

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U.S.-China bilateral affairs @StateDept . Adjunct fellow @CSETGeorgetown & @CNAStech . Personal account, views my own. 费瑞安.

Washington, DC

https://t.co/5D3COdsMKn

Joined February 2012

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

⚡️ We know the Chinese military is betting big on AI. But how exactly will it use the technology? To find out, my team @CSETGeorgetown spent a year analyzing 66,000 of the People’s Liberation Army’s purchase records. Here is what we found (1/17):

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Harnessed Lightning | Center for Security and Emerging Technology

This report examines nearly 350 artificial intelligence-related equipment contracts awarded by the People’s Liberation Army and state-owned defense enterprises in 2020 to assess how the Chinese...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

Good morning to 80% of global shipping.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

It's been about 6 months since I started a job in government. The learning curve can be steep at first — especially if you're unfamiliar with the parlance of bureaucrats. For the uninitiated, here's a 🧵 with some commonly used phrases and what they mean in plain English:

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Let's take this offline" — please stop talking.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"We'll take that into consideration" — they are not going to take it into consideration.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Hi" — buckle up, nobody says "hi" without an agenda. You're about to be tasked.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

@StateDeptSpox oh my god

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Some personal news: Today was my last day as a Research Analyst at @CSETGeorgetown . I start next week as a Tech Policy Advisor on the China team at @StateDept . I'm honored to serve in this role and hope to contribute to a more productive and reciprocal U.S.-China relationship.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

...I really didn't mean for this to go viral. Please nobody tell GPA.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Let's" — pay extremely close attention, you are about to be tasked.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

In my first article for @ChinaBriefJT , I mapped the budget of China's united front, the collection of organizations the CCP leverages to silence political opponents, persecute religious minorities, and acquire foreign tech. Here is what I found (1/9):

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

On TV, I'm watching UN Security Council members offer the geopolitical equivalent of thoughts and prayers. On my laptop, I'm watching bombs detonate over Kharkiv, a city of 1.5 million. As a student of international relations, few events have so totally shattered my worldview.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Please" — this is a command, not a request.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"I can take the pen" — they are trying to seize control of the narrative. Do not let them get away with it!

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Do you have the pen?" — they are asking to make this your problem. Do not let them get away with it!

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

In my latest for @ChinaBriefJT , I document how China's Communist Party raised an army of 22 million internet trolls—and how Beijing is wielding them as a weapon of foreign influence. Here are the highlights (1/13):

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"<your name>," — if they are using your name then you are definitely being tasked.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Why did we do X?" — X is moronic. We're not doing X anymore.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

There are many longer ways of saying things, usually with prepositions. It is imperative that you memorize and use them wherever possible: "to the left" — sooner. "to the right" — later. "chop on" — edit. "sight <person> on" — inform. "pull down" — cancel.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"run to ground" — means to do your job. If you're not running things to ground then what are you really doing?

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Tasker" — a thing you must do.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The Chinese military is buying high-end computer chips designed by 🇺🇸 companies to power its next-generation weapon systems. Here's what @kelmgren , Ellen Lu, and I found in our latest investigation for @CSETGeorgetown — and how to stop it. 🧵 1/17

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Silicon Twist | Center for Security and Emerging Technology

The Chinese military’s progress in artificial intelligence largely depends on continued access to high-end semiconductors. By analyzing thousands of purchasing records, this policy brief offers a...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"more fulsome" — you didn't add enough content.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

How does the Chinese government spend its money? I'm thrilled to announce a new resource for the China studies and national security community that attempts to answer that question: The Chinese State Council Budget Tracker from @CSETGeorgetown (1/9).

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Chinese State Council Budget Tracker | Center for Security and Emerging Technology

It’s widely understood that Beijing invests significant resources in shoring up its science and technology prowess, but the extent and flows of the Chinese government’s public investments in S&T are...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Info by request" — there is too much bullshit here to be worth fighting about.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

"Due-out" — a tasker from a previous meeting or engagement.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Look out below! 🌊 In my first article for @CIMSEC , I discuss China’s growing fleet of autonomous undersea vehicles (AUVs) and what it means for the U.S. Navy and partners in the Indo-Pacific. Here are the highlights (1/8):

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The united front system remains one of China's most closely guarded secrets. For @ASPI_org , I summarized what we know of its overseas operations: 1) advancing CCP political influence 2) exerting power over the 🇨🇳 diaspora 3) acquiring foreign technology

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How China’s united front system works overseas | The Strategist

Led by United Front Work Departments of Chinese Communist Party committees at each echelon of government, the united front system is a complex and opaque set of organisations designed to advance the...

www.aspistrategist.org.au

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

The Chinese military's progress in AI is being driven, in part, by access to U.S. technology and capital. To address the problem, 🇺🇸 must fundamentally rethink its approach to export control and economic statecraft. My latest, for @politico :

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Opinion | We Spent a Year Investigating What the Chinese Army Is Buying. Here’s What We Learned.

Publicly available documents show how Chinese progress in military AI is being driven, in part, by access to American technology and capital.

www.politico.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

1. I'm so freaking relieved that they are getting out. 2. That CCP leaders are so brazen―so unbothered by the optics of their political hostage-taking, that they would not make even the most cursory effort to hide it―is an exceptionally strong signal of the danger to come.

@fravel

M. Taylor Fravel

3 years

PM Trudeau says Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor on way home to Canada

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

The struggle is real.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

More and more people are embracing open-source research on China. I think that's great. But if you don't know what you're doing, this business can be risky—for you, your organization, and the entire field. That's why I've created this guide:

Staying Safe on the Chinese Internet.pdf

drive.google.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

After 6 years as a student of international relations, I am distraught. What was it all for?

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We Are All Realists Now

Photo Credit: Dan Rivers For weeks leading up to the invasion and even in the hours afterward, the crisis in Ukraine was flattened into an academic debate, abstracted into a case to be studied. The…

georgetownsecuritystudiesreview.org

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The U.S. approach to economic statecraft is not cut out for strategic competition with China and Russia. We are watching our adversaries source equipment, data, and capital from 🇺🇸 and its allies, and I am tired of admiring the problem. 🧵 1/10

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U.S. probing how American electronics wound up in Russian military gear

Agents from the FBI and the Commerce Department are conducting joint visits to tech companies whose components have been found in abandoned weapons systems in Ukraine.

www.washingtonpost.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Today I graduated* with an M.A. in Security Studies from @GeorgetownCSS . It's been challenging to manage on top of full-time work (and side projects), but I'm grateful to have been part of such an incredible community. Thanks for the fist bump @SecBlinken !

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The DC grad school experience:

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Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

pretty sure my Amazon packages are lost somewhere among the other 20%

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Love to see Chinese AI companies accidentally confirm the accuracy of our report...by emailing us in protest: "We also sell that software to non-military-end users!"

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Blinken outlines 3 lines of effort for U.S. China policy: 1. Invest to double-down on longstanding American strengths. 2. Align efforts with allies and partners. 3. Compete to defend our interests and build our vision for the future.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

With so many eyes on the Hill, don't miss yesterday's big news from @StateDept : Establishing the Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology

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Establishing the Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology - United States...

Secretary Blinken established the office as part of the wider modernization agenda because the constellation of critical and emerging technologies reshaping the world is now an integral part of the...

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

I survived a year of full-time work + part-time grad school + intensive Chinese language class! Now let's never do that again.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

BREAKING: @CommerceGov is officially adding the remaining three of 🇨🇳 Seven Sons of National Defense to the U.S. Entity List, among 74 other institutions: * Beijing Institute of Tech * Nanjing U of Aero & Astro * Nanjing U of S&T

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Are 🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳 learning from one another's disinformation operations? Survey says...yes! Horrifying read of the day: "Russia's experience and reference in the dissemination of public opinion abroad" 俄罗斯对外舆论传播的经验与借鉴

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

How does Biden's Indo-Pacific Strategy compare with that of the Trump administration? I used keyword frequencies to get the broad strokes: * Much more explicit focus on China, both Koreas * Some more focus on Taiwan * Most other countries not mentioned nearly as often by name

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Who goes to work for China’s defense industry? In our latest, @emily_sw1 and I mapped talent flows between 🇨🇳 universities and defense SOEs. 🚨 We found that U.S. tech companies are indirectly aiding China's military. Thread: (1/10)

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Universities and the Chinese Defense Technology Workforce | Center for Security and Emerging...

To help U.S. policymakers address long-held concerns about risks and threats associated with letting Chinese university students or graduates study in the United States, CSET experts examine which...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

9/ In fact, some companies that supply the Chinese military with AI systems are funded by U.S. venture capital companies like @sequoia and @GoldmanSachs . For example, look to Eversec, whose clients include the PLA Strategic Support Force and Ministry of Public Security.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Speaking just now before the UN Security Council, Ukrainian Representative to the UN Sergiy Kyslytsya cites Article 4 of the UN Charter, and calls for Russia's removal from the organization.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

I am so excited to be joining @CNASdc as an Adjunct Fellow in the Tech and National Security Program! I cannot wait to start working with @MartijnRasser , @megan_lamberth , @hrkelley96 , @corysimpsonwv , and the entire @CNAStech team.

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CNAS Welcomes Sarah Smedley, Cory Simpson, and Ryan Fedasiuk as Adjunct Fellows

Developing strong, pragmatic and principled national security and defense policies.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

From whom, where, and how does the Chinese government acquire foreign technology? @emily_sw1 , @AnnaPuglisi838 , and I embarked on a half-year long investigation for @CSETGeorgetown to shed some light on that enormous question. Here is what we found (1/10):

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China’s Foreign Technology Wish List | Center for Security and Emerging Technology

“Science and technology diplomats” act as brokers as part of China’s broader strategy to acquire foreign technology. Each year, they file hundreds of official reports on their activities. This issue...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

5/ Specifically, we find the PLA is buying AI systems designed to identify undersea vehicles, wargame Taiwan operations, track U.S. Navy ships, and deploy electronic countermeasures, among other tasks. “Harnessed Lightning” profiles each of these applications in depth.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Taken: ❌ Cyber Pearl Harbor ❌ Cyber Manhattan Project ❌ Cyber Cuban Missile Crisis ❌ Cyber 9/11 Still Available: ✔️ Cyber Schlieffen Plan ✔️ Cyber D-Day ✔️ Cyber Little Boy & Fat Man ✔️ Cyber Vietnam War ✔️ Cyberpolar Moment

@Joseph_Marks_

Joseph Marks

2 years

Cyber analogy watch: Ex-DNI John Ratcliffe calls for a "cyber Manhattan Project" in a Newsweek op ed.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Twitter ups the ante in its quest to curb disinformation: This pop-up now appears any time you attempt to "like" or retweet a post that links to an article by 🇨🇳 or 🇷🇺 state-affiliated media:

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

For the love of God, eliminate the words "linked to" from your China reporting and analysis. If you write that two entities are "connected" but don't specify how (or link to a resource that does), you are doing a massive disservice to yourself and your readers.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Once again, the shamelessness of the lie—the word processor cursor is visible *in the screenshot* for goodness' sake—is cause for concern.

@CGTNOfficial

CGTN

3 years

Chinese tennis star Peng Shuai has sent an email to Steve Simon, the WTA Chairman & CEO, CGTN has learned. The email reads:

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

How are U.S. technology priorities evolving under the Biden administration? I compared the updated "Critical and Emerging Technologies List" released on Monday with the old one. Changes are in bold:

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The U.S.-China technology competition today revolves around access to four resources: -Equipment -Personnel -Information -Capital In our latest for @ForeignPolicy , @emily_sw1 and I break down China's playbook to acquire each of them at scale:

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Beijing’s Strategic Blueprint Is Changing as Tensions Grow

China is trying to free itself from dependence on imported technology.

foreignpolicy.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

Who are China's (young) Thousand Talents? @jacob_feldgoise and I scoured the Internet for references to 🇨🇳 talent plan awardees. We found the 3,600 young scientists Beijing recruited during the program's lifetime. Here is what we know:

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The Youth Thousand Talents Plan and China's Military | Center for Security and Emerging Technology

CSET research sheds light on the backgrounds and career paths of nearly 3,600 awardees in China’s Youth Thousand Talents Plan. While concerns over China’s recruitment of science and technology...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

BREAKING: Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow; predicts 6 more years of 2020.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

In my latest for @ChinaBriefJT , I investigated the budgets of Chinese government and CCP offices responsible for silencing political opponents on the internet. It turns out silence is expensive—and one of the Party's top priorities (1/9):

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Uhhhh is everything okay over there @amazon ?

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

11/ FIRST, while it’s clear Chinese military leaders plan to jam, blind, and hack U.S. C4ISR systems in a conflict, it is not clear how the PLA would defend *its own* AI systems and "cloudified" sensor and communication networks. ➡️ Please fund more counter-AI research.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

The thing about professional success in Washington is that it's often defined by your proximity to power and the willingness of others to take your ideas seriously. "Succeeding," then, comes with immense responsibility—and should inspire a haunting dread: What if you are wrong?

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

After years of dialogue and little to show for it, time is running out for the United States and China to prevent catastrophic AI accidents. In @ForeignPolicy , I lay out where we're at—and where we need to be. (🧵 1/2)

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The U.S. and China Need Ground Rules for AI Dangers

Autonomous weapon systems pose a serious escalatory risk.

foreignpolicy.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

I happen to think that ideology matters a lot in shaping Chinese foreign policy. But understanding its role, and weighting it appropriately, is very hard. It is analytically easier, safer, and more rewarding for China hands to pay more attention to political economy. 🧵 1/9:

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Not a hawk, not a dove—more like a concerned pigeon

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

2021 China Military Power Report: -boring DOD branding -juicy stuff is classified -cryptic warnings not even sourced -is this thing ever coming out Harnessed Lightning: -cool lightning theme -entirely open-source -17 pages of endnotes -available now

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

12/ SECOND, China’s “intelligentization” strategy is entirely predicated on access to AI chips designed by U.S. companies and manufactured in Taiwan and South Korea—whose continued supply is not guaranteed. ➡️ Expect more from us on this topic soon.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

. @globaltimesnews will post vile tweets like this, then its parent @XHNews will complain about U.S. bias and "China threat theory." Yet it is exactly this kind of content that poisons U.S. elite opinion of China, and sabotages any modicum of good will left in the relationship.

@globaltimesnews

Global Times

@globaltimesnews

2 years

#COMMENT Carlos Tejada, New York Times Foreign editor, died one day after receiving Moderna booster shot. It concerns vaccine safety. Looking forward to more details by the NYT. It'll be a good commemoration of Tejada, who won a Pulitzer for slamming China's COVID-19 performance.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

(8/9) For full transparency, I am releasing the 160 united front budget documents I analyzed in the course of this report, for the central CCP and all 31 provinces of China. I encourage other analysts to comb through them with keener eyes than mine.

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The United Front Budget Repository

Shared with Dropbox

www.dropbox.com

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Since 2019, @CSETGeorgetown has exploded in size. I'm very lucky to learn from such a talented team. And guess what? You can, too! Here are some brilliant early-career experts you may not be following, and some of their recent work (THREAD):

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Want to know what Chinese leaders envision using AI on the future battlefield? Check out this 2020 @CSETGeorgetown study that profiles 58 research papers by PLA officers and defense industry engineers:

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Chinese Perspectives on AI and Future Military Capabilities | Center for Security and Emerging...

The world is watching how the Chinese military develops and deploys artificial intelligence—but how exactly will it apply AI? This policy brief analyzes Chinese experts’ arguments about AI and...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

It's been less than 48 hours and 1/5 of the 🇨🇳 sources in this report have been burned. Maybe this struck a sore spot? Feel free to download these 160 United Front budget documents directly and archive your own versions of sources that interest you:

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The United Front Budget Repository

Shared with Dropbox

www.dropbox.com

@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

In my first article for @ChinaBriefJT , I mapped the budget of China's united front, the collection of organizations the CCP leverages to silence political opponents, persecute religious minorities, and acquire foreign tech. Here is what I found (1/9):

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

1 year

I love @wmata so much — where else in DC can you get the adrenaline pumping on a Sunday? I waited 20 minutes for a train to Shady Grove. We went 5 stops, then stopped mid-tunnel. The lights went out. Then we began accelerating rapidly in the opposite direction! What a rush!

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

We hear this claim all the time — that Chinese institutions will sometimes host very different English-language versions of their websites. Is it true? Yes. In our 2020 @CSETGeorgetown study @emily_sw1 and I put that hypothesis to the test:

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@Kate_OKeeffe

Kate O'Keeffe

2 years

Fascinating thread, especially when you consider how many Chinese entities have very different Chinese and English language versions of their sites

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

👏🏻 normalize 👏🏻 naming 👏🏻 your 👏🏻 think tank 👏🏻 reports 👏🏻 after 👏🏻 Magic: The Gathering (TM) 👏🏻 cards

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

(2/9) For years, Chinese diplomats have insisted that the united front is nothing more than a benign administrative bureaucracy and accused Western analysts of overhyping its role. But the CCP's own public budget documents belie its claims about the UF's importance and function.

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

How it started: How it’s going:

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

THERE ARE ACTUALLY MULTIPLE SEMICONDUCTOR SUPPLY CHAINS, AND TOO MANY PEOPLE WRONGLY CONFLATE THEM. ELECTRONIC DESIGN AUTOMATION TOOLS ARE A POTENTIAL BOTTLENECK FOR HISILICON & OTHER FABLESS COMPANIES, WHEREAS LITHOGRAPHY IS THE MAIN BARRIER TO COMPETING WITH TSMC ON FABRICATION

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

At least we can all agree on the facts.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

6/ We can also get a sense of just how important AI is to the PLA. Based on public contracts, PLA spending on AI-related tech is likely in the low billions of USD—about on par with 🇺🇸 military AI spending, based on this earlier report from @RitaKonaev .

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U.S. Military Investments in Autonomy and AI: A Budgetary Assessment | Center for Security and...

The Pentagon has a wide range of research and development programs using autonomy and AI in unmanned vehicles and systems, information processing, decision support, targeting functions, and other...

cset.georgetown.edu

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The Stages of Academic Paper Writing: 1. Excitement 2. Distraction 3. Denial 4. Denial 5. Denial 6. Bargaining 7. Despair 8. Frenzy 9. Relief

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@RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

"AI, quantum computing, biotechnology, semiconductors, and robotics" Someone should start a think tank that focuses on these issues!

@Kate_OKeeffe

Kate O'Keeffe

3 years

NEW: The U.S.’s top counterintelligence official said he's narrowing his focus to safeguarding five key technologies, including chips and biotech, seeing their protection from rivals like China as determining whether U.S. remains world’s leading superpower

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Is there any introduction more dread-inspiring than "Oh yeah I've seen your tweets"

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

7/ Moreover, we find that China’s military-civil fusion (军民融合) development strategy is paying real dividends. Of the 273 AI equipment suppliers in our dataset, 60% are private companies. The overwhelming majority are quite small, established only in the last 10 yrs.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Today marks 3 years working @CSETGeorgetown — the best first job a person could ask for. Every day I count myself lucky to work with such a brilliant and supportive group of people. Here's a 🧵 with some of my favorite projects and memories (1/):

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Jazzed to have contributed to a second book! 🤓 I'm so grateful to editor-mentors Bill Hannas and Huey-meei Chang — and it was a privilege to collab with @CSETGeorgetown 's @ngor_luong for the first time. Order here 👉🏻

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Are you a current Georgetown student interested in tech, security, and China's military? Come work with me at @CSETGeorgetown ! I am hiring a part-time RA to help with new and ongoing research projects during the fall. Apply here (please no emails/DMs):

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Ryan Fedasiuk

9 months

After four incredible years, today is my last day of employment @CSETGeorgetown . Come Monday I'll be switching to adjunct status and beginning a second year (no longer "on loan") in @StateDept 's China House.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

CSET's translation guru Ben Murphy is at it again! Here's China's 14th Five-Year Plan, all 146 pages, translated into English.

CSET Original Translation: China's 14th Five-Year Plan

Read our original translation of China's 14th Five-Year Plan, which was passed by the National People's Congress in March, 2021, and covers the years 2021-2025.

cset.georgetown.edu

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

My grandmother, Romana Dyki, grew up on the run. Her parents Olga and Evgeniy had narrowly survived the Holodomor. So when, in 1939, the Nazis and Soviets simultaneously marched on what was then Poland, she and my great grandparents did the only thing they could. They fled.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

Speaking @CSIS just now, USTR Amb. Tai references a new descriptor for U.S.-China relations: "Durable coexistence."

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

3/ So Jennifer Melot, Ben Murphy, and I compiled every procurement record published by PLA units and state-owned defense companies from April-November 2020. Our dataset includes 21,000 Chinese military equipment contracts, 350 of which were for AI-related systems and software.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

The view from Washington is unanimous: A decision by China to aid Russia's war in Ukraine would be a betrayal of its commitment to act as a responsible great power, and would severely and irrevocably damage what remains of the U.S.-China relationship.

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Demetri

2 years

SCOOP - Russia has asked China for military equipment and other assistance to support its invasion of Ukraine. #UkraineWar @FT

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Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

(3/9) For @ChinaBriefJT , I analyzed 160 budget reports from organizations involved in China's central and provincial united front systems. The central 🇨🇳 government's UF spending exceeds $1.4 billion USD each year—and probably even surpasses the budget of @MFA_China .

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

Open-source internet research is revolutionizing the way governments and businesses operate. I've spent my early career @CSETGeorgetown learning to do exactly this kind of work. Here's what you need to know to start your own investigation:

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Into the Jungle: Best Practices for Open-Source Researchers | Center for Security and Emerging...

The goal of this guide is to acquaint researchers and analysts with tools, resources, and best practices to ensure security when collecting or accessing open-source information.

cset.georgetown.edu

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

6/13 More alarming is that CYLs describe volunteer trolls as a “young cyber army” and organize them into regimented command structures. Volunteers pledge to wage “targeted public opinion battles” against ideological opponents—to defend China's "image sovereignty."

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

8/ And as @Kate_OKeeffe reported Monday for @WSJ , we find that < 10% of the PLA’s AI equipment suppliers face U.S. export controls. Almost none are subject to financial sanctions.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

2 years

"I've read your work" - flattering - scholarly - establishes a shared point of reference "I've seen your tweets" - acknowledgment without agreement - vaguely menacing - creates immediate power asymmetry

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Ryan Fedasiuk

3 years

4/ These contracts offer an incredibly detailed, open-source view of China's efforts to build an intelligentized (智能化) military force. They amount to tens of millions of dollars in spending, mostly for autonomous vehicles, intelligence analysis, logistics, and info warfare.

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Ryan Fedasiuk

4 years

(6/9) UF budget documents state explicitly that Hong Kongers, Taiwanese, and and overseas Chinese are the UF's primary targets outside China, and are subject to its monitoring and influence. Before it was absorbed, the central OCAO had a budget of $376 million USD just for this.

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