What is really happening with poverty in the UK?
1. Poverty rates are high, with the headline rate returning to pre-pandemic levels in the latest data. 14.4m people in the UK - more than 2 in every 10 people - are living in poverty, including nearly 3 in every 10 children.
The No10 defence if more fines come:
“If you’re caught speeding at 35mph four times, that doesn’t mean that you were speeding at 140mph. It doesn’t mean that you really endangered life because the cumulative effect of all your speeding in 30mph zones amounts to 140pmh, does it?”
A policy idea. Collectively we could ensure all families have enough money to buy nutritious food. We could call the policy ‘social security’. It could reduce pressure on the NHS. It might just prove morally and fiscally responsible. Just an idea.
As a Treasury official, years ago, I was trained to be sceptical about “spend now, save later” proposals. Sometimes rightly.
But as a country we have been far too open to “save now, spend more later” policies. (And we are now in the “spend more” phase of many of those).
Councils are spending £1.7bn a year on temporary accommodation
The failure to invest in social infrastructure & preventative support over the last 13yrs means we're now hemorrhaging public funds on downstream costs, much of it flowing to private rentiers
10 years ago
Bob Kerslake was Head of the Civil Service
Jeremy Heywood was Cabinet Secretary
Chris Martin was DG of 10 Downing Street.
Dedicated public servants. Good people. Huge talents.
All gone too soon.
Have we moved from a position where you can only have a party if you pretend it’s work, to one where you can only go to work if you pretend it’s a party?
The PM being fined for making this silly mistake doesn’t feel terribly important.
A former Chancellor being fined by HMRC because of his tax affairs. That feels really quite important.
Or am I missing something?
“I’m really worried about the state of poverty in Britain at the moment, and I really want people to focus on it. You don’t hear any Government Minister ever talking about poverty… and it’s their duty to do something about it”.
@GordonBrown
👏
When asked if he would return to government, Gordon Brown says "I'm not the future other people are the future, I will do what I can to help in all the things I really care about".
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
Many of the people and communities that the JRF and
@theJRHT
group serve are under heightened pressure because of
#COVID19
. Later this year
@paulkissack
joins as Group Chief Executive, helping to ensure that justice and compassion continue to guide us.
My final day with
@UKCivilService
. A privilege to have been part of it for over 20 years. So many selfless, dedicated, talented people working to make a positive difference. I wish them well for the years ahead.
To new followers who have joined in the last 24 hours. It's lovely having you here but, just to manage expectations, future cat or herb-related content is likely to be quite limited, despite the surprising level of demand.
Today, the Chancellor chose a real terms cut in benefits. Again. This time in the face of a cost of living crisis. It will increase destitution in 21st century Britain.
The spring statement managed to be both cruel and incoherent. I can’t really recall a worse fiscal event.
🚨 NEW: 600,000 people will be pulled into poverty due to inaction at the
#SpringStatement
We've modelled the impact of the failure to increase benefits in line with inflation, along with the 1.25% ⬆️ in National Insurance and change to the earnings threshold at which it is paid
Very excited that tomorrow I finally join the team at
@jrf_uk
and
@theJRHT
. Even more than usual, I expect to spend a lot of time over the next few months asking questions, listening hard and learning. Any other advice?
No Chancellor, you did NOT prioritise the poorest in your autumn statement. You cut their benefits.
You then did it again in yesterday’s spring statement, in the face of a cost of living crisis.
.
@JayneSeckerSky
: The very poorest in society do not earn enough to benefit from yesterday's announcements, do they?
"They actually are my priority," says
@RishiSunak
, adding low earners will disproportionately benefit from other policies.
📺 Sky 501
It is 60 years since any British Government carried out an official empirical study into the adequacy of social security.
I didn’t realise that. But it does help to explain a few things
#OurEssentials
Worth pausing to consider just how extraordinary it is that “declining life expectancy” is considered the context for 21st century economic and social policymaking in the UK.
“When it comes to British domestic politics there is nothing, absolutely nothing, that matters more than this”.
Thank you
@AndrewMarr9
for setting the context for the 2024 General Election so clearly.
'Poverty, the true picture all around us, is a national disgrace.'
'I hope you agree that this is deeply shameful.'
@AndrewMarr9
reflects on national poverty levels following the release of the Jacob Rowntree 2024 UK Poverty Report.
Here we go again...
The basic rate of social security in the UK is at its lowest level in real terms for nearly 40 years.
We should be rebuilding it so people can afford the essentials, not reducing it further and driving up destitution and hardship.
Exclusive
@Telegraph
: The Government is considering uprating benefits in line with earnings instead of inflation next year as part of a drive to reduce public spending and fund tax cuts
Most people I worked with in Whitehall WERE from outside London. They moved to London to do the jobs. There are many challenges with the diversity of the senior civil service but I’m not sure ‘coming from London’ is one of them. (But I’m all for moving jobs out).
EXCL: Civil service needs to recruit more from outside London to overhaul perception of political system as “aloof, arrogant, remote”, Baroness Finn warns.
PM's new deputy chief of staff also calls for Whitehall to draft in more private sector expertise
If today the Chancellor is all about calming fears, I hope that extends to the millions of families currently fearful of a cut in benefits.
It would be morally indefensible to balance the books on the backs of the poorest, as the previous Chancellor threatened to do.
If ever you find yourself doubting whether policy really makes a meaningful difference to people’s lives, remember this chart.
Deliberate policies reduced poverty, and then different policies increased it again. Choices and consequences. This isn’t an accident.
Let's not go into a General Election year confused about what's happening with poverty.
Later this month we will publish our
@jrf_uk
UK Poverty annual report: a comprehensive picture of poverty as the nation prepares to go to the polls.
If tough sanctions and meagre benefits were a route to economic prosperity we would be a VERY prosperous country today.
We’ve been doing it for years. Maybe time to try a different approach.
Looking ahead to the autumn statement, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt says there will be "tougher sanctions" on those who exploit the benefits system.
Follow live politics updates:
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Chancellor says he's committed to levelling up... but cut to Universal Credit will hit a third of households in Midlands and the North (vs a fifth in South East)
You’re also expanding child destitution.
1 million children experienced destitution last year.
Nearly triple the number of children since 2017.
Where is the plan to turn the tide on that?
We're expanding childcare 👇
🧸 Extending our free childcare scheme to help more parents
👶 Giving nurseries over £200m to expand childcare places
📚 Developing plans to deliver wraparound care for parents of primary school children
👩👦 Making it easier to become a childminder
‘This myth of “welfare dependency” or benefits as “a lifestyle choice” has very little evidence to support it. And there’s similarly no evidence that benefit sanctions actually get more people into work’
Excellent from
@paulwaugh
An important message from our annual report today.
Government policy matters. It can make a difference on poverty, quickly.
The £20 UC uplift helped. Deciding to get rid of it and cut social security has made things worse.
The Government is not helpless. It makes choices.
🚨 NEW 🚨 Our annual report
#UKPoverty2023
reveals 1 in 5 people are living in poverty, including a heart-breaking 3.9 million children.
The report lays bare the inadequacies of our social security system, with many unable to afford the essentials. 👇
In a sensible world we would not go through this cruel annual process of Govt threatening arbitrary cuts to already inadequate benefits.
We'd have basic benefits linked to the essential cost of living, and a consistent system for uprating them each year.
Using the October rather than the September inflation rate to uprate benefits in April would not be a small technical change. It would be a decision to make a significant and permanent cut to benefit levels. It could save c£3bn pa.
This is my friend’s daughter Katie.
In my mind it is only yesterday that Katie was an angelic toddler.
Last night she smashed it on stage with The Killers in Manchester. 😮
Is there any reasonable defence of this policy? Expensive, deadweight, benefits wealthier people, presume the geographical impact runs counter to Levelling Up. So many better to ways to have spent £6bn e.g. one-off school catch up. What is the defence?
OUT NOW UK Poverty 2020/21. Our leading independent report reveals how the impact of a decade of deprivation coupled with
#COVID19
and
#lockdown
has hit people trapped in poverty the hardest. Government policies must keep people afloat, not pull them under
If we are serious about improving health we need to focus on social conditions.
If we are serious about improving education we need to focus on social conditions.
Imagine if every child lived in a safe, secure home with enough food to eat. What a difference it would make.
The idea of a 'national minimum', below which the state will not allow people to fall, goes back a long way. The case has been made for well over a century. It is a compelling moral argument, as well as economic one. One day it will be implemented.
“If it is the case that we do live in a meritocracy and that all the best people are in all the top jobs, then why, one might ask, is the country such an unmitigated binfire”.
@lokiscottishrap
I find myself reflecting on this a lot.
Right now low income families on means-tested benefits are facing a gap of at least £450 between cost increases and income.
Addressing that is the most urgent priority for the Chancellor today.
The UK has developed remarkably efficient policies for moving our limited housing stock into the hands of private landlords, and then paying them.
(One of my favourite housing stats: well covered in
@Victoria_Spratt
excellent ‘Tenants’)
Astonishing stat: 40% of council houses sold through Right to Buy are now rented by private landlords (up to 70% in some places) at double the cost of council housing. Presumably with many of those renters supported by housing benefit. Utter madness!
Millions of council homes were sold under Right to Buy. Many of the homes then transferred to private landlords. Taxpayers now pay those landlords via housing benefit or for temporary accommodation for homeless families. Crazy. Time for councils to rebuild their housing stock.
A rare trip back to Whitehall for a retirement do this evening…
Reminded again that the civil service really does contain so many extraordinarily talented and hard-working folk. All too often they go unthanked, or worse. We’re lucky to have them.
NEW: Freezes to housing benefit despite skyrocketing rent growth mean just 5% of private rental properties on Zoopla can be covered by housing benefits.
Read our report on housing for low-income households, funded by
@jrf_uk
:
🚨 NEW from JRF:
This is a
#MiniBudget
that has wilfully ignored families struggling through a cost of living emergency and instead targeted its action at the richest.
It leaves those on the lowest incomes out in the cold with no extra help to get them through the winter. 🧵
Two new
@jrf_uk
reports: on housing and childcare. The common thread? Systems that too often serve wealthy owners chasing rents and profits rather than people's ordinary hopes - for a decent affordable home or decent affordable childcare. 1/4
Just pause and think about this... A 54% increase in the number of people pulled into destitution between 2017 and 2019 - 2.4m people, including over half a million children. So that’s the level of destitution BEFORE Covid hit.
🚨 Our new research shows deeply concerning figures on destitution in the UK, with around 2.4 million people having experienced destitution in 2019, a 54% increase since 2017. The social security system must be strengthened to turn back this rising tide.
It is very odd that, in the UK, the basic rate of benefits has never been linked to real world costs of living. Great to see MPs across parties questioning this and recommending change.
Today's report from cross-party committee of MPs
@CommonsWorkPen
calls on Govt to set out a plan to address inadequate benefits that leave people unable to afford life's essentials, pointing to
@jrf_uk
@TrussellTrust
work on an Essentials Guarantee🧵1/6
In a few weeks
@jrf_uk
will provide the first comprehensive update on the scale of destitution in the UK since the pandemic - the deepest form of poverty that we monitor.
It will be a critical lens on the state of the UK as we enter a general election year.
“Were the government to declare the end of poverty to be a national goal and set clear deadlines, there would be a way out of the current emergency”. Gordon Brown
Nothing less than a radical reshaping of Britain for the decades ahead will be enough to meet the challenges we face. As we enter a new year, JRF stands ready to play its part.
This is really not good. And it is so tiresomely predictable to read such a complacent 'line to take' from the Government which doesn't even pretend to address the issue.
Child death rates in England have been falling for years but the trend reversed in the last year due to shockingly higher mortality rates for Black children and for those living in poverty
No. Child poverty is rising, not falling. 1 million children are facing destitution - three times as many as just 5 years ago. A record number of children are in temporary accommodation. We need all political leaders, from all parties, to get serious about this.
Government decisions change lives.
In October 2021, the Government chose to cut Universal Credit by £20 a week. They should not have done so.
Today’s official figures show what happened next. Thousands more families in poverty.
📈 Today’s annual poverty figures from
@DWPgovuk
show child poverty and pensioner poverty were already increasing going into the
#CostOfLivingCrisis
.
🗓️ Between April 2021-March 2022:
🔴 14.4 million people were living in poverty in the UK
Building a poverty-free, sustainable future is complex, requiring imagination and experimentation.
Alleviating destitution today isn’t. We have a system to do it. The Government is eroding that system and pushing more people into poverty. It’s a choice.
This month (11 April), our basic out-of-work benefit will experience its biggest drop in value in fifty years.
A decade of cuts and freezes mean this benefit has lost value in eight of the last ten years.
Thread 👇 🧵
Idea of the week. How about we refocus jobcentres more on supporting people properly into good work, and less on monitoring compliance with benefit conditions?
Work lifts people out of poverty, but DWP spends the equivalent of 13 million hours of work coach time each year monitoring people rather than supporting them.
We need to reform the current 'work first' approach to get more people into work that lasts.
The mission to end UK destitution is urgent.
It requires us to take moral and fiscal responsibility.
It speaks to who we are as a country.
It is a mission that needs political leadership.
In the UK in 2022 around 3.8 million people experienced destitution. This is unacceptable.
We cannot turn our backs.
It's time for our political leaders to tell us their plan to address destitution.
#DontIgnoreDestitution
A major report from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation found that 3.8 million people, including more than a million children, experienced the most extreme form of poverty last year,
@staceyitv
reports
Really? The basic rate of social security has already been cut to its lowest level in about 40 years. Yet tax as a share of the economy is set to be its highest since the Second World War.
It is 175 days since Rishi Sunak promised to uprate benefits in line with inflation. Thank you to the many organisations and individuals who, with
@jrf_uk
, have called on him to honour his promise. I am hopeful that today he will.
NEW: 🚨 A letter signed by over 100 organisations committed to ending poverty urged Rishi Sunak to honour the promise he made this spring to increase benefits in line with inflation, and to do so now rather than waiting until April.
Read the letter 👇
Over the next week we’ll be introducing you to the five new Trustees which we’re welcoming to our board. First up, internationally acclaimed social entrepreneur and author of Radical Help,
@HilaryCottam
“It is not radical to suggest that social security rates should be enough to live on… That those with power are convinced otherwise is a bleak testament to how normalised inequality and poverty in this country have become”. 👏
Here’s a truth few politicians will say: meagre benefit rates in this country are causing widespread poverty - and it’s time everyone from the long term sick to carers got a vast boost in state support.
My col.
For the second year, the Govt spends weeks threatening millions of people with benefit cuts, before doing the right thing and uprating them.
Maybe next year just commit early to doing the right thing and give people a little peace of mind, rather than cruel uncertainty?
Every spending decision in Westminster has a geographical impact: transport investment; social care reform; UC changes…
It is why Levelling Up is not about specific pots of money, but how we spend mainstream funding. That’s how Govt can make things better, or worse.
For every 1 household facing inheritance tax this year, there are well over 100 households cutting back on food and going hungry.
I know where I would prefer the Government to focus its efforts.
As part of his pledge to announce a series of long-term decisions designed to change Britain, Rishi Sunak is drawing up plans to slash inheritance tax, dubbed “the most hated tax in Britain”
Wealth is unevenly distributed between individuals in Great Britain.
The wealthiest 10% hold around half of all wealth, primarily in the form of private pensions and property
Spending a lot of time at the moment reading applications for the new JRF Director roles, and entries for the Orwell Social Evils Prize. There are a lot of talented and inspiring people out there.
Next week
@jrf_uk
will help Rishi Sunak decide whether tax cuts for top earners are the priority, when we publish new data on the scale of destitution in our country.
Thank you
@GordonBrown
for highlighting the gap what people need for essentials and what they receive through Universal Credit:
“The £120 deemed necessary for essentials by a single person is £35 more than the £86 per week currently available".
#essentialsguarantee
"From north to south a hidden poverty epidemic is spreading across the country. It is fast becoming a national emergency - this is the pandemic that no Minister ever mentions"
When I was a civil servant I read hundreds of honours citations. Often they were about ordinary people doing extraordinary things. Couples who fostered dozens of children; teachers and social workers who had gone the extra million miles…
Congratulations to
@Helen_Barnard
, one of the most expert and passionate voices on UK poverty, on her new role
@TrussellTrust
.
Helen's contribution over many years has been extraordinary. A wonderful colleague and friend to so many
@jrf_uk
.
Poverty is deepening.
Levels of very deep poverty and hardship have been growing for over two decades now.
If you care about the basic dignity of people being able to live decent lives, or about their health and education outcomes, care about this.
❄️ 2 million households have turned off their fridge or freezer to save money
🗓️ Nearly half of these households did this for the first time in the last six months
🍲 2.8 million households hold debt that they had taken out to help pay for food
🧵(1/3)
Can't get over that there's been a *68%* increase *in one year* in the number of people who don't have enough food to *3.7 million* people and it's not anywhere near the biggest news story.
Political parties will spend this year making their case to the British people... But no party will be able to realise their aspirations for Britain without a credible plan to address the deepening hardship faced by millions.
Once again today a Cabinet minister refused to confirm benefits next year would be uprated by inflation (as normal) rather than earnings.
Instead we were assured of the new PM: “Everything he’s done in politics is to seek to protect the vulnerable”.
His record is more mixed…
The art of the possible has shifted dramatically this year - we have a responsibility to build on this.
My early thoughts on the role
@jrf_uk
@theJRHT
can play in the years ahead, as we look to build a new leadership team.
I find it hard to believe a new social settlement in the UK won’t be partly funded by the taxation of wealth, including residential property. It happens in many other countries. It would have many positive effects (including on house prices). And the alternatives are worse.
Government is all about choices. With 1 million children facing destitution and the NHS on its knees, the Government has chosen….
A tax cut which primarily gives money to high and middle income earners.
EXCLUSIVE:
Jeremy Hunt will cut national insurance by 2 per cent in the Spring Budget tomorrow
It will cost £10bn and be worth £450 for the average worker. He will sell it as £900 worth of tax cuts when combined with 2 per cent NI cut in Autumn Statement
As per
@SamCoatesSky
…
Allowing child poverty to rise to record levels is the height of moral and fiscal irresponsibility.
It is the very opposite of a long-term plan for the country.
The annual poverty figures published today show 600,000 more people, half of them children, are living in Absolute poverty, the Government's preferred measure, rising for the 2nd year in a row.
The Government has failed to protect the most vulnerable 🔽 .
Very sad to hear of death of Frank Dobson, the first Secretary of State I had the privilege to work for. The Children (Leaving Care) Act 2000 would not have happened without his leadership.
So pleased to get planning approval this evening for
@theJRHT
to develop 117 new affordable homes in York.
Continuing our founder’s work.
Addressing the housing crisis.
Delivering social good.
Let’s build….