Nathan 🔍 @NathanpmYoung Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

@moemitsumagari

@LordJosh95

@FourthwallHQ

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@thirtyNFT

@vavallalc

@aselsanaa

@lixiuus_

@WelchsFruitSnck

@CharlieBurley_

@Liinowitsch

@morgan_khan

@newegyp2020

@ZaQuaeJ

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@SelangorRoyal

@Hagarchuk

@iamjanvijay

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@moe_davinci_

@dja_0x01

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@Mister_America

@Jassiewww98

@YourDEAFF

@CarsonSuesue1

@claaraamente

@Lhft_Lqa

@hiyorinrr

@ColdAir69

@mikrokosmics

@Real_Altcoin2

@absollnk

Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

god is dead and the most efficient way to pack 17 squares into a square killed him

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

5 months

I don't understand why midjourney isn't like, a normal website. How much is discord paying them?

jack

@jack24dd30

5 months

midjourney v6 is wild

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

18 days

@SenFettermanPA okay now show us the floor of an industrial slaughterhouse

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Should @elonmusk give $ 1billion directly to the poorest people in the world via @GiveDirectly vox populi, vox dei

Yes

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@NathanpmYoung

2 years

i’m dating a eugenicist but I don’t want our children to inherit her awful beliefs. what should I do?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

5 months

@jasonjoyride can you video yourself on a fake date explaining it pretending there is someone with you

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

8 months

what are 33 fun questions which uniquely identify everyone in the world?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

one of the chaddest things singapore does is build more land they need more, so they build more. correct answer.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 months

@neighborrunner @dznyella in fairness, no they probably haven't

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Whales: saved

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

not seeing a lot of tweets with 0 views

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

You can find a list of (I guess) the most up-to-date packings we know of here:

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

I have my issues with Elon Musk, but I would like to let him buy a city-sized area of barren land, give him control over it and see what he does with it. I bet it would be worth 100x its value within 10 years (60%).

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

never underestimate the power of a single determined poaster

Basil☀️🧦🧡 (🇳🇱 arc)

@LinkofSunshine

1 year

it is genuinely hilarious the entire financial system might be saved by a random poster with the username "beowulf" in the blog comments of a B list hedge fund manager who was like "why dont we just mint a trillion dollar coin" which was passed by word of mouth to Krugman

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

One of my favourite long jokes: An infinite number of mathematicians walk into a bar. The first mathematician orders a beer The second orders half a beer. The third orders a quarter of a beer. "I don't serve quarter pints" the bartender replies "Excuse me?" Asks

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

I don't really understand why local businesses are good. The people who make stuff for Amazon are people too. Why should I want to support "local" people?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@hominidan my packing algorithms don't wiggle wiggle

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 days

@CultureCrave my guy is playing both sides

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

11 months

Caroline Lucas

@CarolineLucas

1 year

Nuclear is agonisingly slow ( #SizewellC not ready for at least 13-17 years) & staggeringly expensive ( #HinkleyC costs £33 billion) - meanwhile wind & solar are cheapest forms of electricity & ready to go *right now*. Starmer pushing wrong priorities, at wrong time, at wrong price

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

me reading LessWrong

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

Narrative violation: Mormon fertility rates are falling below replacement.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

@elonmusk you could have play money prediction markets on X. Come on! It has all the right incentives. A play money prediction market on any tweet

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

3 months

This is one of the first AI images that I know really got me. Guess I can't trust interesting photos on the internet without question anymore.

Erik

@e_cdalton

3 months

This was a Large Coke in 1989

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

4 months

Are we doing this? Yes.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@tomhfh god died today and you're laughing?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

20 days

look if you ever get the option of infinite money or infinite gravel, I recommend you take the gravel. Infinite money is very unclear. Is it gonna be a number in your bank account? Is it quickly gonna become valueless? What are the US Government gonna do to the infinite money

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@NathanpmYoung

3 months

@jonathanbfine Pradyu is asking a genuine question and that your first response is defensiveness, rudeness and screencaps, says more about you than it does about his question.

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@NathanpmYoung

2 months

@tedcruz When people tweet deliberately misleading stuff, they damage our ability to talk on this platform.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

8 months

@CarolineLucas This is your victory. Own it.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

Narrative violation: Joe Rogan is the 2nd podcast in the US among women.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

A friend asked how to go to church. Which made me realise how much y'all don't know. Here we go: 1) To go to Church, you just turn up and walk in. Probably at 10:30am on a Sunday, but you can look on the website they made in 2012.

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

" @MrBeast 's altruism is performative" "what would you like him to be performing instead?"

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@NathanpmYoung

7 months

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 month

@ontheninthfloor @AaronGertler Gosh people are so beautiful. The universe looking at itself

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@elonmusk @GiveDirectly "But won't the poor people waste it?" No. Poor people care about using money well. The evidence supports this.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Dear Sir, I am writing out of concern about a nearby proposed development. I am worried that it will alter the historic charac..

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

The biggest challenge of sci fi is that guns are optimal but swords are cool.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

3 months

I'm pretty uncertain whether recycling works. So I think we spend far too much resources on it.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

3 months

Rule of thumb Whenever a group is venerated it suggests they are getting paid in status, not money. "Bless our troops" "teachers do great work" "clap for the NHS" Can anyone think of a group we venerate like this who are paid a rate we'd generally be happy to earn?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

I'm still confused why they didn't rebuild the twin towers just taller. Seems like that would have been the American thing to do

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Is it surprising that google haven't just tried to buy a country? Has any org even made an offer to a small nation to be like "we'll give you all $10k each and you can live here and work here but we make the laws" Anyone ever heard of something like this happening?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 months

The audible version of The Meditations removes this line about stopping homosexuality. Seems infantilising: - He was a Roman emperor. I get that he did bad things. - It makes his virtue more visible if we can see his errors. - Philosophy shouldn't be censored

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

6 months

@rgblong me a gibbon, messing with a tiger: man, this is gonna confuse Rob Long

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 months

@guardian Chairs are too expensive. Rather than making more, we should ban people owning more than one. Do you see how crazy you sound? This argument about any other good would sound insane. Build more housing.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

9 months

Genuine respect to this guy for testing all this new tech for everyone else. I hope he gets rich again from it. If I were wealthy I wouldn't spend it on this, but it's sure as heck better than buying a yacht. Props

Bryan Johnson /dd

@bryan_johnson

9 months

"you almost look normal which is really disturbing"

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

It was bond-villain-level arrogance to allow the author of the Big Short to follow you around while you did major financial crimes.

Janice Min

@janicemin

2 years

Michael Lewis' next book is about Sam Bankman-Fried. Email from CAA confirms he has been embedded with him for last 6 months; note below was first sent to potential buyers for filmed rights. Scoop @TheAnkler

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@MichaelDello big square has the smallest area

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

And it's not just @elonmusk , it's every billionaire and Government who could do this. BUT Elon likes polls and has expressed interest in philanthropy before. @GiveDirectly is: - effective (helping poor people is much cheaper) - transparent (just give them money) - scalable

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Dmitry Medvedev

@MedvedevRussiaE

1 year

The UK’s Foreign Secretary Cleverly has stated that Ukraine “has the legitimate right to … project force beyond its borders to undermine Russia’s ability to project force into Ukraine itself.” According to him, legitimate military targets beyond Ukraine’s border are part of its

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@NathanpmYoung

3 months

@bryancsk flappy bird-ass decision

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

10 months

I've been to ~35 weddings over the last 10 years and only 1 has divorced so far. Seems surprisingly low, right? When do people get divorced? I thought it was like 50% of people?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Christmas is a time of peace and gift giving. @xriskology and I are putting aside our differences to give to the poorest people in the world, via @GiveDirectly . Perhaps you'll join us.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

Seems underrated to find the 3 people you think are cleverest in the world and just read everything they've ever written. Very achievable goal

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 month

Insure your friends. If someone is scared about something (and of rationalist vibes) you can offer insurance. A friend was concerned about test results that I thought would be fine, so I said they could pay me £10 and if they were bad I'd pay £500. They were fine. ht @So8res

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

Humans: *clothes* Animals: fur, you've invented fur

Visakan Veerasamy

@visakanv

2 years

humans are the techbros of the animal kingdom

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

6 months

@lonemapleleaf @moultano they don't know where he is

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@nazlanzaina @westerosies You should tweet the other three images with this image as the forth with like "we should have listened to the warnings" Might do really well

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@elonmusk @GiveDirectly @GiveDirectly just gives poor people money It costs them a bit find recipients and transfer the money, but most goes to extremely poor people. In their Kenya program, 89% of the money went to some of the poorest people in the world.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

5 months

. @ESYudkowsky writing about the death of his brother.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Good piece from Caplan on the bad behaviour in the IQ realist community, how that doesn't change the facts but how it is bad, scary and unacceptable.

🔥Kareem Carr | Statistician 🔥

@kareem_carr

1 year

The community of online IQ defenders have a serious race problem that they need to deal with. Not everyone who defends IQ research online is a racist but a significant proportion of the people liking their tweets probably are.

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@NathanpmYoung

10 months

@MassJumbo

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 months

@hbap1924 If you want to stop this, you should buy the building. Until then, let people build on property they own.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

Hey @MrBeast , you should work with @GiveDirectly . It's literally giving poor people money. You could film the businesses they set up and the work they do on their homes.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

4 months

This is disastrous. The UK Government can't discriminate based on performance. What on earth are we even doing?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 months

marrying to give A while back I read a blog post so utterly savage in its satire that it could be sincere. It was about marrying rich for philanthropic reasons. Turns out it was written by Caroline Ellison

det ermine 🔎

@det_erm

2 months

@RuxandraTeslo Caroline Ellison said it best

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@NathanpmYoung

2 years

It's your boy! I got an Astral Codex Ten grant! 🎉🎉 Thanks to @slatestarcodex & donors for the money and vote of confidence. If you have forecasting questions you want to be written, especially about EA, progress or politics, let me know.

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@NathanpmYoung

7 months

Hey @elonmusk I've mocked up what Community Notes could look like if it showed image cards from prediction markets and regularly updated them. Let's pay for accuracy and tax falsehood.

Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

@elonmusk you could have play money prediction markets on X. Come on! It has all the right incentives. A play money prediction market on any tweet

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

. @patrickc gives four criticism of EA: - makes more sense on the margin than if everyone is - maximisation is dangerous - bring truly impartial is hard/ not necessarily desirable - the more deeply you use quantitative methods the less of all the really valuable things you'll find

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

3 months

@jack24dd30 props for the format choice.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

8 days

When the Australian same sex marriage referendum happened, the Guardian implied this leaflet was "exreme scares". Personally I don't mind LGBT+ education, but these three things did happen, right? Sometimes the slippery slope isn't a fallacy, it's an accurate prediction.

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@NathanpmYoung

5 months

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

I respect @ESYudkowsky for being a poaster. For just writing what he wants and hammering send. Publish a letter in Time, then reply guy to @Aella_Girl . That he wrote erotica under his own name is an inspiration to us all. never compromise even in the face of armageddon

𝖦𝗋𝗂𝗆𝖾𝗌 ⏳

@Grimezsz

1 year

This seems like it should work

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

4 years

@SJimons I think the government should guarantee that people will get staples, so there aren't incentives to stockpile.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

The next few years may be really weird. I think it's possible (25%) that we get an AI capable of running a profitable $1 Bn hedge fund by 2030. An AI that can run a hedge fund can probably do all sorts of other stuff. I think AI is still emotionally underrated. Strap in.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 month

madatory SMBC post

Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 month

I don’t get why people say “update your priors”. Surely priors stay the same, it’s posteriors that get updated ?? I guess you could pick a new base rate? Fundamentally seems important to note that priors are often trapped - we have the sense we have - and we rarely update them?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

6 months

me: so what's the chance that getting an MRI would tell me something useful? nurse practitioner: I can't put a probability on that inner voice: you can tho, you definitely can

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Tuns out @elonmusk has already given some. Props!

GiveDirectly💸

@GiveDirectly

3 years

hey @elonmusk your #dogecoin reached 63 recipients!

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@mackenziescott maybe you could offer to match him?

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

. @MrBeast , I would watch this video

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

4 months

@visakanv One of the mirrors is it took me a long time to notice "not feeling safe". I'm 6'4" who is gonna try and mug me? But women have a different experience. Some friends are aware any time they are outside. Surreal.

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

7 months

note that humanity never reached britain, which explains a lot

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

11 months

someone tried to get me selling AIs trained on Hamilton it was an LMM LLM MLM

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@NathanpmYoung

9 months

guy who makes images of brains made of circuits: "this is gonna be my year"

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

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@NathanpmYoung

11 months

so the president of Harvard wants to admit by merit, but also have a relatively representative student base. Sadly for her, some ethnic groups score so well this is impossible we call this "the principal-asian problem"

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

2 years

@sillygoth @emilybern @SnoopDogg now's your chance to prove him wrong.

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@NathanpmYoung

1 month

@paularambles i should hope they have a scrum master

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

10 months

The bikini is named after the nuclear test site. I would not have guessed causation in that direction.

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@NathanpmYoung

7 months

For a lack of, lets say, $1bn, half the children in poor countries have lead poisoning.

Lee Crawfurd

@leecrawfurd

7 months

“Lead poisoning constitutes a global health crisis that has been 'extraordinarily neglected' by donors and political leaders” Great piece by @JesseCopelyn on the @CGDev Lead Working Group final statement

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Nathan 🔍

@NathanpmYoung

9 months

Communism is ~ as bad as Fascism and it's wild that commies on here get treated so much better than Nazis. Your ideologies both suck. They both never work and millions of people die. Please look at all the times they've been tried and read accounts of people who suffered.

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

@woj_zaremba Sure but electricity isn't agentic. It can be defined by neat rules. Once it is in wires and walls it almost never hurts anyone. So there the analogy fails.

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@NathanpmYoung

1 year

Talked to someone last night who tracked what they were doing for every minute they are awake. They have an app on their lock screen and every time they check their phone they say what they've been doing since they last did so. They have years of data on this.

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@NathanpmYoung

6 months

. @bryan_caplan thinks nature is more important than nurture. But he homeschools his children? what's going on. He answers here: 1) A better childhood

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@NathanpmYoung

5 months

what a lovely day to walk beside this shallow pond in my recently purchased one of a kind Peter Singer greatcoat

Peter Singer

@PeterSinger

5 months

I'm excited to share a unique piece of my personal history: my vintage 1952 Greatcoat, acquired during my time at Oxford in 1969. Not just a garment, but part of my academic journey. Sized for those 5'10" to 6'0", with a chest size of 42 to 44 inches, it features a distinctive