Had I known this I would have drunk a gallon of Negronis last night & stayed in bed today rather than standing in a windswept harbour watching civil servants directing lorries to actual Border Control Posts.
There is no ‘Irish Sea Border’. As we have seen today, the important preparations the Govt and businesses have taken to prepare for the end of the Transition Period are keeping goods flowing freely around the country, including between GB and NI.
Boris Johnson :
“There's no question of there being checks on goods going NI/GB or GB/NI because... we're part of the same customs territory and it's very clear that there should be unfettered access between Northern Ireland and the rest of GB."
Ulster Bank economist Richard Ramsey suggesting it's now a pretty safe assumption that the Protocol has boosted food manufacturing in NI: food & beverage output amongst NI manufacturers has increased by 18.3% since Q1 2021, x2.5 the comparable growth rate amongst UK firms.
After the
#Brexit
vote, we committed to never leave the Irish citizens of the North behind again. I spoke with
@SimonHarrisTD
about how students in Northern Ireland will continue to have access to
#ErasmusPlus
despite the news earlier that the U.K. will no longer participate.
Well done to Oxford & Cambridge on reaching the rowing finals. Once again the UK's other universities have simply not applied themselves to this important national competition.
A consensus across Irish life today that John Hume was a moral giant who, at personal cost, made peace his life’s work. So it’s easy to forget that while doing this work he was subject to a years-long campaign of vilification in the pages of Ireland’s biggest selling broadsheet.
Simon Coveney has told the Seanad that Edwin Poots order to stop the sea border checks is a breach of international law & is more about politics than an effort to find compromise.
Tusk: ‘If the UK offer is unacceptable for Ireland, it will also be unacceptable for the EU. I realise that for some British politicians this may be hard to understand. But such is the logic behind the fact that Ireland is the EU member while the UK is leaving.’
A cameraman colleague has been attempting to use customs processes to get his kit back from GB to NI. Readers, it has not gone smoothly despite the involvement of a major logistics company.
One thing is clear: the Irish Sea border issues were not unforeseen. Civil servants explained the looming difficulties before the ink was dry on the Withdrawal Agreement.
A Brexit story I’d like to read is an insidery account of some of the peculiar decision making at the top of large UK companies eg. How was it that the CEO of JD’s had not appeared to grasp rules of origin until early 2021?
Never let it be said that the sea border issues were ‘unforeseen’. On 21 October 2019 DexEU published an impact assessment of the Withdrawal Agreement. It’s a pretty dry document but it’s all there
In one sentence Sajid Javid refers to Ireland as ‘the tail that wags the dog’ & the need to build goodwill & confidence in Ireland. Just tremendous diplomacy.
Doesn’t appear to have much purchase in the UK yet but a ‘hard’ Art 16 would be generationally ruinous to Anglo-Irish diplomatic relations. From Dublin it would be seen as a unapologetic move to externalise some of the costs of Brexit.
Don’t know if this has been fully grasped at this late stage but in a no deal Northern Ireland retains tariff & quota free access to the EU market (not just Ireland) while the rest of the UK does not.
In a no-confidence letter the former Treasury Minister Jesse Norman has warned the PM that breaching the NI Protocol would be ‘economically v damaging, politically foolhardy & almost certainly illegal.’
M&S says it’s going to do more local sourcing for its Irish food business to
‘mitigate the very substantial headwinds relating to the impact of EU border issues’ (why didn’t they make this decision in November 2020 🤷🏼♂️)
The Northern Ireland Protocol is lawful, the Appeal Court in Belfast has ruled. A group of unionist politicians had challenged the protocol in judicial review proceedings.
On
@BBCr4today
Amber Rudd suggests Jeremy Hunt can sort the Brexit border issue by ‘going to Ireland & talking to them.’ Difficult to see Ireland agreeing to make it a bilateral issue now having expended so much diplomatic energy on Europeanising the border.
RECAP: Nice man Edna Kelly was helping develop a border droneforce but he was forced out by Leo Veradkar who is now under pressure in a vote of no confidence from Sinn Fein President Michael D Higgins (subs, please check)
NI Meat Exporters have joined the Dairy Council & the NI Food & Drink Assoc in raising concerns about unilateral action on the protocol. These groups are v sceptical about the ‘dual regulatory regime’ idea which they fear will mess up exports
Remember last weeks ‘baby food arsenic’ story? Well here’s the Brussels effect: the UK baby food trade body (BSNA) says its members will be manufacturing to the new EU standard.
The EU has launched new legal actions against the UK for alleged breaches of the NI Protocol. The four infringement proceedings concern customs enforcement, excise rules & VAT rules. These are in addition to earlier infringement proceedings.
Ken Clarke: "I don't think any of the English public sadly take any interest in Irish political affairs. 9 in 10 have no idea what the Irish backstop is".
Sounds like a significant overestimate to me.
Ulster Farmers Union on the backstop: 'While there are still some areas where we would like clarification, overall, the document now on the table would secure Northern Ireland's existing agricultural trading relationships.'
Ballymena-based Wrightbus has signed a deal with German Bus operator Regionalverkehr Köln GmbH (RVK) to supply up to 60 Kite Hydroliner single deck buses over the next two years. Significant in that the continental EU market has long been tough for Wrightbus to break into.
HMRC confirms that travellers from GB will need to declare cash of 10,000 euro or more when entering NI from 1 January. Declarations can be made online up to 72 hours in advance.
Ivan Rogers tells the Foreign Affairs Ctte that the PM wasn't too happy when he explained her Brexit Ireland policy consisted of three incompatible promises
Still seeking to confirm, but it looks as if you unpick & loosely restitch trading relationship with your major partner at enormous speed there are some consequences. More as we get it.
Every time I read a story about the Australia trade deal I have to read about bloody Tim Tams. They‘re Penguins. They are just Penguins. A biscuit available in the UK since 1932.
NEW: Defra has confirmed that proper Border Control Posts will need to be constructed at Northern Ireland ports as part of the UK Govt’s unilateral green lane/ red lane plan. The BCPs will be needed to enforce EU agri-food rules for ‘red lane goods’.
Ireland will face potential disruption of medical supplies, customs delays, the loss of fishing rights and a ban on the transport of horses to the UK in the event of a no-deal Brexit, a paper drawn up in Whitehall has warned
UK = England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland
GB = England, Scotland, Wales
The United Kingdom of Great Britain & Northern Ireland has only been a thing since 1927 so it’s understandable that some people haven’t picked up on this.
Just over two weeks until the Stormont election. Can Mary Lou O’Neill become Prime Minister of Ulster? It would make her the first leader to win all four major trophies in a season. Read my insights in a London paper.
The European Commission has approved, under State aid rules, €2.6bn of public subsidy for the Irish National Broadband Plan. The Commission concluded that the scheme's positive effects on competition outweigh potential negative effects brought about by public intervention.
I’ve been working with
@BBCSpotlightNI
for the past few weeks. We’re trying to explain what the practical impacts of the new, Brexit-induced Irish Sea border will be. All being well we broadcast on Tuesday night.
@ChrisGiles_
@marksandspencer
Curious: their island of Ireland MD told the Lords last week that all their sandwiches for sale in Ireland are now being produced by a company in Newry.
The Protocol is leading to an intensification of all island trade as companies try to cut/ substitute GB products? Who knew? (Anybody who looks at the monthly CSO figures, that’s who )
To avoid confusion: Most public money that comes to NI happens as a result of the Barnett formula. Crudely, we get a population based equivalent of what England gets. So the extra £320m today is nothing to do with the DUP deal.
Now into week four of John Lewis not delivering to Northern Ireland. I recall that back in September when making a Spotlight on the Irish Sea border they were bemused that we were even asking the question & thought the changes wouldn’t apply to them as they have no shops in NI.
There has been, so far as I can see, a near total failure by HMRC to make it to clear to broadcasters what they need to do to get their gear across the Irish Sea in a compliant way.
FREE MEDIA TRAINING: If you appear before a NI Affairs Committee Brexit inquiry Lady Hermon will ask you if you’ve read the Good Friday Agreement. You can do this in literally half an hour, allowing you to answer honestly & move on.
Headline writers/ montage producers can have all of these for FREE:
D'Hondt Look Back in Anger
D'Hondt Stop Believing
D'Hondt Stop Me Now
D'Hondt You (Forget About Me)
D'Hondt Tell Me
D'Hondt Fade On Me
D'Hondt Go
Preliminary figures from the
@CSOIreland
suggest Northern Ireland exports to the Republic of Ireland were just shy of 4bn euro in 2021, a year-on-year increase of 65%.
The huge UK interest in the possible restoration of Stormont reflected by both the main news channels deciding to stay with their scheduled programming rather than taking the presser
I understand there was Daera/Defra call with logistics firms this morning where businesses where advised that whatever they were doing yesterday they should continue doing today. A Defra official said Daera ARE continuing to operate checks.
Once again - anybody who believes tech company marketing spiel about frictionless borders has never been through an e-gate at an international airport.
Belfast IT firm
@KainosSoftware
says it’s going to repay all its furlough money. It had furloughed 131 staff (many due to shielding & caring responsibilities). It’s taken the decision to repay as it’s been able to trade strongly through lockdown.
Very much enjoying the new government line which is ‘Guys, we’ve always super clear that the Brexit deal was going to mean checks on food products going GB-NI.’
I guess Irish diplomats must be fairly content with how Brexit has landed, given where it could have ended up. Ireland went all in on the land border status quo & got it, thanks to its Brussels & (laterally) Washington networks.
EasyJet says it will fly (now former) FlyBe staff home for free today & Friday. It’s also offering a ‘rescue fee’ for FlyBe customers until end of May: £65 + hold bag on presentation of original FlyBe booking reference.
Is the Amazon FC in Dublin an all-island thing? Yes, say Amazon: ‘The fulfilment centre will also serve customers in Northern Ireland and it will enable us to provide faster delivery for customers in Northern Ireland seven days a week.’
Ireland's Finance Minister says the central part of their Sovereign Wealth Fund will be called the Future Ireland Fund & aims to have assets of up to 100bn euro in the next decade. Alongside that will be a 14bn euro fund for infrastructure, climate & nature spending.
Forecasting body
@NIESRorg
sticking to its case that NI GVA has slightly outperformed UK average partly as a result of the Protocol with its ‘better trade & investment conditions.’
‘Oh no why are the EU doing this’ commentary gives a curious lack of agency to the UK govt, as if the Withdrawal Agreement & its incorporation into domestic law just somehow happened when nobody was looking.
‘The DUP are our trusted partners in government.’
ONE MAJORITY LATER
‘The DUP are stopping nurses getting a pay rise & better get on with doing a deal at Stormont.’
NI dairy co-op Dale Farm has signed a deal to provide Danish dairy giant Arla with with whey protein concentrate, which will be used as an ingredient in infant formula and consumer health ingredients.
South African-owned Moorcroft Foods has set up a small factory in Ards to make Biltong and Droewors. Support of £100k from InvestNI who says ‘the company is well placed to take advantage of opportunities in the food to go & snacking markets in GB, Republic of Ireland and Europe.’