US
#COVID19
cases:
1st case to 1M - 96 days
1 to 2M- 44 days
2 to 3M- 27 days
3 to 4M - 15 days
4 to 5M - 17 days
5 to 6M - 22 days
6 to 7M - 25 days
7 to 8M - 21 days
8 to 9M - 14 days
9 to 10M- 10 days
10 to 11M- 7 days
11 to 12M- 5 days
12 to 13M- 7 days
13 to 14M - 5 days
"Many have asked whether this week’s change in hospital data reporting will impact our coronavirus dashboard. The answer is no. We do not currently source any data from the CDC, so the reporting on our dashboards will not be affected."
@JohnsHopkins
Our new report, School Ventilation: A Vital Tool to Reduce COVID-19 Spread, recommends 6 priorities for how school administrators and decisionmakers could use flexible funds available under the Biden Administration’s American Rescue Plan to improve healthy air in schools (1/5)
"The principal reason people die from COVID is that they get ARDS and can't be oxygenated. While a ventilator can’t save all people with ARDS, it could be the critical difference between life and death for many pts with ARDS."
@T_Inglesby
For the battle against COVID, the US needs a wartime mobilization
to make mass numbers of ventilators, and to ensure oxygen supply will be sufficient around the country for numbers of patients that will need it. We are not yet on war time footing with ventilators. 1/x
No, more testing doesn’t explain the rise of covid-19 cases in the U.S. a new op/ed by
@JenniferNuzzo
in
@washingtonpost
"Ignoring the data is not a serious strategy: It is a threat to health and the economy."
"If we stop testing contacts, we lose information about what's going on in our community." Director
@T_Inglesby
discusses the change in testing guidance and the importance of contact tracing with
@DrLaPook
@CBSThisMorning
Health experts are questioning the CDC’s controversial new guidance that says people exposed to COVID-19 who don’t show symptoms do not necessarily need to be tested.
@DrLaPook
explains why this is alarming many in the medical community.
Test.
Trace.
Treat
Care.
The World Health Organization has been calling for this.
This is how the world will defeat this
#COVID19
pandemic together.
Now more than ever, the world needs
@WHO
.
#WHA73
#WHOImpact
In a little over 3 months,
#COVID19
has changed the world in so many ways, bringing us closer together and reaffirming the importance of
#HealthForAll
.
This video shows the key moments so far as WHO works with partners worldwide to fight
#coronavirus
and save lives.
The US has surpassed 450,000 cumulative COVID-19 deaths:
1 death to 50k- 55 days
50k to 100k- 33 days
100k to 150k- 63 days
150k to 200k- 55 days
200k to 250k- 58 days
250k to 300k- 25 days
300k to 350k- 20 days
350k to 400k- 16 days
400k to 450k- 16 days
"Dr. Fauci is being attacked not for any vice or mistake but for his virtue, not for any weakness but for his strength, and not for any incompetence but for his competence,”
@AmeshAA
tells
@YahooFinance
"Science will get us out of this pandemic."
Highlight: “Dr. Fauci is being attacked not for any vice or mistake but for his virtue, not for any weakness but for his strength, and not for any incompetence but for his competence,”
@JHSPH_CHS
’ Dr.
@AmeshAA
says. “These attacks on experts are going to haunt us for years.”
The trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic:
1 case to 1 million cases: 90 days
1 million to 5 million: 48 days
5 million to 10 million: 38 days
10 million to 20 million: 44 days
20 million to 30 million: 37 days
30 million to 40 million: 31 days
More:
1 in 500 Americans have died from COVID-19.
Over 660,000 individuals have died in the U.S.
More than 4.6M worldwide.
We have the tools to prevent deaths and severe illness: vaccines, testing, masks + distance + improving ventilation in public spaces.
Yet again we are hearing of White House opposition to expand
#COVID19
testing for fear it will identify more cases. The thing is, you can't hide from the pandemic by not testing. Rising test positivity will provide clear evidence that we are undertesting.
We are thankful for all the frontline health workers, essential workers, public health teams, scientists and to each of you who have made sacrifices this year. Thank you for saving lives, wearing a mask, washing your hands, staying home, and keeping distance.
The US has surpassed 350,000
#COVID19
deaths.
This is the fastest increase of 50k deaths yet.
1st death➡️50k: 55 days
50k➡️100k: 33 days
100k➡️150k: 63 days
150k➡️200k: 55 days
200k➡️250k: 58 days
250k➡️300k: 25 days
300k➡️350k: 20 days
Wear a mask & keep distance to save lives
There's not a single tool to control this pandemic. We need a strategy that includes testing, contact tracing, isolation and quarantine. Wear a mask, wash your hands, stay 6ft apart. Together we can protect our communities.
From the first case reported in the US on January 22, it took 81 days to reach 500,000 cases and 98 total days to reach 1 million cases. From there:
1 million to 2 million cases: 44 days
2 million to 3 million cases: 27 days
3 million to 4 million cases: 14 days
“It’s just an astonishing number,” said
@cmyeaton
“We’re in the middle of this really severe wave and I think as we go through the day to day of this pandemic, it can be easy to lose sight of how massive and deep the tragedy is.”
Highlight: “Dr. Fauci is being attacked not for any vice or mistake but for his virtue, not for any weakness but for his strength, and not for any incompetence but for his competence,”
@JHSPH_CHS
’ Dr.
@AmeshAA
says. “These attacks on experts are going to haunt us for years.”
Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise:
@JHSPH_CHS
and our partners did not make a prediction during our tabletop exercise. For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic.
As the cumulative global incidence of
#COVID19
surpasses 30M, a timeline:
1 case to 1 million cases: 90 days
1 million to 5 million: 48 days
5 million to 10 million: 38 days
10 million to 20 million: 44 days
20 million to 30 million: 37 days
Our update:
“If the epidemic is brought under better control, not only will less people get sick and die, but economic activity will be better, schools will be safer, hospitals less likely in crisis, health care workers less at risk. Goals which we all are likely to share.”
Epidemics that spread out of control in 1 state can spill into others. So all gov's should be encouraging each other to act in the interest of the whole country. We won't need to act like this forever. Vaccine is likely coming and will help change things for the better. 24/x
How We Can Rise to the Coronavirus Challenge?
● Be a role model
● Stay at home
● Steward resources wisely
● Look out for the most vulnerable
● Help with childcare and meals
● Remember that viruses don’t discriminate
from
@MSchochSpana
Many K-12 🏫 in our country do not have good ventilation. Today, we launch a new report, School Ventilation: A Vital Tool to Reduce
#COVID19
Spread, highlighting ways to ensure good indoor air quality: (1/4)
Over 80% of seniors in the US have at least one shot; 50% of adults have at least one shot.
If you are 16 or older, you are now eligible to get a
#COVIDVaccine
.
They are a safe and effective tool to protect yourself, safeguard your community, and control this pandemic.
“This new variant is a major contributor, but a major issue is that people’s behavior has changed,” says Sr Scholar
@ggronvall
. "The reason kids are getting infected is b/c we don’t have those precautions+ parents and households are getting infected.”
“The first generation COVID-19 vaccines are not expected to render all those who receive it impervious to infection (they won’t be like the current measles vaccine), but to modify illness so that the severity and need for hospitalization is lower,” says Dr.
@AmeshAA
In this piece I’m quoted about the likelihood that 1st generation
#COVID
vaccines may not provide sterilizing immunity and won’t be a complete barrier to infection or spread (though they will be extremely valuable in keeping people from being hospitalized)
As COVID-19 surges across the US and Europe, African countries have generally successfully contained their respective COVID-19 epidemics. Their experiences can offer lessons for other countries around the world.
More in our November 6 COVID Update:
It has been an unprecedented year. We thank all the essential workers in the United States and around the world for their heroism & service. From all of us at the Center, we wish each and everyone of you a Happy New Year, & a 2021 full of health + happiness.
"To end this pandemic, we need to stop asking about waves. We need to accept that there is nothing inevitable about it. The rise and fall in COVID-19 cases is largely under our direct control," says
@JenniferNuzzo
in a new
@BostonGlobe
op-ed.
"The rise of COVID will only stop when individuals and leaders take actions together to slow it down."
Wear a mask, stay 6ft apart, avoid large gatherings, govts provide resources to support testing, tracing and quarantining.
US now has daily average of 71,000 cases, all time high for the pandemic. And trends are pointing higher. Nearly 1 in 6 new daily diagnosed cases in the world is in the US, even though we have only 1/24th of the global population. 1/x
With the election behind us, it’s time for the US to summon its best, unified effort to contain COVID. So many have been at that since the start, w/ heroism and sacrifice. But the pandemic is now taking full advantage of confusion, anti-science, misinformation, fatigue. 1/x
The US recorded 12M total cases on Nov 21. From the 1st case on Jan 22 it took 96 days to reach 1M cases.
From there:
1➡️2M-44 days
2➡️3M-27 days
3➡️4M-15 days
4➡️5M-17 days
5➡️6M-22 days
6➡️7M-25 days
7➡️8M-21 days
8➡️9M-14 days
9➡️10M-10 days
10➡️11M-7 days
11➡️12M-5 days
Yesterday the world surpassed 80M known
#covid19
cases.
From the first reported case, it took 90 days to reach 1M.
From there:
1 case to 10M- 177 days
10M➡️20M- 44 days
20M➡️30M- 37 days
30M➡️40M- 31 days
40M➡️50M- 21 days
50M➡️60M- 17 days
60M➡️70M- 17 days
70M➡️80M- 16 days
US Election Day is Nov 3.
Here are some tips to stay healthy & safe as you vote:
To reduce risk of COVID-19 exposure & avoid potentially large crowds, mail-in voting is the safest option, if available in your state.
The
@AP
reports that 49 public health officials have resigned or been fired amid
#COVID19
“That’s terrible for the national response because what we need for getting through this, first of all, is the truth,” says
@T_Inglesby
It took 90 days to reach 1 million
#COVID19
cases globally.
From there:
1 to 10 million- 177 days
10 to 20 million- 44 days
20 to 30 million- 37 days
30 to 40 million- 31 days
40 to 50 million- 21 days
50 to 60 million- 17 days
60 to 70 million- 17 days
"For the first time in our history, we have an opportunity not just to refill our stockpiles but also to transform our capabilities" writes
@EricLander46
As bad as covid-19 has been, a future pandemic could be even worse — unless we act now
Have you registered for the
#Event201
virtual pandemic exercise yet? See the story of
#Event201
play out in real-time and answer tough questions that could arise in a severe pandemic. Register today and be entered to win one of our Event201 giant microbes!
The US represents <5% of the world's population, but >20%
#COVID19
deaths. It didn't have to be this way. Other countries used their resources to keep cases and deaths from accelerating. The US had these resources and more, but did not make use of them.
Vitamin D is an important immunomodulator; low levels could be a risk factor for SAR-CoV-2. Dr. Javier Mariani (
@ElCruceHospital
) et al. assessed the association between Vit D deficiency +
#COVID19
burden across 46 countries. Read on for their findings:
The report recommends below priorities (2/5):
A: Bring in as much outdoor air as the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system will safely allow and upgrade filtration.
B: Purchase HEPA air filtration units to be placed in classrooms and common occupied spaces.
Wearing masks in public should be promoted as a “new normal” until the risk of COVID-19 infection is extremely low. This new policy guide released by
@ResolveTSL
gives communities evidence & best practices to achieve widespread use of masks.
A new 🧵 from Dr. Inglesby as we remember the 200,000 lives lost in the US. “Our work now is to take all we've learned and make sure we apply it to the pandemic work ahead.”
We're about to pass the deeply tragic milestone of 200,000 deaths from COVID in the US. What have we learned about COVID and our response to it over the last 7 months? So much. Here is a start: 1/x
We've developed guidance for governments, organizers, and individuals about what they can do to reduce the risk of
#COVID19
infection during
#protests
against racial injustice. To learn more, visit:
There's still time for schools to purchase or build HEPA air filtration units to be placed in classrooms and commonly occupied spaces to reduce the spread of COVID-19.
"This is our second chance. We won’t get a third. If we don’t get the growth of this pandemic under control now, in a few months, when the weather turns cold and forces people to spend more time indoors, we could face a disaster that dwarfs the situation today."
"Experts
@WHO
regularly put themselves in harms way to deal with epidemics, disasters and chaos in the world." a new thread from Dir
@T_Inglesby
on the importance of
@WHO
On July 8, the global cumulative
#COVID19
mortality surpassed 4 million deaths. We have to work together to control the pandemic. Masks, distance, ventilation & vaccines.
1 death to 1 million: 251 days
1 to 2 million: 114 days
2 to 3 million: 89 days
3 to 4 million: 89 days
@WHO
The WHO reported 150 million cumulative COVID-19 cases today.
1 case to 25 million- 240 days
25 to 50 million- 69 days
50 to 75 million- 41 days
75 to 100 million- 40 days
100 to 125 million- 57 days
125 to 150 million- 35 days
Global cooperation is needed to end a pandemic.
Priorities continued (3/5):
C: Use only proven technologies: appropriate ventilation, HEPA filtration, or ultraviolet germicidal irradiation.
D: Stop enhanced cleaning, disinfecting, “deep clean” days, and any other expensive and disruptive cleaning.
Oct 6:
@JohnsHopkins
&
@UW
bring together expert speakers for "Preserving the Scientific Integrity of Getting to COVID-19 Vaccines: From Clinical Trials to Public Allocation"
@T_Inglesby
& impt line up incl Drs. Fauci, Marks,
@NIHDirector
, Slaoui.
Reg:
Today the
@CDC
reported 10.04 million total cases and 237,731 deaths in the US. A cumulative incidence of 10 million known cases corresponds to approximately 3% of the entire US population.
More:
Total US
#COVID
cases
1 million to 2 M- 44 days
2 million to 3 M- 27 days
3 million to 4 M- 15 days
4 million to 5 M - 17 days
5 million to 6 M - 22 days
6 million to 7 M - 25 days
7 million to 8 M - 21 days
8 million to 9 M - 14 days
9 million to 10M - 10 days
Not going away.
Priorities concluded (4/5):
E: Install mechanical ventilation systems where none exist and upgrade those that do not meet current standards.
F: Convene a federal task force dedicated to school air quality.
As challenging as it is to interrupt the “most popular program” for obtaining free coronavirus tests in the United States, those looking to access free test kits still have other alternatives, says our director,
@T_Inglesby
.
Today we release a new report, Staying Ahead of the Variants: Policy Recommendations to Identify and Manage Current and Future Variants of Concern. Read it here: (1/5)
"Increasing positivity can be a sign that disease incidence is increasing. If the number of cases reported per day is increasing AND positivity is increasing, it tells us that infections are likely increasing faster than number of tests being performed."
A long thread about test positivity: Tracking positivity is important. Unlike number of tests, positivity is linked to the number of infections out there. It can help give us a sense of whether a state or country is doing enough testing for the size of its epidemic.
“It is clear that
#COVID19
is here, and will be here for some time,” says Senior Scholar Eric Toner.
“Some degrees of caution is wise if one is at elevated risk and in a crowded place. Doing things like wearing a mask still make a lot of sense.”
"The U.S.’s goals should echo the science-based, layered approaches of countries such as S. Korea & Germany. Leaders in public health note it is a false choice to either do nothing to prevent infections or shut everything down"
@ggronvall
@rachelmwest
300,000 people have died in the US from
#COVID19
.
It took 46 days to reach 25k deaths.
Then:
25➡️50k-9days
50➡️75k-13days
75➡️100k-20days
100➡️125k-31days
125➡️150k-32days
150➡️175k-24days
175➡️200k- 31days
200➡️225k- 34days
225➡️250k-24days
250➡️275k-14days
275➡️300k-11days
“Credible, real-time data are essential to any public health response,” said
@cmyeaton
“Implementing these indicators will not only give individuals the information they need to make decisions, but will improve the state and national response to COVID-19.”
All states should update their
#COVID19
data dashboards to meet basic minimum standards. We just released recommendations on the key indicators every state and county should be tracking.
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown the national and international consequences that deadly infectious disease epidemics can cause. The profound effects of this pandemic must galvanize the U.S. government to do everything in its power to prevent this from happening again.
New🧵 “The president said the US outbreak is largely in sunbelt now... true things are worst in sunbelt. But ~80% of states have had worsening outbreaks over last 2 weeks. Major problems not confined to the south. Need to be very clear about how serious the national situation is”
The president spoke this afternoon about the US response to the coronavirus pandemic. There were a number of welcome public health-grounded messages. But there are places where he needed to go further, or to clarify or ask more from governors.1/x
“It’s important to recognize that 600,000 people lost their lives in the last 16 months, and all of their families and communities are grappling with that grief,” Sr. Scholar
@cmyeaton
tells
@nytimes
#HealthSecurity
Call for Papers, brought to you by
@JHSPH_CHS
+
@open_phil
:
We're looking for original research articles, case studies, and commentaries about Global Catastrophic Biological Risks (GCBRs).
Deadline: October 3, 2022
No new symptoms have been reported with the emergence of BA.2.12.1, says Senior Scholar
@AmeshAA
.
But, "It’s important to remember BA.2.12.1 is still part of the omicron lineage of
#COVID19
.”
This new report [on K-12 schools] provides guidance on key issues such as virus prevention strategies, cost, staffing, and equity — as well as the educational risks of providing no in-person instruction.
I've had the honor of serving on a
@theNASEM
committee on K-12 reopening; our report is now out. This is a very complex set of decisions, and it's critical that we get it right. We provide recommendations we hope will help communities navigate this process
Important, new update to
@CDCgov
guidance on masking in America: more than half the country – 70% of Americans – now live in areas where CDC no longer recommends universal masking. 1/
"Countywide mask mandates appear to have contributed to the mitigation of COVID-19 transmission in mandated counties," new from
@CDCgov
Reduce the spread: wear a mask + wash your hands + physical distance + stay home when sick
“It certainly seems like there is a lot of
#COVID19
going around + I think that people should be cautious," says Senior Scholar
@eric_toner
.
"I would not go to a meeting in Washington D.C. right now without wearing a mask.”
Health-related mis and disinformation can dangerously undermine public health crisis responses. Today, we release a report in which we call for a national strategy to address this issue. (1/6)
“There’s a lot more misinformation out there than we’re used to. All of that detracts from our ability to come up with constructive solutions,” says Dr.
@AmeshAA
a senior scholar at the Center for Health Security.
Experts like
@SKirkell
divide misinformation into four different categories:
• False cures
• Conspiracies
• Scapegoating
• Spreading misinformation about the
#coronavirus
We need a permanent federal institution in the form of a new agency similar to the National Weather Service to modernize & expand outbreak science to support better decision making during public health crises. More from
@cmyeaton
@dylanbgeorge
et al:
We expect the government to warn us when a hurricane is coming. And you should expect the government to warn you if you’ve been exposed to an infectious disease that might kill you or kill your family member.
Today we’ve launched a new resource, The COVID-19 Testing Toolkit, a one-stop shop for organizations seeking to engage in COVID-19 testing. Explore the website: (1/4)
@MSchochSpana
A workplace culture that prioritizes workers' health can reduce the spread of
#COVID19
. Managers, advocate for reasonable paid sick leave and viable remote working options. Coworkers, don't shame others for missing work when sick. We can change a workplace culture, together.
The US has reached 6M reported cases.
From the first case reported in the US on Jan 22, it took 98 days to reach 1M cases.
From there:
1M to 2M: 44 days
2M to 3M: 27 days
3M to 4M 14 days
4M to 5M: 18 days
5M to 6M: 21 days
More in our COVID update:
The COVID-19 pandemic has had tragic and disproportionate adverse effects on Black, Indigenous, and People of Color communities across the US. The number of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths related to this disease is significantly higher in these groups.
New data was released by the CDC last week showing that vaccinated people infected with the delta variant carry viral loads similar to those of people who are unvaccinated. Sr Scholar
@AmeshAA
answers questions in a newly updated
@JohnsHopkinsSPH
Q+A: .
As the new school year begins across the U.S., improving indoor ventilation can help reduce COVID-19 transmission alongside existing vaccination, testing, + indoor masking strategies. Here are some tips to improve indoor air quality in schools:
(1/6)
A group of sr scientists, public health experts, and policy researchers —including three
@JHSPH_CHS
faculty— has published a new commentary in
@ScienceMagazine
.
🧵(1/4)
Improving ventilation has not received sufficient attention or resources in the dialogue about measures for mitigating risk of
#COVID19
transmission in K-12 school settings.
Please join us Tuesday 2/23 for a webinar exploring this topic.
Register:
In our report, we've clarified that these risk assessments are primarily oriented around customers, attendees & the public interacting in a setting. Risk to employees will likely be greater in many of these settings. Special precautions should be taken to protect employees.
"Leaders, please communicate these things consistently, clearly: the virus hasn't changed. It is still quite transmissible, can cause serious illness or lethal disease. It won't be in our rear view mirror soon. It will be with us until we have a vaccine." new from
@T_Inglesby
The US has reached a terrible milestone of 100,000 lives lost to COVID19. It’s important to stop to think about how this disease has hurt the country, and to focus on what needs to happen to lessen the impact and spread of this epidemic in the time ahead.1/x
In 20 states, you can still vote early today. If you are able, go to the polls today to avoid the crowds.
When voting in-person:
😷Wear your mask
➡️Stay 6ft from others
👋Don’t shake hands
🤭Cover your cough
🧼Wash your hands afterwards
🏫Minimize your time indoors
🗳️ Vote
If you haven't been vaccinated yet, continue using the tools we know work to prevent
#COVID19
infections: wear masks, keep distance, improve ventilation (open windows or add filtration), wash your hands, and stay home if you are feeling sick.
“States need to press full steam ahead on expanding Dx testing and contact tracing efforts. Those strategies have been backbone of successful response in other parts of the world. Building capacity for contact tracing is not moving fast enough in many places in the country.” 🧵⬇️
Course corrections in the US response to COVID are seriously needed. The national and state rising numbers unfortunately speak for themselves. National leaders, state and local leaders, and the public all important roles in helping us change directions. 1/x
"As the pandemic accelerates to new levels of transmission every day, we urgently need a federal standard to guide testing and inform public health responses," write
@biblauer
&
@JenniferNuzzo
for
@nytopinion
For 20 Years
@WHOGOARN
has brought public health experts around the world together to fight outbreaks and save lives. We are proud to be a GOARN partner and support the vital work they do in outbreak response and research across the world, now more than ever.
#goarn2020
The B.1.1.7 variant is more transmissible and could tip the balance toward rising coronavirus cases. “The same precautions that worked before—good ventilation, masking, and social distancing—still work against B.1.1.7.," says Senior Scholar
@JenniferNuzzo
.