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GamedayMath

28 days

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GamedayMath

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

4 months

This is legit insane. Per current odds, the Thunder have an 11.1% chance to win it all which makes this ticket worth roughly $190,500. He sold it for $80,960.

br_betting

@br_betting

4 months

🚨 THE $1.7 MILLION THUNDER BETTOR HAS CASHED OUT 🚨 (w/ @Ascended85 @DKSportsbook )

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

14 days

@bet365_us We've adjusted the odds on this statement to -5000 that this had nothing to do with "confusion"

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@awfulannouncing @adamlevitan ...in case anyone needs a lesson in correlation vs. causation

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 month

@br_betting $499.50? Maybe if the year was like 1993 and are staying downtown. Easy hit on the over.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

5 days

@BookitWithTrent I don't like it man. Only a 37.48% chance it hits. As always, we are rooting for you, bro. Jets ML: -257, 72% to win App State ML: -253.3, 71.7% to win Astros ML: -264.7, 72.6% to win Need odds of +167 for +EV ROI: -25.04%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Heat to Win: +237.2, 29.7% to win Panthers to Win: +207.7, 32.5% to win Fair Value Payout: $73,729 Value Left on Table: $3,299

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

15 days

@gavinmchughh The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Cowboys ML: -281.4, 73.8% to win Texans ML: -268.9, 72.9% to win Odds both win: 53.8% Need odds of -116 for +EV ROI: -2.46%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @FDSportsbook This one is especially crazy! This is a terrible cash out. Cash out Implied Odds: +6561 No-Vig Odds: +1251 Fair Value Payout: $16,565 Value Left on Table: $13,153

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@br_betting And they lost their first game in the CFP to Oregon by 39, which is about the type of fate they would have faced this year as well.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@stoolpresidente Here is the no-vig math on this being a long-term loser.. Bruins ML: -231.5, 69.8% to win Cavs ML: -206.4, 67.4% to win Grizz ML: -167.5, 62.6% to win Bucks ML: -541.8, 84.4% to win Kings ML: +116.9, 46.1% to win Odds all 5 to win: 11.46% Need odds of +773 for +EV ROI: -14.06%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@DKSportsbook @CMacMcIntosh This is not a very good payout offer. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... SD Padres: +3400, 2.9% to win CIN Bengals: +1250, 7.4% to win Payout Suggested Odds: +110361 No-Vig Odds: +46498 Fair Value Payout: $2,167 Value Left on Table: $1,252

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting They can have our W-2G

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@stoolpresidente Well, there are actually four ways... The Celtics lose Game 2, or Game 3, or Game 4, or Game 5.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@br_betting @FDSportsbook This actually may be one of the worst cash outs we've ever seen. The 49ers are +200 (no-vig) to win the Super Bowl, 33.3% to win. Would you bet $13,071 to win $62,120? This converts to +375.3 odds. Of course. Fair Value Payout: $20,686 Value Left on Table w/ Payout: $7,615

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting Assuming double-zero roulette, the odds of getting a number and it repeating eight times is 1 in 4,347,792,138,496. That's 4.347 TRILLION! Doesn't seem real.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

4 months

There are people out there who would pay way more than $80,960 for this ticket. He wouldn't get the $190k obviously, but he could have easily gotten six figures.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @FDSportsbook The fair value line is at -301. So, no. Wouldn't call that a good bet at all.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@jj_redick @DKSportsbook The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Kansas: -169.5, 62.89% to win Alabama: -351.6, 77.86% to win Missouri: -244.9, 71.01% to win All 3 win: 34.77% Need odds of +187.6 or better. Expected Value: -3.55% Conclusion: Don't bet this.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @DKSportsbook Considering that this number can be found at +220 or higher at a few places, I’d say this was far from a smart bet.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BetOnMadison Driving + Tweeting picks = 🧑🏻‍🦽

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Our Megalodon No-Vig math... Maple Leafs ML: -159.6, 61.5% to win Lakers ML: -146, 59.3% to win Odds both win: 36.47% Need odds of +174 for +EV ROI: -3.36% Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 month

@br_betting -1.69% hold for the house on this one.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @FDSportsbook This is like losing the Powerball and being really mad 😂 Hope a broken hand is worth ten cents

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@BookitWithTrent It's a better bet than Bronny being ROY tbh.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@NBCSportsBet @Marco_Parlay @DKSportsbook Don't cash out! The no-vig on the Eagles +10 is -318. A cashout of $1,123,599 implies -226.9 odds. No-Vig Odds: -318 Thus, the Fair Value Payout is $1,231,860 Value Left on Table w/ Payout: $108,261!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@gavinmchughh The math: Lions ML: -403.2, 80.1% to win Saints +4.5: -160, 61.5% to win Steelers +7.5: -161, 61.7% to win Falcons ML: -126.9, 55.9% to win Eagles ML: -185.3, 64.9% to win 49ers ML: -166.8, 62.5% to win Odds all 6 to win: 6.89% Need odds of +1351 for +EV ROI: -24.19% Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

6 months

@BookitWithTrent The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Lakers ML: -221.9, 68.9% to win Thunder ML: +108.2, 48% to win Dodgers ML: -155.9, 60.9% to win Blue Jays ML: -108.1, 51.9% to win Duke ML: -270, 73% to win Odds all 5 to win: 7.63% Need odds of +1210 for +EV Good luck and Happy Easter

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting From a sheer math perspective, Heat no-vig odds: +647.9, 14% to win Eagles no-vig odds: +805.5, 11% to win. So, the Heat have a much better chance than the Eagles, in comparison.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @CaesarsSports Money market accounts are paying around 5% right now which means the bettor could have made a risk-free bet into that and netted almost the same amount ($250).

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@gavinmchughh The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Mets ML: -148.6, 59.8% to win Phillies ML: -153.5, 60.6% to win Reds ML: -104.2, 51% to win Royals ML: -225.6, 69.3% to win Odds all 4 to win: 12.81% Need odds of +681 for +EV Good luck, Gavin!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @FDSportsbook There is currently about a 2.2% chance of this parlay hitting. A $1,411 cash out on a $108,675 ticket implies a 1.3% chance of it hitting. In other words, the cash out price is absurd. Never take the cash out option!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

@br_betting @MellyMelligan @DKSportsbook Best guess: Cardinals The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... 49ers ML: -411.3, 80.4% to win Dolphins ML: -828.9, 89.2% to win Rams ML: -284.5, 74% to win Bills ML: -902.6, 90% to win Odds all 4 to win: 47.76% Need odds of +109 for +EV ROI: -10.7%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

13 days

@BookitWithTrent Full fade math... A's ML: +206, 32.7% to win Nationals ML: +155.5, 39.1% to win Angels ML: +189.9, 34.5% to win Padres ML: +102.8, 49.3% to win Cubs ML: +145.4, 40.7% to win Odds full fade hits: 0.89% Need odds of +11198 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

28 days

@BookitWithTrent About the same odds of hitting as placing a chip on 2 numbers of a roulette wheel. Reds ML: -132, 56.9% to win Guardians ML: -149.1, 59.9% to win Yankees ML: -223.2, 69.1% to win Astros ML: +129.8, 43.5% to win Dodgers ML: -179.8, 64.3% to win Odds all 5 to win: 6.59% Good luck

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@BookitWithTrent Good luck! The math... Lightning ML: -120.2, 54.6% to win Devils ML: -126.9, 55.9% to win Avalanche ML: -172.6, 63.3% to win Thunder ML: -208.4, 67.6% to win Bucks ML: -317.5, 76% to win Cowboys ML: -379.1, 79.1% to win Odds all 6 to win: 7.85% Need odds of +1174 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@vegastbone @stoolpresidente @PENNEntertain $20 on an MLB money line! That’s next level weak sauce

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@gavinmchughh The math with No-Vig... Chiefs ML: -360.8, 78.3% to win Dolphins ML: -332.2, 76.9% to win Titans ML: -155.9, 60.9% to win 49ers ML: -578.8, 85.3% to win Bills ML: -122.2, 55% to win Jags ML: +166.2, 37.6% to win Odds all 6 to win: 6.47% Need odds of +1446 for +EV Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @KeonLester_ @DKSportsbook At +60000!?! This is a great bet! Fair value on the Reds is around +14000 or so.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Not loving this one, Trent. The breakdown... BOS Celtics -9: -108, 51.9% to win VEG Golden Knights ML: -111.1, 52.6% to win HOU Astros -1.5: -113, 53.1% to win TEX Rangers -1.5: -106, 51.5% to win Odds all 4 to win: 7.47% Need odds of +1240 for +EV ROI: -17.88% 😬

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @FDSportsbook The answer is, again, no. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... FLA Panthers Cup: +178.6, 35.9% to win MIA Heat Champ: +286.1, 25.9% to win Fair Value Payout: $10,105 Value Left on Table: $3,564

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@BookitWithTrent Oh boy. Good luck with the 🐳 The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Clemson ML: -136.4, 57.7% to win Florida ML: -146.1, 59.4% to win Odds both hit: 34.27% Need odds of +192 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Here is some live math for you Trent... Bills ML: +112.7, 47% to win Dolphins ML: -623.4, 86.2% to win Lions ML: -399.8, 80% to win Falcons ML: -126.9, 55.9% to win Eagles ML: -185.3, 64.9% to win Cowboys ML: +165.8, 37.6% to win Odds all 6 to win: 4.42% ROI: -51.37% Not good

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Not loving this one, Trent. The math with our no-vig... BAL ML: -404.5, 80.2% to win MIN ML: -100.5, 50.1% to win ATL ML: -170, 63% to win CHI ML: -114.2, 53.3% to win LAC ML: -151.7, 60.3% to win DAL ML: -155.4, 60.8% to win Odds all 6 to win: 4.95% ROI: -40.39% Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Nope. We only like math. Near impossible to find value on six different games at one sportsbook. Here's one at 3-teamer at Wynn with some + value (maybe call it the Thriving Three): NE +3.5 CLE +1.5 LVR: +3.5

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

5 days

@BookitWithTrent Love the confidence! 🔪🥜

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@BookitWithTrent Holiday math... Falcons ML: -144.1, 59% to win Bears ML: -177.9, 64% to win Cowboys ML: +106.8, 48.4% to win Broncos ML: -306.8, 75.4% to win Chiefs ML: -455.1, 82% to win 49ers ML: -229.6, 69.7% to win Odds all 6 to win: 7.88% Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

28 days

@br_betting @kayvonbanks25 If you are over the age of five and can't finish that with like $10 on the line, then it would be pretty pathetic.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @scottiesniffen @FDSportsbook Cashing out is the equivalent to taking Bane - Other as a straight bet for +1124. That is so -EV that it’s not even worth calculating. Avoid Cash Outs!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

@BookitWithTrent Here we go. GL. Vikings ML: -102, 50.5% to win Jags ML: -126.4, 55.8% to win Chiefs ML: -280, 73.7% to win Falcons ML: -124.3, 55.4% to win Chargers ML: -405.6, 80.2% to win Lions ML: -328.7, 76.7% to win Odds all 6 to win: 7.08% Need odds of +1313 for +EV ROI: -22.15%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@BookitWithTrent The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Texans ML: +110.4, 47.5% to win Titans ML: -172.2, 63.3% to win Chiefs ML: -394.4, 79.8% to win Broncos ML: -114.4, 53.4% to win Eagles ML: -141.1, 58.5% to win Ravens ML: -153.3, 60.5% to win There is 4.53% chance this hits. Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Good luck. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Angels ML: -119.1, 54.4% to win Dodgers ML: +100.6, 49.9% to win Maple Leafs ML: -129.9, 56.5% to win Suns ML: -124.6, 55.5% to win Odds all 4 to win: 8.51% Need odds of +1075 for +EV ROI: -10.62%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @MattyBetss I beg of you…don’t follow this.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@gavinmchughh Likely the Mets. Good luck to you! The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Yankees ML: -146.6, 59.4% to win Braves ML: -220.5, 68.8% to win Twins ML: -287.4, 74.2% to win Mets ML: -123.8, 55.3% to win Odds all 4 to win: 16.77% Need odds of +496 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

@br_betting @DKSportsbook 😬 We'd avoid this one at +333 The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Ohio St ML: -179.9, 64.3% to win Cincinnati ML: -152.6, 60.4% to win Ohio U ML: -605.5, 85.8% to win Browns ML: -156.6, 61% to win Odds all 4 to win: 20.33% Need odds of +392 for +EV ROI: -11.99%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @DKSportsbook Absolutely not! Why? See the tweet below. Also, the number is +2400 at FanDuel so even better!

Kush Martin

@kushmartin2

1 year

@br_betting @DKSportsbook This was the move. There’s no $3000 risk, only potentially a better reward, or same payout that he just took anyway…

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

@br_betting @MellyMelligan @DKSportsbook Best chance choke is Cleveland. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Bills ML: -332.9, 76.9% to win Seahawks ML: -382.2, 79.3% to win Browns ML: -169.3, 62.9% to win Chiefs ML: -235.2, 70.2% to win Odds all 4 to win: 26.93% Need odds of +271 for +EV ROI: -7.37%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 month

@MattyBetss Not sure I'd call that free bands The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Burns Round 1: +1771.2, 5.3% to win Reyes Round 1: +2499.1, 3.8% to win Odds both hit: 0.2% Need odds of +49552 for +EV ROI: -19.54%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

4 months

@KC_Crypto_J You are an economist. I'm a social media manager. Who should be explaining to who about how to take something worth $190k and selling it for more than $80k?

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

8 months

@BookitWithTrent This hits in ~1 in 12 tries The math with our No-Vig... Jets ML: -177.2, 63.9% to win Nuggets ML: +115.1, 46.5% to win Suns ML: -155.1, 60.8% to win Duquesne ML: -184.6, 64.9% to win New Mexico ML: -227.2, 69.4% to win Odds all 5 to win: 8.14% Need odds of +1129 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @D_TWiiCE @FDSportsbook Shocker! Another horrible payout offer. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... BUF/NYJ u48.5: -141, 58.5% to win No-Vig Odds: -141 Fair Value Payout: $9,584 Value Left on Table w/ Payout: $2,568

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@FDSportsbook Has the person who created these odds ever played a sports video game? None of these make the top five

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@plenkeit2 @stoolpresidente Good catch. We mistakenly compared to +650. It's -2.6% ROI at +750

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent @Krabs_Bets Might hit. I'm rooting for you. But basically, if you place this bet 1,000 times, then you'll lose your bankroll 50 times over.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent This is what we got with the math today. Good luck! LA Dodgers -1.5: -143, 58.8% to win ATL Braves -1.5: -137, 57.8% to win HOU Astros ML: -103, 50.7% to win SEA Mariners ML: -129.3, 56.4% to win Odds all 4 to win: 9.72% Need odds of +929 for +EV ROI: -12.53%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@BookitWithTrent The math with no-vig odds. LV/EDM o7: +117, 46.08% to win STL/ANA u6.5: +105, 48.78% to win Pelicans +4.5: +102, 49.5% to win Suns ML: -127.7, 56.08% to win Odds all 4 to win: 6.24% Need odds of +1503 for +EV EV: -0.43% ROI: -6.4% Conclusion: Avoid this play.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

The proportion of people who would cash out vs. hold is really something to behold. This offer is ~37% less than what this ticket is worth. There is simply no justifying a cash out (almost) ever.

br_betting

@br_betting

9 months

Just a 49ers Super Bowl away from cashing this $62K parlay 😳 Niners are +220 win it all. Cash out at $13K. What's the move? 💬 (IG: cdubw04 @FDSportsbook )

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@stoolpresidente @BSSportsbook Is there value? Nostradamus No-Vig... Duke: -155.2, 60.82% to win Texas: -209.7, 67.16% to win Alabama: -369, 78.68% to win UCLA : -292.7, 74.54% to win All 4 win: 23.95% Need odds of +317.5 or better. Expected Value: -2.3% Conclusion: Not a good bet.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@TylerMacKillop @JeffreyBenson12 Narrator: This is why the sportsbooks make a lot of money, kids.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@BookitWithTrent I've seen worse. Good luck! The math - Royals ML: -158.4, 61.3% to win D-Backs ML: -146.6, 59.4% to win Astros ML: +118.8, 45.7% to win Red Sox ML: -112.6, 53% to win Brewers ML: -109.9, 52.4% to win Odds all 5 to win: 4.62% Need odds of +2064 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@FDSportsbook Is there value? Nostradamus No-Vig... Duke: -155.2, 60.82% to win Texas: -209.7, 67.16% to win Alabama: -369, 78.68% to win Houston: -219.5, 68.34% to win All 4 win: 21.96% Need odds of +355 or better. Expected Value: -0.74% Conclusion: Not a great bet.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

@BookitWithTrent Happy Halloween! Leafs ML👻: -141.5, 58.6% to win Canucks ML🎃: -136.7, 57.8% to win Toledo ML👻: -560.4, 84.9% to win NIU ML🎃: -213.5, 68.1% to win Knicks ML👻: -124.7, 55.5% to win Suns ML🎃: -245.9, 71.1% to win Odds all 6 to win: 7.73% Need+1194 for +EV ROI: -22.72%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@gavinmchughh Good luck! Our No-Vig math... Bengals ML: -313.4, 75.8% to win Cowboys ML: -679.2, 87.2% to win Eagles ML: -202.5, 66.9% to win Seahawks ML: -136.3, 57.7% to win Chargers ML: -170.4, 63% to win Bills ML: -144.3, 59.1% to win Odds all 6 to win: 9.5% Need odds of +953 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

14 days

Shouldn't be legal.

Matt Williams

@MattWi77iams

14 days

So… Bet365 is just changing odds after they get caught in a poor position following an injury? That’s fucked up… “Incorrect odds” 😂 These odds were out wayyyy before the injury occurred.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@stoolpresidente ROI: -8.04% The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... BAL Orioles -1.5: +136, 42.4% to win LA Dodgers ML: -139.7, 58.3% to win Odds both win: 24.72% Need odds of +305 for +EV

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@stoolpresidente Here's our math using Nostradamus No-Vig... KSU +2.5: +106, 48.54% to win Marquette -2.5: -111, 52.61% to win MSU -3.5: -106, 51.46% to win FDU +15.5: +103, 49.26% to win Miami +1.5: +104, 49.02% to win Odds for all 5 to win: 3.17% Need odds of +3051 for +EV EV: -0.4% Better

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@br_betting @FDSportsbook Here's a New Year's never cash out... The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig: Alabama ML: +127.4, 44% to win Washington ML: +162.2, 38.1% to win No-Vig Odds: +497 Fair Value Payout: $12,228 Value Left on Table w/ Payout: $3,483

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

July 10th: Officially the worst sports betting day of the entire year.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

9 months

@BookitWithTrent There is an 89.5% chance you are stuck in piss. Good luck. The math with no-vig: UC ML: -182.2, 64.6% to win Baylor ML: -184.5, 64.9% to win Wolves ML: -189.5, 65.5% to win Lakers ML: -169.6, 62.9% to win Leafs -1.5: -155, 60.8% to win Need odds of +852 for +EV ROI: -15.98%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 month

@CourtsSports0 Divorce u2.5 -175

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@donimusisdaddy @MikeyTeeheee @br_betting @DKSportsbook Sorry sir. We are a math site and there is no one at our company that can read above a fifth grade level.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

The Nuggets have a ~96.5% chance of winning the series. A bettor has three options here. 1. Cash Out: Pays $43,565 2. Let It Ride: Pays $46,350 to win, $0 with loss. EV = $44,727. 3. Hedge with a +2400 Heat futures bet: DEN win: $43,350, MIA win: $72,000. EV = $47,247

br_betting

@br_betting

1 year

This bettor cashed out his Nuggets last leg parlay for $43K heading into Game 5... It would have paid out $46K. Smart move? 👀 ( @DKSportsbook )

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@BookitWithTrent If you were super sick before, then wait until you see this expected ROI! Odds all 6 to win: 5.98% Need odds of +1572 for +EV ROI: -34.2% Good luck! Hope you feel better.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@roiguy123 You clearly have just never hit a 17-team parlay!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent @Krabs_Bets This bet has <50/50 chance of hitting and you are paying -prices. The math no-vig calculations... LA Kings ML: -222.5, 68.99% to win GS Warriors ML: -231.7, 69.85% to win Odds both win: 48.19% Need odds of +108 for +EV EV: -2.94% ROI: -5.92%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

4 months

1. Use a service like PropSwap (not a paid advertisement). 2. Hire a lawyer for $1,000 and make an agreement to sell to someone online. He's been very focal about it and could have found a buyer easily on Twitter/X. 3. Hedge with other futures bets.

BABA YAGA

@TheBabaaYaga

4 months

@GamedayMath Keep seeing this but nobody says how the hell they would actually do it

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@DavidCBets @br_betting 1. That's a big assumption. 2. Cashing out is the best tool a sports book has to make money. (Very EV for them) 3. If he didn't have the guts to ride out a bet, then parlay to the Conference Finals instead. Finally, 4. Never Cash Out!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @CaesarsSports Not sure I'd call a bet with an 82.9% chance to win "a donation", but this bet has a -2.03% ROI. Thus, the bettor's expected loss is $2,233.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

5 days

@br_betting @chargers D - not eating this trash -500

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BetOnMadison @AP8809dfs @RunPureSports Not too bad, but not +EV. Good luck. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Celtics ML: -269.3, 72.9% to win Nuggets ML: -225.1, 69.2% to win Odds both to win: 50.45% Need odds of -102 for +EV ROI: -1.05%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@TaFarme @BookitWithTrent We wouldn't play parlays today. It's a horrible betting day, but if you want something...here is the best of the worst...

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 years

@BookitWithTrent The Kansas St line has a no-vig of -1.5-103 which equates to -2 +108. If you got KSU at -2 -110, then your ROI on that bet is -8.22%.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@gavinmchughh Our math... Dodgers ML: +137.1, 42.2% to win Guardians ML: +120, 45.5% to win Orioles ML: +119.2, 45.6% to win Red Sox ML: +103, 49.3% to win Pirates ML: +148.6, 40.2% to win Padres ML: +110.1, 47.6% to win Odds all 6 to win: 0.83% Need odds of +12007 for +EV Good luck!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Not a good one at +1000... The math: Astros ML: -120.5, 54.6% to win A's ML: -119.4, 54.4% to win DET/CHC o9: +104, 49% to win TEX/ARI o9.5: +123, 44.8% to win Odds all 4 to win: 6.52% Need odds of +1434 for +EV ROI: -28.28% GL!

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

11 months

Damn. Guess we need to rebrand.

JFar 🧞‍♂️

@JFar2Nice

11 months

The people who think sports betting can be solved solely by math, aren’t very good at math. Simple as that.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@BookitWithTrent Fresh out of Excel: The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Marlins ML: -120.4, 54.6% to win Guardians -1.5: -102, 50.5% to win D-Backs ML: -131.1, 56.7% to win PIT/LAD o8.5: +103, 49.3% to win Odds all 4 to win: 7.71% Need odds of +1197 for +EV ROI: -15.22%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

2 months

@2ndHalfPlays Hope the 💣hits for you. The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Reds ML: -165.5, 62.3% to win Braves ML: -152.4, 60.4% to win Odds all 2 to win: 37.63% Need odds of +166 for +EV ROI: -13.08%

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@br_betting @FDSportsbook Never cash out! The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig... Pacers ML: -248.2, 71.3% to win Tyreek 2 TDs: +400, 20% to win No-Vig Odds it hits: +601 Fair Value Payout: $9,995 Value Left on Table w/ Payout: $2,035

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

10 months

@BookitWithTrent You really named this one after Shohei? Odds all 5 to win: 6.8% Need odds of +1371 for +EV ROI: -25.21% I need Tommy John's surgery just thinking about this bet.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

@br_betting @CaesarsSports Looks like there was some value on the +600 bet and maybe even +550. 40k on +525 may have been a little bit of a stretch.

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GamedayMath

@GamedayMath

1 year

The best way to grow your gambling bankroll is to start with an amount of money that fits your budget. Then, apply the Kelly Criterion on your bets. It's that simple.

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