๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น Profile Banner
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น Profile
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น

@Fairlight_Cap

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Alternative investment management company. Not investment advice. info @fairlightcapital .com

Greenwich, CT
Joined April 2014
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Just remembering that time Warren Buffett called Donald Trumpโ€™s bluff and released his tax dataโ€ฆ
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
$BBW.SI Azeus Systems Holdings Ltd., our new long analysis on a profitable, high-quality SaaS company. Growing rapidly while returning capital to shareholders. Led by management with skin in the game. SGX: $BBW
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Fairlight Capital Q1 2023 Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
10 months
Fairlight Capital Q2 2023 Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 month
Fairlight Capital Q1 2024 Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
7 months
Fairlight Capital Q3 2023 Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
4 months
Fairlight Capital Q4 2023 Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Fairlight Capital Q4 2022 Investment Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
10 months
Dream International, a leading toy manufacturer, announced +65% net profit growth for 1H 2023, driven primarily by its plush stuffed toys segment. Revenues have been growing at a rate of 17% for the last five years. Dream is well-positioned to capitalize on growth trends in theโ€ฆ
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Fairlight Capital Q3 2022 Investment Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Fairlight Capital Q2 2022 Investment Letter:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 months
@netcapgirl This kind of command center is starting to become more common in business. And thereโ€™s an interesting company that provides these kinds of solutionsโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
PAX Global Tech: Disrupting the Global Payment Terminal and Global POS System Markets (thanks to @gabcasla for additional info). Cash registers, Munger and exploiting the Innovator's Dilemma.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
11 months
@hkuppy Not in London, but hereโ€™s the answer. UK mentally hardwired to pass on the right (like most countries), but history prevails on the roadsโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
6 months
$MCB.TO $MCCRF McCoy Global Inc. is an oil drilling tech company, evolving from operating as a pure engineering firm towards digital and IoT technologies. It's a micro-cap stock currently valued at C$50 million.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
$RICK is a rapidly evolving company consolidating the adult nightclub space while building a community and platform. @RicksCEO @BradleyChhay @nicholaspp66 1/4
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Microcap investing advantages for small firms like us and enterprising investors: -ย Proven alpha over large caps/high liquidity - Information asymmetry - Large institutions canโ€™t invest - Little or no analyst coverage - High potential for significant returns (multi-baggers)
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 months
An illustrative page from the McCoy Global presentation (on their website). $MCB.TO $MCCRF - B/S has $15.7 million cash (and no borrowings). - EBITDA growing at 54% YoY and other income statement lines show high growth. - Automation of manual labor on rigs solves big problemsโ€ฆ
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Pax Global continues to show great progress: โ€œsales of Android smart payment terminals soared by 77.8% year-on-year to HK$2,276.6 million, contributing over 50% of the Group's revenueโ€ฆโ€ 1/4 $0327.hk
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Great results from Opera Ltd today. Above estimate growth in revenue, growing total users, ARPU from $1.06 to $1.18 (partly driven by the strategic decision to focus on high ARPU users). More than 20% buybacks last period. Dividend of $0.80. $OPRA 1/2
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@Adam_Wyden Hereโ€™s our back of the envelope calculation for the per share value of $RICK!
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@Adam_Wyden
Adam D. Wyden
3 years
Our estimate of $RICK FCF assuming the whole country is open is approximately 8.00 a share! If the Company compounds FCF at 15/20 percent organically thats a 20/25 percent expected return if the Company sells for a 5 pct FCF yield or 160.00 a share. But, what if the Company...
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 months
For those who have been following the evolution of this hardware tech company. McCoy Global $MCB.TO $MCCRF posted great Q4 results. Growing 33%, increased sales and market adoption of their smartFMSแต€แดน, smartCRTแต€แดน and smarTRแต€แดน products that combine cloud and ML technologiesโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
This is a great piece: The Mental Model Fallacy. โ€œyou canโ€™t get good at martial arts without practice.โ€ โ€œRead from the source material of master practitioners, copy their actions, climb their skill treesโ€ฆโ€
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
5 months
#AsiaGenesis โ€œRisk reward is the best I have seen in 40 years of investing and trading. The best thing is it offers great scale and choices.โ€
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
4 months
Great podcast with Bobby Kraft and Jim Rakievich ( $MCB.TO CEO) about how McCoy Global helps their customers with technologies to reduce reliance on increasingly scarce headcount and expertise. Theyโ€™ve been doing great work to utilize digital technologies to make CRT equipmentโ€ฆ
@BobbyKKraft
Bobby Kraft
4 months
My guest on the show today is Jim Rakievich, President & CEO of McCoy Global $MCB.TO. McCoy Global Inc. is a product and service provider for the international oil and gas sector with new digital technology solutions. McCoyโ€™s series of Smart products seeks to increase efficiency,โ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@gabcasla Been travelling across the United States these last couple of weeks and Iโ€™m seeing more Pax terminals than previously. Either influence of BoA deal or general marketing. Either way the trend is good. $0327.hk Pax Global
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 months
Itโ€™s sometimes useful to see dividends as a marker of cashflows. One would rather have buybacks, but it can show that real and increasing cashflows are coming through.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
The Big Short: โ€œBurry did not think investing could be reduced to a formula or learned from any one role modelโ€ฆ the lesson of Buffett was: To succeed in a spectacular fashion you had to be spectacularly unusual.โ€ @michaeljburry ๐Ÿค˜
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
11 months
There seems to be a large dispersion in market behavior at the moment. Even when the main market is down or choppy, some stocks are still surging due to the underlying business.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Great piece on $CZBS by @dirtcheapstocks . Effectively trading at a negative EV, with steady asset deployment into revenue generating loans. We also believe itโ€™s undervalued >2x & thatโ€™s without factoring in wider net interest margins from the higher interest rate environment.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Just a note to folks that are interested, itโ€™s worth keeping an eye on the community bank call reports today. $MFBP
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@BradleyChhay @RicksCEO @RCIHHinc @ZeroTangoTango The market appears to like the sales results for $RICK. As well as the share buybacks, great capital allocation and growth through acquisitions.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Itโ€™s going to be an interesting week. Opera $OPRA reports first quarter 2023 results before the market opens on Thursday, April 27th, 2023. Andโ€ฆ
@opera
Opera
1 year
apparently weโ€™re about to launch something big
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@LukeWolgram Agreed. The large/mid/small cap distinction as a proxy for risk is very misleading. Micro caps are considered risky and yet $cvna a former large cap stock (now small cap) has fallen over 97%!!! Need to look at the underlying business.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
5 years
We also see a lot of value in small-cap stocks in the current market: The famed investor Michael Burry told Bloomberg he saw passive investment strategies as a "bubble" that ignores small-cap stocks.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
It is an honor to receive this award and to be recognized as one of the top equity hedge funds. We could not have done it without the support of our incredible team, third-party providers and partners. @HedgeWeek
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
6 months
Weโ€™re going to put out a write-up on a North American stock in the next few days. A little reading for the holidays on a new ideaโ€ฆ
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
Tomorrow, we will publish a report on a new long. An early-stage SaaS company that is profitable, growing rapidly in a large, expanding market. Valued at a fraction of other public market SaaS companies.
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@JerryCap @AltaFoxCapital Am I note that the next paragraph is also a little more hopeful! โ€œFortunately, there are more resources than ever both online and in print to learn from the greatest fundamental investors in history.โ€
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Great write-up on the relative value of US & Non-US small cap and large cap stocks. Non-US small caps have outperformed historically when at these relative valuation levels: "The first rule of fishing is to fish where the fish are." #Munger @PutnamToday
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
4 months
Pleasing to see announcement of an increased dividend in the $MFBP earnings release for Q4 2023 (although buybacks would be even better). Also, good to see that the majority of the Q4 provision was due to a single borrower. Itโ€™s highly probable the coming quarters provisions willโ€ฆ
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
An truly excellent piece of work by @dirtcheapstocks analyzing these banks. The Treasury investments being made using the Emergency Capital Investment Program (ECIP) is a largely overlooked, amazing effort to help underserved communities, small businesses and community lenders.
@dirtcheapstocks
Dirtcheapstocks
2 years
Cheap companies with buckets of cash hidden in plain sight. The U.S. Treasury is injecting small banks with huge sums of capital. While this capital is considered perpetual preferred stock it more closely resembles a cash gift to common shareholders. My first public write up...
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Supremex Announces Solid Q4 2022 Results and Raises Quarterly Dividend by 16.7%. $SXP.TO
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Interesting comparison piece on Belichick & Buffett from @JohnHuber72 . Funnily enough we had exactly the same thoughts that we wrote up in our piece โ€œCompetitive Gamesโ€ last Dec 2020! Great mindsโ€ฆ
@JohnHuber72
John Huber
2 years
New Post: The Superpower of Belichick and Buffett (some thoughts after watching episode 2 of Man in the Arena)
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
โ€œIntensity is the price of excellenceโ€ โ€“ Warren Buffett
@MtReadings
์—ฐ๊ตฌ์›
1 year
"Professional investing is not a game for the lazy. But it may be one for the โ€œlazy competitiveโ€ who create the right structures and manage their energy and attention best." via @NeckarValue
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
10 months
Druckenmiller on How AI is Dominating His Long Portfolio #Duquesne #druckenmiller #AI 17m:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Thereโ€™s been some focus on Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank CDS (credit default swap) levels, so we thought we would post a thread giving some background on CDS spreads for those not fluent in that part of the Credit markets. 1/8 @WikiCommons
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@1MainCapital We largely agree with the cash flow assumptions presented by @1MainCapital . The market is now starting to give $RICK proper credit for the strength of its business model and growth opportunities. However, we believe shares are still undervalued and worth ~$100 today...
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@vperelman @Adam_Wyden Our updated back of the envelope calculation for $RICK.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Came across this very interesting research on equity durations as an explanation of the value premium: โ€œWe find that short-duration stocks have, on average, both higher expected and realized returns than long-duration stocks.โ€ @EDHEC_BSchool
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
In the spirit of Buffett and Mungerโ€™s thoughts on intellectual compounding, hereโ€™s some good pieces on mental models: Latticework, the Pareto Principle, Compounding, Inversion and Homeostasis from @ModelThinkers
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Equity cashflow duration recently reached a peak of 40 years (highest since the dot-com bubble). Likely to reverse in a similar way as meme and extreme valuation tech stocks underperform relative to defensive and value-tech stocks. Chart from @KailashConcepts
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
"My partner Charlie Munger says thereโ€™s only three ways a smart person can go broke: liquor, ladies and leverage." โ€” Warren Buffett
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
11 months
โ€œDon't be careful, be competentโ€. โ€” Tom Cruise
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Opera unveils integrated browser AI: Aria $OPRA
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Been looking at US stocks and definitely my favorite ticker is $HOWL for Werewolf Theapeutics, Inc.! Although itโ€™s definitely not our kind of stock.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
We see that Pax Global has issued a (positive) profit alert. It expects to report >= +30% for H1 YoY. This is even before their planned additional production is in place. $0327.HK #Android #PAXSTORE
@gabcasla
Gabriel Castro, CFA
2 years
Pax Global did it again. They reported AH a profit alert indicating that Pax will achieve an eps growth above 30% for 1H. I expect Pax increasing FY guidance on results and beating the street (+15/18% growth and even our internal estimates +20% growth). Also, strong divi increase
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@swansongcapital @Adam_Wyden This isnโ€™t a one-year rerating play. $RICK has competitive advantage and a large growth runway. Compare the valuation to Wingstop $WING and other restaurant companies this is stable, growing and the cheapest.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@eriksen_tim @TreyHenninger For $CZBS (and the other ECIPs) I think itโ€™s worth considering the NIM across the whole balance sheet. Rates were 1.50%-1.75%, June 2022; 3.00%-3.25%, Sep 2022; and 4.50%-4.75% now. A very rapid increase that is still feeding through to loans and investments for these banks.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Song Lin, Co-CEO of Opera: โ€œFollowing the mass interest in generative AI tools, we believe itโ€™s now time for browsers to step up and become the gateway to an AI-powered webโ€.ย ย Exciting times ahead for Opera. @opera $OPRA
@opera
Opera
1 year
Generative AI services are giving people new superpowers! We are announcing the first plans for upcoming integrations in our browsers, such as a webpage shorten feature as a sidebar integration. Here are our plans:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
Long-term transformation appears to be happening at $PGNT. The customer base of SI Systems alone could justify the current parent company valuation. Overall, $PGNT currently trades for 1.2x the average revenue for the last 10 years.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 months
@netcapgirl We will share shortly. Just finishing up our quarterly letter (will also mention it there).
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@RicksCEO At Fairlight we use a look-through methodology for our portfolio and so earnings, cash balances and repurchases boost the attractiveness of cashflow generating businesses like $RICK.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
11 months
Opera issues a clarification on their Jul 14 shelf filing: "A Shelf Filing does not constitute an actual sale or issuance of Opera stock. Once effective, it provides an opportunity, but not a commitment, for Opera or its pre-IPO shareholders to conduct SEC registered offeringsโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
6 months
Very sad to hear of Charlie Mungerโ€™s passing. A true investing legend. So good he made Warren Buffett a better investor. #CharlieMunger
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Many thanks! Glad you find what weโ€™ve written useful.
@SebKrog
Sebastian
1 year
- Alluvial Capital @alluvialcapital - Cedar Creek Partners @eriksen_tim - Fairlight Capital @Fairlight_Cap - Praetorian Capital @praetoriancap - Alta Fox Capital @AltaFoxCapital (currently offline, but there were great!) What funds are you following?
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Interesting to see that Henry Ellenbogenโ€™s approach overlaps with Fairlight. We look at companies somewhere between VC and PE (like Growth Equity). We focus on public markets, but agree the distinction from private markets is somewhat arbitrary.
@NeckarValue
Frederik Christopher Gieschen
2 years
This is Henry Ellenbogen who managed the massive T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund. E. picked growth and compounder stocks, expanded into venture, beat the market, then left to found Durable Capital. Here's what I learned from his letters about his playbook for "durable growth":
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@MarcusFrampton @longcastadviser Agreed. From our experience in micro caps stock selection is critically important. Just as a miner sifts through tons of dirt and rock to find a precious stone, an investor must carefully research & evaluate a multitude of micro cap stocks to find those that have the potentialโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
This was a very prescient chart, but one flaw is that the axis lines shouldnโ€™t have been drawn where they areโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@kevdco Perhaps he can give us a call the next time heโ€™s due to appear.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 months
@Aureliusltd28 Another driver, although longer term, that I donโ€™t see mentioned very often is the pull to par effect. For any securities held by banks that are underwater due to recent rate rises, they will pull to the principal value over time and mark-to-market losses decrease with no changeโ€ฆ
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Great development from a very interesting company. We will be talking more about this in the near futureโ€ฆ $OPRA
@InvestorOpera
Opera Investor Relations
1 year
This morning Opera announced an $0.80 per ADS special dividend $OPRA #specialdividend
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@OtterMarket @dirtcheapstocks Thanks very much for the shout out! Very much appreciated. I think there is an awesome cohort of emerging managers and investors in this space including you guys.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@michaeljburry We agree (with a very smart guy) that inflation doesnโ€™t come down in a benign way. Human nature forces us to think that because it seemed to come quickly m, that it will go away quickly. But it wonโ€™t.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Fantastic insights from @RayDalio here. He breaks down the principles and key entities relating to Debt Crises. In shorter and longer (pdf) versions. Well worth the read. 1/3
@RayDalio
Ray Dalio
1 year
I will do the first of these in the following article and the second in a week or two: (2/2)
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
New research posted on Tapinator, Inc. An underfollowed and undervalued stock in a very hot sector. $TAPM $PLTK $ZYNG $SCPL
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 month
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@carlquintanilla @BusinessInsider This is a classic case of The Innovatorโ€™s Dilemma (Clayton Christensen). Google doesnโ€™t want to risk the successful search business, but faces a hugely disruptive AI technology. In the Google/AI scenario the right-hand line is nearer the vertical. @claychristensen
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@Adam_Wyden Our conservative low-end estimate is a price of $120 for $RICK. If we include club acquisitions, bombshell expansions we model out over $300 share price.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
Azeus reports 60% increase in net profit to HK$17.5 million for 1H FY2022 (equivalent to US$2.24 million).
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Browse with AI. Opera Ltd $OPRA is continually adding in new features. Should increase user stickiness and usage.
@opera
Opera
1 year
We're live with generative AI tools in our Desktop Browser! With contextual AI Prompts & sidebar integrations of popular GPT-based services, we're excited to give these new browsing superpowers to early access users. Download & get started here:
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Deposit growth looking healthy among the best MDI community banks. Good summary here up to Q2 2022. @SPGlobal
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Bear markets over the last century. They come in all shapes and sizes: 2022: down 18%, over 136+ days 2020: down 34%, 33 days 2007-2009: down 57%, 1.4 years 2000-2002: down 49%, 2.5 years 1987: down 34%, 101 days 1980-1982: down 27%, 1.7 years 1973-1974: down 48%, 1.7 years 1/3
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@RicksCEO GREAT TO SEE @RicksCEO CONTINUE HIS EXCELLENT CAPITAL ALLOCATION RECORD. REPURCHASING 1.78% OF SHARES OUTSTANDING SINCE END MARCH!
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Opera Reports Record Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 $OPRA
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
US and China discuss tariff rollbacks. Good news for many E Asia listed stocks, e.g. Pax Global. If not directly impacted, then shifting trade climate will benefit them.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@alonsorobots It's truly staggering progress that this technology has made in just the last few years. GPT-3 models are able to generate text that is indistinguishable from human-written text. The above text was AI generated! AI themes will appear more in our A to Z bottom-up analysis.
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Very pleased with Azeus announcement of FY 2022 results. Revenue HK$217.7 Million (+22%), net profit HK$48.5 Million (+105%), eps of HK$1.62 per share and overall gross margin 72.4% (+3.4%). Management states that it plans to pay the entire profit as a dividend. $BBW.SI
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Company expansion, value creation and operational complexity. How Azeus Systems ($BBW.SI) is addressing these with the appointment of their new CEO. A threadโ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
OSLO, Norway, Feb. 10, 2023 /PRNewswire/ Opera, one of the world's major browser developers, announced today the upcoming integration of AI-generated content (AIGC) services into its PC and mobile browsers. $OPRA 1/2
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
3 years
@JMihaljevic Value investor typing out Warren Buffettโ€™s name ...
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Not something we are good at predicting (or that directly affects us), but wouldnโ€™t the Fed want to take the opportunity to hike 75 bps because the market largely expects that? #fedratehike #FOMC
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
Performing a calc of Mkt Cap - Cash - Investees, compared to forward earnings gives a mid single-digit multiple. This for a company growing revenues well into double-digits and returning value to shareholders. DYODD. $OPRA 2/2
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@OverlookedAlpha These were marked at $35.3 million in the Q3 2022 financial report. So the company has only had to use $12 million of the $166 million (Q3 figure) cash and equivalents for the dividend. And this doesn't take into account any additional cash earned in Q4. 2/2
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
Bill Patterson, National Cash Register and PAX Global (). A thread starting with a quote from Mungerโ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต
Tweet media one
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@QCompounding Peter Lynch may have had a point back in the day, but the world of toys has evolved since then. Today's toy manufacturers create a demand for collectibles, which means children want multiple variations of the same toy. Kids want to expand their plushie collection!
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
@CNBCnow Fed officials now predict the key rate will end 2022 at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, a full percentage point above the 3.25% to 3.5% they projected in June, and close out next year at 4.5% to 4.75%, according to their median estimate. #FOMC 1/2
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@Fairlight_Cap
๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
2 years
โ€œWhy are Android payment terminals so popularโ€: A good piece on Android SmartPOS terminals and PAXSTORE (Pax Global | ). #POS #Android
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@paultoo It is possible that Google is facing challenges in competing in new markets due to the Innovator's Dilemma, a situation in which a company is unable to pursue disruptive innovation because doing so would require it to divert resources away from its existing productsโ€ฆ
@paultoo
Paul Buchheit
2 years
Google may be only a year or two away from total disruption. AI will eliminate the Search Engine Result Page, which is where they make most of their money. Even if they catch up on AI, they can't fully deploy it without destroying the most valuable part of their business!
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๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น
1 year
@vestingschedule @pbcinc Yes, it has! Itโ€™s a position we own. Agree with all of Adiโ€™s comments. There are a lot of investee proceeds which gives an EV/E in the ~3.5 area depending on assumptions and the Opera GX user base is growing rapidly (high ARPU customers gaining 2m+ per quarter).
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