Jonathan Bales @BalesBets Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

@Tathers_

@vlhealy

@StefaniaBasili

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@rain

@Mohamme6753745

@GuirguisR64580

@Cedyboyy0

@bitrefill

@Monmontti

@AlawqafOrg

@skyridgefb

@TrunksTrek

@bundamiahh

@heeviadao

@Michael47242613

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@BullsNationBR_

@spooky_JL

@zzz2aaa

@manuuuFF14

@akashjackman

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@skinnyxbtc

@G0THEES

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@00SHOTARUWU

@UnFiro

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@EthanFreemantle

@laureados

@stw_pdg

@sukameki95

@__jacker__

@Chippendales

Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

It’s 1am. I’m alone in a hotel in Miami racing digital horses. My colt Spicy Mayo just had an amazing comeback. I’m having the time of my life.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

With news of Zeke's return, the line in the Cowboys-Giants game has skyrocketed from -7 (-105) to -7 (-110).

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

“The Cowboys might be better with Dalton over Dak because Andy makes the defense better” was an actual thing a human just said on national TV having hours to prepare

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

One of the most telling signs in picking future friends, business partners, etc. (for me) is how they treat waiters, cab drivers, others in service they’ll likely never see again

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I get up at 5am to play fantasy football and idk how anyone could live any other way

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

Actually sick. @KeithOlbermann is one of the biggest pieces of shit on the internet. A true fucking loser who acts holier than thou while leveraging others’ suffering for personal gain. The worst kind of scum

Keith Olbermann

@KeithOlbermann

2 years

This kid died to stop a school shooter whose mother echoed the Trumpist Fascism of @stoolpresidente and @barstoolsports

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

"Just waiting for bitcoin's pullback and then I'm in." - @adamlevitan in 2040

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I have four push-ups left. I will do those and then a few more just in case

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

1/3 Some news: @CSURAM88 and I are leading a small group that purchased a large equity stake in @EstablishTheRun . This is my first move back into sports since the sale of Action Network, and I’m pretty pumped to build what I think is a dream team in the sports speculation space.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

It took me many years to realize my passion isn’t in building businesses or writing books or working with data…my passion is gambling on degen shit. I fucking love it

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

Nice calm discussion with @BarstoolNate on @BarstoolRadio

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Accidentally entered the freeroll and boy am I glad I did! Turned a potentially horrific week into something great. Hold!

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Feels great to keep getting so lucky

FantasyCruncher

@FantasyCruncher

3 years

Sorry to all @FantasyLabs subs who got touted to play Mahomes today. The guys over there are so stupid, they make @BalesFootball look like Andy Reid.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

If you want to develop a useful skill but unsure where to start, I recommend writing. I believe it’s the most useful talent because it formalizes your thoughts; you can’t easily BS when you write. Not all smart people can write well, but nearly everyone who writes well is smart.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Pretty sure the guy has like a fucking 75% red zone TD rate since I tweeted this

Ryan Hodge

@RyanHodge

3 years

. @BalesFootball

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I Spent $35,000 on a Video You Can Find All Over the Internet: Here's Why

I Spent $35,000 on a Video You Can Find All Over the Internet: Here's Why

Why I'm investing in NFTs (non-fungible tokens) and believe the future of collecting is digital

luckymaverick.substack.com

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

1/ I’ve worked with many smart people over the past couple years. I’ve learned so much from others and via trial-and-error. Here are some of the important lessons I'd tell my younger self—an extension of my post on counterintuitive business tips:

40 Counterintuitive Tips for Building a Business - JonathanBales.com

I have a little bio on the landing page of this site. Here’s part of it: Who cares where I went to school or what’s on my resume? I also don’t want to reveal the fact that I’ve never had a real job,...

jonathanbales.com

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

Hot take: Bill Belichick is a decent NFL coach who seems like a genius because he's so much better than the others, who are, well, morons.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

I wish I could find a way to gamble exclusively with people who think Carli Lloyd could be an NFL kicker

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Success isn’t being a boss. It’s not having a boss.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Man, NFTs. Who would have thought?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Mannn that was fun. Probably the most live I’ve ever been to win the Millionaire Maker near the end

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

1/ Here's a list of some of the things I think NFL coaches/teams get wrong with in-game strategy. This isn't exhaustive; I don't have that kind of time.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

If you're not a crypto believer, you have to ask yourself why so many smart people are involved - devs, speculators, entrepreneurs. It's not "what are the odds I'm right?" but "what are the odds I'm right *and* all these other people who've historically been right are now wrong?"

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 months

I've gotten back into fitness after doing 2,400 push-ups in a day and subsequently not moving for a few years. Would anyone be interested if I wrote an article on exercise/nutrition/supplements? I've been deep in the lab on this stuff, basically doing Moneyball for health -

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

Screenshot life

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

Finally finished the @naval podcast with @joerogan – so uniquely insightful with a ridiculous amount of actionable advice. Here are some of my favorite quotes.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I have 1,487 push-ups through five hours. I’m taking a longer break until whenever I feel like it

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Last summer, I told my parents I was going to buy ETH Boy from @trevorjonesart . They asked about the size of the painting. I responded “You’ll love this. No physical dimensions. It’s a jpg.” My mom thought I was the dumbest person alive...even before she knew it cost six figures.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

When I look back on it, it’s actually shocking I have a college degree. I dropped out to start a business my junior year. I took CLEP exams to test out of every class. I went to almost no classes. I have no respect for higher education, which is theft.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I was supposed to leave for a Cambodia/Vietnam/Thailand trip on Thursday. Instead, I'll spend 12 hours live-streaming push-ups for thousands of grown men. Talk about running hot

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I did the unthinkable and bought a house

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Prediction: The number of people working for and by themselves will skyrocket in the next 2-3 years as remote work fuels the realization you don't *need* an employer to make money and, with the internet, gain leverage (without others' permission) to make lots of it.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I sent out the first email for my newsletter. Here's the post (it's free):

How to Win Games: Find the Hidden Rules

You can find success by learning to win games, then turning life's problems into games and solving them in the same way.

luckymaverick.substack.com

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

The biggest long-term benefit of COVID-19 will be companies realizing their overall productivity increases with more remote work

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Last night > this morning

Action Network

@ActionNetworkHQ

4 years

11a ET: Pushup 1 11 hrs, 5 min later: ✅ @BalesFootball ’s journey through a 12-hr, 2,400 pushup challenge with a $1M of bets on the line:

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

Pretty crazy that @evansilva predicted 28 of the first-round players. The guy might know football better than anyone on the planet.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

@nntaleb To be fair, given his risk tolerance, I doubt he was buying condoms

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I just ran to my gate. No other passengers were there and I had to convince them to let me on my flight. “Where were you?” they asked. “Sitting at a bar in terminal B buying digital horses.” They looked at my like I’m a madman. A true lunatic. Some people just don’t get it.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

btc is my largest position, but I'll truly never understand the maxis who aren't even open to other projects. it's not just eth, but sol and matic and luna and so many others...there are many incredible things being built right now

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Does anyone else get too scared to check crypto prices that instead of just looking they log into twitter and scroll their feed to sort of ease into it based on general sentiment?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I've noticed an inverse relationship between people who make a lot of money and people who have a lot of fun. Those with one trait often lack the other. It's quite rare to find someone who can navigate that delicate balance of optimizing for the future while still living life.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Should we tokenize equity in our new company? I love the idea of becoming aligned with our most adamant supporters. Would anyone be interested in that?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

I bought a $35,000 LeBron @nbatopshot moment for @LuckyTraderHQ to give away in honor of the one-year anniversary of the $35,000 Ja Morant purchase. The winner will be randomly selected on Tuesday night's @ClubTopShot . You can enter for free here

Enter to Win a $35,000 LeBron James NBA Top Shot Moment

One year ago, Lucky Trader co-founder Jonathan Bales spent $35,000 on an NBA highlight found all over the internet. To celebrate the anniversary, we're giving away a $35,000 moment from NBA Top Shot.

luckytrader.com

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

I was on the right side this time for the DraftKings championship. These payouts are sick man. Idk the 2nd place guy but he had Herbert, who had two TDs dropped at the end of the game

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

When I lose money in investments/market/crypto, I tend to spend more. When my bankroll goes up, I’m frugal. It makes no sense. Is anyone else like this?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

If I knew how insufferable this would make coming on twitter for me I would have just kept it to myself

Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I Spent $35,000 on a Video You Can Find All Over the Internet: Here's Why

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

If you truly believe in bitcoin, it’s not 5%, it’s not 10% of your net worth. It’s a minimum of half

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

Rich people don't get rich by saving money. They get rich by making more money.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

When I was a kid, I asked my grandfather if it’s true that carrots improve your eyesight and he responded “You’ve never seen a rabbit with glasses, have ya?” I’ll never forget that.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

I was just walking down the street and a stranger stopped me and said "Congrats on winning the Gambling Olympics." I've died and gone to degenerate heaven.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

One of the major reasons I love DFS/gambling: the good ideas win, the bad ones lose. There's an accountability that doesn't exist in most other businesses, where things like "career ladders" perpetuate the notion that time/seniority are important. Only greatness should matter.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

Never confuse being busy with being productive

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Everyone - and I mean everyone - is making it up as they go. A few realize this, and the rest are having their overconfidence exploited.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

NEW: The Eight Most Impactful Concepts That Changed My Life (And 30 Other Important Ideas)

The Eight Most Impactful Concepts That Changed My Life (And 30 Other Important Ideas)

About Lucky Maverick About Jonathan Bales At one point in my life, I thought that in Pizza Hut’s “Makin’ it great” ad campaign, they were actually saying “Brickin’ a brick.” I mean I was a toddler,...

luckymaverick.substack.com

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

Even ignoring contracts, idk how anyone with eyes could possibly think zeke is a better RB than pollard

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Each of us is one of 7.5 billion people on Earth, orbiting one of 250 billion stars in our galaxy, which is one of trillions of galaxies in our universe, which is likely one drop in an infinite sea. As inconsequential as we might seem, it’s clear that running backs matter.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

With the recent price drop, I think now is a decent time to buy back into Top Shot. Maybe the only better time was when I told you to do it months ago for the super easy to 10x (when most called me a moron for buying digital collectibles)

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

1/ One year ago today, I did 2400+ pushups in under 12 hours for money. Most of you already know about the bet (did you happen to catch the stream, @draftcheat ?), but there’s a bunch of stuff I never told people. Here’s some of it…

Action Network - @ActionNetworkHQ

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

The number of people who are oblivious to crypto as our future is why it's still the most asymmetrical bet available right now

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Payouts couldn’t be better here if you ask me

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

Ways to find an edge (1/2): Think probabilistically Emphasize not just knowledge, but scarcity of knowledge Bypass accuracy for payoffs Take a longer view Embrace and harness uncertainty Win not only by being best, but also being first Don’t rely on data

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Imagine thinking Lamar Jackson isn’t a top three QB

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

Just dropping in to say

Ian Hartitz

@Ihartitz

4 years

▬▬▬.◙.▬▬▬ ═▂▄▄▓▄▄▂ ◢◤ █▀▀████▄▄▄▄◢◤ █▄ █ █▄ ███▀▀▀▀▀▀▀╬ ◥█████◤ ══╩══╩═ ╬═╬ ╬═╬ @BalesFootball ╬═╬ going for 2,400+ ╬═╬ push-ups today ╬═╬ ☻/ ╬═╬/▌ ╬═╬/ \

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

A few weeks ago, I posted about how to write effective cold emails. I wanted to share one I received that I thought was really good (because it worked).

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

Tavon Austin - one of the great RBs in NFL history, truly, with nearly 7 yards per carry on just under 200 rushes - has been one of the most misused players ever

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

The biggest mainstream critique of crypto - that it's insanely difficult for the average person to learn and use (true) - is imo the biggest bull case...when something is very popular despite its early tech flaws, it's the most obvious indicator ever it's gonna smash

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I think it’s likely Jon Gruden is a piece of shit. I also think he should be able to hold whatever views he’d like and speak in private however he wants - even if I fundamentally disagree with him - and keep his job.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Most people don't take on nearly enough risk. One way to improve is to pretend not to care about results - to try tricking yourself - but the *best* way is to actually not care.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

Congrats to @tricky8181 for winning the $35k LBJ @nbatopshot giveaway. I just gifted you the winnings big dog. @LuckyTraderHQ - one of the luckiest possible groups of people - wants to give back to the community and become as aligned as possible with early users...more to come.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I want to hire like 100 people. Maybe we should raise more and go big?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

When you look around and the only people agreeing with you are the oldest fuckers on the planet, you’re probably not on the right side of it

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

He won it. @BarstoolNate now at 354k

Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

Last hand hand before break. Lfg @BarstoolNate

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

Gambling on things is mad fun and I’m very grateful I have friends who like it too

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Pillow 👑

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

8 years

If anyone wants a quick 1500x return just hit me up

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

When I want football knowledge, I turn to Terry, Howie, Michael, and Jimmy. I mean these guys know their stuff

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

5 years

Absolutely destroyed my dad in ping pong hoops. So what if he’s almost 60, guy can’t hang with me on the court.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Does anyone else vacillate on a daily basis between thinking they’re a genius and thinking they’re the dumbest person on the planet?

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

1/2 Starting a new company w/ @CSURAM88 and @JerLevine . Hiring: - Software Engineer: C#, React, AWS, REST APIs, SQL; exp w/ Agile - Mobile App Engineer: Exp w/ React Native - Blockchain Engineer: Exp w/ Solidity, writing smart contracts; deep understanding of NFTs

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

If you think trading a fifth for Josh Gordon wasn’t worth it, just don’t follow me

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Just set an @nba_topshot record, purchasing the #1 /49 @JaMorant Cosmic Series 1 for $35,000. I went in with @CSURAM88 , @JerLevine , and @adamlevitan . I love NFTs and believe the future of trading cards is digital.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

@darrenrovell How hilariously irresponsible

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

1/ I think the biggest edge in business right now is communicating effectively through writing, whether it’s an email to persuade, a tweet to build an audience, an article to establish credibility, or an unpublished blog you write simply to clarify your thoughts.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

As Marty McFly said, “I guess you guys aren’t ready for it yet. But your kids are gonna love it.”

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

2 years

At the start of COVID with completely unknown downside, it was smart to shut down. Now, with mostly known downside, the risk/reward decision isn't so automatic. Based on latest info, I think this is right. Adam Silver is the most sensible person in sports.

The Recount

@therecount

2 years

. @NBA Commissioner Adam Silver says COVID is “will not be eradicated and we’re gonna have to learn to live with it.” He says “our plan is to move forward” with Christmas Day games and roughly 23 games leading up.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 months

Has Jason Garrett ever said one thing of substance? I mean ONE THING of substance, ever? Not being hyperbolic. The fact he was an NFL head coach is mind-boggling. He’s the biggest fraud I’ve ever encountered. Anyone have a link or example of a single insightful thing he’s ever

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

6 years

This is amazingly explained

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

If I could invest in anyone right now it would be me with 100x leverage

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

I can't fucking wait for NFL.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

4 years

The most effective way to understand probability is to gamble. The best teaching tool is trial-and-error + downside. You'll learn fastest when a consequence of not learning is losing something of value.

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I can't stop buying goons

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

The greatest luxury in life - the ultimate test of freedom - is waking up when you want. It just so happens I choose to wake up early to analyze receivers’ average target depth. Some recent Philly sunrises...

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

Less than two months in, this seems like a good start. Thank you to everyone reading

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

3 years

I’m more data-driven than most, but I’m always reminded of the downside of being too narrowly focused on data with this one simple trick: following @friscojosh . He’s incredibly analytical and wrong about nearly everything. We have a meaningful p-value on him: he’s a charlatan

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Jonathan Bales

@BalesBets

7 years

Should You Work for Free? (h/t @MatthewBerryTMR )