Alex Roarty Profile Banner
Alex Roarty Profile
Alex Roarty

@Alex_Roarty

13,492
Followers
3,465
Following
1,199
Media
48,644
Statuses

Not from Pennsylvania. @cumberlink alum. Politics reporter at @NOTUSreports . alexroarty @notus .org

Washington, DC
Joined March 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
Pinned Tweet
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 months
Can finally reveal the name of my new newsroom: NOTUS! It's an impressive group of folks working here (my presence notwithstanding) -- encourage everyone to sign up to start receiving our stories
0
2
12
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
using Sam Elliott as a narrator at the end of a race is the campaign equivalent of a baseball team calling in Mariano Rivera from the bullpen
@MediumBuying
Medium Buying
4 years
The Biden campaign ran this 60-second spot nationally tonight during Game 1 of the #WorldSeries on FOX --
588
7K
20K
225
1K
6K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
Source: NRCC now cancelling *all* buys in PA-17, appearing to concede that incumbent Republican Keith Rothfus can't defeat Democrat Conor Lamb
135
1K
6K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
NEW: Michael Bloomberg is making his initial foray into Florida, a $5.4 million ad buy that criticizes Trump's pandemic response. All ten media markets included, all on broadcast TV
138
1K
5K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
GOP aide on CapHill: "I'm starting to think that while we're pretty good at winning elections, we're not great at the whole governing thing"
334
2K
4K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
News cycle not done yet tonight, folks. "North Carolina U.S. Senate candidate Cal Cunningham, a married father of two, sent text messages of a sexual nature to a woman who is not his wife, his campaign confirmed Friday night."
1K
2K
4K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
Watched 2 focus groups w/moderate voters last night, put on by a liberal group. Moderator asked 1st group (five women) about Jan 6th. Long pause followed, before one of the women asked what he meant. Invoking "Jan. 6" didn't immediately mean anything, even days after anniversary
378
542
4K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
Conor Lamb unloads on the GOP-led objections to Pa's certification "These objections don’t deserve an ounce of respect. not an ounce. A woman died out there tonight and you’re making these objections."
16
395
2K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Keith Ellison has some strong words for Sanders-loving Democrats angry at the party
Tweet media one
54
1K
2K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
... two others, after agreeing how awful the attack was, said they thought Biden and Democrats had gone too far in the way they talked about last week on the anniversary. One of the women said she thought they had over-embellished it.
14
105
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
With the Montana primary tonight, it's a good time to remember that GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte last year assaulted a reporter, initially lied about it, and eventually pleaded guilty. He faced no apparent political penalty, and ran unopposed in a Republican primary.
22
445
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
Later, when asked specifically about how POTUS and Dems marked the anniversary, two men jumped in pretty eagerly to talk about how Biden had made a mistake looking backward instead of trying to move the country forward. They expressed a feeling he had politicized a tragedy
14
82
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
The conversation didn't get much better from there for Dems , in either focus group. Once the convo got going, it was clear Jan. 6 hadn't been memory holed by the 1st group. But one woman said flat out it wasn't she was worried about anymore compared to other concerns. And ...
6
83
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
One of the participants would later add that they also resented how reporters who were there personalized their experience
13
62
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Statement from Bob Casey, Democratic senator from Pennsylvania: "When all the votes are counted Vice President Joe Biden is going to win Pennsylvania and be well on his way to necessary electoral votes to win the Presidency" ...
15
178
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
It’s just like Twitter in that a relatively small handful of people are yelling angrily each other while the vast, vast majority of Americans are somewhere else, living their lives and ignoring the argument
@misstessowen
Tess Owen
1 year
Trump supporters and anti-Trump protesters are separated by metal barriers and heckling each other
411
259
2K
29
222
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
"Roger Lau, who managed the presidential campaign of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), is also joining the DNC as deputy executive director"
23
134
1K
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
The 2nd group, this time five moderate men, had a similar reaction (though I'll include one important caveat later). None of them mentioned Jan 6 when prompted broadly about what news they had been paying attention to lately, mentioning Manchin, Arbery verdict, etc ... instead
4
54
865
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
8 years
Surge in Latino vote may be the story of the election
@steveschale
Steve Schale
8 years
On Thurs alone, 82.5% of Hispanic early voters were considered low propensity voters. That's literally nuts.
117
1K
3K
30
371
882
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Comment from a Dem strategist: "Even Lee Atwater would have told you that the key to playing identity politics is to deny that you're doing"
10
182
837
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
about how terrible the attack was, and how people were worried about democracy. One man -- who was clearly very far from a liberal -- said he abandoned the GOP after Jan 6 and thought the way Biden handled the anniversary was fine. Tide turned a bit at this point ...
10
50
829
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
NEW: In another sign of Democratic super PACs urging the party to consolidate around Biden, @American_Bridge is beginning what it says is the "first ad of the general election" in battleground Pennsylvania.
32
302
725
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Biden event just held a moment of silence for Kobe. Audible gasps when the news was announced.
11
163
742
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
However, cuz this is an important component: After the first two men agreed Biden had mishandled, another jumped in to say he thought Biden's speech was appropriate, that he needed to call out the forces/people responsible for the attack. And that prompted longer discussion ...
3
42
725
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
A Trump ad running in the Carolinas included footage of a local bicycle manufacturing plant. It touted the president's economy. One problem -- the plant shown was forced to lay off employees because of the administration's tariffs.
17
362
713
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
vaccines becoming a matter of partisan debate would be disastrous
@samstein
Sam Stein
5 years
NEW — Sen. Rand Paul used his perch on the Senate Health committee today to push the notion that it’s fine for parents not to vaccinate their kids and that vaccines cause harm
1K
1K
2K
23
165
713
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
No matter how this goes, tonight's been a good reminder: It's not easy to defeat incumbent presidents, apparently no matter the circumstances
32
40
724
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
the one point that kept coming up, across both groups, was a desire to find person responsible for attack. That person/people, the fg participants said, needed to be held accountable, and they weren't sure they had been. That's probably the point that will frustrate Ds the most
21
57
693
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
ehhh ... Trump having to spend money in Texas would likely signal he's headed toward a 2020 wipe-out and no amount of money will change the result. Means he's probably in even worse shape in Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, maybe Montana, not to mention Pennsylvania, WI, MI
@PatrickSvitek
Patrick Svitek
5 years
. @DanPatrick says on @FoxNews that Trump will win Texas in 2020, but he's "gonna have to spend money." #txlege
48
25
57
56
302
622
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
And with that, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris cross the 270 Electoral College vote threshold, as certified by Congress. Vermont does it.
8
111
664
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
So yesterday, I lost my wallet on the bus. Figured it was gone forever. But late last night I got a call: It was the bus-driver, and she had found the wallet. And this morning she handed it back to me after making a special stop downtown. Plenty of good people in this city
12
34
647
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
with one of the first two men -- who had been so forceful about Biden mishandling the anniversary -- jumped back in to clarify that he thought the attack was terrible and worrying. Very broad, strong agreement on that point in both groups
11
40
626
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
Had a Republican speculate a few weeks back that if Republicans didn't win the Senate, the scorched-earth campaign against NRSC Chair Rick Scott, launched by McConnell allies, would be like nothing we'd ever seen. ...
17
84
639
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
FWIW: Bill Nelson losing the 2018 Florida Senate race to Rick Scott is looming very large at the moment
30
76
614
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
(sorry, had to take a moment to do my actual job and interview someone on the phone!) So people thought what happened on Jan 6 was awful and raised serious questions about the country's direction. But they didn't all necessarily connect it with the GOP/Trump (tho tbc, some did)
13
38
611
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
in other news i asked the pulitzer committee not to give me a prize this year
@ShaneGoldmacher
Shane Goldmacher
5 years
Biden: “I asked President Obama not to endorse”
261
102
525
10
47
622
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
I’ve been staring at this for the last three minutes
@AndrewYang
Andrew Yang🧢⬆️🇺🇸
5 years
Tweet media one
93
900
5K
14
73
623
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
Rubio's response: “I don’t think that’s a real request. I think it did it to gig you guys ... I think he did it to provoke you to ask me and others and get outraged by it. He plays it like a violin and everybody falls right in, that’s not a real request.”
304
181
506
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
The lesson over and over again in recent American politics is you can form a larger, more energized coalition in *opposition* to something rather than in *support* of it. The public has a much better idea of what it doesn't want than what it does want
13
139
616
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
a political thriller, set on the forest moon of Endor years after the DS's destruction, in which a young Ewok discovers a shattering truth: C3PO isn't a God, he only used his deification to manipulate his people into a devastating war ... and the Ewok leaders knew the whole time
9
86
618
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Biden up about 10 points in every recent national poll. In Monmouth, notably, he's also up above 50 percent
@daveweigel
David Weigel
4 years
New Monmouth poll, trend from last month: Biden: 52% (+2) Trump: 41% (-) On whether you trust the candidate to handle race relations, it tracks those numbers: Biden 52%, Trump 40%.
115
473
2K
84
107
579
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
Usual caveats apply: These were just two focus groups, not some kind of exhaustive poll/research. But what I saw does broadly align with what Rs and D strategists told me last week about what they saw in their own research
52
60
568
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
8 years
Democrats have thrown some strong punches at Donald Trump in Philadelphia. That Khizr Khan speech was like an uppercut from Ali.
9
189
567
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
Really does feel as if, if it were 10 years ago, the Democratic Party would have nominated Jeff Jackson and Conor Lamb tonight. Instead it's Cheri Beasley and John Fetterman, and neither faced all that competitive a race in end.What the party looks for in candidates has changed
41
71
555
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Jenn Ridder, Biden's national states director, said that of all the new battlegrounds, *Ohio* surprised her “Ohio presents an opportunity I wouldn’t have foreseen three months ago. I wouldn’t have thought we’d be as competitive as we are in that state."
38
80
532
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
> @DFAaction announced tonight it would no longer support @RalphNortham , called his campaign "racist"
Tweet media one
234
307
462
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
to clarify, these groups were labeled as either soft Biden voters -- backed JB but not Clinton -- or soft Trump voters, those who backed DT in '20 but said they regretted doing so
26
35
502
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
“I have hurt my family, disappointed my friends, and am deeply sorry. The first step in repairing those relationships is taking complete responsibility, which I do. I ask that my family’s privacy be respected in this personal matter.”
166
183
431
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
NEW: The Republican cavalry is arriving in South Carolina. @Senate_Fund this weekend will begin a *$10 million* investment in TV and radio ads to help Lindsey Graham, as the GOP incumbent tries to fend off Jaime Harris in an unexpectedly tight race
207
314
468
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Amy Goodman gets a big cheer for demanding over-air broadcasters have licenses revoked if they don't perform quality journalism. #PPLSummit
93
187
447
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
The security footage's most jarring images are of lawmakers literally running away, first Romney, then Schumer.
5
55
447
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
New from @benbwieder and me: A look at polling and fundraising data suggest Warren's chief rival isn't Sanders -- it's Kamala Harris. The two candidates are in a fierce competition for voters, especially among many women and college-educated white voters
65
133
421
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
Excerpt from Trump's NRA speech: "Upon my inauguration, I will direct the FDA to convene an independent outside panel to investigate whether transgender hormone treatments and ideology increase the risk of extreme depression, aggression, and even violence ..."
40
150
446
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
every newsroom prepares a pre-write for this sort of event, mine included. every single one.
@dhookstead
David Hookstead
4 years
Politico published an article claiming Joe Biden picked Kamala Harris as his running mate, and announced it August 1. It’s since been changed, and scrubbed from the piece. Original on the left. Current version on the right. LINK:
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
202
680
1K
185
62
405
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
no time like the present to remind you the political betting markets are trash
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
3 years
At 10:00 P.M. on Election Evening, we were at 97% win with the so-called “bookies”.
49K
23K
180K
26
44
441
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
"the members who are repeating those lies should be ashamed of themselves. their constituents should be ashamed of them."
4
78
441
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 months
Republicans had hoped by now that voters would be interested in litigating what kind of limits should be placed on abortion post-Roe. Instead, seems voters are still just broadly angry at the Dobbs decision and voting in such a way to register that fury
24
83
446
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
I suspect this impeachment argument will gain momentum in coming weeks, from @ezralevin : "There are reason this could be a political winner. There are reason it could be a political loser. Given that’s it’s unclear, [Dems] should just do the right thing."
11
117
411
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
The big bet from Biden from the start of his campaign to that speech: Americans really want a normal president again
11
25
421
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Your party controls the White House in a midterm year. The president is unpopular. And now members in swing districts starting to retire.
19
101
392
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Been a while since someone like Joe Biden took office! The last four presidents, combined, held elected office for just over 30 years before taking the office. Biden alone has held office for more than 45 years.
21
43
398
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
Warren at 19 percent of black voters is probably more important than even her topline figure in this poll. Still just one poll, but suggests her overall growth is a function of more than just increasing her popularity with well-educated white voters
@ryanstruyk
Ryan Struyk
5 years
New Quinnipiac poll by race: White: Warren 33% Biden 23% Sanders 13% Black: Biden 40% Warren 19% Sanders 12%
18
72
163
8
93
371
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Jon Tester announces he'll vote against Gorsuch, and against cloture. 2nd deep red-state Dems to do so, following McCaskill
19
140
366
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Pretty telling state of affairs for Democrats that Jason Kander, who *lost* last year, is one of its new rockstar. He's addressing DNC now.
75
88
364
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
Hmmm. Gillibrand endorses Marie Newman in #IL -03, who's running against *incumbent* Democrat Dan Lipinski. (Lipinski, btw, opposes abortion rights.)
Tweet media one
18
117
347
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
*arms folded, leans back in chair* be a reaaaallllllllllllyyyy [goes on for 60 seconds] interesting Trump rally tonight
2
52
351
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
New: general election poll conducted by GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies shows Biden leading Trump in Pennsylvania and Arizona — but trailing DeSantis. Will bolster RD’s case he’s more electable than the former president
227
97
335
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
Two Democratic campaigns in California were hacked in a story probably not getting the attention it deserves
9
294
319
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
NEW: The DNC has hired data and technology group Hawkfish, according to a source with knowledge of the decision. The Bloomberg-founded group is disliked by some progressives and had previously been in discussions w/Biden to help run its digital campaign
30
143
321
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
As the Democratic presidential primary heats up, some groups focused on down-ballot races worried the party will lose focus on everything but the top of the ticket “It is not an existential crisis, but it can very quickly become an existential crisis.”
16
114
312
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
it has been frustrating the last few days to walk around AdMo and see coffee shops, bars, and restaurants full like everything is normal. it's not 'keep calm and carry on' it needs to be 'keep calm and radically change your daily life because otherwise people will die'
18
50
325
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
3 years
this is the 37th time Joe Biden has won the 2020 presidential election in the last two months
3
52
293
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Bloomberg wants Biden to be able to declare victory on ED We hope "we’re able to win the state, which in our view will allow Joe Biden to declare victory on the night of the election and keep [DT] from other attempts at tearing this country apart.”
11
80
282
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Team Bloomberg says that in the coming days it'll release a Spanish-language ads -- part of what the former mayor's aides say will be an intensive focus on Latino and Black outreach through Election Day in the mega-battleground
3
76
275
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Eye-opening quote from Steve Daines in this @jmartNYT story, summing up not just the challenge in his race but the challenge all GOPers face currently face in even red areas
Tweet media one
21
105
276
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Trump is getting killed on Fox News right now FWIW. Hosts can hardly believe what they saw.
30
118
267
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
Bob Casey goes there: "This Nixonian"
Tweet media one
12
173
264
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
6 years
Rothfus, facing another incumbent who spent the early part of this year racking up a lot of name ID and goodwill in a special election, was always likely to be the first incumbent to get cut off for the GOP. question these next ~6 weeks is who else gets triaged
6
34
252
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
Progressive polling outfit @NavigatorSurvey did some a focus group during the speech, with a mixed group of partisans. Headline finding: 30% of the group started the night having positive view of Biden's handling of Ukraine. By end of speech, that figure rose to 57%
4
75
277
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
i think as a general rule, it's smart to ignore a poll whose methodology you doubt even when its results play against type, i.e. Rasmussen showing better-than-expected numbers for a Democrat
@PpollingNumbers
Political Polls
4 years
#Ohio @Rasmussen_Poll : Biden 51% (+4) Trump 47% (LV 9/1-2)
121
176
1K
11
34
268
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
To some, there's a simple story in this election. A lot of people who didn't like Trump voted for him 2016. But after the pandemic and Floyd protests, those people moved away from him en masse -- and everything else is gravy for Democrats My story:
24
65
267
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
you may never find a nuttier single news day for a Senate race
@MurphinNC
Brian Murphy
4 years
The North Carolina Senate race — which may determine which party controls the chamber — got really, really interesting today. and #ncpol
13
52
103
15
33
268
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
2 years
a poor result for Trump given that Biden is at a low point politically while the former president been in the news much less (usually an absence that's helped Trump) -- though the Electoral College/popular vote split still looms
@KThomasDC
Ken Thomas
2 years
New @WSJ poll: Biden 46% Trump 45% in a hypothetical rematch in 2024.
20
22
33
36
41
258
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
looks like I picked the wrong night to stop sniffing glue
@scottmbland
Scott Bland
7 years
Polls close in 2.5 hours in the Montana special election #MTAL
3
19
21
17
38
253
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
our top computer scientists could spend a hundred years designing an AI to write the worst, most inane tweets ... and it would still never reach heights like these
@darrenrovell
Darren Rovell
5 years
When we look back on LeBron James, and his living up to the incredible hype that he did, being willing to put the No. 23 on his back played no small part. He was saying to all of us, I’m ready. And he was.
93
75
670
9
20
252
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Two candidates who, combined, received nearly half the vote in the New Hampshire primary are out of the race less than a month later.
10
51
245
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
It's obviously true that Trump can still win. What's also true, and where the analysis should focus (because we aren't fortune-tellers), is that if he does come back, he'll have to do so from a weaker position than he held at this time in '16, according to a broad set of metrics.
13
58
249
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
After flipping through the local 5 p.m. local news broadcasts here in Raleigh, I would describe the earned media situation for Cal Cunningham right now as somewhere between harsh and brutal
33
83
222
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
5 years
this is not new, but worth reiterating every once in a while how the broader GOP message is indistinguishable from Trump's (in this case, suggesting Dems' 'border security' plan is about registering undocumented immigrants)
@NRCC
NRCC
5 years
We got our hands on the upcoming Dem border security plan. Here's a sneak peek!
148
42
96
25
69
242
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
is Joe Biden still talking to voters? can we just cut to that instead of the post-town hall commentary?
13
27
245
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
That this appears to be a disappointing election for Democrats up and down the ballot -- while their presidential nominee retains a real chance of winning *Georgia* -- encapsulates just how unexpected and strange these results are (so far)
8
35
253
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
Is the political climate worse for Republicans now than it was in 2018?
@Redistrict
Dave Wasserman
4 years
New at @CookPolitical : seven House rating changes, all in Democrats' direction. Read all about it in our new 7,000 word overview of the most competitive races ($).
Tweet media one
35
284
1K
24
27
245
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
- This @ShaneGoldmacher is going to get another round of attention Committee opted against heavy IE spending this cycle, especially at the end. Decision will get a lot of scrutiny moving forward
6
53
255
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
1 year
"... Furthermore, we have to look at whether common psychiatric drugs, as well as genetically engineered cannabis and other narcotics, are causing psychotic breaks."
36
75
253
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
7 years
It's usually a good indication of how the game is going when one team complains about the refs
@philipaklein
Philip Klein
7 years
Mulvaney says person in charge of CBO healthcare model is "Hillarycare alum" planted by Dems to score Obamacare
184
78
67
6
103
243
@Alex_Roarty
Alex Roarty
4 years
when your first-time voters are a lot of middle-aged former Republicans/independents in the suburbs
13
56
238