This is the first "bad" poll for Poilievre. It shows Charest would win Atlantic Canada, would be competitive in Quebec, would do better than Poilievre in Ontario... all at the expense of losing some Prairie and Alberta votes (which the CPC could afford).
Some serious movement in Alberta, as Abacus now measures ANDP in front.
Alberta provincial voting intentions from Abacus Data:
🟠NDP 51%
🔵UCP 41%
🟣ABP 5%
[Abacus Data, May 9-12, 2023, n=885]
→
#ABpoli
Some of you had noticed: I no longer write for Maclean's. I truly enjoyed my time there, but the new editors are taking the magazine elsewhere. Best of luck to them.
Il reste encore une heure, mais c’est le meilleur débat politique des dernières années. On les entend parler, c’est cohérent, pas de cacophonie. Enfin.
#quebec2022
“Agree or disagree? I’m willing to get a booster each year, for as long as it is recommended.”
🟢62% Agree
🔴30% Disagree
⚪️8% Not sure
[Angus Reid Institute, July 13-15, 2022, n=1,583]
"Which of the following people would be the best leader of the CPC?"
Among CPC voters:
Poilievre 41%
Charest 10%
MacKay 9%
Brown 3%
Lewis 2%
[Léger, March 4-6, 2022]
A Bryan Burke quote about an 18-wheeler going off a cliff strangely comes to mind...
Federal poll from Mainstreet / iPolitics:
CPC 37%
LPC 31%
NDP 19%
BQ 5% (23% in Qc)
PPC 4%
GPC 3%
Details:
[Mainstreet, Aug. 24-26, 2021, n=1,619]
"Regardless of whether these measures are still in place where you live, do you support wearing a mask in public indoor spaces?"
🇨🇦
Support 73%
[Angus Reid, March 1-4, 2022, n=2,550]
Merci aux lecteurs et lectrices de Qc125 qui ont commenté et partagé tout au long de cette campagne!
J'aurai une analyse des résultats et des sondages sous peu, mais là, vous me pardonnerez, mon cerveau est un peu en compote ce matin. :-)
📈📉📊
Il a été mon coach de hockey, même si j'étais pourri. Il m'a encouragé lors de mes études, même quand je voulais tout abandonner. Fan de Star Trek, il me parlait souvent d'espace et de voyages interstellaires.
Il a été un merveilleux père qui nous a quittés trop tôt.
RIP, Papa.
**Politique-fiction**
Et si seulement les électeurs de 18-34 ans votaient?
🟠QS 88
🔵CAQ 27
🔴PLQ 7
⚫️PCQ 2
⚜️PQ 1
[En utilisant les données du dernier sondage Léger/Québecor]
I feel a bit sorry for English Canada. This French debate is **lightyears** ahead in quality and discipline. Maybe it's harder to cut/interrupt others in a second language?
Canadian federal voting intentions from Abacus Data / Toronto Star:
🔵CPC 38%
🔴LPC 26%
🟠NDP 19%
⚜️BQ 7%
🟢GPC 4%
🟣PPC 4%
→
[Abacus Data, August 18-23, 2023, n=2,189]
#canpoli
New Mainstreet Research poll for
@ipoliticsca
has the Liberals with 41% nationally - 12 points ahead of the Conservatives - "suggesting the damage in popularity they suffered from the WE Charity controversy is behind them,"
[Aug.11-22, 2020, n=1594, IVR]
Have you been vaccinated against COVID19?
🇨🇦
91% Yes
9% No
Yes, by 2021 federal vote:
🔴LPC 99%
🟠NDP 98%
⚜️BQ 97%
🟢GPC 96%
🔵CPC 88%
🟣PPC 41%
[Angus Reid, Nov. 26-29, 2021, n=2,005]
"Climate change is a fact and is mostly caused by human activities"
% of current voters agree:
🟠NDP 90%
🔴LPC 89%
⚜️BQ 78%
🟢GPC 77%
🔵CPC 33%
[Angus Reid, March 20-22, 2024, n=1602]
Why Reduce Carbon Emissions if Carbon Emissions Aren't a Problem? ↓
La critique est facile, je sais. Je ne voudrais pas être à leur place, je le reconnais. Mais le couvre-feu affecte les gens différemment: facile quand on a une cour arrière et un sous-sol, pas autant dans un 3½ ou 4½.
I hear this "electoral reform" thing is popular around these parts.
Here are seat projections with proportional representation using current federal numbers.
It's pure politics-fiction, just for fun. I know voting patterns would change, etc.
Les non-vaccinés sont, statistiquement, des meilleurs vecteurs d’infections.
Se faire vacciner, ça ne protège pas seulement soi-même, mais tout notre entourage aussi.
Les non-vaccinés mettent en danger les autres, car ils sont de possibles nids d’éclosions de nouveaux variants.
Holy, those Léger numbers this morning.
Combination of high government approval and CPC leadership candidates not doing themselves any favours of late?
#canpoli
Je m’asseois dans un pub pour prendre une bière tranquille et lire les nouvelles. La serveuse arrive, me voit, grand yeux et main sur la bouche: “OMG êtes-vous mon ancien prof d’astronomie? Votre cours était tellement cool!!”
Il n’y a pas de meilleur feeling au monde. 🍺🍀
"Once you are vaccinated, would you like to receive, free of charge, a vaccine passport that you could carry with you and show when asked?"
🇨🇦
76% Yes
9% No
9% Will not get vaccinated
6% Don't know
[Léger, Mat 7-9, 2021, n=1,529]
When you elect populist demagogues, things might go "sort of okay" as long as the country/state/province is on cruise control. But when a true crisis arises, one that requires leadership and competence? You're in trouble.
"Climate change is a fact and is mostly caused by human activities."
% agree per 2019 🇨🇦 federal vote:
BQ 92%
NDP 91%
LPC 90%
GRN 89%
CPC 34%
[Angus Reid Institute, April 20-25, 2021, n=2,008]
Dear readers, I am pleased to inform you that I joined the vary talented teams of writers at
@politico
. I am over the Moon. Thank you very kindly for reading and sharing.
338Canada: Why Canada’s conservatives are keeping quiet on abortion
Counting up all vaccine deals per capita, Canada leads the pack, with nearly nine doses per person. “Canada has done exactly what we would expect a high-income country to do, and they’ve done the right thing by their country,” says Andrea Taylor at Duke.
I don’t pretend to be an expert on 🇷🇺🇺🇦, so I keep quiet, read, learn.
I’ll say this though: Democracy had been taking a beating in many places lately. Perhaps Putin’s aggression awakens alliances & reignites the will to defend democracy. Through this horror, there may be hope.
No one mocked Harper's or Layton's French, because it showed they were trying.
Yes, learning a new language is hard, but you'd be surprised how much tolerance french speakers have towards those who make efforts.
It's those who don't even bother trying that should "get stuffed".
Oh — and let’s say MacKay vows to learn French and works hard at it. The people who assume he should already speak French will be mocking his accent in the debates and his competence throughout; you’re almost better off telling critics to get stuffed now instead of trying.
Four consecutive weeks of NDP rising and CPC dropping in Nanos federal numbers (paywalled here: ).
NDP and CPC are now well within margin of error of each other. Can this be?
New federal poll from Ipsos / Global News measures CPC support at only 26% nationally, putting the Liberals in majority territory.
LPC 38%
CPC 26%
NDP 20%
BQ 8% (34% in Qc)
GPC 7%
→
[Ipsos / Global News, June 17-22, 2021, n=1,501]
#canpoli
Dons aux partis politiques québécois depuis le dèbut de 2022:
⚫️PCQ 402 000 $
⚜️PQ 340 000 $
🟠QS 247 000 $
🔵CAQ 206 000 $
🔴PLQ 123 000 $
Source: info transmise à
@Lactualite
par le Directeur général des élections du Québec
#polqc
Le PQ en tête, la CAQ dégringole
Un nouveau sondage Pallas Data place désormais le Parti québécois en tête des intentions de vote, à la faveur d’une déconvenue caquiste.
It's not over yet, but it looks like 338 did pretty well tonight.
It's not perfect. It's not **meant** to be perfect (statistics!!). But pretty good nonetheless.
Thank you, dear readers. 🙏
Un lecteur sur FB a commenté que "Quebec is a Liberal monolith." Je vérifie son profil: il est de l'Alberta.
Alors je réponds avec l'image ci-dessous.
Puis il m'a bloqué.
#canpoli
#elxn43
It's really hard for either the LPC or CPC to reach the majority threshold (170 seats) when the NDP and Bloc take a combined 60+ seats.
Unless one party collapses, we are heading for a 5th minority in 7 federal elections in this century.
#Elxn44