Willy Woo Profile
Willy Woo

@woonomic

1,108,612
Followers
179
Following
1,777
Media
10,108
Statuses

#Bitcoin analyst. I do charts, everything else is above my pay grade. Ironically, I'm co-founder of CMCC Crest, delivering high yields for USD.

Hong Kong
Joined February 2008
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
Pinned Tweet
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 days
#Bitcoin is at 4.7% world adoption, this is the same as Jan 1999 for Internet Adoption. You are still early... and that's backed by the best data available.
Tweet media one
@woonomic
Willy Woo
6 days
426m #Bitcoin holders today. 0.5 billion by Oct. - All past studies of user count visualised - Early data via on-chain clustering by @glassnode - Then add KYC'd exchange users from Cambridge and Crypto·com studies, adjusting for BTC-only - Then project growth rate forward
Tweet media one
74
227
1K
169
825
3K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
In terms of adoption, Bitcoin has roughly the same users as the Internet had in 1997. But Bitcoin's growing faster. Next 4 years on current path will bring Bitcoin users to 1b people, that's the equivalent of 2005 for the Internet.
Tweet media one
3K
7K
20K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
This month's shout out goes to China, for selflessly helping #bitcoin remove the last area of major centralisation in its network at her own loss, and the loss of her children and her children's children. 🙏
287
1K
12K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Elon asks the community whether DOGE (a proof of work coin, secured by energy) should be accepted by Tesla, and in the very next tweet announces Tesla is no longer accepting BTC due to energy reasons. Tell us what's really going on @elonmusk .
Tweet media one
925
1K
11K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Banning #Bitcoin would require banning the Internet and computers. Good luck with that.
488
1K
11K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
@hunterwalk Fact check. There are 84m families in the US. $100k per family is $8.4 trillion. Total US student debt is $1.8 trillion. His stake in Twitter was worth $2.9 billion before the market reacted.
210
248
11K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
This is what it’s like posting on Twitter.
@manvir
Manvir
2 years
Tweet media one
145
1K
5K
541
1K
10K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
The technical name for this chart is "2022 is gonna be a good year".
Tweet media one
283
2K
9K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Next 3 years, shitting on BTC will be political suicide.
288
704
9K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Elon, a single opinion, talking up and down the market tells me how niche and small crypto is (2% of the world is tiny).
319
679
8K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
The last time retail bought the dip this hard was at the bottom of the COVID crash. Probably nothing, few, etc etc.
Tweet media one
320
2K
8K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
#Bitcoin took 6 months to get 1000 users; 5 years to find 1 million users. Today, 13.8 years from inception, it has 300m+ users, 4% of the world. At current growth rates, 1 billion users will be hit in the next 3 years. That's 12% of the world.
Tweet media one
1K
2K
8K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Wired $16k USD to pay a small bill. Receiving bank blocked it. Wanted me to provide: - a police report - a resume They say USD is a good medium of exchange, but this is a lie, it's terrible. USD has been weaponised via the banking system, it's now a medium of national defence.
408
954
8K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Coming out of paternity leave today. Proud daddy mode. ❤️❤️
Tweet media one
594
71
8K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#Bitcoin : backed by clean renewable energy USD Petrodollar: backed by the Eye of Sauron
@APompliano
Pomp 🌪
3 years
A pipeline ruptured in the Gulf of Mexico and now the ocean is on fire 🤯
1K
4K
13K
224
1K
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Even politicians are bullish on BTC.
@BitcoinMagazine
Bitcoin Magazine
2 years
Hillary Clinton: #Bitcoin threatens US dollar as reserve currency.
Tweet media one
2K
1K
8K
327
728
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#Bitcoin price would need to move to $53k to address the demand/supply imbalance in the market.
236
755
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
What makes the last 8 consecutive days very special from an on-chain perspective is that EVERYONE is buying, from shrimps to whales. We've not seen a pattern like this looking back 10 years.
199
995
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
China banned BTC transactions and mining only 150 days ago. Today the network is more decentralised than ever and price has risen +50% . Antifragile.
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
This month's shout out goes to China, for selflessly helping #bitcoin remove the last area of major centralisation in its network at her own loss, and the loss of her children and her children's children. 🙏
287
1K
12K
218
966
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#Bitcoin has entered the Never Gonna Give You Up phase of the Astley Cycle.
Tweet media one
392
1K
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 months
So you think we're in a bull market? We're not, this has been the warm up. A full fundamentals driven bull market is marked by a break of the upper blue band. When it breaks, TradFi is in for a shock.
Tweet media one
273
1K
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
I think I’ll call this one “buying the dip”
Tweet media one
347
791
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Crypto markets are now at full reset, the last time was October 2020.
502
730
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
It's okay #Bitcoin , don't feel lonely, here's some things that China also banned: Movies about time travel Alice in Wonderland Brad Pitt Gaming Consoles Winnie the Pooh Harrison Ford The letter 'N' Avatar 2D (3D was okay though) Richard Gere Jasmine flowers Having a big family
389
996
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
1) wire money to myself 2) doesn't arrive after 2.5 weeks 3) call bank 4) "we couldn't find the correspondent bank" 5) request return of funds 6) "please come into a branch and sign a form" 7) pay a processing fee of $250 Are we in the dark ages? Banks are already obsolete.
272
813
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Assuming all 4.5m adults in El Salvador take up this offer, it’s roughly a 2.5% overnight boost to #bitcoin ’s global user count.
@DocumentingBTC
Documenting ₿itcoin 📄
3 years
President of El Salvador @NayibBukele has announced each registered citizen of their wallet app will receive $30 in free #Bitcoin “The wallet app will even work anywhere with a cell connection, and you won't have to have a cell plan for the app.”
Tweet media one
668
5K
21K
175
941
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
The rate things are going the next world war will not be between superpowers, but between citizens and their governments.
485
736
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#marketupdate It's probably a good time to share this one publicly. On-chain data: @glassnode Liquidations data: @bybt_com
Tweet media one
194
2K
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
@elonmusk @BTC_Archive Damage already done. The market was already soft and tentatively recovering when your unresearched FUD on energy came out. There's only so much that can be absorbed by the market.
217
350
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
@RonnieMoas The bull market is not over yet. But I have to tweet quick because my boss here at McDonalds is very strict on coffee breaks.
154
294
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
23% of Americans own crypto-assets while 56% own stocks. The former market is 12 years old while the latter is 203 years old. This is a rising political force.
307
910
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Chart: User growth on the BTC network. No-coiners are taking this opportunity to buy the dip. In case you're wondering, the bull market is very much intact. Data: @glassnode
Tweet media one
192
1K
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
All I want for Xmas is a short squeeze. Merry Xmas! 🎄
465
383
7K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
The estimated user count seen on Bitcoin’s blockchain is growing faster now than any other time in its 12 year history. Even during this dip? Yes, especially during this dip.
205
825
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Bitcoin is digital gold? Gold FAILED. The Gold Standard failed. Gold's failure lead to fiat. Why? It was centralised. When governments ran out of gold, money decoupled from gold and we got fiat. Bitcoin is decentralised gold, it removes gold's failures.
435
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
"The Last Cycle" What will be this bull cycle top? IMO there is no top. PAST: *predictable walk* of demand/supply governed by a simple 4yr halvening. NOW: *unpredictable walk* of demand/supply from a complex ecosystem until we hit saturation.
Tweet media one
452
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
In a macro cycle context, long term investors are still climbing towards their peak accumulation, which marks bottoms. Early signs to me that the bull market may continue into 2022 and BTC is in the process of breaking free from the 4 year internal cycle from the halvenings.
381
878
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
#Bitcoin price is sideways because of Wall St is selling futures contract in a macro risk-off trade. Meanwhile institutional money is scooping spot BTC at peak rates and moving to cold storage. It's times like these I remember the Q4 2020 supply shock squeeze.
Tweet media one
598
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
What’s my prediction for the top of this cycle? Since I think this is the last cycle, the one that takes us to saturation, which if it wins, we can’t put a USD value on it because things get valued in BTC. Thus the cycle top is easy to pick. It will be 1 BTC = 1 BTC.
447
553
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
The HODLer kind of buyers are stepping in, very much a buy the dip scenario.
219
501
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Every time I take half of my working day to walk into a bank, or make 3 calls and wait weeks to get things done, I think “banking is like printed newspapers; the Internet is coming to eat you alive and you really don’t even know it yet.”
161
787
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Retail has arrived. The last 4 weeks. Welcome to the middle phase of the bull market. This one is like no other.
173
613
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Money moving on Bitcoin's blockchain is back near all time highs. It's presently doing ~$190k per second. Compare this to $130k per second by Visa for US customers and $55k per second for Mastercard. Lightning Network not included.
Tweet media one
225
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
5 months
It's very likely we are on the eve of a #Bitcoin spot ETF. The first commodity ETF was SPDR Gold Trust. It provided a simple way for investors to access gold in their portfolio. When it launched gold went on to an 8 year rally with no single down year between 2005 - 2012.
Tweet media one
315
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
China topped the world in power and technology, but by the 1400s they burned their ships and ceased interacting with the world. This lead to lost centuries of progress; only now climbing out of. The Digital Age is here. China has walled the Internet and banned crypto. Deja vu?
236
715
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
$100k BTC is critical for sats being the unit of account. 0.1 cents per sat is something most people can grasp easily.
295
402
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Institutional sell-off to book in profits complete. January sees capital redeployment. Holiday season is now retail only. Sophisticated traders building long positions on calendar futures. Holders holding the line on-chain. Happy Holiday season everyone.
164
674
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
We'll never see $20k BTC again. $24k support would need a black swan event to breakdown. Floor price supported by long term buyers is rising very fast.
354
703
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Today's dump, brought to you, in part, by spoofers on Binance.
Tweet media one
470
744
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Fiat: exactly 50 yrs old today #Bitcoin : 12.7 yrs so far Both are experiments. One is failing, the other is gaining.
126
827
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Bloomberg called the bottom very precisely once again.
Tweet media one
183
395
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Anyone selling right now is cray cray. Seriously strong long term holders are buying this dip.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
258
1K
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Oh my, Rick Astley is back. Coins are moving back to the HODLer who never deserts his BTC.
Tweet media one
208
808
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Contour map of every bitcoin at the price they last changed hands between investors. Huge price validation between $50k-$60k. #Bitcoin as a $1T asset class IMO is now cemented; hard to see it dropping below this zone. This data is @glassnode 's URPD visualised.
Tweet media one
363
875
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Remember when all the traditional analysts said the Grayscale unlock would unleash billions in selling this last week? Yeah, no.
158
372
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
6 months
We'll probably never see BTC going below $30k again if this on-chain pattern holds true... (8 for 8 so far) What you see here is #Bitcoin 's price discovery across 13 yrs. It's a contour map the BTC supply according to the price HODLers paid for their coins, and how it changed…
Tweet media one
633
1K
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
People often think the market is buying or selling. In truth every buyer has a seller. Price moves up or down according to who is patient and who is urgent. Urgent sellers push price down, urgent buyers push price up.
158
702
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Congrats to the Fed 🙌. New high score!!! If you’re not getting 22% ROI on your investments in 2021, you’re going backwards. Black: M2 monetary inflation Red: CPI inflation
Tweet media one
299
1K
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#marketupdate , breaking it down, post mortem. We just saw the single largest 1-day drop in mining hash rate since Nov 2017. The hash rate on the network essentially halved, causing mayhem in BTC price as it crashed.
Tweet media one
235
1K
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
And folks, we have our squeeze.
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
9 more hours from daily close. If price holds these levels, RSI breakout will confirm. RSI leads price breaks with quite high reliability. Meanwhile on-chain fundamentals: supply shock is in play and only getting stronger. A short squeeze setup.
Tweet media one
169
581
4K
158
563
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Here's the projected worldwide Bitcoin users expressed in Internet years: Internet 1997 = Bitcoin 2021 Internet 2005 = Bitcoin 2025 Internet 2010 = Bitcoin 2028 Here's how the Internet changed...
Tweet media one
161
1K
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Uh Oh, $100k price targets too low. Upward bendy motion detected on Top Cap model. Now on track for $200k minimum.
Tweet media one
252
970
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
#Bitcoin Twitter, apologies for the lack of tweets lately. Let me do a bulk tweet to tie us over for the rest of the year. Saves us both time as your feed has more or less been this everyday. We are still early Bitcoin fixes this Stack sats Few PS. This will date well
177
401
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
7 days
BREAKING: HK #Bitcoin ETF launches tomorrow. And here's a little secret from this part of the world... The Asian market in user count is BIGGER than the US and European markets combined. (2022 Huobi report)
Tweet media one
337
1K
6K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Bitcoin approaching another region of notable price stability. Short term technicals are weak while on-chain, investors are in accumulation. All the makings of a volatility squeeze. Breaking 50 likely a fast track to 60.
186
566
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
If you're looking for an entry to HODL Bitcoin long term, don't nickel and dime an entry. You're not going to sweat a few thousand dollars of non-perfect entry when it's $100k,$200k,$300k in a year. The main bull phase is here. Capital inflows has gone nuts.
141
711
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
The Elon Dump now in recovery. Net inflows to exchanges (selling), reversed into outflows (buying). Some insider front-ran that tweet IMO. Data: @glassnode
Tweet media one
244
822
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Past bear market capitulations (red) followed by accumulation zones (green) according to stablecoin flows.
Tweet media one
353
938
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Users on the Bitcoin network is now growing at its fastest rate ever. 1.2m users were added in the last 30 days. Does not include off-chain users on exchanges which typically sees up to 3x this number.
Tweet media one
198
976
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
1) Valuation of the banking sector: $7.3T 2) Valuation of inflation hedges (store of value assets): approx $500T DeFi is competing for (1). Bitcoin is competing for (2).
315
770
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Whales currently hold 24% of the supply. Holdings as at 1st Jan of past years: 2021 - 27% 2020 - 27% 2019 - 29% 2018 - 32% 2017 - 39% 2016 - 44% 2015 - 46% 2014 - 48% 2013 - 52% 2012 - 54% Excludes Satoshi's coins (assumed lost), exchanges, ETFs, and public companies.
267
654
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
#Bitcoin too free to fail.
138
476
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
21 days
The new #Bitcoin ETFs brings price targets of $91k at the bear market bottom and $650k at the bull market top once ETF investors have fully deployed according to asset manager recommendations***. These are very conservative numbers. #Bitcoin will beat gold cap when ETFs have…
227
826
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Pink dotted line doing the upwardy bendy thingy, just saying.
284
305
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
#Bitcoin is being accumulated.
Tweet media one
212
662
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
"Carbon emission records reveal Bitcoin was invented in the 1940s." ~ Financial Times
Tweet media one
94
639
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
While BTC is building up strength for ATH escape velocity, ETH is quietly building even stronger on-chain fundamentals not yet reflected in price.
Tweet media one
177
669
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
MicroStrategy, a smallish public company, backed #Bitcoin and now gets more engagement on its brand in public interviews than Microsoft (4th most capital company). Talent is easier to hire, sales are up because people know them. The Bitcoin Effect. Paraphrasing @saylor
132
378
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Whales: "Nom nom nom... BTC so yummy today."
Tweet media one
150
600
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Not quite there but hopefully soon. Waiting for the pinkish dotted line to do the upwardy bendy thingy.
Tweet media one
276
388
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 months
BTC at 71k puts us *here* in visual of the upper and lower bound models. Upper bound right now is 337k. So this bull market is still early, equivalent to 20k of last cycle. Last cycle didn't hit the upper bound due to the flood of paper BTC, this is less dominant this cycle.
Tweet media one
224
785
5K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Fatality rates: ~29% : Black Plague (1350) ~6% : Spanish Flu (1918) ~3.3% : World War 2 ~2% : World War 1 0.06% : COVID19 0.02% : Driving in the US (1960) 0.01% : Seasonal Flu 0.01% : Driving in the US (2019)
473
901
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Looking at wallet flows, $54k is the strongest area of BTC price discovery by long term investors since $11k. Typically, BTC forms a strong base of price discovery 2-3x above the (prior cycle) all-time-high before launching into bull market highs. This phase is almost complete.
Tweet media one
140
692
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Criticising Bitcoin for its energy use is like saying to farmers they are causing world famine because they eat too much food.
237
459
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
How to get rich in 2 simple steps: 1) have a very good understanding of risk 2) have solid self awareness of the risk you can emotionally stomach Few people understand (1) and even fewer know what their tolerance to (2) is when the shit hits the fan.
218
692
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Can somebody work out the carbon footprint of the USD petrodollar regime holding back renewable technology for 50 years? Quit with the “ #Bitcoin uses more energy than the use of electric cars” BS.
212
676
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
Early signs that institutional money is starting to come back in.
Tweet media one
188
658
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 months
Full demand for #Bitcoin unleashed. My banker, 33 yrs in wealth management, wasn’t bullish last year, but he changed his mind when the spot ETF approved. That’s because he knows how institutions sell investments to the wealthy. BTC is now on the recommend list for everyone.
94
503
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Price and hash rate has always been correlated. This is BTC price vs today's hash rate collapse (from the Xinjiang blackout).
Tweet media one
218
997
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
22 days
#BTC down 10% immediately at the outbreak of the Iran - Israel war. Pulling up this old chart I did at the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, also down 10%. Recovery happens within days.
Tweet media one
176
832
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Why does my Model S use 5% of its battery while being parked for 30hrs doing nothing. Will parked @Tesla cars be the biggest pointless waste of electricity soon?
436
362
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
4 years
Fiat: 48.8 years old Bitcoin: 11.4 years old In case you’re wondering, fiat money is also an experiment.
155
870
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
2009-2020: #Bitcoin was the enemy of commercial and retail banking. 2021 onwards: Retail and Commercial Banks flip sides to provide BTC services. Central Banks become the competition with CBDCs.
110
533
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
10% of Bitcoin's money supply last moved at prices above $1T market cap. This is strong validation of BTC as a trillion dollar asset bucket, a new asset class has arrived. 🐣
86
475
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Since 1971 global money has been backed by stored energy in the form of oil. With the advent of cost effective renewables, the petrodollar regime will end. In this light #Bitcoin can be seen as a monetary transition. We are moving from stored energy as oil to electricity.
272
698
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Chart: Weekly net flows to small holders (of less than 1 BTC). It's retail that drive Bitcoin bull markets. When they stop buying, that's a bear market warning. They haven't stopped buying. Last 30 days: Whales sold 4k BTC, plebs bought 31k BTC Data provider: @glassnode
Tweet media one
246
698
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Leverage markets sold off but investor buying just got stronger. BTC flash crashes are caused by deleveraging, the COVID crash was similar in that derivatives overreacted, but back then it was supported by investors. This one was completely divergent and a mystery. Cheap coins
Tweet media one
179
642
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
2 years
PoW is the only known way to digitise real world value (energy) WITHOUT trusting someone. PoS distributes wealth according to the founder's wish. Enough of a stake and you get to control the network. I think PoS has its place for some applications, but never as hard money.
626
676
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
Translation: The capital stored in the #Bitcoin network just broke an all-time-highs. The network has more money in it today at $47k than it did at $64k in April. Realised Cap estimates this by summing the price paid for every coin in BTC's circulating supply.
@glassnodealerts
glassnode alerts
3 years
📈 #Bitcoin $BTC Realized Cap just reached an ATH of $378,768,190,450.72 View metric:
Tweet media one
15
98
602
118
757
4K
@woonomic
Willy Woo
3 years
A short 8 year history of dips below NVT Price. NVT Price estimates an organic valuation supported by long term investors (by using on-chain volume moving between them).
Tweet media one
188
745
4K