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The Upshot

@UpshotNYT

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Analytical journalism in words and graphics from The New York Times. Our newsletter:

New York, NY
Joined October 2008
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@UpshotNYT
The Upshot
3 years
"I did not think this level of failure in a federal response was possible in the United States."
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The Upshot
3 years
So far, absentee votes in Pennsylvania have favored Mr. Biden by 78 percent to 21 percent, according to the Secretary of State’s office. If the still-uncounted absentee votes followed this pattern, as seems likely, he would win Pennsylvania.
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The Upshot
6 years
Even when children grow up next to each other with parents who earn similar incomes, black boys fare worse than white boys in 99 percent of America.
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The Upshot
8 years
Donald Trump now has only a 7% chance of winning, our election forecast says.
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The Upshot
6 years
Apology accepted.
@ashleyfeinberg
Ashley Feinberg (ashleyfeinberg.bsky.social)
6 years
i’d like to apologize to the new york times’ nightmare needle
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The Upshot
7 years
When will we know we have a winner?
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The Upshot
3 years
If you missed it the first time,now's a good moment to get caught up.
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The Upshot
6 years
The Pennsylvania Supreme Court has ordered a new congressional map in one of the country's most gerrymandered states. Here's another look at that map.
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The Upshot
8 years
Hints that Trump's feud with Alicia Machado is spurring Latinos to register to vote.
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The Upshot
7 years
At 10:30 pm Eastern, the forecaster says:
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The Upshot
6 years
New research shows that even black boys who grow up wealthy are more likely to wind up poor than to stay rich.
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The Upshot
4 years
The red-blue divide in stimulus aid in Washington, in charts.
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The Upshot
6 years
Taking a step back. Leigh Corfman decided to tell her story. It's hard to imagine this result without her.
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The Upshot
6 years
Homeowners of both parties support restricting development around them -- conservatives despite their admiration of free markets, liberals despite their professed concern for the poor.
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The Upshot
9 years
Why we should not be debating vaccination. http://t.co/G7HJx7zNsw http://t.co/dK2fLeHfq7
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The Upshot
3 years
“Nothing tastes as good as safety feels,” one epidemiologist said.
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The Upshot
5 years
That's it, we're all done. You can review all our midterm polls here. Generally speaking, Democrats closed well.
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The Upshot
7 years
We also had to update our Trump insult census for the last month.
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The Upshot
7 years
A study found that having a child helps your career, if you are a man. For women, it's the opposite.
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The Upshot
8 years
Who's afraid of Donald Trump? The stock market, and there's a way to tell, via @JustinWolfers
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The Upshot
4 years
A question lots of people are asking right now.
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The Upshot
7 years
Our updated electoral map forecast.
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The Upshot
5 years
An analysis derived from new data shows that growth in illegal immigration does not lead to higher local crime rates. A collaboration with @MarshallProj
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The Upshot
4 years
Will you pay more for your health insurance next year because the coronavirus is sickening so many Americans, and causing lengthy hospital stays? One analysis estimates as much as a 40% hike in commercial insurance costs for consumers.
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The Upshot
3 years
New studies suggest that there is no innate vulnerability to the virus among Black and Hispanic Americans. Instead, these groups are more often exposed because of social and environmental factors.
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The Upshot
7 years
Interesting fact: Georgia's Sixth is the most educated district held by a Republican in the entire country.
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The Upshot
5 years
Democrats who are most vocal on Twitter are measurably different than Democrats IRL. Here's how.
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The Upshot
7 years
An essential truth about medicine: People want health, not health care.
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The Upshot
8 years
The complete list of Trump Twitter insults. Sad!
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The Upshot
6 years
If the blue wave hits this November, Republican governors could suffer the most losses, via @FiveThirtyEight
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The Upshot
4 years
Over the shorter term, the decline in the president’s standing has been particularly pronounced among white voters without a college degree.
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The Upshot
6 years
The jobless rate is low; so are the president's approval ratings. Historically, there is something wrong with this picture.
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The Upshot
7 years
Nail-biter.
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The Upshot
6 years
One way to help teenagers stay out of trouble: keep them busy with math and science.
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The Upshot
6 years
Does more immigration mean more crime? In collaboration with the @MarshallProj we look at the data behind this widely held idea.
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The Upshot
3 years
Seventy-two percent of large health plans are no longer making Covid treatment free for patients, according to a recent study.
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The Upshot
6 years
A new study has found that MDMA — better known as Ecstasy — led to significant reductions in PTSD among combat vets, police and fire fighters. By study's end, most no longer qualified for a PTSD diagnosis
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The Upshot
8 years
Research shows that key drivers of growth are science, education and innovation, not low taxes and lax regulation.
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The Upshot
4 years
One thing that's overlooked. Biden's supporters in Iowa were an especially poor fit for a caucus. He very well might have been favored to win in Iowa had it been a primary, our poll showed.
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The Upshot
8 years
Donald Trump's chances of winning the White House have never been lower: 9% by our forecasting model.
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The Upshot
8 years
Epinephrine costs less than $1 per milliliter, and there’s less than a third of that in an EpiPen.
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The Upshot
7 years
The people who stand to lose the most under the Republican health plan tended to support Trump over Clinton.
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The Upshot
5 years
The recent increases in drug overdose deaths have been so steep that they have contributed to reductions in the country’s life expectancy.
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The Upshot
7 years
Just as the school vouchers get a powerful champion, research suggests they are a bad idea.
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The Upshot
6 years
Distance still matters immensely in determining whom — and, and as a result, what — we know.
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The Upshot
9 years
Daughters of working mothers seem to be more likely to work & earn more. Sons do more childcare & housework. http://t.co/KQDd82ePub
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The Upshot
8 years
A little more movement in our election forecast--favoring Hillary Clinton.
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The Upshot
7 years
Trump has insulted Nordstrom, but not Nazis.
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The Upshot
8 years
The chance Clinton wins the White House? Now 90%, a new high.
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The Upshot
5 years
An odd voting pattern was quite evident in North Carolina's Ninth District, and for that you can thank the state's good data.
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The Upshot
7 years
Hillary Clinton now has an 84% chance of winning the White House.
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The Upshot
8 years
The richer & more educated you are, the better the odds you need to travel far to get home to mom for the holidays.
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The Upshot
8 years
The Upshot's presidential model, updated daily from now till the election, is up.
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The Upshot
5 years
For a generation, Republicans have been consolidating power in state governments nationwide. This year, Democrats took a little back.
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The Upshot
9 years
That morning coffee? It's not going to do you any harm. May even be good for you. http://t.co/a9kFMMFWMt http://t.co/4SUCVlqivc
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The Upshot
6 years
Trump: "These aren't people. These are animals." Pesky facts:
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The Upshot
8 years
How we lived in 1870, 1920, 1970 compared with now.
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The Upshot
9 years
Married people are happier people. http://t.co/G910f7XDhg http://t.co/yrlSBjjoEz
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The Upshot
9 years
Good weekend reading: A look back at Brian Epstein and the Beatles. A @BeschlossDC tale. http://t.co/2CKLUxF1Qu http://t.co/ByWyGIIiom
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The Upshot
7 years
Nearly half of teenage girls said Trump had affected the way they thought about their bodies.
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The Upshot
9 years
Making computer science more inviting to women: what works? http://t.co/t01FYUvxzx http://t.co/dgu2hLrkja
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The Upshot
9 years
What is "middle-class economics?" @jbarro explains. http://t.co/P6NdOE5q3T http://t.co/zkHmumpZPc
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The Upshot
8 years
We figure Trump's chance of winning the White House is now at 11%.
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The Upshot
7 years
Knowing where North Korea is makes a difference in how you think about it.
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The Upshot
8 years
What characteristics correlate most with Trump voters? "Old economy" jobs? Trailer homes?
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The Upshot
7 years
Did Comey sway the election? The polling data offers reasons to doubt that.
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The Upshot
8 years
Stephen Curry's 3-point amazingness, in one chart.
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The Upshot
4 years
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The Upshot
4 years
Sadly, fried calamari peaked in 1996.
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The Upshot
8 years
Donald Trump's chances of winning the White House have dropped to 13%,
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The Upshot
6 years
Now updated with Trump's insults of Trudeau, as well as with a new chronological feature. It's easy to become inured, but this truly is a remarkable list:
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The Upshot
7 years
Obamacare, on the verge of disappearing and suddenly more popular.
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The Upshot
8 years
Drink up, moderately: what the science says on alcohol.
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The Upshot
8 years
Why talented black and Hispanic students can go undiscovered: bias from teachers and parents.
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The Upshot
8 years
Obamacare does appear to be making people healthier.
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The Upshot
6 years
We built a tool to gradually accentuate different frequencies in the original audio clip. Which word or name do you hear, and how far do you have to move the slider to hear the other?
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The Upshot
8 years
Donald Trump's chances of winning the White House have never been lower: now 8% by our forecasting model.
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