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t0:mmy

@t0mmyzero

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πŸ‰ πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ pixels // music // animation // solidity // @TheTIEIO senior research analyst // @pandilladeflujo // learning almost everything πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ πŸ‰

Joined November 2011
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
1/ Thread: process vs outcome In trading and in life, I’ve struggled to stay focused on process over outcome. When you learn a new skill, you get excited and are open to anything and everything to help you improve, and you’re rarely worried about how you might be perceived.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
2 years
Algostable $UST about -0.34% off peg with some rather large curve swaps starting to unbalance the pool. Be careful out there. $UST forced itself into the majority of DeFi and crypto, so if it depegs >2% then the entire space is going to take a massive hit.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
2 years
my conviction plays for 2022 $dpx robinhood for defi $btrfly veBlackhole $ohm enough said $pokt multichain rpc nodes @LayerZero_Labs omnichain, unified liquidity $silo next evolution of borrowing/lending -> isolated assets $fxs algostable shares $fpi CPI stable
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
I’m dead
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
umm... am i a fockin' lottery winner? @MadLadsNFT
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
Having a hot streak lately so i'm updating my process post. This is a conglomeration of everything I look at for every trade. Thanks @quantfiction for the constant supply of actionable data. Considering a seperate order flow post but for now you'll have to reverse engineer those
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
1/ Shower thoughts on stop loss: Always use a stop... is probably the most common piece of advice you’ll hear. From your babypip beginnings to your favorite experienced mentor, this trading truism is rarely questioned. You just do it, or lose big.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
1/ My strategy is mean reverting, so I need enough bullets to keep me in the game. When I’ve used too many too soon, it’s constrains my ability to follow the strategy effectively. This week has been that.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
1/ Not all trades are on a chart. Tomorrow I’ll be leaving my 40/hr week job to make my most important investmentβ€” myself. As time has progressed I’ve grown increasingly frustrated in my progress, not as a trader, but in things that I want to be better at; data analysis, coding..
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
1/ the $cope @unlimitedcope project from @cyrii_MM is fascinating on so many levels and i’m surprised to see it derogatorily referred to as a memecoin in some circles. the community backing from crypto-twitter far surpasses dogecoin, and this is just the beginning.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Stuffy finance: β€œthis is why I’ll never touch Bitcoin” Crypto chads: β€œthis is why my life savings are in Bitcoin” Traders: β€œwhy is Bitcoin not doing anything?”
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
i bought a @Claynosaurz and got a free phone
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
2 years
Officially put up an OP proposal for @pylon_protocol and @OlympusDAO here: The goal is to get liquidity into the hands of Pylon for the benefit of the community. Lunatics + Ohmies both please comment and vote. $mine $ohm
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
1/ I’m seeing the debate resurface over whether or not orderflow and heatmaps adds or detracts from a trader’s arsenal. There’s the camp that argues that all resting orders are false or fake, and I’ll just come out and say that’s flat out wrong, no argument.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
1/ After paperhanding my @DeGodsNFT between 30-50 SOL after holding them through the 6 SOL days, I’m finally back in with a @MickeyDegods ! I’m building something super cool for Degods+y00ts, so if you can, take a look at my thread. my team is looking for folklore and stories β€”>
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
I'm proud to publish my research report on @terra_money . I learned a lot and frankly, it was quite fun. The flywheel mechanisms baked in at every turn are incredible to uncover. I hope y'all enjoy it!
@TheTieIO
The Tie
3 years
The Terra ecosystem @terra_money is growing fast. Their native stablecoin $UST is in the top five of stablecoins and is the only algorithmic stablecoin in the top 9. Meanwhile, the Luna governance and staking token continues toπŸŒ• How did Terra come so far so fast? πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
20/ A winner can still be a poor trade and a loser can still be a wonderful trade, the result is not what makes you a trader. The process does. Don’t wait for certainty, just take a guess and say fuck it. Here’s an example.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
I mostly post about orderflow like an β€œautist in heat jizzing on momentum” ( @CryptoGainz1 ), but in honour of the @redxbt #ff I wanted to share my favorite PA setups that I watch for as a range develops. It’s not all about OI, CVD, deltas and volume profile!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
1/Attention @DeGodsNFT and @y00tsNFT and @dust_labs and of course my @snounsdao community!!! I need your help! I’m looking for stories that YOU think were the most important and relevant in Dust Labs history. Memes (33.3%) stories, turning points, anything! Plz RT + Share!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
timing: 20 minute trade
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
I'm always wary of "bullish" closes outside a contested range, especially when they don't follow up quickly and exceed expectation. My general road-map for would be a run of the highs and then another extremely volatile period sending us crashing through multiple prior ranges.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
18/ if you made it this far, congrats. The whole point is I’ve started to template my probabilities (until such time I’ve acquired a data set) to re-introduce the chaos of the market into my decision making. Here’s one.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
11 months
1/ i haven't posted in a long time. last month my brother shot and killed himself. i'm not sure what to say because there's nothing adequate to say. i couldn't make art + music, or do anything really for a while now, but i wanted to honour him somehow.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Looking for a drop to 11.4, then 10.3 from here. And yes, if you’ve been watching my entries, I am a certified scuba diver.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Free alpha: My account pnl has been growing steadily since I stopped trading where the price is.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
longs building since session open shorts touch and go, they don't have the confidence to hit the market yet, possibly distributing poor highs over the last few days, could spike highs then dump spot markets + futures overhanging supply short, think 6800-6900 a matter of time
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Everyone yapping about bitcoin’s inability to fall more than a few hundred after multiple fud events are giving me 6k floor flashbacks.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
22/ End public journal ramble. Insert tommy gif.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
My gf’s mom died today, the day after my birthday. I’ve changed my mind on my earlier thoughts. Being there for someone in the days leading up to their death is a lot easier than not. A lot of it comes from the classic fear of the unknown.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
coming soon @KRTrades_
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Very solid reaction off the $5850 comp range VAL. As I mentioned vol junkies don't get their breakdown out of the range immediately. Anywhere between 6350-6580 should be a good short and then play the range between there and the $5850 lows until proven trending.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
1/ Crypto Edition For the trader onto his first shitcoin (as a millionaire): In crypto if you wanted to play with the big dogs, you had to go on twitter. Everyday, you clicked on that familiar blue bird. Tweet. Here’s what a typical day looks like when you’re built different:
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
@IamNomad borrowed UST (getting paid 40% apy to do so) by turning Luna into bLuna, sold it for usdt to buy AVAX, which i’ve sent to a bunch of auto-compounding farms on various pools with aprs ranging between 200%-3000% APY. so i’m getting paid to borrow money which i LP for more yield
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
When entering a new range, I get a baseline to fade the range extremes asap. # of trades, volume and where they happen are key. Readings are on 5m candles only. Notice the freq. of London times and D/W opens. All you have to do is sit and wait.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Hi ya'll. Here's a video of me reviewing the market. I use market profile to create trading zones, establish probabilities and get my mindset right for the trading day. Let me know if you like it and I might make it a regular thing.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
3/ 1. You are better able to determine your areas of weakness and how to improve relative to those around you. 2. You become more self-conscious about your short-comings and seek to avoid failures and do anything to re-live the invigorating rush of the beginner’s curve.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
one ring to rule them all @DeadKingSociety
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
there is no hope for you if are selling $cope before anything is launched. well done with the drop @cyrii_MM !
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 months
Notes for @FlashTrade_ ama until they upload their own summary! may contain some errors cause they talk fast and were answering some complex security and technical questions
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
the last couple weeks have felt like groundhog day in the worst kind of way. july is the anniversary of my mom's death from cancer. she died when i was still in college. I hadn't seen her in many years since she still lived overseas, and i couldn't make it back in time to see her
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
19/ Inspired by the wonderful @AnnieDuke and her book β€œThinking in Bets”, I’ve devised a β€œpre/post-mortem” template that frees up my mental capital to not worry about whether the trade works or not, because I’m not concerned about grading my outcome, only grading my *decision*.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
21/ By imagining and assigning probabilities to what scenarios may play out, I give up the power of the outcome to control my emotional triggers in the moment. I already have a plan for this. That doesn’t mean I eliminated emotion, I think emotion is useful, but I manage it.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
2/ As you acquire more knowledge on and become more fluid in your subject, you become more aware of not only what your skill level is, but those of your peers. This self awareness does two things.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Just turned my biggest weekly unrealized drawdown into my biggest weekly winner, while also booking the largest funding gains on a position while it was scuba diving. And it’s only Wednesday. Looks like we’re closing this week green after all.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
8/ ...motivation and time, I’ll be able to capitalize and make the best of it. But at the end of it, it’s just another trade. Hoping for the best, prepared for the worst, and unsurprised by anything in between.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Massive thanks to @quantfiction + @MarketsScience for hooking up account analysis for me. Pictured here are 3 wks of pure bmex MM trading (1st wk was on FTX -- ~2.5% acct gain), ignore the big equity bumps in the first week (account transfers to get up to size)
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
The Fat Ta(i)le of Three Years: a study of returns after high standard deviation events The characters. 2017: The Year of the Glutton. 2019: The Year of the Butcher. 2020: The Year of the Dip. The plot. Measure >2 and <-2 st. dev readings and their 1/3/5 day returns.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
so here's to the rest of the year. let's make it better. i apologize if i've been quiet, i'm here, just not all here.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Anyways, let’s all live our lives. Love y’all and thanks everyone who sent good wishes. I think we’ll be okay. It’s just life. <3
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
1/6 Hey all, if something sounds too good to be true, it probably is. I’ll be honest here and say I’ve been down 10% this month and regained only 5% of it, no joke. A combo of mental issues and a new situation for me has made me ignore my edge at my own expense...
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
@CosmonautC @SBF_Alameda i mean this might be worse
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
Mr Biden sir, move aside, there’s a new sheriff in town. Consider me stimulated @cyrii_MM $cope
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
i have joined @HotHeadsNFT !!! my coming out announcement is a bit late because i wanted to animate it and @sikedelic went too hard on the background… it took me 23 frames to get the color to wheel around ☠️ thanks for the warm welcome so far, let’s buidl HH together!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
the book for @MadLadsNFT on @tensor_hq is unlike anything ive seen. price is below my market-making order and i'm not getting filled because there are constantly bids above ask, like constantly. unprecedented action this on a collection
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
I’m going to be posting more journal entries going forward. Earlier this week I had to make these charts up to detail my process from start to finish and figured this would be a good time to post them to make sense of the entries. This will evolve in time!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Had some fun scalps this morning with a 4.6% account gain. Here's a peek into my setup that I don't share often. It's a blend of directional market making and all-in/out trades based on PNF delta charts, book flow, tape reading and market profile (zone trading).
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
imo if you're not reacting purely to flow, dxy, spx, metals correlations you should stay out of it. this is a macro-ception game and btc will flop around until there's a decision (which could be simply nothing but chop). either way BTC looks ready to resume trend barring disaster
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
15/ How’d you come out, someone asks. I broke even, you yell victoriously. They nod their approval.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
12/ In acting it’s hard. In trading it’s harder. You’re constantly reminded of your pnl every time you open your account, every trade you put on threatens your certainty, and social media bombards you with winners everywhere. Richer. Smarter. Better than you. 100%.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
6/ As a kid and into my teens I’ve always been good at things and very experiential. Some people detest learning, but I absorb any new skill like a sponge and excessively and obsessively research to maximize my learning curve. I love doing it and I love seeing quick progress.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
looks like a failed day 2 trend i expect a drop to the weekly O and range VAL, and prices in the short zone are a blessing to add until proven bullish. another drop to ~5800 and we'll likely range and reset, i don't think volatility junkies will continue to be rewarded
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
2 years
1. get fxs now 2. lock in cvx when it’s available (they lock it for 4 years) 3. get FPI airdrop with max boost, which is @samkazemian ’s new baby that tracks the CPI and also yields 4. you still have cvxFXS which is yielding and is also liquid if you need it for something else
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
somehow $cope is the only project that β€œpunishes sellers”.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
5/ All of a sudden, it doesn’t feel quite so great to try out a bunch of things to see if they work, or even to keep doing the same thing you learned early on that works 70% of the time, and the quest to find something that’ll work *every* time begins in earnest.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
there is so much fear yet so much value-creation left to go by up-and-coming protocols that I have a hard time being bearish at all. still balls deep in luna, avax and solana eco-systems
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
9/ Psychogically I knew to focus on process. I read the right memoirs, listened to the right interviews, looked up to the right role models. I thought I was *doing* the process. But really I was hooked on the damn outcome because everything I did turned out great! β€”dopamine highβ€”
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
You’re either a barber or a stoner if you can fade +71mil net longs since yesterday’s open. I’m staying out of shorts for a while now. This is largest increase in a short amount of time I’ve seen. Those 33k by July calls might actually pay off @PelionCap
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
4/ As the failures stack up (and they must as you transition from beginner to middling, not quite expert), scenario two can become oppressive and drown out any feelings on success you may have had when you first stumbled upon your new hobby.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
dangerous spot to be long, seeing some sell-offs on spot markets, take care out there. hitting previous range comp VAL
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
14/ So what’s the point of this musing? Well, if getting more skilled at something -insert trading here- means you start desiring more certainty, at a certain point you have to re-introduce *uncertainty*.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
7/ However, while I grew confident in my ability to learn and quickly get up to speed, I quickly transitioned to the middling phase of learning where all the things I tried early on no longer felt good enough, and I tried many more things that ended in failure.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
/1 Imo one of the keys to a successful trading strategy is having one or more triggers to identify when a market environment goes from ranging to trending or consolidation to expansion. Some tools to do so are market profile (what I do), market structure, htf levels, etc...
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
15/ We know that trading is inherently uncertain, but everytime we put on another trade, we’re pretty sure it’s gonna go our way, otherwise why even put it on? But do we truly quantify it?
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
10/ So how do you go back to the process? The wide-eyed wonder of trying with no expectation of return, a pleasant surprise at the result? Really and truly being in the moment?
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 months
Full notes from today's community call @FlashTrade_
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
8/ And while being an exceptional beginner means you beat out good and bad beginners, you don’t jump straight to expert. You are then competing against others that are also at your level, however long it took them to get there. Things don’t work β€” I needed to find perfection.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
11/ As an actor, I was trained to listen to my partner and react, not with the intention of forcing the audience to feel a certain way but to connect and create that random spark of emotion. I’m not supposed to know how my scene turns out, even if I’ve performed it 20 times.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
17/ My problem is then Ill never take the trade, because I don’t have quantifiable evidence of this setups success, and I won’t put myself through the mental trial of figuring it out. So we have to *guess*.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
i find it interesting that people think cleaning out leverage is bullish because who do you think is creating the froth to move large amounts of money around? you clean them out and the reflexivity is gone and no one wants to borrow. temporary flushes are fine, but this? crazy
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
16/ Do we know the % chance that this particular setup will work in this trading environment? Well I’m not a quant, I’m not even smart, so how can I even guess what my trade is going to do without β€œcertainty” in my data set? I must know how the setup has performed historically!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
It pains me to see people slinging shit at UB for his bot having a bad first month. I trade with him every day and he’s one of the hardest working, respectful and diligent traders I know. 1. Control your size on automated strategies 2. See above
@CryptoUB
UB
5 years
@AutomateUB Replying with this account so I don't ruin the thread on the other account. Here are my thoughts and overall opinions about last month. Extremely disappointing.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
1 year
what happens when a top grossing Solana artist @adam_ape_ launches an elite animated 4k collection on Eth two days after @DeGodsNFT bridges, supported by the most influential communities in the space across two ecosystems; RCC/BAYC/Punks/Boogles/Hotheads/Claynos/Degods... ?
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
7/ tldr: if you don’t think $cope is going to be the poster-boy of Solana with the combined community hype of $doge and ecosystem-anchoring effect of a coin like $BNB, you’re… πŸ‘‡
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
absolutely absurd action on @SolApeFinance right now - disclaimer: i hold a bag and haven’t sold one solape yet.
@tradeboicarti16
Tradeboi Carti
3 years
Wow i made an error, #solape 250x since this tweet hahaha
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
Finally got my sennheiser + atom dac amp hooked up. It sounds spectacular.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
sellers need to break below today's low to create a nice resistance ledge, otherwise that's all trapped delta
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
I’m trying to get a gauge on the amount of shared users between @OlympusDAO and @terra_money , and collect some simple data points. plz RT for visibility @stablekwon @Fiskantes @ohmzeus @unbanksyETH @Josephliow
Luna + UST holder/user
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OHM holder/user
214
I hold both!
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I don’t have either
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
7/ At worst, this ends (my stop loss) with me heading back to the grind to make ends meet after I burn through savings, but having made satisfying progress towards my mental goals. At best (my reward), an opportunity presents itself, and due to having the mental space,
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
11/ The potential for immense profits in understanding the game theory of spoofing and large orders cannot be overstated, but unless you have the incredible talent of synthesizing raw data at real-time speed, discretionarily deciding on multiple layers of orderflow is
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
here are my general zones of bias through the lens of the last two composite ranges while i intentionally try not to hold any steadfast bias, the market is at a pivot. i want to be ready for the next impulse, even as i continue to fade intraday
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
2 years
I'm super happy to finally be an owner of a piece from @yatreda 's collection and support the cultural preservation of hair and all it represents; diversity, expression, identity, and more. Thank you!
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
This is what I’m talking about when I say the narrative drive is shifting. When the market no longer responds to bullish news and everyone is still buying the dip, what’s the next logical step?
@HumboldtCap
Humboldt Capital
4 years
The world’s second biggest country by population legalizes crypto and the market response is absolutely muted. Structure is clearly weak.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
5 years
13/ It’s as if after every scene I was forced to watch a video of how the audience looked and reacted to my performance. And it’s how a lot of actors feel performing live when they start to anticipate when audiences will laugh/cry at particular moments. It constipates your flow.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
teaser #3 - Time versus Volume POC @KRTrades_ #BTCMarketProfile
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
The man, the myth, the crocodile. I watch this guy killin' it everyday and he's a bonafide drunken genius. @cubantobacco
@binance
Binance
4 years
#Binance Futures Leaderboard Name: @cubantobacco $USDT Margined Futures: πŸ… Rank 99. Monthly ROI 1,353.7236% πŸŽ–οΈ Rank 100+. Monthly PNL $ 75,960.76 Follow Cuban on the #BinanceFutures Leaderboard to stay up to date on his trading performance.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
3 years
8/ @Glimmerycoin has amassed such a fortune that he no longer trades. He’s using his capital to create fully 3D rendered images into the order-book itself, taunting market makers and amateur heatmap traders with hauntingly realistic images of Edvard Munch’s The Scream.
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
As a pro trader the psychological alpha is actually in being able to trade like an absolute merkin when the market is trending On that note, I’m paying 1 btc for a noob who can teach me to learn what I call β€œrisky” management. DM my accountant @SM17trades to see if you qualify
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
@CryptoGainz1 Everyone knows you haven’t opened a textbook in 30 years
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@t0mmyzero
t0:mmy
4 years
scaling into a long, invalidation below yday high
Tweet media one
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