Patricia Marins @pati_marins64 Twitter profile | Pikagi

Pikagi

Patricia Marins

@pati_marins64

24,253

Followers

228

Following

1,268

Media

22,584

Statuses

Muito do que não é dito, pode ser medido pela relevância do que é escrito. Ali está a Bio.

Rio de Janeiro, Brasil

Joined July 2016

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

Pinned Tweet

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

7 months

More money, limited manufacture and a limited arsenal. While this war has served as a catalyst for significant changes in the Russian military industry, boutique weapons still persist in the West. The necessary transformations required to develop a robust Western defense system

Tweet media one

49

99

361

Last Seen Profiles

@Klasnyxie

@saladpingers

@KuramaFGC

@trinityboxingny

@stocmoney

@beatflach

@rolexsky2017

@KHeberle2027

@VastoLorde08

@Jessicablo94848

@Frances95459367

@bisualvoy

@GOHikingClub

@EosPengwern

@princeChar

@CorpusCol

@MedLabNigeria

@_BiggChapo

@to_jest_nazwa

@ParthemoreNicky

@abracards

@_Su_ceren

@CuckDirk

@vzdkas

@muromuromurota

@SupermayiU

@3a93_

@venezuelanewsVN

@zombiedollyz

@vedikas

@CommonGoalOrg

@Ridersmart_1

@notmc0

@rm_hanzala

@miladymaker

@cynderakk

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/6 The 3 biggest Russian tank factories are idling due to electronics. The Uralvagonzavod, Omsktransmash and Kurganmashzavod are working with semi-finished armored vehicles. This is when you produce the unit, but didn't assemble the interior equipment, extern sensors, etc.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

196

1K

6K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

9 months

The Taurus missile would indeed pose a significant challenge to Russian air defenses, far surpassing the capabilities of the Shadow Storm and Scalp missiles. The Taurus missile has often been mistakenly perceived as a conceptual analogue or identical to the Storm Shadow and

Tweet media one

153

570

4K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

NATO just eat the Russian bait! For several months, Ukraine had been requesting weapons while NATO had been avoiding escalation. However, nobody realized that the West was walking into a Russian trap. When NATO refused long-range weapons, modern armored vehicles and air power,

845

849

3K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

After gaining control of Avdiivka, the Russians are now targeting Kramatorsk, Slavyansk and Chasiv Yar, three of the four remaining fortifications intended to delay the Russian advance. Over the last few hours, both cities have been heavily attacked by MLRS, ballistic missiles,

Tweet media one

483

662

3K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

War isn't a 100-meter dash; it's a marathon. Months ago, as with Bakhmut, Avdiivka fell after intense fighting, but one thing remains common: the Russians can be delayed, but they never cease their advance. The fall of Avdiivka signifies that even in defensive positions and

Tweet media one

281

639

3K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

6 months

The Russians pay half the amount for a 152mm shell compared to what the Germans pay for a 30mm ammo. A while back, I wrote a post about Rheinmetall selling their Caracal 4x4 to the German government for over $600,000. Recently, I've been looking into the variations in ammunition

Tweet media one

214

718

3K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

Omsktransmash has finished the modernization of a batch of T-80BVM tanks, which are now on their way to Ukraine. This marks the second batch of tanks in less than 30 days. The previous batch consisted of T90M tanks. The frequency and size of these batches confirm my previous

273

612

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

9 months

North Korea could supply 10 million shells and other important equipments to Russia The North Korean army has around 21,000 artillery pieces in its arsenal, although a significant portion (around 10,000) are shorter-range mortars. If we focus on the larger calibers,

Tweet media one

232

475

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

It appears that The time windows for an attrition war against Russia was missed. Months ago, I wrote about the three biggest Russian factories idling their production due to a shortage of electronics. () Now, the situation is just the opposite. The

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/6 The 3 biggest Russian tank factories are idling due to electronics. The Uralvagonzavod, Omsktransmash and Kurganmashzavod are working with semi-finished armored vehicles. This is when you produce the unit, but didn't assemble the interior equipment, extern sensors, etc.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

196

1K

6K

275

662

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

6 months

@biologia_braba O sem braço não entendeu nada....

5

7

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/7 If the estimates are true, RU industry have to work hard to provide enough barrels for all these units. Tanks - 1630 Armored vehicles - 4220 Artillery systems - 2950 You can manufacture light barrels massively, but heavy barrels need investment and some dedicated line.

Tweet media one

50

263

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/5 RU is using drones as counter battery fire. It's changing the shoot and Scoot. Usually to be safe, an artillery had around 130-150sec to move after fire. This is the time an UAV linked to C4I apps, based on Uber soft, automatically allocate targets to the closest battery.

Tweet media one

56

356

2K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/5 The barrels aren't the problem for RAF, but one more. RU had many millions of shells from Soviet times. As we've see on pictures, they were firing old shells with a detonation rate around 35-60%, as we can see Bellow. Holes without light are old ammo and didn't exploded.

Tweet media one

53

212

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

NATO members never faced a challenge like this. Last days we've seen UAF lose like 10% of their Bradleys and maybe 20-30% of the Leopard 2. Both are the most modern vehicles already delivered for Ukraine. Basically the lack of Air defense systems protecting the convoys had a

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

159

380

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

9 months

North Korea can unbalance the rocket game. The former Soviet doctrine and the basis of Russian modern ground doctrine is the artillery, mainly the rocket artillery. The Russian MLRS, including the BM21, Uragan, and Smerchs, play a central role on their battlefield. The 122mm

Tweet media one

84

273

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

8 months

The Reasons for the Failed Ukrainian Counter-Offensive After almost 5 months since the beginning of the Ukrainian offensive, the results include the liberation of 14 villages, high human and material losses, and only a few kilometers of gained land. But what were the reasons

Tweet media one

165

318

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

2/6 RU vehicles always were using 60-90s technology. But 2 components break this cycle: Thermal/Night sights. The navigation and fire control are completely manufactured in Russia. A detail, the 2E36-I and 2E52 stabilizers for BMP-2 /BMP-3 are made in Ukr by PETROVSKIY KYIV.

8

60

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

They will send T62, T55, even T34 if they have because this is how they fight. They want to stretch the allies capacity to supply weapons and, they are sure that western equipment cost 3x more. It's a fight military capacity and a long war. Ukr is fighting well, but need more aid

35

82

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/6 RU optics industry are running fast to mass produce domestically. During the last 8-10y, the RU industry is trying to reduce the dependence on foreign equipment. While the French thermal/night were imported, interestingly the T90 was also using TVN-5M (11)made in Ukraine.

Tweet media one

34

197

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 month

The Russian focus: Planning, innovation and logistics. More than one year ago, I reported on the restructuring of the Russian arms industry and the plans to solve its bottlenecks. Interestingly, others, including important think tanks, were talking about the collapse of the

Tweet media one

89

297

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

In a war of attrition, what matters are cost-efficiency, creativity, improvisation, and high production rates. There is no room for boutique weapons. One of the lessons of this war is that a war of attrition is won not only with investments, but also with creativity,

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

106

269

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

23 days

Some industrial planning lessons! Next month would be the delivery of the first 180,000 shells for Ukraine from the so-called Czech initiative. But despite all good intentions, this delivery isn't going to happen due to a simple reason: there aren't 180,000 shells available in

Tweet media one

129

339

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

4/5 The New BMP-3 variants have new components. It's a good vehicle and with excellent price. But... Russian only started a nationalization program at 2018/19. They hadn't time to research and manufacture domestically most of its components. It should take more than one decade.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

8

59

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

4/6 The navigator system and others equipments are rudimentaries, but the russians know how to use it very well. Bellow images from the BMP-3 without modern equipment. The problem: RU don't manufacture these equipments anymore and miss components to manufacture the new ones.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

4

52

1K

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Again: Where are the Russian top weapons? 1 - Tornado S 2 - Tornado U 3 - Koalitsiya-SV 4 - Armata T14 5 - kurganets-25 And others. I didn't see any of them. I know they exist, but probably only few units, major part promoting expo. I think also the russians want to know.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

105

83

951

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

5/5 Their real pain are the thermal sights. They are using the Namut thermal sight is a joint development of Sagem from France, SKBM-Kurgan and Peleng of Belarus. Due the sanctions, French company just frozen the project. RU created a national thermal called Sosna-U and PNM-T.

Tweet media one

3

58

957

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

3/6 FCS The Russian holding Vysokotochnye Kompleks has around 20 companies developing high precision components as Fire controls, sensors, etc. The Novosibirsk Instrument Making Plant, RFAS and Vologda Optical are also manufacturing FCS. I don't think they miss components there.

3

44

899

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Ukraine is improving at the battlefield. Considering the last videos, we can believe that Himars rockets are accurate again after months of jamming. Its not clear if this efficiency is restrict for some areas of the front or not. But it's back. And if it's back other guided

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

35

84

886

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

The western must learn the value of the Cheap innovations. The new Russian glide bombs have become equivalent to large long-range lancets, carrying 150kg of TNT. Target designation is adjusted by Orlan UAV operatorsa and Unlike winged glide bombs, ammunition equipped with the

Tweet media one

80

208

887

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Why did the Russian industry only start to work after many months of war? The Russian military complex faced difficulties after the collapse of the Soviet Union, and this crisis lasted for more than 20 years. Yes, 90% of the Armored Repair Plants administered by Rostec were in

Tweet media one

86

227

853

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

The Russian anti-tank mines, which resemble the Javelin style, present a challenge. While delivery systems continue to deploy around 600 anti-personnel mines like the POM-3 per fire, hundreds of Russian sappers work overnight to set up the high-tech Russian mine known as

Tweet media one

38

196

863

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Note: RU can substitute every component buying from international market. (Rarely anything is newer than 20y). Bur it takes time and even the already developed systems haven't a full production line. Even in US and EU, some equipments are assembled manually, tested, etc.

1

42

833

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Note: 2 It's impossible to start massive production of a complex equipment as the PNM-T for example in few months. And another question is the quality. Military equipment must be made to survive in the hardest conditions and intensive usage. This means lot of tests and fixes.

6

39

792

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/4 A Long War In 1989 the URSS estimated that they had a 45 days of fire for every artillery piece in inventory. I Assume a unit of fire is 150 rounds/day. Or about 6500 rounds per gun. They had 25k guns. It means 160 millions of shells. After 1989, 60% stayed in RU.

Tweet media one

62

130

792

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Looks like Ukr was moving a Buk-M1-2 launcher very near the border with Bryansk Oblast, where RU isn't using Lancets, but Ukraine knew the RU route there. 4 missiles and 4 kills. Now with few Buk-M1-2 missiles, we can expect Ukr forces using better it.

Tweet media one

34

81

789

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/11 Patriot still has the same failures as 30y ago. This thread is specially about the American tax payer, who deserve to spend their money on something that works and a transparent company. These systems cost billions. Well, to understand this, we must come back to 1991.

134

208

768

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

WHEN and HOW are the questions if nobody stops this! Days ago, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico announced that some EU and NATO countries were considering the possibility of sending their military to Ukraine based on bilateral agreements. These are bilateral security agreements

Tweet media one

188

206

753

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

@MarioBPFerreira You can take a Kalashnikov and volunteer there.

33

12

744

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

Is there enough time to rearm Ukraine? Basically the Ukrainian army has lost the combat initiative on the entire front. However, this doesn't mean that the Russians can advance rapidly or gain large amounts of land in less than 2 or 3 months. When Stalin rebuilt Ukraine, he

Tweet media one

162

178

748

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 month

The Russians learned and improved upon Ukrainian mobile tactics. Several months ago, when the Ukrainians were deploying ATGM buggies, nobody anticipated their significance in breaching enemy lines protected by FPV drones. This is exactly what the Russians are doing now. They

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

44

151

758

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

NATO did not get the innovative benefits from this war. When the Ukrainian staff realized that they had no chance against the Russian forces, they began to invest in innovative aquatic drones, aiming to generate propaganda targeting the Russian Navy in the Black Sea. However,

Tweet media one

136

172

733

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/4 A war of intense and constant upgraded jammers! Last days CNN announced that the Himars is jammed by RuAF. The HIMARS work with inertial and GPS guidances. But as any other rocket, isn't accurate working only with IN system. Only with IN I believe in a CeP> 60m.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

30

131

711

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

Some high-ranking Russian officials and military analysts are discussing a NATO intervention in Ukraine. They are not speculating on a potential intervention but are certain of its occurrence and merely wondering when it will happen. The might of the Ukrainian army has been

117

132

720

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

The primitive communication of the Russian army! After 17 months of war, the Russians are still trying to fix their communications. Years ago, the RuAF began implementing the Azart system, which would provide secure communications at tactical levels, even in the presence of

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

26

145

710

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

1/3 Recently I was talking to someone from an Arab defense company, who told me about the recent improvements in Iranian Air Defense systems. In fact Iran alone has more ADs than all EU together. Differently from what people think, it's not just based on Russian technology.

Tweet media one

41

146

697

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Don't think they aren't producing. They are producing Bellow their capacity, but still producing. Some people has no idea about who Ukraine is fighting.

Tweet card media

Russia To Double ‘Precision-Guided’ Munitions Stock; Accelerates Production Of Deadly Kh-101 Cruise...

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu instructed Russia's largest holding company for the production of various types of missiles, JSC Tactical Missiles Corporation (KTRV), to double its precision...

www.eurasiantimes.com

11

48

656

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Maybe the old artillery is also becoming obsolete. This war may be the last to heavily rely on saturation artillery. This was a crucial part of Soviet doctrine for decades, but it requires intensive logistics involving trains, barrels, trucks, men, and large depots that are

Tweet media one

58

99

662

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/3 Astros III MLRS is announced! The system fire power improved considerably from Astros II. Now it can fire 4 cruiser Missiles per launcher with range of 1500km or a salvo of 12 150mm rockets able to reach 170km. But for me the most interesting feature was the Astros AFC.

Tweet media one

22

95

644

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

Ukraine is forming its first women's battalion while the West watches the Ukrainian shortages. The 119th separate military defense brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, stationed near Chernihiv, is recruiting women for the newly formed “Snow White” battalion. On the

Tweet media one

174

193

630

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

@SouthlandPost The mistake is the law. The guy who was using a bottle, haven't a gun. Its not the shooter fault if his opponent isn't ready for a right duel. Yeah, drop all accusations.

32

1

610

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

The attrition war is a dangerous strategy for the western. But above all, very expensive. For example, while a gun barrel for a D-30 artillery cost around $55.000, the gun barrel for a M777 cost like $650.000-700.000.

54

69

609

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

2 months

Russia has deployed its new stealth cruise missile and is preparing additional versions. Recently, the Russian Air Force destroyed Ukraine's Trypillia Power Plant with the newly-developed Kh-69 cruise missile. Similar to the Storm Shadow and SCALP, the Russian stealth cruise

Tweet media one

44

156

611

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Are tanks an obsolete weapon? As I have mentioned in previous posts, I believe that in the next decade, tanks should be lighter and more agile, with improved APS and jamming systems. While tanks may not become completely obsolete, they will likely move closer to the weight of

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

67

121

593

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

2 months

A pyrotechnic show orchestrated by Iran, the US, and Israel. Days ago, Iran launched a historic attack against Israel, where the Israeli air defenses were able to intercept 99% of the threats. Interestingly, the same defenses weren't able to intercept the same number of homemade

Tweet media one

107

143

591

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

8 months

A major battle has erupted in Ukrainian East Front. The Russian forces have launched a massive offensive along the Kupyansk-Kreminna line, Bakhmut area, and Avdiivka. As I have reported before, the Russians were waiting for the first shipment of N.K shells. Satellite images

Tweet media one

46

167

582

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/5 Russia is Running out few things! I feel extremely bothered reading the western news during the last months. In March they start to say that RU army was lacking everything. Nothing was confirmed, but a probably strategy to calm down the Ukr about the delay in weapons.

Tweet media one

29

104

565

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵Ukraine being bombed by its own missiles in 2006 during the Budapeste Memorandum, Ukr gave its 423 KH-22 to RU. This is the same missile used against that Shopping Mall and now it just hit a residential building. It has a accuracy of 150m, what's isn't bad for its size/range

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

21

114

542

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Another important point about the Russian Defenses is that the Ukrainians can't use their night view technology as an advantage there. For example, during the last year, the Ukrainian special forces used the night to advance over some areas. Now the entire front have layers of

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

43

107

557

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

Ukraine is enduring a protracted period of difficulty, largely stemming from its reliance on ally support. Back in October, Ukrainian intelligence estimated there to be around 400,000 Russian troops on the occupied front; now, they report this figure has risen to roughly

Tweet media one

56

124

553

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

14 days

The Western Satellites are seeking Russian Air Defenses During the last 45 days, 3 Russian anti-air complexes like the S-300 and S-400 were totally or partially destroyed by Ukrainian western-operated missiles. The last one was 48 km inside Russian territory, and had its

Tweet media one

112

142

562

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

7/7 I have no doubts that RU have a serious issue with gun barrels. The same problem took out 1/3 of UKR 155mm artilleries sometime ago. Produce heavy barrels take some time. RU need to make barrels for new, refurbished and to replace the battlefield. It means many thousands/Mo.

4

25

539

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

2 months

A long war without a short road to peace The new US aid for Ukraine might not change the war, but it will surely prolong it for several months or even more. Ukraine has a disadvantage in every aspect of the war, but they maintain a strong defensive army. Every day, hundreds of

Tweet media one

195

112

549

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

2/7 Artillery barrels have a life of 4000-6000 fires, but for tanks the number would be 350-1.200. E.g, no less than 50% of RU tank inventory still uses the 2A46 barrel. (T-64A, T-72a, T-64B, T-80b) Some Ukr also uses it. It has a life of 800 EFC or 250 rounds of APFSDS if new.

Tweet media one

8

29

531

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

6/7 About the artillery, if RU is firing 15000-20000 daily, they need 4 guns everyday. But usually an army exchange barrels before 2.000 rounds to keep some accuracy. Maybe 50 arty barrels every week If months ago they were firing 60k rounds-day /100-140 barrels per week for arty

Tweet media one

5

26

529

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/9 Kinzhal and Iskander missiles, something similar, but different. Both missiles reach hypersonic speed, it means above mach 5. The Kinzhal is air launched, while the Iskander has ground launchers. But there is a big difference between them: the flight altitude.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

23

104

521

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

5/7 The situation isn't different about armored vehicles. Most of the 30mm work with 2a42 and have a life of 5000-6000 fires. But the cannon has a rate of 300-600 rounds per minute. You can imagine that are necessaries many day/barrels for thousand of deployed armored vehicles.

Tweet media one

3

20

521

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

8 days

What is the time for negotiations? A state doesn’t start negotiations simply when it chooses to do so. Especially in a war of attrition, like we see in Ukraine, one side decides to negotiate when it can no longer achieve victory through military means. Above all, a state

Tweet media one

81

107

543

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Note: Recently Uralvagonzavod got an order to manufacture some 2A82-* barrels and took some months to deliver. Absolutely barrels can be a limitation to keep the battlefield. I don't know exactly the capacity of RU industry to produce barrels, but I can see the growth demand.

Tweet media one

11

24

517

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

4/7 There is another situation: After 100-200 rounds, the gun still fire, but due to wear in the barrel, the rounds wont be so accurate, or as long ranged gradually. (old ammo accelerate it). This same situation about Ukr tanks. Probably due to this, both sides avoid tank fight.

4

19

515

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

8 months

Russian tank factories are experiencing a decrease in the rate of deliveries, but they are still ahead of the western deliveries by three times. The Uralvagonzavod and Omsktransmash have delivered around 500 tanks this year, with a maximum potential of reaching 600 units by

Tweet media one

55

144

515

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

@jaanus I don't know, but I will call Putin and ask for this delayed payment.

15

3

512

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

10 months

Ukraine formed the 44th mechanized Brigade. A new Ukrainian brigade was formed with Leopards 1A5DK, Rosomaks, Slovenian Valuks, and some BMP-1 vehicles. Denmark donated 100 Leopard 1A5DK tanks to Ukraine, while Ukraine purchased 200 Rosomaks from Poland and added 20 Valuks from

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

56

71

492

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

2 months

The ERA of the large convoys is gone! Some argue that US aid could significantly prolong the war if the West fails to address key issues such as ammunition, long-range drones and anti-air systems. Currently, we are witnessing a conflict in which Ukraine has shifted towards

Tweet media one

81

86

515

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

3/7 The logistic issue: Tanks using the 2A46 gun, can't change the barrels without dismantling the turret. Sometimes they are very far from bases and the tank must be abandoned. Not different for the 2A20 or D-10T (T55/T62). These two with a considerable shorter life.

Tweet media one

5

21

498

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

6 months

According to Russian media, the first squadron of F-16s has started working in Ukraine. There are also reports of waves of HARM missiles being launched by these aircraft. The same Russian media also admits some losses of Su-34s over Ukraine. While Ukrainian reports claim that

Tweet media one

90

83

496

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

9 months

1 - Germany has 600 Taurus missiles in storage, but according to the German government, only 150 of them are currently operational. The manufacturer argues that perhaps 300 could be quickly combat-ready. Missiles usually have a 10y lifetime, but if well stored, the refurbishment

23

45

497

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/4 Is EU doing it's best? Challenger 2, Leo 2, Pt-91 and dozens of T72 from Morroccos are in Ukr. The Challenger 2 and Leo 2 weren't tested on a real war. I mean in a balanced battlefield with combined weapons and without air superiority. A real ground to ground fight.

Tweet media one

54

67

495

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

@Stryker0811 Have the weight of an ammo, size of an ammo, but haven't explosive or active fuze. It's used to test the autoload systems.

3

6

487

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

Two different counter-offensives! Some people is comparing this counter-offensive to the previous one over Kherson and Kharkov. I can say that are completely different situations. During the previous counter-offensive Ukraine had combined arms. They still had some Tochka

Tweet media one

82

94

483

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/6 If Russia destroyed 5 Patriot Batteries, why they didn't released the sattelite images? I don't care about how many batteries were destroyed, but I want to talk about the failures of Russian sattelites over Ukraine. What happened with the Russian space program?

Tweet media one

47

68

479

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/5 The Thermals can't decide the war for allies. The Leos 1/2 and Chally 2 are using an obsolete WBG-X thermal sight from first gen. It puts these tanks behind the RU 1PN96MT-02 used in their T-62. Yes, about thermals, the Leo 1-2/ Chally 2 are ironically inferior to the T62.

Tweet media one

75

86

483

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

For months, I have been pointing out the gradual increase in RU weapons production. Currently, RU enterprises are producing 3 to 4 times more than the NATO bloc in almost every military item. RU still has many problems, but production is not one of them.

Tweet card media

‘A lot higher than we expected’: Russian arms production worries Europe’s war planners

Moscow has massively ramped up its industry, giving it advantages in Ukraine and leading to a redistribution of wealth

www.theguardian.com

37

145

489

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

Ukraine is risking important units! The Ukrainian offensive is determined to retake land, but there is a big risk. Days ago, I reported on the Ukrainian army's formation of army corps, particularly the 10th Army Corps, which was under pressure to be deployed. Now, Ukraine has

Tweet media one

79

126

474

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

4 months

Two months ago, I wrote this post and it still holds true. Of nothing change, considering the current conjecture, the Russians might once again reach the areas around the capital in a few months. This is merely an interpretation of recent facts and their impact on the war. "Can

44

65

484

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

15 days

Reading the news about Ukraine, we can perceive two apparent fantasies: the West is waiting for the day when Russia will run out of Soviet equipment, and the Russians are waiting for the day when Ukraine runs out of soldiers. According to some Western guys covering the war,

148

71

489

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

5/5 The visible results are more tanks abandoned and avoiding a tank combat. You still fight, but gradually losing advantage. Delay on production due to electronics, old shells, Few barrels... This slowly corrode the army capacity to keep advantage. This is the attrition war.

3

13

472

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

22 days

Who are the French instructors going to train in Ukraine? Why send instructors after 2 years of war when the Ukrainians lack manpower? If they didn't send these instructors when Ukraine was training tens of thousands of volunteers and conscripts, why they should do now? It

Tweet media one

101

115

487

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

8 months

Ukraine is bravely fighting for Avdiivka, but the support from allies is not sufficient. Avdiivka has been the site of Moscow's largest offensive in months, and the Ukrainian forces have strong fortifications in place. However, the Russian forces are advancing slowly, using

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

71

108

481

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

4/5 Ukraine has 2 important defenses against Lancets and other Drones: The Gepards and the upgraded Strella-10M4. Ukraine had like 150 Strella-10, but only half upgraded to M4. The 33 Gepards support infantry and also give protection against this kind of Drone.

9

27

467

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

🧵1/7 Russia run-out few, but crucial things. Money: This is a serious problem. But they can manage this year without big changes on battlefront/political stability. The country will be broken for years, but I don't see they regretting due this. For next year I predict collapse.

Tweet media one

22

66

467

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

The myth of GDP superiority. One of the main arguments of Western analysts and people in general is that Russia cannot win a war against NATO due to the combined GDP. Well, GDP has nothing to do with wars. The US had a GDP almost 40 times larger than Vietnam's small economy.

97

87

436

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

The start of a new Naval Warfare! The concept of a long-range autonomous or unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) that can travel thousands of kilometers quietly and covertly is a desirable and useful capability in today's world, and it is becoming a reality. Mini and micro UUVs

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

30

125

442

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

3/5 A Tank barrel for example, start to losing accuracy after 100-200 fires, but with a good quality barrel, this time change to 400 clear rounds. RU can invest in industry and make more barrels, but.. Barrels are also a state of art. It's not only quantity, but also quality.

4

14

442

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

5 months

US announce a shortage of Patriot missiles. As I reported 3 months ago, the high cost and low production of Patriot missiles would soon cause a shortage. The U.S. has doubled its production for this year to approximately 550 missiles annually, but this increase is insignificant

Tweet media one

59

138

443

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

5 months

Based on the experiences of Israel and Ukraine, Japan and Taiwan are completely exposed. Western countries sent three Patriot batteries, 24 launchers of NASAMS and IRIS-T, and one battery of SAMP/T systems to Ukraine. These were the primary air defense systems deployed to

Tweet media one

45

116

444

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

3 months

Air Defenses: New Pieces for the Geopolitical Game In the video, we can see a Western cruise missile (Scalp or Storm Shadow) crossing S400 batteries without triggering a reactive response. The same issue occurred over Crimea several times. The Russians discovered that the S-400

56

95

443

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

9 months

“If I only did what [western militaries] taught me, I’d be dead,” says Suleman, a special forces commander in the 78th regiment. He says he had trained with American, British and Polish soldiers, all of whom offered “some good advice” but also “bad advice . . . like their way of

Tweet media one

26

93

438

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

The Russians are focusing on using Lancets. The use of lancets more than doubled in July compared to June. The number of episodes in July is greater than the entire year of 2022. Regarding efficiency, they claim that half of the targets were damaged and one-third were

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

27

69

434

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

1 year

2/5 During a large period of 2022, RAF was using large amounts of old shells. It accelerates considerably the wear of guns and surely became a big problem for RU. No, you can't use or replace the actual barrels with soviet ones from 30-50y. It can't have any corrosion.

Tweet media one

3

14

431

@pati_marins64

Patricia Marins

11 months

"Ukraine is already outnumbered in every military capability. Its dire shortage of armoured vehicles means that Kyiv is approaching this counter-offensive with immense caution. Many Nato-supplied tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were knocked out during early probing attacks

Tweet media one

143

109

425