MMT Economist. Former floor trader/member, CME, NYMEX, COMEX, NYFE. Managed money for a hedge fund. Ran prop trading desk for major international bank.
@SteveDeaceShow
We are not losing our police. We are losing an unwanted paramilitary force that only knows how to submit and dominate. They need to go.
Congress just passed a $750 bln defense bill without any wrangling on how it will be paid for. Bipartisan all the way. Passed both houses of Congress without a hitch. Where'd the money come from?
#MMT
is not a policy. It's an explanation of how the monetary system works. Debating whether MMT was a success or failure is stupid. It's like asking whether physics or biology is a success or failure.
Frustrating that the national "debt" is so misunderstood. It will eventually lead to hardship, not because of its magnitude, but by efforts to rein it in.
Inflation = you got a job, but you gotta pay more for stuff or buy less. Recession = you got no job, no income. You can't buy anything at any price. Choose.
There is no national "debt." Period. Debt to whom? What is owed? This is the most ridiculous, idiotic argument that ever existed. It is a reflection of complete and utter ignorance and the total indoctrination (gaslighting) of a citizenry about a non-issue.
There is no such thing as "paying off the debt" when referring to the U.S. "debt." The "debt" ($32T) is just untaxed dollars held by the non-gov't. Paying it back would mean confiscating it...literally taking it all away. Ridiculous.
More fear mongering about the national "debt." ($30T.) The debt is nothing more than untaxed dollars held by us, the non-gov't. It's our asset. It's what we OWN...not what we OWE. Think of it as the total $$ money supply.
$6.4 TRILLION spent on wars in Afghanistan and the Middle East. And no one ever asked, "How we gonna pay for it?" But repair our infrastructure? We ain't got the money.
Russia warned for 30 years about NATO expansion east. Many U.S. foreign policy experts and scholars foresaw this disaster. Yet U.S. hubris went forward with this terrible idea.
Those who were against a higher minimum wage because it will lead to job loss are now demanding the Fed raise interest rates, which will lead to job loss. See the hypocrisy?
The money to buy government "debt" (bonds) comes from government spending itself. Bond sales are a reserve drain operation. That's it. It's not borrowing. You have to fill up the swimming pool before you can drain it.
When you play the game of Monopoly and are told to "pay tax," you are NOT funding the game. The game MUST distribute the money to players before anyone can pay tax.
@marcorubio
Yes. Iran would attack 2 Japanese vessels when the Japanese Prime Minister was visiting Iran on a friendly state visit. Makes sense.
#FalseFlag
#CIA
At this point the only way critics of
#MMT
can attack it is by grossly misrepresenting what it states. Gross misrepresentation. That's it. They have NO argument. None.
The debt ceiling was created under the gold standard. Its intent was to protect the govt's gold so that it could issue money to spend. The effect now is EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE. It is constraining the ability to spend (and meet obligations). Get rid of it!
Rate hikes won't increase oil supply, bring back retired workers, unblock ports, make more computer chips. But they will kill demand by throwing people out of work. People were struggling with high prices. Now they'll struggle with high prices and no jobs.
You don't "do"
#MMT
just like you don't "do" physics. MMT is the understanding of how monetary systems work, specifically distinguishing between currency issuers and currency users. Physics is the study of matter, the universe, and the forces interacting on micro and macro scale.
The military is a job guarantee program. The military is free education. The military is single payer health care. The military is a government funded R&D program. All this stuff works spectacularly, it just shouldn't be that you have to risk being maimed or die for it.
The sale of Treasuries is a reserve drain. That's it. It's not borrowing. Gov't doesn't need to borrow dollars. It is the issuer of the dollar. You can't even buy a Treasury until the government puts the dollars into the economy.
#MMT
is not policy. We don't *do* MMT. MMT is a description of how the monetary system works, just like physics is a description of how matter and forces of the universe interact.
Inflation would be A LOT lower if it were not for the Fed's rate hikes. Theย cost of credit is reflected in the cost of all goods and services. This is not part of their understanding/orthodoxy. Monetarism does not permit this view.
1/2 Someone tweeted, "How do we pay back the debt? Explain it like I'm 5-yrs old." Ok, here goes. The US doesn't borrow dollars. When the gov't spends it creates dollars. Some $$ are taken back via taxation, but there are some of those dollars the public holds as savings.
I pay ZERO attention to monetary policy, because it is largely irrelevant. But simultaneously, I understand that's the ONLY THING investors pay attention to. Tunnel vision focus on monetarism, is a form of mental illness. Thank Milton Friedman.
Biden will cheer the deficit's decline, but this is exactly what is causing the economy to contract. He won't connect the dots, nor will anyone around him.
MMT critiques frequently say, "Well, it may work for a large economy with vast resources like the U.S., but not for some small island nation with limited resources." You mean like Japan? England?
You can't borrow something until it first exists. Dollars are created when the US gov't spends them into existence. It doesn't then "borrow" them. The sale of Treasuries simply drains some of those dollars.
All the inflationista's who were screaming, "money printing" is causing inflation. Money supply is contracting by a record amount. Yet inflation is still hot. Why are they not screaming "deflation, deflation?" Monetarism
#fail
.
The "debt" is all the dollars spent by the US gov't over the years that wasn't taken back via taxation. It's dollars that the world holds. There is no debt. It's all been paid for.
Whose genius idea was it to make a mortal enemy of the country with the most nuclear weapons on the planet, then pressure it, disrespect it, sanction it, abuse it, paint it into corner? Let's hope humanity survives.
$40 bln to Ukraine was literally crafted and passed by Congress in days. But if we want to repair our infrastructure, get mothers baby formula, education, healthcare, etc, then endless debate and "How are we going to pay for it?" Such bullsh*t.
Payments to defense contractors are up $21 bln over last year. How did we pay for it? Why is this question only asked about social programs, but never about military and war?
Typical criticism of
#MMT
. "MMT says you can print money all you want without any consequence, like some magic money tree." No, it absolutely doesn't say that.
"Inflation" worries did not stop President Eisenhower from building the interstate highway system--a major and transformational piece of infrastructure--despite its "cost." What would America look like without it, if Ike didn't do it because of inflation worries?
These mass lootings. Happening all over now. The society is unraveling. This is what happens from years of policy that funnels all income and wealth to the top. And it's going to get worse. Much worse.
There's no Medicare funding crisis. The gov't can buy what it needs, priced in its own currency, including healthcare for people. Taxing the rich may be a good idea if the goal is to claw back exorbitant fiscal gains doled out over the years, but it's not needed to fund Medicare.
Yellen thinks we need to cut the deficit to reduce "fiscal drag," when the deficit being down $1.5T y-o-y is the CAUSE of fiscal drag. Nevermind recession, it's amazing we are not in a DEPRESSION with people like her at the controls.
Gov't debt has soared yet dollar strong no inflation, interest rates at record lows, even in some cases negative. Where are the economists (and quacks) who predicted hyperinflation a dollar collapse and soaring rates? Where are they? How do they rationalize their theories now?
Biden Admin authorizes more money for Ukraine. No, โhow we gonna pay for it?โ Money for struggling Americans or fixing our infrastructure? Nope. No money.
Manchin says the $30T national "debt" should "scare the bejesus" out of people. (Actually, Manchin's obstinacy and ignorance should scare the bejesus out of people, and the fact that he's in charge of policy.)
After Jesus, Milton Friedman should be considered the most influential person in human history thanks to his brilliant and complete brain washing of the human race with his ridiculous theory of monetarism.
@tyler
In my 40+ years on Wall Street, as an exchange member, floor broker and independent trader, I have never seen any of these guys (hedge funds, large traders, etc) make money without some quasi-illegal (or outright illegal) edge.
Each time the Fed raises rates it raises the general price level. This creates a vicious cycle that keep rates and inflation going up. Fed doesn't understand this.
Fed holding rates high is just keeping the inflation rate permanently elevated. The quickest way for the Fed to reduce inflation would be to cut rates to zero.
Repeat after me...
Fed is a bank. It lends against collateral.
Fed is a regulator. It regulates the financial system.
Fed sets prices by virtue of its rate setting power.
Fed **DOES NOT PRINT MONEY.** (The fiscal authority, Congress, does.)
#MMT
never said there were no limits on spending. However, the limits are in real terms, not financial. There are no financial constraints only real constraints. (Labor, resources, brain power, infrastructure, etc.) "Money" is a keystroke. Human capital is not.
@realDonaldTrump
Financial institutions have been devastated? Have you seen their stocks? Have you seen the compensation of their CEOS? What about consumers? How do they look to you?
All economies are planned, not just socialist ones. Lobbyists shape policy for the wealthy and powerful, tax cuts for particular groups and spending cuts for others, patents, protections, subsidies, tariffs and more. Get over it.
A billionaire tax to pay for policy is wrong. Wrong message. We don't need their $$ to for nat'l investments. Tax them because policies financialized the economy to such a degree that one person has $300b of wealth while his firm has relatively little sales & profit. Egregious.
"Gov't can't do anything well." Oh wait...it just landed an autonomous vehicle on a planet 128 mln miles away? Then launched a helicopter on top of that? ๐ฏ
We should end central banks or just let them exist as regulators of the banking system. Rates should be set at zero permanently and management of the economy, inflation and employment should be the job of fiscal policy.
If Milton Friedman were alive today, he'd be shocked at how deeply his failed and nonsensical ideology has taken hold. I mean, entirely and unshakably gripped global economic policy. What a sickness.
Federal deficit down $57 bln y-o-y. Watch personal savings shrink fast. Deficit of the gov't = addition to the financial balances of non-gov't and vice-versa. Shrink the deficit, shrink non-gov't's financial balance. They go more into debt.
We don't have to "pay back" the national debt. There is nothing to pay back. (And to whom?) It's US dollars that have not been collected as taxes. (And may never be.) So it is part of the financial wealth of the public. BTW...we've always had a national debt and always will.
What gives a $100 bill its worth? (Because intrinsically, the paper and ink are worth a few pennies at best.) It's worth comes from gov't saying it will extinguish $100 worth of tax liability. Same with the coin. Doesn't need $1T worth of platinum to be "worth" $1T.
#Seigniorage
If you bought crypto's to preserve your wealth 'cause you think the Fed is "debasing" the $$ then you are very unsophisticated. If you did it to shield your assets from gov't control I'm not sure how it's gonna work out either. If you did it 'cause you like gambling, that's cool.
Companies don't "make money" when you lower their taxes. They make money when customers buy their goods and services. Tax breaks should go to consumers, not trillion dollar companies that want bribes to relocate.
There is no way billionaires should exist in a rational economic system. The only way that can occur is with state support that allows and protects massive extraction from labor, environment and existing real assets, while giving large tax advantages.
The modern economy is extremely productive. It produces far more than the world can consume. Structural unemployment is a consequence. Abundance in all forms should be distributed more equally.
Fed still doesn't understand that high interest rates keep inflation elevated. Just look at Turkey, and Argentina. For the opposite, look at the BoJ. Total failure of monetarist orthodoxy. Stupidity.
Lots of people citing how high interest payments on gov't "debt" is getting, not mentioning or understanding that these payments are income transfers to the economy. Fiscally the same as sending out checks. They just don't see that side of it. Take the blindfolds off.
Biden wants Treasury to "pay down the debt" this quarter. This is exactly what Clinton did in his second term leading to a stock market crash and deep recession in 2001-2003. "Pay down the debt" equates to reducing non-gov't financial balances.