The Vikings negative variance / mean reversion this season is even funnier than you’d think They are are one of just 3 teams that have recorded a PFF team grade you’d normally expect to result in a win in all 6 of their games Tweet added by Robby @greerreNFL

Robby

8 months

The Vikings negative variance / mean reversion this season is even funnier than you’d think They are are one of just 3 teams that have recorded a PFF team grade you’d normally expect to result in a win in all 6 of their games

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Seth Burn

@SethBurn

8 months

@greerreNFL I'm reasonably confident this says more about PFF than it does about Minnesota.

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Robby

@greerreNFL

8 months

@SethBurn PFF grades have about the same correlation to wins as net epa / play (ie net scoring differential / play) Interpret that however you’d like

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RetiredDonater

@NFLPinnacleBeat

8 months

@greerreNFL wouldn't use negative variance and mean reversion as synonyms rob.

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Robby

@greerreNFL

8 months

@NFLPinnacleBeat Both are applicable to the '23 vikings I also think mean reversion is a much more familiar concept for most and the difference between the two doesn't materially change the observation Though I can't argue they are different!

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