Josh Larson @coloradowx Twitter profile

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Not remotely surprised at the. consternation regarding the [lack of] snow this morning in #Denver . Anyone who thinks this is a "bust" due to current conditions, please check back in with me in 12 hours and reserve further judgement until then. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

It's rather difficult to conceptualize how brutally cold this is, but wind chills will be in the -25°F to -45°F range by 11pm Wednesday night across the greater #Denver metro area. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

It's my meteorological duty to inform you that #Denver is now less than 12 weeks out from its *average* first #snow of the season -- October 18. You're welcome ;-) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

“If you choose not to find joy in the #snow , you will have less joy in your life but still have the same amount of snow.” — Unknown #COwx #Denver #weather (CC @denversnow .) Note, video taken a few hours ago…

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 months

Per latest forecast discussion from @NWSBoulder : "over the past few hours, model guidance has spit out about as many different solutions as there are items on a Cheesecake Factory menu..." ;-) #COwx #Denver #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

I don't normally talk about this, but I have been sober for nearly 10 years, and the fact that I do not use alcohol makes winter storm forecasting (and managing associated emotions) far *easier*. #soberlife #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

It’s my meteorological duty to inform you that #Denver is now less than 12 weeks out from its average first accumulating #snow of the season — October 18th. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

The Denver Coliseum will be opened as a 24-hour warming shelter on Wednesday. Temps/wind chills during the upcoming Arctic blast *could* be unsurvivable in certain situations. Please look out for those less fortunate than you. #COwx #weather #Denver

Denver will open Coliseum as emergency shelter ahead of dangerous arctic cold coming Wednesday

Specific information about when the facility at 4600 Humboldt St. would open to people needing refuge was not immediately available. More details about the timing and potential transportation to th…

www.denverpost.com

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

I'm issuing a Greeley Smell Watch for the next 12 hours across the greater #Denver metro area. Those of you who have lived here long enough know precisely what I'm talking about ;-) #COwx #weather (CC @MileHighBrendan )

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

The NBM (National Blend of Models) output for #snow for #Denver metro for mid to late week is...um...bullish. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 years

It is my [meteorological] duty to inform you that #Denver is now just 8 weeks out from its average first snowfall! ;-) #COwx #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

Crazy to think that more snow has fallen in the past two hours in #Denver than fell in the previous ~250 days combined! #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Latest HRRR suggests that #Denver will have ~4-8" of #snow by 5pm Saturday (at left). By 5pm Sunday (at right) it's showing totals in the ~14-20" range. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

I want to join the chorus of folks giving kudos to @NWSBoulder . You all have done an incredible job over the past (*very* challenging) 24+ hours, not that I'm at all surprised! We are very grateful for you. Thank you. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 months

Oh my, 0z GFS. Um... #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

My hunch is that #Denver ( @DENAirport ) will briefly hit or exceed 50°F for a high Wednesday (~1-2pm?) before crashing to below 0°F by around 9pm and to -5 to -10°F by 12am Thursday. It's *almost* surreal to type this, even though we've seen it coming for days. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

#Denver has the worst air quality of any major city in the world as of 4pm. #COwx #weather #wildfire #smoke

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Per @NWSBoulder 's afternoon forecast discussion: "If everything comes together, there is a remote chance that DIA ties or breaks the December record low temperature of -25°F set way back in December of 1876" Thursday morning. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Very close to 4” of rain (3.97” to be exact) in the past 24 hours in SE Aurora. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

You know it's March in #Denver when the forecast is for possible thunderstorms turning to heavy, wet #snow and on the order of 10-20"+ across the next day and a half. [Left: 0z HRRR for 7pm Wednesday evening; Right: NDFD total snow forecast.] #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Per latest forecast discussion from @NWSBoulder : "It is still too early for very specific snowfall estimates, but [models] seem to be converging around a...forecast for widespread snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 feet, and locally heavier amounts." #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

10 months

Per @NWSBoulder : "Some high resolution models are producing extreme rainfall values in excess of 7" of rain within a 36hr period. These may be on the high side of what will actually occur but it would not be completely shocking if a report or two came in with these values." #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

I am concerned it will be a long evening of active to severe weather across the greater #Denver metro area, with high res models keying in on the ~8pm-12am period. Very large hail and isolated tornadoes possible along with significant rainfall. Please stay #weather aware! #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 months

👀 #COwx #Denver #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

The potential for >6" of #snow for #Denver metro ~Thursday of this coming week appears to be fairly high given lead time. Most global models indicate threat of heavy #snow . We *should* have somewhat more clarity by Monday or Tuesday. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

I know some folks have expressed concern about rain tonight eating into #snow totals, but in my experience >90% of the time, changeover to snow happens earlier than models indicate because of challenges fully grasping strength of evaporative cooling. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Odds of a 4-8"+ #snow for the greater #Denver metro for late Tuesday into Wednesday are fairly high per current modeling as well as @CIPSAnalogs analog-based forecast (pictured). #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

The 'normal' high for the date on December 1st in #Denver is 47°F. Today's record-tying high of 73° was 26° above normal. November was a whopping 6.8° above normal overall...and we're 10 days past our latest ever first #snow of the season. THIS IS NOT OKAY. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

0z HRRR. Notice that the difference between <2" (west of downtown #Denver ) and ~8"(near DIA) is only ~40 miles from west to east, and that this extremely tight gradient is nearly overtop Denver proper. Continues to be a challenging forecast... #COwx #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

10 months

It is my meteorological duty to inform you that #Denver is now less than 8 weeks out from its *average* first #snow of the season — October 18. (Boy, I’m gonna be popular today 😜) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

#Denver ( @DENAirport ) reporting 33°F with a rain/ #snow mix at 10am. The wind chill is 23° courtesy north winds at 16mph. Oh, and yesterday's high was 93°; Sunday's was 97°; Saturday's was 101°. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

*If* you are in a place of privilege, please be mindful of the more vulnerable and/or less fortunate members of your community -- elderly neighbors, the unhoused, pets, etc. -- as #Denver metro contends with the coldest #weather in 30+ years by late tomorrow. #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

#Denver **feels** more than 70°F colder than it did just 4 hours ago. At 2:03pm, we hit 51°F; by 6pm, the wind chill is -19°F (with an air temp of -1°F). As such, we feel 70°F colder than 4 hours ago. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

If you can believe it, @NWSBoulder believes the chance of >18" of #snow falling with this storm is as follows: Denver ~1/3 chance (32%) Boulder ~1/2 chance (48%) Castle Rock ~3/4 chance (76%) Colorado Springs ~1/3 chance (30%) #COwx #Denver #Boulder #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

There is something substantially apocalyptic (feeling) about the fact that it's Sept 6 and #Denver hit 101° yesterday, has reached the mid-to-upper 90s today with heavy #smoke from nearby wild fires...and we're under a Winter Storm Watch effective late Monday. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

This. @NWSBoulder did a great job forecasting this historic storm! ☺️ #cowx

Becky Bolinger

@ClimateBecky

3 years

Observed on the left, forecast from Friday morning on the right. Despite what all the haters say, this was a very well forecast event. Every forecaster @NWSBoulder deserves a free six-pack of beer! 🍻 #cowx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

0z ECMWF and 0z GFS v16 look awfully similar with overall total forecast #snow amounts. Lends confidence to overall forecast. In short, ~12-24" still(!) likely in #Denver -- mainly later Saturday into Sunday. Snow-lovers: breathe. And with that, goodnight! #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 months

Just measured 8.2” of fresh #snow in SE Aurora (~1mi from Tower & Hampden). Icicles a plenty, to boot, with a current temp of 20°F. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

I'd like to preempt those (non-meteorologist) folks who like to declare a forecast "bust" practically as soon as #snow has started. There will be only minor accumulations during the day today. Heaviest holds off til tonight/overnight into Monday. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 years

Holy mammatus, Batman! #Denver #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

#Denver has multiple chances for accumulating #snow over the next 7-10 days, with the most significant event (and highest potential for accumulation) most likely late Tuesday into Wednesday. Details will become somewhat clearer over next 24-48 hours... #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

At 4pm, #Denver ( @DENAirport ) is reporting 34°F with light #snow and a wind chill of 24°F. At the same time yesterday, it was 85°, so we're 51° colder and *feel* 61° colder than 24 hours ago. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Greeley, CO dropped 24°F in one hour -- from 65° at 1pm to 41° at 2pm -- as the cold front pushed through. #Denver only an hour or two behind this. Cheyenne, WY is currently 26°F (with a wind chill of 11°!) #COwx #WYwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

It’s 4pm and #Denver is currently still in 3rd place for all major global cities in terms of worst air quality scores today — courtesy copious smoke from Canadian wildfires being displaced southwards. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

...when even the positive snow depth change map from the 18z HRRR (which is considerably less bullish than 10:1 SLR maps because of taking into account some melting & compaction, etc.) shows >12" #snow for much of #Denver metro. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

I am far from convinced that Denver ends its #snow record snowless streak over the next 48 hours; drought feeds drought. 😰 #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Snow lovers, take a deep breath. That is all. #COwx #weather #Denver #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Per today's afternoon forecast discussion from @NWSBoulder : "The first real chance for accumulating snowfall across the I-25 corridor and plains will come late Thursday and into Friday morning." #COwx #Denver #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

First call forecast for #snow this weekend with our approaching storm system for #Denver is 8-16"; while there is significant upside potential >16", there are still a lot of questions about warm air intrusion, track, liquid:snow ratios, etc. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 months

~4pm check-in: How's everyone feeling about the biggest snow in up to 3 years? #COwx #Denver #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 years

Operational 12z ECMWF produces 47" of #snow next weekend in #Denver . I will buy every one of my followers dinner if that verifies ;-) #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

July & August are the only 2 months during which #Denver has never seen accumulating snow. But this much snow this late in May is rare. Per @BianchiWeather this is only 7th time on record since 1882 that Denver has seen >1" of snow this late in the season. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

I fear I'll leave some folks out (unintentionally), but here are some great follows for #COwx : @weather5280 @MattMakens @BrendansWeather @BianchiWeather @NOAABrauer @RRomkee @NWSBoulder @BoulderCAST @HighpointWx @AndySteinWx @LaurenCBS4 @OpenSnow @CReppWx #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

Today's official high in #Denver ( @DENAirport ) was 49°F. What is shocking is that just 22 miles to the southwest (as the crow files), Centennial (KAPA) hit a high of 70°F! That's effectively a 1°F per mile temperature gradient. Wow! #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

Our late Tuesday into Wednesday system is *feeling* like ~2-5" on the east side of town -- including KDEN ( @DENAirport ) -- and ~4-9" on the west side of town type of event to me. Latest NBM (shown) is rather illustrative of this. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 years

At risk of sounding over-dramatic, let that sink in: today was the warmest November day *ever* in #Denver since records began in 1882. #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

At 8pm, #Denver ( @DENAirport ) is reporting 32°F with moderate to heavy #snow , and visibility down to just 0.25mi, with 100% humidity. The wind chill is 27° with north winds at 5pm. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

FLASH: #Denver has been upgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory for 2-6" of #snow by Tuesday morning. By my count, this is the second upward revision to forecast snowfall amounts @NWSBoulder has made in the past ~90mins. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

Oh my; that escalated quickly. #COwx #Denver #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Can confirm extensive mild to moderate damage to exterior vinyl siding that will require an insurance claim and a fair bit of work to take care of due to golf ball+ size hail at our place in SE Aurora this afternoon. Hopefully no damage to solar panels. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 months

Impressive temp drop as Arctic Front pushes through @DENAirport (KDEN). #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

Eating crow today -- if you saw my tweet from last night. This system definitely over-performed my expectations for #Denver , and I'm always transparent about my meteorological transgressions ;-) #COwx #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Ignoring the bust trolls.

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

I’m eye-balling about 2” of fresh #snow here in SE Aurora (~1mi from Tower & Hampden). Just 15°F (with a wind chill of 8°F) and a few lingering flurries as of 7:20am. #COwx #weather #Denver

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

It's getting increasingly hard to *accurately* measure due to blowing and drifting, but it looks like I just eclipsed 12" of #snow on the west side of #Denver near Sloan's Lake as of ~12:30pm on 3/14. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Reasonably strong signal, at least from this many days out, for a *potentially* significant winter storm for #Denver metro by late Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. Stay tuned... #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Really disappointing this is coming from someone who is supposedly a journalist. Also, I don’t get paid anything to forecast the weather. #COwx

Robert Sanchez

@MileHighRobert

3 years

If I don't see two feet of snow, I'll be convinced Big Grocery pays Colorado meteorologists to hype winter storms as a way to clear out overstock.

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 months

We're now well <24 hours out and modeling is still a hot f-ing mess for #snow for #Denver FRI into SAT. Objectively poor model consistency and run-to-run stability nearly across the board. Areas west & south of town still favored vs areas north & east, however... #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 months

If I'm being 100% transparent, I think more folks across #Denver metro will end up with 4-8" out of this event than the going NWS forecast of 6-14". In about 24 hours, we'll see how this hunch verifies. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Per the afternoon forecast discussion from @NWSBoulder : "Despite some of the wild gyrations we've seen in model guidance, the overall plan with this storm is still the same. In fact, the latest EC and GEM ensemble data suggest...slightly higher totals than previous runs." #COwx

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

#Denver metro will probably see its first *widespread* readings well down into mid 40s (or cooler) for AM lows by early next week, should current guidance hold. Stay tuned... #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Just two days from now (Aug 3), #Denver 's *average* high temperature starts its seasonal decline once again...and on Aug 5 our *average* overnight low temperature starts dropping too. Whoo hoo! #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

9 months

It is my meteorological duty to report that #Denver is now technically less than one month away from our *average* first measurable #snow of the season -- October 18. Sorry/not sorry ;-) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

This *feels* like a widespread ~4-8" #snow for #Denver for late Tuesday into Wednesday. Still some lingering questions on exact track, but personally I'm feeling increasingly confident many see >4". #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

#Denver 's next shot at #snow is this coming Sunday/Monday. From *this* vantage point, temperatures look marginal and it does not look like an especially impactful system. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

THE 18z GFS (v15) IS NOT GOING TO VERIFY. #thatisall

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Nothing has changed in my thinking since earlier today and I’m still calling for 8-16” for #Denver with the *potential* for more in some spots. 2nd call forecast, which <<may>> remain the same as my 1st call, will come out tomorrow. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

Riiiiiiight.

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Now we're talking. 5pm 3/13/21: I've got moderate to heavy wet snow and finally down to 32°F on the west side of #Denver near Sloan's Lake. (Dew point = 29°.) Snow is now sticking on some paved surfaces; had only been sticking to colder surfaces earlier today. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

For the record, I'd be pretty surprised if #Denver *doesn't* hit 100°F on Sunday. In my experience, temperatures almost always "bust high" in Denver ahead of a cold front as strong as the one we're to encounter early next week. (Record is 97° from 2013.) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

#Denver hasn't had a single day in September with below normal temperatures. Of the past 15 days (including today): 12/15 featured above normal temps; 3/15 featured 'normal' temps; 0/15 featured below normal temps. We're currently +5.1°F month-to-date. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

On a day where #Denver will again be ~100°F for a high, it’s my meteorological duty to inform you that we are exactly 12 weeks out from the *average* first measurable snow of the season -- October 19. You're welcome 😜. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

National Blend of Models (NBM) shows the potential for plenty of beneficial rain over the next 84 hours across much of Colorado (other than the extreme SE corner of the state). For #Denver , this is Wednesday into Thursday. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Analog-based guidance does highlight the **potential** for >12" of #snow across #Denver metro by Saturday. (Graphic is courtesy @CIPSAnalogs ) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

It's now looking somewhere between possible and probable that #Denver metro could see up to several inches of #snow from late Thursday into Saturday with our next storm system. More to follow... #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

...and, as @BianchiWeather has been aptly messaging for several days now, both *no snow* and >6" for #Denver proper -- in theory -- are still *possible* outcomes...though we should have a much better handle on that in the next 12-24 hours. #COwx #weather #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 years

Did anyone else notice that) the official high today in #Denver ( @DENAirport ) -- 13°F -- broke the record low-max for the date of 16° from all the way back in 1911?! #COwx #weather #climate #snow

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

I just realized that the wind chill today in #Denver at 2pm on 2/22/22 was...drumroll, please...(negative) *two* °F ;-) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

2 years

Pretty grim when current temperatures are running 5-9°F warmer than the same time yesterday -- when highs ended up in the upper 90s. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

For the record, I don't think rain is going to be an issue on Saturday with this system, as has been suggested by some models and some forecasters. Low-level cold will win out except for far eastern Plains. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 months

Friday #snow in #Denver now starting to look more like 2-4”+, which is an increase from ~1-3” yesterday and *may* increase further into more like the 3-6”+ range as ensemble models suggesting a slower, deeper scenario vs ~24 hours ago. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

Just so you're aware...12z ECMWF model produces a *high* temp of -5°F; overnight low of -22°F for #Denver next Saturday 2/13. Valentine's Day: High of -3°F; low of -24°F. Monday 2/15: High of -8°F; low of -12°F. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

#Denver ( @DENAirport ) has officially hit at least 50°F for a high today, with that as the reported temperature as of 1pm. Latest guidance suggests temps will crash to ~5°F by 6pm and to near -5°F by 9pm -- *without* accounting for wind chills -- at DIA. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

4 years

It is my meteorological duty to inform you that #Denver is just 8 weeks out from its average first snowfall of the season — Oct 19! Depending on your persuasion: I’m sorry/you’re welcome 😜 #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

At 3pm, I'm *just* shy of 16" of #snow on the west side of #Denver near Sloan's Lake. Drifts >2ft in places. It is blustery with low visibility, and 30.9°F at present. #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

5 years

It would not shock me if #Denver makes a run for 70°F tomorrow ahead of our blizzard for WED --> THU; not uncommon for temps to bust high ahead of a strong storm system such as this; (models forecasting low 60s.) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

1 year

Out our front door in SE Aurora at 4:10pm. #COwx #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

6 years

....just a friendly reminder that in ~2 weeks time the 'normal' low temperature in #Denver drops into the upper 40s.. That is all ;-) #COwx #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

8 months

Note that @NWSCPC sees an enhanced likelihood of below normal temperatures *and* above normal precipitation in the 6-10 day (Oct 29 through Nov 2) for most of #COwx . When both of these align this time of year, it generally portends #snow . #Denver #weather

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Josh Larson

@coloradowx

3 years

It's my meteorological duty to report that #Denver is technically now less than one month away from our *average* first measurable #snow of the season -- October 18. Sorry/not sorry 🤪 #COwx #weather

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