How close are we to self-destruction? It has been 2 minutes to midnight since 2018. The
#DoomsdayClock
is used to illustrate threats to humanity & the planet. Every year, these extinction-level threats are assessed & a time is announced.
“We have indeed normalized a very dangerous world in terms of the risks of nuclear warfare and climate change,” — Bob Rosner of the Bulletin’s Science & Security Board
#DoomsdayClock
COVID-19 has cost the US around $4 trillion.
The US spent $8 trillion on the war on terror.
Given COVID has now killed over a million US citizens, the investment in
#pandemic
preparedness should be considerably higher.
“Without conscious efforts to reinvigorate arms control, the world is headed into an unregulated nuclear environment,” —
@SquassoniSharon
of the Bulletin’s Science & Security Board
#DoomsdayClock
“Today, the members of the Science and Security Board find the world to be no safer than it was last year at this time and therefore has decided to set the
#DoomsdayClock
once again at 100 seconds to midnight.” –
@RachelBronson1
, Bulletin President & CEO
The
#DoomsdayClock
has been reset 23 times since its debut in 1947. Most recently, in 2018, it moved to 2 minutes to midnight—the closest humanity has ever been to self-destruction.
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists was founded in 1945 by University of Chicago scientists who helped develop the first atomic weapons in the Manhattan Project. They created the
#DoomsdayClock
two years later.
“...the world has entered into the realm of a two-minute warning, a period when danger is high and the margin for error low,” —
@RachelBronson1
, President & CEO, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
#DoomsdayClock
Must see: In 1983, the television movie The Day After depicted full-scale nuclear war. It had an enormous impact on America’s national conversation about nuclear weapons. See our new multimedia presentation on 1 of the most-watched tv movies of all time:
Two US military experts have proposed giving artificial intelligence control over the nuclear launch button.
@mchorowitz
weighs in on the risks: "...training an algorithm for early warning means that you’re relying entirely on simulated data.”
“Today, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists leaves the Doomsday Clock unchanged. It is 100 seconds to midnight,” —
@RachelBronson1
, President & CEO, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
#DoomsdayClock
@RachelBronson1
“If decision makers continue to fail to act...citizens around the world should rightfully echo the words of climate activist
@GretaThunberg
and ask: ‘How dare you?’” —
@RachelBronson1
, President & CEO, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
#DoomsdayClock
Today, the Bulletin’s Science and Security Board once again sets the
#DoomsdayClock
at 90 seconds to midnight.
Humanity continues to face an unprecedented level of danger.
Read the full statement:
"Like other labs affiliated with the US threat reduction program, the Ukrainian labs have been targeted by
#disinformation
before. As Russia makes preparations for a potential attack on Ukraine, some media have retrained their focus on them."
Who sets the time? The Bulletin’s Science & Security Board meets regularly to discuss world events. Each January, the
#DoomsdayClock
time is announced.
"I want my audience and readers to understand the extremely shocking nature of this war,” said Ukrainian journalist
@IAPonomarenko
. “We saw mass graves on parking lots in our communities, in our cities, next to our supermarkets…It could happen to anyone."
“Journalists, you love Trump's tweets. You love the news of the day. You love the leads that get the clicks. But the final click could be a nuclear accident."
@JerryBrownGov
at the 2019
#DoomsdayClock
announcement. Read the Clock statement:
"I think we probably should stop calling it misinformation, disinformation or infodemic.
We should call it for what it is, which is anti-science aggression, because it is a killing force."
Read more below:
"The Clock remains the closest it has ever been to civilization-ending apocalypse because the world remains stuck in an extremely dangerous moment."
— The 2022 Doomsday Clock statement
Physician-scientist
@PeterHotez
has fought against misleading medical information for years.
But now, he says, anti-science sentiments, fueled by social media, have been weaponized by those seeking profits and power.
Armed with a coding manual, one group of students is logging all the lies, conspiracy theories, and misleading political attacks that have seemingly spread as fast as the coronavirus itself.
The prospect of endemic Covid-19, currently the third highest cause of death in the U.S., is "brutal."
"Society should be prepared to limit the carnage with better medicines, better vaccines, and better air filtration systems."
40 years ago today, "Stanislav Petrov chose to ignore the Soviet early-warning detection system, which had erroneously indicated five incoming American nuclear missiles."
6,700 bird flu outbreaks worldwide.
1 billion chickens in an area one-quarter the size of Alabama.
Poultry farmers mixing human flu viruses with birds’.
Experts say it’s a recipe for disaster:
“This ongoing irresponsible behavior will no doubt be remembered in history as one of the greatest failures of humankind.” Climate activist Greta Thunberg's speech to the British Parliament is worth a read:
Two US military experts have proposed giving artificial intelligence control over the nuclear launch button.
@mchorowitz
weighs in on the risks: "...training an algorithm for early warning means that you’re relying entirely on simulated data.”
“The Doomsday Clock is a globally recognized indicator of the vulnerability of our existence...We are now 100 seconds to midnight & the world needs to wake up,” —Mary Robinson, Chair of
@TheElders
, former President of Ireland
#DoomsdayClock
THREAD: In a nuclear war, hundreds or thousands of detonations would occur within minutes of each other. Smoke from mass fires after the detonations would inject massive amounts of soot into the stratosphere.
Armenia’s Metsamor nuclear power plant is in an earthquake zone, has no containment unit, and was supposed to have closed long ago. Besides, Armenia can meet its energy needs without Metsamor’s output.
The Doomsday Clock has been a powerful symbol for communicating existential threats for over 75 years.
Tune in January 24 at 10:00AM EST to hear what leading scientists have set the Doomsday Clock to for 2023.
Learn more:
In William MacAskill's book What We Owe the Future, he lists 30 experts as consultants on the climate.
@xriskology
wrote to them. 20 responded. Most said they disagree with the book's take on climate change.
Some said they had not been consulted at all.
Now, it's murder: The novichok attacks are all a bit reminiscent of the Cold War. Except if this were the Cold War, the US president could be counted on to side with Britain against Russia:
Of the 64 kilograms of uranium in the Hiroshima bomb, less than one kilogram underwent fission, and the entire energy of the explosion came from just over half a gram of matter that was converted to energy.
That is about the weight of a butterfly.
I am certain that, at some time in the future, President Xi and I, together with President Putin of Russia, will start talking about a meaningful halt to what has become a major and uncontrollable Arms Race. The U.S. spent 716 Billion Dollars this year. Crazy!
"In truth, the Doomsday Clock is a global alarm clock. We need to wake up — and get to work."
Hear
@UN
Secretary-General
@antonioguterres
discuss the Doomsday Clock in his remarks to the General Assembly.
Read more about his speech here:
"An examination of relevant national statistics shows that the Trump pandemic response has led to the unnecessary deaths of more than 100,000 Americans."
“To test the limits of earth's habitable temperature is madness...Even at only 1°C of warming, people across the world are witnessing – and suffering – the impacts." —
@KarthaSivan
of the Bulletin’s Science & Security Board
#DoomsdayClock
"[W]hen Trump took office he quickly got to work aggressively dismantling Obama-era climate regulation...Some of Trump’s damage can be undone right away, but getting climate action fully back on track will take years."
"There is still time to rescue the world from truly catastrophic effects of climate change. For such a rescue to become reality, however, progress toward decarbonization must pick up pace dramatically, and very soon." Full
#DoomsdayClock
statement here:
Tune in at 10 am EST on Jan. 20 for the 2022
#DoomsdayClock
announcement! Featuring remarks from author and science communicator Hank Green and the Bulletin Science & Security Board.
Today, the
#DoomsdayClock
moved forward:
It is 100 seconds to midnight.
Historically, the Clock has moved both forward & backward. Notably, it turned back in 1991, 1972 & 1969.
To find out why, read our past Clock statements:
The Bulletin’s Science & Security Board members consult widely with their colleagues across a range of disciplines & also seek the views of the Bulletin’s Board of Sponsors, which includes 13 Nobel Laureates.
#DoomsdayClock
“Humanity continues to face two simultaneous existential dangers—nuclear war and climate change—that are compounded by a threat multiplier, cyber-enabled information warfare, that undercuts society’s ability to respond.”
Read the Doomsday Clock statement:
Armenia’s Metsamor nuclear power plant is in an earthquake zone, has no containment unit, and was supposed to have closed long ago. Besides, Armenia can meet its energy needs without Metsamor’s output.
"Now being a scientist means, to some extent, being willing to combat the anti-science."
Bulletin editor
@Saragoud
interviewed physician-scientist and vaccine researcher
@PeterHotez
about anti-science disinformation in the era of Covid-19.
“The international security situation is dire, not just because these threats exist, but because world leaders have allowed the international political infrastructure for managing them to erode.” Read the full
#Doomsday
Clock statement:
Independent scientific studies have reinforced the growing circumstantial evidence that the Vela event was an atmospheric nuclear test, and that
#Israel
was the perpetrator.
Does anyone really know what time it is? Tune in on Thursday (1/25) @ 10 a.m. ET for LIVE Doomsday Clock Announcement at or Facebook Live
#DoomsdayClock
"The Chinese government’s persistent stonewalling & Shi’s pattern of evasions do not amount to proof that the SARS2 virus escaped from her lab. But they seem less like the actions of innocent people and more like attempts to cover up a fatal accident ... "
“Without conscious efforts to reinvigorate arms control, the world is headed into an unregulated nuclear environment,” —
@SquassoniSharon
of the Bulletin’s Science & Security Board
#DoomsdayClock
The most remarkable fact of nuclear history is that the bomb has not been used in war since 1945—a 77-year tradition of non-use.
And this tradition is not merely the result of luck but of effort.
Again,
@realDonaldTrump
and the
@EPA
are apparently hoping voters won’t notice that emissions rose by 2.8 percent in 2018, Trump’s second year in office, after declining for the four previous years:
Today, the Bulletin's Science and Security Board moved the
#DoomsdayClock
to
#90SecondsToMidnight
.
To learn more about this decision, read the 2023 Doomsday Clock Statement:
Yesterday, Ukraine warned the risk of Russia using a tactical nuclear weapon is "very high."
If that horrific scenario comes to fruition, how should the US respond?
@jeffaedmonds
shared his thoughts earlier this year. ⬇️
"The Doomsday Clock is now 90 seconds to midnight, or total global catastrophe."
Thank you
@antonioguterres
for including the Doomsday Clock in your remarks to the
@UN
General Assembly today.
"Eliminating launch on warning would significantly reduce the probability of blundering into a civilization-ending nuclear war by mistake. To err is human. To start a nuclear war would be unforgivable."
"The amount of Antarctic sea ice is lower now than it has been in four decades at the same time of year."
Data visualization via
@ZLabe
.
Read more:
#WorldOceanDay
"Science is supposedly a self-correcting community of experts who constantly check each other’s work. So why didn’t other virologists point out that the Andersen group’s argument was full of absurdly large holes?" - Nicholas Wade
30 years ago today the US conducted its last nuclear test underground at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS). That marked the close of 47 years of nuclear testing that began at Los Alamos, New Mexico with the Trinity Test on July 16th, 1945.
“We have in fact entered a period that we call the new abnormal. This ‘new abnormal’ that the world now inhabits is unsustainable and unsettling. We appear to be normalizing a very dangerous world...” says
@RachelBronson1
#DoomsdayClock
Since the creation of the nuclear bomb, at least eight nations have detonated 2,056 nuclear test explosions at test sites around the world. Half of those tests were conducted by one country alone: the United States.
In recent weeks, the Trump administration reportedly discussed the possibility of doing something the US hasn't done since 1992: resuming explosive testing of nuclear weapons.
Bulletin exec chair
@JerryBrownGov
testified yesterday about the Trump admin decision to revoke California's ability to impose higher emissions standards. "Get on the side of science, get on the side of the people, get on the side of the future." Watch:
Only the Russians know the source of the small radiation releases detected over northern Europe this summer. So far, they aren’t talking. New from
@CherylRofer
: