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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Profile
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ

@_Checkmatey_

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Helping navigate #Bitcoin 's volatility Newsletter Onchain Analyst @_checkonchain Charting Suite

UTXO
Joined January 2018
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
24 days
Personal Update: I am very proud to announce I'm launching the @_checkonchain Newsletter on Substack! After 6 years studying and educating folks on the power of #Bitcoin onchain data, it's time to put my skills to the test. Our first edition is live! ๐Ÿงต
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
2013 #Bitcoin Fractal. Sell-off was pre-recorded in the simulation.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
4 months
Turns out the SEC was behind all the market manipulation after all.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Thanks for the cheap sats, anon. $BTC sent straight to cold storage, just like all of these coins. Love me a good ol divergence. Let it run as hot and deep as you want, the reversal will be swift and powerful. Have seen this movie before.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
5 months
#Bitcoin is trading around $44k, a level which was the absolute zenith of on-chain mania in Jan 2021. Old hands were spending coins at huge profit multiples, lighting up the Value Days Destroyed Multiple by @TXMCtrades like a Xmas tree. Here we are at $44k, and barely aโ€ฆ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
10 months
#Bitcoin Shrimp (< 1 $BTC) ๐Ÿฆ are stacking sats at a rate of 33.8k $BTC per month. Issuance ๐Ÿ”ต is ~27.0k $BTC/mth For every 1 new coin, Shrimp are taking 1.25 off the market. Crazy conviction on display.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
I know it is forbidden to post anything bullish on #Bitcoin right now, but I'm gonna do it anyway. ๐Ÿ”ต Illiquid supply is at an all-time high ๐ŸŸ Liquid supply is demonstrating maturation as coins from $30k-$40k grow grey beards ๐Ÿ”ดHighly Liquid supply is at a multi-year low.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
The volume of #Bitcoin younger than 1 month has hit an all-time-low of less than 7% of circ. supply. In other-words, the volume of coins older than 1 month is at an all-time-high. The HODL is very real Old coins are not being spent Young coins are maturing This is bullish.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
At the very least, one should be expecting a #Bitcoin bounce right around now. STH-SOPR has fallen below 1, which means top-buyers are spending their $BTC at a realised loss. When top buyers capitulate, it is historically a local bottom.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Binance was by far the largest receiving exchange for $BTC through H1 2021. Outflows have commenced. The supply squeeze is coming. Beras are too bera.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Bought #Bitcoin because I literally cannot understand why anyone would be selling it. If it trades lower, I will repeat next week. The supply squeeze is coming.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
#Bitcoin Long-Term Holders are adding to their balance at an annualised rate of 7.6x issuance. With ~900 $BTC in mined issuance per day, this means around 6,840 $BTC moving into LTH storage daily. Check out this metric in the Week Onchain newsletter.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
I'm not sure what #Bitcoin bears are going to do with this information, but a clean retest of the STH Realised Price is about as good as it gets for bull market support. If this bounce grows legs, it starts to look quite a lot like 2017. Psychology on-chain. It works well.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
In one move, the US Government has demonstrated that they OWN #Ethereum DeFi. Folks, us all a favour, ditch the move to Proof-of-Stake so you don't hand consensus to them as well. That way, you will live to fight many more days Unless a regulated chain is what you want fro NGU
@LefterisJP
Lefteris Karapetsas | Hiring for @rotkiapp
2 years
One by one they fall. Shame @AaveAave ๐Ÿ™„ All praise our @trmlabs overlords
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Markets need to go down to go up. The sooner you understand this, the better off you will be.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin Short Term Holder supply has reached an equal all-time-low of 20%. This means that less than 20% of all circulating $BTC have transacted within the last ~5 months. Given the accumulation we observed last time we were at $30k-$40k, this trend is likely to continue.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Has #Bitcoin ever schooled anyone for arrogance as quickly as Do Kwon? Ive never seen justice served this quickly. A complete annihilation of their $BTC balance, sold at a loss, plus supporters fleeced of hundreds of millions, and LUNA credibility shot, all in a few short hours
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Stacking sats in one chart. Holders of < 1 $BTC how own 5.1% of the total coin supply, and the trend is pp and to the right. My favourite trend in the entire #Bitcoin ledger. #Bitcoin is for the little guy. Keep stacking ๐ŸŒฝ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin is $3,000 below ATH and retail is still nowhere to be seen.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Notice how #Bitcoin once again sold off before all other macro markets? It is a truly free market and increasingly the one asset to pay maximal attention too. It is the only one that has no central bank put, no bail outs, and everyone plays by the same rules The truth machine.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
4 years
Prediction: $BTC is about to decouple from the stock market. It has buyers. It has a different set of fundamentals. It has its own supply and demand rhythm. Hodlers are not priced in.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
4 months
#Bitcoin is the most loved and hated, desired and detested, revered and feared asset in history. All it does is keep a very secure ledger of who owned what and when.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
#Bitcoin Mayer Multiple, which is one of my absolute favourite metrics, has fallen to 0.75. Historically speaking, MM values this low have only ever occurred for 15% of Bitcoin's life. That means 85% probability of oversold. Keep it simple. Live Chart:
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
It will take another 118 years to mine the last 2M $BTC. Around half of all miners are now located in the Americas, many with mandates to HODL all mined coins, selling equity and debt instead. The majority of $BTC you buy comes from the hands of other players now. Good Luck.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
4 months
Harden up folks. #Bitcoin
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Food for thought. Did #Bitcoin ever leave the bear market that started in May? Did we just witness the first ATH within a bear market? If so, let me pose to you a question --> if we could achieve ATH with only the dedicated HODLers in play, what happens WHEN the mob arrives?
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Before you react to large wallet inflow data, ask yourself: Why would a very wealthy holder, wait until the very last red candle, and then send a huge sum to exchanges that they KNOW will be seen and engagement farmed? Are they dumb? Or are they playing chess. #Bitcoin
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
9 months
Here it is folks, introducing Cointime Economics for #Bitcoin . This is the culmination of 18-months collaboration between @dpuellARK and myself, where we developed a new economic framework for $BTC. We relate the dimensions of time and supply, in an abstract, yet elegant way.
@glassnode
glassnode
9 months
Introducing Cointime Economics, a new framework for #Bitcoin analysis, by @_Checkmatey_ of @glassnode , and @dpuellARK of @ARKInvest This novel framework establishes a new suite of analysis tools, 30+ new metrics, and improved valuation and pricing models
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
Is this #Bitcoin rally driven by leverage, or by spot demand? A ๐Ÿงตthread showing just how un-levered the $BTC market is, and why spot is likely in charge. The amount of open interest relative to market cap, and exchange spot balance is trending lower. as is coin-margin.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Amazon down 10% after hours... The largest equities in the world are trading like shitcoins, wiping out tens to hundreds of billions in single candles. Meanwhile, the ultra volatile stablecoin #Bitcoin remains worth $40k, and the bears still can't set a lower low.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
We are about to witness nation states under immense stress due to their inability to print ENERGY. I hope we can all now see #Bitcoin mining, and the scarce energy it consumes, is what makes it so secure and resistant against states. They can print money, still can't forge work
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
11 months
Pretty doomy out there. Meanwhile, #Bitcoin Shrimp, Crabs, and Fish (wallets < 100 $BTC) are adding to their balance at a rate of 248% times the amount freshly minted by miners. Sharks (100 to 1k $BTC) adding an additional 38%. Coins are coming out of exchanges. Halving isโ€ฆ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Now this is something I have been working on for a very long time. If you want serious edge in this market, pay attention to the beating heart of the chain. A full blown masterclass to learn how to properly apply each metric is coming in hot soon after.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
This is precisely what I want to see for #Bitcoin Acceleration of wallets < 1BTC Keep stacking sats.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
A pattern
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 months
Unreal...Feb 2024 printed a $19.84k #Bitcoin candle, the largest monthly USD increase in history. This added $390B to the #Bitcoin market cap... Up a remarkable 47%.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Some guy foolishly just sold me a bunch of his #Bitcoin at sub $20k. He sees red candles and fear, I see $BTC trading below the Realized Price, and at levels that are unbelievably undervalued. Thanks mate, I will look after the sats, better than you did.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Ok Folks, this thread on why I believe the #Ethereum Merge is a Monumental Blunder blew up. I have not had a single Ethereum person respond with a convincing counter. Here is a video I prepared with my full scale, good faith case outlaid for discussion
@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
In one move, the US Government has demonstrated that they OWN #Ethereum DeFi. Folks, us all a favour, ditch the move to Proof-of-Stake so you don't hand consensus to them as well. That way, you will live to fight many more days Unless a regulated chain is what you want fro NGU
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
With #Bitcoin simply flooding out of exchanges, we now have a ~5yr high in Sovereign Supply of 87.7% of the total. All $BTC which flowed into exchanges since Jan 2018, has now been withdrawn. Self-custody, and spot driven #Bitcoin markets are back on the menu.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
4 months
Farewell Scruffy, my best mate for 16yrs. He had the best innings. Pre-genesis til 823,319 Immortalised forever on #Bitcoin
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Despite a good whack of bearish indicators (primarily no activity on-chain and empty mempools), I am quite certain of three things: 1) Many end up with less $BTC than they started with 2) Most won't stack $BTC hard enough 3) The reversal will come sooner than expected #Bitcoin
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
$BTC price could have fallen much further many times already. It hasn't. Good signs imo. #Bitcoin
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin just reclaimed the 200DMA at $45,880. Strong signal if it closes above.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
24hrs later, the average fees paid per block has returned to ~1.0 $BTC per block. Imagine arguing to change #Bitcoin rules for a short-term fee spike due to people using the chain in ways you don't agree with. Trying to change the rules is the attack, not the inscriptions.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
The average #Bitcoin fee paid per block has only surpassed the block subsidy on five occasions, with the latest event being this week. 5 out of 4600+ trading days. None of them maintained that degree of congestion for very long.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
For those of you who were not holding #Bitcoin in March 2020, this is kinda what it felt like (lite version). Except back then we sold off 38% in a day after an attempted recovery from a 2yr long bear market, rather than today's 21% from near ATHs. Resilience.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
#Bitcoin Shrimp cannot be stopped. These crazy HODLers are still acquiring coins at a rate of 28k $BTC per month. The last 12 months has been the largest Shrimp balance expansion in history, and they appear to get aggressive during sell-off opportunities. Smart Shrimp.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 months
Pro tip There is no model that can predict the #Bitcoin price into the future. Every cycle, there is a new batch of bullshit moon math, and none of it is reliable or realistic. Read the tape, and learn how investors behave. Look for the behaviours and patterns that occur nearโ€ฆ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
There are many reasons #Bitcoin fees are down - segwit adoption - batching - LN etc But there is also a more obvious and dominant one... Zero congestion after a 50% correction from ATHs that absolutely SMOKED tourists and retail... Tourists have left Smart money remain Simple.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
8 months
The #Bitcoin mempool has not cleared since mid April. This explosion in blockspace demand is actually pretty unique, and this thread is a quick exploration on what is actually going on. ๐Ÿงต
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Red #Bitcoin candles got ya down? Which side would you rather be on? - The smart money long term thinkers? - Or reply guy who bought the top and is predicting doom candles? A downtrend in Young coins means by definition an uptrend in old coins. $BTC Accumulation continues. 1/3
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Remember when everyone said #Bitcoin was in a bear market?
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
If we break higher and this market returns to bullish trends, will all the bears come out and give props to the on-chain squad who held the line? By my estimation, #Bitcoin supply dynamics remained constructive throughout September, despite downside PA. Looking into the future.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
$51k $BTC for Xmas. All those bullish onchain analysts at $45k were wrong again. Scammmmmmers!
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
11 months
The #Bitcoin narrative that will die this cycle is the old classic about diminishing returns. Leaving this here to I pretend I was wise when it happens.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
#Bitcoin Sell-side Risk ratio is approaching all-time lows. This indicates that investors are reluctant to spend coins which are in profit, or loss within the current price range. This usually occurs when sellers are exhausted on both sides, suggesting big moves are coming
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
I still cannot understand how the #Ethereum community has not put 2 and 2 together. Tornado cash is your wake-up call They have USDC, Infura, and most dapps. They DO NOT HAVE your miners or block production. But they already have CEX's and Lido (VCs + node operators). 2+2...
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Around $3.3B in #Bitcoin Open Interest just got closed out in 1hr. That is around 17% of all contracts that were open. This is what a leverage flush out looks like,and I really wish we didn't have them. But we do, and this acts like a forest fire. Spot + onchain take over now
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
I would not want to be short #Bitcoin right now. The bears have had an epic run. But this is the stage where those who just capitulated in pain, go leveraged short to win it all back. The sub-30k call is too obvious right now. Short term, I wouldn't want to be short๐ŸŒฝ.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Fairly sizeable $BTC outflow from Coinbase of around 20.2k $BTC.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
The bears are wrong.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
The #Bitcoin bears see a lower high. I see a higher low. LFG.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
There are fewer $BTC in circulation than most of you expect.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
#Bitcoin is still coming out of a bear market that started in May. Kinda strange, but the more investor behaviour patterns I see, the more evidence I find that we are still coming out of a psychological bear. Patience, conviction, and sitting tight will win the prize.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
Reality check. #Bitcoin dominance calc from market cap is bollocks. last traded price * supply is bogus Realized cap values tokens at the price moved on-chain, filtering out founder coins, scams etc. BTC Dominance๐Ÿ”ด59% and rising, at multi-year highs (last was Dec 2017)
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@denverbitcoin
๐Ÿ”Adam O๐Ÿ”
1 year
Saw this on LinkedIn -- worth sharing.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
9 months
One of the questions I am asked the most about #Bitcoin is how much capital needs to flow in/out in order to create a $1 change in Market Cap? There is no perfect answer, but I think I now have a pretty decent answer. Let's dive into the data ๐Ÿงต The Realized Cap This metric isโ€ฆ
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 months
You know what sets this rally apart from the last time #Bitcoin hit $57k in 2021? This time, short-sellers continue to bet against the prevailing uptrend, getting liquidated as a result. At true bull market peaks, its the levered longs that get wiped out. Right now, its the ๐Ÿฉณs
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
If you are still buying #Bitcoin and did not get shaken out over the last 6 months, well done, you are the smart money. Retail comes at the end of blow-off tops. Few understand that the point of maximum opportunity is MONTHS (often years) before retail arrives.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Ripple executive will be $5M poorer. #Bitcoin will still be Proof-of-Work. Institutions will see that yet again the code cannot be changed because of a political agenda. This is bullish.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
100% of feed is bearish on #Bitcoin Laser Rays added, because everyone else took theirs off. #NewProfilePic
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Since the Pre-Mar-2020 highs: Gold is up 12% SPX is up 25% NDX is up 40% #Bitcoin is up 260% Whilst the USD supply is up 40%+ Only 2 assets actually protected you from monetary debasement (even including the recent sell-off). Only one of them increased your purchasing power
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
If #Bitcoin was in a bear market, riddle me this: Why are $BTC continuing to flow out of exchanges? Exchange outflows are currently at around 5k $BTC per day on a 7DMA basis. 1/3
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
9 days
Welcome to a more middle of the road #Bitcoin bull market correction. P.S. it has been much worse literally every other bull cycle.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
5 months
The #Bitcoin mempool is full, and some Bitcoiners are salty about it. Here are some counter-intuitive facts about inscriptions which make these salty attitudes ridiculous. Inscriptions are: - Primarily tiny text files (order of mag > Images) - Around 50% of daily transactions -โ€ฆ
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Headlines you don't see for literally any other asset. If #Bitcoin wasn't a real threat, they wouldn't bother writing the article. We are winning.
@bitcoinorthobro
Spinte Orthobro โ˜ฆ๏ธ โˆž/21Mโ‚ฟ
3 years
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 month
Still my favourite #Bitcoin chart of this cycle. Market is absorbing hundred million dollar sell-side days, and the bears still haven't managed a 20% pullback.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Everyone is sleeping on #Bitcoin Lightning Network. โšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
23 days
A quick ๐Ÿงต to keep things in perspective folks. Only 38 days in all #Bitcoin history have ever had a closing price higher than where we currently are at $61k.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Energy markets will eventually be priced in #Bitcoin
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
The #Bitcoin capitulation I want to see is: - All the reply guys who are prepared for the capitulation right now have bids at $25k-$30k - We rally to $40ks, they cancel bids and FOMO buy - Then we nuke to low $30ks, they sell it all. - Then they short the bull all the way up.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
The flippening ๐Ÿฌ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
Look at these hardy, crazy fuckers, holding #Bitcoin for over 6mths, and literally unchanged in their supply, despite the an end-of-world collapse happening around them. Whoever owns this stupid thing must be batshit insane... ...or have immense conviction, undeterred by chaos.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Many folks have been wondering 'wen LTH capitulation'? If we consider the 30-day change in LTH Realised Cap we can calculate the magnitude of their monthly losses on-chain. Turning that into a Z-Score we can see they are getting rekt right now. All that sell-side, no new lows.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
#Bitcoin is now the only PoW blockchain of scale. And still #1 .
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Proof of Work to secure absolute scarcity is the innovation of our lifetime. #Bitcoin
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
The purchasing power of El Salvadorian legal tender increased more than any other nation on earth yesterday. Strong, sound money. #Bitcoin
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
27 days
#Bitcoin bear markets start when too many people buy too much coin, too high. As price sells off, it plunges these top buyers into panic mode, and their coins fall into loss. Looking at STH coins, we simply don't have the volume of top buyers akin to previous 'it's over'โ€ฆ
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
By the way --> hang in there. Don't get shaken out here, the damage is already done, and the market WILL recover from today's red candle in due course. Sit tight, you got that! #Bitcoin
@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
For those of you who were not holding #Bitcoin in March 2020, this is kinda what it felt like (lite version). Except back then we sold off 38% in a day after an attempted recovery from a 2yr long bear market, rather than today's 21% from near ATHs. Resilience.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin Looks bearish. Would be a shame to be extremely long here.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
1 year
#Bitcoin is fuck you money. Its intrinsic value comes from the ability to say fuck you to any and all centralised authorities that do not favour your best interests. Every satoshi you own, is an extra 'fuck you' in the vault. Stay humble, stack fuck you's.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
6 days
I'm firmly of the view that this is one of the all time great #Bitcoin memes. The HODLers journey. What stage are you in today, and where were you 4yrs ago?
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Live shot of @WClementeIII comment section on every red candle on the 1min chart.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin miner unspent supply. Coins freshly mined and unspent on-chain. MinERs aRe dUmPinG!
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
The most bearish chart in existence. #Bitcoin is worthless and going to zero.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
We will look back at this #Bitcoin metric in a few years, and marvel that so many missed it.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
My #Bitcoin gut feel right now: Price looks shit...and we are in a bear for sure...but... We are witnessing literally trillions of $ in losses across the bond market, which underpins everything. And yet #Bitcoin bears still cant take out $40k. How much more ammo do they need?
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin Realised Cap just ticked down for the first time since March 2020 sell-off. This means that on aggregate, more losses were taken on-chain than profits taken. Top buyers getting a lesson in volatility, strong hands seeing just another day in the office.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
Have you HODLed the majority of your #Bitcoin for longer than 5-months? If so, you are a Long-Term Holder, and statistically, you survived the hardest part of the FOMO, fear and anxiety gauntlet all HODLers run. If you make it to this end-zone, you have harder nerves than most.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
Spot sovereign $BTC has already soaked up 85% of the supply. Im more bullish on sat stackers than the ETF.
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_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
3 years
#Bitcoin is on the edge of a very large cost basis zone. Next major on-chain support is down at $40k... Given we are now below the 200DMA, probabilities have increased that we fill in the gap. Again, I think macro forces/uncertainty are the primary drivers here. A dip to buy.
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@_Checkmatey_
_Checkmate ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”‘โšกโ˜ข๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ
2 years
In May, following the liquidation cascade, we saw huge #Bitcoin exchange inflows Over 140k $BTC net flowed in, and we paid the price with a painful sideways๐Ÿฆ€market We just had another cascade and๐Ÿปs are running victory laps... ...despite exchange balances at multi-year lows.
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