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Tuur Demeester Profile
Tuur Demeester

@TuurDemeester

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Long time bitcoin analyst. Reports at . Board @TXBitcoinFound , advisor to @Blockstream , @Unchainedcom , @AnchorWatch .

Texas, USA
Joined May 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 months
Why a global Bitcoin Building Boom will happen from 2025-‘75, and how bitcoiners will infuse their architecture with cypherpunk values. Presented in ATX on 3/13/24.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
27 days
Leaving an actual material legacy is not easy. This man spent 27 years and +$1M building the world's best stereo system & listening room. After his death the room was taken apart and the pieces were sold for $158k.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Philosophy through the ages
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Vitalik’s response to the FTX ponzi collapse so far: - Retweets SBF’s “I’m sorry” tweet - Says SBF “deserves love” - Defends Effective Altruism mvmnt - Advocates to not dismiss good things about SBF’s philosophy No: - surprise - outrage - empathy for victims - introspection
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
🇦🇷 Presidential candidate Milei is something else: pro-bitcoin, staunch libertarian, +20y economics prof. Quote: “the Central Bank is a scam. It is a mechanism by which politicians cheat the people with the inflation tax.” He currently leads the election polls 🗳️
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
1/ A pro-bitcoin candidate is leading the polls in Argentina (proof below). Our recent bitcoin report speculated on exactly this:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
1/ I've followed the IMF for 15 years now, and this is the most impressed I've been by any of their live press events. Some rare truths were shared, on a panel in front of ECB President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chair Jerome Powell.🧵 (video clips below)
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
How it started How it's going
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Calling attention to it will no doubt jinx my lucky streak, but for what it's worth, here are all my bitcoin-related calls for market capitulation:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Credit Suisse Rest in Peace
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Chart from fall 2014, when Bitcoin was $300, predicted price of $10k for today —Nov 22nd, 2017. We're at $8,000. Next milestone on chart: $100k in summer 2021.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
After almost 10 years, I finally deleted my Facebook account. Feels good!
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Halvening centric perspective on Bitcoin price. H/T @StoicTrader_ & @MLescrauwaet
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Systemic risk for $ETH?
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
1/ People often ask me why I’m so “against” Ethereum. Why do I go out of my way to point out flaws or make analogies that put it in a bad light?
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
"Bitcoin" projected on the Seat of the ECB in Frankfurt. Another memorable moment in monetary history. Will be avoided by TV news in Europe. Still happened. 🦇
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
When the Yen was born in 1871, it was 24 grams of silver or 1.5 grams of gold. Now it's a 1 gram aluminum coin, so light it doesn't even break water tension.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
Bitcoin's parabolic uptrend which started in January 2015 is still intact. Now nearly touching support again, for the first time since March 2019. #buythedip
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Stock trading app Robin Hood is going after Coinbase: "will let you buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum without any added transaction fees starting in February, compared to Coinbase’s 1.5 to 4 percent fees in the US"
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Our new report "How to Position for the Bitcoin Boom" is out. Read here:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Why I think Bitcoin is evolving towards Reserve Asset status: 📈 10yr track record 📈 Highest security 📈 Stable & growing protocol stack 📈 Institutional adoption 📈 High & improving privacy 📈 Politically neutral 📈 User sovereignty 📈 Virtuous liquidity cycle
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 years
Using pre-1980 methodology, consumer price inflation is now about 15%.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
1/ The DotCom bubble shows that the market isn't very good at valuing early stage technology. I'll use Google vs. Yahoo to illustrate.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 years
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Our new report "Bitcoin in Heavy Accumulation" is out. Read here:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 years
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Mountain man sends bitcoin.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Bitcoin is the revenge of the nerds: no politics, just code.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
1/ Our report from last April predicted “for bitcoin to trade in a range of $22k to $42k, until a new multi-year bull market pushes it well north of $120k.” Now that bitcoin trades at $42k, let’s review our analysis & recommendations in a summary thread.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
Imo there is no stock market recovery - it's all inflation. US stocks denominated in gold:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
What if we store the crude ... in the earth's crust? 🤔
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
US interest in "how to buy bitcoin" on the rise, 500% increase since August.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 months
100 years ago today, Weimar Germany abolished the Papiermark, marking the end of Germany's hyperinflation. In that same year Josef Wild, a master gold smith from Nurenberg, started minting his own coins to advocate for a return to a gold standard with private gold coins. Wild's…
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
. @Saylor : “I don’t think that the current rally is due to mainstream adoption of bitcoin, I think it’s because of crypto adoption of bitcoin. … They’re having a come to Jesus moment; that bitcoin is the one thing that we can all agree on.”
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
. @MaxKeiser & me predicting the emergence of Bitcoin countries and cities. "Bitcoin Shangri-La" ... "a place where the crypto cloud hits earth" (Feb '14, London)
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
"I am a major long-term bull on BTC. I believe the narrative of $50,000, even $500,000 BTC. (...) BTC is marking time before the grand show – another parabolic advance." — @PeterLBrandt 's Factor Update, November 10, 2018
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Joke: Bitcoin mining wastes 1% of the world's energy production. Woke: Attacking Bitcoin costs 1% of the world's energy production.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
In under 24 hours, over 7,000 investors worldwide read our report online, and over 2,500 downloaded the pdf. Check out "Bitcoin in Heavy Accumulation"here:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 months
I think we're gearing up for an epic bull market in bitcoin. Just like in the most aggressive cycles in the past (2012 & 2015), we are seeing very minimal price drawdowns. In other words, supply is low and dips are getting bought aggressively.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 months
Vanguard creating a Budweiser problem
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
27 days
Here is Ken Fritz talking about the kind of legacy he wanted to leave behind: "I'd hate like heck to see this room parted out ... I have some time to find people that can carry on with what I have here."
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Then: "Bitcoin mining uses too much fossil energy" Now: "Bitcoin mining uses too much renewable energy" Maybe just... say you don't like Bitcoin 😁
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
If the Bitcoin price rises to over $1M, that would give ~100k bitcoiners "Ultra High Net Worth Individual" status (+$50M). With worldwide UHNWIs projected at only ~200k by 2022, this means the Bitcoin 1% could by then make up 30-50% of the world's financial elites. #Disruption
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Our new report “The Bitcoin Reformation“ is out. Read here:
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
Adam Back in 1997, 12 years before bitcoin: "How about this, rather than interface your ecash system with US dollars yourself through credit cards/ debit cards/ cheques / cash, just set up an entirely disconnected system. (...) The cryptographic requirements for a system such…
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
All year I drove past this "Crypto is Real" billboard. Since the summer I've been telling my wife: "the moment that billboard disappears, that'll be the end of the bear market." It's now gone. 😄✌️
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Apparently Argentina's Central Bank ran out of dollars and started stealing local banks' customer USD deposits to fill the hole. Now that's no longer working so they're announcing a bank holiday. #corralito
@BowTiedMara
BowTiedMara
1 year
URGENT: the Argentine 🇦🇷 Central Bank has just suspended operations for today and Monday. Foreign payments have been suspended. There are no more dollars it seems.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Crypto Trader vs IRS, 2017-'18
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
In the year 1900, when the automobile was 14 years old, horse and carriage dominated the streets. That changed soon after. Today, bitcoin is 14 years old.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 years
Anon redditor nails Bitcoin in early 2013: "Until the network either gets cracked or replaced, this is going to keep moving forward. There is no going back." — and lays out the trajectory from $1B to $20T market cap.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
7/ During the last moments of the show, Georgieva, as last speaker, spoke a truth rarely spoken in an official live IMF setting; namely that IMFS institutions are often short sighted, and that monetary stimulus programs have the unintended consequence of inflation.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
Milei's inauguration speech is a must watch. So long we worried that people would never vote for economic truth and individual liberty; that fascism and communism would emerge as the only options. And here's Argentina, showing the world how it's done.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Bitcoin has a history of breaking out against tech stocks. Judging by this chart, it may do so again within the coming 24 months. #decoupling
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Argentina is a perfect country to make #bitcoin   legal tender: enormous untapped human and industrial potential, some of the richest farmland in the world, sophisticated culture… and structurally held back by frequent inflationary depressions. 🇦🇷💃🥩🌾👨‍🌾👨‍💼👩‍🔧⚡️🚀
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Car Safety Device, 1939.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Say what you want, but bitcoiners know how to HODL
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
Buy a house with a mortgage, and you are leveraged long the housing market. That's not good or bad in itself, but imo it's important to be aware that mortgage holders are making a directional bet with borrowed money.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Today Joe Lubin was grilled on proof-of-stake's vulnerabilities by Bloomberg's Matt Miller. Once Ethereum's 2.0 suffers a large-scale attack, I expect that this video will be played on repeat.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
10 months
Tick Tock... another +30% candle for Japan's government bonds. The yen is toast, there's no saving it. This bond crash could be the canary in the coal mine for the entire western debt bubble.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Japan's gov finances if it was a household: $31k in annual income $100k in annual expenditures $700k in outstanding debt Interest owed on debt was ≤0.1% in 2016-2021, now 0.39%, i.e. close to 10% of annual income 🇯🇵🫣
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
Remember the great BTC crash of Jan '17? From $1,100 to below 800...
@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
7 years
Bitcoin down 14% for the day. Bull market still intact. I still see this as a healthy correction, expect +$1,000 levels by end of 2017.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Down 73% from the all-time high. Based on how I feel in my body right now (awful), I'd say this is #bitcoin capitulation.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 years
Bitcoin’s price action since I locked my account last year. I have approved a trickle of new followers, but the vast majority of you should be bear market veterans with diamond hands. Good company!
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 month
We’re witnessing a transition from geographic power to digital power. In a decade, or two, bitcoiners will rule the cyberspace waves and widely employ censorship thwarting strategies to project power in the world.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
CEOs watching @saylor 📈 Presidents watching @nayibbukele 📈 Silicon Valley watching @jack 📈 Central Banks watching Tether 📈 Brokers watching @Fidelity 📈
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 months
Fifteen years ago today, Hal Finney received the first bitcoin transaction.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Ancient Egyptian titanium tablet, est. 1,400 B.C., speculated to be a 24 word seed phrase.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
$1.5 billion - in Gold and in Bitcoin.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Billionaire Barry Sternlicht: "This year, the government will have to pay 4.5% interest on its debt (as opposed to 0.1%-2%), that means an interest expense of over $1 trillion! If it keeps going up, you have the Weimar Republic... who's going to buy our paper?"
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Think Bitcoin won't demonetize Gold? When horses became obsolete as a source of moveable power, most were processed into dog food, bone meal, leather and glue. Between 1915 and the early 1950s, the US horse population dropped by 92%.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Bitcoin's launchpad: the longer we consolidate around $50k, the faster we'll rally beyond $100k.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
7 years
JOMO: Joy of Missing Out
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
9 months
The artist, 2 days before 'Rich Men North Of Richmond' went viral: "This what I’m going to do: at all costs, no matter what, I’m going to write, create and produce as much original, authentic music as I can in the hopes that it will at least help somebody out there that needs…
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 months
In '21 bitcoin topped at $69k. I'm targeting $200-$600k by 2026. Fueled by $ trillions in global bailouts/stimulus.
@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
@MisterBitty_ I believe the next rally will set your hair on fire. Could go to $50-100k.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 months
In 2020, bitcoin's market cap touched $92 billion. Today it jumped up by $93 billion—in a day. This revolution isn't linear.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 months
“I have never understood why it is 'greed' to want to keep the money you have earned but not greed to want to take somebody else's money.” ― Thomas Sowell
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
8/ To an audience of hardcore finance tweeps this may not sound impressive, but in a world where nearly all political leaders are pointing solely at exogenous shocks to explain rising inflation, this may be the best we can get in terms of an official acknowledgment of the truth.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
The Gutenberg printing press was staggeringly disruptive: it dropped the price of a book from a full year's wage, to about the price of a chicken. "The raw price of books fell by 2.4 per cent a year for over a hundred years."
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
9 months
The groundwork for Rock & Roll was laid by the sober, heartfelt Blues from the Great Depression. That music, in turn, formed the basis for the iconic music of the Sixties and Seventies. Is the cycle repeating?
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
10 months
You miss the point. After having sliced and bolted its own spinal cord a dozen times, Ethereum is a crippled creature with a broken back. A brittle mutant limping into irrelevance, its only historical significance will be the glaring contrast with bitcoin's immutable robustness.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Paul Allen (18) and Bill Gates (15) in 1970 at Lakeside School, Seattle. This was 5 years before Microsoft was founded.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
Hyperbitcoinization will lead to a new baby boom, I believe it. Just like after WWII, it’ll come from people celebrating the restoration of hope for themselves and for humanity.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Looks like he found a winner :)
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
BTC/LN ~ TCP/IP Bitcoin is becoming a platform—a protocol stack with many features: - store of value - low trust wealth transfer - confidential transactions - tokenized securities - high volume payment network - microtransactions - smart contracts / programmable money
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
3 months
If this bill passes, it will be a shot heard around the world. When is the last time a government official anywhere risked prison time for money printing?
@LibertarianDuty
DutchLibertarian
3 months
Javier Milei | bill jailing anyone who orders to print money to cover deficit
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Dutch Central Bank: "If the whole system collapses, the gold reserve can serve as collateral to start from scratch."
@wmiddelkoop
Willem Middelkoop
5 years
Wow Dutch National Bank goes 'Big Reset': 'Aandelen, obligaties en ander waardepapier: aan alles zit een risico [..] Als het hele systeem instort, biedt de goudvoorraad een onderpand om opnieuw te beginnen. Goud geeft vertrouwen in de kracht van de balans van de centrale bank'.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
He called it.
@PeterLBrandt
Peter Brandt
6 years
General TA rule -- violation of parabolic advance leads to 80%+ decline in value. If general rule is followed, BTC should retrace to <$4,000. Note: This Tweet does not make me a hater.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
Bitcoin, always running
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 months
Larry Fink pumps bitcoin: "It's bigger than any government"
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
“We are just one scandal away from Bitcoin collapsing entirely.” New York Times, April 2013
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 months
My car exploded on the way to work and my whole family died. No actually, that didn’t happen, because horses work and cars don’t.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
In one sense, OG bitcoiners had it easy. To adopt Bitcoin in 2010-'14 you mainly needed to be tenacious and a bit crazy—nobody took alts seriously. Today, newcomers must wade through a swamp of sleek shitcoin ("crypto") projects before they can appreciate Bitcoin's supremacy.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Note how strategic @lightning 's $2.5M raise was: @Square , @Twitter , @Bitgo , @RobinhoodApp , @Paypal . These alliances will likely bring them much further than had they done a $250M ICO.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
2 years
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
5 years
Woke: running a bitcoin full node on your smartphone
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
1 year
Satoshi mentions fractional reserve banking, as an illustration of how conventional currency systems breach trust, in his very first public announcement.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
27 days
@peterktodd Regardless of whether this is real or not, audiophiles believe in it. Apparently there was a local audiophile club that he was a member of. If legacy was the goal, he for example could have built an intimate HiFi/concert venue for the town.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
4 years
Bitcoin Halving or The Halvening may not appeal to a large audience. I agree with @adam3us to start using Quantitative Hardening (QH). In a sentence: "QH3 is upon us. In May, the supply of new bitcoins will be reduced by 50%."
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
6 years
Impressed to see @Fidelity , a financial institution of worldwide renown, appropriately pay homage to the foundational work by David Chaum, Adam Back, Wei Dai, Nick Szabo, and Hal Finney. Shows maturity and serious commitment to the Bitcoin project.
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
7 years
Today was a massive win for Bitcoin as decentralized, censorship resistant digital gold. Miners & corps are not in charge, savers are!
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@TuurDemeester
Tuur Demeester
7 years
I've started buying the dip. #Bitcoin
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