A state record 9.6 million registered voters did not vote, breaking the previous mark of 9.3 million set in 2014.
Combined with the estimated 1.4 million Texans who are eligible to vote but aren't registered, almost 11 million Texans who could have voted didn't.
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(1/2) The five counties with the highest early voting turnout* so far are Williamson (22.8%), Comal (22.6%), Hays (20.8%), Collin (20.6%) and Lubbock (20.5%). President Trump received 56% of the vote in these five counties in 2016.
* % of registered voters already voting.
Despite losing,
@BetoORourke
has received the most votes ever for a Democrat in Texas. He's currently at 3,938,154, which tops Hillary Clinton's 3,877,867 two years ago.
The number of Republican early voters has already exceeded the total number of 2018 Republican voters (early+ED) in 18 counties, and that was as of Wednesday. Several more will cross that 100% threshold by the end of today if they haven't already.
There is no evidence - NONE - that giving people the convenience of voting anywhere in one’s county somehow affects the accuracy of vote counts.
Big Lie fantasies are being claimed as justification for making it harder to vote. Period.
Travis Co. appears to be 100% reported
Rep. Celia Israel (D) with 41% and former mayor and former Sen. Kirk Watson (D) with 35% head to mayoral runoff.
Harris Co. early vote
GOV: O'Rourke 54%-45%
LTGOV: Collier 53%-44%
AG: Garza 53%-44%
All Texas House incumbents over 56%
Co. Judge: Hidalgo (D) 50.7%, del Moral Mealer (R) 49.3%
Day One total early voters for the state's 15 most populous counties:
REP 47,029 (4% below 2014, 7% below 2016)
DEM 49,375 (102% above 2014, 10% above 2016)
0.42% of registered voters in those counties cast ballots in person yesterday or returned ballots by mail
#txlege
We now have early votes from all 12 counties with at least 250K voters. Biden leads by 828K votes.
In 2016, Trump won the state's other 244 counties by 1.3 million votes
(1/2) Today is the last day of early voting for the May 24 primary runoff election. Most candidates who win these runoffs will win the November election.
Based on preliminary statewide turnout data, just over 3% of registered voters have cast ballots so far.
That is not a typo.
The record for most Republican legislators to lose in the primary election is 7 (2012, 2014). We're looking at nine right now, but there are still votes to be counted.
We're seeing very little spread between the statewide candidates to indicate that any Democrat has the space to win a race.
We are calling all the statewide races for Republicans. That's 13 straight sweeps dating back to 1996.
We've swept through a lot of the larger counties, and the Democrats are not where they likely need to be to flip the state House. Long way to go tonight, but the early vote so far has not gone the Democrats' way.
We're calling SD19 for Republican Pete Flores.
Half of Bexar Co. (friendly to Gallego), all of Pecos Co. (early and ED, friendly to Gallego), Election Day in Atascosa and Medina Cos. (heavy for Flores) and parts of 7 other counties yet to report.
Bell County elections office also asked the Texas
@TXsecofstate
to extend voting by one hour. Eight of 42 vote centers had issues this morning because the time change back to CST was not being accounted for
ATTENTION Bell County voters: we have just secured a court order to keep polls open until 8pm in Bell County. Polls will be open until 8pm now
#txlege
#ElectionDay
Democrats may get credit/blame for Senate Bill 7’s death, but the groundwork for its demise was laid by a series of its sponsors’ decisions to wait until today to pass it.
BREAKING: With no quorum present, the House adjourns until 10 am Monday for the last day of session, sine die.
SB 7 is dead.
Bail bill is dead.
Both will come up in a special session.
When that special will be called is up to the governor.
#txlege
Prop 10, the law enforcement dog amendment, is currently sitting at 93.9% in favor, which would make it the single most popular change to the Texas Constitution in state history if it holds.
#txlege
Grand Prairie
100% reporting
At-large council member Greg Giessner was defeated by Junior Ezeonu, 51%-49%, and incumbent council member Jeff Woolridge lost his re-election bid to Kurt Johnson, 53%-47%.
Early vote is in from 9 of the 12 counties with at least 250K registered voters. Biden leads Trump in those 9 counties by 702K votes. This is short of what is probably needed to offset Trump's advantage in smaller counties. Long way to go yet.
O'Rourke is under-performing his 2018 performance in Harris, Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar & Travis Cos. and even with Biden.
2022 - O'Rourke 58.9%
2018 - O'Rourke 61.2% vs. Cruz
2020 - Biden 59.8%
2018 - Valdez 55.0% vs. Abbott
2016 - Clinton 57.8%
2014 - Davis 50.7% vs. Abbott
HD118 special runoff
John Lujan (R) appears to have defeated Frank Ramirez (D), 51%-49%, as all vote centers have reported. Will keep checking in case counting is not complete.
Polls close in 251 of the state's counties in two hours (Voters in line at that time will be able to vote.). Early voting results will begin to be released at that time.
Polls will close an hour later in Bell, El Paso and Hudspeth Cos.
Still waiting on Fort Bend Co., but O'Rourke is not getting enough in the 15 largest counties to overcome the rural red wall. His vote % in early voting is lower in 12 counties and higher in 2 (Travis +0.6%, Williamson +0.1%) than his EV+ED % in 2018 vs. Cruz.
Day one of early voting in Montgomery Co.: 3,630 Republican and 743 Democratic. Republican turnout up 9% and Democratic turnout up 395% over 2014. Totals include in-person voters today and all mail-in ballots received through today.
#txlege
Through two days of early voting, nearly 1.2M Texans have cast ballots in the 30 counties with the most registered voters, representing a turnout so far of 9.7%.
Each Texas state senator will represent more people than the U.S. Senators of Alaska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont or Wyoming and almost as many as Delaware, Montana or Rhode Island.
#txlege
The target population of Texas state senate districts in the upcoming round of redistricting will be a whopping 940,178 people, up from 811,147 when maps were drawn last decade.
#txlege
#fairmaps
In Republican primary runoff for AG, new
@KenPaxtonTX
TV ad seizes on
@georgepbush
Lubbock comments where he criticized Paxton for his school-district lawsuits, suggested CRT debate has become “overly politicized”:
We project Gov. Greg Abbott to win re-election.
Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke is under-performing in key counties, creating an even larger gap that he has to overcome elsewhere.
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz is one of SIX senators to vote to sustain his objection to Arizona's electoral votes.
U.S. Sen. John Cornyn and 92 of his colleagues voted no.
(2/2) If you voted in the March primary election, you may vote in that party's runoff.
If you did NOT vote in the March primary, you may vote in EITHER party's runoff election.
Visit and for more information.
The 939K votes cast in the Democratic runoff for U.S. Senate so far is the most since the 1990 gubernatorial runoff between Ann Richards and Jim Mattox.
Our election results webpage is currently experiencing technical difficulties. We are working with our vendor to resolve this issue as quickly as possible and apologize for any inconvenience. Data to third parties/news outlets has not been affected.
(1/20)
Let’s talk about turnout for Tuesday’s first-in-the-Nation primary elections in Texas.
The state set records for primary participation and also for non-participation.
Laredo community organizer Jessica Cisneros, who narrowly lost her 2020 primary challenge of U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Laredo), reauthorized her campaign committee for 2022.
CD6 special
Republicans Susan Wright (19.2%) and Jake Ellzey (13.85%) advance to a runoff. Democrat Jana Lynne Sanchez (13.4%) misses the runoff by 354 votes.
This should serve as a wake up call to both parties, but it probably wont. This map shows the increase/decrease of Trump's percentages by county. In 2016, Trump got 18.9% of the vote in Starr County. In 2020? 47.1%. An increase of 28.1%.
#txlege
As we wait breathlessly for 7:01 p.m., keep in mind that the current post-2000 high water marks for any Democratic statewide candidate are:
46.03% – John Sharp, running for Lt. Gov. in 2002
3,877,867 – Hillary Clinton, 2016 presidential candidate
Very, very preliminary numbers from one day of early voting suggests about a quarter of votes cast so far are from people who did not vote in either of the last two gubernatorial general elections.
I'm still getting early voting data in from the big counties, but from what I've received so far...
-72.5% of voters yesterday voted in 2010 and/or 2014.
-Another 20.2% voted in 2012 and/or 2016.
-7.3% didn't vote in 2010, 2012, 2014, or 2016.
#txlege
#txsen
Texas gains 2 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, will send 38 members to Congress in 2023, according to new population totals and apportionment results released by the U.S. Census Bureau.
With 86% of Cameron and 100% of the other 10 counties reporting:
Flores (R) 49.9%, Sanchez (D) 44.4%
Flores needs to net 19 votes above her 3 opponents in the remaining boxes to get to 50%+1
Same map, but showing how Democratic early vote turnout through 10 days of early voting compares to total 2018 turnout (early+Election Day). While the REP map is concentrated along South and West Texas, the DEM map is a bit more random.
At least 5.3 million Texans – 31% of registered voters – have cast ballots through 8 days of early voting.
Today, early turnout is likely to exceed the total number of early votes cast in the 2008 and 2012 elections.
2020 already exceeds total number of 2014 voters (EV+ED).
Williamson Co. early vote
Almost split down the middle
GOV: O'Rourke 51%-48%
LTGOV: Collier 51%-46%
AG: Garza 51%-46%
Rs leading COMP, LAND & RRC.
Ds leading AGRIC, Supreme Court seats
HD52: Harris (R) 53%-47% - R pickup
Jones ran unopposed for re-election this year and received all 18 votes cast in the Democratic primary (That's 4 more votes than the county treasurer, who was also unopposed, received in the primary.).
#BREAKING
: Loving County Judge Skeet Jones was arrested earlier today by the Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association.
He and three others are accused of picking up loose cattle and selling them.
Special rangers have been on this case for more than a year.
It appears Democrats will have their first runoff for governor since 1990. Lupe Valdez (42%) and Andrew White (29%) are way ahead of anyone else.
Republicans, on the other hand, are headed toward no statewide runoff.
Interesting splits among how people intend to vote:
Absentee (mail): O'Rourke 64%-36%
In person early: O'Rourke 53%-46%
In person Election Day: Abbott 75%-22%
Suggests early voting results will be O'Rourke's high-water mark.
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) extends early voting period for November 3 general election. Early voting in person will begin October 13, six days earlier than it was scheduled to begin.
Early voting results we've seen so far from the big counties show very tight partisan groupings, with very little space between the top and worst performers.
This suggests straight-party voting remains very high, even though the single-punch option no longer exists.
We doubt the Medina Co. numbers for CD23. According to the SoS, 11,455 people voted early and 998 voted on Election Day. In 2016, more than 17K voted in the county, and it was crucial to Sen. Flores's special election victory. We don't believe all Election Day votes are included.
It's Election Day. Polls are open across Texas until 7 p.m. local time. If you're in line by 7 p.m., then you will be able to cast a ballot. Visit or contact your county election office for more information. Don't forget your photo ID.
Gubernatorial runoff turnout is still south of 250K. The all-time lowest number of voters in a Democratic gubernatorial runoff in Texas is 449K, set in 1920. It was only the second runoff election is state history (first for a GOV nomination).
#txlege
Citing a stabbing incident at UT-Austin and the Uvalde elementary school mass shooting, Rep. Carrie Isaac (R) files the Texas Campus Protection Act (HB 2390) to protect school children by prohibiting people from voting on school property.
HD138: Eight-term Rep. Dwayne Bohac (R-Houston) announced he would not seek re-election. He won his 2018 race by just 47 votes over Democrat Adam Milasincic, who has already endorsed Akilah Bacy for 2020
#txlege
Trump’s late endorsement of Wright appears to have worked. She and Ellzey were virtually tied in early voting. She received nearly 8K votes on Election Day compared to less than 4K for Ellzey. Wright was the only top-5 candidate to receive more votes today than in early voting.
SD19: With 100% of precincts reporting in all 17 counties, Republican Pete Flores has defeated former Rep. and U.S. Rep. Pete Gallego (D-Alpine), 53%-47%, a margin of 2,665 votes.
In case you're wondering, I have three computer screens crackling with data but am not watching the rest of the Super Tuesday states' results or TV coverage.
I'm listening to the September 10, 1972, Grateful Dead concert from Hollywood, Calif.
You're welcome.
Based on county turnout reports we've seen covering today's activity, we estimate the number of early votes cast statewide during the first 5 days of the 2018 early voting period exceeds the total number of votes cast during the entire 12-day early voting period in 2014.
Dallas Co. – Democrats lead in every state House race.
Closest are:
HD112 – Chambers D 49.1%, Button R 48.7%
HD108 – Cattanach D 49.4%, Meyer R 48.6%
HD113 – Bowers D 52%, Douglas R 47.5%
HD102 – Ramos D 55%, Koop R 45%
Turnout currently stands at 51.8% of registered voters, which is the highest for a gubernatorial election since 1970.
In 2014, it was 33.7%. It hasn't been over 50% since 1994, which was coincidentally the last year Texas was truly competitive on a statewide level.
Texas, which finished 50th out of the 50 states in turnout in 2010 and 2014, appears to rank around 35th this year, measured as percent of voting-eligible population casting ballots, based on preliminary data from
@ElectProject
(VEP estimate) and states' election returns.
SEN: Beto O'Rourke reports raising $38.1M during the third quarter, a record not only for Texas but for the Nation. O'Rourke has raised $61.5M for the election cycle, which is $14M more than every Democratic U.S. Senate nominee from Texas since 1988 combined.