Survivor Atlas 🗺️ @SurvivorAtlas Twitter profile

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Sickest primetime sweat ever in #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Both players with KC are eliminated in #CircaSurvivor The 4 players will likely be on PHI for xmas. Unless a brave soul goes for the $9m scoop 😬

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

2 weeks remaining in #CircaSurvivor and 2 of the entries are clearly worth more than the other 2 CIRCUS MASTER gets to play CLE this week and be on an island spot with the biggest favorite. The dream spot to be in going into w17. It's really good for CIRCUS MASTER if their

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

10% of the remaining #CircaSurvivor is on Bills tonight One of those is the only entry live in the contest with all 4 thanksgiving teams available 29/678 remaining entries have no thanksgiving fav (dal, det, sf, mia) available holiday leaderboards on Atlas tell the story

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Circus Master in #CircaSurvivor has lost about a million in EV despite surviving last week. Their big advantage was nullified when all the weaker favorites won along with the Browns. For the final week, all 4 players have CIN available as their biggest favorite. If everyone uses

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

First look at w11 #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

How likely are you to win #CircaSurvivor ? Our cartographers charted every player and entry. Projections for “In the Money” and “Season Complete” are now live on Atlas. Before sharing the link, allow me to explain, … (1/3) 🧵

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

If Cinci loses and Dallas wins, the thanksgiving availability of Dal is going to plummet Massive thanksgiving implications on Bengals game now #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

@CircaSports

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

@CircaSports All playing eagles tomorrow. No need for chop until a few more days. Maybe players want to see what the new week brings

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Sick, Circa upping their game

Circa Sports

@CircaSports

5 months

Week 16b #CircaSurvivor Results ✅ 4 of 9,267 total entries survive to Week 17 (4 Eagles) 🤑 Winner-Take-All Prize: $9,267,000 Avg Implied Value Per Entry: $2,316,750 📄 Week 17 Availability:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor final 13 EV appraisals CIRCUS MASTER: $1.07m Rod Beck Apples: $915k GOLDENBOY.: $828k LAJONESER: $774k JOHNNYTV: $712k TKO BETS: $661k JAX JAGS: $655k Sorry Bookies: $643k SPOOKYEXPRESS: $638k IndianaJet: $625k Bow Tie Cabaret: $622k SouthSide: $568k Peyos: $537k

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

Washington lost and busted 38% of #CircaSurvivor 372 surviving players' Thanksgiving availability:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Old poker stories about Golden Boy #CircaSurvivor

Daniel Zack

@Dan__Zack

3 years

@DanielColman_ Have always wanted to share this story because it’s one of the funniest moments I’ve experienced in live poker but always considered it too mean to share. Seems appropriate now

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Final projections for 🦃 #CircaSurvivor DET: 215 GB: 16 DAL: 95 WSH: 1 SF: 12 SEA: 2 MIA: 31 NYJ: 0 Atlas makes it really easy to be accurate this week so none of this is a surprise. Happy Thanksgiving and Good Luck!

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

As it stands now #CircaSurvivor availability for thanksgiving: DET: 58% DAL: 32% SF: 19% MIA: 15%

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Christmas Day with zero #CircaSurvivor implications. Not how things were supposed to be 😑

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor w16 appraisals depend on who has the courage to look for an island spot. Projecting EV requires more than just evaluating an entry's top available teams. Game Theory implications are huge for payout size. Golden Boy says he's playing to scoop so we tend to

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

#CircaSurvivor w10 projections CIN: 47% DAL: 34% BUF: 6% PIT: 4% BAL: 4% CHI: 2.5% SEA: 1% NO: .5% IND: .5%

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

The first team to be the most popular Circa play twice: Washington Commanders. They were 38% in week 1

Circa Sports

@CircaSports

7 months

#CircaSurvivor 2023 🏈🏆 Week 11 Selections 📄 Complete selections:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

If the 6 entries on Denver were worth ~800k a few days ago, and if they lose they’ll be ~$4.8m in equity lost on a game. Nothings come close. And Xmas eve 😵‍💫

Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Sickest primetime sweat ever in #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

w11 #CircaSurvivor projections, Thursday edition: WSH: 39% JAX: 33% SF: 9% MIA: 6% DET: 4% DAL: 3% HOU: 2% BUF: 1% LAC: 1% BAL: 0.4% NOPICK: 0.2%

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

There’s never been a #CircaSurvivor before that ended without completing all weeks of the season. 2 team parlay to make it happen

Circa Sports

@CircaSports

5 months

#CircaSurvivor 2023 🏈🏆 Week 18 Selections 📄 Complete selections:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

This is what Survivor does to people! Amazing sweat. Good luck tomorrow @Tonysmarkettips

Odds Shark

@OddsShark

6 months

Our very own @Tonysmarkettips , naturally a 49ers fan, was a MASSIVE Packers fan today 😂 220 ppl were eliminated from the biggest survivor pool in America with the Lions losing Tony moves 1 step closer to the $9.27M prize. There are now just 155 entries remaining. Tony has 2 🤯

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

These 3 players on the circa survivor leaderboard almost got absolutely smashed last night. That game was the best sweat of the season so far. 1 yard away from 0 entries but instead survive with 10. A primetime game they will never forget.

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor predictions 11 GB 8 BAL 5 PIT 3 NO 1 HOU 1 CLE 1 MIA

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor epic tale from Greg A fortunate misclick means he’s live to win the $9m instead of being on sidelines

Greg Jones

@LAJoneser

6 months

@SurvivorAtlas @Tonysmarkettips Det was the only favorite I had on Thanksgiving so I took them. Thought I was dead until proxy called me this afternoon to get my pick. I miss clicked and took Green Bay by accident. Free Rolling now. Go Titans (along with a big bet on Carolina +4)

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

3 months

December 25, 2024 is on a Wednesday. Circa Survivor hopefuls can’t avoid making Xmas plans in advance this year. True degens have already noticed. Hopefully in May those AWS schedule-making robots cook up a spicy schedule, ie something that Circa can work with to give us a

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

w11 #CircaSurvivor final projections Thanks to community for input WSH: 37% JAX: 18% DET: 15% SF: 8% HOU: 8% MIA: 7% DAL: 2% BUF: 2% LAC: 1% BAL: 0.4% CLE: 0.2% DEN: 0.2% NOPICK: 0.2%

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor real talk - no one is favored to survive the season. In this thread I'll break down why this is a pretty good forecast, for each entry, week by week

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

2 weeks in a row nailed it. Thanks everyone who help improve these projections from here and discord

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor CIRCUS MASTER: $1.26m Rod Beck Apples: $1.07m Peyos: $826k LAJONESER: $823k GOLDENBOY.: $808k Bow Tie Cabaret: $612k JOHNNYTV: $593k SPOOKYEXPRESS: $583k Sorry Bookies: $565k IndianaJet: $551k SouthSide: $549k TKO BETS: $503k JAX JAGS: $480k Interestingly,..

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

Check out this circa entry. Forced to take GB/NYJ next week and forced to take LV/NYG on Xmas Hoping contest doesn’t finish? Didn’t know the rules? Hot read on a 🦃 dog? Good luck VShal

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports Absolutely Thrilling

Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

First look at w11 #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor have a look at the remaining entries' history all together they shared a lot of sweats, most notably the chalkiest spot in survivor history, w7 SEA

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

@CircaSports We've updated the Atlas with this pdf. Of the 10 people with 10 entries, 3 picked 10xBUF and 3 picked 10xLAR. On the Atlas there's a leaderboard built for Circa Survivor. Users can explore any entries and players. We also have a budding community of survivor enthusiasts ✌️

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor update each entry avg value ~$60k

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports harvested

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Reminder for #CircaSurvivor , if you can't wait for Circa to drop pdfs, the availability info is already on the Atlas Weekly Page

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

First crack at w10 #CircaSurvivor projections. CIN: 48% DAL: 35% BUF: 7% CHI: 4% BAL: 2% SEA: 1%

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

#CircaSurvivor forecast There's no easy road for anyone. The Doom Clock sets the OU at 5 winners. Have a look on the Atlas

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

w12 #CircaSurvivor projections: TEN: 34% MIN: 25% NE: 16% KC: 10% IND: 7% PIT: 3% BAL: 3% LAR: 1% DEN: 1% This a dangerous week as the field picks through the Thanksgiving leftovers

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

@CircaSports Would love to see it be 1 on 1, w18. For the sweat

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

#CircaSurvivor theoretical markets from our quants: O/U: 40.5 winners Will contest complete the season? YES -450 Will season end on XMAS? YES +3000

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

We got a little high on CIN but mostly back on the wagon

Circa Sports

@CircaSports

7 months

#CircaSurvivor 2023 🏈🏆 Week 10 Selections 📄 Complete selections:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@spanky @CircaSports Survivor is the nuts. Can’t wait for next season. Everyone should spend all year making sure they have the money for Circa entries. And make sure to follow Atlas if you’re a serious player

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Survivor leaderboard updated tomorrow. Can’t wait. Love Survivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Commanders lose. Heard a rumor of a syndicate having dozens of Washington in #circasurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports Atlas updated with all this. Leaderboard and all. Enjoy the sweat!

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Do we have confirmation Cleveland was selected last night in #CircaSurvivor ? Anyone want to spill the tea 🍵….

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Denver up to -7 -120 over @CircaSports It must be really tempting to take them and give yourself the best chance at being live on Xmas. With an hour before lock in #CircaSurvivor , a handful of people are obsessing over this decision with 7 figures on the line

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

No entry was forced to take the jets. Looks like Tim Boyle was enough to move the needle for 5 people 😳

Circa Sports

@CircaSports

6 months

#CircaSurvivor 2023 🏈🏆 Week 12a Selections (Thanksgiving Day & Black Friday) 📄 Complete selections:

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports Soft chop? Everyone take the biggest favorite available which is DEN. Anyone who deviates risks hurting their survival chances in pursuit of ultimate glory - scooping the pot. All makes for a very exciting release on Saturday 🤗

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

The Atlas is now updated with the latest spreads and availability for week 7 #CircaSurvivor . Find your entry on our web app and let us know if you're still in

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Did pretty well except completely whiffing on TB Thanks to everyone who shared their thoughts this week. Hope we all survive so we can solve it again next week.

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

3 individuals who only fired one entry are locked in to the final 10 #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Updated Forecast and Doom Clock on the Atlas for #CircaSurvivor The Doom Clock hasn't changed much because the w12 carnage wasn't suprising.

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

Circa Survivor!!! Pain for the “sharps” wow

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports Gone but not forgotten 🙏

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Early week psyops This will be standard in years to come

Greg Jones

@LAJoneser

5 months

Dont know who I am taking yet other than I wont be on Cincinnati. No gamble, no future, no chop. #CircaSurvivor #Circasports #Vsin

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports Got a feeling only Golden Boy takes the L Universe is funny like that

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

#CircaSurvivor w6 interesting tidbit: If each entry was forced to take biggest available favorite, the selection% would be: BUF: 47% MIA: 25% LAR: 12% KC: 12% SF: 4% Additionally, if every entry was forced to take their second biggest available favorite, 40% would be on LAR

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Updated survivor doom clock

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

Thursday night. #CircaSurvivor week9 about to kick off. Week is all about Saints and Browns. Few people have already decided who they’re taking. My first crack at projecting selection%: CLE 44% NO 35% ATL 8% BAL 7% LAC, GB, HOU, NE ~1% each TNF entries guess: 0 ten, 8 pit

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Maybe someone took Raiders in #CircaSurvivor last night. At least a couple entries should’ve considered it

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

@CircaSports Rams in the catbird seat!

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports Slurp. We have some new features in public alpha. Check them out and leave feedback

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Can we call it cooperation instead of collusion? In the context of Circa Survivor, the stigma of “collusion” feels unwarranted. When you split entries with friends and family, no one thinks of collusion. And none of the “finalists” protecting their equity via outside deals

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Exciting setup for #CircaSurvivor xmas eve Anyone else want to throw out a guess? 6 DEN 2 CHI 1 GB 1 NYJ

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports We updated our leaderboard. Lots of cool stuff besides this on the Atlas. Also we do pretty well guessing selection % before its released. Love Survivor. Good luck all

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

In the building #CircaSurvivor

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Atlas forecast/clock for #CircaSurvivor is complicated because of W16. Everyone has DEN avail; they're projected to be the biggest fav. Huge +EV to avoid them and even more +EV to pick NE vs DEN. But at this point, who has the courage to reduce their win% to increase their EV?

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports We got the Atlas leaderboard updated if you're into that sort of thing. Also we built a new feature that might help players plan

Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

How likely are you to win #CircaSurvivor ? Our cartographers charted every player and entry. Projections for “In the Money” and “Season Complete” are now live on Atlas. Before sharing the link, allow me to explain, … (1/3) 🧵

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Circa's big check ceremony is tonight

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

updated leaderboard

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Early projections for #CircaSurvivor week 7: SEA 54% BUF 15% LAR 7.5% KC 6% SF 4% LV 3.5% WSH 2% CLE 1.5% TB 1% And the rest all below 1%. Things might change by Saturday. Anything look way off?

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

@CircaSports 10 players with 10 entries at the top of the leaderboard. Imagine the carnage!! Good luck all

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Picks are in for #CircaSurvivor Predictions for selection%: Sea: 59% Buf: 12% LAR: 5.5% CLE: 4.5% WSH: 4% SF: 4% KC: 4% LV: 3% I love having a Saturday Sweat for Survivor where none of my entries can lose, only my EV

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

149 Entries in #CircaSurvivor We estimate that on average each entry is ~6.6% to cash. The best entry by far is 'besmarterdannito' which projects to cash ~19% The lowest is 'BOBBY BUCKETS' at ~2%. They are forced to take NYG/LV on xmas if they make it that far

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

The 4 remaining #CircaSurvivor contestants showed serious courage last week. Each one could've taken a team with a higher chance of winning, but they all took a risk in the pursuit of the scoop. What's really amazing is how w17 is like a repeat of w16... Denver is biggest fav

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Also notice LAJONESER with the only available Thanksgiving powerhouse left. That's pretty powerful in the final week of the season

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

@CircaSports Oh SNAP!! crazy how 5 people went 10x allin on wsh the rumors of a syndicate's demise seem to be true

Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Our Circa Survivor Week 5 Leaderboard is here Would you believe that 5 people went 10x WSH? Check this out and more, link below

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports Mid Sunday leaderboard

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@CircaSports Looking forward to absorbing this into my code

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Interesting re: Golden Boy Making yourself a target encourages others to collude against you. That can cost a lot of theoretical money. Never thought of this angle but there's also never been such a public facing survivor contest as #CircaSurvivor 2023

Survivor Sweat

@SurvivorSweat

6 months

Full podcast episode here!

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

Another epic #CircaSurvivor 🦃 in the books Leaderboard, Forecast, Doom Clock all updated on Atlas. If you disagree with the forecast then feel free to send us your future picks so we can make it more accurate😇

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

Survivorship Bias aka not everyone in #CircaSurvivor has been shot in the nose yet so many think they're bulletproof

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

w16 #CircaSurvivor At this point in the season the lines are pretty sharp. Handicapping is mostly counterproductive. To maximize value, players need to be focused on the underlying game theory of Survivor. Although most people aren't focused on maximizing value at this

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

With this data in mind, here’s my first set of projections for #circasurvivor week 8. News and experts will sharpen it up from here LAC: 43% BAL: 31% DET: 12% BUF: 6% MIA: 6% KC: 1% PHI: 1% DAL: 1%

Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

week 8 kicks off in #CircaSurvivor in a couple hours if everyone was forced to take the highest moneyline possible, the selections would look like this: food for thought

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

@itsvegassean no shame in doing the safe thing and playing for the chop! too bad everyone didn't take Denver with you

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

5 months

Sunday morning entry values approximation: 1 entry LAR: $1.72m 1 entry GB: $970k 2 entries CHI: $850k each 6 entries DEN: $770k each If each wins then the LAR entry value will come back down. The player can hedge to capture some of that value. No surprise that the crowded

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports Double MNF. Double KO. Sick

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

8 months

Our Circa Survivor Week 5 Leaderboard is here Would you believe that 5 people went 10x WSH? Check this out and more, link below

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

With smart play, anyone can outperform this model. The humans behind the actual Circa picks have diverse goals and strategies that the cartographers will not soon understand. Forecast is just a model. Never perfect, sometimes useful

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

week 8 kicks off in #CircaSurvivor in a couple hours if everyone was forced to take the highest moneyline possible, the selections would look like this: food for thought

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

7 months

@GSklash

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

2 of the remaining 30 #CircaSurvivor entries have only picked home teams to get to this point. IndianaJet and SouthSide. SpookyExpress took Baltimore in London which is close

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Survivor Atlas 🗺️

@SurvivorAtlas

6 months

@CircaSports Love survivor. Wish everyone could experience joy of surviving past 🦃

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