Gun to my head if I had to choose one indicator/tool to be stuck with for the rest of my life it would be:
Volume Profile (VP)
"....and volume ultimately measuring the success or failure of all advertised opportunities."
A Comprehensive Guide on VP - 🧵
Gun to my head if I had to choose three tools to be stuck with, one of them would be:
VWAPs
An elegant tool to gauge who is in control (buyers vs. sellers) + determine a shift. 🤌
We will make a VWAP maxi out of you by the end of this 🧵
A Comprehensive Guide on VWAPs
“History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”
In an attempt to not be pure exit liquidity this cycle let's attempt to decipher the following:
The Boom-Bust Sequence & The Comparison of Narrative Momentum & Price (in particular, Narrative Cycle Tops).
a thread 🧵
Liquidation Cascades and Flushes
present great opportunities.
1. Mechanical scalps, aficionados like to call this knife catching.
2. In a strong uptrend, these flushes are also great opportunities to look for continuations on strong-performing assets.
a thread 🧵
On High & Low Volume Nodes
"A trader has one job....
to observe the story being told by the market as it develops vertically and horizontally."
┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄��
- Brief, simplified discussion & storyline of how to view these areas.
> I got a bunch of
The game boils down to:
The common denominator of understanding where value is in the market.
All traders and investors make their decisions based on their perceptions of value.
The time horizon can vary from seconds to years.
This is why volume is king. It measures the
"Bro, what are those indicators and labels on your chart?
What is VAH, VAL, HVN, LVN, Naked PoC, FRVP, VRVP, VWAP & Anchored VWAPs?
&
How do I use them?"
I'm glad you asked.
A Comprehensive Breakdown of Simple Volume Tools I use on
@tradingview
If you trade alts in a trending environment, you need an efficient system to cut the fat, through way of screening and filtering information at a quick glance.
How to Screen Alt. Strength/Weakness + Spot Rotations using TradingView
(explanations & links provided)
a thread 🧵
"Why are you bullish now but you were bearish yesterday?
Why do you keep switching sides? lulz"
The Discombobulation (yes, that's a word) of Timeframes & Misinterpretation of Ideas on CT.
a thread 🧵
A Breakdown of Point of Controls and how they can be used.
Volume is king.
Bear with me because I just had this idea and wanted to get some thoughts out.
Perhaps a more structured version of this in the future.
If you have seen my charts, you will observe that I talk about
Well…this did numbers.
Thank you to everyone for the support.
Special thanks to
@smartestmoney_
&
@TheFlowHorse
for giving it exposure.
There are probably hundreds of threads on this but my goal is to present information with my own spin on it and touch on some nuances.
That
Gun to my head if I had to choose one indicator/tool to be stuck with for the rest of my life it would be:
Volume Profile (VP)
"....and volume ultimately measuring the success or failure of all advertised opportunities."
A Comprehensive Guide on VP - 🧵
If you're serious about consistently making money and not being retardio you should atleast have a basic understanding of what Expected Value is.
What the fook is Expected Value (EV)?
A powerful concept to understand for traders.
EV for Dummies.
a thread 🧵
If you found this thread to be helpful, please show your support by liking and sharing.
Part 3 and the last part of the series to follow in the future.
Follow for more content like this.
Greatly appreciate the support.
2. The Significance of Volume
"Tape Reading & Market Tactics" by Humphrey B. Neill is a 1931 Wall Street classic.
Price is simply an advertising mechanism with time regulating all advertised opportunities
and volume ultimately measuring the success or failure of all advertised
Mastering the Mental Game of Trading by
@AlphaMind101
is one of the most comprehensive books I have read on the subject.
and believe me....I read...a lot.
Here are 12 of my favorite quotes from the book to improve the way you view the game:
Why and how does price move in a market?
If your answer is "due to lack of buyers or sellers", it is time to read this thread.
Some nuances and complexities to this but we'll keep it simple for this one. Promise.
Auction Market Theory (AMT)- A Primer (THREAD)
Volume & Price are great and all,
but how about combining them with the dimension of time.
Market Profile 101 (from A to Z)
A Comprehensive Breakdown of Market Profile for Beginners w/ Examples & Resources.
threadception 🧵
(P.S. bookmark away & like while you're at it 🫡)
Mapping the Environment using the Element of Time
Price is simply an advertising mechanism
with time regulating all advertised opportunities
and volume ultimately measuring the success or failure of all advertised opportunities.
-Jim Dalton
Viewing the market using the
$BTC 4H
Short Discussion on utilizing Volume + Momentum
The attached image is self-explanatory.
Here are a few things to observe and keep in mind:
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- I did point this out originally. However, use of the loss of the momentum
If you found this thread to be helpful, please show your support by liking and sharing.
Follow for more content like this.
Greatly appreciate the support.
A man who fears suffering,
is already suffering from what he fears.
Michel de Montaigne
Anticipating suffering from the lens of fear can inflict more pain than events themselves.
Most of what we suffer from is self-inflicted negative ideation.
We suffer more in imagination
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
Stream - 4/2/24
Highlight:
"You can step away from this market,
box out current BTC range (~low 60s to 70s),
and say I'm not going to do anything while we're in here.
Risk-on at a close above the high."
Might miss some upside but more
If you miss airdrops because you suck at farming them (like myself) there is still hope to be had.
Airdrop coins provide amazing trading opportunities.
Study $JUP $PYTH $JTO
Detailed Thread on How to Trade Airdrop Coins
+ Thoughts on $W
$BTC 4H
- A few things of note:
- Yearly VWAP is gradually making its way up as we continue ranging = value is shifting to meet up with price (good).
- PoC (~67000) will remain a key area to flip. Ideally, you want to see spot follow-through as we get close to this area to
Charles Bukowski was a prolific underground writer.
His work is unconventional & provides a raw perspective on life.
Let me save you the trouble of reading for hours.
10 of his best ideas that are potentially life-changing:
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
Stream - 3/6/24
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Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice. These are notes that I jot down for myself and now share because they seem to be helpful to others. If you want exact quotes and statements, please watch
Some thoughts from my phone while I’m recovering from trying to keep up with
@blknoiz06
last night lmao
In a strong trending regime like this, leverage flushes have got to be the ace up your sleeve if you’re sidelined.
A few suggestions on how to capitalize on this:
↦ Upfront
the intuitive trader = "a different animal"
I've had the pleasure of speaking to and being friends with this type of trader.
they obviously don't just rely on intuition alone but they have a "sixth sense", to create and connect dots that aren't seen by most.
this skill is
"I'm too discretionary for my algo/HFT friends and I'm too mechanical for my discretionary friends."
^ Paraphrasing a tweet I read on my feed a while ago (wish I could give credit I forgot who it was).
The Intersection of Discretionary & Mechanical Trading
a thread 🧵
Bro the FVG of the orderblock on the vector candle of the liquidity sweep of the diagonal on the .71645 fib is looking good.
Let's cut through the bullshid.
Here's how I scan a chart at a quick glance using:
↦ Market Structure
↦ Volume
↦ Momentum
a thread 🧵
I have spent countless hours studying accomplished individuals in various fields and conversing with your favorite traders, DeFi analysts & investors.
Let's cut through the bullshid.
A common thread among individuals who are successful at what they do.
a mini thread 🧵
I can dig into this more with detailed examples in the future but wanted to gauge the interest first.
If you found this thread to be helpful, please show your support by liking and sharing.
Follow for more content like this.
I have to be honest. I started typing this tweet multiple times and stopped because there are so many people that I want to thank with anecdotes but that would be a long thread.
If you have followed me for a while, you know I tend to ramble lol so I'll try to keep this as short
On Shogun, The Art of War & The Market
Recently finished watching the series.
Of course, I have to relate it back to trading and markets in general.
On the surface, Lord Toranaga might seem to be a weak & passive leader.
However, in my opinion, he is a prime example of the
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
12/3 Sunday Flows Stream:
We'll call this....the 40k BTC and potential blow-off top soon special (let's see how many people get ticked).
﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍
Disclaimer: These are my personal notes that I jot down and now
5 Habits that are hard af to internalize but can be life-changing (from personal experience):
1. Delaying Gratification
Planting seeds and watering them over time requires the patience of a saint.
Planting seeds and then digging them up every few days is a fool's game.
2.
Getting DMs like these makes it worth it.
This is why I started actively posting here in the first place.
Awesome to know that people are getting value and putting the information to use.
“He who cannot obey himself will be commanded”
-Nietzsche
If you can’t control your mind, someone else or something else will do it for you.
This is a powerful statement.
Wether it’s trading, investing, health, or any form of self-mastery it all starts with having control
𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 - 𝐀 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫
Let's take a step back and appreciate that we are playing one of the most intense and sophisticated games in existence when trading.
"You can't dabble in 14 products and expect to have an edge. Occasionally, traders
Nothing strengthens authority so much as silence.
- Leonardo Da Vinci
It’s typically easy to spot where authority lies in a room because everyone else is busy trying to impress whereas mastery speaks for itself.
This is also in line with Seneca’s maxim: True mastery isn’t in
"I don’t like the clean-shaven boy with the necktie and the good job.
I like desperate men, men with broken teeth and broken minds and broken ways.
They interest me. They are full of surprises and explosions."
-Bukowski
when one is broken in many different ways,
the choice
The best tid-bits of information on Twitter are found on small accounts under 10,000 followers.
First time creating a list like this, since I am a small account myself I ask for you to help me get the word out and send this tweet to Valhalla.
12 Account Recommendations 🧵⤵️
How to use Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) as confluence for Trend Continuation
Understanding the correlation b/w price action and volume can help tremendously in determining strength or weakness during consolidation. Let's break this down at a beginner level. (A THREAD)
Perpetual Perspectives 003
A Deep Dive into the Mind of a Stoic Investor: Kun
A legendary Wassie with a star worn proudly on his chest.
A masterful student of the game emerges from Ryukuyu Islands.
You will not want to miss this discussion.
Please like and share to show your
Perpetual Perspectives
#003
hosted by
@Stoiiic
Each week, we will have in-depth fireside conversations with your favorite traders and defi analysts.
Today, a masterclass in investing with
@0x_Kun
A man cannot understand the art he is studying
if he only looks for the end result
without taking the time to delve deeply into the reasoning of the study.
got some questions in my dms - here's a mechanical way to view reflexivity:
one way to look at reflexivity is an overshooting feedback loop.
i.e.
imagine a car with bald tires on a wet road.
push the accelerator, once the car is moving fast then put it in reverse (let's
"TAPE READING & MARKET TACTICS" BY HUMPHREY B. NEILL
A 1931 WALL STREET CLASSIC
Fascinating read for tradors and spot bag holders alike.
Seven insights from the book:
How long are you going to wait before you demand the best for yourself and in no instance bypass the discriminations of reason?
- Epictetus
Repeat after me.
It is my duty to spend the day so that when I get in bed later tonight,
I can rest well knowing that I demanded the
Excited to announce that I am co-founding an educational outlet in the form of
@Trade_Aptitude
with
@52kskew
.
↦ Your go-to source for no-nonsense market updates from both of us presented in a digestible format.
↦ One-stop shop for educational content.
↦ Big things planned
I read "Cash Rules" by
@CREAMtrader
yesterday. It has been on my list since
@TheFlowHorse
recommended it and I pushed it up the list after
@zerototom
mentioned it recently.
Fantastic, quick read. Would highly recommend you pick it up.
Here are 11 of my insights from the book:
Advice for Small Ports.
Skimming through some DMs and getting more questions regarding positioning for small portfolios.
I have seen a variety of different answers when it comes to this.
Here is my hot take (please feel free to call me out on this or chime in):
The saying
The Intersection of Desire + Action + Consistency
= Magic
“Make the best use of what is in your power, and take the rest as it happens." - Epictetus
It has been and continues to be a privilege to speak to and interact with the best of the best in this space on a regular basis
3. Auction Market Theory & Value
While auction market theory isn't a strategy, it is a framework that allows you to understand the dynamics of how price moves.
In my opinion, this is a crucial framework to understand and should be one of the first things every trader should
12. Bonus: Shitcoining
You might be surprised to read this but the principle of using the point of control works relatively well on dexscreener coins as well.
This isn't because people are actively pulling profiles on the chart.
It's because the point of control is where
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
Stream - 2/3/24
Highlights: Reasonable for $BTC chop b/w 38 + 45.
Trade above 45 -> potential move into the 50s.
Intraday- things are tightening up. Inside day possibly setting up + potential break from value.
Potential Inside Day Setup:
The factor that can be taken advantage of when it comes to being in an extended range are the recency bias and the memory footprint of participants.
There is a clear determination of where the excess lies and where the equilibrium is agreed upon in this area.
In other words,
10. Painting the Picture & Completing it this time
Armed with all the information we have just learned.
Here are some potential takeaways from using the FRVP tool for this range (in image).
Showing this as a framework to indicate what kind of thought process can be used.
Also
13. In conclusion,
Volume Profiles are a phenomenal tool when combined with price action and an understanding of the dynamics of how value is established, ranging and trending environments, AMT scenarios etc.
Easy to use, intuitive & provide structure.
“If you're going to try, go all the way.
There is no other feeling like that.
You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter.
It's the only good fight there is.”
-Bukowski
If you’re sidelined or
According to the stoics, the greatest of fools are those who always wait for the perfect moment.
“While we are postponing, life speeds by.”
- Seneca
This postponement and delay in action is more often than not a consequence of desiring safety.
Some moments must be seized with
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
Stream - 2/13/24
﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice. These are notes that I jot down for myself and now share because they seem to be helpful to others. If you want exact quotes and statements, please watch
$ONDO 4H
- this is one of the best-looking alt charts imo.
I mean look at this thing:
-tight compression, skirting the yvwap std. dev. band.
- currently right up against resistance, S/R flip on the 0.90 and we're home free.
$BTC
Study Auction Market Theory.
Balance = Indecision = mean reversion to where participants deem fair value to be in the range
(until a clear break of the range occurs in which case price will seek value at prior value or establish new criteria).
Deviation to acceptance
not a groundbreaking observation at this point but more so a reminder:
the distinguishing characteristic of this bull has been the fragmented rotations into certain sectors for a set period of time.
namely: AI, RWAs, Memes etc. have been at the forefront.
as a trader the
2023 Year-End Round-Up of What I Have Learned, Re-learned, or Doubled Down on.
┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉┉
↦ Prepare yourself for unchosen suffering with chosen suffering.
Suffering is going to happen in life.
People will leave your life, relationships will break
If you found this to be insightful in any form please like and share to show your support.
While far from becoming or pretending to become macro experts, I hope this thread provides you with an elementary understanding of reflexivity, boom-bust sequences, and narrative cycles.
9. Back to Auction Market Theory
Quick detour,
AMT characterizes the markets as cycling b/w two modes:
Balance (Ranging Market)- Indicating indecision
Imbalance (Trending Market) - Aggressive Conviction
When a market is "balanced" it means buyers and sellers are uncertain on
Knowledge grows fractally.
From a distance its edges look smooth, but when you learn enough to get close to one, you'll notice it's full of gaps.
These gaps will seem obvious; it will seem inexplicable that no one has tried x or wondered about y. In the best case, exploring
Understand the stories the market is telling itself and learn to identify when the market is falling in or out of love with a narrative. (Alpha Trader)
This is a lot easier said than done.
The goal here (atleast for myself) isn't to pretend that we can make accurate long-term
Detailed Notes from
@TraderMagus
Stream - 1/30/24
Highlight: Currently leaning towards $BTC chopping into Feb/March timeframe.
Macro: Bullish
Medium Time-frame: Rangebound
Lower Time-Frame: Leaning Bullish (conservatively bullish within range)
P.S. If you read these notes,
Bear Market PTSD Cleanser + Reminders for Myself (& for you if you care)
﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍﹍
Here's an hourly chart for a 4-day move. Where do you bid this?
By the time you wait for a deeper pull-back, one of the following is going to happen:
the move is
Alright, let me preface this by saying I'm not a macro expert by any sense of the word.
However, you don't need to want to be a macro expert to be interested in how cycles work (they also occur on smaller time frames).
This discussion or aspects of it can actually be applied to
Market Profile (MP) Aggregator
I've condensed a decent amount of information on Market Profile alone that should be solid for any beginner to get their feet wet.
Each thread provides digestible information complete w/ additional resources, examples & analogies.
Share with
Detailed Notes from
@TheFlowHorse
Stream -
1/7 - First Live Stream of 2024
"It's not the Beginning" - Looming ETF News Special
Horse Positioning: Out of all alts currently, aside from $FLIP, $WOO, and a little bit of $SOL (a bulk of $SOL sold a few minutes after the new
4. Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP)
Alright now that we have some background information and a (hopefully) sound foundation, we can talk about the subject at hand.
The FRVP Tool can be found under the "Prediction & Measurement Tools" on the left side of the chart in
You know what I think would make people better at what they're trying to accomplish + Make CT Better?
Humility.
The type of humility that stems from curiosity that is detached from the ego.
Detached from the idea that you care about what others will think about the fact that
I’m flattered with seeing threads eerily similar to mine in terms of structure, content and flow etc.
I’m not presenting anything new. The information belongs to the market.
It’s just the same stuff being presented in a different light.
But, you will notice I make it a point
Andrew Huberman discussed a brain structure called the anterior mid-cingulate cortex in a recent episode with David Goggins (highly suggest you listen to the entire interview).
This area of the brain has a fundamental role in cognitive processes, including “motivation, decision
𝗔 𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗨𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡 𝗢𝗡 𝗢𝗣𝗘𝗡 𝗜𝗡𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗧 (𝗢𝗜)
𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝗢𝗜?
Alright, this is going to get a little hairy but we'll start simple...OI is the number of total positions open in a contract.
If you understand how perps work, you know that for each long there
You do not rise to the level of your goals.
You fall to the level of your systems.
- James Clear (Atomic Habits)
One consequence that is overlooked when it comes to the compounding effect of embracing the grind of daily tasks:
- the silent confidence of knowing that you keep
The first time I stepped foot in a boxing gym years ago I was regularly running 3-5 miles a few times a week, resting heart rate in the 50-55 range aka decent cardio.
I quickly realized the difference b/w cardio and fight cardio even just keeping your arms up and hitting a heavy
$FTM
1W
- On HTF, this looks like it's building value.
- Observe the amount of time spent in this region prior to the current pull-back. This is constructive development so far.
4H
- Tight compression around Yearly VWAP.
Would like to see expansion into flip of VAH.
“Much of the pain we experience is caused not by events we wish to avoid, but by the identity we wish to have”.
A method to modulate unnecessary desires that aren’t suited for one’s current situation includes practicing gratitude and “negative visualization”.
How often
Time Billionaire
"Never let the quest for more distract you from the beauty of enough"
Time = the most precious asset we have
Unfortunately due to the cursed perpetual state of human beings to be unsatisfied, we don't realize the intrinsic value of time until it is too late.