Sebastian Payne @SebastianEPayne Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

122,772

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Director of @ukonward . Author of 'Broken Heartlands' and 'The Fall of Boris Johnson'. Who funds me?

London via Gateshead

https://t.co/JsUeWytmyn

Joined July 2010

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@SebastianEPayne

Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

13 days

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 I’m an ardent unionist who has little politically in common with Kate Forbes. But her faith shouldn’t matter in our increasingly pluralistic society. What we’re seeing is SNP’s identity-first politics letting Scotland down. Latest @theipaper column

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I’m an ardent unionist – but feel forced to defend Kate Forbes

As Scotland’s former finance minister limbers up for another bid to lead the Scottish Nationalists, she faces another round of vitriol over her faith

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@SebastianEPayne

Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

This is how you do a parliamentary speech

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2 years

The lettuce has won

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2 years

Snap YouGov poll on Partygate fines: - 57% say Johnson should quit - 57% say Sunak should quit - 75% said Johnson "knowingly lied about breaching Covid-19 rules"

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Little noticed by-election in the heart of the red wall tonight: Labour gain in West Auckland ward of County Durham, following sudden death of incumbent Tory councillor. Independent: 187 Conservative: 554 Labour: 956 Doesn’t bode well for Wakefield by-election

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I've had 15 WhatsApp messages from Conservative MPs in the last 30 mins. Not a single one thinks Boris Johnson can remain prime minister until the autumn. Conversations are taking place with Sir Graham Brady about whether the contest will be sped up.

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It boggles the mind that Downing Street resisted suspended Chris Pincher for almost 24 hours when it was *completely inevitable* their position was unsustainable and would have to shift. After three years, No10 still can’t see around obvious corners.

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2 years

Don't think former Tory chancellor Lord Ken Clarke is a fan of this week's budget - speaking to the World This Weekend: "I'm afraid that's the kind of thing that's usually tried in Latin American countries without success."

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2 years

Remarkable: the Queen's first prime minister, Sir Winston Churchill, was born 101 years before her current PM Liz Truss. She is not only a connection to the second world war but the Victorian era

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2 years

Keir Starmer's #lab22 conference speech was solid, but crucially it was plausible. For the first time in a decade, it's easy to see both the Labour party and its leader in power. There's a palpable sense Starmer now believes (for the first time) he can and will be prime minister.

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2 years

NEW: former chief whip @Mark_J_Harper calls on Boris Johnson to resign. First Tory voice in the Partygate statement to state the PM should go.

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2 years

The vibe shift between the two party conferences is remarkable. Labour was disciplined, united and focused on power; the Tories are now squabbling, at war and focused almost entirely on themselves. Liz Truss will have to try and instil discipline soon or she'll never recover.

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2 years

Superb @spectator cover perfectly sums up how the UK is getting it wrong

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2 years

In just another day for a completely normal country, the Daily Star has riffed off @TheEconomist and has started a live stream to see whether Liz Truss can outlast a piece of lettuce over ten days

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💥 NEW: Priti Patel was forced to issue a ‘ministerial direction’ this week for plans to send asylum seekers to Rwanda. Civil servants raised concerns about whether the scheme represented value for money but the home secretary overruled. More on shortly

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2 years

Where are we at with Partygate? Today’s Commons debate was bruising for Boris Johnson, the near silence at times from the Tory benches ominous, but still no sense we’re near 54 letters to trigger a confidence vote. Keir Starmer delivered easily his best dispatch box turn to date

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2 years

NEW: @CommonsForeign has published written evidence from a senior FCDO whistleblower, Josie Stewart. She alleges it was "widespread knowledge" in the Afghan Crisis Centre that the decision to help from Nowzad's staff "came from the prime minister"

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2 years

NEW: the resignations have started again. Laura Trott, a rising star of the 2019 Tory intake, has quit has PPS to the Department for Transport: "Trust in politics is - and must always be - of the upmost importance, but sadly in recent months this has been lost. "

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2 years

NEW: @KemiBadenoch announces she will break up the Treasury if PM. Economic growth would be run from No10, with a new Office for Economic Growth. “As Exchequer Secretary I saw first hand the barriers to economic growth - we need to change the way the Treasury works."

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2 years

BORIS IS NOT STANDING

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2 years

NEW: Boris Johnson faces the prospect of a crunch vote over misleading parliament. PM will deliver a statement on Tuesday but opposition parties are plotting a vote on whether he’s in contempt of parliament, which would lead to a committee investigation.

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Boris Johnson faces prospect of vote over misleading parliament on ‘partygate’

Growing calls for investigation into whether PM brought Commons into disrepute over Covid breaches

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2 years

Genuine question Twittermind: how many Tory MPs have questioned Boris Johnson's leadership/called for him to go to who were not a.) always opposed to his leadership b.) sacked by him as a minister c.) opposed to Brexit? The rebels still feel mostly like the folks you'd expect

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2 years

Whatever the opposite of reassuring Conservative MPs is called, it was that Liz Truss press conference

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1 year

Some personal news: after seven fantastic years at the @FinancialTimes , I'm delighted to be appointed director of @ukonward , Westminster's finest think tank. With politics shifting back towards policy, it's a great moment for some real pep and fresh thinking.

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2 years

Beergate is getting worse for Keir Starmer

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Mail on Sunday exclusive: Keir Starmer’s beergate story blown apart by leaked memo

www.mailplus.co.uk

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2 years

Tonight's 1922 meeting sounds pretty dire. One MP said: "the mood was honestly funereal, horrendous. I was shocked at how brutal it was". Truss took sharp criticism on mortgages, polling and her economic record. Another MP, "there was a sense this just can't go on"

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2 years

My favourite fact about the 1922 committee is that it was actually founded in 1923

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2 years

💥 New @RedfieldWilton poll puts Labour *36 points* head of the Tories - largest lead for any party recorded by any pollster since October 1997: Labour: 56% (+3) Conservative: 20% (-4) Liberal Democrats: 11% (-2) Green: 5% (+2)

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Huge constitutional moment for the UK, a strong sense that a unspoken transition of power has begun

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MPs present at the '22 say @halfon4harlowMP accused Liz Truss of "trashing workers' conservatism" and "everything the party has stood for over the last decade". The PM looked shocked and denied that was the case.

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6 months

Absolute state of this - reminder of how dangerous Corbyn would have been as Prime Minister. The arrogance, ignorance and flippancy is breathtaking.

@PiersUncensored

Piers Morgan Uncensored

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6 months

Piers Morgan asks Jeremy Corbyn 15 times whether the former Labour leader thinks Hamas is a terror group. Jeremy Corbyn refuses to answer. @piersmorgan | @jeremycorbyn

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Hamas is an organisation that has beheaded babies, indiscriminately murdered and taken hostage pregnant women and Holocaust survivors alike. Yet YouGov says 27% of Brits "don't know" whether it's a terrorist outfit. That rises to 49% of 18-24 year olds.

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Too many people in Britain hold views opposed to our values

YouGov surveyed the nation this week to gauge their views on Hamas. The results should shock any decent person

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2 years

One minister said the 1922 tonight was a “bloodbath”, adding “I’ve never heard of anything like it”

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7 months

A timely reminder of that kinder, gentler politics Jeremy Corbyn and his movement introduced to our discourse

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2 years

Several MPs say tonight’s 1922 was the worst they experienced and it failed to calm the mood. One said that the mood reflected that Truss had “no authority” among MPs: “At least a couple of times, there was a ripple of chatter going on at back while she was still talking”

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2 years

Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe is freed

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2 years

Penny Mordaunt's leadership domain was registered back in May 2019 when Theresa May was still prime minister and she was defence secretary.

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8 months

🥀 Keir Starmer made his first big mistakes this week. By staking himself against sensible housebuilding and in favour of accepting more migration, he’s pitted Labour against the very voters he needs to win over next year. Latest @theipaper column

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Keir Starmer has made his first big mistake

The Labour leader has opted for two policies that are likely to be rejected by the Middle England voters he needs the most

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2 years

Whoever directed and shot the Queen’s funeral deserves every gong the state can throw at the them. Westminster Abbey has never looked more glorious - the aerial shots were beyond.

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5 months

Kate is one of the most insightful and thoughtful economics journalists around. She thoroughly deserves her national profile and it's extraordinary she is consistently the target of bullying by men who disagree with her.

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ALASTAIR CAMPBELL

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5 months

“Journalist and broadcaster”, says the caption. She is not a journalist. She is a right wing think tank propagandist. And she is only a “broadcaster” because the BBC put her on TV a lot

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Statement from Buckingham Palace: “Following further evaluation this morning, The Queen’s doctors are concerned for Her Majesty’s health and have recommended she remain under medical supervision. The Queen remains comfortable and at Balmoral.”

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2 years

When I hear Graham Brady has been spotted heading towards Downing Street

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2 years

How this morning is going for the government: in his first Radio 4 interview as chancellor, Nadhim Zahawi is ambushed by two resignations live on air. Going to be quite the day.

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2 years

England’s finest beach

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2 years

💥 Confirmed: Rishi Sunak will reinstate the England-wide ban on shale gas fracking, senior government insiders confirmed to the FT. Sunak told PMQs he "stands by" 2019 Tory manifesto which banned fracking. Liz Truss briefly lifted the moratorium.

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2 years

Confirmed: Liz Truss was meeting with Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 committee, this afternoon while Penny Mordaunt was answering Labour's urgent question in the House of Commons. Government insiders say it was "pre-planned" private meeting.

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2 years

NEW: @SuellaBraverman enters the trans debate

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8 months

🏫 Labour's war on private schools shows a fundamental misreading of middle class aspiration. The party seems to have forgot that not every independent school is Eton and their plans risk putting more even pressure on the state. Latest @theipaper column

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Labour’s attack on private schools is class warfare that will hurt millions of parents

The schools debacle shows, at heart, Keir Starmer is more left than centre

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2 years

Giving it 101%

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New polling shows that I’m the one that can deliver a fresh start for our party. #PM4PM

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2 years

Dominic Raab's #pmqs attack on Angela Rayner and Labour for Jeremy Corbyn's stance on Russia and defence foreshadows Tories' plans for the next election. Senior Labour figures talk of "long Corbyn" worries - more to come in an updated version of #brokenheartlands later this year.

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2 years

The Queen's death has shown Twitter at its absolute finest. The cesspit of anger, abuse and intolerance has disappeared, to be replaced by warmth, good shared emotions and sensitivity. A reminder of what a boon it can be, something to try and hold on to.

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2 years

Discussions are underway among ex ministers about all refusing to serve until Johnson goes: “Him having levers of state for four months is unacceptable. His chance to do the dignified caretaker role went several days. It’s up to the Cabinet to move. “

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Live news updates from July 7: Boris Johnson resigns, makes appointments despite impending departure

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2 years

I spent half an hour observing The Queen's Lying-in-State from the reporter's box in Westminster Hall this afternoon. This is what it was like:

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2 years

NEW: Boris Johnson allies are gunning to stop Rishi Sunak becoming prime minister. Close allies of Johnson said there was “huge anger” in Downing Street over Sunak’s resignation. One senior No10 official called Sunak “a treacherous bastard”

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Boris Johnson allies accuse Rishi Sunak of treachery

Former chancellor launches leadership bid by pledging to avoid ‘comforting fairy tales’ in swipe at Johnson

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2 years

Caption contest

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2 years

Jacob Rees-Mogg has dated his resignation letter St Crispin's Day, not October 25

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Tony Diver

2 years

Here's his resignation letter: "I would be grateful if you would convey my resignation as Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy to the King."

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2 years

NEW: Sir John Major has written to Sir Graham Brady to argue Boris Johnson should not remain prime minister. "For the overall wellbeing of the country, Mr Johnson should not remain in Downing Street...for any longer than necessary to effect the smooth transition of government"

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2 years

When Liz Truss met Antony Blinken for the first time last year, the meeting was not so diplomatic. Truss questioned the 'special relationship': “her attitude was ‘what have you done for me lately?'" @felschwartz on UK-US relations under PM Truss

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Inside Liz Truss’s not so special relationship with the US

UK foreign secretary — who is on the cusp of becoming prime minister — has at times irked officials with her blunt style

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2 years

Liz Truss is now the UK's 56th prime minister

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2 years

NEW: Peter Bone has joined the government! He is deputy leader of the House of Commons. Andrea Jenkyns is also joining the Department for Education as a junior minister.

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2 years

🌹 The likely Wakefield by-election may begin Labour's fight back in the red wall Keir Starmer has transformed the party in his first two years as leader, but Labour is still lacking personalities Time to send for Ed Balls? Latest @FinancialTimes column

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Labour needs big personalities to take on the Tories

Despite the government’s travails, voters are still wary of Keir Starmer’s party

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2 years

👩‍💼👨‍💼 The most interesting candidates in the Tory leadership race are the ones least likely to win. Forget the next prime minister, @KemiBadenoch and @TomTugendhat have proven the Tory party isn’t intellectually dead yet. Latest @FinancialTimes column

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The most interesting candidates in the Tory leadership race won’t win

Kemi Badenoch and Tom Tugendhat have impressed with policy-rich pitches and hope for the party’s intellectual revival

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2 years

Penny Mordaunt is trying to get through this Commons statement by willing it to end as quickly as possible, wheeling out the golden oldies. Not sure it’s winning over many hearts or minds.

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2 years

Government insiders say the Cabinet Office is "preparing for scenario where there’s not a full cabinet" which would include "slimming the government right down" and "people doing a few jobs". Hard to see the country being run like that for three months.

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2 years

💥 Scoop with @GeorgeWParker : Rishi Sunak might now attend COP27, after growing criticism from Tory MPs. PM's allies say his priority "first and foremost has to be focusing on domestic issues" One added, "Going depends on progress" with autumn statement

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Sunak signals he could attend UN climate summit

Prime minister may U-turn on decision not to go to COP27 following criticism by Tory MPs

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2 years

NEW: Five government ministers have quit en mass. We have reached the end folks

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2 years

NEW: statement from the Conservative party on Crispin Blunt’s defence of Imran Ahmad Khan; “A jury of Mr Khan's peers has found him guilty of a criminal offence. We completely reject any allegations of impropriety against our independent judiciary, the jury or Mr Khan's victim.”

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2 years

Sometimes you can palpably see, hear and feel power draining away from a party leader in the Commons chamber. That #PMQs felt like one of those moments for Boris Johnson. Mood among Tory MPs is getting even more febrile - all eyes on 1922 executive meeting tonight.

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2 years

🐥 Twitter has ruined British politics Westminster’s fixation with this platform means awful decisions, poor judgment and an obsession with things that don’t matter. Labour and Tory strategists would love all their MPs to quit @FinancialTimes column

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Twitter’s bubbles are a blight on British politics

Wholly unrepresentative and awash with partisan outrage, the social media platform costs parties elections

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2 years

Steve Baker is addressing the media after the 1922 committee. “It’s a very very sad day” but confirmed he’s voting against the prime minister tonight. “He’s clearly broken the law and he should go”

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2 years

Danny Kruger, who was loyal to the prime minister throughout, has told Downing Street that he thinks the game is up and he wants Boris Johnson to quit with dignity this eve - same as Michael Gove earlier today. Kruger was No10 political secretary before becoming an MP in 2019.

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1 year

The data says that the Conservatives could be vulnerable on their right flank at the next election. But then, there’s also this…

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7 months

🇬🇧 Seven years ago, Louise Casey warned of "worrying levels" of alienation in parts of British society. Now we're reaping what's been sown. What we've seen on our streets shows we must face uncomfortable truth about integration. Latest @theipaper column

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Too many people in Britain hold views opposed to our values

YouGov surveyed the nation this week to gauge their views on Hamas. The results should shock any decent person

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10 months

💰 The Nigel Farage-Coutts row has exposed a deeper rot in British capitalism: an obsession with ultra-progressive trends over jobs and prosperity. It's time for a reset and rethink on what businesses are all about. My (first) column for @theipaper

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The Nigel Farage-Coutts row has exposed a deeper rot in British capitalism

It has become de rigueur to conclude that donning a particular badge or lanyard is a substitute for greater prosperity

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2 years

Labour and Lib Dem MPs want to force a vote on whether the PM is in contempt of parliament ahead of May’s elections. “It would be very useful ahead of local elections in May to get the Tories trooping through the lobby to defend the prime minister.”

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Boris Johnson faces prospect of vote over misleading parliament on ‘partygate’

Growing calls for investigation into whether PM brought Commons into disrepute over Covid breaches

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4 months

9 of out of 10 constituencies want immigration cut: Clacton in Essex is the most hawkish with 67% wanting lower numbers. Bristol Central is the most liberal, with 55% wanting fewer controls Preview of @ukonward 's new report Reality Check in @Telegraph

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2 years

📖 The Fall of Boris Johnson - out November 24 In the end, Johnson did not run for the Tory leadership again. Next month comes the full inside story of how and why the prime minister lost his hold on power, with some great early reviews. Pre-order here

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@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Liz Truss has addressed the 1922 committee of Tory MPs this evening. The PM told MPs they should focus on the energy price guarantee and "highlight the devastation that would have been caused to small business had we not acted"

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

@CommonsForeign Stewart says there written evidence that Nowzad was the PM's decision: "I saw messages to this effect on Microsoft Teams, I heard it discussed in the Crisis Centre including by senior civil servants, and I was copied on numerous emails which clearly suggested this."

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

9 months

💰 Britain needs to pay its officials far more - and have fewer of them It’s mad anyone cares that 2,000 people who run a country of almost 70 million are being paid the average salary of a senior private sector manager. My latest for @theipaper

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Ignore the outrage about £100k salaries – paying civil servants more will transform the UK

We must be less embarrassed about wanting experienced well-paid folks managing the state

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

New from Buckingham Palace: - Kings Charles III has instructed a period of royal mourning from now until seven days after Elizabeth II's funeral - date to be confirmed. - Flags at all royal residences will remain at half mast until 8am the day after mourning

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

This week's @spectator is brutal and beautiful

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Boris Johnson spokes at the Farnborough air show today and this is what he had to say about flying an RAF Typhoon

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

🚨 NEW: Understand Simon Case, cabinet secretary, has also not be fined by the Met. No fines at all for the head of the civil service. Case attended the same surprise birthday party as Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak in June 2020 but was not fined for that:

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Stewart says FAC was misled: "Nigel Casey explicitly testified that he had searched his emails and found nothing of relevance, yet when I searched my emails for “PM” and “Nowzad” I found more than one email referencing “the PM’s decision on Nowzad” and with Nigel Casey in copy."

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

84,000 words, 40 hours of interviews, dozens of officials/ministers/MPs, 9 chapters, 6 mad weeks of writing, far too many all night sessions, one book manuscript filed! The epic tale of #thefallofborisjohnson is en route to your shelves later this year. Stay tuned for more soon

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

I would offer a 59 part thread on the by-election results and why they mean everything and nothing for Boris Johnson, but I’m en route to Glastonbury and can think only of Wolf Alice, Sam Fender, Robert Plant and Wet Leg.

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Quote of the day from @PennyMordaunt : “The prime minister is not under a desk”

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

💥 FT exclusive: @trussliz tells @GeorgeWParker and me there'll be be no "handouts" later this year to help households through the income squeeze and attacks the Treasury's "abacus economics". And a snap autumn election? "I can absolutely rule that out"

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Truss rejects ‘handouts’ in favour of tax cuts to help households

Conservative leadership frontrunner dismisses the ‘abacus economics’ of the Treasury

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

NEW: Jonathan Gullis, an ultra loyal Johnson supporter and 2019 intake red waller, has quit as a PPS

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Red wall by-election incoming

@joepike

Joe Pike

2 years

BREAKING: Tory MP Imran Ahmad Khan, 48, has been found guilty at Southwark Crown Court of sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy at a house in Staffordshire in 2008.

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@SebastianEPayne

2 years

💥 Wow - Suella Braverman not holding back: "I have concerns about the direction of this government. Not only have we broken key pledges that were promised to our voters, but i have had serious concerns about this Government's commitment to honouring manifesto commitments"

@SuellaBraverman

Suella Braverman MP

@SuellaBraverman

2 years

My letter to the Prime Minister.

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Bookmakers @LadPolitics have just suspended betting on "when will Boris Johnson be replaced as Prime Minister?"

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Confirmed: Priti Patel has spoke to the PM this evening, she's relayed the majority views of the Conservative parliamentary party (i.e. he should go now). Pretty much all of his core supporters think it's overside, Nadine Dorries aside.

@matt_dathan

Matt Dathan

2 years

EXCLUSIVE: Priti Patel has sided with the group of Cabinet ministers calling for PM to go The home secretary - one of Johnson's most loyal supporters - believes there's no way he can continue to govern without the support of his party She's joined Shapps and Gove NOT Dorries

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2 years

Badenoch's Office for Economic Growth would be reportable to the PM, with all departmental spending would pass through it. She wants to inject "stronger democratic accountability into spending plans"

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

WOW: new @ConHome finds Penny Mordaunt is in first place among Tory members to be the next PM, followed by Kemi Badenoch. Rishi Sunak is in third place, Suella Braverman fourth, Liz Truss fifth and Tom Tugendhat sixth

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Our latest Next Tory Leader Survey. Mordaunt leads Badenoch by under ten votes in over eight...

Sunak is third. Much can change - but were the former Chancellor in the ring now against either of the top two, I wouldn't fancy his chances.

conservativehome.com

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Tomorrow’s @FinancialTimes

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

😴 After six years of psychodrama, Britain has forgotten what boring, serious politics is about Whether it's Matt Hancock in the jungle or Suella Braverman and small boats, Westminster is incapable of engaging with substance Latest @FinancialTimes column

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Britain must learn to love boring politics again

Matt Hancock’s reality television debut should mark the long hoped for end to Tory psychodrama

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

6 months

As I wrote in @theipaper recently, too many people in Britain hold views opposed to our values.

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Too many people in Britain hold views opposed to our values

YouGov surveyed the nation this week to gauge their views on Hamas. The results should shock any decent person

@DXW_KC

David Wolfson

6 months

The most worrying thing about this picture (today, London)? Not the people dressed as - and celebrating - Hamas terrorists. Not the absence of @metpoliceuk . It’s the hundreds, if not thousands, of fellow marchers who saw them, knew and understood - but said and did nothing.

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

Latest: senior Tories think we may be into the final hours of the Truss government. Several ministers are on resignation watch, no confidence letters are flowing into Sir Graham Brady. One minister: “The government has become a total farce.”

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Tory MPs round on Liz Truss

Conservative minister labels the government a ��total farce’, amid warnings of fresh cabinet resignations

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Sebastian Payne

@SebastianEPayne

2 years

NEW: Senior Tories reckon a no-confidence vote in Boris Johnson ‘likely’ if Tories lose June 23 by-elections, especially Tiverton and Honiton. One minister: “There will be another round [of no-confidence letters] post the by-elections.”

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No-confidence vote in Boris Johnson ‘likely’ if Tories lose by-elections

Conservative MPs say battle over two parliamentary seats could trigger ballot on PM’s leadership

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